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Lecture Notes PDF
Lecture Notes PDF
Cont… Cont…
For example: O To be able to decide whether a project is viable or not,
O In cases of investment, investors want to know if the
or to compare different projects, we have to find a
project is economically viable or not. (Real estate, mining, common measure/criteria.
factory etc.) O Financial analysis gives us the tools/methods to
O Creditors need to know if the project is secure enough perform this evaluation.
so that they can get their money back. O Therefore, a project manager has to be able to provide
O Sometimes we are also confronted with two or more a convincing financial analysis of the project.
alternatives.
In this situation, we want to know which alternative
produces the greatest net benefit.
3 4
O If the system is producing an end item, then the Annual equivalent method
revenue received by selling the produced items is the Rate of return method
benefit obtained. Benefit cost ratio
Life time worth
5 6
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I = 𝑃 𝑁𝑖 𝐹 = 𝑃 + 𝑃𝑁𝑖 = 𝑃 1 + 𝑁𝑖
Where: I = total amount of simple interest
P = Principal amount
Where: F = Future Value
N = Life of Loan
P = Principal amount
i = Interest Rate
N = Life of Loan
O Normally, when a simple interest loan is made, i = Interest Rate
nothing is repaid until the end of the loan period
13 14
Cont… Cont…
2. Compound Interest: O For the second interest period, the interest is determined as:
O In case of compound interest, the interest obtained in the 𝐼 2 = 𝐹1 ∗ 𝑖 = 𝑃 1 + 𝑖 ∗ 𝑖
preceding period is added to the principal to calculate the The total amount accumulated is :
interest for the succeeding period. 𝐹2 = 𝐹1 + 𝐹1𝑖 = 𝑃 1 + 𝑖 + 𝑃 1 + 𝑖 𝑖 = 𝑃 1 + 𝑖 ∗ 1 + 𝑖
Cont… Cont…
O In general, if there are “N” interest periods, we have: Principal
Interest Future Value
𝐼𝑁 = 𝐹 (𝑁 − 1) ∗ 𝑖 and Period Amount
(P)
(I) (F) = (P) + (I)
1 P Pi P+Pi = P(1+i)
𝐹𝑁 = 𝐹 𝑁−1
+ [𝐹(𝑁 − 1) ∗ 𝑖 ] 2 P(1+i) P(1+i)*i P(1+i) + P(1+i)*i =P(1+i)(1+i) = P(1+i)2
𝐹𝑁 = 𝐹 𝑁−1
[1 + 𝑖 ] 4 P(1+i)3 P(1+i)3*i P(1+i)3 + P(1+i)3*i = P(1+i)3(1+i) = P(1+i)4
. . . .
𝑁−1
𝐹𝑁 = 𝑃 1 + 𝑖 ∗ [1 ∗ 𝑖 ] . . . .
17 18
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Cont… Cont…
Example:
1. A student borrows $3000 from his uncle in order to
finish school. His uncle agrees to charge him simple
interest at the rate of 5.5% per year. Suppose the
student waits two years and then repays the entire
loan. How much will he have to repay?
Solution:
The interest type is simple interest
F= P+I
F= P+PNi
Note: Unless other wise the interest type is given, all problems will be solved F = P(1+Ni) = 3000*(1+2*0.055)= 3330
using compound interest concepts after wards. 19 20
Cont… Cont…
Example : If N=15 years, F= P(1+i)15 =10,000(1.1)15 = 41,772.48
Assume you are offered to choose 10,000 birr now or As 41,772.48 > 25,937.425 choose 41,772.48
25937.425 birr after N years with i=10% . Which offer do you
accept, if
N=10 years You have seen that 25,937.425 is equivalent of 10,000 now
N=8 years after 10 years if i=10% , Are these cash flows also equivalent
N=15 years at the end of year 5?
Solution: Solution:
If N=10 years , F= P(1+i)N =10,000(1.1)10 = 25,937.425 (F5)1 = P1(1+i)N = 10,000(1.1)5 = 16,105.1
They are both equivalent. you can choose either of one. 25937.425
𝐹10
𝐹5 2 = 𝑁 = 1.1 5 =16,105.1
1+𝑖
If N=8 years, F= P(1+i)8 =10,000(1.1)8 = 21,435.89
This shows that the two cash flows still remain equivalent.
As 25,937.425 > 21,435.89 choose 25,937.425 23 24
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Cont…
O If i=12% are these cash flows still equivalent?
Solution:
F = P(1+i)N =10,000(1.12)10 = 31,058.48 > 25, 937.425 Engineering Economics
This shows that the change in the interest rate (i ) has
made the two cash flows no more equivalent.
Lecture Notes
Day-2
25 26
O Four discrete cash flow patterns are examined: 𝐹 = 𝑃(1 + 𝑖)𝑁 = 𝑃(𝐹/𝑃, 𝑖, 𝑁)
Single Cash Flow = Single disbursement or receipt 𝑁
1+𝑖 𝑖𝑠 𝑘𝑛𝑜𝑤𝑛 𝑎𝑠 𝑠𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑙𝑒 𝑝𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑑 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝑓𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟
Annuity/Equal/uniform series = set of equal
disbursements or receipts over a sequence of time F
P
Linear/Arithmetic gradient series = set of
disbursements or receipts that change by a constant 0 1 2 3 4 ………..………N year
amount from one period to the next. 𝐹
Irregular/Geometric Gradient Series = set of 𝑃= 𝑁 = 𝐹(𝑃/𝐹, 𝑖, 𝑁)
1+𝑖
disbursements or receipts that change by a constant 1 …..Known as single payment present worth factor (SPPWF)
proportion from one period to the next. 1+𝑖 𝑁
27 28
1+𝑖 𝑁 −1
• = uniform series
𝑖
compound amount factor
𝑖
𝐴 = 𝐹∗ 1+𝑖 𝑁−1
1+𝑖 𝑁−1 𝐹 = 𝐴∗
𝐴 = 𝐹(𝐴/𝐹, 𝑖, 𝑁) 𝑖
𝑖
• 𝑁 = uniform series 𝐹 = 600 ∗
1.0610 − 1
= 𝟕𝟗𝟎𝟖. 𝟒𝟖
1+𝑖 −1
sinking fund factor
0.06
29 30
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𝑃 𝑖 1+𝑖 𝑁
𝐴=
1+𝑖 𝑁−1
Example: 𝐴 1+𝑖 𝑁−1
𝑃 =
An engineer who is planning his retirement has decided that he 𝑖 1+𝑖 𝑁
will have to withdraw $10 000 from his savings account at the
end of each year. How much money must the engineer have in
the bank at the start of his retirement, if his money earns 6% 10000∗ 1.06 12
−1
per year, compounded annually, and he is planning a 12-year 𝑃 =
0.06∗1.0612
= 83838.4
retirement (i.e., 12 annual withdrawals)?
33 34
𝐺∗ 1 + 𝑖 𝑛 − 𝑖𝑛 − 1
𝑃 =
𝑖2 ∗ 1 + 𝑖 𝑛
1 + 𝑖 𝑁 − 1 𝑁𝐺
𝐹 =𝐺∗ − 1+𝑖 𝑁 −1 1+𝑖 𝑁 −𝑖𝑁−1
𝑖2 𝑖 𝑃 = [𝐴0 ∗ 𝑁 ]+ [G* ]
𝑖∗ 1+𝑖 𝑖2∗( 1+𝑖 𝑁
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Cont… Cont…
Example:
1. An employee with an annual pay of $30,000 is told
1+𝑖 −1
𝑁 1+𝑖 𝑁−1 1+𝑖 𝑁 −1 increase compounded annually at the end 5-years
𝑃 = 𝐴0 ∗ + [𝐴 ∗ 𝑁 ] = 𝐴𝑜 + 𝐴 ∗ 𝑁
𝑖∗ 1+𝑖 𝑁 𝑖∗ 1+𝑖 𝑖∗ 1+𝑖
period with an assumed interest rate of 7%?
𝑁
1+𝑖 −1] + 1+𝑖 𝑁−1 1+𝑖 𝑁 −1
F = [A0* [𝐴 ∗ ] = 𝐴𝑜 + 𝐴 ∗
𝑖 𝑖 𝑖
37 38
Cont… Cont…
Solution: 2. An engineer is planning for a 15-year retirement. In
order to supplement his pension and offset the
anticipated effects of inflation, he intends to withdraw
$5000 at the end of the first year, and to increase the
withdrawal by $1000 at the end of each successive year.
How much money must the engineer have in his savings
account at the start of his retirement, if money earns 6%
1+𝑖 𝑁 −𝑖𝑁−1 per year, compounded annually?
F=G*
𝑖2∗( 1+𝑖 𝑁
1.075− 0.07∗5 −1
𝐹 = 1200 ∗ = 9,176
0.072∗1.075
39 40
Cont…
Solution:
41 42
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𝑃 = 106,115.8
43 44
45 46
Cont… Cont…
O Effective interest rate (ieff) is the rate at which the For example:
interest over “N” periods is obtained. The annual interest rate is 6%, and the interest is
O The total Interest (I) gained over “N” periods is: compounded quarterly.
𝐼 = 𝐹𝑁 − 𝑃 = 𝑃 1 + 𝑖𝑁𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑁 − 𝑃 = 𝑃𝑖𝑒𝑓𝑓 What is the quarterly nominal interest rate?
𝑁 What is the effective annual interest rate if compounded
𝐼 = 𝑃 1 + 𝑖𝑁𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 − 1 = 𝑃𝑖𝑒𝑓𝑓
quarterly?
Solution:
O From the above equation, the interest rate over “N” 6%
periods is: 𝑖𝑁𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 = = 1.5%
4
𝑁
ieff = 𝑃 1+𝑖𝑁𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 −𝑃 = (1 + 𝑖𝑁𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙)𝑁 − 1
𝑃 i𝑒𝑓𝑓 = 1 + 0.015 4 − 1 = 6.13%
47 48
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𝑖𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙
𝑖𝑒𝑓𝑓 = lim 1+ 𝑁 −1
𝑁→∞ 𝑁
49 𝑖𝑒𝑓𝑓 = 𝑒𝑖 𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 − 1 50
1 + 𝑖𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑁𝑀 −1
𝐹 =𝐴∗
51 𝑖𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 52
Example
An engineer wishes to purchase an $80 000 home by Solution:
making a down payment of $20 000 and borrowing the 𝑖𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑖
remaining $60 000, which he will repay on a monthly ∗ 1 + 𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑀𝑁
𝐴=𝑃∗ 𝑀 𝑖 𝑀
basis over the next 30 years. If the bank charges interest 1+ 𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙
𝑀𝑁 − 1
𝑀
at the rate of 9.5% per year, compounded monthly, how
much money must the engineer repay each month?
Solution: 0.095 0.095 12 ∗ 30
∗ 1+
12 12
𝐴 = 60,000 ∗ 0.095 ∗
1+ 12 30 − 1
12
𝑨 = 𝟓𝟎𝟒. 𝟓𝟏
53 54
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55 56
Example Solution
A person has $4000 in a savings account at the To find the balance in the account at the end of the
beginning of a calendar year; the bank pays interest at calendar year, we calculate the nominal interest rate,
6% per year, compounded quarterly. The following table 6%/4 = 1.5% per quarter. Then, lumping the amounts at
shows the transactions carried out during the calendar the effective dates and applying, we obtain:
year; the second column gives the effective dates
according to rules 1 and 2 above.
Quarter Effective Date Deposite Withdrawal
Jan 1-Jan 175
Feb 31-Mar 1200
Mar 1-Apr 1500
Apr 1-Apr 50
May 1-Apr 250
Jun 30-Jun 65
Jul 30-Jun 115
Aug 1-Jul 800
Sep 30-Sep 1600
Oct 1-Oct 350
Nov 1-Oct 750
Dec 31-Dec 2300 59 60
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Cont…
𝐹 = 𝑃(1 + 𝑖𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙)𝑁
𝐹= 4000 − 175 ∗ 1.015 4 + 1200 − 1800 ∗ 1.015 3 + 180 − 800 ∗ 1.015 2
61
𝑭 = 𝟓𝟔𝟎𝟏. 𝟐𝟏
11