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Wevj 03 00531 PDF
Wevj 03 00531 PDF
EVS24
Stavanger, Norway, May 13-16, 2009
Abstract
This study is carried out in the framework of SUCCESS (Smaller Urban Communities in CIVITAS for
Environmentally Sustainable Solutions), an European project funded by the European Commission under
the CIVITAS program. These demonstration projects provide a means of testing out a wide range of
projects in a number of cities and the results of the evaluation will assist in showing which were successful,
in what way and how that was achieved. One of these projects is the car-sharing implementation. Car-
sharing is defined as a self service which allows to each subscriber for reaching a vehicle, for the duration
and the way of his choice. In the current state, where the impacts of the pollution and the congestion of
cities are increasingly acute, the car-sharing service can be an attractive complement for other means of
transportation. For it, this type of service must ensure a high level of temporal and spatial availability. For
the managers of a car-sharing service it means an efficient management of the existing system and for the
local authorities it means the study of the opportunities of its extension. This work proposes to the decision
makers an approach of aid to the extension of the service based on the modeling of the preferences of the
potential users.
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that Discrete MDCM (Multi Criteria Decision of up-scaling principle is presented in section 3.
Making) methods help decision makers to judge Section 4 proposes a method to collect data, to
the suitability of specific sites but they do not model the preferences of potential subscribers
specify a search procedure for identifying the living or working in the selected area. The final
best sites from a given choice set. section outlines the conclusions and the
Optimization approaches are mostly involved in perspectives of our works.
hierarchical site selection procedure and in this
kind of procedure all locations are evaluated as 2 Car-sharing in medium sized
groups, according to different levels of criteria
group [3]. cities
Criteria such as the demographic level, the
number of attractiveness points have been 2.1 SUCCESS project
originally tested in past work by using the AHP This study is carried out in the framework of
method [4], [5]. We consider that several SUCCESS (Smaller Urban Communities in
locations are pre-selected. CIVITAS for Environmentally Sustainable
Now the problem of the local authorities is a Solutions, July 2005–December 2008) an
classification problem in order to choose European project funded by the European
locations and to calibrate the stations in Commission under the CIVITAS program [6].
agreement with the number of the potential users. Three cities (Ploiesti-Romania, Preston-UK, La
A solution could be to understand and to exploit Rochelle-France) must implemented, tested and
customer’s preferences, even in a fuzzy manner, evaluated particular actions. There are 56 actions
in order to anticipate customers’ needs. Our work such as the introduction of LPG (liquefied
is focused in the development of a methodology petroleum gas) buses, the implantation of a park-
to aid decision makers for classifying locations ride service, the car-sharing or bike-sharing, the
for the car-sharing stations. information systems, access controlled areas, etc.
This paper is organized as follows: section 2 The actions to carry out are distributed in the Work
presents the framework of this work. The interest Packages (WP) (see Fig.1).
W P 5 C lean an d
en e rg y effic ie n t
veh icles
E nviro nm ental im p acts
asses sm ent
W P1 2 T elem atics B us & collectiv e tra nsp orts
W P 6 Ac cess
Light v ehic les m a n agem en t
Integration str ateg y Ince ntive m eas ures
C ook ing oil rec ycling D evelop S trolling zon es
Integra tion architec tur e Im p rov e traffic reg ulation
D e velo pm e nt of S pecific bu s ac cess
Integra ted tran s port P rom ote sp ace sh arin g
M ngt S yst .
Telem atic s
W P 10 G o o d s W P8 S im u latio n o f
d istrib u tion c o llective tra n sp o rt
m odes
C ity L ogistic s s trateg y
S ervic es developm e nt Im p rov e intercon ne ctio n &
A rea e xtens ion W P 9 N ew fo rm s o f interoperability
C ity lo gistic m a na gem e nt veh icle u se an d Infrastructure im provem e nt
s ystem s Info rm ation & prom otio n
ow n ersh ip
P rom ote lo gistics Technic al d evelopm e nts
N e w c ar s ha ring fle ets
B ik e sharing s ystem
P rom ote sh aring
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The system was devised by a grouping set up Extension over the city needed to increase
jointly by La Rochelle Urban Community, VIA subscriptions and usage of vehicles.
GTI, PSA Peugeot Citroën, Alcatel CGA Furthermore, it turned out that the current
Transport. equipment (software, control system) do not
This type of service is generally organized as provide a sufficient quality of services.
follows: Within CIVITAS-SUCCESS, the Urban
Human resources: the manager of the system Community took the opportunity to strongly
supervises the activity of 2 commercials (persons change/improve the car-sharing system (see
in charge of relations with the subscribers) and of http://www.comox.fr/1/101.aspx).
5 workmen (jockeys) ensuring balance between - Several improvements have been implemented
the stations, maintenance operations such as the thanks to the introduction of a new supervision
battery load of electric vehicles, the process of system EILEO (based on GPRS localization) and
cleaning, repairs, the follow-up of the Technical to the adaptation of standard software to the
Control. specific requirements of LISELEC.
Users: The customers of the service are citizens - In addition, new services are available for the
who subscribe a subscription to use a car. The subscribers like: access to a 24/7 hotline available
customers and the jockeys receive a smart card not only by phone but also directly from the cars
which gives them the possibility of using the car (including real time route guidance), Internet
according to authorizations. booking facilities, newsletters for subscribers.
Technical resources: the service offers 50 electric
cars adapted to the urban traffic and for short
trips. The electric cars are distributed in several
stations located in the strategic points of the city.
The number of places by stations can vary
between 8 and 18. An information processing
system is embedded in each vehicle to provide
the interface between driver (jockey or customer)
and vehicle. It memorizes information (e.g. hour
of loan or hour of restitution, user ID, kilometer
numbers, load state of the Ni-Cd batteries). Data
are transmitted by frequency channel to an
information processing system located on each Figure4: Actors and interrelations of LISELEC
station; the system sends through a phone line to Results are globally positive. Fig.5 and Fig.6 show
the central post. The control post can emit alarms the gain in fuel consumption attributed to the use
according to various criteria; for example if the of the system car sharing. The algorithm to
number of cars available in a station is lower compute the gain in fuel consumption/month and
than two, or in the event of non-payment of NOx saved is based on the COPERT III
subscription. This system manages all methodology.
information about the car fleet and customers; it
can act on the availability of cars such as holding 0,8
a car for maintenance actions. 0,7
fuel benefit
0,4
Since 1999, LISELEC has been entirely managed
by the La Rochelle Urban Community, which 0,3
03_07
05_07
07_07
09_07
11_07
01_08
03_08
05_08
07_08
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3,00E-03
03_07
05_07
07_07
09_07
11_07
01_08
03_08
05_08
07_08
m onth purpose of consuming infrastructure services or
when infrastructure services are distributed by the
Figure6: Gain in NOx (per month in tons): suppliers to the locations of users. A dedicated
july 2007 – august 2008 approach has been designed for La Rochelle. This
More than 40 % of people without subscribtion method is based on a multi criteria analysis and
pointed out the fact that stations were not takes into account not only the demography but
implemented near their residencies. also economic activities (see Fig.7).
3 Extension of car-sharing in
medium sized cities
3.1 Up-scaling of LISELEC service
Main objective of SUCCESS is to propose to
decision-makers approaches and tools in order to
ensure successfully the transfer of these
innovative projects at large scale or in other
European cities.
Up-scaling provides an estimate of what the
impacts of a measure (or group of measures) Figure7: Location of the existing (in blue) and future
stations (in red)
would be if it was implemented fully throughout
the city. It provides guidance to the city about Now the problem is the classification of the
further deployment and to other cities in Europe stations, in agreement with the needs of potential
which may consider implementation of the users. The efficiency of this type of service
measure(s). strongly depends on the use rate.
For the car-sharing service in La Rochelle,
several studies were conducted: 4 Proposal of one approach to
- simpler pricing strategy to meet as much as
possible the customer’s needs: adapted pricing select new Liselec stations
offer distinguishing “one way” and ”return” trips;
subscriptions for short or long duration, in 4.1 Choice of a method to model the
connection with other transport modes of La preferences
Rochelle Urban Community, In general, travellers will choice the action that
- integration of the LISELEC ticketing system in maximizes their perceived utilities.
the global ticketing system of the public transport For local travellers, behavioural models are
network, typically calibrated by using the observed
- extension of the station number and creation of preferences. But the database must be exhaustive
a virtual station mode for the whole hyper centre in order to capture significant statistical
of the city. information. The observed preferences are not
useful when the number of customers is lower than
3.2 Extension of the car-sharing 300 subscribers for the small cities. For it, we
service considered that in our case, the modelling of the
Several approaches have been developed to stated preferences remains the most efficient tool.
implement car sharing systems. One of the most Many techniques of advanced behavioural
well known comes from the MOSES project but modelling have been developed past years in order
to integrate the heterogeneity of preferences [13].
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For several years, a new generation models based 4.2.1 Step 1: Modelling of preferences
on fuzzy logic [14] have been developed in order The database will be collected by stated
to capture the inherent vagueness in human preferences of people living in the proximity of
perception and appreciation of attributes of trip pre-selected locations for the car-sharing stations.
chain. The experiences with the application of The decision criteria for locating car-sharing
fuzzy logic in traffic engineering seem beneficial stations were selected by literature review on car
to a number of applications, especially in the parks [17]. The retained input variables and which
human choice and decision processes (see [15] will be fuzzified (trapezoidal form) are: price of
for a state of art). The difficulty of this method is subscription/month (A), home-station walking
to establish the decision rules IF-THEN. distance (B), average length of the travel (C) and
Theoretically, an ideal approach is to consider all number of persons in the car (D). Each input
the combinations of the variable levels, but that variable has 3 levels: low, intermediate, high. The
leads to an exhaustive explosion of number of expected response is a score (range 1 to 9 in our
rules. In our case, that would lead to a very high case, in order to illustrate the interest for the
number of questions to submit to the subscribers. displacement by using the car-sharing service).
Let us suppose a questionnaire to examine the Two modalities exist for the output variable
effects of the variation of 5 input variables, each (response).
one on 2 levels. In this case, 32 questions would To collect the preferences of users, a method
be necessary for this kind of analysis. generally employed for optimisation of industrial
process has been used in order to reduce the
4.2 Steps of the selection approach number of scenarios to test. This approach is
Fig.8 presents the main steps for the extension of organised in two steps:
the car-sharing service. Next paragraphs will • Collection of preferences for a part of
present briefly the mathematical approach for the scenario:
modelling of preferences and estimation of the An orthogonal factorial design is a subset of a
use rate (see our previous works [16]). complete array [18]. To study jointly the effects of
the criteria and the interactions, the questionnaire
must contain particular combinations: each level of
each criterion must be present in an equal number
of times as well as each combination between the
levels of two distinct criteria. In each scenario, the
simultaneous variation of several criteria in input
can lead to interactive effects on the studied
answer. An interaction between criteria exists;
when the effect of a criterion depends on the level
of another criterion (for example a low price and a
Figure8: Main steps of our approach low distance could have a positive impact on the
perception of the choice of this trip).
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Table1 shows 3 scenarios tested among nine. For θ be a finite set of mutually exclusive and
example, the first question is: “IF the price is exhaustive hypotheses Hi, called the frame of
low, IF the distance is low,…THEN my answer discernment.
is 9/9”. The answer is a score in the interval 1-9
(and translates, in the growing direction, the
{
θ = H1 , H 2 , } (2)
degree of interest for the use of a car-sharing). θ
The power set 2 contains singletons hypothesis as
well as disjunctions of singletons. A Basic Belief
• Modelling of preferences for untested Assignment (BBA) is a function called mass ( m )
scenario: θ
In order to establish the scores for all the from 2 to [0,1] verifying:
untested scenarios, we used the principles of the
models of discrete choices [Ben-Akiva1999]. In
m:2 Θ [ ]
→ 0 ,1 ; ( m A) = 1
general, travellers will choose the action that A∈2Θ (3)
maximizes their perceived utilities. It represents the belief exactly associated to the
The utility function is the sum of two hypothesis A. The subsets A of θ, such that
components: m(A)>0, are called the focal elements. In fact, if
U in = S in +ε in (1) the power set contains only the singletons, the
Sin, a deterministic part is related to the mass is the classic probability.
characteristics of the alternative I (in our case Let be a finite set of hypotheses mutually
called score); exclusive and exhaustive called the frame of
discernment. In our case = {Not interested, Very
εin is a random variable of unknown value, interested}. Generally the mass assignment is the
which reflects the particular opinions (not most critical stage and it depends on the
measured) of each person, as well as the application domain.
observation or errors of measurement made on In our case, the mass assignment is based on the
the characteristics explicitly taken into account in frequentist analysis. By using results of
Sin . behavioural models, for a given station Si we can
Each customer has his own model. Thus one obtain, for the tested scenario: n% persons for «
obtains, with only 9 questions, the set of 81 rules very interested »; p % for « not interested »; and
IF-THEN to prepare the table of inference for q% for «undecided».
each customer. For all scenarios, the manager is The mass assignment is m (very interested) = n; m
able to know which could be the potential (not interested) =p; m (undecided) = q. Beliefs are
attitude of each subscriber: The variables are transformed into a probability measure denoted
fuzzified (trapezoidal form), inference table is BetP [22] which is defined as:
used in order to estimate the variable output, in A∩B (4)
our case the preference degree, in fuzzy form. BetP( A) = × mB ∀A ⊆ Ω
For the variable output, two levels have been B⊆Ω B
defined: very interested and not interested. |B| denotes the cardinality of the set B.
After the application of the fuzzy logic, for each For each station we will compute a utility function
respondent, we can have 2 different situations: as proposed in [23]:
- the person is decided (the membership degree is m
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Authors
Luminita Ion is a doctor in Physical
Sciences. Since 1997, she has been
testing different approaches for
modeling the complex systems (design
of experiments, data fusion, multi
criteria analysis) in battery tests and
urban transport field. Member of the
CIVITAS project, she studies impacts
and new measures to improve the
people mobility in sustainable cities.
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