−

X y X2 X3 X4 X* y X2*y y2
0,75 10 0,5625 0,421875 0,31640625 7,5 5,625 100
1,66 20 2,7556 4,574296 7,59333136 33,2 55,112 400
2,71 30 7,3441 19,902511 53,93580481 81,3 220,323 900
3,81 40 14,5161 55,306341 210,7171592 152,4 580,644 1600
4,89 50 23,9121 116,930169 571,7885264 244,5 1195,605 2500
6,11 60 37,3321 228,099131 1393,68569 366,6 2239,926 3600
7,18 70 51,5524 370,146232 2657,649946 502,6 3608,668 4900
8,28 80 68,5584 567,663552 4700,254211 662,4 5484,672 6400
9,43 90 88,9249 838,561807 7907,63784 848,7 8003,241 8100
10,56 100 111,5136 1177,583616 12435,28298 1056 11151,36 10000
∑= ∑= ∑= ∑=
∑ = 55,38 ∑ = 550 406,9718 3379,18953 29938,86189974 ∑ = 3955,2 32545,176 ∑ = 38500

Análisis de regresión lineal

∑ 𝑋 𝑖 = 55,38 ∑ 𝑋𝑖𝑌𝑖 = 3955,2 ∑ 𝑋𝑖 2 = 406,9718 ∑ 𝑌𝑖 = 550 N = 10

-∑ 𝑌 + (𝑎1)(𝑁) + (𝑎2)(∑ 𝑋) = 0

− ∑ 𝑋𝑌 + 𝑎1(∑ 𝑋) + 𝑎2(∑ 𝑋 2 = 0

−550 + 10𝑎1 + 55,38𝑎2 = 0

−3955,2 + 55,538𝑎1 + 406,9718𝑎2 = 0

𝑎1 = 55 – 5,538𝑎2

−3955,2 + (55 − 5,538𝑎2)(55,538) + 406,9718𝑎2 = 0

𝑎2 = 9,060
𝑎1 = 55 – (9,060)(5,538)
𝑎1 = 4,824
LA RECTA QUE MEJOR SE AJUSTA A LOS DATOS ES

𝑌(𝑋) = 4,824 + 9,060𝑋

ANÁLISIS DE REGRESIÓN LINEAL

120

100 y = 9.06x + 4.824

80

60

40

20

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Error porcentual de ajuste

∑ 𝑒2
𝔳=√
𝑁−𝑀

Yi 𝑦 = 𝑎1 + 𝑎2𝑥 𝑒 2 = (𝑌𝑖 − 𝑦)2

10 (4,824) +(9,060)(0,75) (10-11,619)^2 = 2,621
=11,619
20 (4,824) +(9,060)(1,66) = (20+19,864)^2 =0,018
19,864
30 (4,824) +(9,060)(2,71) (30+29,377)^2 = 0,388
=29,377
40 (4,824) +(9,060)(3,81) = (40+39,343)^2 =0,432
39,343
50 (4,824) +(9,060)(4,89) (50+49,127)^2 =0,762
=49,127
60 (4,824) +(9,060)(6,11) = (60-60,181)^2 =0,033
60,181
70 (4,824) +(9,060) (7,18) = (70-69,875)^2 =0,016
69,875
80 (4,824) +(9,060) (8,28) (80-79,841)^2 =0,025
=79,841
90 (4,824) +(9,060)(9,43) = (90-90,259)^2 =0,067
90,259
100 (4,824) +(9,060)(10,56) = (100-100,498)^2 = 0,248
100,4976
∑ 𝑒 2 = 4,61

4,61
𝔬=√
8

𝔬 = 0,759
 COMPARACIÓN METODO GRÁFICO CON ANALISÍS DE REGRESIÓN LINEAL

COMPARACIÓN
120

100

80

60

40

20

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Y=9,0678X + 4,7822 Y = 9,06X + 4,824 Linear (Y=9,0678X + 4,7822)