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Analisis Frekuensi
Analisis Frekuensi
Jumlah Data N 10
Nilai Rata-rata µ 104.238
Standar Deviasi σ 31.035
4
5
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Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata Prosentase Error Uji Kec
Distribusi Normal Dist
P T
1000 75.8
200 70.1
100 67.4
50 64.3
25 59.7
10 55.8
5 50.9
2 41.6
interpolasi Tr
20.000 1.280
11.000 1.280
10.000 1.280
10.000 1.280
5.500 0.884
5.000 0.840
10.000 1.280
3.667 0.723
5.000 0.840
5.000 0.840
2.750 0.409
3.330 0.520
4.000 0.670
2.200 0.166
2.500 0.250
4.000 0.670
1.833 0.063
2.500 0.250
2.500 0.250
1.571 -0.214
2.000 0.000
5.000 0.840
1.375 -1.465
1.100 -1.640
1.800 -0.250
1.222 -0.672
1.430 -0.520
1.670 -0.250
1.100 -0.891
1.430 -0.520
1.500 -0.520
#REF! #REF!
1.330 -0.670
1.400 -0.670
#REF! #REF!
1.250 -0.840
1.250 -0.840
#REF! #REF!
1.110 -1.280
1.200 -1.280
#REF! #REF!
1.050 -1.640
1.100 -1.640
#REF! #REF!
1.050 -1.640
Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
Distribusi Normal
Tr KTr Rmax-aktualRmax-prediksi(Selisih)2
d Peluang
1.0000 0.999
1.1638 0.995
1.3497 0.990
1.5340 0.950
1.5853 0.940
1.7634 0.800
1.9249 0.750
CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN
Jumlah Data N 10
Nilai Rata-rata µ 1.998
Standar Deviasi σ 0.135
Koefisien Kepencengan Cs 0.000
RTr (mm/hr)
99.48
129.25
148.25
165.86
188.47
205.66
222.33
260.64
1 20.000 1.280
11.000 1.280
10.000 1.280
2 10.000 1.280
5.500 0.884
5.000 0.840
3 6.000 0.840
3.667 0.840
5.000 0.840
4 4.500 0.670
2.750 0.446
3.330 0.520
5 3.330 0.520
2.200 0.152
2.500 0.250
6 3.330 0.520
1.833 0.033
2.500 0.250
7 2.500 0.250
1.571 -0.214
2.000 0.000
8 3.000 0.250
1.375 -1.366
1.100 -1.640
9 1.800 -0.250
1.222 -0.672
1.430 -0.520
Sampel Yn Sn Sampel Yn Sn
10 0.4952 0.9496 10 0.4952 0.9496
11 0.4996 0.9676 11 0.4996 0.9676
12 0.5035 0.9833 12 0.5035 0.9833
13 0.5070 0.9971 13 0.5070 0.9971
14 0.5100 1.0095 14 0.5100 1.0095
15 0.5128 1.0206 15 0.5128 1.0206
16 0.5157 1.0316 16 0.5157 1.0316
17 0.5181 1.0411 17 0.5181 1.0411
18 0.5202 1.0493 18 0.5202 1.0493
19 0.5220 1.0565 19 0.5220 1.0565
20 0.5236 1.0628 20 0.5236 1.0628
21 0.5252 1.0696 21 0.5252 1.0696
22 0.5268 1.0754 22 0.5268 1.0754
23 0.5283 1.0811 23 0.5283 1.0811
24 0.5296 1.0864 24 0.5296 1.0864
25 0.5309 1.0915 25 0.5309 1.0915
26 0.5320 1.0861 26 0.5320 1.0861
27 0.5332 1.1004 27 0.5332 1.1004
28 0.5343 1.1047 28 0.5343 1.1047
29 0.5353 1.1086 29 0.5353 1.1086
30 0.5362 1.1124 30 0.5362 1.1124
31 0.5371 1.1159 31 0.5371 1.1159
32 0.5380 1.1193 32 0.5380 1.1193
33 0.5388 1.1226 33 0.5388 1.1226
34 0.5396 1.1255 34 0.5396 1.1255
35 0.5402 1.1287 35 0.5402 1.1287
36 0.5410 1.1313 36 0.5410 1.1313
37 0.5418 1.1339 37 0.5418 1.1339
38 0.5424 1.1363 38 0.5424 1.1363
39 0.5430 1.1388 39 0.5430 1.1388
40 0.5436 1.1413 40 0.5436 1.1413
41 0.5442 1.1436 41 0.5442 1.1436
42 0.5448 1.1458 42 0.5448 1.1458
43 0.5453 1.1480 43 0.5453 1.1480
44 0.5458 1.1499 44 0.5458 1.1499
45 0.5463 1.1519 45 0.5463 1.1519
46 0.5468 1.1538 46 0.5468 1.1538
47 0.5473 1.1557 47 0.5473 1.1557
48 0.5477 1.1574 48 0.5477 1.1574
49 0.5481 1.1590 49 0.5481 1.1590
50 0.5485 1.1607 50 0.5485 1.1607
51 0.5489 1.1623 51 0.5489 1.1623
52 0.5493 1.1638 52 0.5493 1.1638
53 0.5497 1.1658 53 0.5497 1.1658
54 0.5501 1.1667 54 0.5501 1.1667
55 0.5504 1.1681 55 0.5504 1.1681
56 0.5508 1.1696
57 0.5511 1.1708
58 0.5515 1.1721
59 0.5519 1.1734
60 0.5521 1.1747
61 0.5524 1.1759
62 0.5527 1.1770
63 0.5530 1.1782
64 0.5533 1.1793
65 0.5535 1.1803
66 0.5538 1.1814
67 0.5540 1.1824
68 0.5543 1.1834
69 0.5545 1.1844
70 0.5548 1.1854
71 0.5550 1.1854
72 0.5552 1.1873
73 0.5555 1.1881
74 0.5557 1.1890
75 0.5559 1.1898
76 0.5561 1.1906
77 0.5563 1.1915
78 0.5565 1.1923
79 0.5567 1.1930
80 0.5569 1.1938
81 0.5570 1.1945
82 0.5572 1.1953
83 0.5574 1.1959
84 0.5576 1.1967
85 0.5578 1.1973
86 0.5580 1.1987
87 0.5581 1.1987
88 0.5583 1.1994
89 0.5583 1.2001
90 0.5586 1.2007
91 0.5587 1.2013
92 0.5589 1.2020
93 0.5591 1.2026
94 0.5592 1.2032
95 0.5593 1.2038
96 0.5595 1.2044
97 0.5596 1.2049
98 0.5598 1.2055
99 0.5599 1.2060
100 0.5600 1.2065
Yn & Sn Distribusi Gumbel
Sampel Yn Sn
56 0.5508 1.1696
57 0.5511 1.1708
58 0.5515 1.1721
59 0.5519 1.1734
60 0.5521 1.1747
61 0.5524 1.1759
62 0.5527 1.1770
63 0.5530 1.1782
64 0.5533 1.1793
65 0.5535 1.1803
66 0.5538 1.1814
67 0.5540 1.1824
68 0.5543 1.1834
69 0.5545 1.1844
70 0.5548 1.1854
71 0.5550 1.1854
72 0.5552 1.1873
73 0.5555 1.1881
74 0.5557 1.1890
75 0.5559 1.1898
76 0.5561 1.1906
77 0.5563 1.1915
78 0.5565 1.1923
79 0.5567 1.1930
80 0.5569 1.1938
81 0.5570 1.1945
82 0.5572 1.1953
83 0.5574 1.1959
84 0.5576 1.1967
85 0.5578 1.1973
86 0.5580 1.1987
87 0.5581 1.1987
88 0.5583 1.1994
89 0.5583 1.2001
90 0.5586 1.2007
91 0.5587 1.2013
92 0.5589 1.2020
93 0.5591 1.2026
94 0.5592 1.2032
95 0.5593 1.2038
96 0.5595 1.2044
97 0.5596 1.2049
98 0.5598 1.2055
99 0.5599 1.2060
100 0.5600 1.2065
CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN
Jumlah Data N
Jumlah Nilai Data ∑Rmax
Nilai Rata-rata µ
Jumlah Selisih Dengan Mean Pangkat Dua ∑(R max - µ) 2
Standar Deviasi S
Koefisien Yn (Reduced Mean) Yn
Koefisien Sn (Seduced Standar Deviasi) Sn
Tr (thn) Y Tr K R Tr (mm)
0.7
0.95
0.825
rata Prosentase Error Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
si Gumbel Distribusi Gumbel
66.53
6.21
0.16
90.91
0.00
58.28
4.93
78.17
3.25
4.20
312.63
10.00
5.89
Harga KTr Metode Pearson III dan Log Pearson III
C Probability (%)
Cs 50 20 10 4 2 1
200 1000
0.5 0.1
0.667 0.668
0.690 0.695
0.714 0.722
0.741 0.748
0.769 0.775
0.800 0.802
0.833 0.838
1.869 0.874
0.907 0.910
0.949 0.955
0.995 1.000
1.044 1.065
1.097 1.130
1.155 1.205
1.216 1.280
1.282 1.373
1.351 1.465
1.424 1.545
1.501 1.625
1.581 1.713
1.664 1.800
1.749 1.910
1.837 2.035
1.926 2.150
2.016 2.275
2.108 2.400
2.201 2.540
2.294 2.675
2.388 2.810
2.482 2.950
2.576 3.090
2.670 3.235
2.763 3.380
2.856 3.525
2.949 3.670
3.041 3.815
3.132 3.960
3.223 4.105
3.312 4.250
3.401 4.395
3.489 4.540
3.575 4.680
3.661 4.820
3.745 4.965
3.828 5.110
3.910 5.250
3.990 5.390
4.069 5.525
4.147 5.660
4.223 5.785
4.298 5.910
4.372 6.055
4.444 6.200
4.515 6.333
4.584 6.467
4.652 6.600
4.718 6.730
4.847 6.860
4.783 6.990
4.909 7.120
4.970 7.250
CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN
No. Tahun No. Urut Rmax (mm/hr) Rmax-urut (mm/hr) (Rmax - µ)3
Jumlah Data N 10
Jumlah Nilai Data ∑Rmax 1042.375
Nilai Rata-rata µ 104.238
Standar Deviasi S 32.714
Koefisien Kemencengan CS 0.291
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Interpolasi
5.0
Cs 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 1000 4.5
0.200 -0.033 0.830 1.301 1.818 2.159 2.472 2.763 3.380 4.0
3.5 f(x) = 0.5
0.291 -0.048 0.825 1.308 1.846 2.206 2.537 2.847 3.511
KTr
3.0 R² = 0.9
0.300 -0.050 0.824 1.309 1.849 2.211 2.544 2.856 3.525 2.5
2.0
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5 0 100
Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata Prosentase Error Uji Kec
Distribusi Pearson Type III Distribus
3.0 R² = 0.9754160321
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
Tr
Jumlah Data
Jumlah Nilai 'logRmax'
Nilai Rata-rata 'logRmax' (mean)
2 0.138 2.0174
5 0.855 2.1197
10 1.233 2.1737
25 1.612 2.2278
50 1.843 2.2608
100 2.041 2.2890
200 2.216 2.3140
1000 2.562 2.3634
Hujan Rencana
earson Type III
0.04259842 0.00879205
0.02677866 0.00438211
0.01125245 0.00119363
0.00055052 0.00001292
0.00043557 0.00000909
0.00022834 0.00000345
0.00233638 -0.00011293
0.00338804 -0.00019721
0.02946418 -0.00505757
0.06623595 -0.01704671
N 10
∑logRmax 19.977 k 1.606
logRmax 1.998 Rata-rata 1.998
∑(logRmax - logRmax)2
0.183
Slog 0.143
∑(logRmax - logRmax)3 -0.008
CS -0.383
Interpolasi
RTr (mm) Cs 2 5 10 25
-0.300 0.500 0.853 1.245 1.643
104.10 -0.383 0.138 0.855 1.233 1.612
131.73 -0.400 0.066 0.855 1.231 1.606
149.18
168.96 4 5 6 7
182.29 5.00 0.616 0 2
194.55 2.50 0.138 0 0.1381
206.07 1.67
230.88 1.25
Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata Prosentase Error
Distribusi Log Pearson Type III
3.0
1.843 2.041 2.216 2.562 2.5 f(x) = 0.3752630132 ln(x) + 0.223641648
1.834 2.029 2.201 2.540 R² = 0.9384666746
2.0
8 9 10 11 1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
Tr
Hubungan KTrDengan Tr
Distribusi Log Pearson Type I I
se Error Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
III Distribusi Log Pearson Type III
III
Hubungan KTrDengan Tr
Distribusi Log Pearson Type I I
CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN
250 245.65
221.60
104.24
100104.10
99.80
50
Normal Gum bel Pearson III
0
TR02 TR05 TR10 TR25 TR50 TR100
Periode Ulang
250
200
150
100
Tr2 Tr5 Tr10 Tr25 Tr50 Tr100
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Normal Gumbel Log Pearson III
C u r a h H u ja n R e n c a n a ( m m / h r )
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
TR02 TR05 TR10 TR25 TR50 TR100
Periode Ulang
Normal Gumbel Pearson Type III Log Pearson Type III
Tabel 2.8. Harga X2 kritis untuk Uji Chi - Square
x2
Derajat Kepercayaan (α)
Dk
0.995 0.990 0.975 0.950 0.050 0.025 0.010 0.005
1 0.000039 0.000157 0.000982 0.00393 3.841 5.024 6.635 7.879
2 0.010 0.020 0.051 0.103 5.991 7.378 9.210 10.597
3 0.072 0.115 0.216 0.352 7.815 9.248 11.345 12.838
4 0.201 0.297 0.484 0.711 9.488 11.143 13.277 14.860
5 0.412 0.540 0.831 1.145 11.010 12.832 15.086 16.750
6 0.676 0.872 1.237 1.635 12.592 14.449 16.812 18.548
7 0.989 1.239 1.690 2.167 14.067 16.013 18.475 20.278
8 1.344 1.646 2.180 2.733 15.507 17.535 20.090 21.955
9 1.735 2.088 2.700 3.325 16.919 19.023 21.666 23.589
10 2.156 2.558 3.247 3.940 18.307 20.483 23.209 25.188
11 2.603 3.053 3.816 4.575 19.675 21.920 24.725 26.757
12 3.074 3.571 4.404 5.226 21.026 23.337 26.217 28.300
13 3.565 4.107 5.009 5.892 22.362 24.736 27.688 29.819
14 4.075 4.660 5.629 6.571 23.685 26.119 29.141 31.319
15 4.601 5.229 6.262 7.261 24.996 27.488 30.758 32.801
16 5.124 5.812 6.908 7.962 26.296 28.845 32.000 34.267
17 5.697 6.408 7.564 8.672 27.587 30.191 33.409 35.718
18 6.265 7.015 8.231 9.360 28.869 31.526 34.805 37.756
19 6.844 7.633 8.907 10.117 30.144 32.852 36.191 38.582
20 7.434 8.260 9.591 10.851 31.410 34.170 37.566 39.997
21 8.034 8.897 10.283 11.591 32.671 35.479 38.932 40.401
22 8.643 9.542 10.982 12.338 33.924 36.781 40.289 42.796
23 9.260 10.196 11.689 13.091 36.172 38.076 41.683 44.181
24 9.886 18.856 12.401 13.949 36.415 39.364 42.980 45.558
25 10.520 11.524 13.120 14.611 37.652 40.646 44.314 46.928
26 11.160 12.198 13.844 15.379 38.885 41.923 45.642 48.290
27 11.808 12.879 14.573 16.151 40.113 43.194 46.963 49.645
28 12.461 13.565 15.308 16.928 41.337 44.461 48.278 50.993
29 13.121 14.256 16.047 17.708 42.557 45.722 49.588 52.336
30 13.787 14.953 16.791 18.493 43.773 46.979 50.892 53.672
a
0.200 0.100 0.050 0.010
n
5 0.45 0.51 0.56 0.67
10 0.32 0.37 0.41 0.49
15 0.27 0.30 0.34 0.40
20 0.23 0.26 0.29 0.36
25 0.21 0.24 0.27 0.32
30 0.19 0.22 0.24 0.29
35 0.18 0.20 0.23 0.27
40 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.25
45 0.16 0.18 0.20 0.24
50 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.23
Periode Ulang
ytr yn Sn Sx
T (tahun)
5.00 1.4999 0.4952 0.9496 32.71
2.50 0.6717 0.4952 0.9496 32.71
1.67 0.0874 0.4952 0.9496 32.71
1.25 -0.4759 0.4952 0.9496 32.71
UJI CHI-SQUARE ( x2)
Tabel 4.14. Perhitungan Nilai Batas Dari Masing-Masing Sub-Kelompok untuk Distribu
Periode Ulang
Variabel Gauss k Sx Xa Xt
T (tahun)
5.00 0.84 32.71 104.24 131.72
2.50 0.25 32.71 104.24 112.42
1.67 -0.25 32.71 104.24 96.06
1.2500 -0.84 32.71 104.24 76.76
TABEL REDUKSI GAUSS
Periode Peluang
k
Ulang, T P=1/T
Return Variabel Gauss,
Period k 1.001 0.999 -3.05
1.005 0.995 -2.58
2 0.00 1.01 0.990 -2.33
5 0.84 1.05 0.952 -1.64
10 1.28 1.11 0.901 -1.28
20 1.64 1.25 0.800 -0.84
25 1.71 1.33 0.752 -0.67
50 2.05 1.43 0.699 -0.52
100 2.33 1.67 0.599 -0.25
200 2.58 2 0.500 0
500 2.88 2.5 0.400 0.25
1000 3.09 3.33 0.300 0.52
4 0.250 0.67
5 0.200 0.84
10 0.100 1.28
20 0.050 1.64
50 0.020 2.05
100 0.010 2.33
200 0.005 2.58
500 0.002 2.88
1000 0.001 3.09
T k
Perhitungan Nilai Batas Dari Masing-Masing Sub-Kelompok untuk Distribusi Log Pearson
300
250
Hujan Rancangan (mm)
200
150
100
50
0
2 5 10 25 50 100 200 1000
Kala Ulang
asi Hasil Perhitungan Curah Hujan Rancangan
Metode
Log Pearson Type III
104.10
131.73
149.18
168.96
182.29
194.55
206.07
230.88
UJI CHI SQUARE
4.70
3.84
1.00
5.00
TIDAK DITERIMA
Tabel 4.22. Perhitungan Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov untuk Distribusi Log Pearson Type
P'(x)
(7)
0.0009
0.0009
0.0009
0.0009
0.0009
0.0009
0.0009
0.0009
0.0009
0.0009
Dmax =
Tabel 4.23. Resume Hasil Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov
Sumber : Perhitungan
Rekapitulasi Hasil Perhitungan Curah Hujan Rancangan
300
250
Hujan Rancangan (mm)
200
150
100
50
0
2 5 10 25 50 100 200 1000
Kala Ulang
ulasi Hasil Perhitungan Curah Hujan Rancangan
Hujan Rancangan ( mm )
Metode
Log Pearson Type III
104.10
131.73
149.18
168.96
182.29
194.55
206.07
230.88
UJI SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROF
-0.090
5.000
0.410
DITERIMA
UJI CHI SQUARE
4.70
3.84
1.00
5.00
TIDAK DITERIMA
25
Rata-rata % Error Deviasi
20
15
10
0
Normal Gumbel Log Pearson III
Jenis Distribusi
Hujan Jam-Jaman Curah Hujan Netto Jam-Jaman
T RT Rt
Parameter
(Jam) (R24) Rasio Hujan (%)
1 0.55 55% Curah Hujan Rancangan (R)
2 0.35 14%
3 0.26 10%
4 0.22 8% Distribusi
Jam
5 0.19 7% %
6 0.17 6% 1 55%
Total 100% 2 14%
Sumber : Hasil Perhitungan 3 10%
4 8%
5 7%
6 6%
Curah Hujan Rancangan (R)
Return
Period
2
5
10
25
50
100
Banjir 2016
Jam-Jaman
Hujan
Rencana
(mm)
Distribusi Hujan Jam-Jaman setiap Periode Ulang
99.80
138.85 100
164.70
90
197.37
221.60 80
Hujan Rencna (mm)
245.65 70
217.00 60
50
40
30
20
10
0
R2TH R5TH R10TH R25TH R50TH R100TH R200TH
Ulang
R100TH R200TH
RT = R24/T x (T/t)^(2/3)
RT = intensitas curah hujan rerata dalam T jam
R24 = curah hujan dalam 1 hari (mm)
T = waktu konsentrasi hujan (jam)
t = Jam Ke (jam)