Mark Yaeger Email Correspondences

From: Oellerich Daniel nekfinancial@gmail.
com
Subject: Mark Yaeger email correspondences
Date: February 5, 2020 at 8:19 AM
To: Balser Roger roger@balserwealth.com
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494
nekfinancial@gmail.com
Begin forwarded message:
From: Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com>

Subject: Quick question?
Date: October 9, 2013 at 10=54=02 AM EDT
To: Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com>
Hi Mark,
I am under-invested in my personal accounts. I was wondering if you would use this weakness we're experiencing to add positions,
knowing that they may not be long term holds?
I am grateful for the information you have shared this year, and I have had clients invested through the year, but my accounts have
suffered. I am asking for an opinion, not a forecast, if that helps.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Subject: Re: Question about the "super bull" indicators?
Date: August 29, 2013 at 10=22=19 AM EDT
Thanks Mark.
So is what you are saying.....Stay invested, even though the 9-12 months is up, unless you see a bear market beginning?
I understand that thought process, but there could be some significant drawdowns (30-50%) and still not be in a technical bear
market - correct?
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494
On Aug 28, 2013, at 3:49 PM, Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com> wrote:
Daniel, also , I'm trying to out most of my efforts into identifying a bear market. If I stay fully invested ( which I don't ) but could
avoid the bulk of a bear market , I would rank at the top of money managers. As we know markets are in a bull market about
twice as long as a bear market. Also , there is an unforgiving trend of the market , in the long term , to go up. So all I have to do
is avoid bear markets and not make the terrible mistake of being on the sidelines during a bull market. As I mentioned to you in
the previous email I still do selling after the super bull period ends , but even that is not vital to long term success , and it might
even hurt me if I'm wrong and stay wrong. The intermediate game is a tough one and I think is the cause for underperformance
of many people.
Sent from my iPhone
On Aug 28, 2013, at 2:37 PM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:

Hi Mark,
Do you have a sense what type of environment we are heading into? Based on previous emails, and some independent
studying, Dan Sullivan's indicators should have legs for about 12 months. I believe you stated earlier that you just hold on for at
least 9 months, then re-evaluate. (I hope I haven't misrepresented your stance) I have been holding positions that are also
holding relative strength and trend, so I am not terribly concerned with the price action of the last few days or the last week or
so. I am curious about the pullback we are experiencing though. Would you use this weakness to redirect investments or just
start an orderly retreat from positions losing other technical attributes and put the proceeds into cash?
Do you have any advice/experience with the timely exits after one of these "super bull" indicators does run its course? Is there
something you look for to help decide or confirm when an exit is warranted?
Thanks again for your help. I have been paying some attention to the CSS pattern stuff that has been on the DWA board lately,
very interesting. I have also had off board exchanges with Brian Randall and Donna Paravalos about the methodology and I
have suggested that they research your posts from earlier this year as well. There really is a wealth of knowledge out there if
the infants would just shut up. I hope to hear from you soon, have a great Labor Day weekend.
Dan Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494
From: Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com>

Subject: Re: 10 day moving average
Date: July 14, 2016 at 8=34=40 AM EDT
To: Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com>
Yes this is the indicator and I think the best of the lot. Dan mentioned it the other day and it has flashed something like only 13 buy
signals since 1949 with the snp showing an average gain of 20%'over the ensuing 12 months. A great great indicator. Maybe the
best.
my
Sent from my iPhone
On Jul 14, 2016, at 8:31 AM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:
Hi Mark,
My calculations show a 10 day moving average above 2:1 on July 12th. I believe this is one of the measurements we discussed
some time ago that would tend to indicate an abnormally strong market. Please verify and let me know if I am correct.
Thanks for your time Mark, I hope you are having a great summer.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Subject: Re: Volume Question?
Date: March 16, 2013 at 11=16=56 AM EDT
Hi Daniel ,
First , was it a triple witching day? If so that might account for some of it. I don't pay too much attention to total volume except att
Major turning points. It seems like volume starts to swell for several weeks at these points. If the market is in a decline I will look for
surges in volume to signify the coming of the end. It is not very objective so I really don't place much weight on it. I find volume
misleads people more than it helps them
Now don't confuse this with the signal I talked about in early January- the advancing vol / declining volume ratio That does not rely
Now don't confuse this with the signal I talked about in early January- the advancing vol / declining volume ratio That does not rely
on total volume at all but merely the differential in volume. I look at the ratio as an indicator of supply and demand especially when it
was at such an extreme that only happens once every few years
So I really don't have too much to say about volume as you can tell.
mark
Sent from my iPhone
On Mar 16, 2013, at 9:32 AM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:
Hi Mark,
Thank you for all your help earlier as I try to make sense of this volume issue. What do you make of the data from yesterday,
3/15/13? Here is a summary from WSJ webpage:
The volume is way over anything I have seen this year. Previously I believe I saw one or maybe two days with total volume
around 1B, but never this high. Any insight would be greatly appreciated.
NYSE Latest close Previous close Week ago
Issues traded 3,157 3,149 3,142
Advances 1,421 2,040 2,031
Declines 1,630 1,006 1,003

Unchanged 106 103 108
New highs 347 398 358
New lows 36 25 13
Adv. volume* 829,263,480 494,207,041 466,271,506
Decl. volume* 965,522,970 170,950,103 215,157,057

Total volume* 1,814,678,200 676,265,102 690,362,798
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Subject: Re: 10 day moving average of adv/dec ratio
Date: January 12, 2013 at 4=06=26 PM EST
Daniel, I use WSJ Market Dara Center for my figures. For the ten day period ending 1/213 these are my numbers for the NYSE:
Advancing. Declining
2276 816
1510. 1533
2066. 965
998. 2042
1195. 1786
1093. 1945
1383. 1658
972. 2084
2645. 444
2827. 291
------- --------
16965. 13564
The ratio is 1.25. If you are keeping
a running total, merely drop the
earliest day and add the latest day
this makes changing your totals
easy to calculate
The ten day adv decline ratio is probably the most difficult of Dan Sullivan's three super bull indicators to achieve.
my
Sent from my iPhone
On Jan 8, 2013, at 11:57 AM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:
Hi Mark,
If my calculations are correct, I make the date January 2, 2013.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494
On Jan 7, 2013, at 7:14 PM, Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com> wrote:
Hi Daniel. Can you tell me what day you calculated the ratio surpassing 2 to 1 and I'll take a look at it.
my
Sent from my iPhone
On Jan 7, 2013, at 2:57 PM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:
Hi Mark,
I ama member of DWA and have been reading your posts for quite a while. Thank you for the insight and knowledge that you
share on the board. I mostly "lurk" on the board trying to pick up useful tidbits from very select contributors and I found your
post about the 10 day moving average of the adv/dec ration interesting. I began tracking this ratio after your post on
11/30/12 and as far as I can tell, the ration hs surpassed the 2:1 that you spoke of on both the NYSE and NASDAQ. Can you
confirm this with your data? Would you give me a short course in how you use this data? Thank you for help.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Subject: Thank you
Date: July 23, 2013 at 1=45=28 PM EDT
Hi Mark,
I appreciate the education and patience you provided this year with the super bull indicators. Because you brought this to my
attention via the message board, and due to your helpfulness as I tried to learn more about them, I have been able to add exposure
in my client accounts over the last 6 months with more confidence. I still have a lot to learn about these kinds of indicators, but the
drawdowns that have occurred since your posts have allowed me to add exposure where I may not have in the past, and have
allowed me to "stay the course" where I would have normally panicked. So once again thank you. I look forward to learning more
about these "super indicators" in the future, and I appreciate your wisdom.
Dan Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Date: August 28, 2013 at 4=49=06 PM EDT
Daniel, also , I'm trying to out most of my efforts into identifying a bear market. If I stay fully invested ( which I don't ) but could avoid
the bulk of a bear market , I would rank at the top of money managers. As we know markets are in a bull market about twice as
long as a bear market. Also , there is an unforgiving trend of the market , in the long term , to go up. So all I have to do is avoid
bear markets and not make the terrible mistake of being on the sidelines during a bull market. As I mentioned to you in the
previous email I still do selling after the super bull period ends , but even that is not vital to long term success , and it might even
hurt me if I'm wrong and stay wrong. The intermediate game is a tough one and I think is the cause for underperformance of many
people.
Sent from my iPhone
Hi Mark,
holding relative strength and trend, so I am not terribly concerned with the price action of the last few days or the last week or so.
I am curious about the pullback we are experiencing though. Would you use this weakness to redirect investments or just start an
orderly retreat from positions losing other technical attributes and put the proceeds into cash?
very interesting. I have also had off board exchanges with Brian Randall and Donna Paravalos about the methodology and I have
suggested that they research your posts from earlier this year as well. There really is a wealth of knowledge out there if the
infants would just shut up. I hope to hear from you soon, have a great Labor Day weekend.
Dan Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Subject: Re: Quick question?
Thanks Mark,
My accounts suffered because they have been grossly under-invested. I've done quite nicely in my clients accounts because I took
your advice in January and bought stuff I liked, I just didn't get around to it in my personal accounts. Now I am trying to play catch
up in those accounts. I will look at the 1 box reversal charts. Thank you so much for your help.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494
On Oct 9, 2013, at 10:02 AM, Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com> wrote:

Not to pry too much, but if you've been invested why have your accounts suffered ?
Anyhow , I would use weakness to buy stocks for the one reason that I don't think this bull market is over. As I've said many
times , I'm not smart enough to determine when an intermediate correction will begin or end and I don't think anyone else is. I
like to use the smart chart 1 box reversal charts and try to buy near a prior breakout area. These areas stand out on the 1 box
chart. Generally , stocks near this area don't go down too much from there. Differentiate the prior breakout area from a support
area. A stocks support area, if there is one , will be higher than a previous breakout. I find stocks often break support in
corrections but stop at previous break ours. This was one of Watson Wright's favorite buys
my
Sent from my iPhone
On Oct 9, 2013, at 10:54 AM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:
Hi Mark,
I am under-invested in my personal accounts. I was wondering if you would use this weakness we're experiencing to add
positions, knowing that they may not be long term holds?
I am grateful for the information you have shared this year, and I have had clients invested through the year, but my accounts
have suffered. I am asking for an opinion, not a forecast, if that helps.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Subject: Question about the "super bull" indicators?
Hi Mark,
Do you have a sense what type of environment we are heading into? Based on previous emails, and some independent studying,
Dan Sullivan's indicators should have legs for about 12 months. I believe you stated earlier that you just hold on for at least 9
months, then re-evaluate. (I hope I haven't misrepresented your stance) I have been holding positions that are also holding relative
strength and trend, so I am not terribly concerned with the price action of the last few days or the last week or so. I am curious
about the pullback we are experiencing though. Would you use this weakness to redirect investments or just start an orderly retreat
from positions losing other technical attributes and put the proceeds into cash?
Thanks again for your help. I have been paying some attention to the CSS pattern stuff that has been on the DWA board lately, very
interesting. I have also had off board exchanges with Brian Randall and Donna Paravalos about the methodology and I have
suggested that they research your posts from earlier this year as well. There really is a wealth of knowledge out there if the infants
would just shut up. I hope to hear from you soon, have a great Labor Day weekend.
Dan Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Date: January 15, 2013 at 9=13=27 AM EST
I don't know if there is any good intermediate term indicator so I concentrate on whether it's a bull market or not. And for that i
mainly use the 1% RSP chart and volatility. I will adjust the BSL if it gets too far away from the current price. There are books that
tell you how to adjust it. A break of the bsl I consider a sell signal on the market. But I also look for blow off moves as at least a
warning. To me it's an art form and not a black box.
I look at volatility by examining the Pnf chart of the RSP. I look at the number of vertical columns over the last twelve months to see
it there is an increase. I haven't quantified this and maybe someone will but I think this idea might be mine. Look at the past charts
of the SNP and you will notice an increase in the vertical columns before bear markets. I believe DWA Analyst Report did a piece
on volatility and how it effects market returns.
You should definitely read the DeVilllier and Taylor book and the DuPlessis book , at a minimum , for their work on 1 box reversal
charts. I use those charts for reentry near SUPPORT points after I raise cash. I try not to wait for break outs as they are too late.
And this is the bulk of my activity during a bull market ( excluding periods, like now where we have a super bull in effect) - I raise
cash when the market and or a stock is extended and I reentered at prior support. As simple as that.
There are no guarantees and many times I've been wrong , but overall it works pretty well.
I also use fundamental when picking stocks. That might be old fashion but I believe that good companies are less risky than just
using technicals I will always time the buy and sell thru PNF
When I put this in writing its a little long, but really my method is very simple and there is judgement involved but I do have uncle
points where I must sell
Hope this helps you get some ideas.
my
Sent from my iPhone
Thanks for your time and effort Mark.
I understand how you calculate this now, it is slightly different than some of the other sites I researched to learn about it. Since I
have not read Dan Sullivan or the Chartist site, I was unsure how they calculated he average either. I have been using Yahoo
Advance/Decline data and the numbers are not exact, but they certainly are very close. (Within about 5 either way) I also
discovered, the hard way, that holidays need to be eliminated from the calculation, not just copied as data from the day before.
(which skews the results badly). Once I calculated the 10 day average the way you did, I got the exact same results.
I am still trying to figure out how to calculate a reasonable medium term market indicator. I have lost too many opportunities in
the last couple of years by just using my gut and my moderate knowledge of DWA. I am a small boutique investment advisory
with about 30 clients and my own investments. I started doing this for myself around 1998 and in 2008 I was laid-off from my
company and decided to try this as a career. Any advice or assistance in trying to get a handle on opportune times to get more
fully invested or divested would be greatly appreciated.
Again, thank you for your time and explanation, I really appreciate it.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494
Daniel, I use WSJ Market Dara Center for my figures. For the ten day period ending 1/213 these are my numbers for the
NYSE:
Advancing. Declining
2276 816
1510. 1533
2066. 965
998. 2042
1195. 1786
1093. 1945
1383. 1658
972. 2084
2645. 444
2645. 444
2827. 291
------- --------
16965. 13564
The ratio is 1.25. If you are keeping

a running total, merely drop the
earliest day and add the latest day
this makes changing your totals
easy to calculate
The ten day adv decline ratio is probably the most difficult of Dan Sullivan's three super bull indicators to achieve.
my
Sent from my iPhone
Hi Mark,
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494
my
Sent from my iPhone
Hi Mark,
I ama member of DWA and have been reading your posts for quite a while. Thank you for the insight and knowledge
that you share on the board. I mostly "lurk" on the board trying to pick up useful tidbits from very select contributors and
I found your post about the 10 day moving average of the adv/dec ration interesting. I began tracking this ratio after your
post on 11/30/12 and as far as I can tell, the ration hs surpassed the 2:1 that you spoke of on both the NYSE and
NASDAQ. Can you confirm this with your data? Would you give me a short course in how you use this data? Thank
you for help.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Subject: Re: Thank you
Date: July 23, 2013 at 2=03=36 PM EDT
Daniel , I don't know if I have wisdom. What I have is a lot of bruises for fighting these Indicators in my earlier days of investing. If I
had any wisdom , it was finally realizing how wrong I was. You have learned that much quicker than I have so congratulations to
you. I don't know how old you are , but following these indicators will serve you very well over the years. There will be a time when
they are wrong and there is nothing you can do about that
Remember , after the first of the three Indicators gives a buy signal any subsequent one occurring during the next 9 months is
Remember , after the first of the three Indicators gives a buy signal any subsequent one occurring during the next 9 months is
ignored ( I.e it does not extend the 9 month period ). Any signal after 9 months will start a new 9 month period of staying fully
invested.
This period since January 2 has acted very much in line with past super bull periods - corrections are shallow and quick.
Thank you for the kind words
mark
Sent from my iPhone
On Jul 23, 2013, at 1:45 PM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:
Hi Mark,
I appreciate the education and patience you provided this year with the super bull indicators. Because you brought this to my
attention via the message board, and due to your helpfulness as I tried to learn more about them, I have been able to add
exposure in my client accounts over the last 6 months with more confidence. I still have a lot to learn about these kinds of
indicators, but the drawdowns that have occurred since your posts have allowed me to add exposure where I may not have in the
past, and have allowed me to "stay the course" where I would have normally panicked. So once again thank you. I look forward
to learning more about these "super indicators" in the future, and I appreciate your wisdom.
Dan Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Hi Daniel ,
This is the kind of market that I stay fully invested in and I don't wait for pullbacks. Listen to the Monday DWA video. They
mentioned that the market presently is 40% overbought , and although pullbacks normally happen from this level , on average the
market over the last ten years was higher one , three and six months after the 40% level was reached. They also said you normally
don't reach this level unless a bull market is in effect
So the bottom line is that I am not good enough to catch little blips in the market when one of Dans indicators is in effect. To quote
a cliche - " I don't sweat the small stuff ".
And of course there are no guarantees. As I've said, I've been caught in some nasty corrections , but the odds are that this shouldn't
happen
mark
Sent from my iPhone
Hi Mark,
Is this the kind of market you would be putting money to work in, or would you wait for a pullback?
Based on my research - it looks like a pullback is likely, but based on a couple of comments you've made about the "thrust
Indicator" (I think that is what you called it) it sounds as if you would be using weakness to add money. Have I interpreted this
correctly? Thanks in advance.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Date: August 29, 2013 at 11=13=20 AM EDT
No. After the super bull period you can sell extended stocks and perhaps some poor performing ones. As I said , I then look to
buy back stocks I sold or buy new ones near previous break out points. This means I generally need a market pull back. But say
the market is not extended but some of my stocks are. I would sell some or all of the extended stocks and buy something else
since the market is in a buyable zone. So , as you see , a lot depends on the condition of the market itself
I don't think you should ever lose 30% to 50% if its not a bear market. Last resort stops, like the BSL should already have taken you
out.
Also , I'm not professing buy and hold , but if you could do one thing right , that would be to avoid bear markets. If you could do
that, all the intermediate corrections would just be " noise "
Look at any bull market period and you will obviously see this. Corrections are emotional. I'm not saying its easy, and it takes
some conviction
I know a great money manager who is always fully invested and his compound return since 1993 is 14%. That's incredible. He
does this by picking great companies. Most of us technicians do not spend enough time learning the fundamental side , but I think
it's imperative if you want to separate yourself from others. The last few years I have been trying to learn this. I am still not a buy
and holder , I don't have the stomach , but I now believe that picking great companies is the most important thing
mark
Sent from my iPhone
On Aug 29, 2013, at 10:22 AM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:
Thanks Mark.
So is what you are saying.....Stay invested, even though the 9-12 months is up, unless you see a bear market beginning?
I understand that thought process, but there could be some significant drawdowns (30-50%) and still not be in a technical bear
market - correct?
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494
On Aug 28, 2013, at 3:49 PM, Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com> wrote:
Daniel, also , I'm trying to out most of my efforts into identifying a bear market. If I stay fully invested ( which I don't ) but could
avoid the bulk of a bear market , I would rank at the top of money managers. As we know markets are in a bull market about
twice as long as a bear market. Also , there is an unforgiving trend of the market , in the long term , to go up. So all I have to
do is avoid bear markets and not make the terrible mistake of being on the sidelines during a bull market. As I mentioned to
you in the previous email I still do selling after the super bull period ends , but even that is not vital to long term success , and it
might even hurt me if I'm wrong and stay wrong. The intermediate game is a tough one and I think is the cause for
underperformance of many people.
Sent from my iPhone
Hi Mark,
studying, Dan Sullivan's indicators should have legs for about 12 months. I believe you stated earlier that you just hold on for
at least 9 months, then re-evaluate. (I hope I haven't misrepresented your stance) I have been holding positions that are also
holding relative strength and trend, so I am not terribly concerned with the price action of the last few days or the last week or
so. I am curious about the pullback we are experiencing though. Would you use this weakness to redirect investments or
just start an orderly retreat from positions losing other technical attributes and put the proceeds into cash?
Do you have any advice/experience with the timely exits after one of these "super bull" indicators does run its course? Is
there something you look for to help decide or confirm when an exit is warranted?
Thanks again for your help. I have been paying some attention to the CSS pattern stuff that has been on the DWA board
lately, very interesting. I have also had off board exchanges with Brian Randall and Donna Paravalos about the methodology
and I have suggested that they research your posts from earlier this year as well. There really is a wealth of knowledge out
there if the infants would just shut up. I hope to hear from you soon, have a great Labor Day weekend.
Dan Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Daniel , as you know I keep it pretty simple - I stay fully invested. There is nothing wrong with selling poor stocks and buying better
one at any time during this period though I try to give my stocks as much room as possible cause they are all good companies ( I
only buy stocks except for the PIE, and I use fundamentals too ).
When the period is over I have a few loose rules but I never depend on the nysebp , the hi lo etc because I don't believe
intermediate corrections can be predicted with any accuracy. At least I can't. So I will sell 50% of a stock that's up 50% in 6 months
or less. If a stock is in a column of at least 18 X's I will sell at least half. Any poor stocks I will sell. If a stock is extended on the
trading bands or maybe bumping up against the bullish resistance line for a second time. Things like that. I'm always trying to sell
on the way up and looking to buy near prior breakouts during what I think is a bull market. I use the 1 box charts for help in finding
prior breakout areas. I think it's a losing game to wait for stops. I think it's a losing game to wait to sell into weakness and then
wait to buy after strength is shown. There is usually not enough wiggle room for this during a bull market as many corrections are
less than 10%. I'm very happy selling on the way up , even if a stock goes higher after that , which it normally will. And I'm happy
buying on a previous breakout area even if the stock goes lower after that. I have a good chance of selling and buying cheaper with
this method
mark
Sent from my iPhone
Hi Mark,
holding relative strength and trend, so I am not terribly concerned with the price action of the last few days or the last week or so.
I am curious about the pullback we are experiencing though. Would you use this weakness to redirect investments or just start an
orderly retreat from positions losing other technical attributes and put the proceeds into cash?
very interesting. I have also had off board exchanges with Brian Randall and Donna Paravalos about the methodology and I have
suggested that they research your posts from earlier this year as well. There really is a wealth of knowledge out there if the
infants would just shut up. I hope to hear from you soon, have a great Labor Day weekend.
Dan Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Thank you Daniel for the kind words. It means a lot. I had to lose plenty in the early years before I started to " get it". I hope you
didn't have to go thru too much of that experience.
my
Sent from my iPhone
Thank you kindly for the confirmation.

I have learned much from you over the years.
All the best.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494
On Jul 14, 2016, at 7:34 AM, Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com> wrote:
Yes this is the indicator and I think the best of the lot. Dan mentioned it the other day and it has flashed something like only 13
buy signals since 1949 with the snp showing an average gain of 20%'over the ensuing 12 months. A great great indicator.
Maybe the best.
my
Sent from my iPhone
Hi Mark,
My calculations show a 10 day moving average above 2:1 on July 12th. I believe this is one of the measurements we
discussed some time ago that would tend to indicate an abnormally strong market. Please verify and let me know if I am
correct.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Subject: Re: Momentum question (again)
Date: April 18, 2013 at 2=06=56 PM EDT
Hi Daniel
Dan Sullivan has only mentioned those indicators referring to a bullish move. I've tried to make sense out of ten to one days , etc on
the downside but have come up empty. I think the problem , as always with down moves is volatility. Volatility , at least to me ,
makes many Indicators irrelevant. So I keep it very simple as I've mentioned many times - I stay bullish for at least 9 months after
one of these super indicators flashes a buy signal. It gets tough during corrections such as the present one , but in the end it's
almost always right to stay invested during the " super bull 9 months ".
Sent from my iPhone

Sent from my iPhone
On Apr 18, 2013, at 12:55 PM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:
Hi Mark,
I have been trying to learn more about the momentum indicators that you have shared, and I have a question about the lat couple
of days if you don't mind.
On 4/15 there was a 14.25x difference between the decliners and the advancers on the NYSE. (favoring decliners)
On 4/16 there was a 6.38x difference between the advancers and decliners on the NYSE. (favoring advancers)
On 4/17 there was a 10.11x difference between the decliners and the advancers on the NYSE. (favoring decliners again)
I remember you saying that a 10x difference on advancers/decliners followed by a 4x difference on advancers/decliners
(momentum thrust indicator) meant that there was abnormally strong upward momentum to the market. Does the data I showed
above indicate a negation/reversal of the positive momentum thrust? I realize that it is not consecutive days, so I'm not exactly
sure if there is any meaning in this, or if there is something to watch. I also appears as though the overall volume of the NYSE
market has been trending up. Does this represent anything of significance?
Thanks again for your time and insight, I hope I am beginning to understand these indicators better.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

I strictly buy stocks so they certainly don't weather a downturn very well on average. I use Motley Fool , I look at what Buffett buys
, etc. David Gardner of the motley fool said something very interesting - He said if he had never done any selling in all his years
with the motley fool he would have done better than he has done ( and he has done very well ).
I'm not professing buy and hold forever , but I do feel , and I think you know this , that most people will be better off by making fewer
decisions
my
Sent from my iPhone
It has cost me a little, but I figure if I keep moving forward - good things will happen.
I am trying to focus on solid mutual funds for investment vehicles in my personal accounts. A lot of the ETF’s are beginning to
concern me, so I’m looking for a table place to put personal funds that can grow and weather moderate drawdowns.
If you have any such options in your arsenal - I’d be pleased to consider them. I trade through Schwab, but most fund families
are available.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494
Thank you Daniel for the kind words. It means a lot. I had to lose plenty in the early years before I started to " get it". I hope
you didn't have to go thru too much of that experience.
my
Sent from my iPhone

Thank you kindly for the confirmation.

I have learned much from you over the years.
All the best.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494
Yes this is the indicator and I think the best of the lot. Dan mentioned it the other day and it has flashed something like
only 13 buy signals since 1949 with the snp showing an average gain of 20%'over the ensuing 12 months. A great great
indicator. Maybe the best.
my
Sent from my iPhone
Hi Mark,
My calculations show a 10 day moving average above 2:1 on July 12th. I believe this is one of the measurements we
discussed some time ago that would tend to indicate an abnormally strong market. Please verify and let me know if I am
correct.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Not to pry too much, but if you've been invested why have your accounts suffered ?
Anyhow , I would use weakness to buy stocks for the one reason that I don't think this bull market is over. As I've said many times ,
I'm not smart enough to determine when an intermediate correction will begin or end and I don't think anyone else is. I like to use
the smart chart 1 box reversal charts and try to buy near a prior breakout area. These areas stand out on the 1 box chart.
Generally , stocks near this area don't go down too much from there. Differentiate the prior breakout area from a support area. A
stocks support area, if there is one , will be higher than a previous breakout. I find stocks often break support in corrections but stop
at previous break ours. This was one of Watson Wright's favorite buys
my
Sent from my iPhone
On Oct 9, 2013, at 10:54 AM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:
Hi Mark,
positions, knowing that they may not be long term holds?
I am grateful for the information you have shared this year, and I have had clients invested through the year, but my accounts
have suffered. I am asking for an opinion, not a forecast, if that helps.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

my
Sent from my iPhone
Hi Mark,
share on the board. I mostly "lurk" on the board trying to pick up useful tidbits from very select contributors and I found your post
about the 10 day moving average of the adv/dec ration interesting. I began tracking this ratio after your post on 11/30/12 and as
far as I can tell, the ration hs surpassed the 2:1 that you spoke of on both the NYSE and NASDAQ. Can you confirm this with
your data? Would you give me a short course in how you use this data? Thank you for help.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Daniel, I won't have time until the weekend to verify your calculation. Right now Dan Sullivan's volume thrust indicator ( see dwa
board post ) gave a buy signal. I use it the same way I use the adv decline indicator. Namely , I try to stay 100% invested for nine
months following the latest signal. If I sell something i will replace it with something else
The reason is because after these signals there is a high probability that the market will be higher nine months later. Also ,
corrections are usually small and fast and trying to get cute with timing will probably cost you.
The only time I might do some partial selling is if the SNP is up 20% in 3 to 4 months. I view that as an extreme move but even then
I might not sell.
Hope this helps a little
mark
Sent from my iPhone
Hi Mark,
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494
Cell: 320-296-6494
my
Sent from my iPhone
Hi Mark,
share on the board. I mostly "lurk" on the board trying to pick up useful tidbits from very select contributors and I found your
post about the 10 day moving average of the adv/dec ration interesting. I began tracking this ratio after your post on
11/30/12 and as far as I can tell, the ration hs surpassed the 2:1 that you spoke of on both the NYSE and NASDAQ. Can you
confirm this with your data? Would you give me a short course in how you use this data? Thank you for help.
Daniel Oellerich
NEK Financial, Inc
Work: 320-587-7352
Cell: 320-296-6494

Mark Yaeger Email Correspondences

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Mark Yaeger Email Correspondences

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From: Oellerich Daniel nekfinancial@gmail.

Begin forwarded message:

From: Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com>

Begin forwarded message:

From: Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com>

On Aug 28, 2013, at 3:49 PM, Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com> wrote:

Sent from my iPhone

On Aug 28, 2013, at 2:37 PM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:

Begin forwarded message:

From: Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com>

Sent from my iPhone

On Jul 14, 2016, at 8:31 AM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:

Begin forwarded message:

From: Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com>

Sent from my iPhone

On Mar 16, 2013, at 9:32 AM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:

NYSE Latest close Previous close Week ago

Issues traded 3,157 3,149 3,142

Advances 1,421 2,040 2,031

Declines 1,630 1,006 1,003

New highs 347 398 358

Adv. volume* 829,263,480 494,207,041 466,271,506

Decl. volume* 965,522,970 170,950,103 215,157,057

Begin forwarded message:

From: Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com>

Sent from my iPhone

On Jan 8, 2013, at 11:57 AM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:

On Jan 7, 2013, at 7:14 PM, Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com> wrote:

Sent from my iPhone

On Jan 7, 2013, at 2:57 PM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:

Begin forwarded message:

From: Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com>

Begin forwarded message:

From: Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com>

Sent from my iPhone

On Aug 28, 2013, at 2:37 PM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:

Begin forwarded message:

From: Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com>

On Oct 9, 2013, at 10:02 AM, Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com> wrote:

Sent from my iPhone

On Oct 9, 2013, at 10:54 AM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:

Begin forwarded message:

From: Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com>

Begin forwarded message:

From: Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com>

Hope this helps you get some ideas.

Sent from my iPhone

On Jan 14, 2013, at 9:33 AM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:

Thanks for your time and effort Mark.

On Jan 12, 2013, at 3:06 PM, Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com> wrote:

The ratio is 1.25. If you are keeping

Sent from my iPhone

On Jan 8, 2013, at 11:57 AM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:

On Jan 7, 2013, at 7:14 PM, Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com> wrote:

Sent from my iPhone

On Jan 7, 2013, at 2:57 PM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:

Begin forwarded message:

From: Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com>

Thank you for the kind words

Sent from my iPhone

On Jul 23, 2013, at 1:45 PM, Oellerich Daniel <nekfinancial@gmail.com> wrote:

Begin forwarded message:

From: Mark Yaeger <yaegermbgc@aol.com>

Sent from my iPhone