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Atm. Kuliah Umum JTSP FT Unsri. Indonesia Transportation Outlook. 18 Jan 2020. English PDF
Atm. Kuliah Umum JTSP FT Unsri. Indonesia Transportation Outlook. 18 Jan 2020. English PDF
TRANSPORTATION OUTLOOK
IN INDONESIA 2020
Prof. Dr. Ir. Agus Taufik Mulyono, ST., MT.,IPU., ASEAN Eng.
Head of Center for Transportation and Logistic Studies (PUSTRAL) UGM
Head of Indonesia Transportastion Society (MTI)
2
MTI’s Perspective :
Understanding the Nature of Transportation
3
Transportation : Access-Main Trip-Egress
Desti
Origin
nation
Node
Node
6
PROBLEM OF NODE-SPACE-NODE TRANSPORTATION MANAGEMENT
Public mode: Final Destination
Uncertain of Trip
travel time;
limited
Egress
service time Main Trip
Origin Destination
Node Road transport Node
Private mode: Modes choices are
ineffective Ferriage transport limited and rates
Railway transport are expensive/
Infrastructure Sea transport uncertain
: not eligible Air transport
The information
There is no certainty of the mode share, 75% of system and
Access passenger transport costs and 85% of freight transport infrastructure
costs are based on road modes, unfair intermodal/ capacity are
intermodal transport tariff competition, uncertain inadequate
travel time, public vs private, commercial vs
pioneering, competition vs intermodal integration
Origin of Trip The cost of access + egress can occur higher than the cost HR & DATA CRISIS :
of the main trip due to poor transport infrastructure and ▪ Planning
non-compliance with service standards
▪ Programming
Terminal overcapacity during peak hours, uncertain ▪ Design
waiting times, basic services are inadequate.
Intermodal/multimodal transportation is not optimal ▪ Implementation
Logistics handling costs at the node are expensive,
▪ Operation
uncertain handling time, and often mixed with ▪ Maintenance
passenger services. ▪ Regulating
The low basic services for people with physical disabilities, ▪ Controlling
the elderly, children, the poor, pregnant women. Low ▪ Enforcement
efforts to reduce GHGs due to transportation
Representative
Human Resources (HR)
Accessibility
Reliability
Relevance
Up to date
Tipology
Transportation
Validity
Honest
Infrastructure
Planning-Programmnig
Detailed Engineering Design
(DED)
Construction and Supervision
Operation Management
Maintenance (Preservation)
Evaluation of Performance
Planning-Programmnig
Detailed Engineering Design
(DED)
Construction and Supervision
Operation Management
Maintenance (Preservation)
Evaluation of Performance
9
Compliance Level of Think-Act SIDLACOM Application
Compliance level of SIDLACOM Application
Investigation
Construction
Maintenance
acquisition
Transportation Human
Operation
program
Resources
Design
Survey
Action
Land
Planning-Programming
Transportation Design
Physical implementation
Operations Management
Regulation Arrangement
Performance Control
Law Enforcement
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Sumatera Java Kalimantan Sulawesi Bali NT Maluku-Papua Average
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Sumatera Java Kalimantan Sulawesi Bali NT Maluku-Papua Average
The double track railroad and port development have not yet had a significant
impact on operators due to the poor integration of the infrastructure network
system and the intermodal freight terminal services. 13
Imbalance of Transport Production for Each Passenger
and Freight Transportation Modals in Java Island
Freight Transportation Passenger Transportation
Transportation Modal Production Production
(million ton.km/year) (million seat.km/year)
Road:
• North Route (Pantura) 23,517.8 (74.7%) 6,285.6 (64.8%)
• Middle Route 4,439.1 (14.1%) 2,066.1 (21.3%)
• South Route 1,479.8 (4.7%) 632.4 (6.5%)
Railway 346.3 (1.1%) 628.6 (6.5%)
Sea 1,637.1 (5.2%) 29.1 (0.3%)
Air 62.9 (0.2%) 67.9 (0.7%)
Source: Mulyono and Kushari (2019)
Imbalance of freight load shall not be neglected since it will speed up the structural
damage rate of the north java national road during the design period due to high
loading time of freight heavy vehicle. If it is not handled seriously and properly, the
road service quality for road user will decrease; particularly due to increase on
vehicle operating cost and the need of (everlasting) road reconstruction project as
what currently happened. 14
Imbalance of Passenger Transport Production for Each Modal in Java Island
Source
Sumber : Agus Taufik
: Mulyono (2016) Mulyono (2019)
15
Imbalance of Freight Transport Production for Each Modal in Java Island
Source: Mulyono
Sumber : Agus Taufik
(2016) Mulyono (2019)
5.000
16
Problem of “Transportation Spaces”
COMPETITIVENESS : The low competitiveness of
infrastructure and transportation services is triggered by some
conditions :
▪ Commercial vs. Pioneer routes : difficult to control?
▪ Mode competition vs. intermodal integration : lack of
infrastructure and service networks integration?
▪ Public vs private : congestion out of control?
▪ Transport capacity : ODOL (Over Dimension Over Load) is
difficult to solve?
▪ Safety: high accident fatality?
▪ Condition of facilities and infrastructure : improper function?
▪ Social impact : seamless conflict of interest?
▪ Environment: GHGs are increasing, lack of monitoring?
▪ Health & psychological users : no complaints?
▪ Affordability : the unfair subsidies?
▪ ICT system: online motorcycle taxi (OJOL) behavior is difficult to
control? 17
Problem of “Transportation Nodes”
WAITING TIME : Delays often occur, resulting in large losses
for users (public). OTP (on time performance) facts at node :
▪ Bus Terminal : 67.0% (vehicles, roads, management)
▪ Train Station : 90,0% (management, train facilities)
▪ Seaport : 75,0% (weather, ships, management)
▪ Airport Terminal : 80,0% (weather, airlines, management)
▪ All Nodes : 72,0% (far enough from the target)
DWELLING TIME : generally still quite high (> 3.0 days), the
complexity of port services has not been resolved.
OVERCAPACITY : some nodes experience greater density than
the carrying capacity/planned capacity due to planning and
field management errors.
18
Problem of “Transportation Nodes”
INTEGRATION : especially in intermodal and
multimodal transportation, do not yet have an indicator
of standardization of integration, and there is no
assessment of the effectiveness and efficiency of its
implementation in the field:
▪ Integration of networks : order of infrastructure,
facilities and services
▪ Integration of operations : order of operational
facilities, infrastructure, and services
▪ Integration of functions : order of function,
infrastructure, facilities, and services.
▪ Institutional Integration : synchronization of action
programs between institutions.
▪ Integrated Financing : one document-one time pay 19
Problem of “Transportation Nodes”
LOGISTICS COSTS : poor service conditions resulting in
high logistics costs, can be detrimental to public
spending. Field facts, logistics costs are greatly
influenced by:
▪ 10,0% (administrative costs for sending documents)
▪ 60,0% (handling and inventory costs at the node)
▪ 30,0% (inter node travel costs)
MITIGATION-ADAPTATION of environmental impact:
related to health, safety and security services for people
with disabilities, children, elderly people, pregnant
women and poor people.
20
The Most Expensive Logistics Component: Processing Cost in the Node
Cost Comparison
Logistics Cost Components Field Findings Operator
1. Administration Cost of Delivery Documents:
• Customs
• Tax
• Packing list
• Insurance 10.0% 10.0%
• Security
2. Handling and Inventory Cost:
• Vessel Cost in the Port (Docking, Berthing, Pilot and tugboat)
• Wharfage
• Handling (container movement)
• Loading-unloading
• Cargo pile up
• Haulage
• Demurrage
• Container Rent 30.0%
• Repair Container 60.0%
• Equipment Rent (Fork lift, Container Crane, Rubber Tyred
Gantry, etc.)
3. Transportation Cost :
• Fuel (Producer → port – shipping – port → consumer)
• Ship Crew and truck driver/train
• Vessel and truck/train operation cost
• Entrance and exist cost in the port (land and sea)
30.0% 60.0%
Source: Agus Taufik Mulyono (2019) 21
The challenge of “Transportation Management”
SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORTATION KPIs : currently do not have a
quantitative (measurable) sustainable development and operation
KPI, at the node and between nodes.
TRANSPORTATION LAW : National Transportation System
(SISTRANAS) to regulate the legal certainty of integration and
synchronization:
▪ Efficiency : Integrating the order of facilities, operational, and
functional to the infrastructure and services network.
▪ Effectiveness : Integration of institutions and financing.
▪ Action solutions : ODOL, OJOL, traffic jams, travel time,
accident fatalities, Central-Regional connectivity, logistic lane.
▪ Collaboration between government interests, research
institutions, universities, industry, professional associations, and
the community.
STANDARDIZATION OF INFRASTRUCTURE AND SERVICES
NETWORKS : not yet available comprehensively and integratively
in the implementation of intermodal / multimodal transportation.
22
There no courage to standardize road class among road
status to increase national connectivity of logistics transport
National Road
Province Road
Consequence of Single
Local/City Road Class :
▪ Conflict Between the
Central and Local
▪ Unclear funding
allocation
▪ More aligned to goods
transporter with cheaper
transport cost
▪ Short Travel time
▪ Expensive infrastructure
cost that the government
should bear
▪ Shall amend Law
regarding Road and Law
regarding Authority
Distribution Between
Central Government and
Local Government
Single Class is suitable for
continuous road network
Field findings: terminal serving export goods
& handling cost shall be transport from producer to
performed? port/outlet.
23
Source: Agus Taufik Mulyono (2019)
Omnibus Law of Transportation
(Tatranas – Tatrawil – Tatralok - Tatrakota)
"Unimoda" Transportation NOT YET Spatial planning
Problems of Synchronizing
Sector Intermodal / Multimodal
(UU 26/2007)
Transport Integration
UU No. 38/2004: Jalan
National Urban System:
Problems of Synchronizing
(Highways & Terminals,
dikembangkan….” Sinkronisasi Railway & Railway, SDP &
25
Public mode:
Uncertain travel EVALUATION OF NON-TOLL ROAD SERVICE
time; limited Final
service time Destination
Origin Destination
Private mode: Node of Trip
Node
ineffective
Main Trip (Road Space)
Modes choices are
Infrastructure: not
limited and rates
eligible are expensive/
uncertain
Intra-modal transport competition is not healthy,
uncertain travel time, public vs private, commercial The information
vs pioneering, competition vs mode integration, and system and
there is no control over vehicle growth infrastructure
capacity are
Origin 93.0% of passenger transportation production and 95.0% inadequate
of freight transportation production relying on roads,
of Trip
the rest is divided into modes of ferriage, railway, sea, Terminal A type conditions
and air are more optimal than Type
Travel time decreased from 2.78 hours/100 km (2014) to B / C. Local governments do
2.30 hours/100 km (2018) as a result of the acceleration not intervene in type A
of toll road construction and national-provincial road terminal
connectivity, as well as the road improvements
The low basic services for
An increase in the number of vehicles 6.0%; trip 8.6%; people with physical
passengers 20.0%; and freights 16.0%; an increase in disabilities, the elderly,
the number of accidents (3.5%) but decreased in children, pregnant women,
fatalities (-20.0%). and poor people
The low basic services for people with physical There are no standardization
disabilities, the elderly, children, pregnant women, and of waiting times for loading
poor people and unloading of freight or
passengers transportation,
The cost of access + egress can be higher than the cost especially on regular
of the main trip, especially on regular transportation transportation
20.0% of private vehicle transportation and 10.0% of The lack of attention for
freight transportation on existing roads moved to toll safety and comfort
roads guarantees, especially in
Source : Agus Taufik Mulyono (2019) the transfer mode area
Limited
information
EVALUATION OF TOLL ROAD TRANSPORTATION SERVICE
systems and Final
traffic jams
Destination
Entrance Toll Exit Toll of Trip
Poor integration
of toll entrance Main Trip (Toll Road Space) Poor integration
segment with of toll exit
regional roads segments with
regional roads
Geometric straight roads more than 3,000 meters on Limit on the number of
average, causing boring and sleepy for the driver. gates that serving E-Toll
refills for users who are
not disciplined or
Access + egress time can be longer than the main trip
technologically illiterate
time, especially in freight transportation.
Automatic toll payment
Drivers often do not check the condition of their sensors have not been
vehicles while operating on toll roads. implemented yet to avoid
Source : Agus Taufik Mulyono (2019) long queues at the toll gate
Root Problem of Basic Competence in Road Transport HR
Reconstruction
Management
Preservation
Rehabilitation
Human Resources (HR)
Investment
Equipment
Geometric
Road Safety
Financing
Pavement
Toll Road
Structure
of Road Transportation
Bridge
Infrastructure
Traffic
Road
Road
Road
Road
Road
Planning-Programmnig
Detailed Engineering
Design (DED)
Construction and
Supervision
Operation Management
Maintenance
(Preservation)
Evaluation of Performance
30
Public mode:
Uncertain travel
EVALUATION OF RAILWAY TRANSPORTATION SERVICE
time; limited Final
service time
Origin Destination Destination
Private mode: Node Node of Trip
ineffective
Main Trip (Railroad Space) Modes choices are
Infrastructure: not limited and rates
eligible are expensive/
uncertain
The information
There is no coordination of services between long- system and
distance trains and local (commuter) trains which results infrastructure
in not achieving seamless transfer of passengers capacity are
inadequate
Origin 5,0% of passenger transport production and 1,2% of
of Trip freight transportation relying on railroad tracks, have not
been effective in supporting the reduction of road loads Large station conditions
are more optimal than
1.109 railroad crossings are not maintained, causing
medium/small stations.
the potential for train and vehicle collisions. The
length of the 1.221 km rail network is insufficient to
serve passenger growth
The low basic services for
The number of long distance passengers is 8.1 million/ people with physical
year with a load factor of 90.0%. The number of short disabilities, the elderly,
distance passenger is 8.3 million/year with a load children, pregnant
factor>100%, an additional train capacity is needed. women and poor people
Need to improve basic services for people with physical The limited waiting room
disabilities, the elderly, children, pregnant women and has the effect of limiting
the poor
the waiting time to only
The cost of access + egress can be higher than the cost 30 minutes before the
of the main trip, especially on regular transportation train departs
Railway Civil
Railway ICT
Engineering
Electronical
Human Resources (HR)
Mechanical
Operation
Operation
Electrical
of Railway Transportation
Planning
Business
Finance
Railway
Railway
Railway
Railway
Railway
Railway
Railway
Staiton
Infrastructure
Planning-Programmnig
Detailed Engineering
Design (DED)
Construction and
Supervision
Operation Management
Maintenance
(Preservation)
Evaluation of Performance
34
Public mode:
Uncertain travel EVALUATION OF FERRIAGE TRANSPORTATION SERVICE
time; limited Final
service time
Origin Destination Destination
Private mode: Node Node of Trip
ineffective
Main Trip (Ferriage Space) Modes choices are
Infrastructure: not limited and rates
eligible are expensive/
uncertain
Need to improve basic services for people with physical The waiting time is often
disabilities, the elderly, children, pregnant women and uncertain, compounded
the poor by the limit of the waiting
The cost of access + egress can be higher than the cost room so that it becomes
of the main trip, especially on regular transportation uncomfortable
Ferriage Port
Ferriage Port
Ferriage Port
Ferriage Port
Ferriage Port
Civil Engineering
Shipping Side
Ferriage Port
Electronical
Human Resources (HR)
Mechanical
Operations
Operations
Land Side
Ferriage Port
Electrical
of Ferriage Transportation
Planning
Business
Port ICT
Ferriage
Finance
Infrastructure
Planning-Programmnig
Detailed Engineering
Design (DED)
Construction and
Supervision
Operation Management
Maintenance
(Preservation)
Evaluation of Performance
38
Public mode:
Uncertain travel EVALUATION OF SEA TRANSPORTATION SERVICE
time; limited Final
service time
Origin Destination Destination
Private mode: Node Node of Trip
ineffective
Main Trip (Shipping Space) Modes choices are
Infrastructure: limited and rates
not eligible are expensive/
uncertain
The information
Frequent overcapacity and overdimensional freight system and
transport which have been compounded by lack of infrastructure
maintenance of ship, has the potential to cause accidents capacity are
inadequate
Origin 7,0% of passenger transport production and 25,1% of
of Trip freight transportation use sea transportation, not The condition of the
effective in reducing road loads warehouse and the
number of goods is
The number of sea transport passengers is more likely imbalance, which impact
to decrease to 4.98% per year because they cannot high cost of loading
compete with air transportation intermodal goods
The low basic services for
The number of freights transport (containers) tends to people with physical
increase up to 46.7% per year due to increased import disabilities, the elderly,
activity, increasing the load or reducing the capacity of children, pregnant
the road in the intermodal process women and poor people
Need to improve basic services for people with
physical disabilities, the elderly, children, pregnant The waiting time for
women and the poor ships is often uncertain
due to the limited
The cost of access + egress can be higher than the cost capacity of the port pond
of the main trip, especially on regular transportation
The lack of attention for
safety and comfort
Source : Agus Taufik Mulyono (2019) guarantees, especially in
the transfer mode area
Root Problem of Basic Competence in Sea Transportation HR
Electronical
Human Resources (HR)
Mechanical
Operations
Land Side
Operations
Electrical
of Sea Transportation
Planning
Business
Sea Port
Sea Port
Sea Port
Sea Port
Sea Port
Sea Port
Finance
Infrastructure
Planning-Programmnig
Detailed Engineering
Design (DED)
Construction and
Supervision
Operation Management
Maintenance
(Preservation)
Evaluation of Performance
42
Public mode:
Uncertain travel EVALUATION OF AIR TRANSPORTATION SERVICE
time; limited Final
service time
Origin Destination Destination
Private mode: Node Node of Trip
ineffective
Main Trip (Air Space) Modes choices are
Infrastructure: not limited and rates
eligible are expensive/
uncertain
The information
system and
High delay due to air space capacity and VVIP/military infrastructure
activity capacity are
inadequate
Origin 11,0% of passenger transport production and 1,5% of
of Trip freight transportation using air transportation, not
effective in reducing road loads
Apron capacity is
inadequate during peak
The number of air transport passengers is more likely hours and tends to wait
to decrease to 12,5% per year due to mobility needs due long to take off
to promo ticket prices
Overcapacity on
The number of goods transportation (cargo) tends to departure terminal
increase up to 6.8% per year, especially for domestic during peak hours or
cargoes that have increased, such as TIKI, JNE delivery when there is a departure
services, etc. delay
Lack of control to check the validity of facilities related The lack of attention for
to safety and security on the airplane board safety and comfort
guarantees, especially in
the transfer mode area
The cost of access + egress can be higher than the cost
of the main trip, especially on regular transportation
Lack of customs,
immigration and
Source : Agus Taufik Mulyono (2019) quarantine services
Indonesia Air Transportation
Total of 181 airports, 153 managed by MoT (UPT), 28 managed
by airport companies – only 18 % handle international traffic
Handle more than 234 million passenger (2018), almost 2.2
million AC movement and 1.85 million tonne cargo
Stabil growth at more than 8% for AC movement, pax and
cargo
44
Airports in Indonesia
5 – 10 mill pax
1 – 5 mill pax INTERNATIONAL
< 1 mill pax DOMESTICS
Most airport with high traffic are at Western Part of Indonesia, while
at the eastern part there are many remote airports
45
Airports over Maps of Celular Access
5 – 10 mill pax
1 – 5 mill pax
INTERNATIONAL
< 1 mill pax DOMESTICS
https://www.eastspring.com/us/insights/fintech-indonesia-making-investing-more-accessible
Celular access enable people to use internet anywhere, this is corelated with the
potential of using smart system
46
Airports over Maps of Internet Penetration
5 – 10 mill pax
1 – 5 mill pax
INTERNATIONAL
< 1 mill pax DOMESTICS
https://www.eastspring.com/us/insights/fintech-indonesia-making-investing-more-accessible
More than 75% internet access are at Java and Sumatra, while on eastern part of
Indonesia there are only 10% access. The chance of smart airport system work fine
are better on western part of Indonesia
47
Airports over Maps of Social Media Activities
5 – 10 mill pax
1 – 5 mill pax
INTERNATIONAL
< 1 mill pax DOMESTICS
http://budi.rahardjo.id/indo-internet.html
Social media activities can show how frequent people access their gadget thus
related to how the smart airport system
48
Progress on Airport Technology in Indonesia
Okbab, Papua Okaba (OKQ) Solo (SOC) Makassar (UPG) Jakarta (CGK)
Very low • Limited technology • Already using • Already using • Using high
technology in in airport technology in technology in airport technology in airport
airport • Scheduled airport, but • Scheduled, with
• Scheduled, with
Unscheduled • Depend on weather, sometimes many passenger and many passenger and
Depend on some already install breakdown flight availability flight availability
weather equipment • Scheduled, with • Handle wide body • Handle wide body
Very few • Few passenger and many passenger and aircraft aircraft
passenger and flight availability flight availability • Using Baggage
flight availability • Using manual Handling System
baggage handling (BHS)
• Using mobile apps
Source : Pustral UGM (2019)
49
The Evolution of Airport
50
Airport Problems in Indonesia (1)
Engineering
Electronical
Human Resources (HR)
Airport ICT
Mechanical
Operation
Operation
Electrical
Landside
of Air Transportation
Planning
Business
Finance
Airport
Airport
Airport
Airport
Airport
Airport
Airport
Airside
Infrastructure
Planning-Programmnig
Detailed Engineering
Design (DED)
Construction and
Supervision
Operation Management
Maintenance
(Preservation)
Evaluation of Performance
55
Challenges of Air Transportation in Indonesia
Implementation of Airport 4.0 must consider the gap between
airport technology that happen across the country
the system still need to develop two approaches: advanced and
least advanced
The infrastructure for supporting smart airport service is not
distributed well across the country → Java will be leading in this
term, while Papua could be the last one (need political will support
from government)
In term of profesionalism, the readiness of human resources is
extremely important not only at the airport but also at all supporting
activities, while also must consider the gap between areas (KBI-
KTI)
Basic competence in airport human resources need to be improve
in implementation of smart airport
Smart airport implementation (internet, software) highly depend on
data ethics 56
MTI’s Perspective :
Challenges of the Industrial Era 4.0
Sustainable Civilized Transportation
57
Challenges of Industrial Era 4.0 → Civilization of Transportation
Transportation
Society :
Paradigm :
Function
Obedience
Effective
Sustainable
Civilized
Transportation
Facilities Operation
Integrity ▪ Useful Integra
▪ Equitable tion
▪ Humanist
Efficient
▪ High competitiveness
Ethics ▪ Environmentally
friendly
Institution Cost
Moral Safe
Creative, Innovative
Competitiveness
Innovative capital
Politic will
Sustainable
Secure & Comfortable
Research
Professional,
Integrity,
HR
Habit Eligible Function
INTEGRATION
OF NETWORKS
(facilities orders
of infrastructure,
Effective
services)
INTEGRATION INTEGRATION
OF OPERATIONS OF FUNCTIONS
(operational orders (functional orders
of infrastructure, of infrastructure,
services) services)
Efficient
INSTITUTIONAL INTEGRATED
INTEGRATION FINANCING
(the suitability of
(one document &
action programs
between
one time pay)
institutions)
▪ Scope of network
▪ Travel time Regional Regional
Connectivity Connectivity
▪ Interconnections
External
Industrial
National National
Connectivity Era Connectivity
4.0
Internal
Inner Inner
Island Island
Connectivity Connectivity
Local
Connectivity
30 links
Overseas dummy nodes
Region 5: Bali-NTB-NTT
7 nodes 3 links
65
node = national cities
Source : Agus Taufik Mulyono (2018) ; Berlian Kushari (2015)
MTI’s Perspective:
Sustainable Civilized Transportation Policy for
National Transportation Grand Design
66
Transportation Policy : Collaboration Approach
Central
Government
(Ministry/State
Local Government Institution)
Research Institute
(Agency/Office
(Independent)
related)
Mass Rapit Transit (MRT) & TOD (Transit Oriented Development) : Priority
Integration of Intra/Intermodal
Infrastructure Networks
Fast Mass Integration of Intra / Intermodal Service
Transportation Networks
Priority in the Use of Transportation Space
72