Q 4/2011 MARKET CONDITION &

MARKET OUTLOOK 2012

PT MNC SECURITIES
By : Edwin Sebayang
Head of Research

Menara MNC, lt 4
Jl. Kebon Sirih No.17-19
Jakarta Pusat
 Profile:
Edwin Sebayang, MBA
Head of Research PT. MNC Securities

Education:
Master of Business Administration – September 1996
Majoring in Treasury, Banking in Finance
University of Exeter, United Kingdom
Bachelor of Art in Economics – September 1993
Majoring in Economic Study & Development, Minor Banking
University of Kristen Satya Wacana (UKSW), Salatiga – Indonesia

Working Experience:
Jan 2010 – Present : Head of Research – PT MNC Securities (d/h: PT Bhakti Securities)
Feb 2010 – Dec 2009 : Head of Research – PT Finan Corpindo Nusa
Jan 2007 – Feb2008 : Personnel & GA Manager and Corporate Finance - PT Evergreen Capital
Jan 2006 – Dec 2006 : GM Operation, Control IT – PT Evergreen Capital
Jul 2004 – Feb 2008 : Equity Dealer – PT Evergreen Capital
Feb 2002 – Jan 2004 : Equity Manager – PT Evergreen Capital

Providing Analysis & View :

TV : TV One, Metro TV, MNC Business, News
Radio : Pass FM, Trijaya, BBC-England
Newspaper : Kompas, Jakarta Post, Tempo, Investor Daily, Bisnis Indonesia, Business Today, Kontan, Sindo, Antara,
Business Globe, Koran Tempo, Koran Jakarta
E News : Okezone, Inilah.com
Magazines : The Investor, Prospective, Trust, Kontan
 DAFTAR ISI
1. Ekonomi Global
• Kondisi Ekonomi AS
• Perkembangan Bursa Global
• Perkembangan Harga Komoditas Dunia
2. Ekonomi Indonesia
• Makro Ekonomi Indonesia
• Perkembangan Bursa Indonesia
3. Dampak Krisis Global terhadap Perekonomian Indonesia
4. Saham Pilihan
5. Kesimpulan
EKONOMI GLOBAL
 Pertumbuhan Ekonomi
2009 2010 2011

Negara Tw1 Tw2 Tw3 Tw4 Tw1 Tw2 Tw3 Tw4 Tw1 Tw2
Amerika
Serikat -2.5 -3.9 -2.6 0.1 2.5 3 3.2 2.8 2.3 1.5

Jepang -8.8 -6.4 -5.1 -1 4.6 2.4 4.4 2.2 -1 -1

Jerman -6.9 -5.9 -4.8 -2.4 1.7 4.1 3.9 4 5.4 2.8
China 6.1 7.9 8.9 10.7 11.9 10.3 9.6 9.8 9.7 9.5
Korea
Selatan -4.2 -2.5 0.9 6 8.1 7.2 4.5 4.8 4.2 3.4

Singapura -10.1 -3.5 0.6 3.5 15.5 18.8 10.3 12 8.3 0.9

Indonesia 4.4 4 4.2 5.4 5.7 6.2 5.8 6.9 6.5 6.5

Sumber : BI, 2011

Perkembangan Perekonomian Dunia
2009 2010 2011 2012
World Output -0.7 5.1 4 4
Advanced Economies -3.7 3.1 1.6 1.9
United States -3.5 3 1.5 1.8
Euro Area -4.3 1.8 1.6 1.1
Germany -5.1 3.6 2.7 1.3
France -2.6 1.4 1.7 1.4
Italy -5.2 1.3 0.6 0.3
Spain -3.7 -0.1 0.8 1.1
Japan -6.3 4 -0.5 2.3
United Kingdom -4.9 1.4 1.1 1.6
Emerging and Developing
Economies 2.8 7.3 6.4 6.1
China 9.2 10.3 9.5 9
India 6.8 10.1 7.8 7.5
ASEAN-5 1.7 6.9 5.3 5.6
Sumber : IMF,2011
Rasio Utang terhadap PDB
Rasio Terhadap Rasio Terhadap
No. Negara PDB (%) No. Negara PDB (%)
1 Jepang 229 21 Uruguay 53
2 Yunani 152 22 Denmark 46
3 Jamaika 137 23 Meksiko 42
4 Italia 120 24 Argentina 41
5 Irlandia 114 25 Swedia 37
6 Islandia 103 26 Selandia Baru 36
7 Amerika Serikat 100 27 Bolivia 34
8 Singapura 94 28 Indonesia 25
9 Portugal 91 29 Australia 24
10 Prancis 88 30 Peru 22
11 Zona Eropa 87 31 Ekuador 20
12 Canada 84 32 China 17
13 Inggris 83 33 Chili 11
14 Jerman 80 34 Rusia 9
15 Austria 70 35 Hong kong 5
16 India 68
17 Belanda 66
18 Brazil 66
19 Spanyol 64
20 Norwegia 54

Sumber : International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Economic Outlook Database, April 2011
Utang terhadap PDB Kawasan Eropa
2000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Austria 66.6 60.8 64.1 69.8 72.3 73.7
Belgium 107.9 84.2 89.8 96.3 96.7 96.7
Czech Republic 18.5 28.9 30.0 35.3 38.5 41.3
Denmark 52.4 27.5 34.5 41.8 43.6 45.2
Estonia 5.1 3.7 4.6 7.2 6.6 9.7
Finland 43.9 35.2 34.1 43.8 48.4 53.7
France 57.3 63.9 67.7 78.2 81.6 84.8
Germany 59.7 64.8 66.4 73.5 83.4 83.7
Greece 103.4 105.4 110.7 127.1 142.8 152.5
Hungary 54.8 65.5 72.2 77.9 79.8 74.0
Ireland 37.8 25.0 44.4 65.6 96.2 114.1
Italy 109.1 103.6 106.3 116.1 119.1 121.3
Luxembourg 6.2 6.7 13.6 14.6 18.4 19.2
Netherlands 53.8 45.3 58.2 60.8 62.7 65.6
Poland 36.9 45.0 47.2 51.0 55.1 57.3
Portugal 48.5 68.3 71.6 83.0 93.0 100.7
Sloval Republic 50.3 29.6 27.8 35.4 41.0 45.2
Slovenia 23.1 21.9 35.2 38.0 43.4
Spain 59.3 36.1 39.8 53.3 60.1 67.6
Sweden 53.9 40.2 38.8 42.8 39.8 36.0
United Kingdom 41.0 44.5 54.4 69.6 80.0 86.1
Euro area 69.3 66.2 70.0 79.4 85.5 88.4
Sumber: EC-Think, 2011
Defisit APBN Negara-negara di dunia
2000-2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Austria -1.8 -1.0 -1.0 -4.2 -4.6 -3.7
Belgium -0.5 -0.4 -1.3 -6.0 -4.2 -3.6
Canada 1.1 1.4 0.0 -5.5 -5.5 -4.9
Czech Republic -4.5 -0.7 -2.7 -5.8 -4.7 -3.8
Denmark 2.2 4.8 3.3 -2.8 -2.9 -3.8
Estonia 1.1 2.5 -2.9 -1.8 0.1 -0.5
Finland 3.8 5.2 4.2 -2.9 -2.8 -1.4
France -2.7 -2.7 -3.3 -7.5 -7.0 -5.6
Germany -2.6 0.3 0.1 -3.0 -3.3 -2.1
Greece -5.4 -6.7 -9.8 -15.6 -10.4 -7.5
Hungary -6.7 -5.0 -3.6 -4.4 -4.2 2.6
Iceland 1.0 5.4 -13.5 -10.0 -7.8 -2.7
Ireland 1.7 0.1 -7.3 -14.3 -32.4 -10.1
Italy -3.1 -1.5 -2.7 -5.3 -4.5 -3.9
Luxembourg 2.1 3.7 3.0 -0.9 -1.7 -0.9
Netherlands -0.7 0.2 0.5 -5.5 -5.3 -3.7
New Zealand 3.5 4.5 0.4 -2.6 -4.6 -8.5
Norway 12.8 17.5 19.1 10.5 10.5 12.5
Poland -4.7 -1.9 -3.7 -7.4 -7.9 -5.8
Portugal -3.8 -3.2 -3.6 -10.1 -9.2 -5.9
Slovak Republic -5.4 -1.8 -2.1 -8.0 -7.9 -5.1
Slovenia -2.6 -0.1 -1.8 -6.0 -5.6 -5.6
Spain 0.0 1.9 -4.2 -11.1 -9.2 -6.3
Sweden 1.0 3.6 2.2 -0.9 -0.3 0.3
Switzerland -7.0 1.7 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.6
Turkey 0.8 -1.2 -2.2 -6.7 -4.6 -3.3
United Kingdom -1.6 -2.8 -4.8 -10.8 -10.3 -8.7
United States -2.6 -2.9 -6.3 -11.3 -10.6 -10.1
Euro area -2.1 -0.7 -2.1 -6.3 -6.0 -4.2
Sumber: EC-Think, 2011
 Sektor Tenaga Kerja
Pengangguran 2010 2011 2012
Advanced Economies 8.3 7.9 7.9
United States 9.6 9.1 9
Euro Area 10.1 9.9 9.9
Japan 5.1 4.9 4.8
United Kingdom 7.9 7.8 7.8
Canada 8 7.6 7.7
Other Advanced Economies 4.9 4.4 4.3
Memorandum

Newly Industrialized Asian Economies 4.1 3.5 3.5

Sumber : IMF,2011
 Kinerja Sektor Eksternal
Neraca Transaksi Berjalan 2010 2011 2012
Advanced Economies -0.2 -0.3 0.1
United States -3.2 -3.1 -2.1
Euro Area -0.4 0.1 0.4
Japan 3.6 2.5 2.8
United Kingdom -3.2 -2.7 -2.3
Canada -3.1 -3.3 -3.8
Other Advanced Economies 5 4.7 -3.7
Memorandum

Newly Industrialized Asian

Economies 7 6.4 6.1

Sumber : IMF,2011
EKONOMI GLOBAL
Kondisi Ekonomi AS
 Gambaran Perekonomian AS
GDP Riil 2010 2011 2012

Advanced Economies 3.1 1.6 1.9

United States 3 1.5 1.8

Euro Area 1.8 1.6 1.1

Japan 4 -0.5 2.3

United Kingdom 1.4 1.1 1.6

Canada 3.2 2.1 1.9

Other Advanced Economies 5.8 3.6 3.7

Memorandum

Newly Industrialized Asian Economies 8.4 4.7 4.5

Sumber : IMF,2011
 Inflasi AS Cenderung Meningkat
Namun Suku Bunga Dipertahankan
IHK 2010 2011 2012
Advanced Economies 1.6 2.6 1.4
United States 1.6 3 1.2
Euro Area 1.6 2.5 1.5
Japan -0.7 -0.4 -0.5
United Kingdom 3.3 4.5 2.4
Canada 1.8 2.9 2.1
Other Advanced Economies 2.3 3.3 2.8
Memorandum

Newly Industrialized Asian Economies 2.3 3.7 3.1

Sumber : IMF,2011
 Suku Bunga AS

Sumber : Bloomberg
 Inflasi AS

Sumber : Bloomberg
 T-Bills

Sumber : Bloomberg
Pertumbuhan Utang Pemerintah
AS (US$ Triliun)
Tahun Utang Sesungguhnya Batas Utang
2001 5.77 5.95
2002 6.2 6.4
2003 6.76 7.38
2004 7.35 8.18
2005 7.91 8.97
2006 8.45 9.82
2007 8.95 10.62
2008 9.99 12.11
2009 11.88 12.39
2010 13.53 14.29
2011 14.342 16.4
10 Besar Pemegang Surat Utang AS
Per Maret 2011 (US$ Miliar)
Hongkong, 122.1
Swiss, 111.6
Rusia, 127.8
Bank Sentral
Karibia, 154.8
China, 1,144.9
Taiwan, 156.1

Brazil, 193.5

Eksportir Minyak
222.3

Inggris, 325.2

Jepang, 907.9
EKONOMI GLOBAL
Perkembangan Bursa Global
 MARKET UP DATE
BURSA 30 Des 2010 7-Nov-11 +/-

BEI 3,703.51 3,778.24 2.02%

DOW 11,203.55 12,068.39 7.72%

NASDAQ 2,532.02 2,695.25 6.45%

HANGSENG 23,524.02 19,677.89 -16.35%

NIKKEI 10,115.19 8,767.09 -13.33%

STI 3,190.92 2,848.24 -10.74%

SHANGHAI 2,884.37 2,509.80 -12.99%

KOSPI 1,944.34 1,919.10 -1.30%

SENSEX 19,957.59 17,562.61 -12.00%

EKONOMI GLOBAL
Perkembangan Harga
Komoditas Dunia
PERKEMBANGAN HARGA KOMODITAS
31 Des 2010 vs 07 Nov2011

KOMODITI 31 Des 2010 7-Nov-11 +/-

OIL (Nymex) US$/barrel 91.41 95.77 4.77%

COAL US$/ton 128.5 116.94 -9.00%

(Newcastle Port)

GOLD US$/oz 1,418.9 1,790.9 26.22%

NICKEL US$/ton 24,950 18,700 -25.05%

TIN US$/ton 26,900 22,000 -18.22%

CPO RM/Mton 3,820 2,971 -22.23%

 Tantangan dan Outlook Ekonomi
Global Kuartal 4 Tahun 2011
• Banjirnya likuiditas sampai akhir tahun 2011 setelah
adanya signal dari The Fed bahwa The Fed belum akan
menaikkan Fed Rate sampai pertengahan tahun 2013
sebagai dampak berkurangnya teknan inflasi di AS
• Beralihnya mesin pertumbuhan ekonomi dunia dari
negara Eropa & Amerika Serikat menuju kawasan Asia
dipimpin China, India dan Indonesia serta Amerika Latin
Brazil dan Rusia
• Krisis utang, perbankan dan besarnya defisit anggaran di
Zona Euro
• Perlambatan pertumbuhan ekonomi Amerika Serikat
EKONOMI INDONESIA
Makro Ekonomi Indonesia
 KONDISI TERKINI – November 2011

Pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia pada kuartal I-III/2011 masing-
masing sebesar 6.5 %;

Cadangan devisa RI hingga 31 Okt 2011 mencapai USD 113.96 miliar

Jumlah capital inflow ke Pasar Modal Indonesia sampai akhir tahun
2011 diperkirakan Rp 20 triliun;

Nilai ekspor Indonesia September 2011 mencapai USD17.82 miliar atau
turun 4.45% dibanding Agustus 2011. Sementara bila dibandingkan
September 2010 mengalami peningkatan 46.28%.

Nilai kumulatif ekspor Jan-Sept USD152.5 miliar atau naik 37.4%
dibanding periode sama 2010

Deflasi. Bulan Oktober 2011 sebesar 0.12%, sedangkan inflasi ytd
sebesar 2.85% dan yoy sebesar 4.42%. Sementara Core Inflation
Oktober -0.12%, Core Inflation ytd sebesar 3.85% dan YoY 4.43%;

Rupiah flat. 09 Nov 2011 (Rp 8,990) VS 30 Dec 2010 (Rp 8,990);

BI Rate turun 50 bps per 10 Novemmber 2011. BI Rate 5 Agt 2009
(6.5%) VS 10 Nov 2011 (6,0%)
 KONDISI TERKINI – November 2011

Jumlah Wisman Sept 2011 mencapai 650.1 ribu orang atau Naik 16.01%
VS Periode sama Sept 2010 sebanyak 560.4 ribu orang;

Pertumbuhan Produksi Industri Manufaktur Besar dan Sedang Triwulan
2/2011 Naik 4.79% dari Triwulan 2/2010 dimana Jenis Industri yang
mengalami kenaikan diantaranya: Logam Dasar (+18.30%), Mesin Listrik
lainnya dan Perlengkapannya (+19.96%), Kendaraan Bermotor
(+0.69%), Barang-Barang dari Logam, kecuali Mesin dan Peralatannya
(+8.30%), Pakaian Jadi (+11.20%), Makanan dan Minuman (+5.19%)

Moody’s dan Fitch Rating yang sudah menaikkan rating Indonesia, 1
notch dibawah Investment Grade;

Rata-rata EPS LQ45 Q3/2011 NAIK 26,3%, dimana kenaikan EPS
tertinggi dibukukan AKRA (+723.8%) dan terendah dibukukan BJBR
(+0.11%)

Market Capitalization sampai Juli 2011 sekitar USD 381.8 miliar, naik dari
awal tahun 2011 sebesar USD420 miliar dan akan meningkat menjadi
USD478 miliar.

IDX is now trading at 15.0x (09 November 2011) prospective earnings,
dan target IDX until end of 2011 is 4,200 (equal with P/E Ratio 16,4x)
Asumsi Makro 2012
PDB (Triliun Rp) 8.131,4
Pertmbhn Ek.(%) 6,5-6,9
Inflasi (%) 3,5-5,5
Kurs ($/Rp) 9,000-9,300
SBI 3 bln (%) 5,5-7,5
Mnyk Ind (US$/brl) 75-95
Lift. Mnyk (Jt.brl/hr) 0.950-0.970
 BI Rate

Sumber : Bloomberg
 Inflasi Indonesia

Sumber : Bloomberg
 Yield SUN 10 Tahun

Sumber : Bloomberg
 Nilai Tukar IDR/US

Sumber : Bloomberg
 Pertumbuhan GDP Indonesia
2005-2011E
Pertumbuhan GDP Indonesia 2005-2011E
%
7

6 6.3 6.5
6 6
5 5.7
5.5
4.5
4

2
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010E 2011E

Sumber : Bloomberg
 Pertumbuhan Ekonomi vs
PDB per Kapita Indonesia
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi vs. PDB per kapita
INDONESIA
4,000 6.5 7
6.6

6.3 6.0
3,500 6.0
5.7 3,480 6
5.5 5.0
3,000 3,230
4.9 5.0 5
3,000
4.5 4.8
2,500 2,270 2,590
4
3.6 1,938
2,000
1,663
3
1,500 1,318
1,186
1,098
921 2
1,000 807 772
609
500 1
0.8
- 0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010E 2011E 2012E

PDB per kapita (USD) Pertumbuhan Ekonomi (%)

Sumber : MNC Securities Research Division

 Peranan Wilayah / Pulau dalam
Pembentukan PDB Nasional
(Q2/2011)
(Q2/2011 )

Peranan Wilayah / Pulau dalam Pembentukan PDB Nasional 2011

Jawa, 57.7

Kalimantan9.5

Sumatra, 23.5
Sulawesi, 4.7

Bali & Nusa

Maluku & Tenggara, 2.5
Papua, 2.1

Sumber : BPS
 PDB Menurut Penggunaan
Harga Berlaku (Triwulan Rupiah) Harga Konstan (Triwulan Rupiah) Distribusi (Persen)

Triwulan Triwulan Triwulan Triwulan Triwulan

Jenis Pengeluaran II/2010 III/2011 Triwulan II/2010 III/2011 II/2010 III/2011

Pengeluaran Konsumsi Rumah Tangga 891.1 936 324.2 330.7 56.6 56.6

Pengeluaran Konsumsi Pemerintah 134.9 147.2 43.2 48.7 8.6 8.9

Pembentukan Modal Tetap Bruto (PMTB) 496.4 538.3 133.6 142.9 31.5 32.5

4. a. Perubahan Inventori 7.2 9.2 2.3 3.5 0.5 0.6

b. Diskrepansi Statistik 27 13.9 17.3 3.9 1.7 0.8

Ekspor Barang dan Jasa 373.7 384.1 255.3 270.5 23.7 23.2

Dikurangi : Impor Barang dan Jasa 355.5 374.2 202.1 206.6 22.6 22.6

PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO 1574.8 1654.5 573.8 593.6 100 100

Sumber : BPS
Eksport – Import Indonesia
Distribusi Nilai Ekspor Indonesia Menurut Negara
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Rerata
ASEAN 21.88 20.70 21.51 21.69 21.69 21.21 21.56
Uni Eropa 15.29 15.17 14.63 13.77 13.77 12.94 14.34
Jepang 14.76 15.21 14.35 12.45 12.45 12.61 13.64
ASEAN 14.00 13.19 12.00 11.55 10.56 10.21 11.92
China 8.19 9.11 9.19 8.93 11.09 12.75 9.88
Singapura 10.60 9.82 9.57 9.80 8.99 7.80 9.43
India 4.34 4.37 5.26 6.34 7.59 7.49 5.90
Malaysia 4.92 4.84 5.05 5.76 5.71 5.95 5.37
Korea Selatan 4.03 4.23 4.10 4.19 5.19 5.40 4.52
Belgia 3.22 3.27 3.04 3.58 3.00 2.88 3.16
Thailand 2.97 2.64 2.97 3.04 2.63 3.09 2.89
Taiwan 2.72 2.86 2.57 2.65 2.91 2.46 2.69
Sumber: Diolah dari BPS, 2011

Distribusi Nilai Impor Indonesia Menurut Negara

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Rerata
ASEAN 28.20 28.53 26.62 23.29 23.93 22.20 25.46
RRC 11.57 13.28 15.66 17.47 19.21 20.36 16.26
Jepang 17.73 14.77 13.04 14.86 12.61 15.80 14.80
Singapura 16.69 17.71 14.62 11.69 12.43 9.27 13.79
Uni Eropa 11.46 12.35 13.03 10.68 10.18 8.95 11.11
AS 7.38 7.29 7.61 7.81 8.50 7.24 7.64
Thailand 6.82 6.03 6.23 6.27 5.86 6.98 6.37
Korea Selatan 5.63 5.46 5.23 4.95 4.87 5.18 5.22
Malaysia 3.33 3.62 4.04 3.97 4.23 4.21 3.90
Inggris 3.72 3.42 3.66 3.16 3.03 2.78 3.30
Taiwan 3.18 2.99 3.02 2.67 2.55 2.73 2.86
India 1.85 2.28 2.43 2.53 2.71 2.53 2.39
Sumber: Diolah dari BPS, 2011
 Proyeksi Produk Domestik Bruto Menurut Penggunaan
Atas Dasar Harga Konstan 2000 (%)
QII-
Jenis Pengeluaran 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010*) 2011**)
Pengeluaran Konsumsi Rumah
Tangga 5.0 5.3 4.9 4.5 5.3 5.3
Pengeluaran Konsumsi
Pemerintah 3.9 10.4 15.7 -8.9 -4.5 3.5
Pembentukan Modal Tetap
Domestik Bruto 9.1 11.7 3.4 7.9 10.5 8.7

Ekspor Barang dan Jasa 8.5 9.5 -9.7 17.2 9 7.8

Dikurangi : Impor Barang dan Jasa 9.0 10.0 -14.9 20.1 9.5 7.7

PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO 6.32 3.06 4.56 5.90 6.00 6.6

Sumber : BPS
*) MNC Securities Research Division
 Proyeksi Produk Domestik Bruto Menurut Sektor Ekonomi
Atas Dasar Harga Konstan 2000 (%)
QIII-
Sektor Ekonomi 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010*) 2011*)
1. Pertanian, Peternakan,
Kehutanan dan Perikanan 3.5 4.7 4.2 3.0 2.8 3.4
2. Pertambangan dan Penggalian 2.0 0.5 4.5 3.4 3 3.8
3. Industri Pengolahan 4.7 3.7 2.1 4.0 3.8 4.6
4. Listrik, Gas, dan Air Bersih 10.4 10.9 13.8 6.4 6 6.8
5. Konstruksi 8.6 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.5 7.3
6. Perdagangan, Hotel dan
Restoran 8.5 7.2 1.3 9.5 9.6 9.6
7. Pengangkutan dan Komunikasi 14.4 16.7 15.4 12.4 12 12.8
8. Keuangan, Real Estate dan
Jasa Perusahaan 8.0 8.2 5.0 5.7 5.4 5.8
9. Jasa 6.6 6.4 6.0 4.9 5 5.3
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT/GDP 6.32 6.06 4.56 5.90 6.00 6.6

Sumber : BPS
*) MNC Securities Research Division
Pertumbuhan Masih Berpusat di Jawa

Provinsi Distribusi Penduduk (%)

Jabar 18.12
Jatim 15.77
Jateng 13.63
Banten 4.47
DKI Jakarta 4.04
Sulsel 3.38
Lampung 3.2
Sumsel 3.14
Riau 2.33 Provinsi Distribusi PDB 2010 (%)
Sumbar 2.04 DKI Jakarta 17.81
Jatim 15.41
Jabar 14.49
Jateng 8.42
Sumut 5.34
Kalteng 4.98
Sulawesi 4.67
Riau 4.4
Banten 3.98
Sumsel 2.87
Pertumbuhan PDRB Menurut Provinsi 2006-2010
Provinsi 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Rata-rata
Papua barat 4.55 6.95 7.84 7.02 26.82 10.64
Banten 5.57 6.04 22.53 4.69 5.94 8.95
Sulbar 6.9 7.43 12.07 6.03 11.91 8.87
Sultenggara 7.68 7.96 12.59 7.57 8.19 8.80
Sultenggara 7.82 7.99 9.96 7.51 7.79 8.21
Sulut 5.72 6.47 10.86 7.85 7.12 7.60
Gorontalo 7.3 7.51 7.76 7.54 7.62 7.55
ulsel 6.72 6.34 7.78 6.23 8.18 7.05
Jambi 5.89 6.82 7.16 6.37 7.33 6.71
Bali 5.28 5.92 10.27 5.33 5.83 6.53
Malut 5.48 6.01 5.99 6.05 7.96 6.30
Kepri 6.78 7.01 6.63 3.52 7.21 6.23
Sumut 6.2 6.9 6.39 5.07 6.35 6.18
DKI Jakarta 5.95 6.44 6.23 5.02 6.51 6.03
Kalteng 5.84 6.06 6.17 5.51 6.47 6.01
Bengkulu 5.95 6.46 5.78 6.43 5.14 5.95
Jatim 5.8 6.11 6.16 5.01 6.68 5.95
Sumbar 6.14 6.34 6.88 4.28 5.93 5.91
Jabar 6.02 6.48 6.21 4.19 6.09 5.80
NTB 2.77 4.91 2.82 12.11 6.29 5.78
Indonesia 5.5 6.3 6 4.5 6.1 5.68
Kalsel 4.98 6.01 6.45 5.29 5.58 5.66
Jateng 5.33 5.59 5.61 5.14 5.84 5.50
Maluku 5.55 5.62 4.23 5.44 6.47 5.46
Lampung 4.98 5.94 5.35 5.16 5.75 5.44
Kalbar 5.23 6.02 4.49 4.79 5.35 5.18
Sumsel 5.2 5.84 5.07 4.11 5.43 5.13
NTT 5.08 5.15 4.84 4.29 5.13 4.90
Babel 3.98 4.54 4.6 3.7 5.85 4.53
DIY 3.7 4.31 5.03 4.43 4.87 4.47
Riau 5.15 3.41 5.65 2.97 4.17 4.27
Kaltim 2.85 1.84 4.9 2.09 4.95 3.33
Papua barat -17.14 4.34 -1.4 22.74 -2.65 1.18
NAD 1.56 -2.36 -5.24 -5.51 2.64 -1.78
 Perkembangan Jumlah Kelas Menengah di Asia

2030 2050
Middle Class Upper Class GDP per capita Middle Class Upper Class GDP per
Negara Population Population (PPP) Population Population capita (PPP)
PRC 1,120 40 21,100 1,240 190 47,800
India 1,190 15 13,200 1,400 210 41,700
Indonesia 220 5 13,500 250 40 37,400
Japan 100 20 48,900 60 40 66,700
Republic of Korea 30 20 60,200 10 35 107,600
Vietnam 80 2 11,900 100 15 33,800
World 4,990 580 19,400 5,900 1,500 36,600
US 185 190 65,500 120 290 98,600
Germany 50 30 51,300 25 50 77,800
 Data Ekonomi Terkini –
September 2011
Produksi Batubara Indonesia (juta ton)

275.2
256.2
240.2 235.0
216.9
193.8

152.7
132.4

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Aug-11

Sumber : Dirjen Mineral dan Batubara

Produksi Batubara Indonesia (juta ton)
 Data Ekonomi Terkini –
September 2011
Penjualan Mobil Indonesia (unit)
745.599
800.000 625.400

600.000 389.711

400.000

200.000

0
Jan - Okt 2009 Jan - Okt 2010 Jan - Okt 2011

Penjualan Mobil Indonesia (unit)

Target penjualan mobil tahun 2011 sebesar 830,000 unit

 Data Ekonomi Terkini –
September 2011
Penjualan Sepeda Motor Indonesia
(juta unit)

8 6,19
5,51
6 4,17

0
Jan - Sept 2009 Jan - Sept 2010 Jan - Sept 2011

Penjualan Sepeda Motor Indonesia (juta unit)

Target penjualan motor tahun 2011 sebesar 8.3 juta unit

 Data Ekonomi Terkini –
September 2011
Penjualan Semen Nasional
(juta ton)
34,30
40 27,36 29,55

30

20

10

0
Jan - Sept 2009 Jan - Sept 2010 Jan - Sept 2011

Konsumsi Semen Nasional (juta ton)

Target penjualan semen tahun 2011 sebesar 44 juta ton
Data Ekonomi Terkini –
September 2011
Penjualan Ban Mobil (juta unit)
38,41
36,63
40
27,54
30

20

10

0
Jan - Sept 2009 Jan - Sept 2010 Jan - Sept 2011

Penjualan Ban Mobil (juta unit)

EKONOMI INDONESIA
Kondisi Bursa Indonesia
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi vs IHSG
7 5,000
6.6 6.5
6.3
6.1 6 4,500
6 4,600
5.6 5.5
3,703 4,000
5.1
5 4.8 4.5 4,000
3,500
4.4

3,000
4

2,500
2,700
3 1,806 2,700
2,000

2 1,163 1,500
1,000
1,355
692 1,000
1 425
500

0 -
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011E 2012E

Pertumbuhan Ekonomi IHSG

Sumber : MNC Securities Research Division

 Tingkat Pengembalian IHSG
Per Tahun (2000 – 2010)

87.00%

62.80%
55.30%
52.10%
44.60%
46.13%

16.20%
8.40%
-5.80%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

-38.50%

-50.60%

Sumber : Bloomberg
 Pertumbuhan EPS Indonesia
2007-2011E
Pertumbuhan EPS Indonesia 2007- 2011E
%
42

37 40

32

27
28 27.5 24.3
22

17
16.2
12
2007 2008 2009 2010E 2011E

Sumber : Bloomberg
Pertumbuhan EPS Sektoral 2011E
Pertumbuhan EPS Sektoral 2011E
%
80
68.4
70

60
48.2
50

40
30
17.2 17.9 17.3 17.6
20
11.1
10
0
Auto Consumer Financial Property Resources Telecom Utility

Sumber : Bloomberg
 ROE Sektoral 2011E
Sektoral ROE 2011E
%
70
60.6
60
50.9
50

40 32.8
30 26.8 24.7 24.2

20
8.8
10

0
Auto Consumer Financial Property Resources Telecom Utility

Sumber : Bloomberg
Hutang Bank Emiten Dalam Valas
Emiten Hutang (Juta dolar) Hutang dalam Yen
BUMI 5,044.00
ADRO 1,924.75
ASII 1,730.00
ISAT 1,003.26
BRAU 802.68
CPIN 630.00
PGAS 528.26 47,260.00
BYAN 418.82
EXCL 403.40
BBRI 400.00
BMRI 310.00
INCO 300.00
UNTR 224.00
SIMP 204.82
BBNI 195.83
TLKM 107.80
BDMN 94.13
ANTM 85.00
INDF 74.50
BNII 35.80
HRUM 5.16
SMGR 1.20
DAMPAK KRISIS GLOBAL
TERHADAP
PEREKONOMIAN
INDONESIA
Krisis Ekonomi 1998, 2008, dan 2011

Kondisi 1998 2008 2011

Penyebab Depresiasi Baht Thailand Subprime mortgage Kekhawatiran terjadinya
AS gagal bayar Yunani
Politik dan Keamanan Krisis kepemimpinan, Stabil-kondusif Stabil-kondusif
terjadi kerusuhan
Kondisi Perbankan Rapuh Fundamental kuat Fundamental kuat
Suku Bunga SBI > 70% 8-10% 6-7%
Cadangan Devisa USD 22 miliar USD 57 miliar USD 114 miliar
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi -13% Diatas 6% Diatas 6%
Kurs Rp/USD > Rp 15.000 Fluktuatif Apresiasi, Fluktuatif
Utang Luar Negri Besar Kecil Kecil
Pangan Sembako sulit, defisit Surplus Relatif Cukup

Sumber : Gunawan (2008) dan Bank Indonesia (2011)

 Outlook Ekonomi
Hingga Akhir Tahun 2011
• Kondisi Eropa dan AS tidak terlalu berpengaruh terhadap
PDB Indonesia yang diperkirakan pada level 6,6%
• Kondisi ekonomi Indonesia pada tahun 2011 jauh lebih kuat
dibandingkan tahun 2008
• Rupiah akan stabil di level Rp9,000
• BI Rate akan dipertahankan di level 6,75%
• Tekanan jual oleh asing akan melemah pada pertengahan
Oktober 2011 disebabkan oleh akan adanya Laporan
Keuangan Emiten Triwulan III/2011
• PE Indonesia 2012F berkisar 10x dengan EPS emiten akan
tumbuh sebesar 25%
• Dengan kondisi PE yang murah dan pertumbuhan laba
bersih yang tinggi membuat indeks pada akhir tahun 2011
akan berada pada level 4,000 – 4,200
 Skenario Penurunan Perekonomian Global
terhadap Ekonomi Indonesia
Skenario 1 Skenario 2 Skenario 3

Goncangan keuangan Hasil

Krisis keuangan Perlambatan global
Skenario internasional yang
internasional besar yang parah
terus berlanjut

2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2008 2009

Pertumbuhan PDB Indonesia

(%) 6.1 6.4 6.3 6.1 6.3 5.5 6.1 6.3 4.1 6.0 4.6

Asumsi skenario:

Rasio investasi/PDB (%) 23.9 24.6 25.3 23.9 24.6 24.6 23.9 24.6 23.6 23.7 23.4

Pertumbuhan PDB mitra dagang

utama (%) 6.8 3.3 3.9 6.8 3.2 2.0 6.8 3.0 (1.8) 2.0 (1.4)

0.0
Pertumbuhan terms of trade (%) 5.3 10.0 5.3 8.0 (15.0) 5.3 7.0 (30.0) (18.1) (4.2)

Sumber : IMF,2011
Outlook 2012
 Outlook Ekonomi Tahun 2012
• Kondisi bursa global khususnya AS dan Eropa masih belum pulih benar walaupun mulai ada
kejelasan dan perkembangan. Terlihat dari pertumbuhan GDP AS dan Jerman tahun 2012 yang
diperkirakan berkisar di level 1,8% dan 1,3%. Sedangkan bursa Indonesia masih memberikan
pertumbuhan GDP hingga 6,5% membuat bursa Indonesia akan kembali dilirik oleh investor
asing.
• Sedangkan untuk PER bursa Indonesia tahun 2012 diperkirakan sekitar 13x, lebih tinggi
dibandingkan bursa AS dan Eropa yang hanya sebesar11x. Tetapi rata-rata pertumbuhan EPS
emiten di indonesia yang sebesar 25% membuat PE tersebut menjadi ideal
• Tahun 2012 inflasi diperkirakan tidak akan jauh berbeda dibandingkan tahun 2011 yang berkisar
pada level 5%. Apalagi diperkuat dengan komitmen dari DPR dan Pemerintah bahwa tahun
depan tidak akan ada kenaikan BBM dan listrik membuat inflasi semakin terjaga.
• Perlambatan ekonomi di negara AS dan Eropa tidak akan terlalu berpengaruh untuk Indonesia
karena kita bisa mengganti ke negara Asia khususnya China dan India
• Cadangan devisa Indonesia pada tahun 2012 diperkirakan meningkat menjadi USD135 miliar
sehingga akan memberikan kenyamanan bagi BI untuk mengintervensi USD pada level 9000
• BI Rate diperkirakan akan turun 50 bps menjadi 5,5%, rendahnya bunga tersebut akan
berdampak positif buat sektor riil khususnya pembangunan perumahan dan konsumsi
• Indonesia pada tahun 2012 akan mendapatkan kategori Investment Grade
France
Subject Descriptor 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP, constant prices 1,774.49 1,803.81 1,829.05 1,863.20 1,902.31 1,941.52
GDP, constant prices 1.384 1.652 1.399 1.867 2.099 2.062
GDP, current prices 1,931.38 1,987.58 2,046.62 2,120.49 2,204.10 2,293.27
GDP, current prices 2,562.74 2,808.27 2,888.91 2,970.27 3,062.22 3,161.48
GDP, deflator 108.842 110.188 111.896 113.809 115.865 118.117
GDP per capita, constant prices 28,184.48 28,519.58 28,786.79 29,190.68 29,667.56 30,141.19
GDP per capita, current prices 30,676.41 31,425.12 32,211.19 33,221.61 34,374.27 35,601.86
GDP per capita, current prices 40,704.35 44,400.77 45,467.64 46,535.22 47,757.12 49,080.52
Output gap in percent of potential GDP -3.644 -2.964 -2.581 -1.842 -1.067 -0.481
GDP based on PPP valuation of country GDP 2,134.94 2,216.77 2,271.54 2,328.82 2,397.99 2,476.71
GDP on PPP per capita GDP 33,909.53 35,048.77 35,751.08 36,485.54 37,398.05 38,449.79
GDP based on PPP share of world total 2.87 2.811 2.742 2.675 2.611 2.544
Implied PPP conversion rate 0.905 0.897 0.901 0.911 0.919 0.926
Total investment 19.195 21.213 21.715 21.999 22.108 22.323
Gross national savings 18.554 18.55 19.217 19.457 19.555 19.81
Inflation, avg consumer prices 128.175 130.926 132.693 134.896 137.28 139.789
Inflation, avg consumer prices 1.736 2.146 1.35 1.66 1.767 1.828
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 108.788 111.122 112.622 114.492 116.515 118.645
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 1.736 2.146 1.35 1.66 1.767 1.828
Volume of imports of goods and services 8.253 5.591 2.428 3.476 3.844 3.803
Volume of Imports of goods 9.104 5.946 2.36 3.476 3.844 3.803
Volume of exports of goods and services 9.353 4.947 2.679 3.216 3.547 3.743
Volume of exports of goods 11.258 4.772 2.599 3.216 3.547 3.743
Value of oil imports 35.319 46.12 44.691 44.467 43.574 43.127
Value of oil exports 0.101 0.132 0.128 0.127 0.125 0.124
Unemployment rate 9.787 9.518 9.178 8.976 8.599 8.288
Employment 25.569 25.736 25.947 n/a n/a n/a
Population 62.96 63.248 63.538 63.829 64.121 64.414
General government revenue 957.591 1,006.96 1,048.39 1,082.75 1,126.49 1,172.06
General government revenue 49.544 50.625 51.188 51.024 51.071 51.071
General government total expenditure 1,094.49 1,124.01 1,143.08 1,167.01 1,195.01 1,223.91
General government total expenditure 56.627 56.51 55.811 54.995 54.178 53.331
General government net lending/borrowing -136.899 -117.047 -94.687 -84.26 -68.524 -51.854
General government net lending/borrowing -7.083 -5.885 -4.623 -3.971 -3.107 -2.259
General government structural balance -91.239 -77.113 -58.62 -56.168 -49.835 -40.717
General government structural balance -4.552 -3.765 -2.79 -2.6 -2.237 -1.767
General government primary net lending/borrowing -93.801 -68.373 -42.968 -29.662 -7.875 14.392
General government primary net lending/borrowing -4.853 -3.437 -2.098 -1.398 -0.357 0.627
General government net debt 1,478.60 1,610.82 1,711.12 1,801.19 1,873.19 1,924.45
General government net debt 76.5 80.985 83.545 84.88 84.924 83.856
General government gross debt 1,591.20 1,726.70 1,830.43 1,924.81 2,001.69 2,058.14
General government gross debt 82.326 86.811 89.371 90.706 90.75 89.681
Gross domestic product corresponding to fiscal year, current prices 1,932.80 1,989.04 2,048.13 2,122.04 2,205.72 2,294.95
Current account balance -44.657 -74.774 -72.17 -75.491 -78.197 -79.443
Current account balance -1.743 -2.663 -2.498 -2.542 -2.554 -2.513

Sumber : IMF
GERMANY
Subject Descriptor 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP, constant prices 2,364.09 2,428.52 2,459.44 2,496.39 2,533.81 2,566.62
GDP, constant prices 3.562 2.725 1.273 1.502 1.499 1.295
GDP, current prices 2,476.80 2,568.20 2,626.75 2,683.28 2,749.30 2,810.81
GDP, current prices 3,286.45 3,628.62 3,707.79 3,758.61 3,819.68 3,874.97
GDP, deflator 104.767 105.752 106.803 107.487 108.504 109.514
GDP per capita, constant prices 28,970.56 29,819.68 30,259.84 30,776.02 31,300.02 31,768.77
GDP per capita, current prices 30,351.72 31,534.80 32,318.47 33,080.09 33,961.93 34,791.37
GDP per capita, current prices 40,273.52 44,555.74 45,619.08 46,336.99 47,184.24 47,963.18
Output gap in percent of potential GDP -1.559 -0.321 -0.446 -0.296 -0.071 -0.027
GDP based on PPP valuation of country GDP 2,944.35 3,089.47 3,161.88 3,230.00 3,306.40 3,389.28
GDP on PPP per capita GDP 36,081.29 37,935.52 38,902.36 39,820.12 40,843.72 41,951.50
GDP based on PPP share of world total 3.958 3.918 3.817 3.711 3.6 3.482
Implied PPP conversion rate 0.841 0.831 0.831 0.831 0.832 0.829
Total investment 17.343 19.106 19.443 19.761 19.995 20.195
Gross national savings 23.04 24.145 24.363 24.539 24.706 24.544
Inflation, avg consumer prices 108.433 110.858 112.299 114.096 116.263 118.589
Inflation, avg consumer prices 1.15 2.236 1.3 1.6 1.9 2
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 110 112.459 113.921 115.744 117.943 120.302
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 1.852 2.236 1.3 1.6 1.9 2
Volume of imports of goods and services 11.711 7.693 3.682 3.8 3.8 4.24
Volume of Imports of goods 12.752 8.927 3.658 3.8 3.8 4.24
Volume of exports of goods and services 13.732 7.892 4.072 4.2 4.1 4.2
Volume of exports of goods 15.222 8.646 3.85 4.2 4.1 4.2
Value of oil imports 83.933 92.879 95 97.51 97.5 96.5
Value of oil exports 4.621 6.034 5.847 5.818 5.701 5.642
Unemployment rate 7.083 6.001 6.151 6.389 6.263 6.132
Employment 40.505 40.99 41.004 n/a n/a n/a
Population 81.603 81.44 81.277 81.115 80.952 80.791
General government revenue 1,082.09 1,133.09 1,157.70 1,179.47 1,203.28 1,227.95
General government revenue 43.689 44.12 44.073 43.956 43.767 43.687
General government total expenditure 1,163.72 1,175.90 1,186.46 1,200.55 1,204.52 1,222.20
General government total expenditure 46.985 45.787 45.168 44.742 43.812 43.482
General government net lending/borrowing -81.629 -42.815 -28.768 -21.08 -1.243 5.754
General government net lending/borrowing -3.296 -1.667 -1.095 -0.786 -0.045 0.205
General government structural balance -58.083 -36.524 -22.79 -17.023 -0.25 6.138
General government structural balance -2.309 -1.418 -0.864 -0.633 -0.009 0.218
General government primary net lending/borrowing -28.559 9.966 22.245 33.013 52.806 58.089
General government primary net lending/borrowing -1.153 0.388 0.847 1.23 1.921 2.067
General government net debt 1,425.53 1,468.34 1,497.11 1,518.19 1,519.43 1,553.43
General government net debt 57.555 57.174 56.995 56.58 55.266 55.266
General government gross debt 2,079.63 2,122.44 2,151.21 2,172.29 2,173.54 2,167.78
General government gross debt 83.964 82.643 81.896 80.957 79.058 77.123
GDP corresponding to fiscal year, current prices 2,476.80 2,568.20 2,626.75 2,683.28 2,749.30 2,810.81
Current account balance 187.232 182.823 182.41 179.612 179.942 168.506
Current account balance 5.697 5.038 4.92 4.779 4.711 4.349

Sumber : IMF
INDIA
Subject Descriptor 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP, constant prices 51,863.34 55,929.10 60,142.02 65,014.52 70,311.77 76,026.87
GDP, constant prices 10.094 7.839 7.533 8.102 8.148 8.128
GDP, current prices 75,121.56 87,454.90 99,459.33 113,510.80 128,712.24 145,487.47
GDP, current prices 1,631.97 1,843.38 2,012.76 2,235.24 2,476.95 2,738.27
GDP, deflator 144.845 156.367 165.374 174.593 183.059 191.363
GDP per capita, constant prices 43,563.45 46,340.45 49,169.00 52,462.31 56,000.10 59,765.65
GDP per capita, current prices 63,099.57 72,461.37 81,312.79 91,595.52 102,513.40 114,369.47
GDP per capita, current prices 1,370.80 1,527.35 1,645.53 1,803.69 1,972.77 2,152.59
GDP based on PPP valuation of country GDP 4,057.79 4,469.76 4,857.26 5,284.50 5,763.84 6,306.93
GDP on PPP per capita GDP 3,408.40 3,703.45 3,971.04 4,264.24 4,590.64 4,957.95
GDP based on PPP share of world total 5.455 5.668 5.864 6.071 6.275 6.479
Implied PPP conversion rate 18.513 19.566 20.476 21.48 22.331 23.068
Total investment 36.786 37.613 38.448 39.609 40.733 41.766
Gross national savings 34.163 35.428 36.264 37.742 38.697 39.357
Inflation, avg consumer prices 175.917 194.478 211.178 226.11 238.245 250.139
Inflation, avg consumer prices 11.989 10.551 8.587 7.071 5.366 4.992
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 185 201.556 218.788 231.651 243.975 254.86
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 9.467 8.949 8.549 5.879 5.32 4.461
Volume of imports of goods and services 16.552 13.01 10.3 11.603 12.102 12.118
Volume of Imports of goods 10.669 11.238 10.231 12.302 13 13
Volume of exports of goods and services 21.683 17.843 15.137 13.387 13.288 13.23
Volume of exports of goods 19.852 15.361 14.544 11.899 11.769 11.615
Value of oil imports 76.812 91.768 101.315 112.008 124.462 138.879
Value of oil exports 34.127 42.811 49.628 57.609 67.215 78.751
Population 1,190.52 1,206.92 1,223.17 1,239.26 1,255.57 1,272.08
General government revenue 13,881.87 16,202.55 18,981.01 21,850.75 24,824.91 27,492.03
General government revenue 17.617 17.811 18.427 18.558 18.647 18.271
General government total expenditure 20,521.05 23,211.64 26,501.25 30,295.26 34,288.52 37,972.77
General government total expenditure 26.043 25.515 25.727 25.73 25.756 25.236
General government net lending/borrowing -6,639.17 -7,009.09 -7,520.24 -8,444.51 -9,463.61 -10,480.74
General government net lending/borrowing -8.426 -7.705 -7.301 -7.172 -7.109 -6.965
General government structural balance -6,862.06 -7,282.88 -7,939.64 -8,976.71 -9,970.88 -11,026.24
General government structural balance -9.166 -8.345 -7.967 -7.908 -7.747 -7.579
General government gross debt 50,522.17 56,795.01 63,852.50 71,747.15 80,562.42 90,485.28
General government gross debt 64.117 62.432 61.988 60.935 60.514 60.134
GDP corresponding to fiscal year, current prices 78,796.69 90,971.34 103,007.68 117,744.21 133,129.49 150,472.17
Current account balance -42.807 -40.274 -43.958 -41.74 -50.431 -65.957
Current account balance -2.623 -2.185 -2.184 -1.867 -2.036 -2.409

Sumber : IMF
INDONESIA
Subject Descriptor 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP, constant prices 2,310,689.80 2,458,573.95 2,613,464.11 2,788,566.20 2,983,765.84 3,192,629.44
GDP, constant prices 6.105 6.4 6.3 6.7 7 7
11,604,223.2
GDP, current prices 6,422,918.23 7,222,838.74 8,174,636.26 9,193,343.09 10,358,231.59 7
GDP, current prices 706.752 834.335 936.492 1,031.92 1,137.39 1,253.16
GDP, deflator 277.965 293.782 312.789 329.68 347.153 363.469
12,681,852.5
GDP per capita, constant prices 9,723,434.21 10,223,057.32 10,738,250.92 11,321,851.51 11,982,572.81 3
46,094,622.2
GDP per capita, current prices 27,027,783.16 30,033,464.95 33,588,100.62 37,325,872.08 41,597,856.90 6
GDP per capita, current prices 2,974.03 3,469.27 3,847.88 4,189.68 4,567.68 4,977.82
GDP based on PPP valuation of country
GDP 1,032.95 1,122.64 1,205.98 1,295.04 1,397.52 1,513.24
GDP on PPP per capita GDP 4,346.69 4,668.07 4,955.14 5,258.00 5,612.34 6,010.95
GDP based on PPP share of world total 1.389 1.424 1.456 1.488 1.522 1.555
Implied PPP conversion rate 6,218.02 6,433.81 6,778.43 7,098.87 7,411.86 7,668.44
Total investment 32.487 32.894 34.416 35.862 37.161 38.518
Gross national savings 33.312 33.138 34.147 35.374 36.48 37.527
Inflation, avg consumer prices 120.968 127.856 136.13 143.537 151.148 158.323
Inflation, avg consumer prices 5.133 5.695 6.471 5.441 5.303 4.747
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 125.17 131.435 139.787 147.489 155.166 162.219
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 6.955 5.005 6.355 5.51 5.205 4.546
Volume of imports of goods and services 28.2 9.748 8.461 8.342 8.207 8.004
Volume of Imports of goods 28.2 9.748 8.461 8.342 8.207 8.004
Volume of exports of goods and services 10.107 4.312 7.055 7.888 6.89 6.845
Volume of exports of goods 10.107 4.312 7.055 7.888 6.89 6.845
Value of oil imports 24.344 35.413 36.477 38.726 40.604 43.001
Value of oil exports 15.691 20.296 19.667 19.569 19.175 18.979
Unemployment rate 7.14 6.8 6.55 6.3 5.85 5.15
Population 237.641 240.493 243.379 246.299 249.009 251.748
General government revenue 1,095,122.37 1,278,436.98 1,412,164.82 1,603,639.78 1,816,278.89 2,065,437.62
General government revenue 17.05 17.7 17.275 17.443 17.535 17.799
General government total expenditure 1,173,383.07 1,407,525.43 1,521,114.40 1,714,665.31 1,936,308.58 2,203,129.08
General government total expenditure 18.269 19.487 18.608 18.651 18.693 18.986
General government net
lending/borrowing -78,260.70 -129,088.45 -108,949.59 -111,025.52 -120,029.69 -137,691.46
General government net
lending/borrowing -1.218 -1.787 -1.333 -1.208 -1.159 -1.187
General government structural balance -75,256.63 -125,892.60 -106,962.72 -110,026.32 -122,325.56 -141,655.58
General government structural balance -1.169 -1.742 -1.307 -1.196 -1.182 -1.223
General government gross debt 1,762,067.09 1,823,311.25 1,959,650.04 2,085,493.23 2,214,751.44 2,341,824.62
General government gross debt 27.434 25.244 23.972 22.685 21.382 20.181
GDP corresponding to fiscal year, current 11,604,223.2
prices 6,422,918.23 7,222,838.74 8,174,636.26 9,193,343.09 10,358,231.59 7
Current account balance 5.643 1.54 -4.016 -6.632 -9.439 -14.159
Current account balance 0.798 0.185 -0.429 -0.643 -0.83 -1.13

Sumber : IMF
ITALY
Subject Descriptor 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP, constant prices 1,221.16 1,228.96 1,232.93 1,239.59 1,249.51 1,263.75
GDP, constant prices 1.296 0.639 0.323 0.54 0.8 1.14
GDP, current prices 1,548.82 1,589.42 1,620.71 1,657.97 1,701.32 1,753.41
GDP, current prices 2,055.11 2,245.71 2,287.70 2,322.41 2,363.69 2,417.24
GDP, deflator 126.832 129.33 131.451 133.752 136.159 138.746
GDP per capita, constant prices 20,237.87 20,273.58 20,251.62 20,279.51 20,366.03 20,528.06
GDP per capita, current prices 25,668.00 26,219.90 26,621.03 27,124.20 27,730.25 28,481.92
GDP per capita, current prices 34,058.72 37,046.28 37,576.86 37,994.26 38,526.40 39,265.01
Output gap in percent of potential GDP -3.195 -2.829 -2.515 -2.087 -1.5 -0.774
GDP based on PPP valuation of country GDP 1,778.83 1,828.60 1,853.90 1,875.88 1,907.02 1,951.85
GDP on PPP per capita GDP 29,479.98 30,165.51 30,451.33 30,689.14 31,083.10 31,705.32
GDP based on PPP share of world total 2.391 2.319 2.238 2.155 2.076 2.005
Implied PPP conversion rate 0.871 0.869 0.874 0.884 0.892 0.898
Total investment 20.192 19.942 19.888 20.247 20.583 20.682
Gross national savings 16.901 16.458 16.911 17.736 18.332 18.66
Inflation, avg consumer prices 110.558 113.448 115.313 117.274 119.385 121.653
Inflation, avg consumer prices 1.639 2.613 1.644 1.7 1.8 1.9
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 112.2 115.132 117.026 119.015 121.157 123.459
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 2.093 2.613 1.644 1.7 1.8 1.9
Volume of imports of goods and services 10.468 5.05 2.705 2.9 3.2 3.74
Volume of Imports of goods 7.915 12.219 2.606 2.113 2.358 2.939
Volume of exports of goods and services 9.122 5.222 4.685 4.5 4.5 4.5
Volume of exports of goods 4.601 12.158 4.584 3.998 3.945 3.99
Value of oil imports 54.978 72.406 72.574 74.259 75.306 77.366
Value of oil exports 14.969 19.743 20.17 20.959 21.522 22.273
Unemployment rate 8.4 8.2 8.5 8.6 8.3 8
Employment 22.903 23.045 23.061 n/a n/a n/a
Population 60.34 60.619 60.881 61.125 61.352 61.562
General government revenue 713.032 729.944 760.344 794.083 817.445 842.539
General government revenue 46.037 45.925 46.914 47.895 48.048 48.052
General government total expenditure 782.47 794.184 798.524 813.118 835.922 862.401
General government total expenditure 50.521 49.967 49.27 49.043 49.134 49.184
General government net lending/borrowing -69.438 -64.24 -38.181 -19.036 -18.477 -19.862
General government net lending/borrowing -4.483 -4.042 -2.356 -1.148 -1.086 -1.133
General government structural balance -49.381 -43.037 -17.728 -1.169 -5.653 -13.562
General government structural balance -3.086 -2.631 -1.066 -0.069 -0.327 -0.767
General government primary net lending/borrowing -5.032 8.508 42.565 68.655 75.745 78.622
General government primary net lending/borrowing -0.325 0.535 2.626 4.141 4.452 4.484
General government net debt 1,538.77 1,596.40 1,632.12 1,652.05 1,674.45 1,695.34
General government net debt 99.351 100.439 100.704 99.643 98.42 96.688
General government gross debt 1,843.02 1,924.24 1,967.29 1,991.32 2,014.41 2,039.55
General government gross debt 118.995 121.065 121.385 120.105 118.403 116.319
GDP corresponding to fiscal year, current prices 1,548.82 1,589.42 1,620.71 1,657.97 1,701.32 1,753.41
Current account balance -67.646 -78.237 -68.104 -58.317 -53.202 -48.856
Current account balance -3.292 -3.484 -2.977 -2.511 -2.251 -2.021

Sumber : IMF
JAPAN
Subject Descriptor 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP, constant prices 539,880.70 537,356.11 549,728.04 560,942.41 572,142.47 580,527.94
GDP, constant prices 3.963 -0.468 2.302 2.04 1.997 1.466
GDP, current prices 479,172.50 469,545.27 477,818.06 485,348.48 495,621.02 503,688.21
GDP, current prices 5,458.80 5,855.38 6,125.84 6,248.78 6,440.08 6,610.87
GDP, deflator 88.755 87.381 86.919 86.524 86.625 86.764
GDP per capita, constant prices 4,231,236.17 4,200,716.60 4,303,897.78 4,399,897.32 4,497,236.42 4,574,853.38
GDP per capita, current prices 3,755,444.51 3,670,613.55 3,740,904.46 3,806,956.72 3,895,751.49 3,969,317.48
GDP per capita, current prices 42,782.52 45,773.75 47,960.07 49,013.90 50,621.24 52,096.98
Output gap in percent of potential GDP -4.41 -5.18 -3.495 -2.158 -0.974 -0.394
GDP based on PPP valuation of country GDP 4,323.50 4,395.60 4,544.33 4,666.82 4,800.62 4,929.27
GDP on PPP per capita GDP 33,884.83 34,362.07 35,578.22 36,605.43 37,734.55 38,845.17
GDP based on PPP share of world total 5.812 5.574 5.487 5.362 5.227 5.064
Implied PPP conversion rate 110.83 106.822 105.146 104 103.241 102.183
Total investment 20.224 21.359 22.154 22.34 22.588 22.728
Gross national savings 23.796 23.862 25.022 25.043 25.168 25.133
Inflation, avg consumer prices 99.975 99.605 99.127 99.167 99.509 100.145
Inflation, avg consumer prices -0.72 -0.37 -0.48 0.041 0.345 0.639
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 99.6 99.32 99.104 99.183 99.58 100.279
Inflation, end of period consumer prices -0.4 -0.281 -0.217 0.079 0.4 0.702
Volume of imports of goods and services 0.431 0.473 0.3 n/a n/a n/a
Volume of Imports of goods 9.79 6.452 7.58 5.802 6.8 7.002
Volume of exports of goods and services 15.276 7.799 8.612 7.93 7.206 7.237
Volume of exports of goods 23.946 -0.865 6.894 7.599 8.003 7.501
Value of oil imports 25.363 -3.08 6.436 7.613 7.731 7.345
Value of oil exports 134.334 181.564 191.151 205.319 215.674 228.908
Unemployment rate 5.06 4.873 4.786 4.599 4.425 4.268
Employment 62.568 62.378 62.289 n/a n/a n/a
Population 127.594 127.92 127.728 127.49 127.221 126.895
General government revenue 146,707.81 147,556.84 153,798.76 158,703.80 161,643.38 164,440.69
General government revenue 30.617 31.425 32.188 32.699 32.614 32.647
General government total expenditure 190,874.01 195,968.83 197,478.32 196,619.57 198,619.43 201,788.41
General government total expenditure 39.834 41.736 41.329 40.511 40.075 40.062
General government net lending/borrowing -44,166.20 -48,411.99 -43,679.56 -37,915.77 -36,976.05 -37,347.72
General government net lending/borrowing -9.217 -10.31 -9.141 -7.812 -7.461 -7.415
General government structural balance -37,003.03 -40,001.80 -37,824.88 -34,173.50 -35,191.81 -36,567.04
General government structural balance -7.382 -8.078 -7.639 -6.889 -7.031 -7.231
General government primary net lending/borrowing -38,728.97 -41,696.62 -36,685.20 -29,869.55 -27,614.80 -26,389.54
General government primary net lending/borrowing -8.082 -8.88 -7.678 -6.154 -5.572 -5.239
General government net debt 561,780.02 613,196.55 664,095.23 710,563.63 757,520.20 806,082.00
General government net debt 117.24 130.594 138.985 146.403 152.843 160.036
General government gross debt 1,054,190.06 1,094,511.86 1,139,312.70 1,179,044.65 1,218,503.47 1,258,795.04
General government gross debt 220.002 233.1 238.441 242.927 245.854 249.916
GDP corresponding to fiscal year, current prices 479,172.50 469,545.27 477,818.06 485,348.48 495,621.02 503,688.21
Current account balance 195.856 147.03 172.544 164.679 165.961 156.483
Current account balance 3.588 2.511 2.817 2.635 2.577 2.367

Sumber : IMF
MALAYSIA
Subject Descriptor 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP, constant prices 559.554 588.651 618.672 650.224 683.386 717.555
GDP, constant prices 7.194 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5
GDP, current prices 765.966 829.342 895.338 966.313 1,042.91 1,124.20
GDP, current prices 237.959 247.565 267.265 288.452 311.318 335.582
GDP, deflator 136.889 140.889 144.719 148.612 152.61 156.671
GDP per capita, constant prices 19,806.87 20,488.52 21,173.49 21,881.35 22,612.88 23,346.64
GDP per capita, current prices 27,113.36 28,865.98 30,642.13 32,518.37 34,509.51 36,577.38
GDP per capita, current prices 8,423.18 8,616.71 9,146.90 9,706.98 10,301.35 10,918.62
GDP based on PPP valuation of country GDP 416.535 447.595 475.395 502.849 533.005 566.353
GDP on PPP per capita GDP 14,744.36 15,578.96 16,269.96 16,921.89 17,636.86 18,427.06
GDP based on PPP share of world total 0.56 0.568 0.574 0.578 0.58 0.582
Implied PPP conversion rate 1.839 1.853 1.883 1.922 1.957 1.985
Total investment 21.416 21.834 21.8 21.9 22 22.1
Gross national savings 32.915 33.134 32.559 32.158 31.702 31.201
Inflation, avg consumer prices 99.972 103.171 105.75 108.288 110.887 113.438
Inflation, avg consumer prices 1.7 3.2 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 101.2 104.438 107.049 109.619 112.249 114.831
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 2.078 3.2 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3
Volume of imports of goods and services 20.248 4.045 7.322 7.827 8.44 7.95
Volume of Imports of goods 17.627 23.058 8.102 8.607 9.133 8.593
Volume of exports of goods and services 18.277 2.464 6.941 7.163 7.81 7.242
Volume of exports of goods 21.126 3.12 7.345 7.582 8.214 7.531
Value of oil imports 12.388 16.177 15.676 15.597 15.644 15.484
Value of oil exports 17.702 23.116 22.399 22.287 22.354 22.125
Unemployment rate 3.3 3.2 3.1 3 3 3
Population 28.251 28.731 29.219 29.716 30.221 30.735
General government revenue 199.283 215.225 229.029 243.687 260.222 276.455
General government revenue 26.017 25.951 25.58 25.218 24.951 24.591
General government total expenditure 238.079 257.173 272.596 289.477 307.795 325.732
General government total expenditure 31.082 31.009 30.446 29.957 29.513 28.975
General government net lending/borrowing -38.796 -41.947 -43.566 -45.79 -47.573 -49.277
General government net lending/borrowing -5.065 -5.058 -4.866 -4.739 -4.562 -4.383
General government structural balance -43.006 -47.108 -44.107 -45.36 -46.729 -48.473
General government structural balance -5.538 -5.701 -4.941 -4.703 -4.485 -4.316
General government primary net lending/borrowing -27.621 -28.143 -29.248 -31.558 -33.248 -33.818
General government primary net lending/borrowing -3.606 -3.393 -3.267 -3.266 -3.188 -3.008
General government gross debt 415.183 457.13 500.696 546.486 594.059 643.336
General government gross debt 54.204 55.12 55.923 56.554 56.961 57.226
GDP corresponding to fiscal year, current prices 765.966 829.342 895.338 966.313 1,042.91 1,124.20
Current account balance 27.363 27.975 28.756 29.59 30.205 30.54
Current account balance 11.499 11.3 10.759 10.258 9.702 9.101

Sumber : IMF
SINGAPORE
Subject Descriptor 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP, constant prices 284.561 299.642 312.527 325.654 339.332 353.245
GDP, constant prices 14.471 5.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.1
GDP, current prices 303.652 329.916 350.991 373.031 396.483 420.987
GDP, current prices 222.699 266.498 283.739 295.906 309.581 323.879
GDP, deflator 106.709 110.103 112.307 114.549 116.842 119.177
GDP per capita, constant prices 55,093.67 57,021.46 58,456.32 59,869.75 61,317.52 62,739.89
GDP per capita, current prices 58,789.97 62,782.40 65,650.61 68,579.94 71,644.82 74,771.54
GDP per capita, current prices 43,116.69 50,714.17 53,071.67 54,400.86 55,941.42 57,524.23
GDP based on PPP valuation of country GDP 292.829 314.963 331.979 348.144 365.863 385.422
GDP on PPP per capita GDP 56,694.43 59,936.98 62,094.66 64,004.56 66,111.73 68,454.84
GDP based on PPP share of world total 0.394 0.399 0.401 0.4 0.398 0.396
Implied PPP conversion rate 1.037 1.047 1.057 1.071 1.084 1.092
Total investment 23.834 26.009 27.517 27.906 28.205 28.507
Gross national savings 46.041 45.816 46.017 45.229 44.453 43.742
Inflation, avg consumer prices 102.797 106.6 109.692 112.325 114.683 116.977
Inflation, avg consumer prices 2.823 3.7 2.9 2.4 2.1 2
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 104.393 106.293 111.766 113.082 115.742 118.029
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 3.967 1.82 5.148 1.178 2.352 1.976
Volume of imports of goods and services 16.558 -0.096 5.126 5.069 5.076 5.109
Volume of Imports of goods 18.569 2.27 5.377 5.253 5.132 5.281
Volume of exports of goods and services 19.196 -0.692 4.25 4.44 4.476 4.433
Volume of exports of goods 22.46 1.663 4.973 5.017 5.055 5.073
Value of oil imports 84.775 108.546 114.221 118.079 121.761 126.332
Value of oil exports 75.915 95.24 100.175 103.499 106.928 110.912
Unemployment rate 2.175 2.291 2.255 2.2 2.1 2.1
Employment 2.796 2.827 2.863 n/a n/a n/a
Population 5.165 5.255 5.346 5.439 5.534 5.63
General government revenue 71.999 75.512 81.8 86.937 92.402 94.26
General government revenue 23.036 22.697 22.922 22.976 22.947 22.07
General government total expenditure 55.727 64.812 69.106 73.054 76.932 77.533
General government total expenditure 17.83 19.481 19.365 19.307 19.105 18.154
General government net lending/borrowing 16.271 10.7 12.694 13.883 15.47 16.728
General government net lending/borrowing 5.206 3.216 3.557 3.669 3.842 3.917
General government structural balance 10.504 6.091 8.057 9.109 10.512 11.549
General government structural balance 3.51 1.864 2.307 2.45 2.657 2.746
General government primary net lending/borrowing 14.138 8.395 10.242 11.277 12.701 13.832
General government primary net lending/borrowing 4.523 2.523 2.87 2.98 3.154 3.239
General government gross debt 300.945 310.974 321.398 332.215 343.435 355.054
General government gross debt 96.286 93.47 90.062 87.799 85.286 83.133
GDP corresponding to fiscal year, current prices 312.555 332.698 356.864 378.382 402.685 427.091
Current account balance 49.454 52.786 52.492 51.261 50.302 49.344
Current account balance 22.207 19.807 18.5 17.323 16.249 15.235
Sumber : IMF
SOUTH KOREA
Subject Descriptor 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP, constant prices 1,042,111.30 1,082,837.40 1,129,946.06 1,177,332.89 1,224,402.95 1,273,673.55
GDP, constant prices 6.162 3.908 4.35 4.194 3.998 4.024
GDP, current prices 1,172,803.40 1,259,563.84 1,359,025.40 1,457,814.73 1,562,192.81 1,673,659.34
GDP, current prices 1,014.48 1,163.85 1,275.01 1,364.81 1,464.76 1,571.70
GDP, deflator 112.541 116.321 120.273 123.823 127.588 131.404
GDP per capita, constant prices 21,321,534.09 22,096,174.59 22,996,463.90 23,897,481.15 24,787,157.10 25,716,388.88
GDP per capita, current prices 23,995,486.54 25,702,420.91 27,658,646.46 29,590,696.37 31,625,469.85 33,792,390.91
GDP per capita, current prices 20,756.25 23,749.24 25,948.78 27,702.97 29,652.95 31,733.73
GDP based on PPP valuation of country GDP 1,466.13 1,556.10 1,640.96 1,720.76 1,804.83 1,899.93
GDP on PPP per capita GDP 29,996.84 31,753.52 33,396.60 34,928.02 36,537.52 38,360.90
GDP based on PPP share of world total 1.971 1.973 1.981 1.977 1.965 1.952
Implied PPP conversion rate 799.934 809.435 828.188 847.191 865.562 880.907
Total investment 29.153 28.154 27.966 27.786 27.458 27.157
Gross national savings 31.935 29.611 29.36 29.072 28.637 28.268
Inflation, avg consumer prices 116.092 121.26 125.502 129.267 133.145 137.14
Inflation, avg consumer prices 2.956 4.452 3.498 3 3 3
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 117.8 122.63 126.309 130.098 134.001 138.021
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 3.515 4.1 3 3 3 3
Volume of imports of goods and services 16.913 11.771 11.283 11.512 11.694 11.785
Volume of Imports of goods 16.773 12.57 11.535 11.608 11.761 11.78
Volume of exports of goods and services 14.531 12.482 10.603 10.743 10.528 10.625
Volume of exports of goods 16.185 14.118 10.525 10.743 10.528 10.625
Value of oil imports 68.662 92.824 93.552 96.838 98.764 101.81
Value of oil exports 0 0 0 0 0 0
Unemployment rate 3.725 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3
Employment 23.829 24.115 24.308 n/a n/a n/a
Population 48.876 49.006 49.136 49.266 49.397 49.528
General government revenue 268,539.00 289,019.72 309,842.19 334,405.84 360,558.53 387,480.25
General government revenue 22.897 22.946 22.799 22.939 23.08 23.152
General government total expenditure 248,764.00 263,181.76 277,393.57 294,591.98 316,686.37 339,487.79
General government total expenditure 21.211 20.895 20.411 20.208 20.272 20.284
General government net lending/borrowing 19,775.00 25,837.97 32,448.62 39,813.86 43,872.15 47,992.46
General government net lending/borrowing 1.686 2.051 2.388 2.731 2.808 2.868
General government structural balance 21,257.26 25,988.55 32,389.86 39,813.86 43,872.15 47,992.46
General government structural balance 1.803 2.062 2.384 2.731 2.808 2.868
General government net debt 376,602.36 387,678.59 392,082.86 391,974.53 389,820.15 385,640.11
General government net debt 32.111 30.779 28.85 26.888 24.953 23.042
General government gross debt 392,237.50 403,313.73 407,718.00 407,609.67 405,455.29 401,275.25
General government gross debt 33.444 32.02 30.001 27.96 25.954 23.976
GDP corresponding to fiscal year, current prices 1,172,803.40 1,259,563.84 1,359,025.40 1,457,814.73 1,562,192.81 1,673,659.34
Current account balance 28.214 16.96 17.774 17.557 17.268 17.467
Current account balance 2.781 1.457 1.394 1.286 1.179 1.111

Sumber : IMF
TAIWAN
Subject Descriptor 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP, constant prices 14,213.93 14,958.53 15,706.51 16,473.06 17,281.14 18,132.58
GDP, constant prices 10.882 5.239 5 4.88 4.905 4.927
GDP, current prices 13,603.48 14,631.89 15,520.48 16,354.72 17,268.98 18,225.20
GDP, current prices 429.845 504.612 551.316 598.488 650.505 706.389
GDP, deflator 95.705 97.816 98.816 99.282 99.93 100.511
GDP per capita, constant prices 613,671.08 640,058.06 666,068.74 692,344.65 719,829.03 748,557.95
GDP per capita, current prices 587,315.64 626,081.68 658,179.62 687,371.02 719,322.45 752,381.31
GDP per capita, current prices 18,558.09 21,591.77 23,379.77 25,153.79 27,096.14 29,161.51
GDP based on PPP valuation of country GDP 824.671 886.489 940.655 992.9 1,050.50 1,115.44
GDP on PPP per capita GDP 35,604.28 37,931.83 39,890.52 41,730.51 43,757.37 46,048.31
GDP based on PPP share of world total 1.109 1.124 1.136 1.141 1.144 1.146
Implied PPP conversion rate 16.496 16.505 16.5 16.472 16.439 16.339
Total investment 22.622 22.412 22.576 22.966 23.3 23.693
Gross national savings 32.193 33.397 33.551 33.256 33.039 32.721
Inflation, avg consumer prices 105.475 107.374 109.306 111.492 113.722 115.997
Inflation, avg consumer prices 0.963 1.8 1.8 2 2 2
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 108.666 111.15 113.151 115.414 117.722 120.076
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 7.625 2.286 1.8 2 2 2
Volume of imports of goods and services 28.342 6.026 5.9 6 6 6
Volume of Imports of goods 30.349 5.8 5.9 6 6 6
Volume of exports of goods and services 25.296 7.444 6.398 6.14 6.054 5.968
Volume of exports of goods 26.619 6.802 6.308 6.011 5.807 5.713
Value of oil imports 38.106 37.846 41.349 44.887 48.788 52.979
Value of oil exports 14.239 16.148 16.539 14.962 16.263 17.66
Unemployment rate 5.21 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4
Employment 10.493 10.658 10.901 n/a n/a n/a
Population 23.162 23.371 23.581 23.793 24.007 24.223
General government revenue 2,365.17 2,558.61 2,729.51 2,876.23 3,037.01 3,205.18
General government revenue 17.387 17.487 17.587 17.587 17.587 17.587
General government total expenditure 3,024.64 3,182.42 3,249.03 3,074.78 3,246.67 3,426.44
General government total expenditure 22.234 21.75 20.934 18.801 18.801 18.801
General government net lending/borrowing -659.465 -623.807 -519.521 -198.552 -209.652 -221.261
General government net lending/borrowing -4.848 -4.263 -3.347 -1.214 -1.214 -1.214
General government structural balance -645.851 -617.358 -519.167 -199.013 -210.297 -221.85
General government structural balance -4.721 -4.209 -3.345 -1.217 -1.218 -1.217
General government gross debt 5,253.67 5,626.69 5,880.18 5,798.41 5,712.06 5,620.94
General government gross debt 38.62 38.455 37.887 35.454 33.077 30.842
GDP corresponding to fiscal year, current prices 13,603.48 14,631.89 15,520.48 16,354.72 17,268.98 18,225.20
Current account balance 39.9 55.431 60.51 61.584 63.356 63.774
Current account balance 9.282 10.985 10.976 10.29 9.74 9.028

Sumber : IMF
THAILAND
Subject Descriptor 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP, constant prices 4,597.04 4,759.59 4,987.66 5,227.07 5,483.20 5,757.36
GDP, constant prices 7.782 3.536 4.792 4.8 4.9 5
GDP, current prices 10,104.82 10,988.26 12,017.72 12,896.84 13,799.36 14,779.11
GDP, current prices 318.908 339.396 379.158 419.125 457.345 497.602
GDP, deflator 219.812 230.866 240.949 246.732 251.666 256.699
GDP per capita, constant prices 71,965.57 74,065.86 77,152.15 80,373.21 83,808.65 87,474.24
GDP per capita, current prices 158,188.72 170,992.82 185,897.22 198,306.14 210,918.09 224,545.90
GDP per capita, current prices 4,992.43 5,281.49 5,865.04 6,444.61 6,990.35 7,560.30
GDP based on PPP valuation of country GDP 589.005 622.914 659.663 695.768 736.089 782.143
GDP on PPP per capita GDP 9,220.74 9,693.42 10,204.07 10,698.36 11,250.85 11,883.46
GDP based on PPP share of world total 0.792 0.79 0.796 0.799 0.801 0.803
Implied PPP conversion rate 17.156 17.64 18.218 18.536 18.747 18.896
Total investment 25.935 25.624 26.247 26.169 26.284 26.075
Gross national savings 30.571 30.379 28.705 27.748 27.244 26.506
Inflation, avg consumer prices 107.963 112.287 116.86 121.754 126.018 130.126
Inflation, avg consumer prices 3.272 4.006 4.072 4.188 3.502 3.26
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 108.92 113.512 119.897 123.195 128.435 131.346
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 3.046 4.216 5.624 2.751 4.253 2.267
Volume of imports of goods and services 22.916 6.004 9.594 8.295 7.924 7.6
Volume of Imports of goods 27.482 8.073 9.88 8.184 8.059 8.092
Volume of exports of goods and services 15.972 5.85 5.392 6.969 6.808 6.962
Volume of exports of goods 17.985 7.497 6.384 7.254 7.438 7.613
Value of oil imports 31.383 42.429 43.495 45.788 47.515 49.849
Value of oil exports 0 0 0 0 0 0
Unemployment rate 1.04 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
Population 63.878 64.262 64.647 65.035 65.425 65.818
General government revenue 2,060.75 2,242.14 2,357.42 2,507.09 2,728.92 2,962.98
General government revenue 20.772 20.941 20.046 19.544 19.576 19.635
General government total expenditure 2,327.46 2,517.11 2,693.49 2,913.86 3,167.04 3,425.99
General government total expenditure 23.46 23.51 22.903 22.715 22.719 22.703
General government net lending/borrowing -266.713 -274.976 -336.079 -406.772 -438.117 -463.009
General government net lending/borrowing -2.688 -2.568 -2.858 -3.171 -3.143 -3.068
General government structural balance -235.604 -250.539 -350.043 -448.292 -523.107 -590.46
General government structural balance -2.285 -2.291 -2.942 -3.493 -3.802 -3.995
General government primary net lending/borrowing -187.725 -178.438 -233.455 -312.625 -332.158 -342.052
General government primary net lending/borrowing -1.892 -1.667 -1.985 -2.437 -2.383 -2.267
General government gross debt 4,371.14 4,600.69 5,110.04 5,703.75 6,311.52 6,968.74
General government gross debt 44.059 42.97 43.452 44.463 45.275 46.18
GDP corresponding to fiscal year, current prices 9,921.04 10,706.72 11,760.27 12,828.10 13,940.30 15,090.24
Current account balance 14.784 16.141 9.322 6.618 4.39 2.144
Current account balance 4.636 4.756 2.459 1.579 0.96 0.431

Sumber : IMF
UNITED KINGDOM
Subject Descriptor 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP, constant prices 1,314.25 1,329.19 1,350.14 1,382.13 1,418.24 1,455.83
GDP, constant prices 1.354 1.137 1.576 2.369 2.612 2.651
GDP, current prices 1,455.40 1,532.16 1,602.61 1,686.79 1,777.68 1,873.70
GDP, current prices 2,250.21 2,480.98 2,603.88 2,742.86 2,893.52 3,052.83
GDP, deflator 110.74 115.27 118.699 122.043 125.345 128.703
GDP per capita, constant prices 21,121.81 21,218.03 21,408.63 21,770.73 22,192.61 22,629.88
GDP per capita, current prices 23,390.33 24,458.10 25,411.91 26,569.65 27,817.25 29,125.44
GDP per capita, current prices 36,164.10 39,604.29 41,288.69 43,204.45 45,277.92 47,454.18
Output gap in percent of potential GDP -2.627 -2.907 -3.191 -2.765 -2.113 -1.473
GDP based on PPP valuation of country GDP 2,181.46 2,253.59 2,313.31 2,383.33 2,466.46 2,562.14
GDP on PPP per capita GDP 35,059.14 35,974.36 36,681.17 37,541.18 38,595.24 39,826.68
GDP based on PPP share of world total 2.933 2.858 2.793 2.738 2.685 2.632
Implied PPP conversion rate 0.667 0.68 0.693 0.708 0.721 0.731
Total investment 15.015 14.057 14.294 14.895 15.614 16.399
Gross national savings 11.836 11.341 11.996 13.211 14.471 15.54
Inflation, avg consumer prices 114.5 119.668 122.586 125.038 127.538 130.089
Inflation, avg consumer prices 3.339 4.513 2.439 2 2 2
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 115.9 121.128 123.55 126.021 128.542 131.112
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 3.39 4.51 2 2 2 2
Volume of imports of goods and services 8.761 1.66 1.125 2.337 3.46 4.348
Volume of Imports of goods 11.494 2.548 1.136 2.436 3.787 4.55
Volume of exports of goods and services 5.195 7.163 3.267 4.837 5.774 5.744
Volume of exports of goods 10.69 11.229 4.671 5.338 6.077 6.159
Value of oil imports 56.176 73.409 72.003 72.506 71.905 72.026
Value of oil exports 48.766 63.439 61.975 62.16 61.399 61.41
Unemployment rate 7.858 7.754 7.81 7.755 7.404 6.959
Employment 29.035 29.278 29.387 n/a n/a n/a
Population 62.222 62.644 63.065 63.486 63.906 64.332
General government revenue 532.726 568.957 599.478 635.158 669.618 704.696
General government revenue 36.604 37.134 37.406 37.655 37.668 37.61
General government total expenditure 681.279 698.77 711.851 721.304 731.429 748.173
General government total expenditure 46.811 45.607 44.418 42.762 41.145 39.93
General government net lending/borrowing -148.553 -129.813 -112.374 -86.146 -61.811 -43.477
General government net lending/borrowing -10.207 -8.473 -7.012 -5.107 -3.477 -2.32
General government structural balance -120.265 -99.09 -77.096 -51.133 -31.804 -20.814
General government structural balance -8.046 -6.279 -4.657 -2.948 -1.751 -1.094
General government primary net lending/borrowing -112.124 -86.21 -66.197 -37.692 -11.682 7.746
General government primary net lending/borrowing -7.704 -5.627 -4.131 -2.235 -0.657 0.413
General government net debt 984.986 1,116.20 1,232.19 1,316.53 1,372.66 1,408.44
General government net debt 67.678 72.852 76.887 78.05 77.216 75.169
General government gross debt 1,098.86 1,237.40 1,358.46 1,449.77 1,512.82 1,556.30
General government gross debt 75.502 80.762 84.766 85.948 85.101 83.06
GDP corresponding to fiscal year, current prices 1,455.40 1,532.16 1,602.61 1,686.79 1,777.68 1,873.70
Current account balance -71.532 -67.379 -59.844 -46.165 -33.082 -26.231
Current account balance -3.179 -2.716 -2.298 -1.683 -1.143 -0.859

Sumber : IMF
USA
Subject Descriptor 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GDP, constant prices 13,087.98 13,287.89 13,524.72 13,868.03 14,294.71 14,784.31
GDP, constant prices 3.03 1.527 1.782 2.538 3.077 3.425
GDP, current prices 14,526.55 15,064.82 15,495.39 15,990.78 16,623.43 17,398.54
GDP, current prices 14,526.55 15,064.82 15,495.39 15,990.78 16,623.43 17,398.54
GDP, deflator 110.992 113.373 114.571 115.307 116.291 117.682
GDP per capita, constant prices 42,219.64 42,468.16 42,816.25 43,487.86 44,401.90 45,488.34
GDP per capita, current prices 46,860.24 48,147.23 49,054.95 50,144.46 51,635.32 53,531.80
GDP per capita, current prices 46,860.24 48,147.23 49,054.95 50,144.46 51,635.32 53,531.80
Output gap in percent of potential GDP -5.629 -5.625 -5.52 -4.858 -3.842 -2.576
GDP based on PPP valuation of country GDP 14,526.55 15,064.82 15,495.39 15,990.78 16,623.43 17,398.54
GDP on PPP per capita GDP 46,860.24 48,147.23 49,054.95 50,144.46 51,635.32 53,531.80
GDP based on PPP share of world total 19.529 19.105 18.708 18.371 18.099 17.873
Implied PPP conversion rate 1 1 1 1 1 1
Total investment 15.836 15.827 16.246 16.882 17.707 18.461
Gross national savings 12.532 12.782 14.121 15.172 15.901 16.268
Inflation, avg consumer prices 218.079 224.594 227.31 229.362 231.926 235.123
Inflation, avg consumer prices 1.646 2.987 1.209 0.903 1.118 1.378
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 220.87 226.323 228.293 230.546 233.395 236.975
Inflation, end of period consumer prices 1.69 2.469 0.87 0.987 1.236 1.534
Six-month London interbank offered rate (LIBOR) 0.518 0.437 0.508 n/a n/a n/a
Volume of imports of goods and services 12.528 4.577 1.004 3.611 5.837 6.908
Volume of Imports of goods 14.829 5.44 0.874 3.761 6.208 7.349
Volume of exports of goods and services 11.323 7.064 6.265 5.817 5.575 5.378
Volume of exports of goods 14.363 7.875 6.142 5.701 5.584 5.479
Value of oil imports 353.725 439.093 414.875 423.634 427.933 438.094
Value of oil exports 70.868 98.482 95.429 94.952 93.043 92.089
Unemployment rate 9.633 9.09 9.04 8.544 7.81 6.952
Employment 139.069 139.882 141.876 n/a n/a n/a
Population 309.997 312.891 315.878 318.894 321.939 325.013
General government revenue 4,494.68 4,760.67 5,058.91 5,416.56 5,792.53 6,131.60
General government revenue 30.941 31.601 32.648 33.873 34.846 35.242
General government total expenditure 5,995.49 6,213.68 6,286.80 6,407.42 6,701.04 7,112.64
General government total expenditure 41.273 41.246 40.572 40.069 40.311 40.881
General government net lending/borrowing -1,500.82 -1,453.01 -1,227.89 -990.859 -908.513 -981.045
General government net lending/borrowing -10.332 -9.645 -7.924 -6.196 -5.465 -5.639
General government structural balance -1,075.20 -1,013.71 -812.954 -622.522 -615.079 -752.17
General government structural balance -6.985 -6.35 -4.957 -3.704 -3.558 -4.212
General government primary net lending/borrowing -1,215.63 -1,201.11 -978.257 -736.68 -586.959 -539.626
General government primary net lending/borrowing -8.368 -7.973 -6.313 -4.607 -3.531 -3.102
General government net debt 9,927.53 10,938.42 12,145.01 13,138.35 14,070.84 15,080.23
General government net debt 68.341 72.609 78.378 82.162 84.645 86.675
General government gross debt 13,706.62 15,071.69 16,275.00 17,418.74 18,512.31 19,694.35
General government gross debt 94.356 100.046 105.031 108.93 111.363 113.195
GDP corresponding to fiscal year, current prices 14,526.55 15,064.82 15,495.39 15,990.78 16,623.43 17,398.54
Current account balance -470.898 -467.642 -329.347 -273.337 -300.297 -381.504
Current account balance -3.242 -3.104 -2.125 -1.709 -1.806 -2.193

Sumber : IMF
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