Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2017
Girma Adam
2.1
Topics discussed in this section:
T he r andom va r iable concep t
Dis t r ibu t ion Func t ion
D ensi t y Func t ion
Condi t ional Dis t r ibu t ion & D ensi t y Func t ions
E xpec t a t ion
Momen t s
Func t ions t ha t give momen t s
Special distributions function
T r ans f orma t ion o f a r andom va r iable
2.2
Random variable concept
In most scientific and technological applications, measurements and
observations are expressed as numerical quantities.
Systems represented by operations on random variables
2.3
Cont’d..
2.4
Cont’d..
The outcome of a random experiment need not be a number, however, we
are usually interested not in the outcome itself, but rather in some
measurement or numerical attribute of the outcome.
Examples:-
- In tosses of a coin, we may be interested in the total number of head
- In the selection of a student’s name from the class, we are interested in the weight
of the student
- In study of noise like signals, we are nearly always deal with physical quantities such
as voltage, power etc, which can be measured in physical unit.
In each of these examples, a measurement assigns a numerical value to the outcome of the
random experiment. Since the outcomes are random, the result of measurement will also
be random
2.5
Cont’d..
2.6
Cont’d..
• A random Variable :-is simply a function that maps every point in
sample space on to the real line (numbers)
• Random Variable(RV):- is a function whose domain is the set of
outcomes of an experiment and whose range
is R1, the real line(numbers).
Examples:2:1-
1. Mapping for the through of one die
2.7
Cont’d..
Examples:2:2 Let us construct a model for counting the number of
heads in a sequence of three coin tosses. For the underlying sample
space,
we take
2.8
Cont,d..
&
• The probability of occurrence of each outcome determines the
probability of occurrence of each of the mapped numbers.
• Random Variables represent by capital letters such as X,Y,W…and any
particular values of the RV by lower case such as x, y,w
2.9
Cont’d..
&
2.10
Cont’d..
&
2.11
Events Defined by Random Variables
Similarly, for fixed numbers x, x1, and x2, we can define the
following events:
&
2.12
Cont,d..
2.13
Types of Random Variables
2.14
Distribution Function
o Properties of FX ( x)
2.15
Cont,d..
Example 2.4 : Consider the r.v. X defined in Example 2.2 Find and
2.16
Cont,d..
2.17
Discrete RVs
1. P( X ≤ x) = FX ( x) = ∑ P( X =xi )
all xi ≤ x
n
2 ∑
i =1
P( X = xi ) = 1
2.18
Cont,d..
2.19
Cont,d..
Example2.6:
2.20
Continuous RVs
Density Function
The probability density function of continuous r.v X denoted by
2.21
Cont,d..
2.22
Cont,d..
is a density function
2.23
Conditional Distribution & Density Functions
2.24
Cont’d..
X(s) ≤ x and s є B
2.25
Cont’d..
distribution
2.26
Properties of Conditional Distribution
Conditional Density
2.27
Cont’d..
2.28
Cont’d..
2.29
Expectation
2.30
Cont’d..
An important concept in the theory of probability and statistics is the
mathematical expectation, or expected value, or mean value, or statistical
average of a random variable X.
The expected value of a random variable is denoted by E[X] or X or mx.
If X is a discrete random variable having values x1, x2, … , xn, then the
expected value of X is defined to be
2.31
Cont’d..
2.32
Expected values of a Function of a
Random Variables
2.33
Cont’d..
2.34
Properties of expectations.
1. If X ≥ 0 then E[X] ≥ 0.
2. For any real number a, E[aX] = aE[X].
3. E[X + Y ] = E[X] + E[Y ].
4. If X is constant equal to a, then E[a] = a.
5. If X and Y are independent and both E[|X|] and E[|Y |] are finite,
then E[XY ] = E[X]E[Y ].
6. , with the equality if and only if X and Y are
linearly dependent,
2.35
Moments of Random Variables
2.36
Cont’d..
The function
Clearly mo=1, the area of the function f X (x) , while m1= the expected value of X
2.37
Cont’d..
2. Central Moments
Moments about the mean value of X are called central moments are
given the symbol µx. They are defined as the expected value of the
function
Which is
2.38
Variance and Skew
2.39
Cont’d..
if the central moments are small, then the random variable cannot deviate
much from its mean.
Example2.14
2.41
Skewness
Skewness is a measure of the asymmetry of the probability
distribution of a real-valued random variable about its mean.
2.42
Cont’d..
The normalized third central moment is known as the skewness
of the density function or coefficient of skewness.
2.43
Cont’d..
Example.2.15
2.44
Functions that give moments
Two function can be defined that allow moments to be calculated for a
random variable X. They are the moment generating function and
characteristics function.
2.45
Cont’d..
If X is a continuous random variable with density function f X (x), then
its MGF is
A “nice” advantage of the MGF is its ability to give the moments. Recall
that the McLaurin series of the function is
2.46
Cont’d..
By using the fact that the expected value of the sum equals the sum of
the expected values, we can write the MGF as
2.47
Cont’d..
Setting t = 0, all terms become zero except E[ X ]. We obtain
2.48
Special distributions & Density Functions
2.49
Cont,d..
2.50
Cont,d..
2.51
Cont,d..
2.52
Cont,d..
2.53
Cont,d..
2.54
Uniform Distribution
2.55
Cont’d..
2.56
Exponential Distribution
of a r.v X is given by
for real numbers - ∞ < a < ∞ and b > 0. where b is the rate at
which the event occurs.
2.57
Cont’d..
Example 2.18
2.58
Poisson Distribution
2.59
Binomial Distribution
2.60
Cont’d..
-The binomial distribution function is given by
2.61
Transformations of a Random variables
2.62
Cont’d..
2.63
Cont’d..
2.64
Cont’d..
2.65
Cont’d..
2.66
Cont’d..
and consequently,
2.67
Cont’d..
This result can be generalized to the case where the function T(x) has
many real roots x1 , x2 ,Κ , xn ,Κ , as shown below.
2.68
Cont’d..
2.69
Cont’d..
2.70