This document provides information on various topics related to bonds and fixed income, including:
1) Sources of bond returns including coupon interest, reinvested interest, and price changes over time.
2) Calculations for effective annual yield, duration, modified duration, convexity, and approximations for how changes in yield affect bond prices.
3) Key factors in corporate bond structures like credit ratings, covenants, and recovery in the event of default.
4) Securitization processes where loans and other assets are pooled to back asset-backed securities.
5) Government bond auctions and how they determine yield curves and pricing in the fixed income market.
This document provides information on various topics related to bonds and fixed income, including:
1) Sources of bond returns including coupon interest, reinvested interest, and price changes over time.
2) Calculations for effective annual yield, duration, modified duration, convexity, and approximations for how changes in yield affect bond prices.
3) Key factors in corporate bond structures like credit ratings, covenants, and recovery in the event of default.
4) Securitization processes where loans and other assets are pooled to back asset-backed securities.
5) Government bond auctions and how they determine yield curves and pricing in the fixed income market.
This document provides information on various topics related to bonds and fixed income, including:
1) Sources of bond returns including coupon interest, reinvested interest, and price changes over time.
2) Calculations for effective annual yield, duration, modified duration, convexity, and approximations for how changes in yield affect bond prices.
3) Key factors in corporate bond structures like credit ratings, covenants, and recovery in the event of default.
4) Securitization processes where loans and other assets are pooled to back asset-backed securities.
5) Government bond auctions and how they determine yield curves and pricing in the fixed income market.
𝒓 𝒓 𝒎 𝑛 𝑖𝑠 # 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒𝑠 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑑, m = annual compounding frequency 𝒎 𝒓 𝒓 Effective annual yield: 𝒓𝒆𝒇𝒇𝒆𝒄𝒕𝒊𝒗𝒆 = (𝟏 + 𝒔 )𝒎 – 𝟏; Adjusted formula: 𝒓𝒑𝒆𝒓 𝒑𝒆𝒓𝒊𝒐𝒅 = (𝟏 + 𝒔 ) 𝒇 – 𝟏, f = payment frequency per year 𝒎 𝒎 BEY underestimates actual rate of return earned; ignores interest on interest; calculation for restating bond yields into an annual yield ∆𝑷 DV01 measures the dollar change in the bond price for a 1 basis point (or 0.01%) change in interest rates; 𝑫𝑽𝟎𝟏 = − = − ∆𝑷 𝟏𝟎,𝟎𝟎𝟎 𝒙 ∆𝒀 𝑫𝑽𝟎𝟏𝑩𝒐𝒏𝒅𝟏 = 𝑷𝑽𝟎𝟏𝑩𝒐𝒏𝒅𝟏 ∗ 𝑭𝒂𝒄𝒆𝑽𝒂𝒍𝒖𝒆𝑩𝒐𝒏𝒅𝟏 ; risk weighted: 𝑷𝑽𝟎𝟏𝑩𝒐𝒏𝒅𝟏 = 𝑷𝑽𝟎𝟏𝑩𝒐𝒏𝒅𝟐 ; PV01 measures the price change for a 1 basis point change in yield and the change in interest rates is identical for all the bonds in the portfolio Yield curve steepener – buy short term bonds, sell long term bonds to implement; flattener – buy long, sell short to implement 𝒄𝒊 ×𝒕𝒊 𝒏 𝒑𝒓𝒊𝒏𝒄𝒊𝒑𝒂𝒍 ∑𝒏 𝒊=𝟏 𝒕 + (𝟏+𝒚)𝒏 (𝟏+𝒚) Macaualay duration = ( ), interpreted as either time to receipt or interest rate sensitivity 𝑴𝒂𝒓𝒌𝒆𝒕 𝒑𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒆 𝒐𝒇 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒃𝒐𝒏𝒅 𝑴𝒂𝒄𝒂𝒖𝒍𝒂𝒚 𝒅𝒖𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 Modified duration = – measures percentage change in price given percentage change in yield (𝟏+𝒚) 𝒅𝟐 𝑷 𝒕(𝒕+𝟏)𝑪 𝒏(𝒏+𝟏)𝑴 𝒅𝟐 𝑷 𝟏 𝑪𝒐𝒏𝒗𝒆𝒙𝒊𝒕𝒚 𝒎𝒆𝒂𝒔𝒖𝒓𝒆 𝒊𝒏 𝒎 𝒑𝒆𝒓𝒊𝒐𝒅𝒔 𝒑𝒆𝒓 𝒚𝒆𝒂𝒓 = ∑𝒏𝒕=𝟏 (𝟏+𝒚)𝒕+𝟐 + (𝟏+𝒚)𝒏+𝟐 , Convexity measure = × , Convexity measure in years = 𝒅𝒚𝟐 𝒅𝒚𝟐 𝑷𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒆 𝒎𝟐 ∆𝑩 𝟏 𝑷𝟏 −𝑷𝟐 𝑷𝟏 +𝑷𝟐 −𝟐𝑷𝟎 = −(𝒎𝒐𝒅𝒊𝒇𝒊𝒆𝒅 𝒅𝒖𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏)∆𝒚 + (𝒄𝒐𝒏𝒗𝒆𝒙𝒊𝒕𝒚 𝒎𝒆𝒂𝒔𝒖𝒓𝒆)(∆𝒚) ; Approximations: Modified duration 𝟐 - , convexity measure = 𝑩 𝟐 𝟐(𝑷𝟎 )(𝛁𝒀) 𝟐𝑷𝟎 (∆𝒀)𝟐 Term structure of interest rates - relationship between interest rates or bond yields and different terms or maturities T (r-f)( ) 360 Cash settlement for an FRA: settlement = (principal) × T , for CAD, will be actual/365; f = FRA rate 1+((r) ) 360 Corporate bond structures: bullet bond offering, sinking fund, amortizing bond; Importance of credit ratings: cost of borrowing, covenant pattern, investor universe (who invests), issue size; Rating agencies do not provide a real-time evaluation of borrowers; score “the probability of continued & uninterrupted streams of interest & principal payments to investors”; EBITDA = Revenue – Operating Expenses + Depreciation; FFO = EBITDA – Cash Interest Paid – Cash taxes paid; CFO = Net income + Noncash expenses + Changes in working capital; FOCF = CFO – CAPEX; DCF = FOCF – cash dividends paid – stock buybacks; Bank loans are typically secured for high yield bank loans and unsecured for investment grade companies; Recovery waterfall: debt, outstanding, Recovery (% recovered) (with the range of expected recoveries, ie. 3x, 4x, 5x); aggregate at bottom; Positive covenants – makes issuer do certain things, i.e. obtain insurance; negative covenants – exist to protect bondholders, prevent certain actions, Not adhering to a covenant may constitute an “Event of Default” Basic covenants for investment grade: negative pledge or limitations on liens, cross default, cross acceleration; exceptions sometimes exist Other major restrictive covenants: limitation on indebtedness, limitation on restricted payments, limitation on asset sales, change of control; Maintenance test: maintain compliance every reporting period; incurrence test: only checked for compliance when relevant action occurs; Offering methods: public market via prospectus – continuous disclosure requirements; IG bond issuers use Medium Term Note (MTN) Shelf Prospectus (valid for 25 months, one page pricing supplement containing terms of offering for each transaction) Distribution alternatives: marketed underwritten, agented transactions; Securitization is the process of pooling assets into packages of securities; Securitization process - 1. transfer of assets from the Seller to a special purpose vehicle(SPV) 2. SPV’s issuance of debt to fund the purchase of the assets; Asset backed securities (ABS) – bonds backed by income producing assets; assets generally illiquid on a standalone basis; Parties to an ABS transaction: SPV or trust, Originator of loans, Servicer of loans, Swap counterparty; Securitization credit enhancement: overcollateralization - issuing a lesser dollar amount of securities than the value of the assets, excess spread - difference in the yield generated by the Assets and the funding cost, holding of cash and securities in reserve funds – reserve accounts from excess interest not paid out, subordinated notes – issuing more than one security class; Subordination calculations: default loss rate = cumulative default rate ( 1 – recovery rate); senior tranches can be supported by (100% - default loss rate x expected loss multiplier) of cash flows from assets; Collateralization Debt Obligations (CDO) – security backed by Investment grade bonds, high yield corporate bonds, leveraged bank loans ( CLO ), distressed debt, emerging market bonds etc.; Debt obligations (bonds) are collateral assets; issuance of debt obligations – tranches; credit ratings are obtained for all tranches except the equity piece; In a typical CDO structure, one of the tranches has a floating rate; CDO cash flows: coupon interest from collateral assets, maturing collateral assets, sale of collateral assets; Covered bonds: guarantor - bankruptcy remote vehicle that purchases the mortgages and grants a ‘security’ interest in those assets to secure the covered bonds; swap providers – hedge currency and interest rate risk; covered bond swaps - ensure that the currency of the underlying pool is transformed to match the currency of the Covered Bonds issued; “full faith and credit”; monetary policy – short end of yield curve; normal fraction for bonds = 1/32; Open market operations – buy/sell gov securities; yield curve importance – benchmark; Coupon – benchmark government bond + credit spread; credit spread – risk compensation premium; competitive bid – quantity + price; non-competitive bid – quantity; Government bond auctions: Single/uniform price (dutch) auction, multiple/discriminatory price auction; bid-cover ratio(auction coverage): total demand(all prices)/total quantity; auction tail - # basis points between highest yield accepted and average yield; small tail – transparent pricing; stop-out yield: yield where demand exhausts supply; reopening – new bonds, same features; mitigates liquidity risk, but increases refinancing risk; Liquidity importance: enables investors to be price takers not setters, Government: GoC used as benchmark, liquid market provides the correct basis on which to price riskier debt; required for use in derivatives; improved liquidity lowers yields increasing economic efficiency; bond price table: time, period (w) [w – time to next coupon], coupon, PV of $1, PV of cash flow; Callable bonds – reinvestment risk, limited price appreciation; call provision - call provision grants the issuer the right to retire the debt; make whole provisions (IG bonds) - allow the issuer to redeem the bond ahead of the scheduled maturity date; call schedule – non-IG bonds specify a call price for each call date (yield to first call, yield to next call, yield to first par call); change of control + rating event = put option