Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Acknowledgement
Local Adaptation Plans of Actions (LAPA) was prepared by the DevCon Development Consultants under
the project called “GROW campaign” a joint collaboration of Oxfam in Pakistan and Indus Consortium and
implemented in Rajanpur, Layyah, Multan, Rawalpindi and Lahore districts.
Special thanks to the representatives of the government line departments, civil society, media, farmers and
academia for providing information and support in consultation workshops/meetings. The DevCon team
extends its appreciation to the management and project staff of Oxfam Pakistan and Indus Consortium for
their continuous support and collaboration during the assignment.
1
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
Table of Contents
Acknowledgement......................................................................................................................................... 1
1. Background ............................................................................................................................................... 3
2. Purpose ...................................................................................................................................................... 3
3. Key Objectives .......................................................................................................................................... 4
4. Methodology ............................................................................................................................................. 4
5. Geography ................................................................................................................................................. 5
6. Administration .......................................................................................................................................... 6
7. Secondary Data Findings .......................................................................................................................... 6
7.1. Climate Change Trends in Pakistan ................................................................................................... 7
7.2. Institutional Arrangement for Climate Change .................................................................................. 7
7.3. Economic Relevance of Agriculture .................................................................................................. 9
7.4. Land se ............................................................................................................................................... 9
7.5. Food Security and Nutrition ............................................................................................................. 10
7.6. Challenges for the Agricultural Sector ............................................................................................. 10
7.7 Agriculture and Climate Change ....................................................................................................... 11
7.8 Climate Change and Agriculture in Punjab....................................................................................... 11
7.9 Climate Change and Agriculture in District Rajanpur ...................................................................... 12
8. Primary Data Findings ............................................................................................................................ 12
8.1. Issues ................................................................................................................................................ 12
8.2. Effects .............................................................................................................................................. 13
8.3 Recommendations ............................................................................................................................. 13
9. LAPA Framework ................................................................................................................................... 14
10.1 Climate Change Sensitisation ......................................................................................................... 15
10.2 Climate vulnerability and Adaptation Assessment ......................................................................... 15
10.3 Prioritization of adaptation options ................................................................................................. 15
10.4 Developing Local Adaptation Plans for Action .............................................................................. 15
10.5 Integrating Local Adaptation Plans for Action into planning processes ......................................... 16
10.6 Implementing Local Adaptation Plans for Action .......................................................................... 16
10.7 Assessing progress of Local Adaptation Plans for Action .............................................................. 16
11. Framework for Plan of Action .............................................................................................................. 17
2
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
1. Background
Indus Consortium (IC) a collaborative platform of 3 humanitarian and development organizations works on
climate change, water governance, tax justice, democracy and governance. Humanitarian work is the key
of the area of expertise of Indus Consortium.
Pakistan, currently ranking 145thof 187 countries on the Human Development Index (HDI), has a
population of 177 million, 22.7% of whom live on less than $1.25 per day1.60.6% of rural households are
food insecure2 and, lagging behind MDG1, the country has dropped from 52nd on the Global Hunger Index
(GHI) in 2010 to 57th in 20123.In Layyah District, which has the 5th highest incidence of severe poverty
amongst Punjab’s 35 districts4, 91% of the population have insufficient income to meet their basic needs5.
GROW campaign is a 04 years joint collaboration of Oxfam in Pakistan and Indus Consortium and
implemented in Rajanpur, Layyah, Multan, Rawalpindi and Lahore districts. Facilitation in the
development of local adaptation plan of actions (LAPA) in 5 respective districts, incorporation of small
growers and woman framers’ input in draft CC policy of Punjab province and budget analysis/ advocacy
on CC related budget and expenditure has been done. Youth engagement has been ensured through formal
MOU signing and partnership with 3 top public universities of Punjab including University of Punjab,
Lahore, Bahauddin Zakriya University, Multan and Arid Agriculture University, Rawalpindi.
Budget of provincial government of the Punjab is being analyzed three consecutive years as Climate Public
Expenditure Review (CPER) / Budget Primer. Creating the drive through local level then to provincial
level, a research is being planned to conduct in order to understand the budget cycle at district level.
2. Purpose
National Climate Change Authority Act 20176 also emphasized to prepare the National Adaptation Plan
and its constituent provincial and local adaptation plans of Actions, the would help out to design Nationally
Appropriate Mitigation Action Framework.
Indus Consortium has taken the initiative to develop sectoral Local Adaptation Plans of Action on
Agriculture in two districts of Punjab, i.e. Rajanpur and Layyah. Moreover, in order to achieve more specific
results and to highlight how climate change affect crops of the Rajanpur, agriculture LAPA’s in are made
crop specific. The most affected crop from Rajanpur is wheat.
Local Adaptation Plans of Actions (LAPA) will support decision-makers from local-to-national level actors
to:
1
Human Development Report 2011, United Nations Development Programme
2
National Nutrition Survey, 2011, Aga Khan University, Pakistan Medical Research Council and Government of Pakistan.
3
Global Hunger Index 2012, Welthungerhilfe, Concern Worldwide and International Food Policy Research.
4
Naveed and Ali (2012) Clustered Deprivation: District Profile of Poverty in Pakistan. Sustainable Development Policy Institute.
5
Siddiqui (2008) Income, Public Social Services & Capability Development: A Cross-district Analysis of Pakistan; Pakistan Institute of
Development Economics.
6
National Climate Change Authority Act: http://www.na.gov.pk
3
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
Identify the most climate vulnerable Village Development Committees (VDC’s), wards and people
and their adaptation outcomes and actions.
Prioritise adaptation actions in easy ways whereby local people make the prioritisation decisions.
Prepare and Integrate local adaptation plans for action into local-to-national planning in accordance
with the Local Self Governance Act.
Identify appropriate service delivery agents and channels for funding to implement local adaptation
plans for action. The LAPA Framework can thus ensure that the best sequence of adaptation actions
is carried out by the most appropriate service providers in a timely and resource efficient manner.
Assess the progress of LAPA to ensure effective planning and delivery.
Provide cost-effective options for scaling out local-to-national adaptation planning.
Provide the understanding of how gender and social exclusion exacerbates the impact on women
and excluded groups and provides information that support decision makers to make gender
sensitive and inclusive processes for all stages of adaptation interventions.
3. Key Objectives
The main objectives of District Level Sectoral Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA) on Agriculture are
as under:
• LAPAs shall be developed to see mitigation and adaptation options available according to the
district profile of impacts of climate change on agriculture sector, available resources (human,
financial and infrastructure) and implementation strategies and plans by GROW District Forums.
• LAPAs shall herald a window of lobbying and advocacy efforts at district as well as provincial
level and also provide opportunity to gear up efforts to integrate these LAPAs into district plans of
Agriculture Department.
4. Methodology
DevCon collected primary data from district Rajanpur. The data collection process included
FGDs/consultations with relevant line departments, CSOs, Media and farmers (men and women).
FGDs with farmers (men and women) were conducted at District level. Discussion mainly focused on
current agriculture practices, cropping pattern, climate resilient crops, challenges, coordination mechanism
with agriculture department, services available from agriculture department, current polices and plan.
Consultation Workshop
One day consultation workshop organized in District Rajanpur to get the input of relevant stakeholders.
The stakeholder’s views were compiled and used for LAPA development. The following government
departments and stakeholders were consulted during data collection.
Agriculture Extension
Agriculture Field & Research
Agriculture Water Management
Agriculture Pest Warning
Agriculture Soil Fertility
Agriculture Marketing
4
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
Food
Environment
Irrigation
Forest
Finance & Development Officer
ADP Officer
Women farmers/ Community members \ small farmers
Local CBO/ NGOs representative
PRSP representative
DDMA representative
5. Geography
District Rajanpur was formed in 1982 by separating two tehsils Rajanpur & Jampur, of the then district
D.G.Khan. Rajanpur is situated on the band between River Indus and hilly territories of Balochistan. To the
North of it is located D.G.Khan district. In the South, it touches Jackobabad district of Sindh Province.
Districts Sibi of Balouchistan is located towards West of Rajanpur. The enormous Indus makes Eastern
boundary of the district separating it from districts of Muzaffargarh and Rahimyar Khan.
The climate of the district is tremendously hot in summer while in winter it is very cold due to nearness to
Koh Suleman range of mountains. The land is plain except for some hilly portions. A large area of the
district is sterile and uncultivated so far.
5
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
6. Administration
Pakistan’s 18th constitutional amendment was signed into law in 2010 targeting to decentralize political
supremacy. It pursued to curb the oft-abused powers of the Pakistani presidency and empower the country’s
four provinces by transferring federal-level capital, resources and authorities to provincial governments.
The main purpose was to ensure upright governance and impartiality at the doorstep. This plan gave the
assurance of the rights of the people and their partaking in the communal welfare.
Local community especially riverine community is more affected from this reduce in wheat crop. For
example, production of wheat has been decreased and ultimately, they could not be able to meet their
expenses which results in the increase in poverty. Similarly, on the other side due to climate change usage
of fertilizers, herbicides, pesticides have increased, crops now require more water and also have storage
issues at household level.
6
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
Under the emerging challenges of climate change, food security and water scarcity, increase in production
of cereals, pulses, fruits and vegetables to meet the food requirement of increasing population is direly
needed. In countries like Pakistan, majority of the people living in rural areas consume substantial quantity
of pluses for meeting their daily meal needs because these are rich source of protein and substitute of other
costly sources of protein - meat and fish. Major pulses include gram, lentil, mung and mash. The pulses are
grown on 5% of the country's total cultivated area. Punjab contributes 80% in total production of the pulses
in the country and occupies 5% of the total cropped area.
Based on the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) station data from 1951 to 2000, a rising tendency
in the annual mean surface temperature was observed throughout the country.9 In the hyper arid plains, arid
coastal areas, and mountain regions of Pakistan, an increase of 0.6°C–1.0°C in the mean temperature was
observed, whereas an increase of 0.5%–0.7% in solar radiation was noted over the southern half of the
country. In central Pakistan, the cloud cover decreased by 3%–5% with a consequent increase of 0.9°C in
temperature.
The continuous and longtime span data of various meteorological parameters of 56 selected PMD
meteorological stations showed the behavior of summer and winter maximum and minimum temperatures
during the last decade.24 A time series of area-weighted mean annual temperatures of Pakistan for the years
1961 to 2013, after applying uniform weighing factor, based on regional surface feature characteristics for
all the climatic zones of Pakistan.
Institutionalization of climate change in Pakistan finds its roots in the early environmental efforts dating
back as early as the mid-1970s. Pakistan signed and ratified 14 international environmental commitments
7
M. Ahmed and S. Suphachalasai. 2014. Assessing the Cost of Climate Change and Adaptation in South Asia. Manila: ADB.
8
Q. Z. Chaudhry et al. 2009. Climate Change Indicators of Pakistan. Technical Report. No. 22. Islamabad: Pakistan Meteorological Department.
9
B. F. Anjum et al. 2005. Climate Change Perspective in Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Meteorology. 2(2). pp. 11–21.
7
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
between 1971–2001, including the United Nations Framework Convention for Climate Change and Kyoto
Protocol, which acted as stimuli in initiating and guiding the policy processes and efforts on climate change
in the country. Significant progress has been made to set up institutional structures for guiding the
environmental initiatives in the country. After over 4 decades, however, these efforts still remain
fragmented, with insufficient coordination, political support, and ownership.
After the 18th constitutional amendment was passed in 2010, the Ministry of Environment was devolved
to the provinces and a new Ministry of Disaster Management was established in 2011. This was later
renamed as the Ministry of Climate Change in 2012, which raised the issue of climate change to a cabinet
level portfolio. In 2013, the Ministry of Climate Change was downgraded to a division of the Cabinet
Secretariat and remained in this position until early 2015, when it was upgraded to the level of a ministry
again. Table 9 outlines the institutionalization of environment and/or climate change in Pakistan.
8
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
2012 • Ministry of Disaster Management renamed to the • Elevate climate change issue to a cabinet level
Ministry of Climate Change portfolio
• National Climate Change Policy approved by Federal • A dedicated policy on climate change
Cabinet
• Punjab and Balochistan Environmental Protection Act
prepared and enacted • Deals with environmental cases; 2013 decision
• “Green Benches” established in all High Courts and prioritizes environmental cases in the High Courts
Supreme Court of Pakistan by the Chief Justice of
Pakistan
• National Disaster Management Plan approved
• National Sustainable Development Strategy
2013 • Ministry of Climate Change downgraded to Division • Becomes part of Cabinet Secretariat
of Climate Change
• Global Climate Change Impact Studies granted • Serves as the secretariat for the Prime
autonomous status Minister Committee through “GCISC Act 2013”
• National Disaster Risk Reduction Policy approved
2014 • Framework for Implementation of Climate Change
Policy adopted
2015 • Division of Climate Change upgraded to the Ministry • Federal focal ministry on all climate change-related
of Climate Change issues
Despite its critical importance to food security, livelihoods, economic growth and export revenues,
agricultural productivity remains low, with significant yield gaps compared to global averages in key crops
like wheat, rice, cotton and sugarcane. The average farm size in Pakistan is 2.6 hectares (ha), with
approximately 43% of the farmers categorized as smallholders with holdings of less than one ha, while only
22% own more than 3 ha of land. In 2016, for first time in the past 15 years, the sector experienced a
negative growth rate of 0.2%, primarily due to the impact of extreme events on key crops, a lack of access
to key inputs, and a global downturn in commodity prices.
Critical investments in improved seeds, farming technology and techniques, and water infrastructure are
needed to tackle the emerging challenges to the sector’s development, especially in the context of declining
water availability and climate change impacts.
Agriculture provides employment for roughly 25 million people in Pakistan and is the main income source
for 34% and 74% of economically active men and women respectively. Yet women have limited access
and control over productive resources (e.g. land, irrigation infrastructure, and agricultural inputs), low
awareness of improved technologies and skills for value addition and marketing, and limited access to
extension and financial services. Their role in the household and in daily agricultural activities, however,
varies across regions according to local customs and traditions.
7.4. Land se
Pakistan receives monsoon rainfall in the summer, while in the winter it receives rainfall due to western
systems (prevailing winds from the Mediterranean). These two forces broadly determine the two main
cropping seasons in the country. These are ‘Kharif’ (April-June), suitable for summer crops cultivation
9
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
(e.g. rice, sugarcane, cotton, maize, pulses), and ‘Rabi’ (October-December) when wheat, lentil, tobacco,
rapeseed, barley and mustard are grown. The major crops are cotton, wheat, rice, sugar cane and maize that
cover over 50% of the harvested area. Some crops such as pulses, onions, potatoes, chili, and tomatoes,
have gained in economic importance in the country, given the consistently high prices of these essential
commodities. Climate variability and change, pest infestation, and commodity price fluctuations are some
of the challenges to crop productivity.
Pakistan’s population has more than doubled in the past two decades, growing at a rate of approximately
2% per year and is expected to further increase to 244 million by 2030 and 300 million by 2050. At the
same time, life expectancy in the country is projected to increase from 66 to 71 years by 2050. Such
exponential growth will put significant strains on the already extended and vulnerable agriculture system,
boosting demand for food. The current per capita caloric availability in Pakistan, 2,432 kcal/day is likely
to fall unless food production keeps the pace with the projected population growth.
Deficiency in water availability, degradation of soil, and an increasingly animal-based diet are additional
threats to food security in Pakistan. Changing climate conditions such as rainfall, temperature, and humidity
multiply these threats, affecting the availability and quality of natural resources and increasing the
vulnerability of the sector. Most of the country’s territory is classified as arid to semi-arid. Three-fourths
of the country receives less than 250 mm of rainfall annually, while about 20% of such area receives less
than 120mm Rainfall alone, then, is generally insufficient for growing agricultural crops, maintaining
pastures, and growing fruit trees. Roughly 8 million ha of land in Pakistan is idle and unutilized due to
unfavorable climatic conditions. Supplemental water is required for profitable agricultural production in
Pakistan, either from irrigation or through water harvesting techniques.
The rural population, which represents the backbone of the agricultural sector, is comprised mainly of
small-scale, poor farmers who lack access to modern farming technologies, machinery, fertilizer inputs, as
well as drought and other weather-tolerant seeds. The high price of seeds and a lack of support from
government further restrict farmers from adopting improved techniques. Rural infrastructure lacks properly
built roads, transport and storage facilities, electricity, education and health services. Each of these features
is currently inadequate to meet the requirements of a growing agricultural sector.
10
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
Periods of severe droughts, followed by devastating floods are common in the country and have contributed
to low crop yields, loss of livestock, damage to irrigation infrastructure and food shortages in recent years.
Economic losses associated to the 2010-2014 floods amounted to US$ 18 billion, affecting the livelihoods
of 38 million people and causing damages to approximately 4.3 million ha of cropland. Changes in climate
have been manifested through long-term reduction in rainfall in the semi-arid regions of the country and
higher glacial melts that contribute to over 70% of river flows. Moreover, the mean temperature across the
country has increased by 0.5°C in the past 30 years.
Changes in monsoons and increased temperatures are likely to bring considerable challenges to agriculture.
Increases in temperature will likely speed up crop growth cycles and shorten the time between sowing and
harvesting, affecting crop yields. According to the Climate Change Vulnerability Index, droughts are
expected to increase in winter, affecting the yield of cash harvests. Meanwhile, increase in precipitation in
the summer season may cause floods throughout different areas of Pakistan.
A more recent study finds that maximum temperatures adversely affect wheat production, while
the effect of minimum temperature is positive and significant for all crops. Rainfall effect towards
the yield of a selected crop is negative. To cope with and mitigate the adverse effects of climate
change, there is a need for the development of heat- and drought-resistant high-yielding varieties
to ensure food security in the Province and country. Although these studies have their statistical
limitations, they have shown that climate change has real and adverse implications for the future
of agriculture in Punjab (Punjab Economic Report, 2017).
The province of Punjab has the largest share in the agriculture sector, with 57.1% of the cultivated
land belonging to the province. It produces the majority share of cotton, wheat, rice, and sugarcane
crops and milk. Agriculture, predominantly contributes to income generation for the people of the
province. It is imperative to protect the agriculture sector from extreme events and natural hazards.
The change in climatic conditions has a profound effect on the agriculture sector, innately
connected with the environment. Punjab, much like the entire country, suffers from various issues
including climate change and natural disasters. Floods have been the major cause of damages in
the province between 1980-2015. Riverine floods have the largest spread across the province and
11
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
have historically affected the greatest number of people, and destroyed property, arable land and
crops (Lead, 2016).
The table given below shows the yield of wheat crop in district Rajanpur. The data shows
fluctuation in the yield of wheat crop in both the districts. The main cause of fluction in yield is
the change in climatic conditions which includes floods, fluctuation in temperature, rains etc.
Year Rajanpur
maunds/acre
2009-10 27.30
2010-11 27.70
2011-12 23.92
2012-13 26.24
2013-14 26.40
2014-15 28.60
2015-16 31.16
Source: PDS (various years)
12
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
8.2. Effects
1. Reduction in agriculture Crops productivity
2. Lesser utilization of land
3. Less opportunities for agriculture labor
4. Change in cropping timing
5. Livestock fodder availability reduced
6. Animal mortality increasing day by day
7. Worsened household food security condition
8. Increased migration trend in the communities
8.3 Recommendations
Soft Measures
1. Farmers are needed to be educated on climate resilient farming
2. Imparting technical knowledge and skills to farmers by establishing farmer schools/advisory
centres
3. Networking with other forums working on smart agriculture techniques
4. Formation of agriculture and seasonal calendar
5. Improved coordination among government line departments and with other stakeholders
6. Exposure visit for farmers to learn about new agriculture practices and researches
7. Documenting indigencies practices to use this knowledge base to adopt best practices
8. Pictorial resource material (IEC) on climate change impact and its impact on agriculture needs to
be made available at community level
9. Re-schedule of sowing pattern of crops
10. Research on seeds, vegetation and plantation techniques
11. Adopt best practices (saving soil test, water, usage of land leveler, low usage of poisons/pesticides/
Fertilizers/chemical)
12. Community should encourage to do versified farming to better utilized their land and resources
Hard Measures
13
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
9. LAPA Framework
The LAPA Framework consists of seven steps for integrating climate change resilience into local-to
national planning processes. The steps involved in preparing and implementing local adaptation plans for
action are shown in Figure 3 and include:
Each step is detailed in the following sub-sections outlining why each step is important, the actions to be
undertaken and the tools that can be used.
Step-1
Sensitisation
(Carried out in all Steps)
Step-2
Step-7 Review and
Vulernerability &
Progress Assessment
Adaptation Assessment
Step-6 Step-3
Implementation of Prioritisation of
Adaptation Plan Adaptaion Options
Step-5
Step-4
Integration of
Formulation of
Adaptation Plan into
Adaptation Plan
Planning Processes
14
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
Common Hazard
Riverine Flood
Heavy Rains with Thunderstorms
Flash Flood
Drought
Epidemics
Industrial Accidents
The climatic change negatively impacting on rural livelihood of farmers, rural agricultural yield and
production. The incomes of small farmers directly affected on agricultural yield due to climate change.
However, the changes in natural temperature directed cause for the unscheduled rains, flood that cause for
the damage of mature crops of small farmers. The livelihood also causes for the weak health condition of
the community. The agricultural sector (crops and livestock), which is the main source of food and income
(livelihood) for majority of local the people in the area damage.
1. What actions?
2. Where to implement?
3. Who will implement?
15
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
4. When to implement?
5. How much will it cost?
10.5 Integrating Local Adaptation Plans for Action into planning processes
Integration of adaptation plans into sector and development planning would help to address climate induced
challenges in an effective and sustainable manner. Integrating LAPA into local-to-national development
planning processes and outcomes allows climate vulnerable men, women, households, communities, wards,
VDC to articulate their adaptation priorities, and draw down on government, civil and private sector
resources for sustainable implementation.
16
11. Framework for Plan of Action
What Action? Connection to Where to Who will When to implement TIMING? How to implement What will Who will pay
Thematic implement? implement? ? it cost? (Donor
Areas )?
17
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
Access point for i. Agriculture UC Rakh Kot Agriculture UC wise Farmer Centre To be Government
certified seeds for ii. Climate Mithan & UC Extension & AR added UN/Bilateral
small farmer (1-2 Change Murghai Agriculture Donors & INGOs
Acre) and on farm Adaptation Universities
facilitation through iii. DRR NGOs
field officer iv. Food Private sector
Security
v. Nutrition
vi. Health
vii. Livelihood
iii. Livestock
Networking with other i. Agriculture UC Rakh Kot Government line Monthly Consultation To be Government,
forums working on ii. Climate Mithan & UC departments meetings with focal added INGOs and
smart agriculture Change Murghai NGOs persons recommended Media
techniques adaptation Farmers groups by departments,
Civil society seminars and workshops
Development of Web
portal
Media Messaged,
Mobile apps
Coordination meeting i. Agriculture UC Rakh Kot Districts Forum, Quarterly meetings To be Government
of the District forum ii. Climate Mithan & UC Government Line added UN/Bilateral
Rajanpur Change Murghai NGOs Donors & INGOs
Adaptation Civil Society
iii. DRR
iv. Food
Security
v. Nutrition
vi. Health
vii. Livelihood
iii. Livestock
Imparting technical i. Technical UC Rakh Kot Agriculture Technical To be Government
knowledge and skills Skills Mithan & UC Extension & AR training/Awareness added Agriculture
ii. Agriculture Murghai, Extension
18
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
19
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
20
Local Adaptation Plan of Action (LAPA)-District Rajanpur
21