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Proceedings of the 2003 Winter Simulation Conference
S. Chick, P. J. Sánchez, D. Ferrin, and D. J. Morrice, eds.

SIMULATION TEXT BOOKS – OLD AND NEW (PANEL)

Thomas J. Schriber (Moderator) Ingolf Ståhl

University of Michigan Stockholm School of Economics


Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1234, U.S.A. SE-113 83 Stockholm, SWEDEN

Jerry Banks Averill M. Law

1096 Tennyson Place Averill M. Law & Associates


Atlanta, GA 30319, U.S.A. Tucson, AZ 85719, U.S.A.

Andrew F. Seila Richard G. Born

University of Georgia Northern Illinois University


Athens, GA 30602-6273, U.S.A. DeKalb, IL 60115-2897, U.S.A.

ABSTRACT series of his own versions of GPSS and writing the corre-
sponding instructional material supporting those creations.
In order to get more people to use simulation, improved Tom Schriber then reviews the circumstances that
teaching of simulation is important. In this context, text- brought him to the point of studying GPSS, introducing it
books and, more generally, teachware play a critical role. into the University of Michigan’s MBA program, and de-
The panel looks at some of the older and successful text- signing teaching notes evolving into a textbook that saw
books as well as textbooks and teachware that are quite wide use over a period of many years.
new and in some cases are still under development. The next panelist, Jerry Banks, tells how he was drawn
into the simulation area and describes a shortfall in the
1 INTRODUCTION simulation textbook literature that drove him and his co-
author, John Carson, to convert their teaching notes into a
Each of the six members on this panel is an author or co- textbook. Jerry describes how that book evolved over time
author of one or more simulation textbooks and/or of other into second and third editions, and took on new co-authors,
forms of simulation “teachware” that span a time interval with a fourth edition now in progress.
of nearly thirty years, ranging in copyright dates from 1974 Averill Law follows with a discussion of another
to 2003. The panelists have been assembled based on the highly successful simulation textbook, co-authored with
variety of contexts which caused them to go through the his one-time Ph.D. student, David Kelton, published in
process of becoming simulation textbook and teachware three editions, and with a fourth edition now planned. The
authors in the first place (and, in one case, the designer and Law and Kelton book appeals to a broad market and re-
implementer of new versions of a classic simulation lan- flects both the expertise of its two co-authors, and their
guage). The particular panelists are only representative, substantial body of experience in teaching simulation to
having been drawn from a larger pool of persons who numerous students of diverse background over the years.
could serve admirably on such a panel, bringing their ex- Next in line is Andy Seila. His recently published
periences and observations to bear on the discussion. textbook (with Pandu Tadikimalla and Vlatko Ceric) re-
In order of appearance, Ingolf Ståhl points out the flects experiences in teaching simulation in schools of
critical role played by textbooks and other teachware in the business, where the application areas include finance, mar-
dissemination and practical use of simulation. He surveys keting, real estate, and accounting, in addition to the more
the pre-1980 simulation textbook scene and discusses his traditional application area of operations management.
motivations for designing and implementing a continuing Seila’s discussion includes putting the simulation student
market into categories that span several types of students,

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Schriber, Ståhl, Banks, Law, Seila, and Born

ranging from those with strong quantitative and theoretical Since we have the good fortune of having on our panel
skills to those having a focus that tends to be more on the the author of the Red Book, which was the textbook which
applied side of simulation studies. really brought simulation into mainstream teaching at both
The sixth and last panelist, Rich Born, homes in on the engineering and business schools, I had thought it would
adaptation and exploitation of technology to improve cur- be a good starting point for a discussion of the Red Book to
rent forms of simulation teachware. Born and Ingolf Ståhl see what other textbooks were around at that time. I have
have developed an evolving set of more than 400 Power- hence compiled a set of references on pre-1980 textbooks.
Point slides that they have used over time to drive in-class The reason for going up to 1979, is that it was in the late
presentation and discussion of simulation concepts based 70s that the Red Book had its main growth.
on Ståhl’s WebGPSS. This material, which takes advan- For my compilation of this list, I have depended
tage of the technology by including dynamic presentation greatly on a list compiled by Schriber (1992), but also on
of concepts where appropriate, points out the direction in some 30 odd simulation books that I own and the list of
which future simulation teachware might well be headed. references in these books, in particular that of Kreutzer
The panelists provide a rich body of knowledge and (1986). I have excluded manuals, books with editors, very
experience in the delivery of simulation know-how, both to technical books and textbooks in which simulation is only
beginners and to those who have some seasoning in the a small part. Since other members of the panel also refer to
area. But session attendees will also have insights and ex- some books in this listing, I have put this list of pre-1980
periences to reflect in this regard. After the panelists have textbooks ahead of the general references in this paper.
made their comments, the floor will be open to members of It appears that the majority of books are in some way
the audience, who are invited to ask questions about what oriented towards teaching some kind of programming to im-
the panelists have said, and to enhance the panelists’ com- plement simulation models, although many books also con-
ments with observations of their own. In the final analysis, tain general theory. As concerns these language oriented
the purpose of the panel is to set thoughts into motion re- books, the group of textbooks which use FORTRAN as the
garding the role that simulation textbooks and, more gen- main language seems to be the largest group with Naylor et
erally, simulation teachware, can and should play in the al. (1966), Martin (1968), Meier et al. (1969), Emshoff and
education of simulation practitioners and consumers. Sisson (1970), Schmidt and Taylor (1970), Maisel and
Gnugoli (1972), McMillan and Gonzales (1973), Shannon
2 INGOLF STÅHL: “SIMULATION MADE (1975), Fishman (1978) and Deo (1979). The second largest
SIMPLE WITH WEBGPSS” group is focused on GPSS with Gordon (1969), Reitman
(1971), Greenberg (1972), Schriber (1974), Gordon, G.
The panel deals with simulation textbooks, old and new. (1975), O’Donovan (1976) and Bobillier, et al. (1976)
This is in my view a crucial part of simulation education. There are also several textbooks based on what one can
When getting the privilege of being coordinator for the call the GASP-SLAM-family with Pritsker and Kiviat
track on education, my starting point was the following (1969), Pritsker (1974), Pritsker and Young (1975), Pritsker
question: Knowing that simulation is such a powerful and (1977) and Pritsker and Pegden (1979). There are also sev-
useful tool, why is it not used more in society? My main eral textbooks based on SIMSCRIPT: Markowitz et al.
idea of an answer is that education plays a critical role and (1963), Wyman 1970, Kiviat et al. (1973) and on Simula:
by improvement in education we can get simulation Birtwistle et al. (1973), Franta, (1977) and Birtwistle (1979).
spread. In this effort of better education, I believe that text- Finally, there is one book on Hokus: Poole &
books play a key-role. No simulation system is really better Szymankewicz (1977) and one using pseudo-code: Lewis &
than its “teachware”. In order to get teachers to give good Smith (1979).
courses, they must have access to good textbooks. Text- Other books give more of a broad general overview
books also play a key-role in self-study. Finally, textbooks without language focus. Examples of such books are
sometimes also influence the development of new soft- Chorafas (1965), Mize and Cox (1968) and Fishman
ware, a topic to which I will return. (1973). Others are mainly known for a focus on modeling
When calling for a panel on textbooks, old and new, theory. Here we find Tocher (1962), containing the three-
there were several reasons for including the old textbooks. phase approach, but also some information on GSP, the
Only by knowing where we come from, can we know General Simulation Program, the oldest simulation lan-
where we are going. I believe a lot can be learned from guage, and the well-known book by Zeigler (1976). Other
studying the history of simulation textbooks when develop- books are more focused on statistics and experimentation,
ing new teachware. We can learn what textbooks met with like Naylor (1969) and Kleinen (1974; 1975).
especially strong student acceptance. To understand why Among other types of simulation textbooks we have
they did so, we must study not only the textbooks them- some on continuous simulation, like Forrester (1961) and
selves, but also look at what competition was available at Korn and Wait (1978). We also have textbooks on simula-
the time of releasing the textbooks. tion of human behavior in the firm or society, like Bonini

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Schriber, Ståhl, Banks, Law, Seila, and Born

(1963), Dutton and Starbuck (1971), Guetzkow et al. (1972) merits have been well described by Henriksen (Schriber et
and Frazer (1975). al. 1991), and are repeated here verbatim:
Having thus overviewed the pre-1980 literature, it is “… consider how simulation was done before the re-
time for me to note that in this panel we can celebrate the lease of Geoffrey Gordon’s General Purpose System Simu-
30 years of the Red book. Even if it has 1974 as the print- lator in October, 1961. Prior to that time, virtually all dis-
ing year, all the work on it was ready already in 1973. Fur- crete event simulation was done using an event-based
thermore, a substantial introductory part of the Red Book paradigm. … One described a system as a collection of
can be found as a 77-page chapter by Schriber in McMillan events, and one wrote a “chunk” of code for each event...
and Gonzales (1973). I am not the only one who immedi- “The event-based approach had one big advantage
ately ordered the Red Book after reading this chapter. This and one big disadvantage. The advantage was that it re-
book has been a constant great source of inspiration for my quired no specialized language or operating system sup-
own development of a series of textbooks on GPSS, indeed port. Event-based simulations could be implemented in
much smaller in size than the original Red Book, but at procedural languages of even modest capability. … The
least during the last few years having the same color. disadvantage of the event-based approach was that de-
Before I give the word back to Tom Schriber, I should scribing a system as a collection of events obscured any
like to return to my earlier statement that textbooks some- sense of process flow. ... In complex systems, the number of
times also influence the development of new software. events grew to a point that following the behavior of an
This is certainly true as regards the Red Book. The devel- element flowing through the system became very difficult.
opment of micro-GPSS (Ståhl 1990), and consequently of “In the early 1960s, alternative approaches were
WebGPSS (Ståhl 2002) and WinGPSS (Herper and Ståhl available. The most obvious choice was some form of
1999), are heavily dependent on the choices Tom made in process interaction. Unfortunately, process interaction was
the Red Book for what GPSS block types to use in the 27 understood only by an elite group of individuals and was
case studies in this book. Here 28 of the 44 block types of beyond the reach of ordinary programmers. ‘Multi-
GPSS/360 were selected. As I show in a recent paper threaded applications’ were talked about in computer sci-
(Ståhl, 2003), these choices were very wisely made. The ence classes, but rarely used in the broader community.
aim of our streamlined micro-GPSS was then that we with “This was the primordial soup out of which the Gordon
even fewer block types should be able to rewrite all the Simulator arose. Gordon’s transaction flow world-view was
Red Book case studies with the same amount of code, a cleverly disguised form of process interaction that put the
which we have managed to do. process interaction approach within the grasp of ordinary
users. … Gordon did one of the great packaging jobs of all
3 THOMAS J. SCHRIBER: “THE RED BOOK” time. He devised a set of building blocks that could be put
together to build a flowchart that graphically depicted the
The following remarks repeat and extend similar remarks operation of a system. Under this modeling paradigm, the
made earlier (Schriber 1991). flow of elements through a system was readily visible, be-
Half way through my first year (1966-67) on the fac- cause that was the focus of the whole approach.”
ulty at the University of Michigan’s School of Business Little realizing back then what a treasure was at hand,
Administration, my department chair asked me to develop in the summer of 1967 I scrambled to study GPSS and
a course on discrete-event simulation for the MBA curricu- fashion a syllabus for the first offering of the requested
lum. I had never studied discrete-event simulation and so, simulation course in the fall of 1967.
as a dutiful Assistant Professor, I rolled up my sleeves and The available GPSS literature was quite thin, so I be-
dug in. After getting a feeling for the topic and then sur- gan developing my own notes and examples, often only a
veying the language scene, I concluded that GPSS might skip and a jump ahead of the students. That was in the days
be the best choice of language for such a course. Why? Be- when it was typical to lecture at a blackboard. But that
cause it had the merits of being sparse in its syntax, and of meant you couldn’t cover much material in class. (It took
letting the model builder think quite directly in terms of the too long to draw block diagrams on the blackboard.) So I
elements of the system for which a model was being built. began to summarize lectures on transparencies and used a
(It would not be necessary for the students to learn the syn- projector to cover the material faster. The students couldn’t
tax and semantics of a programming language and deal write quickly enough to keep up, so after each class copies
with the coding of event routines and the like, which would were made of the transparencies to give out at the next
almost be guaranteed to lead to low enrollments in the class. This was inefficient, but it worked as a stopgap
MBA environment, and perhaps now in many other envi- measure for the first two course offerings.
ronments, too, in the point-and-click world of today.) Jim Henriksen (James O. Henriksen) was a student in
Attracted to GPSS as I was, I did not yet fully appreci- Michigan’s MBA program at the time, and took the second
ate the merits of its process-interaction approach. These (winter 1968) offering of the simulation course. Jim sat
quietly in the back row and said nothing for the first sev-

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Schriber, Ståhl, Banks, Law, Seila, and Born

eral weeks of the course. However, he projected an unde- one on GPSS/H (Schriber 1991). To keep the price down,
niable presence, even in a class of forty nine students the publisher set a page limit of 400 pages. GPSS/H is far
(seven rows, seven seats per row, all filled). I thought, too rich to be fully covered in detail in 400 pages, so the
“Who is that guy back there anyway?” One day Jim then 1991 book turned out to be only introductory in nature (al-
asked the first in a series of penetrating questions that gave though, like its predecessor, it includes a discussion of in-
me a lot of insight into “that guy.” (As it turned out, Jim ternal logic). It was unfortunate not to be able to include
had a part time job in those days, too, maintaining simula- the full treatment that GPSS/H was being given in courses
tion software in the University of Michigan’s academic at Michigan. Even today, when a copy of the “Red Book”
computing system. So in our relationship, Jim came to me comes into view, I sometimes find my thoughts moving in
as a student, and I went to him as a software specialist the direction of a comprehensive “Son of Red Book”…
when bugs surfaced in GPSS/360. When we ran into bugs,
Jim was the guy who jumped into the GPSS/360 assembly 4 JERRY BANKS: “DISCRETE-EVENT
language code to find and fix the bugs. About 30 bugs SYSTEMS SIMULATION”
were found and fixed at Michigan in 1968-69!)
In the summer of 1968, just after Jim took the course, I 4.1 Background
cleaned up my lecture materials and contracted with a local
printer to have them printed in softbound form. The result- My first brush with simulation was in the preparation of my
ing “book” was put on consignment at a local bookstore for dissertation on the subject of inventory system analysis. It
use in the 1968-69 academic-year offerings of the course. was limited to Monte Carlo generation of lead-time demand
Representatives from several publishers saw the “book” from distributions of lead-time and demand. In 1965, I came
and offered to publish it in a formalized version. After sev- to Georgia Tech as an assistant professor where I taught an
eral preliminary printings were tested at Michigan, the introductory survey course in operations research, electronic
“Red Book” hit the streets in 1974 (Schriber 1974). data processing, and inventory modeling. Then, I went to the
One characteristic of the “Red Book” was that it ex- U.S. Army for two years to serve a commission.
plained not only “what GPSS does” but also “how it does Upon returning to Georgia Tech, I was told that I
it.” In other words, a purely “black box” approach was es- would be teaching production control. It included a labora-
chewed by explaining the internal logic of GPSS. The need tory on simulation. I was told that the lab consisted of
for this approach was driven by my Michigan students, teaching GPSS and that I could learn about it in a short
who continually asked me, “tell me how this works; tell me course for faculty taught by an interested party associated
how that works.” The discussion of internal algorithms was with Georgia Tech’s internal information services depart-
not relegated to an appendix, where many might overlook ment. When the instructor began his explanation, a light
it, but was built into the book mainline, starting as early as went on and my affair with simulation began.
possible (starting on page 59 in a 530 page book). The ob- About six years later it was decided that a discrete-
jective was to educate modelers who understand the effects event simulation course should be taught. I was asked to de-
and interactions that result when they arrange the GPSS sign it. But, I wasn’t the first person to teach it. In 1979, a
blocks in certain ways, rather than simply laying out the real simulation person joined the faculty, John Carson, who
blocks mechanically and hoping that the desired effect had been a student of Averill Law at the University of Wis-
would result. My strong belief in giving emphasis to such consin. Both of us were teaching the undergraduate simula-
understanding continues to be reflected today in a series of tion course, but we were complaining that the textbooks
tutorials given at each Winter Simulation Conference from didn’t please us. We were trying a different text each year.
1995 forward (Schriber and Brunner 2003). In a moment of weakness, we said that we should just
The “Red Book” seemed to fill a gap in the simulation write a textbook as we both had made piles of notes. We
textbook literature in the 1970s and on into the 1980s, both contacted some publishers, one of which was Prentice-
nationally and internationally. (The book was translated Hall. After an afternoon of protracted discussion in 1981,
into Russian in 1980 (Schriber 1980) and, with its red we signed a publication contract promising a manuscript
cover retained, became known in that version as the “Red one year from that date. Two years later, we presented the
Red Book.”) Later, when people asked why there wasn’t manuscript for Discrete-Event Systems Simulation. The
yet a second edition of the “Red Book,” the answer was text came out in September of 1983 with a 1984 copyright
something like “Why produce a second edition now? The date (Banks and Carson 1984).
first edition is still doing just fine.” The book went through We are in the throes of preparing the fourth edition of
about 40 printings, producing over 50,000 copies, a record this text. In the 20+ years that we have been working on
in its time. the four editions of the text, we have added and deleted
Eventually that 1968 student, Jim Henriksen, came out materials. We try to keep the number of pages to a reason-
with his own mainframe GPSS/H (Henriksen and Crain able size, but the text is growing. In this portion of the
1977), and in due course it migrated to the desktop. Here Proceedings entry, I will explain some of the rationale that
was a compelling reason to write another GPSS book, this went into the various editions.

1955
Schriber, Ståhl, Banks, Law, Seila, and Born

4.2 First Edition (1984) Barry Nelson, Northwestern University, as a co-author. I


would estimate that 30% of the content was changed.
Some of the facts are as follows: A chapter on Simulation of Manufacturing and Mate-
Co-authors: Jerry Banks and John S. Carson, II rial Handling Systems was added. The chapter on Inven-
Chapters: 12 tory Systems was deleted. The chapter on General Princi-
Pages: 514 ples and Computer Simulation Languages was split into
Cover: White, Prentice-Hall International Series two chapters.
in Industrial and Systems Engineering Getting modern, we asked users to contribute errata
Our philosophy was to teach by example. Hence, we through a link on Barry Nelson’s website. Eventually, we
had many small examples that could be ‘grasped’ by the decided to manage the Solutions Manual distribution to
student. Thus, when talking about the Kolmogorov- maintain more control of the situation. Interestingly, we
Smirnov test for randomness, our example had but five learned that about half the adopters of the first edition
numbers. We used a table and a figure to depict the method taught in computer science related programs. So, even
for performing the test. No real world application is going though the text was in the same series as the first edition,
to test five numbers for randomness; maybe they would that wasn’t mentioned on the cover. We had our own cover
test 50,000 numbers. We also had a lot of exercises for the design, different from the cover design of the series.
students. Many of them were exam questions that we had
used over the years. A Solutions Manual was available 4.4 Third Edition (2000)
from the publisher.
The text was divided into four parts with chapters as The time between the second and third editions was just
follows: four years. Some of the related facts are as follows:
Part One: Introduction to Discrete-Event Simula- Co-authors: Jerry Banks, John S. Carson, II,
tion Barry L. Nelson, and David M. Nicol
Introduction to Simulation Chapters: 14
Simulation Examples Pages: 594
General Principles and Computer Simu- Cover: Red, Prentice-Hall International Series in
lation Languages Industrial and Systems Engineering
Part Two: Mathematical and Statistical Models (mentioned on the cover)
Statistical Models in Simulation Note that a fourth author was added. David Nicol,
Queueing Models Dartmouth College, joined us. His expertise is in the simu-
Inventory Systems lation of computer and communications systems. A chapter
Part Three: Random Numbers on the Simulation of Computer Systems was added by
Random Number Generation David Nicol. Note the color of the text. When asked by
Random Variate Generation Prentice-Hall what color the cover should be, Barry Nel-
Part Four: Analysis of Simulation Data son’s son, Kyle, said “Red”, a very patriotic decision (red,
Input Data Analysis white, and blue). Now, really getting with the program,
Verification and Validation David Nicol created a website for the text. Its URL is
Output Analysis for a Single Model www.bcnn.net
Comparison and Evaluation of Alterna-
tive System Designs 4.5 Fourth Edition (in Preparation)

4.3 Second Edition (1996) Some of the related facts are as follows:
Co-authors: Jerry Banks, John S. Carson, II,
Quite a few years lapsed between the first and second edi- Barry L. Nelson, and David M. Nicol
tions. Some of the related facts are as follows: Chapters: 15
Co-authors: Jerry Banks, John S. Carson, II, Pages: Approximately 634
and Barry L. Nelson Cover: to be determined
Chapters: 13 The fourth edition will have an additional chapter on
Pages: 548 the simulation of communication systems. The verification
Cover: Blue, Prentice-Hall International Series and validation chapter, not touched since the first edition,
in Industrial and Systems Engineering will be revised completely. The Simulation of Manufactur-
(not mentioned on the cover) ing and Material Handling Systems chapter will be ex-
John Carson left Georgia Tech for a full time consult- tended to about twice it current size. To make some room,
ing practice in 1986 and I had been on the faculty for quite the chapter on Simulation Software will be shortened. In
a few years. We needed new blood. We got it by adding the first edition of the text, it made sense to discuss differ-

1956
Schriber, Ståhl, Banks, Law, Seila, and Born

ent simulation languages. But simulation software products optimization. It has more than 195 examples, 325 figures,
are now distinguished by their interfaces as much as their and 245 homework problems. The goal of all three editions
internals (although, I disagree with that method of distinc- has been to provide a comprehensive and technically cor-
tion) making comparison less meaningful. rect treatment of simulation modeling, but to make the ma-
terial more understandable by using intuition and numer-
4.6 Summary ous figures.
Simulation Modeling and Analysis has sold more than
Time passes, things change. The fourth edition will proba- 80,000 copies and a fourth edition is planned for the near
bly be 50% different from the first edition. Yes, there has future. The primary academic market for the book is
been a lot of new material. But, also, there are better ways sophomore to Ph.D. level courses in industrial engineering
to say the same thing. And, the applications of simulation and operations research. However, it is also used in man-
continue to expand. Yes, the software has changed a lot. agement science/quantitative methods departments in busi-
But, it has gotten to the point where it doesn’t mean much ness schools, as well as in computer science departments.
to discuss software. We’ll tell our readers to look at the Finally, it is extensively used as a reference book by simu-
corresponding websites! lation practitioners in industry.

5 AVERILL M. LAW: “SIMULATION 6 ANDREW F. SEILA: “APPLIED


MODELING AND ANALYSIS” SIMULATION MODELING”

When I first conceived of a “Simulation Modeling and Let me start by observing that with regard to simulation
Analysis” book in 1979, there was not an acceptable vehi- textbooks, one size doesn't fit all. It is not possible to write
cle for teaching a Master’s Degree industrial engineering a simulation textbook that will satisfy all potential readers.
course that focused on the methodology of simulation We can identify four distinct markets for simulation
modeling. The books that were available at that time were textbooks:
of three types. First, there were a few books on the use of a 1. Undergraduate business and IE students and MBA
particular simulation language [e.g., Schriber’s excellent students
book on GPSS (1974)]. There was also the sophomore- 2. IE/OR graduate students
level book by Shannon (1975), which was somewhat quali- 3. Ph.D. students and researchers
tative in nature but had excellent discussions of topics such 4. Engineers and managers in the workforce
as model validation. Finally, there was the classic book on Students in the first category cannot be assumed to
simulation methodology by Fishman (1973). However, this have an extensive background in mathematics, statistics or
book was, in my opinion, primarily oriented toward a computer science, which are the basic building blocks of
Ph.D.-level course in simulation and did not cover a num- simulation methodology. They plan to use simulation to
ber of topics that a simulation practitioner needed to know, analyze problems in risk management, finance, operations
such as model validation and the overall conduct of a simu- and other areas of system management. They are focused
lation study. Thus, there was a large chasm in the spectrum on problem solving and see simulation as a tool to find bet-
of simulation books that were available at that time. This ter solutions or decisions. This group needs a text that con-
served as the motivation for co-authoring Simulation Mod- centrates primarily on concepts, applications, model con-
eling and Analysis with David Kelton (Law and Kelton struction and interpretation of results.
1982). The outline for the book was generated from teach- The second category consists of master's level students
ing approximately 30 public and onsite simulation short with engineering, mathematics, statistics or computer sci-
courses from 1977 to 1979. These courses were primarily ence backgrounds. They are comfortable solving mathe-
attended by people who worked in industry or in the mili- matical problems and are skilled in statistics and computer
tary, and who had degrees in engineering or mathematics. programming. They are still applications-oriented, how-
The first edition of the book (copyright 1982) was ever, and plan to use simulation to analyze complex prob-
only 400 pages in length and had a largely academic fla- lems in manufacturing or service operations. They also
vor. The second edition (copyright 1991) grew to 759 could plan to become simulation software developers.
pages and added a chapter on manufacturing applications. They need a textbook that carefully explains the modeling
It also included more extensive discussions of simulation and statistical methodology behind simulation at a level
software, model validation, and how to conduct a success- that allows them to develop applications using basic soft-
ful simulation study. The third edition (copyright 2000) ware tools such as C/C++.
grew by a more moderate amount (only 760 pages, but set The third group includes Ph.D. level researchers who
in a smaller type font) and has enhanced discussions of either use simulation in their research or are doing research
topics such as model validation, simulation input model- in some area of simulation methodology. They need a text
ing, random-number generation, experimental design, and with extensive mathematical content and proofs of results.

1957
Schriber, Ståhl, Banks, Law, Seila, and Born

The fourth group consists of people in the workforce The final product hopefully addresses the needs of
who need to learn simulation and plan to do so by reading business students, mainly MBAs, and will be attractive to
a book. They might have a background in business, engi- some undergraduate programs in industrial engineering.
neering, public health, etc. and need to use simulation to Some characteristics that we tried to incorporate into the
model a problem at work. In many respects, this market is book are:
much like the first market. The people cannot be assumed 1. Concepts are explained at a level that assumes lit-
to have extensive mathematical, statistical or programming tle background on the part of the reader.
skills, and their objective is to use simulation to enhance 2. Examples motivate and drive the flow of the
decision making. They differ from the first group, how- book.
ever, in the fact that they do not have an instructor to clar- 3. Statistical methodology is presented from the per-
ify and explain the material in the textbook. They need a spective of the user.
book that, like the first group, deals mainly with concepts 4. A spreadsheet is used as a simulation platform for
and applications, but the book should be carefully written models that can be represented in a spreadsheet,
so the material can be understood without additional sup- especially financial and risk analysis models.
porting materials. This book should be more tutorial in na- 5. A GUI software package, Arena, is used to teach
ture than the book for the first group. modeling techniques for discrete event simulation.
Let me now turn to my co-authored textbook. The idea 6. A wide variety of models and modeling scenarios
to write a simulation textbook, which ultimately resulted in is included to motivate the reader and stimulate
Applied Simulation Modeling (Seila, Tadikamall and Ceric, his or her imagination.
2003), originated in 1989 at the Winter Simulation Confer- 7. All steps in the systems analysis process are cov-
ence in Atlanta. At the time, Pandu Tadikamalla (Univer- ered, from problem identification through using
sity of Pittsburg) and I (University of Georgia) were both the simulation results for improved decision mak-
teaching simulation to graduate students (and also to un- ing.
dergrads, in my case) in business schools. We were both 8. Modeling and data analysis concepts are ex-
dissatisfied with the current selection of textbooks, which plained carefully so the user will be able to apply
were excellent for students in IE/OR, computer science and them in a correct way.
other areas where a strong background in mathematics and 9. Simulation project management is discussed.
statistics is required and expected. We did not intend to 10. A discussion of the use of simulation results for
write a book to compete with the excellent simulation improved decision making is provided, and it in-
books by Law and Kelton (2000), Fishman (1978) and cludes such topics as sampling error and modeling
Schriber (1974). Naively, we thought that we could just error considerations.
take our class notes and organize them into a textbook! There is a certain tension between the desire to explain
Over the next 14 years, we went through many revisions. concepts carefully and the desire to get the reader's hands
In 1995, we added Vlatko Ceric (University of Zagreb) as on a model quickly. We wanted to reduce the distance be-
a co-author. Finally, in 2003, the first edition appeared. tween the introduction of an idea and creation of a model
As described above, we believe that business students that uses that idea. Our audience is often impatient with
are fundamentally different from students in IE/OR and explanations until they have been shown that the method-
computer science in their quantitative backgrounds, their ology is useful to them. Thus, hands-on examples are fre-
motivations, and the application areas of interest to them. It quently used to introduce and motivate new topics, with
was our objective to write a textbook that would recognize details coming later.
and address these issues. Many authors use the spreadsheet as a simulation plat-
While we were writing Applied Simulation Modeling, form because spreadsheets are widely available and most
both the field of simulation and the target audience evolved, business students learn to use them in other parts of their
so we felt like we were shooting at a moving target. In the curriculum. This trend will continue for the foreseeable fu-
early 1990's, our simulation classes were filled with students ture because spreadsheets are excellent tools to model and
studying management science, many of whom had under- simulate a wide variety of problems, computing power is
graduate degrees in science or engineering. Management sci- continuing to grow exponentially, and no competing plat-
ence was a required course in many MBA programs then, forms have been introduced recently.
and simulation was a component of such a course. Interest While it is clear that computer technology is pushing
was high in simulation and management science. In 1996, textbooks toward different formats such as interactive
management science was removed from many MBA pro-
websites and CD-ROM, it is also clear to me that at present
grams as a required course, and interest in all management
there is no adequate substitute for the traditional paper
science methodology, including simulation, decreased. (This
textbook. Multimedia should be incorporated in the form
trend seems to be reversing now.) Our textbook had to be re-
of supplements for the textbook, especially in the case of
vised, even before it was published, to address these changes.
business students. Interactive demonstrations of model

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Schriber, Ståhl, Banks, Law, Seila, and Born

building, sampling and output analysis can greatly enhance used this evolving collection of slides, WebGPSS Slide
the textbook's discussion of these concepts and show the Presentation (Born and Ståhl 2003), for three semesters to
student the pitfalls of using poor methodology. I am hard at drive class discussions of simulation with WebGPSS, and
work right now creating a user's manual and website for Ståhl has used them in teaching WebGPSS to English-
Applied Simulation Modeling. speaking students throughout Europe.
Finally, since Applied Simulation Modeling is new, it In my remaining space in these proceedings, I shall
is a work in progress. My co-authors and I will not know attempt to summarize the characteristics of this slide pres-
how well we guessed the market until we get feedback entation that make it such a useful tool for classroom
from the publisher and our colleagues. We welcome all teaching. It is my belief that the real success of any simula-
comments, including criticisms, so we can make the sec- tion package is strongly dependent on the existence of suit-
ond edition better. able teachware. Most of us who teach simulation modeling,
particularly at the university level, have very limited time
7 RICHARD G. BORN: "WEBGPSS to prepare this teachware, due to other responsibilities as-
SLIDE PRESENTATION" sociated with professional activities, research, and service
to the university and community at large. Yet good teach-
If the traditional simulation textbook, printed on paper, is ware, in conjunction with an enthusiastic teacher, can play
the old, then what is the new textbook? Certainly, a key a critical role in the student’s understanding of simulation
word that describes the new simulation textbook is elec- and should not, therefore, be neglected by vendors.
tronic. Such a textbook may reside somewhere on a Web Characteristic 1 – Use a pleasing design with uni-
server and be accessed by students as they work their simu- formity throughout, and quick access to individual lessons.
lation models, or it may reside on a CD-ROM with access
not requiring any connection to the Internet.
There is, indeed, a plethora of questions that can be
addressed regarding this new breed of simulation textbook.
What would be the characteristics of such an electronic
simulation textbook? Would it simply be a combination of
text and figures much like the traditional simulation text-
book, or would it contain interactive exercises to help rein-
force simulation concepts and terminology? Would the
electronic textbook be adaptable as teachware in the class-
room or could it be designed from the start as a combina-
tion textbook and classroom teachware? Would the elec-
tronic textbook only be a complement to the printed one, or
is it possible that it could in the future replace the printed
version altogether? What are the advantages and disadvan-
tages of the electronic textbook? Can a well-designed
simulation textbook/teachware package be helpful in the Characteristic 2 – Use bullets to introduce the simu-
spread and usage of a specific vendor’s software? In de- lation models for each lesson or chapter, with colorful clip
signing a simulation textbook/teachware package, should art to help captivate student interest.
the developer stick with software that has stood the test of
time and is widely available (e.g. Microsoft PowerPoint),
or should the developer take on greater risks associated
with the alternatives?
Let us now consider an example of a significant effort
taken to develop teachware for a modern version of one of
the classics of simulation, namely GPSS. When Ingolf
Ståhl’s micro-GPSS (Ståhl 1990) evolved into WebGPSS
late in 2001 (Ståhl 2002), there was no question in my mind
after reviewing the capabilities of WebGPSS and its direc-
tion for the future, that I would continue to teach simulation
to our business students using WebGPSS. It was also clear
to me that I wanted to take a more active part in the devel-
opment process. I then proposed a plan to Ståhl to prepare a
complete set of PowerPoint slides (more than 430 slides) for
teaching the 38 lessons in his tutorial booklet entitled Simu-
lation Made Simple with WebGPSS (Ståhl 2002). I have now

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Schriber, Ståhl, Banks, Law, Seila, and Born

Characteristic 3 – Provide slides that allow discus- notes that a transaction can carry along with itself as it
sion of code and block diagram views of a model, with moves through a model.
each slide emphasizing just a portion of the model. Include
questions that can be used to draw the students into active
participation in model development. My students particu-
larly like incentives such as “An A for the day” for cor-
rectly answering the more difficult questions. Students can
jot down the answers to these questions in their printed
copies of the slides during the discussion, and review them
later as needed. Alternatively, some students open up the
PowerPoint presentation on their laptop computers during
class discussions and take notes with PowerPoint’s built-in
note-taking capability for individual slides.

Characteristic 6 – When it would help to prepare a


dynamic slide, where each mouse click shows conditions
changing in a simulation model over time, the extra in-
vestment in time required to prepare that slide can provide
limitless insight to the student. The following slide, devel-
oped gradually through a series of mouse clicks, helps stu-
dents understand the movement of transactions through a
lock diagram as well as reuse of internal transaction num-
bers in conjunction with parameters.

Characteristic 4 – Introduce new concepts with care-


fully and accurately designed diagrams and bullets that
point out the main ideas concerning the new concept. A
good way to get accurate and colorful diagrams is to con-
struct them in Excel, save as a GIF file, and then import
them into your PowerPoint slide.

Other characteristics also contribute to making Power-


Point teachware a valuable commodity in simulation edu-
cation, but space is running out here to show example
slides. Slides are needed that explain how to fill out dialog
boxes for operands, functions, and experiments. Slides that
explain the business logic behind each block in a GPSS
model’s block diagram can be of tremendous value to both
business and engineering students. Indeed, as vendors be-
Characteristic 5 – Whenever an analogy would help gin to realize the value of PowerPoint teachware, addi-
understanding of a simulation concept, don’t hesitate to tional characteristics of good presentation of simulation
make use of it in the slide presentation. In the slide that fol- modeling concepts will emerge, with the student being the
lows, WebGPSS parameters are compared to “post-it” ultimate benefactor of the efforts of such vendors.

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Schriber, Ståhl, Banks, Law, Seila, and Born

8 EPILOGUE Birtwistle, G. M., O-J. Dahl, B. Myhrhaug, and K. Ny-


gaard 1973 Simula begin. Philadelphia: Auerback.
As stated in the introduction, “In the final analysis, the Bobillier, P. A., B. C. Kahan, and A. R. Probst. 1976.
purpose of the panel is to set thoughts into motion regard- Simulation with GPSS and GPSS V. Englewood Cliffs
ing the role that simulation textbooks and, more generally, NJ: Prentice-Hall.
simulation teachware, can and should play in the education Bonini, C. P. 1963, Simulation in information and decision
of simulation practitioners and consumers.” Many of the systems in the firm. Englewood Cliffs NJ: Prentice-
considerations and challenges in this regard have been sur- Hall.
faced by the panelists, based on their own substantial and Chorafas, D. N. 1965. Systems and simulation. New York:
ongoing experiences in developing and maintaining simu- Academic Press.
lation textbooks and teachware. What concluding observa- Deo, N. 1979. System simulation with digital computers.
tions can we make? Observations might include these: Englewood Cliffs NJ: Prentice-Hall.
• The perfect textbook is only a dream. Dutton, J., and W. Starbuck. 1971. Computer simulation of
• With regard to simulation textbooks, one size human behavior. New York: Wiley.
doesn’t fit all. (“Different strokes for different Emshoff, J. R., and R. L. Sisson. 1970. Design and use of
folks…”) computer simulation models. London: MacMillan.
• There are at least four distinct markets for simula- Fishman, G. S. 1973. Concepts and methods in discrete
tion education: undergraduate business and indus- event digital simulation. New York: Wiley.
trial engineering students and MBA students; Fishman, G. S. 1978. Principles of discrete event simula-
IE/OR graduate students; Ph.D. students and re- tion. New York: Wiley.
searchers; and engineers and managers in the Franta, W. R. 1977. The process view of simulation. New
workforce. York: Elsevier-Northholland.
• Students entering the “simulation market” in any Forrester, J. W. 1961. Industrial dynamics. Cambridge
of its various segments are moving targets. MA: MIT Press.
• Simulation software, methodology, and applica- Frazer, J. R. 1975. Business decision simulation: a time
tions are also moving targets. sharing approach. Reston VA: Reston Publishing.
• A balance must be struck between methodology Gordon, G. 1969. (2nd ed 1978) System simulation.
and applications. Englewood Cliffs NJ: Prentice-Hall.
Gordon, G. 1975. The application of GPSS V to discrete
• Spreadsheet-based simulation is gaining in popu-
system simulation. Englewood Cliffs NJ: Prentice-
larity and importance and addresses applications
Hall.
outside the normal application areas of discrete-
Greenberg, S. 1972. GPSS primer. New York: Wiley.
event simulation.
Guetzkow, H., P. Kotler, and R. Schultz. 1972. Simulation
• The World Wide Web provides opportunities and
in social and administrative science. Englewood
challenges in the area of teachware.
Cliffs NJ: Prentice Hall.
• Interactive demonstrations of model building, sam- Kiviat, P., R. Villanueva, and H. Markowitz. 1973.
pling and output analysis can greatly enhance a SIMSCRIPT II.5 programming language. La Jolla
textbook's discussion of these concepts and demon- CA: CACI.
strate the pitfalls of using poor methodology. Kleinen, J. 1974 (vol 1) and 1975 (vol 2). Statistical tech-
• “Tell me what it does; don’t tell me how it does it” niques in simulation. New York: Marcel Dekker.
attitudes are prevalent and need to be addressed. Korn, G. A., and J. V. Wait. 1978. Digital continuous sys-
• Teaching philosophies can range from “spoon tem simulation. Englewood Cliffs NJ: Prentice-Hall.
feeding” to “dig it out on your own,” with every- Lewis, T. G., and B. J. Smith. 1979. Computer principles
thing in between. of modeling and simulation. Boston: Houghton and
• It can be as important to educate future simulation Mifflin.
consumers, as it is to educate future simulation Maisel, H., and G. Gnugoli. 1972. Simulation of discrete
practitioners. stochastic systems. Palo Alto: Science Research As-
We fully expect that the panelists and members of the sociates.
audience will make additional observations that will add to Markowitz, H., H. Karr, and B. Hausner. 1963.
this list. SIMSCRIPT – a simulation programming language.
Englewood Cliffs NJ: Prentice-Hall.
REFERENCES Martin, F. 1968. Computer modeling and simulation. New
York: Wiley.
PRE-1980 TEXTBOOKS McMillan, C., and R. Gonzales. 1973. Systems analysis.
Birtwistle, G. M. 1979. DEMOS: A system for discrete Homewood IL: Irwin.
event simulation on Simula. London: McMillan.

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Meier, R., W. T. Newell, and H. L. Pazer. 1969. Simulation Schriber, T. J. 1992. Twenty-fifth anniversary Winter
in business and economics. Englewood Cliffs NJ: Simulation Conference co-keynote address. In J. J.
Prentice-Hall. Swain, D. Goldsman, R. C. Crain and J. R. Wilson
Mize, J. H., and J. Cox. 1968. Essentials of simulation. (eds.). Proceedings of the 1992 Winter Simulation
Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs. Conference. LaJolla CA: SCS.
Naylor, T. 1969. The design of computer simulation ex- Schriber, T. J. 1980. Simulation using GPSS (Russian lan-
periments. Durham NC: Duke University Press. guage edition; translated by Professor Michael
Naylor, T., J. L. Balintfy, D. S. Burdick, and K. Chu. 1966. Feinberg). Moscow: Mashinostroyenie Press.
Computer simulation techniques. New York: Wiley. Schriber, T. J. 1991. Simulation using GPSS/H. New York:
O’Donovan, T. M. 1976; 1979 (2nd ed). GPSS simulation Wiley.
made simple. New York and Chichester, UK: Wiley. Schriber, T. J., et al. 2001. GPSS turns 40: selected per-
Poole, T., and J. Szymankewicz. 1977. Using simulation to spectives. In B. Peters, J. Smith, D. J. Medeiros and
solve problems. London: McGraw-Hill. M. Rohrer (eds.). Proceedings of the 2001 Winter
Pritsker, A. 1974. The GASP IV simulation language. New Simulation Conference. LaJolla CA: SCS.
York: Wiley. Schriber, T. J., and D. T. Brunner. 2003. Inside simulation
Pritsker, A. 1977. (2nd ed. 1979) Modeling and analysis us- software: how it works and why it matters. In S.
ing Q-GERT networks. New York: Halstead. Chick, P. Sánchez, D. Ferrin, and D. Morrice (eds.).
Pritsker, A., and P. Kiviat. 1969. Simulation with GASP II. Proceedings of the 2003 Winter Simulation Confer-
Englewood Cliffs NJ: Prentice-Hall. ence. LaJolla CA: SCS.
Pritsker, A., and D. Pegden. 1979. Introduction to simula- Seila, A. F., P. Tadikamalla, and V. Ceric. 2003. Applied
tion and SLAM. New York: Halstead. simulation modeling. Belmont CA: Brooks/Cole.
Pritsker, A., and R. E. Young. 1975. Simulation with Ståhl, I. 1990. Introduction to simulation with GPSS: on the
GASP_PL/I. New York: Wiley. PC, Macintosh and VAX. Hemel Hempstead, UK:
Reitman, J. 1971. Computer simulation applications. New Prentice Hall.
York: Wiley. Ståhl, I. 2002. Simulation made simple with WebGPSS – a
Schmidt, J., and R. Taylor. 1970. Simulation and analysis tutorial. Stockholm: Stockholm School of Economics.
of industrial systems. Homewood IL: Irwin. Ståhl, I. 2003. From 44 to 31 to 28 to 22 and now to 18 –
Schriber, T. J. 1974. Simulation using GPSS. New York: less becomes more in GPSS. In T. Schulze, S.
Wiley. Schlechtweg and V. Hinz (eds.). Simulation und
Shannon, R. E. 1975. Systems simulation: the art and Visualisierung 2003. Ghent: SCS Europe.
science. Englewood Cliffs NJ: Prentice-Hall.
Tocher, K. D. 1962. The art of simulation. London: Eng- AUTHOR BIOGRAPHIES
lish Universities Press; (and 1963. Princeton: Van
Nostrand). THOMAS J. SCHRIBER is a Professor of Computer and
Wyman, F. P. 1970. Simulation modeling: a guide to using Information Systems at The University of Michigan. A
SIMSCRIPT. New York: Wiley. Fellow of the Decision Sciences Institute, he is a recipient
Zeigler. B. 1976. Theory of modeling and simulation. New of the INFORMS College of Simulation’s Distinguished
York: Wiley. Service Award and Lifetime Professional Achievement
Award. He has been a Winter Simulation Conference Pro-
OTHER REFERENCES gram Chair and served ten years on the WSC Board of Di-
Born, R., and I. Ståhl. 2003. WebGPSS slide presentation. rectors, chairing the board for two years. He is a member
DeKalb IL: R. Born. (available on request from R. of ASIM (the German-language simulation society), the
Born:rborn@niu.edu) Decision Sciences Institute, the Institute of Industrial En-
Henriksen, J. O., and R. C. Crain. 1977. GPSS/H reference gineers, and INFORMS, and is listed in Who’s Who in
manual. Annandale VA: Wolverine Software Corp. America. His email and web addresses: <schriber@
Herper, H. and I. Ståhl. 1999. Micro-GPSS on the web and umich.edu>; <http://www.bus.umich.edu/
for windows - a tool for introduction to simulation in FacultyBios/FacultyBio.
high schools, in P. A. Farrington, H. B. Nembhard, D. asp?id=000119900>.
T. Sturrock and G. W. Evans (eds.). Proceedings of
the 1999 Winter Simulation Conference, 298-306. La- INGOLF STÅHL is a Professor at the Stockholm School
Jolla CA: SCS. of Economics, Stockholm, and has a chair in Computer
Kreutzer, W. 1986. System simulation - Programming Based Applications of Economic Theory. He was visiting
styles and languages. Sidney: Addison-Wesley. Professor, Hofstra University, N.Y., 1983-1985 and leader
Law, A. M., and W. D. Kelton. 1982 (1st ed). Simulation of a research project on inter-active simulation at the Inter-
modeling and analysis. New York: McGraw-Hill. national Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Vienna,

1962
Schriber, Ståhl, Banks, Law, Seila, and Born

1979-1982. He has taught GPSS for twenty-five years at nology. He is currently Director of the Internet Technology
universities and colleges in Sweden and the USA. Based on Program at the University of Georgia. He is a member of the
this experience, he has led the development of the micro- American Statistical Association, INFORMS, and the
GPSS and WebGPSS systems. He is also consultant in Healthcare Information Management Systems Society. His
simulation to Swedish banks and industry. His email ad- e-mail: <andy@ms.terry.uga.edu>.
dress is <ingolf.stahl@hhs.se> and the web address
for his WebGPSS is <www.webgpss.com/>. RICHARD G. BORN is an Associate Professor of Man-
agement Information Systems in the Department of Op-
JERRY BANKS is an independent consultant. He retired erations Management and Information Systems in the
from the School of Industrial and Systems Engineering at College of Business at Northern Illinois University. He
Georgia Tech in 1999, then worked for Brooks Automation has taught simulation modeling for the past 12 years to
for two years as Senior Simulation Technology Advisor. university students at all levels from undergraduate to
He is the recipient of the 1999 Distinguished Service graduate, including students in MIS, Accountancy,
Award from INFORMS-CS. His e-mail address is M.B.A., and Executive M.B.A. programs. His email ad-
<atljerry@earthlink.net>. dress is <rborn@niu.edu>.

AVERILL M. LAW is President of Averill M. Law &


Associates, a company specializing in simulation training,
consulting, and software. He has been a simulation con-
sultant to numerous organizations including ARCO, Boe-
ing, Defense Modeling and Simulation Office, Kimberly-
Clark, M&M/Mars, U.S. Air Force, and U.S. Army. He has
presented more than 360 simulation short courses in 17
countries. He has written or coauthored numerous papers
and books on simulation, operations research, statistics,
and manufacturing including the book Simulation Model-
ing and Analysis that is used by more than 80,000 people.
He developed the ExpertFit distribution-fitting software
and also several videotapes on simulation modeling. He
has been the keynote speaker at simulation conferences
worldwide. He wrote a regular column on simulation for
Industrial Engineering magazine. He has been a tenured
faculty member at the University of Wisconsin-Madison
and the University of Arizona. He has a Ph.D. in industrial
engineering and operations research from the University of
California at Berkeley. His e-mail address is
<averill@simulation.ws> and his Web site is
www.averill-law.com.

ANDREW F. SEILA is a Professor in the Department of


Management Information Systems in the Terry College of
Business at the University of Georgia. He has been involved
with simulation teaching and research for more than 30
years, and has attended the Winter Simulation Conference
since 1977, serving as Program Chair for the 1994 meeting
in Orlando. Dr. Seila is a Fulbright Fellow and recognized
authority on the use of spreadsheets for model representation
and simulation. His professional interests include statistical
methodology for simulation, modeling methodology, and
simulation applications, especially those in healthcare and
finance. He is the author of over 50 refereed papers and co-
authored the chapter on output analysis in the Handbook of
Simulation. He has been a consultant to numerous busi-
nesses, consulting firms and public institutions. In recent
years, Dr. Seila has expanded his interests to Internet Tech-

1963

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