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University of Coahuila

U.A. de C.
Faculty of Metallurgy

Engineering Economy course


M. Garcia & Dr. J. R. Cano
Email: ma_ga_i@yahoo.com

Presentation designed and written by:


M. Garcia
October 2018
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Tentative Course Outline

 Introduction
 Equivalence and Compound Interest
 Present worth analysis
 Annual cash flow analysis
 Rate of return analysis
 Incremental rate of return analysis
 Rationing capital among competing projects
 Other analysis techniques (Future worth analysis, Benefit-Cost ratio analysis,
etc.)
 Depreciation
 Income taxes
 Inflation and deflation
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Course Outline | Text Book & Objectives


 Text:
Newnan, Donald G., Eschenbach, Ted G., and Lavelle, Jerome P. (2004).
Engineering Economic Analysis, Ninth Edition, Oxford University Press, New
York, Oxford, 2004.
Newnan, Donald G. and Wheeler, Ed. Study Guide for Engineering Economic
Analysis, Ninth Edition, Oxford University Press, New York, Oxford, 2004.

 Course Description:
This course deals with economic analysis of engineering, in
particular, with the evaluation of projects in terms of time, costs and
worth. Topics include interest rates, time value of money, present
and future worth, economic evaluation of alternative decisions,
replacement analysis, inflation, taxes, and economic justification of
new technologies.
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Introduction:
Definition of Engineering
Engineering is the profession in which knowledge
(math and natural sciences gained by study,
experience and practice) is applied with judgment
to develop ways to utilize, economically, the
materials and forces of nature for the benefit of
mankind.

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Introduction
 We can locate Engineering Economics among several related
disciplines. Firstly, it is needed to complete engineering itself; without an
economic background, most engineering problems are trivial.

 For example, the problem of air pollution could easily be solved by


giving everyone an electric car.

 It is only when we add the economic constraint that electric cars are
too expensive for most people that the real engineering begins.
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Introduction:
Definition of Engineering
Engineering is the profession in which knowledge
(math and natural sciences gained by study,
experience and practice) is applied with judgment
to develop ways to utilize, economically, the
materials and forces of nature for the benefit of
mankind.

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which is the economic engineering ?


Some definitions
 It deals with the concepts and techniques of analysis
useful in evaluating the worth of systems, products, and
services in relation to their costs
 Engineering economy is involved with the formulation,
estimation, and evaluation of economic outcomes when
alternatives to accomplish a defined purpose are
available.
 Engineering economy is involved with the application of
defined mathematical relationships that aid in the
comparison of economic alternatives
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Sample questions
• Knowledge of Engineering Economy will have a significant
impact on you, personally.
– Make proper economic comparisons • In your every day life
(personal)
– To purchase or to lease a car
– What type of car to buy
– Should you invest in the stock market or pay your credit cards-
– Should you buy or rent a house
– What are graduate studies worth financially over my
professional career? • In your profession (Engineering and
Business decisions)
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Sample questions continue


– What is the expected profit of a particular investment? –
Should you pursue a particular risky business venture or
invest your money in a money market account
– What type of process should you use
– When should you replace a particular machine?
– Should you buy or produce a particular sub-assembly?

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Why Engineering Economy is Important to


Engineers
 Engineers design and create
 Designing involves economic decisions
 Engineers must be able to incorporate economic
analysis into their creative efforts
 Often engineers must select and implement from
multiple alternatives
 Understanding and applying time value of money,
economic equivalence, and cost estimation are vital
for engineers
 A proper economic analysis for selection and
execution is a fundamental task of engineering
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Chapter 1
Engineering Economic Decisions
 Rational Decision-
making Process
 The Engineer’s Role in
Business
 Types of Strategic
Engineering Economic
Decisions
 Fundamental Principles in
Engineering Economics
Bose Corporation

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Engineering Economics
Overview
• Rational Decision-Making Process
• Economic Decisions
• Predicting Future
• Role of Engineers in Business
• Large-scale engineering projects
• Types of strategic engineering economic
decisions

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Rational Decision-Making Process


1. Recognize a decision problem
2. Define the goals or objectives
3. Collect all the relevant
information
4. Identify a set of feasible
decision alternatives
5. Select the decision criterion to
use
6. Select the best alternative

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Which Car to Lease?


Saturn vs. Honda
1. Recognize a decision problem  Need a car
2. Define the goals or objectives
3. Collect all the relevant  Want mechanical security
information  Gather technical as well as
4. Identify a set of feasible financial data
decision alternatives  Choose between Saturn
5. Select the decision criterion to and Honda
use  Want minimum total cash
6. Select the best alternative outlay
 Select Honda

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Engineering Economic Decisions


Manufacturing Profit

Planning Investment

Marketing
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Predicting the Future

 Estimating a Required
investment
 Forecasting a product
demand
 Estimating a selling price
 Estimating a
manufacturing cost
 Estimating a product life

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Role of Engineers in Business


Create & Design

• Engineering Projects

Analyze Evaluate Evaluate

• Production Methods • Expected • Impact on


• Engineering Safety Profitability Financial Statements
• Environmental Impacts • Timing of • Firm’s Market Value
• Market Assessment Cash Flows • Stock Price
• Degree of
Financial Risk
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Accounting Vs. Engineering Ecom.

Evaluating past performance Evaluating and predicting future events

Accounting Engineering Economy


Past Future
Present

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Two Factors in Engineering Economic


Decisions

The factors of time and uncertainty


are the defining aspects of any
engineering economic decisions

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A Large-Scale Engineering Project

 Requires a large sum of


investment
 Takes a long time to see
the financial outcomes
 Difficult to predict the
revenue and cost streams
(Remember Cash flow discussed
earlier)

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Types of Strategic Engineering


Economic Decisions in Manufacturing
Sector
Service Improvement
Equipment and Process Selection
Equipment Replacement
New Product and Product Expansion
Cost Reduction

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Service Improvement
 How many more jeans would Levi need to sell to justify
the cost of additional robotic tailors?

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Equipment & Process Selection


How do you choose between the Plastic SMC
and the Steel sheet stock for an auto body
panel?
The choice of material will dictate the
manufacturing process for an automotive
body panel as well as manufacturing costs.

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Equipment Replacement Problem

 Now is the time to replace


the old machine?
 If not, when is the right
time to replace the old
equipment?

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New Product and Product Expansion

 Shall we build or acquire a


new facility to meet the
increased demand?
 Is it worth spending
money to market a new
product?

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Example - MACH 3 Project


 R&D investment: $750 million
 Product promotion through
advertising: $300 million
 Priced to sell at 35% higher than
Sensor Excel (about $1.50 extra Gillette’s MACH3
per shave). Project
 Question 1: Would consumers
pay $1.50 extra for a shave with
greater smoothness and less
irritation?
 Question 2: What would happen
if the blade consumption
dropped more than 10% due to
the longer blade life of the new
razor?

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Cost Reduction

 Should a company buy


equipment to perform an
operation now done
manually?
 Should spend money now
in order to save more
money later?

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Types of Strategic Engineering Economic


Decisions in Service Sector

 Commercial Transportation
 Logistics and Distribution
 Healthcare Industry
 Electronic Markets and Auctions
 Financial Engineering
 Retails
 Hospitality and Entertainment
 Customer Service and Maintenance

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U.S. Gross Domestic Products (GDP)


Manufacturing
(14%)

Service sector
(80%)
Healthcare (14%)
Agriculture (2%)

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Industrial Employment
Industry 1993 1983-94 1994-2005
Employment National Projected
distribution Average Change
Manufacturing 12.6% -0.70% -7.2%

Services 30.5% 60.0% 39.0%

Retail trade 16.7% 31.1% 13.0%

Financial 8.0% 26.8% 6.3%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Bureau of Labor Statistics


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Example - Healthcare Delivery


Which plan is more
economically viable?

 Traditional Plan: Patients


visit each service
provider.

 New Plan: Each service


provider visits patients

: patient

: service provider

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Fundamental Principles of Engineering


Economics
Principle 1: A nearby dollar is worth more than
a distant dollar
Principle 2: All it counts is the differences
among alternatives
Principle 3: Marginal revenue must exceed
marginal cost
Principle 4: Additional risk is not taken
without the expected additional return
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Principle 1: A nearby dollar is worth
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more than a distant dollar

Today 6-month later

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Principle 2: All it counts is the differences


among alternatives
Option Monthly Monthly Cash Monthly Salvage
Fuel Maintena outlay at payment Value at
Cost nce signing end of
year 3

Buy $960 $550 $6,500 $350 $9,000

Lease $960 $550 $2,400 $550 0

Irrelevant items in decision making

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Principle 3: Marginal revenue must


exceed marginal cost

Marginal
cost

Manufacturing cost 1 unit

Marginal
Sales revenue 1 unit revenue

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Principle 4: Additional risk is not taken


without the expected additional return

Investment Class Potential Expected


Risk Return

Savings account Low/None 1.5%


(cash)

Bond (debt) Moderate 4.8%


Stock (equity) High 11.5%

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Summary
The term engineering economic decision
refers to all investment decisions relating to
engineering projects.
The five main types of engineering economic
decisions are (1) service improvement, (2)
equipment and process selection, (3)
equipment replacement, (4) new product and
product expansion, and (5) cost reduction.
The factors of time and uncertainty are the
defining aspects of any investment project.
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Time Value of Money (TVM)


Description: TVM explains the change in the
amount of money over time for funds owed by
or owned by a corporation (or individual)

 Corporate investments are expected to earn a return


 Investment involves money
 Money has a ‘time value’

The time value of money is the most


important concept in engineering
economy
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Engineering Economy
 Engineering Economy involves
 Formulating
 Estimating, and
 Evaluating
expected economic outcomes of alternatives
designed to accomplish a defined purpose
 Easy-to-use math techniques simplify the
evaluation
 Estimates of economic outcomes can be
deterministic or stochastic in nature
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General Steps for Decision Making Processes

1. Understand the problem – define objectives


2. Collect relevant information
3. Define the set of feasible alternatives
4. Identify the criteria for decision making
5. Evaluate the alternatives and apply
sensitivity analysis
6. Select the “best” alternative
7. Implement the alternative and monitor
results
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Ethics – Different Levels


 Universal morals or ethics – Fundamental
beliefs: stealing, lying, harming or murdering
another are wrong
Personal morals or ethics – Beliefs that an
individual has and maintains over time; how a
universal moral is interpreted and used by
each person
 Professional or engineering ethics – Formal
standard or code that guides a person in work
activities and decision making
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Code of Ethics for Engineers


All disciplines have a formal code of ethics. National Society of
Professional Engineers (NSPE) maintains a code specifically for
engineers; many engineering professional societies have their own code

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Interest and Interest Rate


 Interest – the manifestation of the time value of money
• Fee that one pays to use someone else’s money
• Difference between an ending amount of money and
a beginning amount of money

 Interest = amount owed now – principal

 Interest rate – Interest paid over a time period expressed


as a percentage of principal

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Types of Interest
Simple Interest
I = Pni
where:
P = principal $1,000
i = interest rate 0.12
n = number of years or periods 1
I= interest $120.00
Interest = amount owed now – principal

Interest = $1120 - $1000 =120

• Interest is due at the end of the time period. For


fractions of a time period, multiply the interest by
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the fraction
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Types of Interest
Compound Interest

The interest of the interest.


– A loan of $1,000 is made at an interest of 12% for 5
years. The interest is due at the end of each year
with the principal is due at the end of the fifth year.
The following table shows the resulting payment
schedule:

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Cash flow of an loan

i =interest rate 12%


n=number of period 5
P=amount of money $ 1,000.00

Year Amount at start of year Interest at year end Owed amount at year end Paymet
1 $ 1,000.00 $ 120.00 $ 1,120.00 $ 1,120.00
2 $ 1,120.00 $ 134.40 $ 1,254.40 $ 1,254.40
3 $ 1,254.40 $ 150.53 $ 1,404.93 $ 1,404.93
4 $ 1,404.93 $ 168.59 $ 1,573.52 $ 1,573.52
5 $ 1,573.52 $ 188.82 $ 1,762.34 $ 1,762.34

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Interest - Lending
• You borrow money (renting someone else's money)
• The lender expects a return on the money lent
• The return is measured by application of an interest
rate
•Example

• You borrow $10,000 for one full year


• Must pay back $10,700 at the end of one year
• Interest Amount (I) = $10,700 - $10,000
• Interest Amount = $700 for the year
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Rate of Return

 Interest earned over a period of time is expressed as a


percentage of the original amount (principal)
interest accrued per time unit
Rate of return (%) = x 100%
original amount

 Borrower’s perspective – interest rate paid


 Lender’s or investor’s perspective – rate of return earned

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Interest paid Interest earned

Interest rate Rate of return


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Commonly used Symbols


P = value or amount of money at a time t
designated as present or time 0
F = value or amount of money at some future
time, such as at t = n periods in the future
A = series of consecutive, equal, end-of-period
amounts of money
n = number of interest periods; years, months (usually
in years)
i = interest rate or rate of return per time period;
percent per year or month (usually one year)

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Cash Flows: Terms


 Cash Inflows – Revenues (R), receipts,
incomes, savings generated by projects and
activities that flow in. Plus sign used
 Cash Outflows – Disbursements (D), costs,
expenses, taxes caused by projects and
activities that flow out. Minus sign used
 Net Cash Flow (NCF) for each time period:
NCF = cash inflows – cash outflows = R – D
 End-of-period assumption:
Funds flow at the end of a given interest period
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Cash Flows: Estimating


 Point estimate – A single-value estimate of a
cash flow element of an alternative
Cash inflow: Income = $150,000 per month

 Range estimate – Min and max values that


estimate the cash flow
Cash outflow: Cost is between $2.5 M and $3.2 M
Point estimates are commonly used; however, range estimates
with probabilities attached provide a better understanding of
variability of economic parameters used to make decisions

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Cash
What a typical cashFlow Diagrams
flow diagram might look like
Draw a time line Always assume end-of-period cash flows

Time
0 1 2 … … … n-1 n
One time
period
F = $100
Show the cash flows (to approximate scale)

0 1 2 … … … n-1 n
Cash flows are shown as directed arrows: + (up) for inflow
P = $-80
- (down) for outflow
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Cash Flow Diagram Example


Plot observed cash flows over last 8 years and estimated sale next
year for $150. Show present worth (P) arrow at present time, t = 0

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Economic Equivalence
Definition: Combination of interest rate (rate of
return) and time value of money to determine
different amounts of money at different points
in time that are economically equivalent

How it works: Use rate i and time t in upcoming


relations to move money (values of P, F and A)
between time points t = 0, 1, …, n to make
them equivalent (not equal) at the rate i

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Example of Equivalence
Different sums of money at different times may
be equal in economic value at a given rate
$110

Year

0 1
Rate of return = 10% per year

$100 now

$100 now is economically equivalent to $110 one year from


now, if the $100 is invested at a rate of 10% per year.

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Simple and Compound Interest

 Simple Interest
Interest is calculated using principal only
Interest = (principal)(number of periods)(interest rate)
I = Pni

Example: $100,000 lent for 3 years at simple i = 10%


per year. What is repayment after 3 years?
Interest = 100,000(3)(0.10) = $30,000

Total due = 100,000 + 30,000 = $130,000

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Simple and Compound Interest


 Compound Interest
Interest is based on principal plus all accrued interest
That is, interest compounds over time

Interest = (principal + all accrued interest) (interest rate)

Interest for time period t is

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Compound Interest Example


Example: $100,000 lent for 3 years at i = 10% per
year compounded. What is repayment after 3
years?
Interest, year 1: I1 = 100,000(0.10) = $10,000
Total due, year 1: T1 = 100,000 + 10,000 = $110,000
Interest, year 2: I2 = 110,000(0.10) = $11,000
Total due, year 2: T2 = 110,000 + 11,000 = $121,000
Interest, year 3: I3 = 121,000(0.10) = $12,100
Total due, year 3: T3 = 121,000 + 12,100 = $133,100
Compounded: $133,100 Simple: $130,000
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Minimum Attractive Rate of Return


 MARR is a reasonable rate
of return (percent)
established for evaluating
and selecting alternatives
 An investment is justified
economically if it is
expected to return at least
the MARR
 Also termed hurdle rate,
benchmark rate and cutoff
rate

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MARR Characteristics
 MARR is established by the financial
managers of the firm
 MARR is fundamentally connected to the cost
of capital
 Both types of capital financing are used to
determine the weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) and the MARR
 MARR usually considers the risk inherent to a
project

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Types of Financing

 Equity Financing –Funds either from retained


earnings, new stock issues, or owner’s
infusion of money.
 Debt Financing –Borrowed funds from outside
sources – loans, bonds, mortgages, venture
capital pools, etc. Interest is paid to the lender
on these funds
For an economically justified project
ROR ≥ MARR > WACC
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Opportunity Cost
 Definition: Largest rate of return of all projects not
accepted (forgone) due to a lack of capital funds
 If no MARR is set, the ROR of the first project not undertaken
establishes the opportunity cost

Example: Assume MARR = 10%. Project A, not


funded due to lack of funds, is projected to
have RORA = 13%. Project B has RORB = 15%
and is funded because it costs less than A
Opportunity cost is 13%, i.e., the opportunity to
make an additional 13% is forgone by not
funding project A
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Introduction to Spreadsheet Functions


Excel financial functions
Present Value, P: = PV(i%,n,A,F)
Future Value, F: = FV(i%,n,A,P)
Equal, periodic value, A: = PMT(i%,n,P,F)
Number of periods, n: = NPER((i%,A,P,F)
Compound interest rate, i: = RATE(n,A,P,F)
Compound interest rate, i: = IRR(first_cell:last_cell)
Present value, any series, P: = NPV(i%,second_cell:last_cell) + first_cell

Example: Estimates are P = $5000 n = 5 years i = 5% per year


Find A in $ per year
Function and display: = PMT(5%, 5, 5000) displays A = $1154.87
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Chapter Summary
 Engineering Economy fundamentals
 Time value of money
 Economic equivalence
 Introduction to capital funding and MARR
 Spreadsheet functions
 Interest rate and rate of return
 Simple and compound interest

 Cash flow estimation


 Cash flow diagrams
 End-of-period assumption
 Net cash flow
 Perspectives taken for cash flow estimation
 Ethics
 Universal morals and personal morals
 Professional and engineering ethics (Code of Ethics)
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Engineering Economy

Chapter 4: The Time Value of Money


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The objective of Chapter 4 is to


explain time value of money
calculations and to illustrate
economic equivalence.

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Money has a time value.


Capital refers to wealth in the form of money
or property that can be used to produce more
wealth.
Engineering economy studies involve the
commitment of capital for extended periods of
time.
A dollar today is worth more than a dollar one
or more years from now (for several reasons).

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Return to capital in the form of interest and


profit is an essential ingredient of
engineering economy studies.
Interest and profit pay the providers of capital for
forgoing its use during the time the capital is being
used.
Interest and profit are payments for the risk the
investor takes in letting another use his or her
capital.
Any project or venture must provide a sufficient
return to be financially attractive to the suppliers of
money or property.

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Simple Interest: infrequently used

When the total interest earned or charged is linearly


proportional to the initial amount of the loan
(principal), the interest rate, and the number of
interest periods, the interest and interest rate are said
to be simple.

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Computation of simple interest


The total interest, I, earned or paid may be computed
using the formula below.

P = principal amount lent or borrowed


N = number of interest periods (e.g., years)
i = interest rate per interest period
The total amount repaid at the end of N interest
periods is P + I.
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If $5,000 were loaned for five years at a


simple interest rate of 7% per year, the
interest earned would be

So, the total amount repaid at the end


of five years would be the original
amount ($5,000) plus the interest
($1,750), or $6,750.
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Compound interest reflects both the remaining principal


and any accumulated interest. For $1,000 at 10%…

(1) (2)=(1)x10% (3)=(1)+(2)


Amount owed Interest Amount owed
at beginning of amount for at end of
Period period period period
1 $1,000 $100 $1,100

2 $1,100 $110 $1,210


3 $1,210 $121 $1,331

Compound interest is commonly used in personal and


professional financial transactions.
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Economic equivalence allows us to


compare alternatives on a common basis.
Each alternative can be reduced to an
equivalent basis dependent on
 interest rate,
 amount of money involved, and
 timing of monetary receipts or expenses.
Using these elements we can “move” cash
flows so that we can compare them at
particular points in time.

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We need some tools to find economic


equivalence.
Notation used in formulas for compound interest
calculations.
 i = effective interest rate per interest period
 N = number of compounding (interest) periods
 P = present sum of money; equivalent value of one or
more cash flows at a reference point in time; the present
 F = future sum of money; equivalent value of one or
more cash flows at a reference point in time; the future
 A = end-of-period cash flows in a uniform series
continuing for a certain number of periods, starting at
the end of the first period and continuing through the
last

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A cash flow diagram is an indispensable


tool for clarifying and visualizing a series
of cash flows.

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Cash flow tables are essential to modeling


engineering economy problems in a
spreadsheet

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We can apply compound interest formulas
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to “move” cash flows along the cash flow


diagram.

Using the standard notation, we find that a


present amount, P, can grow into a future
amount, F, in N time periods at interest rate
i according to the formula below.

In a similar way we can find P given F by

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It is common to use standard notation for


interest factors.

This is also known as the single payment


compound amount factor. The term on the
right is read “F given P at i% interest per
period for N interest periods.”

is called the single payment present worth


factor.
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We can use these to find economically


equivalent values at different points in time.
$2,500 at time zero is equivalent to how much after six
years if the interest rate is 8% per year?

$3,000 at the end of year seven is equivalent to how


much today (time zero) if the interest rate is 6% per
year?

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There are interest factors for a series of


end-of-period cash flows.

How much will you have in 40 years if you


save $3,000 each year and your account
earns 8% interest each year?

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

Finding the present amount from a series


of end-of-period cash flows.

How much would is needed today to provide


an annual amount of $50,000 each year for 20
years, at 9% interest each year?

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

Finding A when given F.

How much would you need to set aside each


year for 25 years, at 10% interest, to have
accumulated $1,000,000 at the end of the 25
years?

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

Finding A when given P.

If you had $500,000 today in an account


earning 10% each year, how much could you
withdraw each year for 25 years?

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

It can be challenging to solve for N or i.

We may know P, A, and i and want to find N.


We may know P, A, and N and want to find i.
These problems present special challenges
that are best handled on a spreadsheet.

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

Finding N
Acme borrowed $100,000 from a local bank, which
charges them an interest rate of 7% per year. If Acme
pays the bank $8,000 per year, now many years will it
take to pay off the loan?

So,

This can be solved by using the interest tables and


interpolation, but we generally resort to a computer
solution.
Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

Finding i
Jill invested $1,000 each year for five years in a local
company and sold her interest after five years for
$8,000. What annual rate of return did Jill earn?

So,

Again, this can be solved using the interest tables


and interpolation, but we generally resort to a
computer solution.
Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

There are specific spreadsheet functions


to find N and i.
The Excel function used to solve for N is
NPER(rate, pmt, pv), which will compute the
number of payments of magnitude pmt required to
pay off a present amount (pv) at a fixed interest
rate (rate).
One Excel function used to solve for i is
RATE(nper, pmt, pv, fv), which returns a fixed
interest rate for an annuity of pmt that lasts for nper
periods to either its present value (pv) or future value
(fv).
Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

We need to be able to handle cash


flows that do not occur until some
time in the future.
Deferred annuities are uniform series that do
not begin until some time in the future.
If the annuity is deferred J periods then the
first payment (cash flow) begins at the end of
period J+1.

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

Finding the value at time 0 of a


deferred annuity is a two-step
process.
1. Use (P/A, i%, N-J) find the value of the
deferred annuity at the end of period J
(where there are N-J cash flows in the
annuity).
2. Use (P/F, i%, J) to find the value of the
deferred annuity at time zero.

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

Sometimes cash flows change by a


constant amount each period.
We can model these situations as a uniform
gradient of cash flows. The table below shows
such a gradient.
End of Period Cash Flows
1 0
2 G
3 2G
: :
N (N-1)G
Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

It is easy to find the present value of a


uniform gradient series.

Similar to the other types of cash flows, there is a


formula (albeit quite complicated) we can use to find
the present value, and a set of factors developed for
interest tables.

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

We can also find A or F equivalent to


a uniform gradient series.

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

The annual equivalent of End of Year Cash Flows ($)


this series of cash flows can 1 2,000
be found by considering an
2 3,000
annuity portion of the cash
flows and a gradient 3 4,000
portion. 4 5,000
End of Year Annuity ($) Gradient ($)
1 2,000 0
2 2,000 1,000
3 2,000 2,000
4 2,000 3,000

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

Sometimes cash flows change by a


constant rate, ,each period--this is a
geometric gradient series.

This table presents a End of Year Cash Flows ($)


geometric gradient series. It
1 1,000
begins at the end of year 1
and has a rate of growth, , 2 1,200
of 20%. 3 1,440
4 1,728

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

We can find the present value of a


geometric series by using the appropriate
formula below.

Where is the initial cash flow in the series.


Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

When interest rates vary with time


different procedures are necessary.

Interest rates often change with time (e.g., a


variable rate mortgage).
We often must resort to moving cash flows
one period at a time, reflecting the interest rate
for that single period.

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

The present equivalent of a cash flow occurring at


the end of period N can be computed with the
equation below, where ik is the interest rate for the
kth period.

If F4 = $2,500 and i1=8%, i2=10%, and i3=11%, then

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

Nominal and effective interest rates.


More often than not, the time between successive
compounding, or the interest period, is less than
one year (e.g., daily, monthly, quarterly).
The annual rate is known as a nominal rate.
A nominal rate of 12%, compounded monthly,
means an interest of 1% (12%/12) would accrue
each month, and the annual rate would be
effectively somewhat greater than 12%.
The more frequent the compounding the greater the
effective interest.
Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

The effect of more frequent


compounding can be easily
determined.
Let r be the nominal, annual interest rate and M the
number of compounding periods per year. We can
find, i, the effective interest by using the formula
below.

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

Finding effective interest rates.

For an 18% nominal rate, compounded quarterly, the


effective interest is.

For a 7% nominal rate, compounded monthly, the


effective interest is.

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

Interest can be compounded


continuously.
Interest is typically compounded at the end of
discrete periods.
In most companies cash is always flowing,
and should be immediately put to use.
We can allow compounding to occur
continuously throughout the period.
The effect of this compared to discrete
compounding is small in most cases.

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

We can use the effective interest


formula to derive the interest factors.

As the number of compounding periods gets


larger (M gets larger), we find that

Ingenieering economy
University of Coahuila

Continuous compounding interest


factors.

The other factors can be found from these.


Ingenieering economy

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