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INTRODUCTION
1.1 INTRODUCTION TO FDI:
1.2.1 By direction
Outward FDI:
Inward FDIs:
Vertical FDI
Transfers of existing assets from local firms to foreign firm takes place; the
primary type of FDI. Cross-border mergers occur when the assets and operation
of firms from different countries are combined to establish a new legal entity.
Cross-border acquisitions occur when the control of assets and operations is
transferred from a local to a foreign company, with the local company
becoming an affiliate of the foreign company. Nevertheless, mergers and
acquisitions are a significant form of FDI and until around 1997, accounted for
nearly 90% of the FDI flow into the United States. Mergers are the most
common way for multinationals to do FDI.
1.2.3 BY MOTIVE:
FDI can also be categorized based on the motive behind the investment from the
perspective of the investing firm:
•Resource-Seeking
Investments which seek to acquire factors of production those are more efficient
than those obtainable in the home economy of the firm. In some cases, these
resources may not be available in the home economy at all. For example
seeking natural resources in the Middle East and Africa, or cheap labour in
Southeast Asia and Eastern Europe.
•Market-Seeking
Investments which firms hope will increase their efficiency by exploiting the
benefits of economies of scale and scope, and also those of common ownership.
It is suggested that this type of FDI comes after either resource or market
seeking investments have been realized, with the expectation that it further
increases the profitability of the firm
Technological gap:
The foreign direct investor may acquire 10% or more of the voting power of an
enterprise in an economy through any of the following methods:
1) The study is aimed to understand the flow of FDI in the Indian economy.
2) Finding out the reason for the difference in FDI inflows
3) How FDI is affecting various sector of economy.
1.6 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY:
1) It’s not only FDI that effects the growth of economy there are other factors
such as FII, monetary policy and government policies.
2) FDI data keeps on changing.
3) Time limitation.
4) Some of the producrs in cottage and village industries
CHAPTER - II
LITERATURE REVIEW
2.0 LITERATURE REVIEW:
India intent to open its markets to foreign investment can be traced back
to the economic reforms adopted during two prime periods- pre- independence
and post independence.
Pre- independence, India was the supplier of foodstuff and raw materials
to the industrialised economies of the world and was the exporter of finished
products- the economy lacked the skill and means to convert raw materials to
finished products. Post independence with the advent of economic planning and
reforms in 1951, the traditional role played changes and there was remarkable
economic growth and development. International trade grew with the
establishment of the WTO. India is now a part of the global economy. Every
sector of the Indian economy is now linked with the world outside either
through direct involvement in international trade or through direct linkages with
export and import.
(b) Lottery Business including Government /private lottery, online lotteries, etc.
(i) Activities / sectors not open to private sector investment e.g. Atomic Energy
and Railway Transport (other than Mass Rapid Transport Systems).
PERMITTED SECTORS
There are many factors that influence the economic condition. One of
them is FDI. Hence there is a need to study the impact of FDI on the change in
economy.
AIM: To establish the relationship between FDI and growing trends in the
Indian economy.
SECONDARY SOURCE:
The present study is of analytical nature and makes use of secondary data. The
relevant secondary data has been collected from reports of the Ministry of
Commerce and Industry, Government of India, Centre for Monitoring Indian
Economy, Reserve Bank of India, World Investment Report. It is a time series
data and the relevant data has been collected for the period 2007-2011.
3.3 HYPOTHESIS
The study has been taken up for the period 2007-2011 with the following
hypothesis
Ho: FDI doesn’t affect the economic growth of the country (India).
Chart 4.1
The financial and credit crisis that began in the latter half of 2007 has not
affected the overall volume of FDI inflows. Even with a slowdown of the
United States economy, the depreciation of the US dollar may have helped to
maintain high levels of FDI flows into the country, in particular from countries
with appreciating currencies, such as Europe and developing Asia. While sub-
prime loan problems have impinged on the lending capabilities of banks, new
capital injections from various funds, including sovereign wealth funds, have
helped alleviate some of the problems.
FDI flows to developed countries in 2007 grew for the fourth consecutive year,
reaching US$1 trillion. The European Union (EU) as a whole continued to be
the largest host region, attracting almost 40% of total FDI inflows in 2007. FDI
inflows to developing countries and economies in transition (the latter
comprising South-East Europe and CIS) rose by 16% and 41% respectively, and
reached new record levels. In Africa, FDI inflows in 2007 remained relatively
strong. The unprecedented level of inflows (US$36 billion) was supported by a
continuing boom in global commodity markets. FDI inflows to Latin America
and the Caribbean, meanwhile, rose by 50% to a record level of US$126 billion.
FDI inflows to South, East and South-East Asia, and Oceania maintained their
upward trend in 2007, reaching a new high of US$224 billion, an increase of
12% over 2006. In West Asia, overall FDI inflows declined by 12%. FDI to
South-East Europe and the CIS, or transition economies, expanded significantly,
by 41%, to a new record of US$98 billion. Despite some unfavourable
economic projections for 2008 and potential tightening of rules for foreign
investment in natural resources and related industries, high demand for natural
resources around the world -- and, as a result, the opening up of new potentially
profitable opportunities in the primary sector - are likely to boost FDI in the
extractive industries. And later during 2008 due to subprime crisis in US led to
decline in FDI of the world.
August 1991-March
2000 14485
2000-01 2,463.00
Total 146319
Table4.2
Cumulative
2007-08 2008- 2009- 2010- 2011- Inflows % to
(April- 09(April- 10(April- 11(April- 12(April- (April '00 Total
Rank Country March) March) March) March) August) August '11) Inflows
Total FDI
Inflows 98664 123025 123378 88520 77864 658586
It is also interesting to note that some of the new countries such as Hungary,
Nepal, Virgin Islands, and Yemen are making significant investments in India.
Mauritius:
After 1991-2011, Mauritius have always topped the position for FDI inflows in
India with FDI on 2011-12 standing at 26634 US $ million, consisting of 41%
of total FDI inflows. The inordinately high investment from Mauritius is due to
routing of international funds through the country given significant tax
advantages; double taxation is avoided due to a tax treaty between India and
Mauritius, and Mauritius is a capital gains tax haven, effectively creating a zero-
taxation FDI channel.
The Mauritius stock market was opened to foreign investors following the
lifting of foreign exchange controls in 1994. No approval is required for the
trading of shares by foreign investors, unless investment is for the purpose of
legal and management control of a Mauritian company or for the holding of
more than 15 per cent in a sugar company. Incentives to foreign investors
include free repatriation of revenue from the sale of shares and exemption from
tax on dividends and capital gains.
Mauritius has an active offshore financial sector, which is a major route for
foreign investments into the Asian subcontinent. Foreign direct investment
transiting through the Mauritian offshore sector to India has been considerably
increasing in the recent years, according to figures released by the Indian
Ministry of Commerce and Industry. Major US corporations use the Mauritius
offshore sector to channel their investment to India.
Singapore:
U.S.A:
The United States is the third largest source of FDI in India (7 % of the total),
valued at 44609 crore in cumulative inflows between April 2000 and August
2011. According to the Indian government, the top sectors attracting FDI from
the United States to India during 1991–2011 are fuel (36 percent),
telecommunications (11 percent), electrical equipment (10 percent), food
processing (9 percent), and services (8 percent). According to the available
M&A data, the two top sectors attracting FDI inflows from the United States are
computer systems design and programming and manufacturing. Since 2002,
many of the major U.S. software and computer brands, such as Microsoft,
Honeywell, Cisco Systems, Adobe Systems, McAfee, and Intel have established
R&D operations in India, primarily in Hyderabad or Bangalore. The majority of
U.S. electronics companies that have announced Greenfield projects in India are
concentrated in the semiconductor sector. By far the largest such project is
AMD’s chip manufacturing facility in Hyderabad, Andhra Pradesh. The largest
share (36 percent) was found in the manufacturing sector, most prominently in
the machinery, chemicals, and transportation equipment manufacturing
segments. Other important categories of employment are professional,
scientific, and technical services; and wholesale trade, with 29 percent and 18
percent of U.S. affiliate employment, respectively.
European Union:
Within the European Union, the largest country investors were the United
Kingdom and the Netherlands, with 40744 crore and 28834 crore, respectively,
of cumulative FDI inflows between April 2000 to August 2011. The United
Kingdom, the Netherlands, Germany and France together accounted for almost
15% of all FDI flows from the EU to India. FDI from the EU to India is
primarily concentrated in the power/energy, telecommunications, and
transportation sectors. The top sectors attracting FDI from the European Union
are similar to FDI from the United States. Manufacturing; information services;
and professional, scientific, and technical services have attracted the largest
shares of FDI inflows from the EU to India since 2000. Unilever, Reuters
Group, P&O Ports Ltd, Vodafone, and Barclays are examples of EU companies
investing in India by means of mergers and acquisitions. European companies
accounted for 31 percent of the total number and 43 percent of the total value
for all reported Greenfield FDI projects. The number of EU Greenfield projects
was distributed among four major clusters: ICT (17 percent), heavy industry (16
percent), business and financial services (15 percent), and transport (11
percent). However, the heavy industry cluster accounted for the majority (68
percent) of the total value of these projects.
Japan:
Japan was the fifth largest source of cumulative FDI inflows in India between
April and August 2011, i.e. the cumulative flow is 31813 crore and it is 5% of
total inflow. FDI inflows to India from most other principal source countries
have steadily increased since 2000, but inflows from Japan to India have
decreased during this time period. There does not appear to be a single factor
that explains the recent decline in FDI inflows from Japan to India. India is,
however, one of the largest recipients of Japanese Official Development
Assistance (ODA), through which Japan has assisted India in building
infrastructure, including electricity generation, transportation, and water supply.
It is possible that this Japanese government assistance may crowd out some
private sector Japanese investment. The top sectors attracting FDI inflows from
Japan to India are transportation (54 percent), electrical equipment (7 percent),
telecommunications, and services (3 percent). The available M&A data
corresponds with the overall FDI trends in sectors attracting inflows from Japan
to India. Companies dealing in the transportation industry, specifically
automobiles, and the auto component/peripheral industries dominate M&A
activity from Japan to India, including Yamaha Motors, Toyota, Kirloskar Auto
Parts Ltd., and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd. Japanese companies have also
invested in an estimated 148 Greenfield FDI projects valued at least at $3.7
billion between 2002 and 2006. In April 2007, Japanese and Indian officials
announced a major new collaboration between the two countries to build a new
Delhi-Mumbai industrial corridor, to be funded through a public-private
partnership and private-sector FDI, primarily from Japanese companies. The
project was begun in January 2008 with initial investment of $2 billion from the
two countries. The corridor will cross 6 states and extend for 1,483 km, in an
area inhabited by 180 million people. At completion in 2015, the corridor is
expected to include total FDI of $45–50 billion. A large share of that total is
destined for infrastructure, including a 4,000 MW power plant, 3 ports, and 6
airports, along with additional connections to existing ports. Private investment
is expected to fund 10-12 new industrial zones, upgrade 5–6 existing airports,
and set up 10 logistics parks. The Indian government expects that by 2020, the
industrial corridor will contribute to employment growth of 15 percent in the
region, 28 percent growth in industrial output, and 38 percent growth in exports.
4.3 ANALYSIS OF SECTOR WISE INFLOWS OF FDI IN INDIA
Table 4.3
Sector 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Cumulative % age to
(April- (April- (April- ( April- (April- Inflows total Inflows
March) March) March) March) Dec.) (April 2000) (In terms of
US$)
HOUSING & REAL ESTATE 8,749 12,621 14,027 5,600 2,544 48,819 7%
(2,179) (2,801 (2,935) (1,227) (551) (10,933
Table 4.4
Service Sector 1
Telecommunication 2
Construction Activities 5
Automobile Industry 7
Metallurgical Industry 8
Power 9
Chart 4.2
POWER 30%
6% COMPUTER
CONSTRUCTION SOFTWARE &
ACTIVITIES HARDWARE
TELECOMMUNI 11%
9% HOUSING & CATIONS
REAL ESTATE
11% 12%
The Sector wise Analysis of FDI Inflow in India reveals that maximum FDI has
taken place in the service sector including the telecommunication, information
technology, travel and many others. The service sector is followed by the
computer hardware and software in terms of FDI. High volumes of FDI take
place in telecommunication, real estate, construction, power, automobiles, etc.
The rapid development of the telecommunication sector was due to the FDI
inflows in form of international players entering the market and transfer of
advanced technologies. The telecom industry is one of the fastest growing
industries in India. With a growth rate of 45%, Indian telecom industry has the
highest growth rate in the world. During the year 2009 government had raised
the FDI limit in telecom sector from 49 per cent to 74 per, which has
contributed to the robust growth of FDI. The telecom sector registered a growth
of 103 per cent during fiscal 2008-09 as compared to previous fiscal.
FDI inflows to real estate sector in India have developed the sector. The
increased flow of foreign direct investment in the real estate sector in India has
helped in the growth, development, and expansion of the sector. FDI Inflows to
Construction Activities has led to a phenomenal growth in the economic life of
the country. India has become one of the most prime destinations in terms of
construction activities as well as real estate investment.
The FDI in Automobile Industry has experienced huge growth in the past few
years. The increase in the demand for cars and other vehicles is powered by the
increase in the levels of disposable income in India. The options have increased
with quality products from foreign car manufacturers.
The increased FDI Inflows to Chemicals industry in India has helped in the
growth and development of the sector. The increased flow of foreign direct
investment in the chemicals industry in India has helped in the development,
expansion, and growth of the industry. This in its turn has led to the
improvement of the quality of the products from the industry. Based upon the
data given by department of Industrial Policy and Promotion, in India there are
sixty two (62) sectors in which FDI inflows are seen but it is found that top ten
sectors attract almost seventy percent (70%) of FDI inflows. The cumulative
FDI inflows from the above results reveals that service sector in India attracts
the maximum FDI inflows amounting to Rs. 106992 Crores, followed by
Computer Software and Hardware amounting to Rs. 44611 Crores. These two
sectors collectively attract more than thirty percent (30%) of the total FDI
inflows in India.
The housing and real estate sector and the construction industry are among the
new sectors attracting huge FDI inflows that come under top ten sectors
attracting maximum FDI inflows. Thus the sector wise inflows of FDI in India
shows a varying trend but acts as a catalyst for growth, quality maintenance and
development of Indian Industries to a greater and larger extend. The technology
transfer is also seen as one of the major change apart from increase in
operational efficiency, managerial efficiency, employment opportunities and
infrastructure development.
4.5 TRENDS AND PATTERNS OF FDI IN DIFFERENT SECTORS
Service Sector:
Chart 4.3
SERVICES SECTOR
(financial & non-financial)
$7,000
$6,000
SERVICES SECTOR
$5,000 (financial & non-
$4,000 financial)
$3,000
Linear (SERVICES
$2,000 SECTOR
(financial & non-
$1,000
financial))
$0
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12
India stands out for the size and dynamism of its services sector. The
importance of the services sector can be gauged by looking at its contributions
to different aspects of the economy. The share of services in India’s GDP at
factor cost (at current prices) increased rapidly: from 30.5 per cent in 1950-51 to
55.2 per cent in 2009-10. The overall growth rate (compound annual growth
rate) of the Indian economy from 5.7 per cent in the 1990s to 8.6 per cent during
the period 2004-05 to 2009-10 was to a large measure due to the acceleration of
the growth rate (CAGR) in the services sector from 7.5 per cent in the 1990s to
10.3 per cent in 2004- 05 to 2009-10. The services sector growth was
significantly faster than the 6.6 per cent for the combined agriculture and
industry sectors annual output growth during the same period. In 2009-10,
services growth was 10.1 per cent and in 2010-11 it was 9.6 per cent. India’s
services GDP growth has been continuously above overall GDP growth, pulling
up the latter since 1997- 98, It has also been more stable. An international
comparison of the services sector shows that India compares well even with the
developed countries in the top 12 countries with highest overall GDP.
The two broad services categories, namely trade, hotels, transport, and
communication; and financing, insurance, real estate, and business services
have performed well with growth of 11 per cent and 10.6 per cent, respectively
in 2010-11(with reference to table 4.3). Only community, social and personal
services have registered a low growth of 5.7 per cent due to base effect of fiscal
stimulus in the previous two years, thus contributing to the slight deceleration in
growth of the sector. Among the subsectors of services sectors, financial
services attract of total FDI inflows followed by banking services, insurance and
non- financial services respectively. Outsourcing, banking, financial,
information technology oriented services make intensive use of human capital.
The trend in this sectors first declines till 2011 and increases in 2012 due to
strong RBI policy and increase in consultancy services and devaluation of
rupees against dollar.
Chart 4.4
$1,500.00 COMPUTER
SOFTWARE &
$1,000.00 HARDWARE
$500.00 Linear
(COMPUTER
$- SOFTWARE &
HARDWARE)
Over the past few years the computer software industry has been one of the
fastest growing sectors in Indian economy. FDI Inflows to Computer Software
and Hardware Industry in India have been significant. 100 percent FDI is
permitted under automatic route to the E-Commerce activities in India.
Software Technology Parks (STP) have been a major initiative in India to drive
in Foreign Direct Investment in the computer software industry. These Software
Technology Parks provide highly developed infrastructure and facilities that
attract foreign investors. Regulatory measures by the Indian government have
also played a positive role in this regard. Measures like increased freedom of
recruiting and laying-off employees, tax benefits and easing of export producers
have contributed to the growth of FDI in this sector.
FDI is permitted under automatic route in the computer hardware
industry in India. The huge market for computer hardware in India, coupled
with the availability of skilled workforce in this sector has boosted the inflow of
FDI. High growth prospects, in terms of increased consumption in the India as
well as increasing demand for exports are expected to lead to more Foreign
Direct Investments in this sector. Computer Software and Hardware sector
received US$ 564 million which constitute 11% of the total FDI inflows during
the period Jan2000-Dec2011 (with reference to table 4.3). The maximum of
FDI in this sector was received from Mauritius which was followed by USA
and so on. Among Indian locations Mumbai received of investment followed by
Bangalore, and Chennai. However the trend in this sector is declining from
2008 due to economy crisis, recession and due to greater oppurtunity in
countries like China and Korea in respect of labour and technology.
Telecommunication:
Chart 4.5
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
(radio paging, cellular mobile,
basic telephone services
3,000
2,500 TELECOMMUNICATI
2,000 ONS
1,500
(radio paging,
1,000
500 cellular mobile,
0 basic telephone
services
Chart 4.6
The housing and real estate sector in India witnessed foreign direct investment
(FDI) of US $ 5600 million in April-September 2010-11, according to the
Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP). Housing and real estate
sector including Cineplex, multiplex, integrated townships and commercial
complexes etc, attracted a cumulative foreign direct investment (FDI) worth US
$ 48819 million from April 2000 to Dec 2010 (with reference to table 4.3).
Foreign investors have so far contributed significant capital to India’s real estate
market. Aggregate FDI inflows into the real estate sector are recorded at
approximately 7% of the total inflows. The relaxed FDI rules implemented by
India last year has invited more foreign investors and real estate sector in India
is seemingly the most lucrative ground at present. Private equity players are
considering big investments, banks are giving loans to builders, and financial
institutions are floating real estate funds. Indian property market is immensely
promising and most sought after for a wide variety of reasons. However the
trend in this sector is declining from year 2010-12 due to current FDI
regulations for the sector stipulate certain conditions, such as minimum area of
50000 square metres to be developed, minimum capitalisation requirements,
lock-in period of 3 years, due to economic debt crisis in Europe and America
and also due to higher interest rate on loans that have been put in place from the
perspective of preventing growth in the sector. Such conditions, however, pose
challenges for FDI inflows into various projects, where given the nature of
projects, it may not be possible to comply with such conditions.
Construction Activities:
Chart 4.7
CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITIES
(including roads & highways)
3,000
2,000 CONSTRUCTION
1,000 ACTIVITIES
(including roads &
0 highways)
of US$)
16 PATNA BIHAR, - - 25 27 0
JHARKHAND
(5) (6)
Table 4.7
Sl.No Financial Foreign Direct Investment In INDIA (FDI) Investme
Year nt by FII's
(April- fund (net)
March)
Equity Re- Other FDI
investe capital Flows
d + into
earning India
s+
FIPB Equity capital Total %age
route/RBI's of FDI growth
Automatic unincorporate Flows over
Route/Acquisiti d bodies# previou
on Route s
year(in
US$
terms)
Financial
Year
(2000-
2011)
Above table represents the inflows data for the 11-year period 2000-01 to 2010-
11. The data presented in the table are comparable since India adopted the
international norms for presenting FDI statistics, alluded to in the earlier
section, from 2000-01. The change in the reporting practice which introduced
new items, especially reinvested earnings of the already established enterprises,
contributed significantly to the upward revision of total inflows. As compared to
the earlier methodology, the new approach resulted in increasing FDI inflows
by 44 per cent for the period 2000-01 to 2004-05 and nearly 31 per cent for the
period 2005-06 to 2009-10. As can be seen from the Table, the dramatic rise in
the inflows after 2005-06 was also a result of rapid increases in equity inflows
(comprising of inflows on account of (i) government approvals, (ii) acquisitions
and (iii) through the automatic route). The FDI Equity inflows during the five
years 2005-06 to 2009-10 were almost seven times those of the previous years.
The increase in inflows since 2005 resulted from a number of policy initiatives
taken by the government to attract FDI. In March 2005, the government
announced a revised FDI policy, an important element of which was the
decision to allow FDI up to 100 per cent foreign equity under the automatic
route in townships, housing, built-up infrastructure and construction-
development projects. The year 2005 also witnessed the enactment of the
Special Economic Zones Act, which opened further avenues for the
involvement of foreign firms in the Indian economy.
4.8 FDI AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
Here we are trying to show the effect of FDI on economic growth with the help
of Karl Pearson co relation.
The Correlation between two variables X and Y, which are measured using
Pearson’s Coefficient, give the values between +1 and -1. When measured in
population the Pearson’s Coefficient is designated the value of Greek letter rho
(ρ). But, when studying a sample, it is designated the letter r. It is therefore
sometimes called Pearson’s r. Pearson’s coefficient reflects the linear
relationship between two variables. As mentioned above if the correlation
coefficient is +1 then there is a perfect positive linear relationship between
variables, and if it is -1 then there is a perfect negative linear relationship
between the variables. And 0 denotes that there is no relationship between the
two variables.
The degrees -1, +1 and 0 are theoretical results and are not generally found in
normal circumstances. That means the results cannot be more than -1, +1. These
are the upper and the lower limits.
Pearson’s Coefficient computational formula
GDP fc: -GDP at Factor cost means, money value of everything produced in
India, without counting Government's role in it i.e. indirect tax and subsidies.
Table 4.8
sum x * sum
y/N 13347166251393 2224527708565.50
Numerator 502026452899
Chart 4.8
FDI In RS crores
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000 FDI In RS crores
60,000
40,000
20,000 Linear (FDI In RS
0 crores)
Chart 4.9
With the help of both the data and the chart we can see the trend line of GDP
and FDI are increasing rapidly which tells us about the positive relationship
between GDP and FDI and it is also resembles with Karl Pearson co relation.
4.9 COMPARISON OF FDI BETWEEN INDIA AND CHINA
China has been receiving substantial FDI compared to India. Although prior to
1980s India received higher FDI than China but because of the liberalization
policy adopted by China in 1978, turned the tables in favour of China. Since late
eighties and throughout nineties China has been in forefront of the developing
world in terms of FDI inflows and hence economic development.
FDI Confidence Index examines future prospects for FDI flows as the world
seeks to recover from the global recession and continued economic uncertainty
in Europe and the United States.
The Asia Pacific region remains the top destination for investors, attracting
about one-fifth of global FDI in 2010. Supported by strong growth and political
stability, China tops the Index once again. India moves up a spot to second
place. Southeast Asia performs particularly well on the back of soaring inflows,
with its five major economies ranking in the top 20.
CHINA
China has held the top position since 2002, when it took the spot from the
United States. Rising incomes, urban migration, and increased demand for
consumer goods in the world's most populous consumer market are surely
contributing to continued increased foreign investment. Inflows rose 6 percent
to $185 billion in 2010, $10 billion above the previous peak in 2008.
INDIA
India moves up one spot to 2nd place this year, passing the United States, as
investors return to India after a few years of soft inflows. In 2008, India
attracted $43 billion in overseas investment. The following year FDI dipped to
$36 billion, and then to $25 billion in 2010. A significant portion of this decline
was due to weak inflows into service spaces such as computer software and
hardware, financial services, banking, and construction, industries where the
global economic crisis led firms to scale back their overseas operations.
Persistent local challenges, including the slow pace of reform and poor
governance, may also be at play. Senior government Chart 4.10 officials have
acknowledged that the country needs to improve its business climate,
particularly as other emerging markets craft investor-friendly policies
FDI inflow in China and India
Table 4.10
Chart 4.11
200.00
180.00
160.00
140.00
120.00 China
100.00 India
Making an in depth study and analysis of India vs. China economy seems to be
a very hard task. Both India and China rank among the front runners of global
economy and are among the world's most diverse nations. Both the countries
were among the most ancient civilizations and their economies are influenced
by a number of social, political, economic and other factors. However, if we try
to properly understand the various economic and market trends and features of
the two countries, we can make a comparison between Indian and Chinese
economy.
Going by the basic facts, the economy of China is more developed than that of
India. While India is the 11th largest economy in terms of the exchange rates,
China occupies the second position surpassing Japan. Compared to the
estimated $1.3123 trillion GDP of India, China has an average GDP of around
$4909.28 billion. In case of per capital GDP, India lags far behind China with
just $1124 compared to $7,518 of the latter. To make a basic comparison of
India and China Economy, we need to have an idea of the economic facts of the
countries.
Table 4.11
If we make the analysis of the India vs. China economy, we can see that there
are a number of factors that has made China a better economy than India. First
things first, India was under the colonial rule of the British for around 190
years. This drained the country's resources to a great extent and led to huge
economic loss. On the other hand, there was no such instance of colonization in
China. As such, from the very beginning, the country enjoyed a planned
economic model which made it stronger.
Top sectors that attracted FDI equity inflows (from April 2000 to January
2011), from China, are:
Agriculture
Agriculture is another factor of economic comparison between India and China.
It forms a major economic sector in both the countries. However, the
agricultural sector of China is more developed than that of India. Unlike India,
where farmers still use the traditional and old methods of cultivation, the
agricultural techniques used in China are very much developed. This leads to
better quality and high yield of crops which can be exported.
IT/BPO
One of the sectors where Indi enjoys an upper hand over China is the IT/BPO
industry. India's earnings from the BPO sector alone in 2010 are $49.7 billion
while China earned $35.76 billion. Seven Indian cites are ranked as the world's
top ten BPO's while only one city from China features on the list.
Company Development
Tax incentives are one area where China is lagging behind India. The Chinese
capital market lags behind the Indian capital market in terms of predictability
and transparency. The Indian capital or stock market is both transparent and
predictable. India has Asia's oldest stock exchange which is the BSE or the
Bombay Stock Exchange. Whereas China is home to two stock exchanges,
namely the Shenzhen and Shanghai stock exchange. As far as capitalization is
concerned the Shanghai Stock Exchange is larger than the BSE since the SSE
has US$1.7 trillion with 849 listed companies and the BSE has US$1 trillion
with 4,833 listed companies. But more than the size what makes both these
stock exchanges different is that the BSE is run on the principles of
international guidelines and is more stable due to the quality of the listed
companies. In addition to this the Chinese government is the major stake holder
of most of its State-owned organizations hence the listed firms have to run
according to the rules and regulations lay down by the government. Hence India
is ahead of China in matters of financial transparency.
It is said that Indians have great managerial skills. India also leaves China
behind as far as management abilities are concerned. As compared to China
India has better managed companies. One of the major reasons for this is that
management reform training in China began 30 years ago and sadly the subject
has still not picked up as a matter of interest by the citizens of the country.
Another important factor behind China not doing well in the business forefront
is that most of the countries came to China and manufactured their goods. It was
not Chinas exports that drove the economy instead it were the export products
of outsiders. Even in the case of mergers and acquisitions China still has not
managed to do too well. On the other hand Indian companies are rapidly
expanding mergers and acquisitions. Some of the recent examples include; Tata
Steel's $13.6 Billion Acquisition of Corus, Tata Tea's purchase of a controlling
stake in Britain's Tetley for US$407 million, Indian Pharmaceutical giant
Ranbaxy's acquisition of Romania's Terapia etc.
CHAPTER - V
FINDINGS, SUGGESTIONS AND CONCLUSION
5.0 FINDINGS AND CONCLUSION
1. This study states that policy makers should focus more on attracting diverse
types of FDI. Like the policy makers should design policies where foreign
investment can be utilized as means of enhancing domestic production,
savings, and exports; as medium of technological learning and technology
diffusion and also in providing access to the external market.
3. India has a huge pool of working population. However, due to poor quality
primary education and higher there is still an acute shortage of talent. This
factor has negative repercussion on domestic and foreign business. FDI in
Education Sector is less than 1%. Given the status of primary and higher
education in the country, FDI in this sector must be encouraged. However,
appropriate measure must be taken to ensure quality. The issues of
commercialization of education, regional gap and structural gap have to be
addressed on priority.
4. It can also be suggested that the government should invest more for
improvement of infrastructure sectors, R&D activities, human capital,
education sector, technological advancement to attract more of FDI.
7. Though service sector is one of the major sources of mobilizing FDI to India,
plenty of scope exists. Still we find the financial inclusion is missing. Large
part of population still doesn’t have bank accounts, insurance of any kind,
underinsurance etc. These problems could be addressed by making service
sector more competitive. Removal of sectoral cap in insurance is still
awaited.
10. It is also suggested that the government while pursuing prudent policies
must also exercise strict control over inefficient bureaucracy and the rampant
corruption, so that investor’s confidence can be maintained for attracting
more FDI inflows to India.(According to JP Morgan risk index of India)
BIBLIOGRAPHY:
www.rbi.org.in
www.worldbank.org.in
www.dipp.nic.in
http://indiahighcom-mauritius.org
www.docs.google.com
www.imf.org
www.uscc.gov