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  • Prediction

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    Andi Nugroho
    16 views2 pages
    The document summarizes the results of experiments predicting wind energy values for Washington using an LSTM model. It reports the mean absolute percent error for predictions ranging from 24 hours to 1 month ahead, with the lowest error of 99.74% for 24-hour predictions and highest of 127.7% for 1-week predictions. Plots and code links are also provided for the 1-month, 1-week, 2-day, and 24-hour prediction experiments.

    Original Description:

    power grid analysis

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    The document summarizes the results of experiments predicting wind energy values for Washington using an LSTM model. It reports the mean absolute percent error for predictions ranging from 24 hours to 1 month ahead, with the lowest error of 99.74% for 24-hour predictions and highest of 127.7% for 1-week predictions. Plots and code links are also provided for the 1-month, 1-week, 2-day, and 24-hour prediction experiments.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    16 views2 pages

    Prediction

    Uploaded by

    Andi Nugroho
    The document summarizes the results of experiments predicting wind energy values for Washington using an LSTM model. It reports the mean absolute percent error for predictions ranging from 24 hours to 1 month ahead, with the lowest error of 99.74% for 24-hour predictions and highest of 127.7% for 1-week predictions. Plots and code links are also provided for the 1-month, 1-week, 2-day, and 24-hour prediction experiments.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 2

    Prediction:

    For Predicting tth hour value LSTM model is only using (t-k) predicted values not the expected ones
    where k is the lag size or number of look backs.

    Results of Experiments for Washington(WA) as follows:

    Experiment No. Prediction duration Result


    (Mean Absolute Percent Error)
    2 24 hours 99.74
    3 2 days 117.59
    4 1 week 127.70
    5 1 month 124.45

    Plots for Prediction:

    1 Month ahead Prediction

    1 Week ahead Prediction


    2 days ahead Prediction

    Code Links:

    24 Hours: https://github.com/ShashwatArghode/Wind-Energy-Prediction-using-
    LSTM/blob/master/Exp11-WA-
    Prediction%20Wind%20Approach%201%20Batch%201%2024%20hours%20ahead.ipynb

    48 Hours: https://github.com/ShashwatArghode/Wind-Energy-Prediction-using-
    LSTM/blob/master/Exp12-WA-
    Prediction%20Wind%20Approach%201%20Batch%201%2048%20hours%20ahead.ipynb

    1 Week: https://github.com/ShashwatArghode/Wind-Energy-Prediction-using-
    LSTM/blob/master/Exp13-WA-
    Prediction%20Wind%20Approach%201%20Batch%201%20week%20ahead.ipynb

    1 Month: https://github.com/ShashwatArghode/Wind-Energy-Prediction-using-
    LSTM/blob/master/Exp14-WA-
    Prediction%20Wind%20Approach%201%20Batch%201%20month%20ahead.ipynb

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