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139053565
MSc Finance
Research Methods
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School of Management
Specialism
MSc Finance
Ethical Approval reference number (you will receive this once your Supervisor approves
your ethical approval request)
3295-yba2-schoolofmanagement
Dissertation Supervisor
Title
Cross Sectional Analysis of Determinants of Capital Structure in Quoted
Companies in Nigeria
Introduction
A large amount of literature have examined the nature of capital
structure, capital structure differences, optimal capital structure and
the determinants of capital structure at firms, industry, and country
level using OLS regression, pooled data, fixed effects and random
effects methodology (Alhassan, Addisson & Asamoah, 2015; Alkhazaleh &
Almsafir, 2015; Basu, 2015; Bin, Chen & Chan, 2015; Burgstaller &
Wagner, 2015; Dasilas & Papasyriopoulos, 2015; Faccio & Xu, 2015; Hearn
& Piesse, 2015; Monteforte & Staglianò, 2015; Ramadan & Ramadan, 2015).
Some of these recent researchers have suggested cross-sectional studies
that would involve large publicly available data set.
The aim of the study is to evaluate the determinants of capital
structure among different sectors in Nigeria. The study aims to proffer
solution to the following research questions:
1. What is the relationship between industry factor and leverage
among Nigeria firms?
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theory. Rarely, the Malaysian property companies give support for the
Modigliani and Miller theory (Abdul-Hadi, Yusoff & Yap, 2015). According
to Koseoglu (2015), the leverage of 470 firms has a negative effect on
excess stock returns in Istanbul Exchange. Contrarily, Engel, Braun and
Achleitner (2015) found positive relationship between debts level and
equity return however as the debts level increased heavily equal to 90%,
debts level seemed to establish no relationship with risk-adjusted
equity return. This connotes that when debt level is small, it
positively affects returns, when it is medium and growing, it negatively
affect returns and obviously establish no relationship with returns when
its level is large. Bhayani (2015) in his study of Indian cement
industry from period 2000-01 to 2007-08, found that capital structure
does not correlate with the cost of capital and this has no impact for
the market value of firms’ shares. Moreover, existing evidence have also
studied the determinants of capital structure. Hossain and Hossain
(2015) found that tangibility and liquidity have positive relationship
with long term debt in Dhaka stock exchange. Using a panel data analysis
of 74 manufacturing firms between period 2002-2011, the authors noted
that both trade-off theory and pecking order theories are dominating
theories in Bangladesh. Tse and Rodgers (2014) examine borrowing
capacity as determinant of capital structure. Using a pooled regression
analysis on data from manufacturing and non-manufacturing firms in China
revealed that despite that capital structure is different across
industries; borrowing capacity is a determinant of industries’ capital
structure. Ramadan (2015) pointed out that firms’ size exerts a direct
relationship on capital structure. Using a data set of 2000-2014 from
the Jordanian industrial firms, his findings found support to the trade-
off theory. Ramadan (2015) noted that large size firms prefer to finance
firms using debts while small-sized firms will have to extend their
financing to external equity. Yazdanfar and Öhman (2015) highlighted
negative relationship between profitability and long-term debts using
15,897 Swedish SMEs for period 2009-2014. The implication of their
study was the use of three-stage least square (3SLS) given that debts
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was divided into trade credit, short-term debts and long-term debts. The
findings of Yazdanfar and Öhman (2015) also corroborate the findings of
Youssef and El-ghonamie (2015) in Egypt. Kramer (2015) found positive
relationship between corporate tax rate and debt to assets ratio using
fixed effect estimation on European data. Limitation of some of these
studies is also the inability to test for appropriate model (i.e. OLS
regression model, panel data model, fixed effect model and random effect
model) to be able to evaluate whether unique time-invariant
characteristics of firms may affect the outcome variable (capital
structure) or not.
Proposed methods
The sample data of the study would consist of 25 industries in Nigeria
and over 500 firms for periods 1996 to 2014 (15years). In all, it may be
concluded that the proposed number of observations for the study is
7500. This is a large size and a distinct originality of this study. All
firms that would be included will be quoted or listed firms within the
period under study.
Empirical model based on Yusuf, Al-Attar and Al-Shattarat (2015). With
their model, I can examine and model the determinants of capital
structure across industries and among quoted companies in Nigeria.
Yusuf, et al. (2015) model takes the following form:
(1)
(2)
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Panel data analysis would be done on data for period 1996-2010 using
EViews 7.0 software package. Firstly, Unit root test would be conducted
to determine the stationary of the data. Hausman (H) test would also be
conducted to determine the best model for the study whether the null
hypothesis would be supported that random effect exists or alternative
that fixed effect exists. Variables not significant in the model would
be eliminated from the model and the model would be done again.
Correlation analysis would also be conducted to know the degree of the
relationship between tangibility (asset structure), firms’ size,
borrowing capacity, non-debts tax shields, profitability, industry
factor and capital structure.
as noted below:
Theoretical
Implications/Predictions
Size (SIZE) Koksal and Orman (2015), Trade-off theory (+)
Nejad and Wasiuzzaman Pecking order theory (-)
(2015) Tchuigoua (2015)
Profitability Nejad and Wasiuzzaman Trade-off theory (+)
(2015) Tchuigoua (2015) Pecking order theory (-)
Tangibility Yusuf, et al. (2015) Trade-off theory (+)
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Operationalization of Variables
Definition
Leverage/Capital Long term debts divided Yusuf, et al.
structure total assets (2015)
Firm size Logarithm of Total sales Koksal and Orman
(2015)
Profitability Operating Income divided by Zerriaa and
total assets Noubbigh (2015)
Tangibility net fixed assets to total Tchuigoua (2015)
assets
Borrowing capacity Total fixed assets divided Tse and Rodgers
by total assets (2014)
Industry factor Mean average of leverage Yusuf, et al.
(2015)
Reflections
The practical obstacle may be as a result of getting much literature on
one or two of the independent variables. The ability to review related
literature may also pose some challenges such as proof reading and
alignment of thoughts and ideas of both the authors and the researcher
himself. Empirical obstacles might also be how to integrate balance
arguments in a situation where there is high number of literatures
supporting both positive and negative relationships between variables.
The ability to identify those attributes or factors that may have
resulted in either positive or negative relationship between two
variables is a question of and demonstration of wide reading and
adequate knowledge in capital structure. The integration of Modigliani
and Miller theory of capital structure to explain the case of Nigeria
capital structure may be difficult when compared to other theories that
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Timetable
Literature review & theory (chapter 2) 1 Nov.–1 Dec. 2015
Submission of chapter 2 to supervisor 2 Dec.2015
Data & Methods (chapter 3) 1 Dec.–7 Dec. 2015
Collation of data & analysis 7 Dec.–31 Dec. 2015
Analysis & Results (chapter 4) 1 Jan.–31 Jan. 2016
Submission of chapter 4 to supervisor 1 Feb. 2016
Discussions & conclusions (chapter 5) 1 Feb.–14 Feb. 2016
Introduction (Chapter 1) 15 Feb.–22 Feb.2016
References
Abdul-Hadi, A. R., Yusoff, H., & Yap, E.T.H. (2015). Capital structure
of property companies: Evidence from Bursa Malaysia. International
Journal of Economics and Finance, 7(8), 12-19.
Alhassan, A. L., Addisson, G. K., & Asamoah, M. E. (2015). Market
structure, efficiency and profitability of insurance companies in
Ghana. International Journal of Emerging Markets, 10(4), 648-669.
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Yang, Y., Hassan, C. H., Al-Baity, M., & Zou, X. (2015). Determinant of
debt across sectors: Evidence from Chinese a-share listed firms.
The Journal of Developing Areas, 49(4), 391-405.
Yazdanfar, D., & Öhman, P. (2015). Debt financing and firm performance:
an empirical study based on Swedish data. The Journal of Risk
Finance, 16(1), 102-118.
Youssef, A., & El-ghonamie, A. (2015). Factors that determine capital
structure in building material and construction listed firms: Egypt
case. International Journal of Financial Research, 6(4), 46-59.
Yusuf, A. N., Al-Attar, A. M., & Al-Shattarat, H. K. (2015). Empirical
evidence on capital structure determinants in Jordan. International
Journal of Business and Management, 10(5), 134-152.
Zerriaa, M., & Noubbigh, H. (2015). Determinants of capital structure:
Evidence from Tunisian listed firms. International Journal of
Business and Management, 10(9), 121-135.
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