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The Economic Journal, 119 (March), 613–641. Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009.

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THE ROLE OF INFORMATION REVELATION IN


ELIMINATION CONTESTS*

Jun Zhang and Ruqu Wang

In this article, we investigate how information revelation rules affect the existence and the efficiency
of equilibria in two-round elimination contests. We establish that no symmetric separating equilib-
rium exists under the full revelation rule and find that the non-existence result is very robust. We
then characterise a partially efficient separating equilibrium under the partial revelation rule when
playersÕ valuations are uniformly distributed. We finally investigate the no revelation rule and find
that it is both most efficient and optimal in maximising the total efforts from the contestants. Within
our framework, more information revelation leads to less efficient outcomes.

Contests are widely used by various organisations wishing to select the best person or
the best team. Sports, for example, are undoubtedly always in the form of contests.
Science contests in schools are another example. We can consider a contest as an
auction in which players compete for prizes by submitting ÔbidsÕ. These ÔbidsÕ, once
submitted, have to be paid regardless of winning or losing. R&D races, political elec-
tions, competitions for promotions within certain organisations, lobbying etc., all fit in
the framework of contests. The ÔbidsÕ in contests such as R&D races, political elections
and lobbying are the amount of money spent by each agent, while in sports, science
competitions and promotion competitions, these ÔbidsÕ become the amount of effort
exerted by each contestant. Since all participants have to pay their bids regardless of
winning or not, contests are actually all-pay auctions. In the literature, Baye et al.
(1996), Hillman and Riley (1989) and Moldovanu and Sela (2006), to name a few, all
model contests as all-pay auctions.
Limited by the number of contestants in each contest, many contests are held in
multiple stages. Contestants are initially divided into a few groups and competitions
within each group are held first. The winners from each group compete again in later
stages, and the losers are eliminated from the competitions. As pointed out in
Moldovanu and Sela (2006), Ô[b]esides sports, [these] elimination contests are very
popular and widely used in the following situations: (1) in the organisation of internal
labor markets in large firms and public agencies, the sub-contests are usually regional
or divisional, and the prizes are promotions to well-defined (and usually equally paid)
positions on the next rung of the hierarchy-ladder; (2) in political competition (e.g.,
for the US presidency), candidates first spend resources to secure their party’s nomi-
nation, and later, if they are nominated, spend more resources to get elected; and (3)
science contests among university or high-school students, e.g., the Mathematics
Olympiad.Õ

* Wang’s research is supported by Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada. We thank
the editor, three anonymous referees, James Amegashie, James Bergin, Lu Jingfeng, Jan Zabojnik, partici-
pants at the 2008 Royal Economic Society Annual Conference, the 2008 Conference on Tournaments,
Contests and Relative Performance Evaluation, the 2008 Canadian Economic Theory Conference and sem-
inar participants in Economics Department at Queens University for very helpful comments.

[ 613 ]
614 THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL [MARCH
It is commonly believed that these multi-stage contests are capable of selecting the
ÔbestÕ contestants. Indeed, Moldovanu and Sela (2006) show that the contestant with
the highest willingness to pay for the prize will submit the highest bid in each stage and
thus win the contest. Their analysis is based on the assumption that no information is
released after each stage of the contest. In many contests, however, the assumption of
no information revelation is not applicable. Sometimes, the bids of the contestants may
be fully or partially revealed. In sports, for example, the performance of each team in
each stage of contest is publicly observed and cannot be concealed. In competition for
promotions within a firm, for another example, the performance of different workers
can also be partially observed by each other. In some cases, the organisers can even
control the amount of information released to the contestants. For example, the US
Federal Election Commission can have different policies on whether presidential
election candidates should reveal the amount of money they raised during election
campaigns. In schools, for another example, school officials can decide whether to
reveal the scores of the students in each round of science contests. In this article, we
investigate whether multi-stage elimination contests can still select the best contestant
in situations where some information is released in the interim stages.
We consider the simplest model possible with two rounds of contests and four ex ante
identical players. Each player has some privately informed valuation for the prize
offered by the contest. In the first round, the four players are equally divided into two
groups. The two players in the same group compete in an all-pay auction; the player
with the lower bid is eliminated from the contest and the player with the higher bid
becomes the winner in that group. In the second round, the two winners from the first
round compete again in another all-pay auction and the player with the higher bid
becomes the second round winner of the contest and receives the prize.
In order for the contest to be efficient, that is, the player with the highest valuation
always wins the prize, it must be the case that the higher valuation player submits a
higher bid in each auction. With our assumption that players are ex ante identical,
contest efficiency can be achieved only when the players use a symmetric and strictly
increasing bidding function in each auction. We find that when playersÕ bids in the first
round are publicly revealed before the second round competition, no symmetric
strictly increasing equilibrium bidding function exists and, therefore, the player with
the highest willingness to pay may not always win the prize. Hence, multi-stage elim-
ination contests with full revelation of bids are not efficient.
The intuition behind the above result that multi-stage elimination contests with full
revelation of bids fail to always select the player with the highest willingness to pay
(valuation) as the winner is as follows. In an efficient equilibrium where the player with
the highest willingness to pay always wins, players must use a symmetric strictly
increasing bidding function in each of the two rounds of the contest. That means the
equilibrium is completely separating. With full revelation of bids right after the first
round, players in the second round have complete information regarding each other’s
valuation along the equilibrium path. However, a player’s expected payoff calculated at
the start of the first round contest is not differentiable in his bid at the value of his
equilibrium bid. This is because to ensure that a player does not want to pretend to
have a lower valuation, the bidding function in the first round needs to be relatively
flat; conversely, in order to ensure that a player does not want to pretend to have a
Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009
2009 ] ROLE OF INFORMATION 615
higher valuation, that bidding function needs to be relatively steep. As a result, no
bidding function can satisfy the incentive compatibility constraints in both directions in
the first round. Therefore, if an equilibrium exists, it must involve either non-mono-
tone bids, pooling of bids, or mixed strategies in the first round. This implies that the
winners in the first round contests may not have the highest valuation and entries to
the second round contest may not be efficient.
There are other examples of dynamic auctions where efficient equilibria may not
exist. In the war of attrition literature (see Bulow and Klemperer (1999), for
example), it is well known that efficient equilibrium does not exist for more than
two ex ante identical players. A war of attrition is an open-bid all-pay auction and it is
slightly different from the sealed-bid all-pay auction we consider in this article. The
intuition for the non-existence of an efficient equilibrium when there are more
than two players is as follows. Suppose that there are three players competing for
one prize. At the equilibrium quitting time, a player is indifferent between quitting
and continuing. If he quits, he gets zero. If he continues, one of his rivals may quit
and he then can enter the second competition with the remaining rival. But the fact
that he is indifferent between quitting and not quitting at that time implies that he
has the lowest valuation among the three players and thus he will surely lose the
remaining attrition even if one of his rivals quits around that time. Therefore, he
should quit earlier. This unravelling establishes the non-existence of a symmetric
separating equilibrium.1 In this case, a player’s quitting time is publicly revealed and
observed. The player with the highest valuation may not win this war of attrition in
equilibrium.
The literature on signalling in auctions is another example of non-existence of
efficient equilibrium. Goeree (2003) considers an auction with an aftermarket and
bidders compete for the advantage in the strategic interactions in the aftermarket.
The winning bid in the auction is revealed. Haile (2000, 2001, 2003) considers a
model of an auction followed by a resale auction offered by the winner of the first
auction. The bidders have some noisy private signals regarding their valuations
coming into the first auction and their bids are revealed before the resale auction.
In these papers, efficient symmetric separating Perfect Bayesian Nash Equilibria are
investigated and it is found that such separating equilibria may not exist. Goeree
(2003) states that Ôif bidders want to understate their private information, a separ-
ating equilibrium may fail to exist when the incentives to signal via a lower bid are
stronger for higher valuationsÕ. Furthermore, Haile (2003) finds that, due to sig-
nalling effects, player’s objective function is not quasi-concave, which contributes to
the failure of the existence of a separating equilibrium. In yet another recent paper,
Cai et al. (2007) investigate sequential first-price and second-price auctions of
multiple units. They find that when all bids are revealed after each auction, there
exists no equilibrium with a symmetric strictly increasing bidding function. Similarly
to our model, bidders have different incentives in increasing and decreasing their
bids, and no strictly monotone bidding function can satisfy the first order condi-
tions implied by the incentive compatibility constraints. Therefore, bidders with the
highest valuations may not win the objects.

1
We thank a referee for linking the intuitions of the two non-existence results here.

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616 THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL [MARCH
These results in the literature show that the non-existence of efficient equilibria is
not unique for elimination contests. When important information is released in the
interim stages of a game, it alters the incentives of the players in the earlier stages. In an
environment where the later rounds winning probability is not continuous in one’s bid
(and thus type), the incentives to influence other playersÕ beliefs of one’s type upward
and downward are different. As a result, equilibria with strictly monotone behaviour do
not exist.2
One may wonder if the non-existence result is very sensitive to the specifications of
the model. Our analysis shows that it is quite robust. In our two-round elimination
model, even if we allow for interim prizes for the first round winners, the non-existence
result remains valid. The result is still true when a player’s valuation for the final prize
changes by a random amount in the second round.
We also investigate other information revelation rules in this article. One rule we
investigate is the partial information revelation rule. Under this rule, the losersÕ bids are
revealed after the first round competition. This could be the case when the organiser of
the contest cannot control the behaviour of those who are eliminated. Losers from
multi-round, sealed-bid auctions, for example, can always reveal their failed bids to the
public. Another rule we investigate is the no information revelation rule. No informa-
tion other than the identity of the winners and losers will be released before the entire
contest is over.
Under the partial revelation rule, we are able to characterise a separating symmetric
Perfect Bayesian Nash Equilibrium under the assumption that the contestantsÕ valu-
ations follow an i.i.d. uniform distribution. The efficient entries to the second round
are achieved. However, the final allocation of the prize is not efficient since the finalists
are in an asymmetric contest in the second round.
The literature on sequential auctions is related to our partial revelation rule.3 In that
literature, multiple units of identical objects are auctioned off one by one. Each bidder
demands at most one unit of the object. After each auction, only the winning bid is
revealed (except in the above-mentioned paper by Cai et al. (2007)). This informational
structure avoids the complicated effects of signalling by bids, since the only potential
bidder who could signal with his bid, the winner, would not be in later auctions to
benefit from the signalling. Likewise, in our article, we assume that only bids from
those bidders being eliminated are revealed. Thus those bidders who could manipulate
their signals are excluded from the next round competition and this simplifies the
analysis.
The no revelation rule has already been investigated by Moldovanu and Sela
(2006). In their model, the first round winners know only who have won and who
have lost. They characterise the unique symmetric Perfect Bayesian Nash Equilib-
rium in which players use strictly increasing bidding functions in both rounds of the
contest. Therefore, the no revelation rule leads to an efficient allocation of the prize
in the sense that the player with the highest valuation always wins the prize.

2
Zhang (2008) changes the second round all-pay auction to a lottery where a player’s winning probability
is an increasing function of his bid. The winning probability in this second round contest is a smooth
function. Under this setting, a separating equilibrium exists.
3
See McAfee and Vincent (1993), Mezzetti et al. (2008) and Weber (1983).

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2009 ] ROLE OF INFORMATION 617
In a game of incomplete information, there is no doubt that information reve-
lation rules play a crucial role in playersÕ strategies. They affect playersÕ beliefs about
each other’s type before they compete in the second round. As a result, these rules
change the game dramatically.4 A natural question arises. If the information revela-
tion rule is a choice for the contest designer who wants to maximise the total efforts
(bids) of the players, how should he choose the information revelation rules opti-
mally? After the first round bidding is over, he can make all kinds of announce-
ments, such as announcing all of the bids, announcing no bids, announcing some
of the bids, announcing the mean, the average of the bids, or even announcing bids
stochastically. It is impossible to formulate all possible information revelation rules.
We show that the no information revelation rule, in addition to being efficient, is
also optimal among all information revelation rules for a contest designer who has
to award the prize to a player and who wants to maximise the total bids of the
players.
Based on our results and those of the above-mentioned papers, more information
revelation in the interim stage of certain dynamic games leads to less efficient outcome.
This conclusion suggests that it is more efficient for a firm not to reveal information about
those employees competing for a promotion, that it is more efficient for school officials to
keep the scores of contestants secret in various stages of science competition and that
privacy laws improve the efficiency of our society. Of course, the analysis and the models
are somewhat restricted, especially under the rule of partial information revelation in our
model, and therefore this conclusion needs to be interpreted with caution.
Our article is an attempt to respond to Moldovanu and Sela (2006), who write: Ôwhile
our model is such that the information released in the dynamic contest has a very
simple structure, we believe that an interesting avenue is to focus on the role of
information in contests with multiple roundÕ. Lai and Matros (2006) have already
considered a two-round elimination contest with full revelation or no revelation of
biddersÕ bids and characterised the corresponding equilibria. Their model is more
general than ours, allowing for more players dividing into more groups in the first
round. Furthermore, there are interim prizes for the first round winners. But their
approach is different from ours. They assume that the first-round winners are com-
mitted to act according to their pretended type in the second round in a deviation.
Furthermore, a deviator’s valuation also becomes that of the pretended type. That is,
when a player deviates by pretending to be a different type, he becomes that pretended
type in the second round. Here, we assume that when a player deviates, he remains
being his original type.
The rest of the article is organised as follows. In Section 1, we describe the model. In
Section 2, we analyse the full revelation rule and establish the non-existence result. The
robustness of the result is also examined in this section. In Section 3, we investigate the
partial revelation rule and characterise the equilibrium when playersÕ valuations follow
an i.i.d. uniform distribution. In Section 4, we study the no information revelation rule
and show that it is the optimal information revelation rule in our model. In Section 5,
we conclude. All proofs are relegated to an Appendix.

4
Early work on eliminating contests considers the case of complete information. See Groh et al. (forth-
coming), Horen and Riezman (1985), Hwang (1982), Rosen (1986) and Schwenk (2000).

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618 THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL [MARCH
1. The Model
We consider a two-round elimination contest. There are 4 risk neutral players in the
contest for some prize. They have private information regarding their valuations of the
prize. Player iÕs valuation is Vi, and its realisation is denoted by vi. These Vi s are drawn
independently from an identical distribution F(), with density function f() and sup-
port V ¼ ½v; v. We assume that both the valuation and its density are bounded away
from 0; i.e. 0 < v < v < þ1 and 0 < f(v) < þ1 for v 2 ½v; v.
Each contest is in the form of an all-pay auction; the player with the highest bid
(effort) wins but every player pays his own bid. If there is a tie, we assume that the
stronger player wins. This is a standard assumption; it is made to avoid the problem that
the stronger player may want to outbid his rival by an infinitesimal amount. If two
players are equally strong, then each player wins with equal probability. Different situ-
ations require different definitions of a stronger player and we provide the precise
definition when it is needed. The timing of the game is as follows.
1 4 players are evenly divided into 2 groups: group A (players 1 and 2) and group
B (players 3 and 4).
2 Nature draws a valuation for each player from the same distribution F() inde-
pendently.
3 In each group, a first (preliminary) round contest is held. The winners from
each group, denoted by player A and player B, enter the second (final) round;
the losers, denoted by player a and player b, are eliminated.
4 Certain information (to be specified later) is revealed after the first round and
before the second round.
5 Players A and B compete in the second round.
The rules governing the information revelation between rounds (i.e. stage 4) are very
important in the analysis. We investigate the following three information revelation
rules: full revelation, partial revelation and no revelation.
Before offering more details of the model, we first discuss the equilibrium we will be
looking for throughout the article: symmetric separating Perfect Bayesian Nash Equi-
librium (PBNE). ÔSymmetric separatingÕ means that, in the first round, all players adopt
the same strictly increasing bidding function. A PBNE consists of strategy profiles and a
system of beliefs for the players. The strategy profile is sequentially rational for each
player given the beliefs and the beliefs satisfy the BayesÕ rule whenever possible. Since
all the players are ex ante symmetric, it is natural to look at a symmetric equilibrium. We
focus on a symmetric separating equilibrium since it is the only equilibrium that the
player with the highest valuation always wins and thus the outcome is always efficient.
We analyse our model by constructing the equilibrium strategies. We first assume
that, in the first round, all players adopt the same strictly increasing bidding function.
We then prove that such a bidding function does or does not exist in equilibrium. More
specifically, after making the assumption above, we use backward induction to analyse
this two-round game. We start with characterising the equilibrium in the second-round
continuation game when no one deviated in the first round. We then characterise the
equilibrium in the second-round continuation game when only one player deviated in
the first round. Note that the deviation matters in the analysis only when this deviating

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2009 ] ROLE OF INFORMATION 619
player gets into the second round. Finally, we characterise the strictly increasing bid-
ding function in the first round if it exists or show that there exists no such function.
In the following three Sections, we analyse three different information revelation
rules in sequence.

2. Full Revelation
We first analyse the full revelation rule. All bids in the first round contest are revealed.
This is the most interesting case as we need to deal with signalling effects in the analysis.
When a player deviates from his equilibrium strategy and pretends to have a different
valuation, he is mistaken by the other player in the second round as that pretended
type and thus receives responses aimed at that type. In this way, a player can manipulate
the strategies of the other player by choosing different pretended valuations. Of course,
in equilibrium, each player will follow his equilibrium strategy.
Assume that the equilibrium bidding function in the first round is strictly increasing.
We first examine the second round interactions.

2.1. Second Round Strategies


Suppose that in the first round all players adopt the same strictly increasing bidding
function bP(). We denote the image of the first round strategy as b P ðVÞ ¼ ½b P ðvÞ; b P ð v Þ.
It is not hard to see that the lower bound of bP(V) is bP(v) ¼ 0, since the player with the
lowest valuation has zero probability of entering the second round and thus would not
bid more than zero. If a player bids b 2 bP(V) in the first round, then according to BayesÕ
rule, other players in the second round believe that his valuation is (bP)1(b). If a player’s
bid is outside the image of the first round bidding function, i.e. b > b P ð v Þ,5 we assume
that all other players believe that he has valuation v. As a result, bidding b P ð v Þ strictly
dominates bidding b > b P ð v Þ, since there is no benefit for the higher bid while the cost
is higher. Under this specification of the off-path beliefs, no player has any incentive to
deviate to a valuation outside the support of the valuation space V. Therefore, we will
focus on deviations of bids within the image of the first round bidding function.
In the second round, the finalists update their beliefs on each other’s valuations
using BayesÕ rule by inverting the bidding function. Hence, in the non-deviated con-
tinuation game where all players follow the first round equilibrium bidding function,
the second round contest becomes an all-pay auction with complete information. This
game has been extensively studied and we reproduce below the following lemma in
Baye et al. (1996).
Lemma 1. Suppose that two players i and j with vj  vi compete in an all-pay auction for a
unique prize with complete information. In the unique Nash equilibrium, both players randomise
on the interval [0,vj]. Player iÕs bid is uniformly distributed according to c.d.f. Gi(bi) ¼ bi/vj.
Player jÕs bid is distributed according to the c.d.f. Gj(bj) ¼ (vi  vj þ bj)/vi, with a mass point
at 0. The winning probabilities are respectively qi ¼ 1vj/ 2vi and qj ¼ vj/ 2vi. The expected
payoffs are respectively Pi ¼ vi  vj and Pj ¼ 0.
5
Since players cannot bid a negative amount, the only possible bid which is outside the image of the first
round bidding function is b > b P ð
v Þ.

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620 THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL [MARCH
In order to characterise the equilibrium bidding function in the first round, we
need to examine one special deviated continuation game in the second round. In
this continuation game, only one player deviates and pretends to have a different
valuation in the first round and wins the right to enter the second round. Since all
players are ex-ante symmetric, we choose player 1 as the representative player and
assume that he is the one who deviates. Let w ¼ (bP)1(b) 2 V be the valuation
other players believe player 1 has; it may or may not be player 1Õs true valuation. If
he loses in the first round, then it does not affect the second round contest. The
following analysis applies when he wins and enters the second round, and thus
becomes player A.
In the second round, player B, the winner from group B, infers that player AÕs
valuation is w. Player A learns that player BÕs valuation is vB from his first round bid.
Furthermore, player A knows that player B believes that he has valuation w. Of course,
player A knows that his own valuation is actually vA. The following Lemma describes
the finalistsÕ strategies in this special deviated continuation game. Here, we designate
the player with the higher bid (and thus the implied valuation) in the first round as the
strong player.
Lemma 2. In the special deviated continuation game in the second round described above,
player B randomises his bid according to the following c.d.f. function:
8
< w  vwB þ bB ; if w  vB ;
GB ðbB Þ ¼ ð1Þ
: bB
w ; if w  v B .

Player A bids
8 0; if w > vA and w > vB ;
>
<
F 0; if w > vA and w  vB ;
bA ðw; vA ; vB Þ ¼ ð2Þ
: vB ;
> if w  vA and w > vB ;
w; if w  vA and w  vB :
Player A’s payoff is
8
>
> vA ðw  vB Þ
>
< w ; if w > vA and w > vB ;
F
PA ðw; vA ; vB Þ ¼ 0; if w > vA and w  vB ; ð3Þ
>
> v  vB ; if w  vA and w > vB ;
>
: A
vA  w; if w  vA and w  vB :

2.2. First Round Strategy


We now consider the first round bidding function. Lemma 2 gives playersÕ strategies in
the special deviated continuation game when player 1 deviates and enters the second
round. Obviously, player 1Õs expected payoff from entering the second round depends
on both his true valuation and his pretended valuation. Suppose that in the first
round all other players adopt the equilibrium bidding function bP() and player 1 has

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2009 ] ROLE OF INFORMATION 621
valuation v1 but pretends to have valuation w. Then player 1Õs payoff in the whole game
is given by
     
PP1 ðw; v1 Þ ¼ E PF1 ðw; v1 ; VB ÞI ðw>V2 Þ jv1  b P ðwÞ ¼ E I ðw>V2 Þ E PF1 ðw; v1 ; VB Þjv1  b P ðwÞ
    
¼ F ðwÞ E PF1 ðw; v1 ; VB ÞI fw>V1 ;w>VB g jv1 þ E PF1 ðw; v1 ; VB ÞI ðw>V1 ;wVB Þ jv1
   
þ E PF1 ðw; v1 ; VB ÞI ðwV1 ;w>VB Þ jv1 þ E PF1 ðw; v1 ; VB ÞI ðwV1 ;wVB Þ jv1  b P ðwÞ;

where I all expectations are taken on the upper case variables in the above equation,
and for the rest of the article as well. Unfortunately, as we show in the following
Proposition, no symmetric separating equilibrium exists in this game.
Proposition 1. In the elimination contest with full revelation rule,no symmetric separating
equilibrium exists in which all players adopt the same strictly increasing bidding function in the
first round.

The intuition behind this Proposition is as follows. In a separating equilibrium with


full revelation, the players in the second round have complete information regarding
each other’s valuation. However, the expected payoff in the whole game calculated at
the start of the first round contest is not differentiable in the player’s bid at the value of
his equilibrium bid. This is because in order to ensure that a player does not want to
pretend to have a lower valuation, the bidding function in the first round needs to be
relatively flat; conversely, in order to ensure that a player does not want to pretend to
have a higher valuation, that bidding function needs to be relatively steep. There is no
bidding function that can satisfy these incentive compatibility constraints in both
directions.
To understand this, consider a regular one-round auction. Increasing one’s bid has
two effects. First, it increases the expected winning probability. Second, it increases the
expected payment. In equilibrium, the bidding function is constructed in such a way
that these two effects cancel out at his true valuation. In our two-round elimination
contest model, in additional to the two effects above, there is a third effect – it also
changes the valuation conditional on winning. However, this valuation function is not a
smooth function. Upon a player’s overbidding, the valuation is increasing in his pre-
tended type. Upon a player’s underbidding, the valuation is decreasing in his pre-
tended type. To cancel this effect, there has to be a kink in the bidding function at his
true valuation. Since this happens at every valuation, kinks have to be everywhere in the
bidding function. Obviously, no such bidding function can exist. Therefore, if an
equilibrium exists, it must involves either non-monotone bids pooling of bids or mixed
strategies in the first round. This implies that the entry to the second round contest is
not efficient.

2.3. Robustness of the Non-existence Result


The main driving force for the non-existence of a symmetric separating equilibrium
is the kinks in a player’s first round payoff function. Do these kinks disappear if we
make some small changes to the model? Here, we discuss two modifications to the
model.
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622 THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL [MARCH
The first modification is to add interim prizes for the first round winners. A player
who wins the first round will win a prize in addition to entering the second round
contest. This does not smooth the kinks, however. This is because a player’s payoff
now has two parts. One is the expected value of entering the second round to win the
final prize. The other one is this interim prize. The first part behaves exactly the same
as we have analysed in the previous subsection. The second part is a smooth com-
ponent. Adding a smooth component to a kinked function would not smooth the
kinks and still no symmetric separating equilibrium exists.
The second modification is to introduce some shocks on the playersÕ valuations
after the first round. Suppose that at the beginning the game, player iÕs valuation is
vi. However, after he wins the first round, his valuation is subject to a random
shock /i with mean zero and distribution H(/i) on ½/; /.  We assume that the prize is
always desirable, which means even with the worst shock one’s valuation on the prize
is still positive. The shocks are independently and identically distributed across all
players. Assume that the realisations of these shocks are common knowledge.
We follow the same procedure as in the above subsections to solve the model. Given
the realisation of the shocks /i and /j, we can apply Lemma 1 and obtain the winnersÕ
equilibrium strategies in the non-deviated continuation game in the second round.
Note that now their valuations are vi þ /i and vj þ /j. In the special deviated contin-
uation game in the second round, we get a parallel Lemma to Lemma 2. The proof is
very similar, and therefore omitted here.
Lemma 3. In the special deviated continuation game in the second round described above,
player B randomises his bid according to the following cdf function:

8
< w þ /A  vB  /B þ bB ;
> if w þ /A  vB þ /B ;
GB ðbB Þ ¼ w þ /A ð4Þ
>
: bB ; if w þ /A  vB þ /B .
w þ /A

Player A bids
8
> 0; if w > vA and w þ /A > vB þ /B ;
<
0; if w > vA and w þ /A  vB þ /B ;
bAF ðw; vA ; vB ; /A ; /B Þ ¼ ð5Þ
> vB þ /B ;
: if w  vA and w þ /A > vB þ /B ;
w þ /A ; if w  vA and w þ /A  vB þ /B .

Player A’s payoff is


8
> ðvA þ /A Þðw þ /A  vB  /B Þ
>
> ; if w > vA and w þ /A > vB þ /B ;
< w þ /A
PFA ðw; vA ; vB Þ ¼ 0; if w > vA and w þ /A  vB þ /B ; ð6Þ
>
>
> vA þ /A  vB  /B ;
: if w  vA and w þ /A > vB þ /B ;
vA  w; if w  vA and w þ /A  vB þ /B .

Given the above Lemma, we can formulate a player’s problem at the beginning of the
first round and determine the conditions under which a separating equilibrium must
satisfy. Again, we obtain the non-existence result.
Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009
2009 ] ROLE OF INFORMATION 623
Proposition 2. In the elimination contest with full revelation rule and publicly observed
interim valuation shocks, no symmetric separating equilibrium exists in which all players adopt the
same strictly increasing bidding function in the first round.

Note that when the random shocks are equal to zero, the analysis is exactly the
same as in Proposition 1. The intuition for these random shocks not being able
to smooth the kinks is similar to the intuition in the first modification. For each
realisation of the random shock, there is a kink in the payoff function. Taking
the expectation at the beginning of the first round does not iron out these
kinks.
Making the above random shocks the private information of the players would
not smooth out the kinks either. The reason for the kink is because of the dis-
continuity in the deviated first round winner’s best response function in the special
deviated continuation game in the second round. This feature remains the same
here. Suppose finalist i has under-reported his type in the first round, then it is
optimal to bid zero in the second round when the shock is sufficiently low. If he
over-reports his type in the first round, then it is optimal to bid the upper bound of
the bidding function in the second round when the shock is sufficiently high. Both
situations occur with strictly positive probabilities and it makes the best response
function discontinuous in his reported type in the first round. Therefore, kinks
remain in the payoff function.
As we argued in the introduction, the non-existence of a symmetric separating
equilibrium is common in dynamic games with discontinuous probability of winning
functions and full revelation of bids in the interim stages. Zhang (2008) assumes that
the second round is a lottery in a two-round elimination contest. The first round is still
an all-pay auction. The second round is a lottery, with a player’s winning probability
increasing in his own bid but decreasing in other playersÕ bids. He is able to establish
the existence of a symmetric separating equilibrium in this game. The analysis is
complex but the intuition is quite straightforward. Consider an extreme case. If the
second round is a pure lottery so that the playersÕ winning probabilities do not depend
on their bids in the second round, then it is quite obvious that a separating equilibrium
exists since first round bids no longer have any signalling effects. The reward for
entering into the second round is fixed and the first round contest becomes a one-shot
all-pay auction with incomplete information. Changing the pure lottery to a lottery with
endogenous winning probability transforms the fixed reward to a variable but still
smooth reward. Since there is no kink in the payoff functions, a symmetric separating
equilibrium can be characterised.

3. Partial Revelation
In this Section, we analyse the case where the designer can conceal the efforts
(bids) of the winners but not those of the losers. Therefore, after the first round of
contests, the bids of the eliminated players are revealed and the bids of the
winners remain concealed. Below, we analyse how this change in information rev-
elation affects playersÕ behaviour and whether a symmetric separating equilibrium
exists.
Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009
624 THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL [MARCH
3.1. Second Round Strategy
We first examine a non-deviated continuation game in the second round; all players
follow their equilibrium strategy in the first round. According to the rule, the bids
of the eliminated players are revealed. After seeing these bids, the finalists (win-
ners), player A and player B, update their beliefs regarding each other’s valuation.
Since the bidding function in the first round is strictly increasing, they can calculate
the losersÕ valuations va and vb by inverting the bidding function and thus va and vb
are fully revealed. Meanwhile, it is common knowledge that players A and B are the
winners in their own groups. Using BayesÕ rule, player A believes that player BÕs
valuation is distributed on ½vb ; v with c.d.f. [F(vB)  F(vb)]/[1  F(vb)] and player B
believes that player AÕs valuation is distributed on ½va ; v with c.d.f. [F(vA)  F(va)]/
[1  F(va)]. Since prob(va ¼ vb) ¼ 0, players are in an asymmetric all-pay auction
with probability one. There are many papers investigating asymmetric auctions.6 It is
impossible to obtain an analytical solution for asymmetric auctions with general
distributions. Nevertheless, an analytical solution can be obtained for uniform
distributions.7 Define

v2 v  v vi vj


2
v2 v  v vi vj
2
I vvi J vvj
HI ¼ ; HJ ¼ ;
v  vi  vj v
2 2v  vi  vj v
v2 v 2vv i vj
vvi
i
and Hi ¼ :
v  vi  vj v
2

The following Lemma characterises the equilibrium bidding strategy under the
assumption that F(v) is uniformly distributed.
Lemma 4. Consider an asymmetric all-pay auction with two bidders I,J. Their valuations vI
and vJ are independently distributed. Bidder I Õs valuation is distributed uniformly on ½vi ; v, and
bidder J Õs valuation is distributed uniformly on ½vj ; v, where vi  vj. The following strategies
consist of a Bayesian Nash Equilibrium.

Player I uses bidding function bI(vI; vi, vj) ¼ HI  Hi;


Player J uses bidding function
8 vvj
<
HJ  Hi ; if vðvi =
v Þvvi  vJ  v;
bJ ðvJ ; vi ; vj Þ ¼ vvj ð7Þ
: 0; if vj  vJ < vðvi = v Þvvi .

In this equilibrium, the playersÕ payoffs are given by

v  vi vj
PI ðvI ; vi ; vj Þ ¼ HI  vI þ Hi ; ð8Þ
v  vj v  vj

6
Amann and Leininger (1996) consider the asymmetric all-pay auction with two players. Maskin and Riley
(2000) discuss asymmetric auctions from the aspect of revenue under more general settings.
7
One good example can be found in Krishna (2002).

Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009


2009 ] ROLE OF INFORMATION 625

Bid
bJ
bI

v vj vi v−vj vi v Valuation
v( ) v−vi
v

Fig. 1. Bidding Functions in an Asymmetric All-Pay Auction

8 vvj
< v  vj H  vi v þ H ; if vðv =
i v Þ i  vJ  v ;
vv

PJ ðvJ ; vi ; vj Þ ¼ v  v i
J 
v  vi
J i
ð9Þ
vvj
:
0; if vj  vJ < vðvi =
v Þvvi .

Figure 1 illustrates the important features of the two bidding functions above. When
vj < vi, we define player J as the weak player and I as the strong player. For the weak
player, if he is sufficiently weak, he bids 0. The cutoff valuation for the weak player,
who is indifferent
vv
between bidding and not bidding, lies between vj and vi, i.e.
j
v Þv  vi  vi .8 Furthermore, the weak player always bids more aggressively than
vj  vðvi =
the strong player.
When all the players followed their equilibrium strategies in the first round, the
equilibrium in its non-deviated continuation game in the second round is just a
straight-forward application of Lemma 4. Note that either player A or player B can
be the strong player, depending on the revealed valuations of the eliminated
players.
In order to characterise the equilibrium bidding strategies in the first round, we
need to examine one more continuation game in the second round. In this continu-
ation game, only one player deviated and did not following his equilibrium bidding
function in the first round, but he was able to enter the second round. Without loss of
generality, let player 1 be the deviated player. Suppose that player 1 bids bP(w) instead
of his equilibrium bid bP(v1). If he fails to enter the second round (i.e. w < v2), then
the case is irrelevant to our analysis. However, if he is able to enter the second round
(i.e. w > v2) and becomes player A, then he competes with player B (the winner of
group B) in the second round.
In the second round, player B believes that player AÕs valuation is uniformly
distributed on ½va ; v, while player A believes that player BÕs valuation is uniformly
distributed on ½vb ; v. However, player BÕs belief could be wrong, i.e. player AÕs true
valuation vA could lie outside of ½va ; v, as player A deviated in the first round. Define

vvj v  vi vvj vvj


8
vðvi =
v Þv  vi  vðvi =
v Þv  vi ¼ vi and vðvi = v Þv  vj ¼ vj , implied by Claim 4 in the Appendix.
v Þv  vi  vðvi =

Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009


626 THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL [MARCH

v2 v  v va vb


2
vva v2 v  v va vb
2
vvb
a b
Ha ¼ ; Hb ¼ ;
v  va  vb v
2 v  va  vb v
2

v2 v  v va vb


2
vva v2 v  v va vb
2
vvb
A B
HA ¼ ; and HB ¼ ;
v  va  vb v
2 v  va  vb v
2
The following Lemma describes the strategies in this special deviated continuation
game.
Lemma 5. In the special deviated continuation game in the second round described above,
player B bids according to the following function:

8
< HB  Hb ; if va < vb and vb  vB v
>
vb
v;
F
bB ðvB ; va ; vb Þ ¼ H B  Ha ; if v a  vb and 
v ðv a =
v Þ vva  v
B  v ; ð10Þ
>
: vvb
0; if va  vb and vb  vB  vðva =vÞvva .

Player A bids according to the following function:


8 vva
>
>  vb v  vA  vðvb = v Þvvb ;
> 0;
<
if va and
vva

bA ðvA ; va ; vb Þ ¼ HA  Hb ;
F if va  vb and vðvb =
v Þvvb < vA  v; ð11Þ
>
> 0; if va > vb and v  vA  va ;
>
:
HA  Ha ; if va > vb and va < vA  v.
Player A’s payoff is given by:
8 vva
>
>
> P1 ðvA ;va ;vb Þ¼ 0; if va  vb and v  vA  vðvvb Þvvb ;
>
>
>
> v va vb vA vva
if va  vb and vðvvb Þvvb < vA  v;
< P2 ðvA ;va ;vb Þ¼ v vb HA  v vb þHb ;
>
PFA ðvA ;va ;vb Þ  vvb

v v

v vva
a
>
> vb
>
> P3 ðvA ;va ;vb Þ¼ vA ; if va > vb and v  vA  va ;
>
> 
v v
>
>
b
: P4 ðvA ;va ;vb Þ¼ v va HA  vb vA þHa ; if va > vb and va < vA  v.
v v b v v b
ð12Þ
There are two important features about this continuation game. First, Player BÕs
strategy does not depend on player AÕs pretended valuation, simply because he cannot
observe player AÕs bid in the first round. Second, and because of the first feature, AÕs
strategy also does not depend on his own pretended valuation.
We now have the necessary continuation games in the second round to analyse the
first round strategies.

3.2. First Round Strategy


Lemma 5 gives playersÕ strategies in the special deviated continuation game in the
second round, in which only player 1 deviates in the first round and is able to enter the
second round. Given this, we can formulate his optimisation problem at the beginning

Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009


2009 ] ROLE OF INFORMATION 627
of the first round. Suppose that all other players adopt equilibrium bidding function
bP(), player 1Õs expected payoff when he pretends to have valuation w is given by:

max E½PFA ðv1 ; V2 ; Vb ÞI fw>V2 g jv1   b P ðwÞ


w

Vb vvV 2
¼ max EfP1 ðv1 ; V2 ; Vb ÞI w > V2 ; V2 < Vb ; v1 < vð Þ Vb
jv1 g
w v

Vb vV2
þ EfP2 ðv1 ; V2 ; Vb ÞI w > V2 ; V2 < Vb ; v1 > vð ÞvVb jv1 g
v
   
þ E P3 ðv1 ; V2 ; Vb ÞI fw>V2 ;V2 >Vb ;v1 <V2 g jv1 þ E P4 ðv1 ; V2 ; Vb ÞI fw>V2 ;V2 >Vb ;v1 >V2 g jv1  b P ðwÞ:
ð13Þ

The first four terms represent the expected gain if he wins the prize, which depends
on the realisation of the eliminated bids. The last term is the cost of bidding. In
equilibrium, it is optimal for the players to truthfully report their valuations. The
following Proposition characterises the equilibrium bidding strategy in the first round
as well as the second round.
Proposition 3. In elimination contests with partial revelation, the symmetric separating
PBNE is as follows:

In the first round, all players adopt the same strictly increasing bidding function:
Z v ( "
vv # )
P 2n vð
v  nÞ n vn n n2  v 2
b ðvÞ ¼   dn: ð14Þ
v ðv  vÞ3 ln ðn= vÞ v v 2

In the second round, player A believes that player B’s valuation is uniformly distributed on
½vb ; v, while player B believes that player A’s valuation is uniformly distributed on ½va ; v. They
use the bidding strategy described in Lemma 4 in the second round.
As we can show in the proof, a separating equilibrium always exists. In this equilib-
rium, efficient of entry to the second round is achieved. However, since the second
round is an asymmetric all-pay auction, the allocation of the prize may not be efficient.
If we examine (13), we find that the problem is no longer equivalent to a standard
all-pay auction, since we cannot separate the valuations from the winning probabilities.
With partial information revelation, the equilibrium is partially efficient.

4. No Revelation
We finally analyse the case that the organiser chooses not to reveal any information
after the first round of contest. The finalists know only who won and who lost in the
first round. This case has been analysed by Moldovanu and Sela (2006). We summarise
their results in the following Proposition.
Proposition 4. (Moldovanu and Sela, 2006) In the elimination contest with no revela-
tion, the symmetric separating PBNE is as follows.

In the first round, players bid according to the strictly increasing function:

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628 THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL [MARCH
Z v
b P ðvÞ ¼ F ðnÞ2 ½F ðvÞ  F ðnÞ dn: ð15Þ
v

In the second round, the finalists believe that their rivalsÕ valuations are drawn from the
distribution F()2 and bid according to the strictly increasing function:
Z v
b F ðvÞ ¼ ndF ðnÞ2 : ð16Þ
v

If we define the value of entering the second round as a player’s new valuation, then
the first round contest is equivalent to a standard all-pay auction. In this auction, a
player’s payoff is equal to his valuation of the prize multiplied by the winning probab-
ility in the second round, and minus his bid. However, under the other two informa-
tion revelation rules, this is not the case. A player’s valuation and winning probability
are not separable.
The existence of a separating equilibrium guarantees the most efficient entry to the
second round. Since the finalists are using symmetric bidding function in the second
round, the prize goes to the player with the highest valuation. As a result, the outcome
is efficient and the player with the highest valuation always wins the prize.

4.1. The Optimality of the No Revelation Rule


When the contest designer has the power to choose any information revelation rule
he wishes, he would choose one that maximises his objective. Note that the
designer’s decision space is very large. He can, for example, announce the average,
or the sum of the bids. He can even adopt a stochastic information revelation rule,
say, with probability one half announcing nothing and with probability one half
announcing all bids.
Suppose that the contest designer’s objective is to maximise the total efforts
(bids) from the players. It is difficult to formulate all possible information revelation
rules and it appears that characterising the optimal rule is a complicated task.
However, we are able to show that the no revelation rule is the optimal mechanism
in a more relaxed environment. In this environment, the designer can choose both
how much information to reveal and the form of competition. The allowable forms
of competition include, but are not limited to, elimination contests. If we are able
to prove that the elimination contest with the no revelation rule is optimal in this
more general environment, then it must also be optimal in the original, more
restricted environment.
Let us now describe this more relaxed environment. The designer must award
one indivisible prize to one of the four players. He can decide the rule of allocating
the prize and how much effort a player puts in conditional on the reported types of
all players. The designer’s objective is to maximise the total efforts (bids) from the
players. This environment is almost identical to the optimal auction design problem
in Myerson (1981). The only additional restriction is that the designer must award
the prize to some player and cannot keep it for himself regardless of the informa-
tion revelation rule he chooses. Given our assumption of independent private
valuations, it is straightforward to show that it is optimal to award the prize to the
Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009
2009 ] ROLE OF INFORMATION 629
9
player with the highest valuation. It is easy to see that an elimination contest with
the Ôno revelation ruleÕ implements this exact mechanism. Thus we have the fol-
lowing Proposition. Note that any information revelation rule that always results in
the same prize allocation, i.e., the player with the highest valuation always wins the
prize, is optimal.
Proposition 5. For a contest designer whose objective is to maximise the total bids (efforts)
from the players, an elimination contest with the no revelation rule is optimal. Therefore, within
elimination contests, the no revelation rule is optimal among all possible information revelation
rules.

We have just established that an elimination contest with no revelation is optimal.


However, this rule is not always feasible in real-life contests. After the first round of
contests, some information may be revealed automatically due to the nature of the
contests. In this case, one of the revelation rules analysed in previous Sections may
apply, and the equilibrium may not be fully efficient.

5. Conclusion
In this article, we consider several commonly observed information revelation rules and
address how they affect the existence of separating equilibria and the allocation of the
prize in elimination contests. In general, different revelation rules imply different
allocations of the prize. Only the no revelation rule induces efficient entry to the
second round and efficient allocation of the prize in the second round. Furthermore, it
maximises the total efforts from the players. The partial revelation rule introduces
distortion of efficiency in the second round because of asymmetric information in that
round, even though efficient entry to the second round is still achieved. The full
revelation rule cannot warrant efficient entry to the second round, since no separating
equilibria exists with strictly increasing bidding function in the first round. Any equi-
librium under the full revelation rule would necessarily involve inefficient entry to the
second round competition. We show that the non-existence result is very robust with
full information revelation. Our analysis confirms the findings of non-existence of
separating equilibrium by other researchers in other auction models with full interim
information revelation.
Within the framework of our model, we can conclude that more information
revelation in the interim stages reduces the efficiency of the contest. The no revelation
rule guarantees that the player with the highest valuation eventually wins the prize. It is
also the best rule to maximise player total efforts. Even though these conclusions are
drawn from a four-player model with two rounds of competitions, the qualitative results
should remain valid in a model with any arbitrary number of players and any arbitrary
number of rounds of competitions. As long as the objective is to facilitate efficient entry
to later rounds of competitions and to ensure that the player with the highest valuation
wins the prize, the no revelation rule is optimal.

9
The effort levels are implied by the incentive compatibility constraints.

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630 THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL [MARCH
Appendix
The following theorem will be used several times in the proof. A more general version of the
Lemma can be found in Guesnerie and Laffont (1984). However, special cases were used in
several papers, such as McAfee et al. (1993) and Myerson (1981).
Theorem 1. Consider a general all-pay auction

max U ðv; v1 Þ ¼ max Gðv; v1 Þ  bðvÞ ð17Þ


v v

with boundary condition bðvÞ ¼ 0. The expected gain function G(v,v1): ½v; v  ½v; v ! R is twice
continuously differentiable and depends on both the true valuation v1 and the reported valuation Rv v. Assume
that G1(v1,v1) > 0, 8v1 2 ðv; v, and G12(v,v1) > 0, 8v; v1 2 ðv; v. Then bðv1 Þ ¼ v 1 G1 ðn; nÞdn is
the equilibrium bidding function. This bidding function is strictly increasing and fully valuation revealing.
Proof. Suppose there exists a strictly increasing function b(v) such that truthfully reporting
(v ¼ v1) is optimal, then incentive compatibility implies that
Z v1
G1 ðv1 ; v1 Þ  b 0 ðv1 Þ ¼ 0 ) b 0 ðv1 Þ ¼ G1 ðv1 ; v1 Þ ) bðv1 Þ ¼ G1 ðn; nÞdn: ð18Þ
v

0
Note that b ðv1 ÞR ¼ G1 ðv1 ; v1 Þ > 0; 8v1 2 ðv; v. So it is true that b(v1) is strictly increasing.
v
Given bðv1 Þ ¼ v 1 G1 ðn; nÞdn, we have

dU ðv; v1 Þ
¼ G1 ðv; v1 Þ  b 0 ðvÞ ¼ G1 ðv; v1 Þ  G1 ðv; vÞ: ð19Þ
dv
Since G12 ðv; v1 Þ > 0 8v; v1 2 ðv; v, then G1(v,v1) is a strictly increasing function of v1. Hence,
dU(v,v1)/dv ¼ G1(v,v1)  G1(v,v) > 0 if v1 > v; and dU(v,v1)/dv ¼G1(v,v1)  G1(v,v) < 0 if
v1 < v. Thus, v ¼ v1 is optimal.
Proof of Lemma 2
We divide the second round continuation game into the following four situations: (1) w > vA,
w > vB, (2) w > vA, w  vB, (3) w  vA, w > vB, and (4) w  vA, w  vB.

Case 1. w > vA, w > vB

Player A overbids in the first round and meets a rival weaker than his pretended valuation
in the second round. Then from Lemma 1, player B randomises his bid in the interval [0,vB]
according to c.d.f. GB(bB) ¼ (wvBþbB)/w. Knowing player BÕs reaction function as well as his
own true valuation, player AÕs optimisation problem becomes
w  vB þ bA
max PFA ¼ max vA GB ðbA Þ  bA ¼ max vA  bA : ð20Þ
bA bA bA w

The first order condition gives us @PFA =@bA ¼ ðvA =wÞ  1 < 0. Note that player A is the
strong player and always wins in a tie. Therefore, it is optimal for him to bid 0 and get an
expected payoff of vA(w  vB)/w.

Case 2. w > vA, w  vB

Player A overbids in the first round and meets a rival stronger than his pretended valuation in
the second round. Then from Lemma 1, player B randomises his bid in the interval [0,w]
according to c.d.f. GB(bB) ¼ bB/w. Then player AÕs optimisation problem becomes:
bA
max PFA ¼ max vA GB ðbA Þ  bA ¼ max vA  bA : ð21Þ
bA bA bA w

Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009


2009 ] ROLE OF INFORMATION 631
FOC: @PFA =@bA ¼ ðvA =wÞ  1 < 0, then it is optimal for him to bid 0 and get an expected
payoff 0.

Case 3. w  vA, w > vB

Player A underbids in the first round and meets a rival weaker than his pretended valu-
ation in the second round. Then from Lemma 1, player B randomises his bid in the interval
[0,vB] according to c.d.f. GB(bB) ¼ (wvB þ bB)/w. Then player AÕs optimisation problem
becomes:
w  vB þ bA
max PFA ¼ max vA GB ðbA Þ  bA ¼ max vA  bA : ð22Þ
bA bA bA w

FOC: @PFA =@bA ¼ ðvA =wÞ  1 > 0, then it is optimal for him to bid vB and get an expected
payoff of vA  vB.

Case 4. w  vA, w  vB

Player A underbids in the first round and meets a rival stronger than his pretended
valuation in the second round. Then from Lemma 1, player B randomises his bid on the
interval [0,w] according to c.d.f. GB(bB) ¼ bB/w. Then player AÕs optimisation problem
becomes:
bA
max PFA ¼ max vA GB ðbA Þ  bA ¼ max vA  bA : ð23Þ
bA bA bA w
FOC: @PFA =@bA ¼ ðvA =wÞ  1 > 0, then it is optimal for him to bid w and get an expected
payoff of vA  w. We have now covered all possible cases.

Proof of Proposition 1
If player 1 chooses to overbid in the first round (w  v1), then player 1Õs payoff is given by:
Z w
v1 ðw  vB Þ
PP1 ðw; v1 Þ ¼ F ðwÞ dF ðvB Þ2  b P ðwÞ
v w
Z
F ðwÞv1 w
¼ v1 F ðwÞ3  vB dF ðvB Þ2  b P ðwÞ:
w v

In order to ensure truthful revelation of valuation in equilibrium, the following conditions


must be satisfied.
@PP1 ðw; v1 Þ
jw¼v1
@w " #
Z
f ðv1 Þv12  F ðv1 Þv1 v1 F ðv1 Þv1 0
¼ 3v1 F ðv1 Þ2 f ðv1 Þ  v B dF ðv B Þ 2
þ 2v1 F ðv1 Þf ðv 1 Þ  b P ðv1 Þ
v12 v v1
 Z v1
F ðv1 Þ 0
¼ v1 F ðv1 Þ2 f ðv1 Þ  f ðv1 Þ  vB dF ðvB Þ2  b P ðv1 Þ  0 ð24Þ
v1 v

" Z # Z
v1
0 F ðv1 Þ v1
) b P ðv1 Þ  v1 F ðv1 Þ2 f ðv1 Þ  f ðv1 Þ vB dF ðvB Þ2 þ vB dF ðvB Þ2 : ð25Þ
v v1 v
|fflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflffl{zfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflffl}
0

Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009


632 THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL [MARCH
If player 1 chooses to underbid in the first round (w  v1), then his payoff is given by:
Z w Z v
PP1 ðw; v1 Þ ¼ F ðwÞ ðv1  vB ÞdF ðvB Þ2 þ F ðwÞ ðv1  wÞdF ðvB Þ2  b P ðwÞ
v w
Z w ð26Þ
3
¼ v1 F ðwÞ  F ðwÞ vB dF ðvB Þ þ F ðwÞðv1  wÞ½1  F ðwÞ2   b P ðwÞ:
2
v

In order to ensure truthful revelation of valuation in equilibrium, we also need:


@PP1 ðw; v1 Þ
jw¼v1
@w Z v1
¼ 3v1 F ðv1 Þ2 f ðv1 Þ  f ðv1 Þ vB dF ðvB Þ2
v
h i h i 0
 2v1 F ðv1 Þ2 f ðv1 Þ þ f ðv1 Þ  3F ðv1 Þ2 f ðv1 Þ ðv1  v1 Þ  F ðv1 Þ  F ðv1 Þ3  b P ðv1 Þ
Z v1 h i 0
¼ v1 F ðv1 Þ2 f ðv1 Þ  f ðv1 Þ vB dF ðvB Þ2  F ðv1 Þ  F ðv1 Þ3  b P ðv1 Þ  0 ð27Þ
v" #
Z v1
0
) b P ðv1 Þ  v1 F ðv1 Þ2 f ðv1 Þ  f ðv1 Þ
vB dF ðvB Þ2  ½F ðv1 Þ  F ðv1 Þ3  : ð28Þ
|fflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflffl{zfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflffl}
v
0
However, it is easy to see that (25) and (28) cannot be satisfied at the same time for all values of
v1 2 ½v; v. Hence, no strictly increasing bidding function in the first round in equilibrium.
Therefore, no separating equilibrium with strictly increasing bidding function exists.

Proof of Proposition 2
If player 1 chooses to overbid in the first round (w  v1), then player 1Õs payoff is given by:
Z / Z / Z wþ/1 /B
ðv1 þ /1 Þðw þ /1  vB  /B Þ
PP1 ðw; v1 Þ ¼ F ðwÞ dF ðvB Þ2
/ / v w þ /1 ð29Þ
 dH ð/1 ÞdH ð/B Þ  b P ðwÞ:

In order to ensure truthful revelation of valuation in equilibrium, the following conditions


must be satisfied.
Z /Z /Z v1 þ/1 /B
@PP1 ðw; v1 Þ ðv1 þ /1 Þðv1 þ /1  vB  /B Þ
jw¼v1 ¼ f ðv1 Þ dF ðvB Þ2 dH ð/1 ÞdH ð/B Þ
@w / / v v 1 þ /1
Z / Z / Z v1 þ/1 /B
vB þ /B 0
þ F ðv1 Þ dF ðvB Þ2 dH ð/1 ÞdH ð/B Þ  b P ðv1 Þ  0
/ / v v1 þ /1
Z 
/ Z 
/ Z v1 þ/1 /B
0
)b P ðv1 Þ  f ðv1 Þ ðv1 þ /1  vB  /B ÞdF ðvB Þ2 dH ð/1 ÞdH ð/B Þ
/ / v
Z 
/ Z 
/ Z v1 þ/1 /B
vB þ / B
þ F ðv1 Þ dF ðvB Þ2 dH ð/1 ÞdH ð/B Þ :
/ / v1 þ / 1
v
|fflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflffl{zfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflffl}
0
If player 1 chooses to underbid in the first round (w  v1), then his payoff is given by:
Z / Z / Z wþ/1 /B
PP1 ðw; v1 Þ ¼ F ðwÞ ðv1 þ /1  vB  /B ÞdF ðvB Þ2 dH ð/1 ÞdH ð/B Þ
/ / v
Z 
/ Z 
/ Z v
þ F ðwÞ ðv1  wÞdF ðvB Þ2 dH ð/1 ÞdH ð/B Þ  b P ðwÞ:
/ / wþ/1 /B

Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009


2009 ] ROLE OF INFORMATION 633
In order to ensure truthful revelation of valuation in equilibrium, we also need:
Z 
/ Z 
/ Z v1 þ/1 /B
@PP1 ðw; v1 Þ
jw¼v1 ¼ f ðv1 Þ ðv1 þ /1  vb  /B ÞdF ðvB Þ2 dH ð/1 ÞdH ð/B Þ
@w / / v
Z 
/ Z 
/
0
 F ðv1 Þ ½1  F ðv1 þ /1  /B Þ2 dH ð/1 ÞdH ð/B Þ  b P ðv1 Þ
/ /
Z 
/ Z 
/ Z v1 þ/1 /B
0
) b P ðv1 Þ  f ðv1 Þ ðv1 þ /1  vB  /B ÞdF ðvB Þ2 dH ð/1 ÞdH ð/B Þ
/ / v
Z 
/ Z 
/
F ðv1 Þ ½1  F ðv1 þ /1  /B Þ2 dH ð/1 ÞdH ð/B Þ :
/ /
|fflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflffl{zfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflffl}
0
However, it is easy to see that those two equations cannot be satisfied at the same time for all
values of v1 2 ½v; v. Hence, no strictly increasing equilibrium bidding function exists in the first
round. Therefore, no separating equilibrium with a symmetric strictly increasing bidding func-
tion exists.

Proof of Lemma 4
Suppose that in the equilibrium players I and J follow increasing bidding strategies bI() and bJ(),
respectively.

Claim 1 bI(vi) ¼ bJ(vj) ¼ 0

Proof. Suppose that bJ(vj) > 0. Then for player I with any valuation, bidding 0 dominates
bidding b 2 (0,bJ(vj)). This is because bidding 0 gives him payoff 0 while bidding b 2 (0,bJ(vj))
gives him a negative payoff. Thus, player I will not bid b 2 (0,bJ(vj)). However, in this case, player J
with valuation vj will not bid bJ(vj), since bidding a little bit lower is better. A similar argument can
be applied to show that bI(vi) ¼ 0.

Claim 2 bJ ð v Þ ¼ b
v Þ ¼ bI ð

Proof. Suppose that bJ ðvÞ > bI ðvÞ. Then player J with valuation v is always better off to bid a
little bit less, since his winning probability does not change while he saves on the cost. A similar
argument applies to bJ ðvÞ < bI ðvÞ.
Suppose we now assume additionally that the bidding functions take the following forms. bI(vI)
is strictly increasing on its support. bJ(vJ) ¼ 0 for vj  vJ  v and is strictly increasing on
v  vJ  v. Denote /J ¼ bJ1 for v  vJ  v and /I ¼ bI1 , respectively.
Player IÕs optimisation problem is given by:
/J ðbÞ  vj
max vI Probfb > bJ ðvJ Þg  b max vI ProbfvJ < /J ðbÞg  b ¼ max vI  b: ð30Þ
b b b v  vj
The first order condition gives us ½1=ð v  vj Þ/0J ðbÞvI ¼ 1. In equilibrium vI ¼ /I(b). Thus
this FOC becomes
/0J ðbÞ/I ðbÞ ¼ v  vj : ð31Þ

Similarly, when v  vJ  v, from player J Õs optimisation problem we obtain

Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009


634 THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL [MARCH
/0I ðbÞ/J ðbÞ ¼ v  vi : ð32Þ

Adding (31) and (32) together, we obtain


0 0 d½/I ðbÞ/J ðbÞ
/J ðbÞ/I ðbÞ þ /I ðbÞ/J ðbÞ ¼ 2
v  vi  vj ) ¼ 2
v  vi  vj : ð33Þ
db

) /I ðbÞ/J ðbÞ ¼ ð2


v  vi  vj Þb þ A: ð34Þ

Since bI ð
v Þ ¼ bJ ð  we determine the constant term in (34) as A ¼ v2  ð2
v Þ ¼ b, 
v  vi  vj Þb.
Thus, we have:
/I ðbÞ/J ðbÞ ¼ ð2  þ v2 :
v  vi  vj Þðb  bÞ ð35Þ

From (32) and (35), we have


/0I ðbÞ v  vi
¼  þ v2 ð36Þ
/I ðbÞ ð2v  vi  vj Þðb  bÞ
  vvi
) /I ðbÞ ¼ B ð2  þ v2 Þ 2vvi vj :
v  vi  vj Þðb  bÞ ð37Þ
vi  vj

From bI ð  we have B ¼ v
v Þ ¼ b, v  vi  vj
2
. Thus, (37) becomes
 2vv
vvi
v  vi  vj
2 
i vj
/I ðbÞ ¼ v ðb  bÞ þ 1 : ð38Þ
v2

Meanwhile, we have bI(vi) ¼ 0; i.e., /I(0) ¼ vi . Thus, (38) becomes


 2vv
vvi
v  vi  vj
2  þ1
i vj
vi ¼ v 2
ð0  bÞ ð39Þ
v
" #
 2vv i vj

v2 1  vi
vvi

v
) b ¼ : ð40Þ
v  vi  vj
2

Substituting (40) into (38), we get


" #2vv
vvi

v  vi  vj
2 v  v vi vj
2
vvi
i v j
i
/I ðbÞ ¼ v b þ ð41Þ
v2 v

" #
v2 v 2vv i vj
vvi
v 2vv i vj
vvi
I i
) bI ðvI Þ ¼  : ð42Þ
v  vi  vj
2 v v

From (35), (40) and (41), we get


" #2vv
vvj

v  vi  vj
2 v  v vi vj
2
vvi
i v j
i
/J ðbÞ ¼ v b þ ð43Þ
v2 v
" #
v2 v 2vv i vj v 2vv i vj
J vvj i vvi
) bJ ðvJ Þ ¼  : ð44Þ
v  vi  vj
2 v v
 vvv j

Finding v by setting bJ(v ) ¼ 0, we have v ¼ v vvi


vi
.
Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009
2009 ] ROLE OF INFORMATION 635
To summarise:
" #
v2 v 2vv i vj
vvi
v 2vv i vj
vvi
I i
bI ðvI Þ ¼  ð45Þ
v  vi  vj
2 v v
8 " #
> v 2vv i vj  2vv i vj  vvv j
> v2 vi vvi if v vvi
vvj vi
>
<
J
  vJ  v
v  vi  vj
2 v v
bJ ðvJ Þ ¼ ð46Þ
>
>  vvv j
>
:0 if vj  vJ < v vvi
vi
.

We now calculate the payoffs:


/J ½bI ðvI Þ  vj
PI ðvI Þ ¼ vI  bI ðvI Þ
v  vj
v 2vv i vj v  v vi vj
2 ð47Þ
v2 ð
vv Þ i vv
I i vj v2 i vvj
¼  vI þ :
ð
v  vj Þð2
v  vi  vj Þ v v  vj v  vi  vj v
2
vvj

For player J, if vj  vJ < vðvi =


v Þvvi , then PJ(vJ) ¼ 0.
vvj

If vðvi =
v Þv  vi  vJ  v, then

/I ½bJ ðvJ Þ  vi
PJ ðvJ Þ ¼ vJ  bJ ðvJ Þ
v  vi
v 2vv i vj v  v vi vj
2 ð48Þ
v2 ð
vv Þ j J
vv j vi v2 i vvi
¼  vJ þ :
v  vi Þð2
ð v  vi  vj Þ v v  vi v  vi  vj v
2

Proof of Lemma 5
For player B, he has followed his equilibrium strategy in the first round. Meanwhile, he believes
that all the other players have also followed their equilibrium strategies in the first round. Thus,
he believes that player AÕs valuation is uniformly distributed on ½va ; v with c.d.f.
ðvA  va Þ=ð v  va Þ, and that player A considers him as a player with a valuation uniformly
distributed on ½va ; v with c.d.f. ðvB  vb Þ=ð v  vb Þ. Note that two situations may occur in the
second round: one is va < vb and the other is va  vb. Hence, player B’s strategy can be derived
directly from Lemma 4.
8 " #
>  2vv a vb  2vv a vb
>
> v2 v B vvb v
 vb
vvb
if va < vb and vb  vB  v
>
> v  va  vb
2 v
>
>
>
< " #
 2vv a vb  2vva vb  vvv
vb
bBF ðvB ; va ; vb Þ ¼ v2 vB vvb  va vva if v  v and 
v va a
 vB  v
>
> v  va  vb
2 v v a b
v
>
>
>
>  vvv
>
>
vb
:0 if va  vb and vb  vB  v va
a
.
v
ð49Þ
An important feature is that player BÕs strategy does not depend on player AÕs pretended
valuation in the first round simply because player B does not know it.
For player A, he acts optimally in the second round, taking player BÕs bidding function as given
and knowing his pretended valuation w and true valuation vA. Given that player 1 is in the second
round and becomes player A, his optimisation problem in the second round is given by
max vA Prob½b > bBF ðVB ; va ; vb Þ  b: ð50Þ
b

Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009


636 THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL [MARCH
If player AÕs true valuation vA 2 ½va ; v , his optimal reaction and payoff are implied by Lemma
4, since player BÕs belief about player AÕs valuation is correct.
It could also be the case that vA 2 = ½va ; v, i.e., vA < va. We consider two situations. First, if
player A is the weak player va < vb, then it is optimal for him to bid 0, since bidding a
positive amount gives him a negative payoff. This can be seen as follows:
vA Prob ½b > bBF ðVB ; va ; vb Þ  b < va Prob ½b > bBF ðVB ; va ; vb Þ  b


va Prob ½b > bBF ðVB ; va ; vb Þ  b ¼0
b¼0

The second step is from the fact that it is optimal for the player with valuation va to bid zero
and get payoff 0.
Second, if player A is the strong player va > vb,
 vv
vvb

2
v  v a  vb
va 2vv a vb 2 a vb
v 2 b þ v vva
vb
v
ð50Þ ¼ max vA  b:
b v  vb

Taking the derivative with respect to b gives us

" # vvva v

vA v v  vb 2v  va  vb 2 v  va  vb v 2vv a vb 2


vva
a vb
a
bþ 1
v  vb 2v  va  vb v2 v2 v
" # vv
va v " #2vv
va v

vA 2 v  va  vb v 2vv a vb 2
vva
a vb
vA va  vva b
v va v
2 a vb
vA
a
¼ bþ 1 < 1 <  1 < 0: ð51Þ
v v2 v v v va

Note that player A is the strong player and he wins whenever there is a tie. Therefore, it is
v  vb
ðva =
v Þ vva  vb
optimal for him to bid 0 and get a payoff of vA . Lemma 4 summarises all the
v  vb
situations together.

Proof of Proposition 3
The following claims will be used several times in the proof.

Claim 3 K(x) ¼ x lnx þ 1  x  0 for x 2 (0,1].


v  vb
Claim 4 ðv1 =vÞv  v1 is increasing in v1, where 0  v1 ; vb  v.

We will use Theorem 1 to determine the equilibrium. Player 1Õs problem is given by:

max PP1 ðw; v1 Þ ¼ Gðw; v1 Þ  b P ðwÞ ð52Þ


w
( "
vvV2
# )
Vb Vb
¼ maxE P1 ðv1 ; V2 ; Vb ÞI w > V2 ; V2 < Vb ; v1 < v jv1
w v
( "
vvV 2
# )
Vb Vb ð53Þ
þ E P2 ðv1 ; V2 ; Vb ÞI w > V2 ; V2 < Vb ; v1 > v jv1
v
þ E½P3 ðv1 ; V2 ; Vb ÞI fw>V2 ;V2 >Vb ;v1 <V2 g jv1 
þ E½P4 ðv1 ; V2 ; Vb ÞI fw>V2 ;V2 >Vb ;v1 >V2 g jv1   b P ðwÞ

Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009


2009 ] ROLE OF INFORMATION 637
8 9
< ln v1 =
v  Vb Þ v jv1
¼ max E P1 ðv1 ; V2 ; Vb ÞI ½w > V2 ; V2 < Vb ; V2 > v  ð ð54Þ
w : ln Vb ;
v
8 2 3 9

< ln v1 =
þE P2 ðv1 ; V2 ; Vb ÞI 4w > V2 ; V2 < Vb ; V2 < v  ðv  Vb Þ v 5 v1 ð55Þ
: ln Vb ;
v
þE½P3 ðv1 ; V2 ; Vb ÞI fw>V2 ;V2 >Vb ;v1 <V2 g jv1  ð56Þ

þE½P4 ðv1 ; V2 ; Vb ÞI fw>V2 ;V2 >Vb ;v1 >V2 g jv1  ð57Þ

b P ðwÞ ð58Þ

where P1(v1;V2,Vb), P2(v1;V2,Vb), P3(v1;V2,Vb) and P4(v1;V2,Vb) are defined in Lemma 5. V2 has
c.d.f. F ðv2 Þ ¼ ðv2  vÞ=ð v  vÞ. We know that Vb is the loser in group B, whose c.d.f. is given by
2F(vb)  F(vb)2 , where F ðvb Þ ¼ ðvb  vÞ=ðv   vÞ.
Note that term (54) is always 0, since P1(v1;V2,Vb) ¼ 0. vV2
In order to pin down term (55), we need to investigate the properties of v1 ¼ vðVb = v ÞvVb .
We can rearrange it and write V2 as a function of Vb: V2 ¼ hðVb ; v1 Þ ¼ v  ð v  Vb Þ
½lnðv1 =
v Þ=lnðVb =v Þ. Figure 2 characterises the important features of function h(Vb;v1).
First, it is a decreasing function:
 
v
@hðVb ; v1 Þ ln v1 ln vv1 1 vln vv1 Vvb ln Vvb þ 1  Vvb
¼ þ ð
v  Vb Þ  2 ¼  2 <0 ð59Þ
@Vb ln Vvb ln Vvb
Vb
Vb ln Vvb

The last step comes from the fact that ðVb = v ÞðlnVb = v Þ þ 1  Vb =
v > 0 , which is implied by
Claim 3, and lnðv1 = v Þ < 0.
Second, it crosses the line V2 ¼ Vb exactly once at V2 ¼ Vb ¼ V1.
Note that we can also express Vb as a function of V2, Vb ¼ h1(V2; v1), an inverse function of
h(Vb; v1).
Let us first examine the case in which player
R w R h11ðvunderbids in the first round, i.e., w < v1.
;v Þ
From Figure 3, we obtain term (55) ¼ v f v2 2 1 P2 ðv1 ; v2 ; vb Þd½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ2 g dF ðv2 Þ.
It is easy to see that term (56) ¼ 0, since Ifw>V2,V2 > Vb,v1 < V2g ¼ 0.

V2

V2 = Vb

v1

V2 = h(Vb;v1)
Vb
v1

Fig. 2. Properties of the Function V2 ¼ h(Vb; v1)


Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009
638 THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL [MARCH

V2

V2 = Vb

v1

w V2 = h(Vb;v1)
Vb
v1

Fig. 3. Integration Area for Term (55) When w < v1

V2

V2 = Vb

v1

V2 = h(Vb;v1)
Vb
v1

Fig. 4. Integration Area for Term (55) When w > v1

Rw Rv
Term (57) ¼ v f v 2 P4 ðv1 ; v2 ; vb Þd½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ2 g dF ðv2 Þ.
Second, we examine the case in whichR player 2 over bids in the first round, i.e., w  v1.
v R h 1 ðv ;v Þ
From Figure 4, we have Term (55) ¼ v 1 f v 2 1 P2 ðv1 ; v2 ; vb Þd½2F ðvb Þ F ðvb Þ2 g dF ðv2 Þ.
It is easy to see
R wthat:
Rv
Term (56) ¼ Rv1 f Rv 2 P3 ðv1 ; v2 ; vb Þd½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ2 g dF ðv2 Þ
v1 v
Term (57) ¼ v f v 2 P4 ðv1 ; v2 ; vb Þd½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ2 g dF ðv2 Þ:
Therefore, G(w,v1) becomes(for w < v1, )
Z w Z h1 ðv2 ;v1 Þ
2
Gðw; v1 Þ ¼ P2 ðv1 ; v2 ; vb Þd½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ  dF ðv2 Þ
v v2
Z (Z )
w v2
2
þ P4 ðv1 ; v2 ; vb Þd½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ  dF ðv2 Þ
v v

and, for w  v1,

Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009


2009 ] ROLE OF INFORMATION 639
Z (Z 1
)
v1 h ðv2 ;v1 Þ
Gðw; v1 Þ ¼ P2 ðv1 ; v2 ; vb Þd½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ2  dF ðv2 Þ
v v
Z (Z )
w v2
2
þ P3 ðv1 ; v2 ; vb Þd½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ  dF ðv2 Þ ð60Þ
v1 v
Z (Z )
v1 v2 h i
þ P4 ðv1 ; v2 ; vb Þd 2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ2 dF ðv2 Þ:
v v

From Theorem 1, if RG(w,v1) satisfies the conditions: G1 ðv1 ; v1 Þ > 0; G12 ðw; v1 Þ > 0; 8w;
v
v1 2 ðv; v, then b P ðv1 Þ ¼ v 1 G1 ðn; nÞ dn constitutes an equilibrium.
For w < v1, we have
Z h1 ðv1 ;v1 Þ
G1 ðv1 ; v1 Þ ¼ f ðv1 Þ P2 ðv1 ; v1 ; vb Þd½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ2 
v1
Z v1
þ f ðv1 Þ P4 ðv1 ; v1 ; vb Þd½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ2 
v
Z v1
¼ f ðv1 Þ P2 ðv1 ; v1 ; vb Þd½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ2 
v1 ð61Þ
 vvb
Z v1 v v1 vv1 vb
þ f ðv1 Þ v1 v d½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ2 
v 
v  v b
 vvb
Z v1 v v1 vv1 vb
¼ f ðv1 Þ v1 v 2f ðvb Þ½1  F ðvb Þdvb :
v v  vb

Note that P4(v1,v1,vb) ¼ P3(v1,v1,vb)


Z h1 ðw;v1 Þ
@P2 ðv1 ; w; vb Þ
G12 ðw; v1 Þ ¼ f ðwÞ d½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ2 
w @v1
@h 1 ðw; v1 Þ     
þ f ðwÞ P2 v1 ; w; h 1 ðw; v1 Þ 2 1  F h 1 ðw; v1 Þ f ½h 1 ðw; v1 Þ
@v1
Z w
@P4 ðv1 ; w; vb Þ
þ f ðwÞ d½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ2 : ð62Þ
v @v1

For w  v1, we have


Z v1
G1 ðv1 ; v1 Þ ¼ f ðv1 Þ P3 ðv1 ; v1 ; vb Þd½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ2 
v
 vvv
vb
Z v1 v vv1 1
vb
¼ f ðv1 Þ v1 2f ðvb Þ½1  F ðvb Þdvb ð63Þ
v v  vb
Z w
@P3 ðv1 ; w; vb Þ
G12 ðw; v1 Þ ¼ f ðwÞ d½2F ðvb Þ  F ðvb Þ2  ð64Þ
v @v1

From this, we end up with the same G1(v1,v1) function and


 vvv b
Z v vvb
vb
v1 vb
G1 ðv1 ; v1 Þ > f ðv1 Þ v1 2f ðvb Þ½1  F ðvb Þdvb ¼ 08v1 ð65Þ
v v  vb

which is implied by Claim 4.


Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009
640 THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL [MARCH
Now we only need to verify the condition G12 ðw; v1 Þ > 0; 8w; v1 2 ðv; v. Throughout the proof,
keep in mind the intervals on which the P function is defined.
First, we have
  vw vvv
v v1  vwb
vv b
@P2 ðv1 ; w; vb Þ vb v vb vvb w vb
¼    ¼ 0;
@v1 v  vb v v  vb v  vb v v  vb
vw
v Þvvb < v1 .
the inequality holds from the fact that vðvb =
Second,
 vvv b  vvv b

v w v vvb
w vb
@P3 ðv1 ; w; vb Þ v vb vb
¼ > ¼ 0;
@v1 v  vb v  vb
where the inequality holds because of Claim 4 and w > vb.
Third, for v1 > w,
v v1  vwb v w  vwb
vv vv
@P4 ðv1 ; w; vb Þ vb vb
¼   
@v1 v  vb v v  vb v  vb v v  vb
v vb vvbb
vv
vb
   0;
v  vb v v  vb
where the second inequality holds because of Claim 4 and w  vb.
Finally,
@h 1 ðw; v1 Þ 1
¼ 2  3 > 0;
@v1 vb ln vvb
v  w 4 5
v  vb 1 þ v  vb

which is implied by Claim 3.


Thus, G12 ðw; v1 Þ > 0; 8w; v1 2 ðv; v. From Theorem 1, the bidding function must satisfy
8  vvb 9
>
> Z v1 v v1 vv1 vb >
>
< =
P0 v
b ðv1 Þ ¼ G1 ðv1 ; v1 Þ ¼ f ðv1 Þ v1 2f ðvb Þ½1  F ðvb Þdvb
>
> v  vb >
>
: v ;
(   vv )
2v1 vð
v  v1 Þ v1 vv1 v1 v2  v2
¼ 3 v 1
  1
ð
v  vÞ ln v v v 2

8 "
vv # 9
Z <vð
v1
2n v  nÞ n vn n n2  v 2 =
) b P ðv1 Þ ¼   dn: ð66Þ
v v  vÞ3 : ln n
ð v v 2 ;
v
This gives us the equilibrium bidding function in the first round. Note that the second round
strategy is characterised in Lemma 4.

Queen’s University
Queen’s University and Zhejiang University, China

Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009


2009 ] ROLE OF INFORMATION 641
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Ó The Author(s). Journal compilation Ó Royal Economic Society 2009

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