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Edible Oil Profile 21 11 2019
Edible Oil Profile 21 11 2019
2019
Contents
1. Edible Oil estimates for India (marketing year- November 2018- October 2019) ....................... 2
2. Production Trend of Domestic Oilseeds ....................................................................................... 2
3. Production Trend of Domestic Edible Oils .................................................................................. 3
4. Global & Domestic Production, Exporters and Importers of Major edible oil ............................ 3
5. Global Production Trend of Major Edible Oils ............................................................................ 4
6. Major Exporting and Importing Countries of Edible Oils ............................................................ 6
7. India’s import of major edible oils ............................................................................................. 11
8. India’s top import sources of Palm, Soya and Sunflower Oils ................................................... 12
9. Movement of Domestic and International Edible Oils Prices .................................................... 12
10. Domestic Future price of Soybean and Palm oil……………………………………………….15
$For 2018-19 estimates, figure are as per Directorate of Sugar and Vegetable Oils
*For 2018-19 estimates, Production, Export Industrial use are estimates from DVVOF and Import
is 3 years average from DGCI&S, Kolkata.
**Figure of import is for the period Nov-Sep, 2018-19.
Availability: Domestic production plus Imports;
Total Availability for Domestic Consumption: Availability minus export and Industrial use.
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
• India’s Soybean production has increased in the last 10 years at CAGR of 3.7 percent.
• Groundnut production is estimated to be 6.69 Million Tonnes in 2018-19 as compared to
9.17 Million Tonnes in 2017-18 showing a fall of around 27%.
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
• Soybean oil production has increased in the last 10 years at CAGR of 3.7 percent.
• Rapeseed oil production was 2.89 Million MT in 2018-19.
4. Global & Domestic Production, Exporters and Importers of Major edible oil
Global India’s
Major Exporters/ Importers
Edible Oil Production Production
(2018-19)
(2019-20) (2019-20)
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
China India Burma Nigeria Sudan
2018-19 2.79 1.04 0.27 0.27 0.23
2019-20 2.87 1.14 0.27 0.27 0.23
• China was the top producer followed by India and Burma in 2018-19.
• India’s share in global production of Groundnut Oil in 2018-19 was around 18 percent.
B) Mustard Oil
10.00
Million Tonnes
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
European Union China Canada India Japan
2018-19 9.74 6.55 4.15 2.58 1.07
2019-20 9.70 6.47 4.20 2.58 1.08
• European Union (EU) was the top producer followed by China and Canada in 2018-19.
India may be the fourth largest producer.
• India’s share in global production of mustard oil in 2018-19 was around 8 percent.
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
Ukraine Russia European Union Argentina Turkey
2018-19 6.36 4.85 3.72 1.43 0.94
2019-20 6.24 5.12 3.76 1.41 0.90
D) Soybean oil
12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
China United States Argentina Brazil European Union
2018-19 15.41 11.12 8.20 8.20 3.10
2019-20 15.41 11.13 8.80 8.39 3.04
• China, United States, Argentina and Brazil were the key producers of Soybean oil in 2018-
19.
• India’s share in global production of Soybean Oil in 2018 was around 3 percent.
35.00
30.00
25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
Indonesia Malaysia Thailand Colombia Nigeria
2018-19 41.50 20.50 2.90 1.63 1.02
2019-20 43 20.7 3 1.68 1.015
• Indonesia and Malaysia are major Palm oil producers in the world.
0.060
0.050
0.040
0.030
0.020
0.010
0.000
Argentina Brazil Senegal Nicaragua India
2017 0.083 0.049 0.019 0.019 0.013
2018 0.081 0.063 0.030 0.021 0.017
Source: Comtrade
• Argentina and Brazil were the top two exporting countries of Groundnut oil in 2018.
0.10
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0.00
United States of
China Italy Benin France
America
2017 0.11 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.01
2018 0.13 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.01
Source: Comtrade
• China and Italy were the major importing countries of groundnut oil in 2018.
B. Mustard oil
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
Russian
Canada Germany Belgium Czech Republic
Federation
2017 3.10 1.13 0.30 0.36 0.32
2018 3.26 0.90 0.47 0.32 0.26
Source: Comtrade
• Canada was the largest exporter of Mustard oil in the world followed by Germany and
Russian Federation in 2018.
2.00
Million Tonnes
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
United States of
China Netherlands Norway Belgium
America
2017 1.99 0.76 0.60 0.46 0.38
2018 1.75 1.30 0.77 0.46 0.36
Source: Comtrade
• The USA and China were the leading importing countries of Mustard oil in the world.
C. Sunflower oil
6.00
5.00
Million Tonnes
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
Russian
Ukraine Mozambique Argentina Netherlands
Federation
2017 5.77 1.28 2.33 0.77 0.59
2018 5.59 1.11 2.10 0.71 0.62
Source: Comtrade
• Ukraine and Mozambique were the top two global exporters of sunflower oil during 2018.
2.50
Million Tonnes
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
India China Italy Spain Turkey
2017 2.26 0.74 0.55 0.77 0.66
2018 2.43 0.70 0.61 0.52 0.50
Source: Comtrade
• India was the largest importer of Sunflower oil followed by China, Italy, and Spain during
2018.
D. Soybean oil
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
United States of
Argentina Brazil Paraguay Netherlands
America
2017 4.97 1.34 1.07 0.68 0.52
2018 4.23 1.41 1.11 0.70 0.60
Source: Comtrade
• Argentina was the largest exporting country in the world followed by Brazil, USA and
Paraguay during 2017.
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
India China Morocco Peru Colombia
2017 3.34 0.65 0.50 0.45 0.35
2018 2.97 0.55 0.53 0.50 0.34
Source: Comtrade
• India was the largest importer of soybean oil that constituted 27.89 percent of the global
import in the year 2017.
E. Palm oil
25.00
Million Tonnes
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
Indonesia Malaysia Netherlands Colombia Germany
2017 22.88 9.88 1.38 0.55 0.38
2018 27.89 13.84 1.34 0.70 0.37
Source: Comtrade
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Fig 17: Major Importing countries of Palm Oil
10.00
9.00
8.00
Million Tonnes
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
India China Pakistan Netherlands Spain
2017 9.18 5.08 2.77 2.60 1.90
2018 8.81 5.33 2.96 2.60 1.93
Source: Comtrade
• India is the largest importer of Palm oil in the world followed by China, Pakistan and
Netherland.
• India imports substantial amount of edible oils for its domestic consumption. Among all
edible oils imported into India, Palm oil import share is around 60 percent.
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8. India’s top import sources of Palm, Soya and Sunflower Oils
Table 5: India’s Top Import Sources of Palm, Soya and Sunflower Oils during 2018
I. Groundnut oil
123000
113000
103000
93000
83000
73000
63000
Dec-15
Dec-12
Dec-13
Apr-14
Dec-14
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Aug-12
Aug-13
Aug-14
Aug-15
Aug-16
Aug-17
Aug-18
Aug-19
Apr-12
Apr-13
Apr-15
Apr-16
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Source: Domestic Price Agriwatch and International Price are FAO Prices.
• Domestic prices of Groundnut oil are showing rising trend from August, 2018.
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II. Mustards Oil
95,000
85,000
Rs per MT
75,000
65,000
55,000
45,000
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Apr-12
Aug-12
Apr-13
Aug-13
Apr-14
Aug-14
Apr-15
Aug-15
Apr-16
Aug-16
Apr-17
Aug-17
Apr-18
Aug-18
Apr-19
Aug-19
Domestic (Kota, Expeller without GST) International (Rape oil (Dutch, fob ex-mill)
Source: Domestic Price Agriwatch and International Price are FAO Prices.
• Domestic price of Mustard Oil is higher than that of International prices throughout the
years.
73000
68000
63000
58000
53000
48000
Dec-14
Dec-12
Aug-13
Dec-13
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Aug-12
Aug-14
Aug-15
Apr-16
Aug-16
Aug-17
Aug-18
Aug-19
Apr-12
Apr-13
Apr-14
Apr-15
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Domestic (Chennai, Refined & Expeller with GST) International Sunflower oil (CIF Ukraine Origin)
Source: Domestic Price Agriwatch and International Price are CIF Ukraine origin Prices.
• Domestic prices of Sunflower oil are higher than the International prices throughout the
period.
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IV. Soybean oil
80000
75000
70000
Rs per MT
65000
60000
55000
50000
45000
Dec-17
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-18
Aug-12
Apr-12
Apr-13
Aug-13
Apr-14
Aug-14
Apr-15
Aug-15
Apr-16
Aug-16
Apr-17
Aug-17
Apr-18
Aug-18
Apr-19
Aug-19
Domestic (Indore, Refined without GST) International(Soya oil CIF Argentina origin)
Source: Domestic Price Agriwatch and International Price are CIF Argentina origin Prices.
• Domestic prices of soybean oil are higher than International prices throughout the period.
V. Palm oil
65000
Rs per Tonnes
60000
55000
50000
45000
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10. Domestic future prices of Crude Soya bean and Crude Palm oil
Unit: Rs/Quintal
Table – 6: Soya bean oil Future Prices
% Change
Week Month 3 Months 6 Months Year
Contract As on over
ago ago ago ago ago
Month 14.11.2019 previous
7.11.2019 14.10.2019 14.8.2019 14.5.2019 14.11.2018
year
Nov,19 7,998.00 7,885.00 7,544.00 7,487.00 7,220.50 7,437.00 7.54
Dec,19 8,037.50 7,917.00 7,553.50 7,487.00 7,220.50 7,368.00 9.09
Jan,20 8,046.00 7,927.00 7,557.50 7,487.00 0.00 7,377.00 9.07
Source: National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited
• Domestic future price for Crude Soya bean oil is expected to increase over the price in
previous year.
Unit: Rs/Quintal
Table – 7: Crude Palm oil Future Prices
% Change
Month 3 Months 6 Months Year
Contract As on Week ago over
ago ago ago ago
Month 14.11.2019 7.11.2019 previous
14.10.2019 14.8.2019 14.5.2019 14.11.2018
year
Nov,19 6,459.00 6,198.00 5,482.00 5,570.00 0.00 5,287.00 22.17
Dec,19 6,504.00 6,227.00 5,514.00 5,590.00 0.00 5,295.00 22.83
Jan,20 6,456.00 6,194.00 5,510.00 0.00 0.00 5,333.00 21.06
Source: Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd
• Domestic future price for Crude Palm oil is expected to increase over the price in previous
year.
11. International future prices of Soya bean and Crude Palm Oil
Unit: USD/Ton
Table – 8: Soya bean Oil Future Prices
% Change
Month 3 Months 6 Months Year
Contract As on Week ago over
ago ago ago ago
Month 14.11.2019 7.11.2019 previous
14.10.2019 14.8.2019 14.5.2019 14.11.2018
year
Dec,19 678.58 692.91 661.38 651.46 610.67 607.81 11.64
Jan,20 682.76 697.76 666.67 656.75 615.30 612.44 11.48
Mar,20 688.72 703.49 672.62 662.70 621.70 618.83 11.29
May,20 695.99 710.32 679.24 668.88 589.29 625.67 11.24
Source: CME Soybean Oil Prices
• International future prices of Soya bean are expected to increase over the last year.
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Unit: USD/Ton
Table – 9: Crude Palm Oil Future Prices
6 Months % Change
Week ago Month 3 Months Year ago
Contract As on ago over
ago ago
Month 30.8.2019 previous
23.8.2019 30.7.2019 30.5.2019 30.8.2018
28.2.2019 year
Dec,19 615.83 598.46 516.28 540.28 516.91 440.34 39.85
Jan,20 627.38 610.52 527.76 545.30 529.62 470.38 33.38
Feb,20 633.87 617.04 538.54 548.89 538.98 486.59 30.27
Source: BMD Malaysian Palm Oil Prices
• International future prices of Palm oil are expected to increase over the last year prices.
At present, import of all varieties of edible oils is free without any quantitative restriction.
• Hike in import duty on refined palm oil sourced from Malaysia from 45% to 50%.
• Tariff-rate Quota (TRQ) for import of 30,000 MT of crude soya oil from Paraguay under
India-Mercosur Trade Agreement at import duty of 10%.
Disclaimer: The information and opinions contained in the document have been compiled from
various sources believed to be reliable. This Department will not be liable for any losses and
damages in connection with the uses of the information provided in the commodity profile.
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