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Competitiveness Index:
Theory, Methods and Findings
ABSTRACT
The EU Regional Competitiveness Index (RCI) is the first composite indicator which
provides a synthetic picture of territorial competitiveness for each of the NUTS 2 regions
of the 27 EU Member States. It builds on and modifies the approach of the Global
Competitiveness Index of the World Economic Forum (WEF). It consists of eleven
pillars grouped in three groups: basic, efficiency and innovation. It takes into account the
level of development of the region by emphasizing basic issues in less developed regions
and emphasizing innovative capacity in more developed regions. The pillars measure not
only issues relevant for firms but also for residents and their quality of life.
The traditional images of Europe with a blue banana or a core periphery pattern are not
confirmed by this analysis. The RCI reveals a more polycentric pattern with high scores
in many capital regions and other regions with large cities. More generally, though,
Eastern and Southern European regions tend to score lower than regions in the Northwest
Europe. The gap between the competiveness of the capital region and the surrounding
regions is very high in central and Eastern Europe, which suggests that the regional
spillovers are not (yet) as effective in these countries. The substantial disparities within
several countries also highlight the need for regional analysis and the limits of a purely
national approach.
1
INTRODUCTION ...............................................................................................................4
1. THEORY .....................................................................................................................4
1.1. The concept and definition.................................................................................4
1.2. What regional level: Functional or administrative regions?..............................5
1.3. Factors of competitiveness and the reach of public policies .............................6
1.4. An assumed lower efficiency of public expenditure?........................................6
1.5. A differentiated approach ..................................................................................7
2. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK ................................................................................7
2.1. Three Groups .....................................................................................................8
2.2. Basic pillars......................................................................................................13
2.2.1. Institutions..........................................................................................13
2.2.2. Macroeconomic stability....................................................................14
2.2.3. Infrastructure......................................................................................14
2.2.4. Health.................................................................................................15
2.2.5. Quality of primary and secondary education .....................................16
2.3. Efficiency pillars..............................................................................................17
2.3.1. Higher education and training and lifelong learning .........................17
2.3.2. Labour market efficiency...................................................................17
2.3.3. Market size.........................................................................................18
2.4. Innovation pillars .............................................................................................20
2.4.1. Technological readiness.....................................................................20
2.4.2. Business sophistication ......................................................................21
2.4.3. Innovation ..........................................................................................23
3. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ................................................................................23
4. CONCLUSION..........................................................................................................27
2
Uncertainty analysis.........................................................................................33
Compensability effects.....................................................................................34
6. REFERENCES ..........................................................................................................38
7. APPENDIX................................................................................................................42
3
INTRODUCTION
1. THEORY
4
(Martin et al., 2006) is relatively uncontested, but applying the same concept to
countries or regions has been subject to much debate. The implicit analogy between
firms and nations has been widely criticised because a country cannot go out of
business and because competition between countries can benefit both, while
competition between companies in the same sector is more likely to be a zero sum
game (Krugman, 1996).
Between the micro and the macro levels stands the concept of regional
competitiveness. A region is neither a simple aggregation of firms nor a scaled
version of nations (Gardiner et al., 2004). Meyer-Stamer (2008) states that: "We can
define (systemic) competitiveness of a territory as the ability of a locality or region
to generate high and rising incomes and improve livelihoods of the people living
there.” In contrast to the WEF definition focussed on the concept of productivity,
this definition is based entirely on the benefits to people living in a region. It
assumes a close link between competitiveness and prosperity. It characterizes
competitive regions not only by output-related terms such as productivity but by
sustained or improved level of comparative prosperity (Bristow, 2005).
The RCI index focuses on NUTS 2 regions in the European Union. The literature
raises two issues related to the selection of the appropriate regional level. First,
competitiveness should be calculated for a functional region. The second is that the
region should have an important political and administrative role. In most countries,
5
however, functional regions are not administrative and vice-versa. Thus in practice
these two recommendations can rarely be combined.
The index makes two modifications to the use of the NUTS 2 regions. The first
follows the political logic. We combined two NUTS 2 regions Inner London and
Outer London. The combined region matches with the territory under the control of
the Greater London Authority. The second follows the functional logic. We
combined Brussels with the two surrounding regions (Vlaams Brabant and Brabant
wallon), which means that this region coincides with the Brussels metro region as
defined by the OECD (2009)1.
The remaining NUTS 2 regions are not necessarily functional or politically relevant.
We argue, however, that this does not undermine the credibility of a competitiveness
index based on NUTS 2 regions as it captures regional variations in the
attractiveness for firms and residents.
The mix of public services needed in a region, and the way these are deployed,
change over time. To ensure that a region provides the right type, amount and
quality of services in the most efficient manner requires constant monitoring, change
1
OECD Metropolitan database: OECD methodology for the definition of metropolitan regions
http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/41/37/45511614.pdf
6
and often innovation. A region which fails to adapt to new demands for services or
to new technologies for services’ delivery becomes less competitive. E-government
services, one-stop-shop for start-ups or foreign investors are but a few examples of
changes in technology and services that regions must muster to remain attractive.
In this respect we have followed the World Bank Doing Business index, adopting
some of its indicators to describe the quality of what is provided by public services.
2. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
Attempts to extend the analysis at the regional level have been done in more recent
years. The European Competitiveness Index (ECI), computed by the University of
Wales Institute, focuses on European regions at the NUTS 1 level (Huggins and
Davies, 2006) in the European Union, which did not include Romania and Bulgaria
at the time. A simpler but more detailed geographical description of competitiveness
is presented in the ’Atlas of Regional Competitiveness’ (Eurochambers, 2007)
reflecting the international recognition of the importance of the regional NUTS 2
level, but the approach falls short of aggregating the variables to a single composite
index.
The RCI offers the first comprehensive picture on the situation of all NUTS 2
regions of the EU, allowing for a cross-regional comparison across EU Member
States.
7
Our index to a large extent adopts and builds upon the methodology developed by
the WEF for the Global Competitiveness Index - GCI (Schwab, 2009). GCI is
indeed the most internationally recognised index covering a fairly comprehensive
set of aspects relevant to competitiveness. There are, however, some key differences
that distinguish the RCI from GCI due to the regional and European dimension of
the RCI.
The basic group includes the following five pillars (1) Institutions, (2)
Macroeconomic Stability, (3) Infrastructures, (4) Health and (5) Quality of Primary
and Secondary Education. These five pillars are taken to represent the key basic
drivers of all types of economies.
As a regional economy develops, other factors related to a more skilled labour force
and a more efficient labour market enter into play for its advancement in
competitiveness and are part of the Efficiency group. This includes three pillars (6)
Higher Education, Training and Lifelong Learning, (7) Labour Market Efficiency
and (8) Market Size.
8
Map 1: Stages of development
The three groups are purportedly nested: a good performer in the Innovation group
is expected to be a good performer also in the Efficiency and the Basic groups as
they are instrumental to increasing levels of competitiveness. As regions move along
the path of development, their socio-economic conditions change and different
determinants become more important for the regional level of competitiveness. As a
result, the best way to improve competitiveness of more developed regions is not the
same as for less developed regions. To take this into account and following the
WEF-GCI approach (Schwab, 2009), EU regions are divided into ’medium’,
’intermediate’ and ’high’ stage of development. This is done on the basis of regional
GDP per head, 2007 in PPP (purchasing power parity). EU regions are classified
into the three stages of development, according to the thresholds listed in Table 2-1.
9
The corresponding map is shown in Map 1. The threshold which defines the
medium level is a GDP per head below 75% of the EU average, which is also the
threshold used by the European Commission for Cohesion Policy to identify regions
eligible for the ’Convergence’ objective. The second threshold is the EU average
GDP per head. This threshold has no link to Cohesion Policy and its influence on
final scores and ranks has been tested by the robustness analysis of RCI described in
Section 5.3.
A sub-index is calculated for each of the three pillar groups (Basic, Efficiency and
Innovation, see Map 2) as the simple average of the pillar scores belonging to each
of the pillar groups. Each pillar has a score based on the average of the standardised
(z-scores) indicator values, including where necessary a correction for skewness.
10
Map 2: Regional Competitiveness Index - Grouped pillar scores
The set of weights assigned to the pillar groups depends on the development stage of
the region. Values of the weights for the different stages of development are based
on the GCI approach, with some modifications to accommodate the specific
economic performance of EU regions.
As detailed in Section 5.2, for all three development stages, the same weight (50%)
is assigned to the efficiency pillar group (50%). The importance of the basic pillar
group decreases as GDP per head goes up (40% for medium, 30% for intermediate
and 20% for high). The innovation pillar group progressively gains in importance as
development goes up (10% for medium, 20% for intermediate and 30% for high).
(See Table 5-1). This is a similar approach to that of WEF for the GCI (Schwab and
Porter, 2007; Schwab, 2009).
This method has the slight shortcoming that if a region has reached the high stage of
development, it will lose less from a poor score in the basic pillar than if the region
were classified as medium or low stage. Most regions with a high GDP per head,
however, score well on the basic pillars, supporting our assumption of nested
groups.
11
Map 3: Regional Competitiveness index, 2010
The indicators used in the RCI have a defined and transparent normative dimension
and display an unambiguous orientation with respect to competitiveness: one
extreme is good, the other is bad, as is the case for example for variables such as
long term unemployment, income or life expectancy. They are all quantitative and
mostly come from Eurostat, the European Union statistical office. Whenever
information was not available from Eurostat, other data sources were used such as
12
the World Bank, Eurobarometer, and the OECD. Most recent data have been used
for all indicators, with a temporal range mostly spanning between 2007 and 2009.
The final aggregated index is shown in Map 3.
The first three basic pillars are all calculated at the national levels. The
scores for these pillars are shown in Map 4. The remaining two pillars are
calculated at the regional level, scores are shown in Map 5.
2.2.1. Institutions
Indicators included in the pillar are listed in Table 7-1. The goal is
measuring the quality and efficiency of institutions, the level of perceived
corruption, the general regulatory framework, the institutional climate for
enterprises. Indicators describing these aspects at the regional level –
however desirable, are not available. Country level data are used instead.
13
Map 4: Regional Competitiveness - Basic pillars part one
2.2.3. Infrastructure
14
infrastructures are an important factor in determining the location of
economic activity and the kinds of activities and sectors that can develop in
an economy. High-quality infrastructure guarantees easy access to other
regions and countries, contributes to better integration of peripheral and
lagging regions, and facilitates the transport for goods, people and services.
This has a strong impact on competitiveness as it increases the efficiency of
regional economies. Indicators included in the pillar are listed in Table 7-3.
2.2.4. Health
The Health pillar describes the human capital in terms of health condition
and well-being, with a special focus on the workforce. The 2006 Community
Strategic Guidelines on Cohesion (Official Journal of the European Union,
2006) underline that a healthy workforce is a key factor in increasing labour
market participation and productivity and enhancing competitiveness at
national and regional level. Good health conditions of the population lead to
longer working life, higher productivity and lower healthcare and social
costs.
Table 7-4 provides the list of selected indicators. Indicators infant mortality,
cancer death and heart disease death rates are meant to describe the
outcomes of the health system. Road fatalities and Suicide rates refer to
aspects of the population well-being from a more social point of view. The
intention is to measure the health system effectiveness with respect to the
population health and well-being rather than to the level of inputs. Many
aspects, not strictly dependent directly upon the health system, may affect
the indicators included in the pillar such as food and/or smoking habits,
population density, quality and safety of roads, etc. The pillar aims to
describe a wider concept: the competitiveness of the workforce in terms of
healthy living conditions.
15
Map 5: Regional Competitiveness - Basic pillars part two
16
system across EU Member States. Low scores can be taken as an indication
for inadequate preparation for the challenges of the knowledge society and a
lower potential in terms of human capital. The selected indicators are listed
in Table 7-5.
The three efficiency pillars are calculated at the regional level and the scores
are shown in Map 6.
Variables traditionally used for measuring educational quality are the level
of educational attainment of the population, the number of years of schooling
of the labour force or the literacy rates (Psacharopoulous, 1984).
Participation in education throughout one’s life is also deemed essential for
the continuous upgrade of the skills and competencies of workers in order to
assist them in handling the challenges of continuously evolving technologies.
This pillar attempts to capture all these aspects with relevant indicators at the
regional level (see Table 7-6 for the list of indicators).
17
competitiveness. High labour productivity attracts economic activity and
increases competitiveness. All these aspects have been captured by the
indicators selected for this pillar (see Table 7-7).
The pillar describes the level of regional economic welfare and the size of
the market available to firms. Larger markets allow firms to develop and
benefit from economies of scale and encourage entrepreneurship and
innovation.
All the regions in the EU are part of its single market which upholds freedom
of movement to goods, capital and people (albeit with limited temporary
restrictions on the mobility of residents of the countries who joined the
Union in 2004 and 2007). As a result, one could argue that market size is the
same for all EU regions.
18
The access to this single market, however, is likely to differ in terms of costs
in time and money. For example, the access to the rest of the EU is not the
same in Norrbotten in Northern Sweden as it is in Bavaria or Slovenia. This
paper takes into account the differential access costs to the single market
through two measures of potential access to GDP and population. Both
measures take into account the distances at which population and GDP are
located from the region. Values are inverse distance weighted, meaning the
further the distance the lower the weight (Map 7).
Map 7: Potential market size, expressed in GDP (left) and population (right)
19
situated within the same or another country. The included indicators are
shown in Table 7-8.
This pillar captures the regional market, proxied by GDP, as well as the
potential market, unconstrained to the administrative borders of a region and
taking into account the distance to the rest of the market.
The three innovation pillars are (mostly) calculated at the regional level. The
scores are shown in Map 8.
This pillar measures the level at which households and enterprises use
technology. Information and communication technologies (ICT) have
profoundly changed the organisational structure of firms, facilitating the
adoption of new and more efficient work practices and lifestyles, improving
productivity and speeding-up commercial processes. Hence, the use of ICT
has become an essential element of competitiveness. The way employees
within firms are able to use new technologies depends upon the way in
which technologies have penetrated their everyday life. The converse is true
as well. We capture these interlinked aspects by concentrating on the use of
ICT by households as a proxy for the level of penetration of technologies in
the population and by looking at the levels at which ICT has been
incorporated in enterprises. Table 7-9 lists the indicators included in the
pillar which is divided into two components (sub-pillars): the use of
technology by households - private use - and by enterprises - business use.
Due to the data characteristics, the sub-pillar related to households is
measured at the regional level, while the enterprise sub-pillar is measured at
the country level, due to missing data at the regional level. The overall pillar
score is computed as a simple average of the two sub-scores, assigning the
same country enterprise-score to all regions within the country.
20
Map 8: Regional Competitiveness Index - Innovation pillars
Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) can be very beneficial for the economic
performance of countries and regions as they contribute to enhancing the
capital and technological endowment of the host country or region (Barba
Navaretti and Venables, 2004). Geographical proximity and
interconnectedness among firms and suppliers lead to different types of
spillover, productivity and efficiency, but most importantly knowledge
spillover due to the higher concentration of specialised human capital.
21
According to Porter (1998), regional clusters could lead to higher
competitiveness for firms thank to increased productivity, higher innovation
rate and availability of specialised resources. This point of view, however,
has been much debated, especially in relation to competitiveness.
This index takes a rather cautious approach to cluster theory. It includes only
one indicator that measures the presence of clusters in a region. We argue
that, on average, the presence of a cluster strengthens the competitiveness of
a regional economy, especially through external economies of scale and
knowledge spillovers.
Nevertheless, not all clusters are strong and some may be specialised in a
declining sector. Therefore, the incorporation of one such indicator should
not be misunderstood as supporting arguments such as (1) the only way to
competitiveness is through clusters, (2) existing clusters should be supported
by public funds or (3) public policies should promote the creation of clusters.
On the contrary, the approach taken here is that of a dynamic comparative
advantage approach (Martin 2011). This approach is dynamic because the
sources of comparative advantages can change over time and depend on the
level of development of the region. It includes clusters as one potential
source of comparative advantage, but also includes many others.
2
http://www.clusterobservatory.eu
22
Table 7-10.
2.4.3. Innovation
As Schwab and Porter (2007) point out, innovation is especially relevant for
developed economies. They need to be at the forefront of new technologies,
produce cutting-edge products and processes in order to maintain their
competitive advantage. This requires an environment which is conducive to
creating relationships between firms and the science infrastructure,
producers and users of innovation and between firms and the wider
institutional environment (Cantwell, 2006).
The RCI is closely correlated with GDP per head (2007), an indicator which is not
directly included in the index (see Figure 1). The strong correlation confirms that the
index, even if defined on a much broader set of measures, captures the main level of
development. Regions in different stages of development are marked differently in Figure
1. Also in each of the three groups, higher values of RCI are associated with higher
values of GDP per head. The RCI of intermediate regions fall clearly between those of
the medium and high developed regions and there is considerably overlap, i.e. regions
with the same score can be found in all three groups. The overlap between the RCI in the
medium and the high stage is far more limited. Only a few of the highest scoring medium
developed regions score better than the worst performing highly developed region.
23
Figure 1: Relation of RCI with GDP per head (reference year for GDP: 2007).
Different markers correspond to different stages of development of the regions
(circle=’medium’; square=’ intermediate’; cross=’ high’).
The maps of the three sub-indices (Map 2) show least heterogeneity in the basic pillar
and most in the innovation pillar. The reason for the homogeneity of the basic pillar is
twofold: first, three out of five pillars in the basic group are measured at the country
level; second, as the pillars describe basic aspects, a certain level of homogeneity across
EU is expected. The diversity in the innovation pillar group suggests substantial
difference in the sophistication of regional economies across and within countries.
In Table 3-1 the ten most competitive EU regions are listed. They are the three Dutch
provinces that cover the Randstad (Utrecht, Noord- and Zuid-Holland), Hovedstaden
which includes Copenhagen, London, Stockholm, Etel-Suomi which includes Helsinki,
Ile de France which includes Paris, Noord-Brabant and the UK region Berkshire, Bucks
and Oxfordshire.
24
Table 3-1: Best ten regions as classified by RCI
The capital region has the highest RCI than surrounding regions in their country for all
but three countries (Germany, Italy and the Netherlands) (see Figure 2). In the
Netherlands, the capital region has the second highest RCI and in Italy it has the third
highest. Only Berlin is outperformed by many other German regions, but then Berlin has
only recently become the capital of Germany again.
Figure 2: RCI for each country, capital region and other regions, 2010
1.5
0.9
0.6
Regional Competitiveness Index, EU = 0
0.3
0.0
-0.3
-0.6
-0.9
▲ Capital region
-1.2
• Non-capital region
▬ Country average
-1.5
-1.8
1
NL 2
DK FI3 4
LU 5 UK
SE 6 7
BE 8
DE IE9 10
AT 11
FR 12
SI 13
EE 14
ES 15
CZ 16 CY
IT 17 18 PL
PT 19 SK
20 LT
21 HU
22 23 EL
LV 24 MT
25 26 RO
BG 27
25
In some countries the gap between the capital region and other regions is wide. The RCI
of the capital regions at least half a z-score higher (i.e. half a standard deviation or more)
than the second best region in nine countries. The gap is bigger than 0.7 in Romania
(0.8), the Czech Republic (0.78) and Slovakia (0.73). Also in France, this gap is large
(0.65) and this issue is known as 'Paris et le desert français' (Paris and the French
desert). A big gap between the capital region and other regions could lead to high
pressure on the capital region and an underutilisation of resources in other regions.
In many countries, regions with a large city seem to perform better than other regions.
For example, regions including Barcelona, Lyon, Milan, Munich, Hamburg, Utrecht,
Rotterdam all score (much) better than the other regions in the country. This is all the
more striking as, unlike the WEF GCI, the RCI does not include an indicator on the
presence of a large city.
The gap between the capital region and the second best region in the UK, Poland and
Belgium is relatively small. However, a small gap between the capital region and other
regions does not mean that the entire country performs well. For example, Belgium has
highly heterogeneous RCI scores (see Figure 3).
Figure 3 shows the regional heterogeneity for each EU country (except for six countries
where the NUTS 2 level coincides with the country level). The within country variability
is computed by the absolute distance from the median. This kind of variability measure is
less sensitive to the presence of outliers as it is based on the median, which is a robust
estimator of the central location of a distribution. The variability index reveals substantial
differences in competitiveness within some countries. For example Belgium, Sweden,
Spain, France, Portugal and Slovakia all have high heterogeneity with variation well
above the EU average. This underlines the fact that competitiveness has a strong regional
dimension, which national level analysis does not capture.
26
Slovakia
Portugal
France
Spain
Sweden
Belgium
Italy
Finland
Ireland
United Kingdom
Netherlands
Greece
Hungary
Czech Republic
Romania EU average = 7.90
Germany
Bulgaria
Poland
Austria
Denmark
Slovenia
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
4. CONCLUSION
The RCI is the first measure providing a European perspective on the competitiveness of
all NUTS 2 regions in the EU. It refers to the most recent data available, most of the
indicators spanning the period 2007-2009. Through its eleven pillars, it assesses not only
aggregate competitiveness, but also the strength and weaknesses of a region on the main
dimensions relevant for competitiveness.
In many countries the capital region is far more competitive than the other regions in the
same country and many countries have highly heterogeneous RCI scores. The gaps and
variation in regional competitiveness should give rise to a debate to what extent these
gaps are harmful for their national competitiveness and to what extent the internal
variation can be remediated. The internal variation and heterogeneity also underlines the
inevitable limits of a national level analysis. In Italy, for example, only two regions have
a score similar to the national one. Most Italian regions score either much better or much
worse.
The so-called blue banana (Brunet 1989), which linked the region of greater London all
the way to Lombardy passing through the Benelux countries and Bavaria does not appear
on the RCI map (Map 3). On the contrary, the RCI shows a more polycentric pattern
27
with strong capital and metropolitan regions in many parts of Europe. Some capital
regions are surrounded by similarly competitive regions, but in many countries the
regions neighbouring the capital are far less competitive. A key question for the future is
whether good performance of these capital and metropolitan region will help to lift
neighbouring regions through spillovers or whether the gap between them and the other
regions will grow.
Much of the debate around the use of composite indicators for measuring regional
competitiveness has concentrated on the implications of creating league tables and the
danger of stigmatizing lagging regions while not taking into account the broader picture
(for example, Bristow (2005)). The RCI takes a wider approach to competitiveness
looking at a number of relevant dimensions not strictly related to firm productivity but
also to societal well-being and long term potential. In doing so, it departs from traditional
discourses which retain that regional economic performance derives only from firms’
competitiveness and reflects the current debate on the fact that prosperity should not only
be measured by GDP but should include other aspects such as health and human capital
development, in agreement with the Stilglitz, Sen Fitoussi report (Stiglitz et al., 2009)
and the European Union Beyond GDP process (EC 2009).
The use of different weighting scheme dependent upon the stage of development of
regions takes into account the intrinsic heterogeneity of regions across the EU and offers
a more ’fair’ basis for comparison of results. It also offers a guide for policy making. For
example, the competitiveness of medium developed regions is likely to benefit more from
improving institutions and basic education than from trying to increase the number of
patent applications or R&D expenditure. In addition, the transparent and straightforward
weighting of the three main groups of pillars according to the level of development
allows a region to see what the impact would be of moving to the next stage of
development.
The RCI may help European, national and regional policy makers to assess which of the
pillars are the strongest assets of a region and which are in need of improvement. It
allows a region to compare itself to all other EU regions, to find regions with a similar
level of competitiveness and to identify regions it could learn from. Regions on the cusp
of moving from medium to intermediate or from intermediate to high would do well by
analysing and improving their innovative capacity. The three innovation pillars provide a
clear indication on which fronts their performance may be lagging behind.
Regional development strategies could make use of RCI to inform regional development
policy priorities. The future of the RCI project is to further refine the index which will be
updated every two years starting form the 2010 release.
5. METHODOLOGICAL ANNEX
28
the underlying phenomenon remains intrinsically multidimensional. It is a combination of
a large set of indicators which are observed, statistically treated, weighted and finally
aggregated.
The RCI is therefore the result of a long list of subjective choices. The heated debate
within the scientific community about the pitfalls of summarizing into a single index a
multi-dimensional concept – see for example the Stiglitz’s Commission Report (Stiglitz
et al, 2009) – is not addressed here. The goal of the research is to provide a measure of
the regional level of competitiveness by following two interconnected principles:
simplicity and transparency. Simplicity is driven by the general necessity of the
composite to be easily understood by non-technical audience - policy makers,
stakeholders, citizens. But simplicity did not prevail on technical soundness: appropriate
statistical analyses drove the construction of the RCI.
Statistical assessment of the RCI is carried out with a twofold intention: 1. to assess the
quality of each indicator selected to populate the RCI framework. This includes the
treatment of missing values and outliers (univariate analysis); 2. to verify whether the set
of indicators within each dimension is jointly consistent (multivariate analysis).
Univariate analysis is carried out separately for each indicator. Indicators eventually
included in the framework have been chosen to have a missing data limit of about 10-
15%. In some cases, missing data have been imputed using either NUTS 1 values, when
available, or a specific imputation method based on simple statistical estimates which use
available data.
Internal data consistency within each pillar is verified by Principal Component Analysis
– PCA, a multivariate explorative technique (Morrison, 2005). Among multivariate
methods, PCA is particularly suitable for statistically summarizing the data in a
parsimonious way. It is in fact a dimensionality reduction technique which is designed to
capture all relevant information into a small number of transformed dimensions.
29
The usefulness of PCA in composite developing is easy to understand: each dimension in
a composite is designed to describe a particular aspect of the latent phenomenon to be
measured (the level of competitiveness in this case). As these aspects are not directly
observable, they are measured by a set of observable indicators which, by definition, are
related to the aspect they are supposed to describe and, consequently, to each other. In an
ideal situation, each dimension should show a unique most relevant PCA component
accounting for a large amount of variability associated to the full set of indicators. Plus,
all the indicators should contribute roughly to the same extent and direction to the most
relevant component.
PCA is applied to check for internal consistency of each RCI dimension. This allowed for
detecting non-influencing indicators or indicators describing something else or something
more than they were supposed to. Multivariate analysis helped us in refining the RCI
framework. In the revised framework almost all the pillars show a clear unique
underlying dimension with a well-balanced contribution of each indicator within each
pillar. As Hagerty and Land (2007) showed and Michalos (2011) recently reasserted, '…
the agreements and disagreements about weights assigned to objective indicators will be
largely overwhelmed by the correlations among indicators and much rarer than expected
except in some relatively extraordinary circumstances' (from Michalos, 2011, p. 127).
Assessing the level of correlation among indicators within each dimension has a special
meaning as the higher the correlation the lower the effect of different weighting scheme
on the final index.
The first step consists in computing the scores for each RCI dimension as simple
arithmetic average of the transformed and normalised indicators which passed the ‘PCA
test’. Note that the fact that PCA analysis shows a distinct, single dimension described
almost equally by all the indicators supports the simple choice of equal weighting within
each dimension. By construction PCA components are indeed linear combinations of
standardised variables with weights proportional to their correlation with PCA
components. In case of strong correlation across indicators, PCA scores are a proxy of
equal weighting scores. The higher the correlation the higher the closeness of the two
approaches. It is important to remark that RCI is not based on PCA weights. The
derivation of weights through principal component or other latent variable models is
neither straightforward nor transparent. Pure statistical approaches may lead to
inappropriate normative results as for example the assignment of negative weights to
some dimensions (Decancq and Lugo, 2009).
High correlation within each pillar also reduces the possibility of compensability across
indicators, where compensability is understood as the undesirable offsetting of low scores
in some indicators with high scores in others.
30
The second step consists in computing the scores for the three groups of dimensions -
basic, efficiency and innovation - as arithmetic means of the dimension scores. For each
region i the sub-scores associated to the dimension groups are:
1 5
RCI basic (i ) = ∑ score(i, j )
5 j =1
1 8
RCIefficiency (i ) = ∑ score(i, j )
3 j =6
1 11
RCIinnovation (i ) = ∑ score(i, j )
3 j =9
where score(i,j) is the score assigned to region i for dimension j, j = 1, …11 (dimensions
are numbered in the same order as presented in the main body of the paper3).The simple
choice of arithmetic mean when aggregating dimensions in the same group is driven by
the need of keeping the index simple. It gives room for possible compensability effects
between dimensions within each group. The extent of these effects has been quantified by
means of an OWA analysis, as detailed in Section 5.3. The analysis shows that the RCI
score is affected by compensability within pillar groups for only a small percentage of
regions (6%).
In the last step the RCI score is computed as weighted average of the three sub-scores:
As discussed in the main body of the paper, the set of weights {wbasic , wefficiency , winnovation } is
chosen according to the development stage of the region allowing for an increasing
relevance of innovative dimensions as the capability of the region increases (in terms of
GDP per head). This basically means that a low score on the innovative sub-score counts
more for high developed regions than for low developed ones (Table 5-1).
Figure 4 displays a sketch of the aggregating and weighting scheme of the RCI.
3
Specifically, j=1 indicates the dimension Institutions, j=2 indicates the dimension Macroeconomic
stability, …, j=11 indicates the dimension Innovation.
31
Table 5-1: Weighting scheme of the RCI dimension groups
Regional
Competitiveness
Index - RCI
winnovation
The robustness assessment of the RCI follows these two major steps (refer to Annoni and
Kozovska, 2010 for the complete analysis):
uncertainty analysis to assess the impact of varying the threshold for the
definition of the development stage of the regions as well as the set of weights
32
assigned to the sub-indices (Saisana et al., 2005 , OECD, 2008; Saltelli et al.,
2008);
evaluation of compensability effects within each group of dimensions.
Uncertainty analysis
The uncertainty analysis of the RCI includes the second threshold for the definition of the
development stage as one of the uncertain factors. It is assumed to uniformly varying in
the interval [95,105], reference value 100 (GDP percentage with respect to EU average).
Unlike the first threshold, which is defined by the EU Convergence objective, this
threshold is not linked to any normative and is tested by the analysis.
Other uncertain factors included in the analysis are the set of weights
{wbasic , wefficiency , winnovation } differentially assigned to the regions on the basis of their
development stage. The choice of the range of uncertainty of the weights is driven by two
requirements: ensuring a wide enough range of uncertainty, while not interfering with the
rationale of the composite weighting scheme, needed to account for the intrinsic
differences among regions. Balancing these contrasting needs, a set of uncertain intervals
are defined as shown in Table 5-2. Values are sampled from Uniform distributions4.
4
The Monte Carlo experiment has been adapted to take into account the constraint on the sum of weights.
33
The Monte Carlo experiment consists of 1200 runs, each corresponding to a different
random combination of uncertain factors (threshold and weights). For each run the
difference between the reference rank, with all the values set at the reference value, and
the modified rank is computed for all the regions. The distribution of the shift in ranks is
shown in Figure 5. In more than 80% of the runs the maximum shift in rank is of 5
positions (out of about 270). Overall, the RCI proved to be robust with only a very small
fraction of regions with 'volatile' ranks.
Compensability effects
RCI has the mathematical form of stepwise linear aggregations. It intrinsically entails
compensability at all its computational levels: from the micro level of dimensions to the
macro level of dimension groups. The multidimensional analysis helped in reducing this
effect within each dimension, as discussed shortly above. Still compensability is expected
to be present when aggregating across dimensions within each dimension group.
RCI is thus affected by compensability, but to what extent? Various approaches may be
used to assess the level of compensability of composite indicators. The approach is here
to provide a summary analysis of compensability effects by means of the Ordered
Weighted Averaging - OWA, originally proposed by Yager (Yager, 1988 and 1996). The
OWA method consists of a family of operators which, for any given unit (country,
region, individual), map a set of k real values, indicators observed for that object, into a
single weighted index:
k k
f OWA ( x1 , x 2 ,..., x k ) = ∑ wi x( i ) wi ∈ [0,1] ∑w i =1
i =1 i =1
where x(i) is the i-th largest xi, that is {x (1) , x( 2 ) ,....., x( k ) } is the series of xi reordered in
descending order. Operators fOWA are not weighted averages since the set of weights
depends only on the i-th ordered position without considering the original values of
indicators. The interesting feature of OWA operators is that they embed many different
types of aggregations depending on the set of weights wi. A number of special cases can
be defined for the OWA operators. Among these, the following three have a special role:
1. ‘or’ operator; 2. ‘and’ operator; 3. average operator.
The set of weights in the ‘or’ operator is defined as {1, 0,..., 0} . This operator assigns to
unit i the highest scored value so that the fulfilment of at least one criterion is enough for
the unit to perform well. The ‘and’ operator stays at the opposite side and includes
{0, 0,...,1} as set of weights. It assigns unit i the lowest score implying no compensation
at all across indicators. A good performer according to the ‘and’ operator has to be good
in all the indicators. In this sense the ‘and’ operator is more demanding.
In most cases the operator lies between these two extremes, as the simple arithmetic
⎧1 1 1⎫
mean which is an OWA operator with weights ⎨ , ,..., ⎬ .
⎩k k k⎭
34
In RCI case two scenarios are computed within each dimension group: for each region
RCI_basic, RCI_efficiency and RCI_innovation are computed using ‘or’ and ‘and’
operators. Then the set of weights {wbasic , wefficiency , winnovation } , depending on the region
development stage, is then used for the final score computation (as in the reference case).
Figure 6 compares the reference RCI value to the scores obtained by the ‘or’ (upper line)
and the ‘and’ operators (lower line) for each region. As expected, the scores from ‘or’
operator are always higher than the reference score while the scores from the ‘and’
operator are always lower then the reference. The difference between the ‘or’ and the
‘and’ score gives an indication of the extent of compensability effects of each region.
Regions with very low ‘and’ scores are also those with very high ‘or’ scores. Their wide
range of variability, associated to the different OWA operators, indicates high levels of
heterogeneity of scores across each dimension group, so that a change in the weighting
scheme highly affects their final score. The analysis shows that about 15 regions, which
represent about 6% of all EU regions, have high range of variation (these regions are
highlighted in Figure 6).
Figure 6 also shows that low performing regions (at the right hand side of the picture) are
more affected by compensability than the others, since the distance between the average
trend of the ‘or’ and ‘and’ lines tends to increase going from left to right. This means that
good performers are more likely to score uniformly across dimensions than bad
performers.
Taking into account the two OWA operators lie at the extreme ends of the aggregation
decision-making process, compensability can be considered as influencing in the RCI
case only moderately.
35
Figure 5: Uncertainty analysis: rank difference histogram
36
3
0
FI18
FI19
-1
FI13
FI1A
SE33 SE32 UKM6 EE00
-2
BG41
MT00
FI20
FR92
-3 FR94
FR91
FR93
-4
ITD5
ITD3
ITE2
ITD1
ITF4
FI18
FI19
AT31
UKM3
SI01
PT18
NL31
DE21
NL42
NL21
SE23
LU00
CZ01
DE25
UKH3
ES30
UKF1
UKL2
BE22
DEA4
UKK4
SE21
DE24
UKC2
FR52
UKN0
FR51
UKC1
BE35
UKD1
ES22
FR43
CZ06
CZ05
PL21
ES41
ES62
PL63
ES42
LV00
ES43
HU33
HU23
GR24
FR94
FR91
BG33
RO22
GR41
reference RCI 'and' OWA operator 'or' OWA operator
Figure 6: Analysis of compensability effects – comparison of RCI score by different OWA operators.
Regions are reordered on the basis of the RCI reference score
Acknowledgements
Authors are particularly grateful to Andrea Saltelli, Head of the Unit of Econometrics and
Applied Statistics of the Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen - Joint
Research Center, for useful comments and suggestions.
37
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41
7. APPENDIX
42
Table 7-2: Indicators included in the pillar Macroeconomic stability
43
Table 7-4: Indicators included in the pillar Health
44
Table 7-5: Indicators included in the pillar Quality of primary and secondary education
45
Table 7-6: Indicators included in the pillar Higher education and training and lifelong learning
46
Table 7-7: Indicators included in the pillar Labor market efficiency
47
Table 7-8: Indicators included in the pillar Market size
48
Table 7-9: Indicators included in the pillar Technological readiness
49
Table 7-10: Indicators included in the pillar Business sophistication,
50
Table 7-11: Indicators included in the pillar Innovation
51