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http://dx.doi.org/10.1680/jtran.16.00031
Operational readiness for climate change Paper 1600031
Received 02/02/2016 Accepted 05/07/2016
of Malaysia high-speed rail
Keywords: infrastructure planning/rail track design/
Binti Sa’adin, Kaewunruen and Jaroszweski railway systems
Operational readiness
for climate change of
Malaysia high-speed rail
Sazrul Leena Binti Sa’adin BEng, MSc David Jaroszweski BSc, MSc, PhD
Civil Engineer, Public Work Department of Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur, Research Fellow, Birmingham Centre for Railway Research and Education,
Malaysia The University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
Sakdirat Kaewunruen BE, MEng, PhD, MBA, MIEAust, CPEng,
NER, RPEQ, FHEA
Senior Lecturer in Railway and Civil Engineering, Birmingham Centre for
Railway Research and Education, The University of Birmingham,
Birmingham, UK (corresponding author: s.kaewunruen@bham.ac.uk)
The Paris Agreement of December 2015 signifies global unity to limit global warming to well below 2°C (above
pre-industrial levels) and to pursue efforts to limit the increase to 1·5°C. The global community now agrees that
anthropogenic climate change is unequivocal. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the
global average combined land and surface temperature has increased by 0·78°C. Although the magnitude of change
in mean temperatures is relatively small, attendant extreme weather events have been shown to have increased in
frequency, and are projected to increase in the future. The potential impacts of climate change on railway
infrastructure and operations have not been fully assessed in the literature. The projected urban growth in Kuala
Lumpur and Singapore has led to the necessity to establish a high-speed rail (HSR) system between the two.
However, the existing railway network in the region has been significantly affected by severe weather conditions
such as rainfall, lightning, wind and very high temperatures. This research addresses a knowledge gap regarding the
potential impacts of climate change on future rail projects in the region, and points out the vulnerabilities that may
lead to impaired operations and system failures. These insights are intended to inform the holistic consideration of
climate change impacts in the design stage of HSR systems in Malaysia and beyond.
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Transport Operational readiness for climate change
of Malaysia high-speed rail
Binti Sa’adin, Kaewunruen and Jaroszweski
due to slower speeds when approaching stations. The con- such as topography, geology and climate. This study aims
ceptual alignment has been developed by SPAD as shown to assess the vulnerability of the planned infrastructure and the
in Figure 1. However, the detailed alignments remain con- potential ramifications of this for climate adaptation strategies
fidential at the time of writing. The HSR will have a dedicated (Pachauri and Meyer, 2014). In the course of this study, a
line, which is proposed to be double track on a standard critical review of the relevant literature has been carried out.
gauge. The HSR project is expected to impact the way of life Data for the Malaysian HSR are derived from SPAD, with
for Malaysians and Singaporeans in terms of society, politics weather data being supplied by the Malaysian Meteorological
and the economy. According to SPAD, the main objective Department. These are used to examine how projected climate
of the HSR project is to reduce travel time between change, alongside the stated operational requirements, may
Kuala Lumpur and Singapore to 90 min, which will in turn affect the design of the infrastructure. Potential actions to miti-
strengthen the link between two of South-east Asia’s most gate climate-related risks are then evaluated.
vibrant and fast-growing economic engines. The proposed
journey time compares to the current journey time of 5–6 h 2. Local climate and geography
by road or 8 h by conventional train. Although the travel As illustrated in Figure 3, Malaysia is divided into two main
time between the two cities by plane is approximately 90 min, regions: peninsular Malaysia and east Malaysia, which are sep-
total journey time (including security and boarding) is closer arated by the South China Sea. The climate in Malaysia is
to 2·5 h. Figure 2 gives a summary of current and expected dominated by two monsoon regimes, namely the north-east
travel times for different modes of transport (UIC, 2011, 2015). and south-west monsoons. The north-east monsoon circulates
during the months of December, January and February, which
At this initial stage of planning, the opportunity exists is Malaysia’s wettest season and the period when most flooding
for HSR in Malaysia to include climate change impacts occurs. The south-west monsoon occurs between the months
and adaptation strategies in the detailed design stage of the of May and September, the driest period for the country as
proposed HSR system. The ultimate goal is to manage better a whole, often resulting in droughts. Being an equatorial
the weather and climate-related risks to the planned operations country, the average temperature throughout the year is con-
of the HSR system. These risks are determined by the stantly high (26°C) and the humidity is very high. Malaysia
HSR system design in conjunction with local conditions also has very high rainfall, totalling more than 2500 mm/year
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Transport Operational readiness for climate change
of Malaysia high-speed rail
Binti Sa’adin, Kaewunruen and Jaroszweski
Total journey
Mode of time
transport Kuala Lumpur Singapore
200 km N
(MMD, 2009). The Malaysian Metereological Department concentration of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere.
(MMD, 2009) reported that the climate of the earth is It is projected that in the next 50 years, Malaysia will experi-
warming, with the rise being due to the increasing ence higher temperatures, changing rainfall patterns, rising sea
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Transport Operational readiness for climate change
of Malaysia high-speed rail
Binti Sa’adin, Kaewunruen and Jaroszweski
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Transport Operational readiness for climate change
of Malaysia high-speed rail
Binti Sa’adin, Kaewunruen and Jaroszweski
North–South expressway
N
Proposed HSR KL–Singapore
40 km line
(a)
Quartenary Marine and continental deposits; clay, silt, sand, peat with minor gravel.
Basal of early Pleistocene age in Kuantan area.
Tertiary Isolated continental basin deposits of late Tertiary age, shale sandstone,
conglomerate and minor coal seams. Volcanics are in the Segamat area.
Triassic Interbedded sandstone, siltstone and shale; widespread volcanics, mainly tuffs
of rhyolitic to dacitic composition in Central Peninsular. Limestone is prominent
in the lower part of the succession. Conglomerate and chert are locally prominent.
Permian Phyllite, slate and shale with subordinate sandstone and schist. Prominent
development of limestone throughout the succession. Volcanics, mainly rhyolitic
to andesitic in composition, are widespread.
Carboniferous Phyllite, slate, shale and sandstone; argillaceous rock are commonly carbonaceous.
Locally prominent development of limestone. Volcanics of acid to intermediate
composition are locally present.
Devonian Phyllite, schist and slate; limestone and sandstone are locally prominent. Some
interbeds of conglomerate chert and rare volcanics.
Ordovician– Schist, phyllite slate and limestone. Minor interlocations of sandstone and volcanics.
Silurian
(b)
by topographical features, particularly the mountain and sea– September, and the winter north-east monsoon from
land configuration. Two monsoons dominate the Malaysia December to February. Tropical storms and depressions form
climate; the summer south-west monsoon from May to in the South China Sea and the Indian Ocean.
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Transport Operational readiness for climate change
of Malaysia high-speed rail
Binti Sa’adin, Kaewunruen and Jaroszweski
Drainage design must cater for ARI plus climate change projections
Platform level needs to cater for sea level rise and drainage design
countries. The countries that are badly affected by this haze are
change projections
Long
December–January–February.
Likely negative
High
High
High
the area is exposed to the South China Sea. Conversely, the west
Low
High
High
High
High
will experience more rainfall during April, and that the east
coast is also likely to see increased rainfall during this period.
Medium
impact
Safety
High
on railway infrastructure
Natural hazards due to extreme weather events have occurred
Increased flooding
Settlement
5.1 Floods
Increased rainfall
Increased rainfall
Climate impact
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Transport Operational readiness for climate change
of Malaysia high-speed rail
Binti Sa’adin, Kaewunruen and Jaroszweski
storms. The series of floods were unusual as the 2006 average Malaysia when designing the platform level for bridges
rainfall return period was 50 years, whereas 2007 was equival- (Ahmad Radzi and Ismail, 2013).
ent to a 100-year return period. Extreme localised weather
events are among the natural causes that triggered the flash 5.4 Heat
floods (Sani and Diya, 2014). Significant consequences from There are many impacts of hot and dry weather to railway
such severe floods were evident in the shutdown of transpor- infrastructure, the most obvious being the risk of track buckling.
tation, logistics and railway systems. The impacts caused The definition of buckling is a track deformation constituting a
shortages of medicines, food, clean water and consumables. reportable misalignment, which would render the line unfit for
the passage of trains at line speed and/or would necessitate
5.2 Landslide emergency remedial work to a running line under either a tem-
South-east Asia suffers more landslides compared to other porary speed restriction or closure of the line. Track buckling is
parts of the world owing to its climate and geography. extremely dangerous as it can cause catastrophic derailment of
According to the United Nations university (UNU, 2005), trains and disruption to operations. Figure 7 shows a Singapore-
among natural disasters, landslides are ranked seventh in terms bound train which was derailed on 26 January 2013 due to
of fatalities, after windstorms, floods, droughts, earthquakes, rail buckling (New Straits Times, 2013). The wagons landed on
volcanos and extreme temperatures. On average, 940 people their sides, trapping the crew and injuring five passengers. Train
annually were killed by landslides in the decade from 1993 to services in the southern part of Malaysia were disrupted for
2002. Most of these victims were from Asia. It is important to several days owing to the difficulties rescuers and maintenance
note that there are many factors that can trigger landslides, crews had in reaching the remote location of the incident.
including changes in slope geometry, changes in water level,
rainfall intensity and changes in loading. However, in 6. Infrastructure design requirements for
Malaysia, the major cause of landslides is high precipitation operational readiness to climate change
(Zakaria and Ahmad Jamalluddin Shaaban, 2007). As well as examining the impact of climate change on rail
operational readiness, it is important to ensure infrastructure
Figure 6 shows the impact of an extreme rainfall event. In the resilience to emerging risks from climate change (Harris and
case of rock falls and landslides, road vehicles can often swerve to Ramsey, 1994).
avoid the hazard. Trains do not have this option, and as a result
even a minor landslide can cause a derailment risk (Jaroszweski 6.1 Horizontal and vertical alignment
et al., 2015; Petley, 2012). It is important for the infrastructure SPAD has developed a baseline alignment for HSR Malaysia,
manager to design the slope and track embankment with the con- but the detailed alignment remains confidential at the time of
sideration of extreme rainfall due to climate change. writing. Thus, this paper will discuss the conceptual alignment
of the HSR line in Malaysia. According to the International
5.3 Sea level rise Union of Railways (UIC, 2011, 2015) the typical parameters
A rise in the sea level has the potential to affect the 100-year for new high-speed lines include the following measures.
return period flood level, which is usually the standard used in
& The maximum gradient (depending on geographic charac-
teristic and operating conditions) for dedicated passenger
traffic is 35 mm/40 mm per metre run subject to suitable
rolling stock.
& Track centre distances for 200 km/h and 300 km/h speeds
are 4 m and 4·5–5 m, respectively.
& Maximum cants are between 150 mm and 170 mm.
& Minimum curve radius is shown in Table 2.
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Transport Operational readiness for climate change
of Malaysia high-speed rail
Binti Sa’adin, Kaewunruen and Jaroszweski
Figure 7. KTM train derailed due to rail buckling near the Figure 8. The Batu Tiga KTM Komuter station during a flash
Kempas, Johor station in southern Malaysia flood
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Transport Operational readiness for climate change
of Malaysia high-speed rail
Binti Sa’adin, Kaewunruen and Jaroszweski
improvement methodologies have been proposed, including 6.3.2 Option 2: partial removal and replacement
the following. with surcharge
In contrast to option 1, only partial removal of soft material
(a) Cut slope: maximum height of cut slope is expected to be is carried out and replaced with sand and/or suitable earth
up to four benches with the height of each typical bench fill. If the water table is present, sand is used as replacement
at 5 m and gradient of 1(V):1·5(H). Each bench is material and placed 300 mm above the water table. A geo-
separated with a 2 m wide berm for maintenance access textile separator is placed along the base of the excavation
and berm drainage. For this typical configuration the to avoid mixing of replacement fill with the original soft
slope is stable and does not normally need stabilisation ground. The maximum depth of removal is about 3 m.
work. Turfing by hydroseeding is necessary to minimise
erosion. Surcharge, between 1 m and 1·5 m thick above the finished
(b) Fill slope: the fill slope is proposed to be constructed at road level, is required to accelerate the consolidation of the
1(V):2(H) gradient with a bench height of 5 m and berm remaining soft soils. This treatment is suitable for relatively low
width of 2 m. Based on plans provided by the Malaysian embankments and soft soils less than 5 m thick.
public works department (JKR), it is anticipated that the
maximum height of fill slope will be about 15 m. 6.3.3 Option 3: replacement with surcharge and
Fill materials shall be compacted to 90% of maximum high-strength geotextile reinforcement
dry density (MDD) based on modified Proctor This option is similar to option 2 but with the addition
compaction, except within 1 m of road subgrade where of high-strength geotextile reinforcement along the base of the
the fill shall be compacted to 95% of MDD. excavation to increase the factor of safety against slope stability
(c) Bridge foundations: it is very likely that piers and failure. In addition, surcharge as per option 1 is required to
abutments of the bridge will need to be supported on accelerate the consolidation of soft soil. This treatment is suit-
piles. The use of prestressed concrete spun piles enables able for a high embankment with relatively thick soft soil.
piling works to be completed in a short time and is
economical compared to bored piles or micro piles. If it
is found that spun piles are not suitable, this may be due 6.3.4 Option 4: surcharge and vertical wick drains
to the shallow bedrock or hard/very dense ground. In In this particular treatment, there is no removal and replace-
that case, bored piles or micro piles shall be used. ment. A geotextile separator is placed on the original ground
(d) Bridge approaches: bridge approaches will be designed (after clearing the ground) and followed by a sand blanket
to comply with settlement criteria as specified by the about 1 m thick. Vertical wick drains are installed at triangular
authority. If the existing ground is not capable of spacing of 1·0 m to 1·5 m centre to centre to accelerate the
supporting the fill approach, the ground shall be treated consolidation of soft soil. This treatment is suitable for
or the fill shall be supported on piles – that is, piled embankments on very thick, soft soil for which the consolida-
embankment. tion period will be long – that is, more than 12 months if only
(e) Vehicular box culvert (VBC) foundation: VBC can be the treatment with surcharge is adopted.
founded on the original ground if the ground is capable
of supporting the load imposed by the VBC, traffic and If necessary, geotextile reinforcements shall be placed along
fill above the VBC. Otherwise, the ground will need to be the base of the fill to increase the safety factor against slope
treated or the VBC will need to be supported on piles. failure (Milne et al., 2014).
Type, size, length, capacity and spacing of piles shall be
determined based on soil investigation data. 6.3.5 Option 5: stone column
( f ) Proposed ground treatments: for embankments over This is a method where columns of soft ground are replaced by
soft ground, the treatments described in the following compacted stone columns, forming stone/soil composite. The
subsections can be considered (options 1 to 6). The use stone columns act as vertical drains, accelerating the consolida-
of such treatment will be based on the merits and tion of soft ground which is compressed by fill load, strength-
demerits of each treatment. ening the soft soils against shear failure and reducing the
magnitude of settlement of the soft soils.
6.3.1 Option 1: total removal and replacement
In this treatment, the whole layer of soft soil is removed and Similar to the vertical wick drain, geotextile separators and a
replaced either with suitable earth or sand if the groundwater 1 m layer of sand blankets are required. Normal sizes of stone
table is present within the excavation. The sand is placed up to columns range from 600 mm to 1000 mm in diameter and are
300 mm higher than the groundwater table. Earth/sand can be installed at a spacing of 1·5–2 times the diameter of the
placed above the sand fill. No surcharge treatment is required columns. As the size of the columns is much greater than the
for this treatment as the compressible layer is removed. This vertical drain, the consolidation period is normally less than
treatment is suitable for soft ground less than 3 m thick. 3 months.
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Transport Operational readiness for climate change
of Malaysia high-speed rail
Binti Sa’adin, Kaewunruen and Jaroszweski
Option 1 (a) No stability and settlement (a) For shallow soft soil only
(total removal and replacement) problem (b) Disposal of unsuitable materials
(b) Easy construction
(c) Cost effective
(d) No surcharge required
Option 2 (a) Suitable for low embankment (a) Not suitable for high embankment and
(replacement with surcharge) and shallow, soft soil thick, soft soil
(b) Easy construction (b) Stability problem for high embankment
(c) Cost effective (c) Long surcharge period as limited
(d) No surcharge required surcharge thickness due to stability
problem
(d ) Disposal of unsuitable materials
Option 3 (a) Suitable for high embankment (a) Long surcharge period for high
(replacement with surcharge and and thick soft soil embankment and thick soft soil
high-tensile reinforcement) (b) Easy construction (b) Disposal of unsuitable materials
(c) Cost effective
Option 4 (a) Suitable for high embankment (a) Slightly more costly compared to option 3
(surcharge and vertical wick drains) and thick soft soil (b) Specialist contractor for vertical drain
(b) Faster surcharge period required
(c) Overcome stability problem with
high-tensile reinforcement
Option 5 (a) Short surcharging period (a) More costly compared to option 4
(stone column) (b) Less settlement (b) Specialist contractor for stone column
Option 6 (a) Can solve all geotechnical (a) More costly compared to option 5
(piled slab embankment) problems
(b) Easy construction
(c) No surcharge period
Option 7 (a) Suitable to replace high (a ) Most costly option
(elevated structure) embankment over swampy/thick,
soft soil
(b) Narrow right of way compared to
embankment option
As the consolidation period is shorter and settlement In civil engineering, the engineers can only be sure of the exact
magnitude is reduced, this method is suitable at bridge ground condition (especially deep below the ground) once the
approaches. tunnelling or excavation has started. Even though soil investi-
gations (such as taking a soil sample) and testing are performed,
these only act as a guide, and will never be fully accurate
6.3.6 Option 6: piled slab embankment
because underground conditions vary greatly with the amount
In this treatment, geotechnical problems such as settlement,
of water present. Malaysia’s major problem during construction
bearing capacity and slope stability can be solved/minimised.
is groundwater. A high proportion of the claims and litigation
The only disadvantage using this treatment is the cost. This
in construction contracts arise from groundwater problems.
treatment is proposed for embankments at bridge approaches
to overcome the differential settlement between a pile-founded
6.4 Structures and tunnelling
structure and a normal embankment.
Design structures such as viaducts and elevated structures
for railway tracks will eliminate the possibility of flooding to
6.3.6.1 MERITS AND DEMERITS OF EACH GROUND the HSR tracks in low-lying areas. According to the UK
TREATMENT OPTION Environment Agency (2009), pier scouring will be a risk to the
Table 3 shows the merits and demerits of each ground treat- UK based on the 2008 tidal Thames extreme water levels. This
ment option for comparison. analogy estimates that all tunnel portals are at risk of fluvial
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Transport Operational readiness for climate change
of Malaysia high-speed rail
Binti Sa’adin, Kaewunruen and Jaroszweski
1 Non-cohesive materials like gravel Drains well and normally makes good subgrades
and sand
2 Cohesive clays and slits Very low permeability due to the small pores between the particles. In this case
rainwater falling on the track needs to be collected in the ballast and channelled
to drains before it gets to the subgrade. If not, over the long term the track
settlement will begin to show itself
3 Organic peats and silts The most difficult subgrade to build on and should be designed by specialists. It has a
variety of textures, and will usually shrink if drained or if subjected to repeated
loading
4 Sedimentary rocks such as Often permeable by water and also contain springs and lenses or layers of other
sandstone or limestone materials. Provided suitable means of drainage, this subgrade material will offer
a satisfactory subgrade even if waterlogged
5 Igneous rocks such as granite Impermeable and are unlikely to give any problems to the subgrade
flooding against a best estimate peak flood level of a 1 in the HSR developer or policy-maker accept the failure of oper-
200-year return period ations once a year, or should they build to withstand a high
return period event? The answer will depend on many factors
6.5 Drainage including financial and economic viability, as well as the
One failure system that could paralyse the whole railway oper- climate projections for the given area.
ation is drainage. Weakness of drainage design often leads
to flooding. Usually the selection of rainfall intensity will be 6.6 Track structure and substructure
based on the return period or average recurrence interval (ARI) Continuous welded rail with continuous ballast is frequently
selection. Rainfall intensity is not a measure of how often it adopted by designers for most high-speed railway tracks. It is
rains; rather it is about heavy downpours that only occur once in important that the rail be designed to accommodate projected
100 years, for example. Normally rainfall intensity is measured changes in climate such as extremely hot weather to prevent
in millimetres per hour over a given duration. The heaviest rain- buckling occurring, as Malaysia will experience higher temp-
fall deluges are likely to be experienced for a short period. Most eratures in the future. Continuous ballasts are favoured as
rainfall intensity measurements use 5 min durations. The ARI they allow automated maintenance, meaning it is often
describes how often a particular rainfall event can be expected specified where there is a discontinuity in the track support,
to occur. The ARI is normally expressed in years. such as transitions on or off fixed structures or over structural
movement/expansion joints (Remennikov et al., 2012).
As discussed earlier, the heaviest rainfall will occur during However, according to Kwon and Park (2006), since the begin-
the monsoon season. As previously mentioned, there were two ning of the high-speed train operations in Korea in April 2001,
major events back to back in Johor in December 2006 and several unfavourable impacts have been observed on the oper-
January 2007. This area coincides with the planned route of ating ballast-track lines, including the flying ballast phenom-
the Malaysian HSR. The massive flood in Kota Tinggi Johor enon. This in turn caused damaged wheels, broken glass at
started when the north-east monsoon brought heavy rain stations and damaged acoustic screens. It has also been noted
through a series of continuous storms. As highlighted earlier, that the track design of HSR Malaysia could incorporate these
the series of floods were unusual as the 2006 average rainfall findings, as follows.
return period was 50 years and the return period of the 2007
event was 100 years. Localised extreme weather events are one & At wind velocities of 20 m/s, ballast laid on the wind
of the major natural causes that trigger flash floods (Harris tunnel will start to move and will completely blow out at
and Ramsey, 1994; Kwon and Park, 2006; Lane and Dora, a wind velocity between 25 m/s and 45 m/s. Furthermore,
2011). Thus, selection of ARI should accommodate climate for ballasts stacked between ties, at wind velocities of
change and should not be based just on historical data but only 33 m/s, flying ballast is observed.
also future projections of rainfall intensity. However, the cost & As the mass of ballast becomes smaller, the ballast starts to
will be excessive if a return period of 100 years is used as a move at lower wind velocities.
design standard. As such, the return period used in the design & Flatter ballast (high flakiness ratio) has a higher critical
of the HSR platform level should be well considered. Should wind velocity compared to rounded ballast.
11
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Transport Operational readiness for climate change
of Malaysia high-speed rail
Binti Sa’adin, Kaewunruen and Jaroszweski
& Higher ties or a lower ballast surface will prevent ballast Research Fellowship (long term) at the Railway Technical
flying. Research Institute and The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
& Countermeasures should be focused at the centre of the Financial support from the European Commission is gratefully
track because the strongest airflow is observed in this region. acknowledged for H2020-MSCA-RISE Project No. 691135
& The probability of ballast flying at a train speed of ‘RISEN: Rail infrastructure systems engineering network’,
350 km/h is about double that at 300 km/h. which enables a global research network that tackles the grand
challenge of railway infrastructure resilience and advanced
There is also a new form of railhead damage known as ballast sensing under extreme events.
pitting that often occurs on high-speed lines because of the
speed and energy of the vehicle, which is thought to generate an
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Remennikov AM and Kaewunruen S (2008) A review of loading editor at journals@ice.org.uk. Your contribution will be
conditions for railway track structures due to train and forwarded to the author(s) for a reply and, if considered
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