Professional Documents
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Contact details
CareTech Holdings PLC & Panmure Gordon (UK) Limited, Metropolitan House, 5th Floor, 3 Darkes Lane,
Potters Bar
Michael Hill
Knight Frank LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England with registered number OC305934.
Our registered office is 55 Baker Street, London, W1U 8AN where you may look at a list of members’ names.
Executive summary
The executive summary below is to be used in conjunction with the valuation report to which it forms part and is
subject to the assumptions, caveats and bases of valuation stated herein and should not be read in isolation.
Description The portfolio comprises the Cambian Group PLC portfolio of children’s homes, SEN
schools, other associated care facilities and vacant properties. The portfolio comprises the
following:
● 224 properties comprising:
● 153 freehold properties (152 owner occupied, one tenanted)
● 12 Long Leasehold properties
● 59 Leasehold properties
Valuation Fair Maintainable Trade set at stabilised level for each trading property
summary
The following Multiplier have been applied to arrive at the Market Values:
● Portfolio: 11.97x FMT EBITDA
Property Risks ● The Market Value of the properties as a Portfolio differs significantly from the value of
the properties if they were sold as individual assets.
Valuation Report │ Cambian Group PLC Portfolio │KF Ref: I:1061510 Page 3
Prepared on behalf of CareTech Holdings PLC & Panmure Gordon (UK) Limited │ Date of issue: 19 September 2018
Executive summary cont.
Valuation Report │ Cambian Group PLC Portfolio │KF Ref: I:1061510 Page 4
Prepared on behalf of CareTech Holdings PLC & Panmure Gordon (UK) Limited │ Date of issue: 19 September 2018
Contents
Executive summary 3
1 Instructions 6
Engagement of Knight Frank LLP 6
Scope of enquiries & investigations 9
Valuation bases 10
2 The Properties 11
Summary 11
Services 11
Legal title 12
Tenancies 12
Condition 12
Environmental considerations 13
Sustainability 14
Statutory Matters 15
3 Valuation 16
Methodology 16
Comparable evidence 19
Valuation considerations 19
Valuation bases 19
Valuation date 19
Market Value 19
Valuation Report │ Cambian Group PLC Portfolio │KF Ref: I:1061510 Page 5
Prepared on behalf of CareTech Holdings PLC & Panmure Gordon (UK) Limited │ Date of issue: 19 September 2018
1 Instructions
Valuation bases
1.25 In accordance with your instructions, we have provided opinions of value on the
following bases:-
Market Value 1.26 The properties have been valued to Market Value in accordance with the RICS
(MV) Valuation Professional Standards VPS4 paragraph 1.2, relevant provisions of the
Listing Rules and Prospectus Rules issued by the Financial Conduct Authority, Rule
29 of the City Code on Takeovers and Mergers and CESR’s recommendations for
the consistent implementation of the European Commission’s Regulation on
Prospectuses No 809/204 and EU-Directive 2003/71/EC. Market Value is defined
within the standards as:
“The estimated amount for which an asset or liability should exchange on the
valuation date between a willing buyer and a willing seller in an arm’s length
transaction after proper marketing and where the parties had each acted
knowledgeably, prudently and without compulsion.”
2 The Properties
Summary
2.1 The portfolio comprises properties predominantly consisting of children’s homes
(“RCH”) and SEN schools and education facilities (“SCH”). There are also a small
number of other properties including unregistered step down or supported living units
(“SL”), an independent hospital (“IH”), care homes for adults 18-65 (“CH”) and
properties which are closed. The property type split by tenure is set out in the table
below:
Services
2.2 In accordance with the General Terms of Business, no tests have been undertaken
on any of the services. We have assumed for the purposes of valuation that mains
services of gas, electricity and water are provided to the properties or that oil or
tanked gas supplies are in place. Furthermore, we have assumed that the properties
are connected to mains drainage or have operational private drainage systems in
place.
2.3 Our valuation assumes that the services provided are sufficient for the continued
operation of the businesses carried out at the properties. Should this not be the case
then the values reported herein may be adversely impacted.
2.4 We have assumed for the purpose of valuation that other services such as lifts, fire
alarms and ventilation systems are present where necessary, are in working order
and of sufficient quality to meet regulatory and statutory requirements.
Tenancies
Owner occupied 2.10 We are not aware of any staff occupation of the property and nor are we aware of
properties any occupancy restriction or similar limitation affecting the properties.
Lease 2.11 We have been provided with the tenancy information by the Client and have relied on
agreements that information being correct. No additional verification has been undertaken. We
have seen a copy of the occupational leases for 52 of the occupational leases but no
head leases.
NB 2.12 A number of leases are holding over and are therefore valued at Nil due to the lack of
continuing property interest. A number of missing leases are valued at Nil when
potentially they could be liabilities depending on the terms of the tenancy. Further
comment is made in section 4 following.
Condition
Scope of 2.13 We have not undertaken a building or site survey of the properties.
inspection
Comments 2.14 We have assumed that the properties are in sound order and free from structural
faults, rot, infestation or other defects, and that the services are in a satisfactory
condition.
Summary 2.15 Those properties inspected were in general in good or reasonable decorative
condition commensurate with their age and uses. A number of properties were in
excellent condition having been recently refurbished throughout.
Environmental considerations
Mining 2.18 A number of properties are situated in an area within which historic or current mining
is suspected. Our valuation assumes that these properties are not affected by such
mining, but, in the event that a mining survey (or equivalent) reveals an adverse
position, our valuation could be materially affected.
Flooding 2.19 We have used the website of the Environment Agency’s Indicative Floodplain Maps
to provide a general overview of lands in natural floodplains and therefore potentially
at “Risk of flooding from rivers or the sea”. The maps use the best information
currently available, based on historical flood records and geographical models. They
indicate where flooding from rivers, streams, watercourses or the sea is possible.
The website also indicates whether a property is in a location which benefits from
flood defences.
Contamination 2.20 Investigations into environmental matters would usually be commissioned from
suitably qualified environmental specialists. Knight Frank LLP is not qualified to
undertake scientific investigations of sites or buildings to establish the existence or
otherwise of any environmental contamination, nor do we undertake searches of
public archives to seek evidence of past activities which might identify potential for
contamination.
2.21 Subject to the above, while carrying out our valuation inspection, we have not been
made aware of any uses conducted at the subject property that would give cause for
concern as to possible environmental contamination. Our valuation is provided on
the assumption that the property is unaffected.
Radon 2.22 It is not possible in the course of our inspection/survey to determine whether radon
gas is present in any building, as the gas is colourless and odourless. Tests can be
carried out to assess the level of radon in a building and the minimum testing period
is three months. Where radon gas is discovered, it has been the experience of the
Health Protection Agency that it is not expensive, in proportion to the value of the
property, to effect the recommended remedial measures. We have therefore
disregarded this issue in terms of our valuation.
High voltage 2.23 There is high voltage electrical supply equipment close to a number of properties.
equipment The possible effects of electric and magnetic fields have been the subject of media
coverage, with the result that where there is high-voltage electrical supply equipment
close to the property, there is a risk that public perception may affect marketability
Sustainability
Sustainability 2.26 The issue of sustainability is becoming increasingly important to participants in the
property market. There is a general expectation that buildings that minimise
environmental impact through all parts of the building life cycle and focus on
improved health for their occupiers may retain value over a longer term than those
that do not.
2.27 The Government has set itself a target to reduce CO2 emissions by 80% by 2050.
With property representing around 50% of total emissions, the sector has become an
obvious target for legislation. It is likely that, as we move towards 2050, energy
efficiency legislation for property will become increasingly stringent.
EPCs 2.28 All properties within the UK require an Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) when
bought, sold, built or rented. An EPC measures the asset rating of a building in
relation to its energy performance.
2.29 The Energy Efficiency (Private Rented Property) (England and Wales) Regulations
2015, more commonly known as Minimum Energy Efficiency Standards (MEES),
introduces legislation which means that, with effect from 1 April 2018 commercial or
domestic premises which falls beneath an “F or G” energy efficiency rating, it will
become unlawful for them to be leased without energy efficiency improvements
having been made (subject to a number of exclusions and provisos). From 1 April
2023, these regulations will also apply to current leased premises as well as new
lettings (subject to a number of exclusions and provisos). Furthermore, it is
conceivable that the minimum energy efficiency rating could be increased to further
increase energy efficiency standards in property.
Statutory Matters
Sources of 2.32 We have been advised that there are no material planning applications outstanding
planning by Cambian. We have endeavoured to confirm this information with the relevant local
information authority via their websites.
2.33 These enquiries should not be taken as personal searches and information on the
relevant website is assumed to be both accurate and up to date. For a formal
planning enquiry to be made, the planning authority will require written representation
which has not been possible as part of our report.
Highways 2.34 We have not made enquiries of the relevant Highways Authority.
2.35 On the grant of planning permission there is a statutory period of 6 weeks within
which an “interested” party can apply, on a point of law only, for a Judicial Review of
the decision to grant permission.
2.36 We have assumed that there are no current highway proposals in the immediate
vicinity likely to have a detrimental effect upon the properties within the foreseeable
future. Furthermore unless otherwise informed we have assumed that all highways
bounding the property are adopted.
Access 2.37 In reporting our opinion of value, we have assumed that there are no third party
interests between the boundaries of the subject properties and the adopted highways
and that accordingly the properties have unfettered vehicular and pedestrian access.
Council Tax & 2.38 Children’s homes are liable for Council Tax and schools are liable for business rates.
Business Rates We have researched the relevant obligations of the properties and in all cases we
have assumed that the relevant liability has been met by the operator.
Registration 2.39 The portfolio comprises registered businesses. The regulatory bodies are
responsible as follows:
● Ofsted (England) (children and schools)
● CQC (England) (Adults 18-65)
● Care Inspectorate Wales
We have not been provided with copies of the registration certificates for each
property despite requesting but have had sight of these in the trading homes and
schools at inspection in most cases and have confirmed registration via the
information provided.
3 Valuation
Methodology
Trading 3.1 The trading properties have been valued having regard to trading potential assuming
Properties that they are well maintained and effectively managed, offer high standards of care
and meet the requirements of their registration where applicable.
Vacant 3.2 The closed down properties have been valued as vacant in their current physical
properties condition subject to existing use. These vary between properties which have been
mothballed and those that have been refurbished and are ready to trade.
Tenanted 3.3 There is a single property, Bellevue let to Golden Lane Housing Limited for a term of
property 60 months from 22 June 2018 at a rent of £1,950 per month. Whilst this is above the
rental value we would expect as a residential property (within use class C3), the
Tenant has a break option on the 3rd anniversary of the term. As a result, whilst we
have considered this in our valuation, we have not attributed a material value to this
income stream over and above the closed down value.
Linked 3.4 There are a number of properties which are linked, either physically or for accounting
properties purposes or by Title. Some these have been valued as one asset whilst others have
been valued separately but the valuation has considered the linked nature of the
assets and the values should be considered as apportionments of the whole.
Portfolio 3.13 We have made an allowance for a portfolio premium which we believe could be
premium achieved on a portfolio of this scale as at the date of valuation. A portfolio premium
reflects the attractiveness of a good quality portfolio of assets, also recognising
advantages of scale and the impact of the central costs necessarily incurred in their
operation. There are a limited number of platforms of this scale and quality in the
market and there are none currently available to purchase to the best of our
knowledge. However, a number of portfolios have transacted over the last 18
months including Keys Group, Witherslack and Kisimul. We would however caution
that these premiums are difficult to quantify precisely and can be transient so would
suggest that this premium should be considered carefully.
Profits Method 3.14 Our valuation has been undertaken using appropriate valuation methodology and our
professional judgement.
3.15 We have valued the trading properties by reference to the profits method as this is
the basis on which such properties are commonly bought or sold.
Comparative 3.16 In undertaking our valuation of the properties, we have made our assessment on the
method basis of a collation and analysis of appropriate comparable transactions, together
with evidence of demand within the vicinity of the subject property. With the benefit
of such transactions we have then applied these to the property, taking into account
size, location, aspect and other material factors.
Valuation considerations
Trading 3.18 The subject properties have been valued having regard to trading potential assuming
Properties that they are well maintained and effectively managed, offer high standards of care
and/or education and meet the requirements of their registration.
Portfolio 3.19 The portfolio premium has been applied. After the deduction for the head office
premium costs the portfolio YP multiplier attributed equates to 11.97x the FMT EBITDA of
£29.159 million.
Realistic 3.20 We are of the opinion that a realistic period of time in order to achieve our opinion of
Marketing and Market Value as a portfolio would be six to twelve months. This view is based on our
Exposure extensive experience of involvement in many of the major transactions in the portfolio
Periods market as well as acting as agents or valuers on individual transactions across the
sector and country.
Valuation bases
Market Value 3.21 Market Value is defined within RICS Valuation - Professional Standards as:
“The estimated amount for which an asset or liability should exchange on the
valuation date between a willing buyer and a willing seller in an arm’s length
transaction after proper marketing and where the parties had each acted
knowledgeably, prudently and without compulsion.”
Valuation date
Valuation date 3.22 The valuation date is 19 September 2018.
Market Value
Assumptions 3.23 Our valuation is necessarily based on a number of assumptions which have been
drawn to your attention in our General Terms of Business, Terms of Engagement
Letter and within this report.
Key 3.24 Whilst we have not provided a summary of all these assumptions here, we would in
assumptions particular draw your attention to a key assumption that:
Summary 3.26 A summary of the portfolio valuation is set out in the table below:
Portfolio Valuation
FMT Income £000s 179,098
Portfolio YP 11.97x
Portfolio MV £ 350,000,000
Apportionment 3.27 A summary of the apportionment of the portfolio value by tenure is set out in the table
by Tenure below. Please note this constitutes an informal apportionment only.
Leasehold 59 10,518,764
* A lease with an unexpired term of at least fifty years on which a nominal ground rent is payable
Material Values 3.28 As required under UK Appendix 7.1(m) of the RICS Standards we can confirm that
the Market Value of the portfolio contains three properties, all SEN schools, which
have an apportionment of value exceeding 5% of the total. These are set out below:
General comments
General 4.1 In this section of our report we summarise the property related risks which we have
comments identified as part of our valuation report and which we consider should be drawn to
your attention. This summary should not be taken to be exhaustive and must be
considered in conjunction with the remainder of the report. Nothing in this section
should be construed as being a recommendation of taking any particular course of
action.
Income risks
National Living 4.8 The NLW will see pay increased to £9 per hour by 2020. As a result the business will
Wage see wage inflation which could impact on trading potential in the event fee rates do
not increase to offset.
Sleep in care 4.9 Sleep in pay rates remain a contentious and unsettled issue. There remains the
rates potential for this to impact on trading potential across the sector.
Cashflow 4.10 We have relied upon the trading information provided to us by the Client and have
assumed the information to be accurate and reliable. Due to the importance that the
market attaches to trading figures actually achieved, we would comment that in the
event of a future change in the trading potential or actual level of trade from that
indicated by the figures supplied to us, the Market Value could vary. In arriving at
our figure of value, we have taken into account current market conditions. There
may be short term movement in value caused by various factors affecting the general
economy of the property market or care home business outlook.
4.11 This report is based upon our own investigations and such other sources as detailed
in the report, and with relation to cashflow, we make the assumption that the
business shall at all times be managed and operated by a competent and diligent
owner devoting all time and care to the affairs of the business. Although the trading
fortunes of the business may fluctuate our valuation assumes that the trading
position, financial and market situation prevailing at the date of the report shall not
vary during the period of assessment and that the nature, character, extent and
pricing structure of the business shall not materially alter, unless specifically stated to
the contrary in the report.
Valuation risks
Methodology 4.16 You need to be aware that the profits method requires the input of a large amount of
data, which are rarely absolute or precise, together with the making of a large
number of assumptions. Small changes in any of the inputs can cumulatively lead to
a large change in the site value. Some of the inputs can be assessed with
reasonable objectivity, but others require a high degree of professional judgement.