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Precios diarios

Cierre Retornos
de Cierre
1/2/2017 1,365
1/3/2017 1,375 0.73%
1/4/2017 1,395 1.44%
1/5/2017 1,410 1.07%
1/6/2017 1,390 -1.43%
1/10/2017 1,390 0.00%
1/11/2017 1,415 1.78%
1/12/2017 1,400 -1.07%
1/13/2017 1,400 0.00%
1/16/2017 1,400 0.00%
1/17/2017 1,395 -0.36%
1/18/2017 1,390 -0.36%
1/19/2017 1,395 0.36%
1/20/2017 1,390 -0.36%
1/23/2017 1,390 0.00%
1/24/2017 1,400 0.72%
1/25/2017 1,385 -1.08%
1/26/2017 1,390 0.36%
1/27/2017 1,390 0.00%
1/30/2017 1,370 -1.45%
1/31/2017 1,375 0.36%
2/1/2017 1,390 1.09%
2/2/2017 1,385 -0.36%
2/3/2017 1,385 0.00%
2/6/2017 1,370 -1.09%
2/7/2017 1,350 -1.47%
2/8/2017 1,355 0.37%
2/9/2017 1,355 0.00%
2/10/2017 1,375 1.47%
2/13/2017 1,370 -0.36%
2/14/2017 1,360 -0.73%
2/15/2017 1,360 0.00%
2/16/2017 1,360 0.00%
2/17/2017 1,345 -1.11%
2/20/2017 1,345 0.00%
2/22/2017 1,310 -2.64%
2/23/2017 1,330 1.52%
2/24/2017 1,315 -1.13%
2/27/2017 1,330 1.13%
2/28/2017 1,325 -0.38%
3/1/2017 1,310 -1.14%
3/2/2017 1,310 0.00%
3/3/2017 1,320 0.76%
3/6/2017 1,320 0.00%
3/7/2017 1,330 0.75%
3/8/2017 1,295 -2.67%
3/9/2017 1,300 0.39%
3/10/2017 1,315 1.15%
3/13/2017 1,315 0.00%
3/14/2017 1,290 -1.92%
3/15/2017 1,315 1.92%
3/16/2017 1,315 0.00%
3/17/2017 1,300 -1.15%
3/21/2017 1,325 1.90%
3/22/2017 1,320 -0.38%
3/23/2017 1,320 0.00%
3/24/2017 1,315 -0.38%
3/27/2017 1,305 -0.76%
3/28/2017 1,325 1.52%
3/29/2017 1,340 1.13%
3/30/2017 1,340 0.00%
3/31/2017 1,345 0.37%
4/3/2017 1,350 0.37%
4/4/2017 1,350 0.00%
4/5/2017 1,350 0.00%
4/6/2017 1,350 0.00%
4/7/2017 1,365 1.10%
4/10/2017 1,385 1.45%
4/11/2017 1,395 0.72%
4/12/2017 1,400 0.36%
4/17/2017 1,370 -2.17%
4/18/2017 1,375 0.36%
4/19/2017 1,375 0.00%
4/20/2017 1,375 0.00%
4/21/2017 1,365 -0.73%
4/24/2017 1,350 -1.10%
4/25/2017 1,360 0.74%
4/26/2017 1,375 1.10%
4/27/2017 1,345 -2.21%
4/28/2017 1,345 0.00%
5/3/2017 1,355 0.74%
5/4/2017 1,345 -0.74%
5/5/2017 1,360 1.11%
5/8/2017 1,385 1.82%
5/9/2017 1,375 -0.72%
5/10/2017 1,380 0.36%
5/11/2017 1,370 -0.73%
5/12/2017 1,450 5.68%
5/15/2017 1,480 2.05%
5/16/2017 1,450 -2.05%
5/17/2017 1,410 -2.80%
5/18/2017 1,415 0.35%
5/19/2017 1,435 1.40%
5/22/2017 1,425 -0.70%
5/23/2017 1,420 -0.35%
5/24/2017 1,405 -1.06%
5/25/2017 1,390 -1.07%
5/26/2017 1,395 0.36%
5/30/2017 1,370 -1.81%
5/31/2017 1,335 -2.59%
6/1/2017 1,345 0.75%
6/2/2017 1,325 -1.50%
6/5/2017 1,375 3.70%
6/6/2017 1,400 1.80%
6/7/2017 1,375 -1.80%
6/8/2017 1,350 -1.83%
6/9/2017 1,365 1.10%
6/12/2017 1,355 -0.74%
6/13/2017 1,365 0.74%
6/28/2017 1,340 -1.85%
6/29/2017 1,355 1.11%
6/30/2017 1,385 2.19%
7/4/2017 1,390 0.36%
7/5/2017 1,365 -1.81%
7/6/2017 1,380 1.09%
7/7/2017 1,355 -1.83%
7/10/2017 1,355 0.00%
7/11/2017 1,370 1.10%
7/12/2017 1,395 1.81%
7/13/2017 1,395 0.00%
7/14/2017 1,395 0.00%
7/17/2017 1,385 -0.72%
7/18/2017 1,380 -0.36%
7/19/2017 1,390 0.72%
7/21/2017 1,365 -1.81%
7/24/2017 1,370 0.37%
7/25/2017 1,395 1.81%
7/26/2017 1,380 -1.08%
7/27/2017 1,395 1.08%
7/28/2017 1,395 0.00%
7/31/2017 1,385 -0.72%
8/1/2017 1,365 -1.45%
8/2/2017 1,375 0.73%
8/3/2017 1,380 0.36%
8/4/2017 1,385 0.36%
8/8/2017 1,365 -1.45%
8/9/2017 1,390 1.81%
8/10/2017 1,375 -1.09%
8/11/2017 1,365 -0.73%
8/14/2017 1,365 0.00%
8/15/2017 1,355 -0.74%
8/16/2017 1,355 0.00%
8/17/2017 1,365 0.74%
8/18/2017 1,365 0.00%
8/22/2017 1,370 0.37%
8/23/2017 1,380 0.73%
8/24/2017 1,370 -0.73%
8/25/2017 1,360 -0.73%
8/28/2017 1,350 -0.74%
8/29/2017 1,355 0.37%
8/30/2017 1,345 -0.74%
8/31/2017 1,370 1.84%
9/1/2017 1,365 -0.37%
9/4/2017 1,370 0.37%
9/5/2017 1,370 0.00%
9/6/2017 1,380 0.73%
9/7/2017 1,370 -0.73%
9/8/2017 1,355 -1.10%
9/11/2017 1,355 0.00%
9/12/2017 1,350 -0.37%
9/13/2017 1,360 0.74%
9/14/2017 1,365 0.37%
9/15/2017 1,370 0.37%
9/18/2017 1,375 0.36%
9/19/2017 1,370 -0.36%
9/20/2017 1,380 0.73%
9/21/2017 1,385 0.36%
9/22/2017 1,380 -0.36%
9/25/2017 1,390 0.72%
9/26/2017 1,400 0.72%
9/27/2017 1,405 0.36%
9/28/2017 1,395 -0.71%
9/29/2017 1,400 0.36%
10/2/2017 1,395 -0.36%
10/3/2017 1,405 0.71%
10/4/2017 1,400 -0.36%
10/5/2017 1,400 0.00%
10/6/2017 1,400 0.00%
10/9/2017 1,395 -0.36%
10/10/2017 1,410 1.07%
10/11/2017 1,415 0.35%
10/12/2017 1,410 -0.35%
10/13/2017 1,430 1.41%
10/17/2017 1,455 1.73%
10/18/2017 1,470 1.03%
10/19/2017 1,460 -0.68%
10/20/2017 1,450 -0.69%
10/23/2017 1,450 0.00%
10/24/2017 1,470 1.37%
10/25/2017 1,485 1.02%
10/26/2017 1,560 4.93%
10/27/2017 1,610 3.15%
10/30/2017 1,655 2.76%
10/31/2017 1,680 1.50%
11/1/2017 1,735 3.22%
11/2/2017 1,700 -2.04%
11/3/2017 1,700 0.00%
11/7/2017 1,820 6.82%
11/8/2017 1,750 -3.92%
11/9/2017 1,820 3.92%
11/10/2017 1,815 -0.28%
11/14/2017 1,765 -2.79%
11/15/2017 1,750 -0.85%
11/16/2017 1,750 0.00%
11/17/2017 1,745 -0.29%
11/20/2017 1,740 -0.29%
11/21/2017 1,740 0.00%
11/22/2017 1,775 1.99%
11/23/2017 1,775 0.00%
11/24/2017 1,765 -0.56%
11/27/2017 1,780 0.85%
11/28/2017 1,735 -2.56%
11/29/2017 1,760 1.43%
11/30/2017 1,750 -0.57%
12/1/2017 1,765 0.85%
12/4/2017 1,780 0.85%
12/5/2017 1,780 0.00%
12/6/2017 1,775 -0.28%
12/7/2017 1,780 0.28%
12/11/2017 1,885 5.73%
12/12/2017 1,900 0.79%
12/13/2017 1,930 1.57%
12/14/2017 1,940 0.52%
12/15/2017 1,935 -0.26%
12/18/2017 1,940 0.26%
12/19/2017 1,955 0.77%
12/20/2017 1,985 1.52%
12/21/2017 2,000 0.75%
12/22/2017 2,025 1.24%
12/26/2017 2,075 2.44%
12/27/2017 2,100 1.20%
12/28/2017 2,200 4.65%
Desviacion estandar 1.42%
No. Desvios por nivel de confianza 99% 2.576

VAR 99% 3.67%

El valor en riesgo para la accion de Ecopetrol con un nivel


de confianza del 99% es 3,67%, es decir que el precio de
este activo en un dia puede tener una variacion o
rentabilidad entre 3,67% y -3,67%

Precio actual de la accion Ecopetrol 3,765

Limite Superior 3,903


Limite Inferior 3,627

Con un nivel de confianza del 99% el precio de la accion de


Ecopetrol para el dia siguiente se encontrara entre 3.903 y
3.627 pesos.
Precios
Limite Limite
No. Fecha de Cierre Diarios de Retornos Error
Cierre 2018 Inferior Superior

1 02/01/2018 2,260.00
2 03/01/2018 2,350.00 3.91% 2,177.06 2,342.94 1
3 04/01/2018 2,460.00 4.57% 2,263.76 2,436.25 1
4 05/01/2018 2,500.00 1.61% 2,369.72 2,550.28
5 09/01/2018 2,555.00 2.18% 2,408.25 2,591.75
6 10/01/2018 2,535.00 -0.79% 2,461.23 2,648.77
7 11/01/2018 2,425.00 -4.44% 2,441.97 2,628.03 1
8 12/01/2018 2,375.00 -2.08% 2,336.00 2,514.00
9 15/01/2018 2,335.00 -1.70% 2,287.84 2,462.16
10 16/01/2018 2,420.00 3.58% 2,249.31 2,420.69
11 17/01/2018 2,465.00 1.84% 2,331.19 2,508.81
12 18/01/2018 2,475.00 0.40% 2,374.53 2,555.47
13 19/01/2018 2,465.00 -0.40% 2,384.17 2,565.83
14 22/01/2018 2,590.00 4.95% 2,374.53 2,555.47 1
15 23/01/2018 2,705.00 4.34% 2,494.95 2,685.05 1
16 24/01/2018 2,800.00 3.45% 2,605.73 2,804.27
17 25/01/2018 2,745.00 -1.98% 2,697.24 2,902.76
18 26/01/2018 2,760.00 0.54% 2,644.26 2,845.74
19 29/01/2018 2,775.00 0.54% 2,658.71 2,861.29
20 30/01/2018 2,700.00 -2.74% 2,673.16 2,876.84
21 31/01/2018 2,660.00 -1.49% 2,600.91 2,799.09
22 01/02/2018 2,770.00 4.05% 2,562.38 2,757.62 1
23 02/02/2018 2,665.00 -3.86% 2,668.34 2,871.66 1
24 05/02/2018 2,485.00 -6.99% 2,567.19 2,762.81 1
25 06/02/2018 2,500.00 0.60% 2,393.80 2,576.20
26 07/02/2018 2,430.00 -2.84% 2,408.25 2,591.75
27 08/02/2018 2,335.00 -3.99% 2,340.82 2,519.18 1
28 09/02/2018 2,455.00 5.01% 2,249.31 2,420.69 1
29 12/02/2018 2,420.00 -1.44% 2,364.90 2,545.10
30 13/02/2018 2,385.00 -1.46% 2,331.19 2,508.81
31 14/02/2018 2,500.00 4.71% 2,297.47 2,472.53 1
32 15/02/2018 2,490.00 -0.40% 2,408.25 2,591.75
33 16/02/2018 2,485.00 -0.20% 2,398.62 2,581.38
34 19/02/2018 2,480.00 -0.20% 2,393.80 2,576.20
35 20/02/2018 2,485.00 0.20% 2,388.98 2,571.02
36 21/02/2018 2,475.00 -0.40% 2,393.80 2,576.20
37 22/02/2018 2,565.00 3.57% 2,384.17 2,565.83
38 23/02/2018 2,625.00 2.31% 2,470.86 2,659.14
39 26/02/2018 2,655.00 1.14% 2,528.66 2,721.34
40 27/02/2018 2,630.00 -0.95% 2,557.56 2,752.44
41 28/02/2018 2,510.00 -4.67% 2,533.48 2,726.52 1
42 01/03/2018 2,480.00 -1.20% 2,417.88 2,602.12
43 03/03/2018 2,480.00 0.00% 2,388.98 2,571.02
44 05/03/2018 2,510.00 1.20% 2,388.98 2,571.02
45 06/03/2018 2,505.00 -0.20% 2,417.88 2,602.12
46 07/03/2018 2,450.00 -2.22% 2,413.07 2,596.93
47 08/03/2018 2,475.00 1.02% 2,360.09 2,539.92
48 09/03/2018 2,505.00 1.20% 2,384.17 2,565.83
49 12/03/2018 2,480.00 -1.00% 2,413.07 2,596.93
50 13/03/2018 2,505.00 1.00% 2,388.98 2,571.02
51 14/03/2018 2,505.00 0.00% 2,413.07 2,596.93
52 15/03/2018 2,535.00 1.19% 2,413.07 2,596.93
53 16/03/2018 2,590.00 2.15% 2,441.97 2,628.03
54 20/03/2018 2,670.00 3.04% 2,494.95 2,685.05
55 21/03/2018 2,750.00 2.95% 2,572.01 2,767.99
56 22/03/2018 2,620.00 -4.84% 2,649.08 2,850.93 1
57 23/03/2018 2,700.00 3.01% 2,523.85 2,716.15
58 26/03/2018 2,775.00 2.74% 2,600.91 2,799.09
59 27/03/2018 2,465.00 -11.85% 2,673.16 2,876.84 1
60 28/03/2018 2,615.00 5.91% 2,374.53 2,555.47 1
61 02/04/2018 2,690.00 2.83% 2,519.03 2,710.97
62 03/04/2018 2,730.00 1.48% 2,591.28 2,788.72
63 04/04/2018 2,740.00 0.37% 2,629.81 2,830.19
64 05/04/2018 2,740.00 0.00% 2,639.44 2,840.56
65 06/04/2018 2,730.00 -0.37% 2,639.44 2,840.56
66 09/04/2018 2,745.00 0.55% 2,629.81 2,830.19
67 10/04/2018 2,790.00 1.63% 2,644.26 2,845.74
68 11/04/2018 2,980.00 6.59% 2,687.61 2,892.39 1
69 12/04/2018 2,955.00 -0.84% 2,870.63 3,089.37
70 13/04/2018 2,835.00 -4.15% 2,846.55 3,063.45 1
71 16/04/2018 2,760.00 -2.68% 2,730.96 2,939.04
72 17/04/2018 2,870.00 3.91% 2,658.71 2,861.29 1
73 18/04/2018 2,935.00 2.24% 2,764.67 2,975.33
74 19/04/2018 3,030.00 3.19% 2,827.29 3,042.71
75 20/04/2018 3,030.00 0.00% 2,918.80 3,141.20
76 23/04/2018 3,085.00 1.80% 2,918.80 3,141.20
77 24/04/2018 3,060.00 -0.81% 2,971.78 3,198.22
78 25/04/2018 3,045.00 -0.49% 2,947.70 3,172.30
79 26/04/2018 3,010.00 -1.16% 2,933.25 3,156.75
80 27/04/2018 3,070.00 1.97% 2,899.53 3,120.47
81 30/04/2018 3,100.00 0.97% 2,957.33 3,182.67
82 02/05/2018 3,105.00 0.16% 2,986.23 3,213.77
83 03/05/2018 3,100.00 -0.16% 2,991.05 3,218.95
84 04/05/2018 3,095.00 -0.16% 2,986.23 3,213.77
85 07/05/2018 3,030.00 -2.12% 2,981.41 3,208.59
86 08/05/2018 3,085.00 1.80% 2,918.80 3,141.20
87 09/05/2018 3,160.00 2.40% 2,971.78 3,198.22
88 10/05/2018 3,100.00 -1.92% 3,044.03 3,275.97
89 11/05/2018 3,135.00 1.12% 2,986.23 3,213.77
90 15/05/2018 3,290.00 4.83% 3,019.95 3,250.05 1
91 16/05/2018 3,205.00 -2.62% 3,169.26 3,410.74
92 17/05/2018 3,170.00 -1.10% 3,087.38 3,322.62
93 18/05/2018 3,150.00 -0.63% 3,053.66 3,286.34
94 21/05/2018 3,125.00 -0.80% 3,034.40 3,265.61
95 22/05/2018 3,110.00 -0.48% 3,010.31 3,239.69
96 23/05/2018 3,025.00 -2.77% 2,995.86 3,224.14
97 24/05/2018 3,070.00 1.48% 2,913.98 3,136.02
98 25/05/2018 2,955.00 -3.82% 2,957.33 3,182.67 1
99 28/05/2018 2,900.00 -1.88% 2,846.55 3,063.45
100 29/05/2018 3,030.00 4.39% 2,793.57 3,006.43 1
101 30/05/2018 3,120.00 2.93% 2,918.80 3,141.20
102 31/05/2018 3,090.00 -0.97% 3,005.50 3,234.50
103 01/06/2018 3,110.00 0.65% 2,976.60 3,203.40
104 05/06/2018 3,080.00 -0.97% 2,995.86 3,224.14
105 06/06/2018 3,015.00 -2.13% 2,966.96 3,193.04
106 07/06/2018 3,060.00 1.48% 2,904.35 3,125.65
107 08/06/2018 3,045.00 -0.49% 2,947.70 3,172.30
108 12/06/2018 3,005.00 -1.32% 2,933.25 3,156.75
109 13/06/2018 3,010.00 0.17% 2,894.72 3,115.28
110 14/06/2018 3,005.00 -0.17% 2,899.53 3,120.47
111 15/06/2018 2,985.00 -0.67% 2,894.72 3,115.28
112 18/06/2018 2,985.00 0.00% 2,875.45 3,094.55
113 19/06/2018 2,905.00 -2.72% 2,875.45 3,094.55
114 20/06/2018 2,875.00 -1.04% 2,798.39 3,011.61
115 21/06/2018 2,845.00 -1.05% 2,769.49 2,980.51
116 22/06/2018 2,880.00 1.22% 2,740.59 2,949.41
117 25/06/2018 2,820.00 -2.11% 2,774.30 2,985.70
118 26/06/2018 2,885.00 2.28% 2,716.51 2,923.49
119 27/06/2018 2,970.00 2.90% 2,779.12 2,990.88
120 28/06/2018 2,985.00 0.50% 2,861.00 3,079.00
121 29/06/2018 3,005.00 0.67% 2,875.45 3,094.55
122 03/07/2018 2,930.00 -2.53% 2,894.72 3,115.28
123 04/07/2018 2,930.00 0.00% 2,822.47 3,037.53
124 05/07/2018 2,895.00 -1.20% 2,822.47 3,037.53
125 06/07/2018 2,935.00 1.37% 2,788.75 3,001.25
126 09/07/2018 3,000.00 2.19% 2,827.29 3,042.71
127 10/07/2018 3,020.00 0.66% 2,889.90 3,110.10
128 11/07/2018 2,955.00 -2.18% 2,909.17 3,130.83
129 12/07/2018 2,945.00 -0.34% 2,846.55 3,063.45
130 13/07/2018 2,965.00 0.68% 2,836.92 3,053.08
131 16/07/2018 2,940.00 -0.85% 2,856.18 3,073.82
132 17/07/2018 2,960.00 0.68% 2,832.10 3,047.90
133 18/07/2018 2,965.00 0.17% 2,851.37 3,068.63
134 19/07/2018 2,950.00 -0.51% 2,856.18 3,073.82
135 23/07/2018 2,970.00 0.68% 2,841.74 3,058.27
136 24/07/2018 2,965.00 -0.17% 2,861.00 3,079.00
137 25/07/2018 3,000.00 1.17% 2,856.18 3,073.82
138 26/07/2018 3,005.00 0.17% 2,889.90 3,110.10
139 27/07/2018 2,985.00 -0.67% 2,894.72 3,115.28
140 03/07/2018 3,080.00 3.13% 2,875.45 3,094.55
141 31/07/2018 3,070.00 -0.33% 2,966.96 3,193.04
142 01/08/2018 3,125.00 1.78% 2,957.33 3,182.67
143 02/08/2018 3,130.00 0.16% 3,010.31 3,239.69
144 03/08/2018 3,095.00 -1.12% 3,015.13 3,244.87
145 06/08/2018 3,140.00 1.44% 2,981.41 3,208.59
146 08/08/2018 3,175.00 1.11% 3,024.76 3,255.24
147 09/08/2018 3,030.00 -4.67% 3,058.48 3,291.52 1
148 10/08/2018 3,070.00 1.31% 2,918.80 3,141.20
149 13/08/2018 3,060.00 -0.33% 2,957.33 3,182.67
150 14/08/2018 3,100.00 1.30% 2,947.70 3,172.30
151 15/08/2018 3,000.00 -3.28% 2,986.23 3,213.77
152 16/08/2018 3,065.00 2.14% 2,889.90 3,110.10
153 17/08/2018 3,095.00 0.97% 2,952.51 3,177.49
154 21/08/2018 3,140.00 1.44% 2,981.41 3,208.59
155 22/08/2018 3,220.00 2.52% 3,024.76 3,255.24
156 23/08/2018 3,240.00 0.62% 3,101.83 3,338.17
157 24/08/2018 3,270.00 0.92% 3,121.09 3,358.91
158 27/08/2018 3,305.00 1.06% 3,149.99 3,390.01
159 28/08/2018 3,330.00 0.75% 3,183.71 3,426.29
160 29/08/2018 3,385.00 1.64% 3,207.79 3,452.21
161 30/08/2018 3,445.00 1.76% 3,260.77 3,509.23
162 31/08/2018 3,420.00 -0.73% 3,318.57 3,571.43
163 03/09/2018 3,395.00 -0.73% 3,294.49 3,545.51
164 04/09/2018 3,455.00 1.75% 3,270.40 3,519.60
165 05/09/2018 3,430.00 -0.73% 3,328.20 3,581.80
166 06/09/2018 3,390.00 -1.17% 3,304.12 3,555.88
167 07/09/2018 3,410.00 0.59% 3,265.59 3,514.41
168 10/09/2018 3,410.00 0.00% 3,284.85 3,535.15
169 11/09/2018 3,480.00 2.03% 3,284.85 3,535.15
170 12/09/2018 3,820.00 9.32% 3,352.28 3,607.72 1
171 13/09/2018 3,765.00 -1.45% 3,679.81 3,960.19
172 14/09/2018 3,790.00 0.66% 3,626.82 3,903.18
NIVEL DE
CONFIANZA
99%
Total Datos 172
No. De Veces Porcentaje
Limite Superior 14 8%
Limite Inferior 9 5%
Errores 23

NIVEL DE CONFIANZA 99%

172

23
14 9
99% 8% 5%
NIVEL DE Total Datos Limite Superior Limite Inferior Errores
CONFIANZA
Column K Column L

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