bunistoraen Broxe Rassey
posble. Any of
alive than the
normally assumed model in which probabl-
ityis independent of cine.
tis of perhaps passing interestto note that
‘major changes in human behavior for a pat-
ticular region are usually faiely uniformly
spaced on a ziscale (which canbe used tov
ually represent the 2/* probability model),
where they are not on a linear scale. We
mightargue about the extent to which this is
due to our perception of the significance of
‘changes eather than the rate of change isl.
For most purposes, however, a nonlinear
time scale makes very lle difference to any
practical statistical analysis and certainly
add to its complication. The only cea bene
fircomes when working close tothe limits of
any of the dacing techniques, 2 it allows
analysis ro cover an unlimited time scale
(Bronk Ramsey 2598).
suMMaRy
‘The phenomena studied in archaeology are
extremely complex, and for this reason it is
rarely possible to model them in the analyt-
cal sens. Yer such complex systems do ex-
hibit some common characteristics; in prcc-
tla they show a structure that is born ofthe
‘complexity itself. The kind of strucare that
we expect to seein the chronological dimen-
sion sa pattem of poretuated dynamic equi-
libra operating at alltime seals. To some
extent, these patterns can be equated wich
the remporal classifications recognized byar-
chacologsts since the ninetenth century,
fom Thomsen to Monteius. But complexity
theory gives us some insight into why thinas
do fal ito che patterns that we see and, per
haps equally imporcan, it oughe to give us
‘confidence chat these axe not merely the con
sructs of our methodology. This approach
should norbe confused with positivism, since
it does noc claim to be predictive or able co
‘explain direct causal links (MeGlade and van
det Leeuw 1997}. What it does dois to in
oem us about the typeof framework wenced
for the study of chronological information.
In order to use compleity theory for sta-
tistical analysis, we need to make some a pri
‘ori assumptions. One such model consets of
a hierarchy of puneraated dynamic equi
ra, At each level ofthe hierarchy the evens
are assumed robe essentially random because
of che underlying complesicy ofthe mecha
nisms, although inthe ease of harman activity
there is che obvious feature of aceleated
growth of both population and rate of
change. Despite the very general formulation
‘ofthis model, it does help us analyze chrono
logical daca from the archaeological record,
Inparticulayitenables uso incorporate into
statstical models the clistering of archseo-
logical evens. To some extent this is already
being done, bur complexity theory gives usa
justilcation for the methods employed and
informs us about ways the models can be
‘made more general. Iralso enables uso focus
‘on what is often the most intresting aspect
‘of change: the transition boundaries them.
selves,
‘We are, of couse, sil lf withthe prob
lem of how to formulate such a model. We
hhaveall of the usual problems in archaeology
of separating the characteristics ofthe org
nal processes ftom the chances of survival
and indeed che perspectives. of the te
searchers. We must also, since this model i
hierarchical, distinguish major long-term
events from those that are more transient and
Jhave no major impact. In shor, we mustree-
‘ognize temporal structure. In doing so, wedo
not need ro explain why or how some events
had a major impact while others didnot.
Somerimes the most bzazze event can have
hhuge ramifications (Bak and Chen 2991).
‘The structure we need to uncover, therefor,
is largely the structure thatthe material ev
dence presents tous anyway: I the transition
from the use of bronze tothe use a ton coin-
cides with countless other changes in the ar-
chaeological recor, hen, from this perspec:
tive it does noe mater if there i causal link
between the two; cis clearly a major transi-
“The model of hierarchical punctuated dy-
‘namic equilibria can be used both as 3 con-
ceptual framework for che understanding of
archaeological chronologies and as an ana-
Iya cool i cheir statistical analysis.
7
The Neolithic Settlement of Riverine Interior
Europe as a Compl
lex Adaptive System
PETER BOGUCKI
Berween 5700 and $090 B.c. (realibrated
dating), the first farming communities of cen-
teal Eutope were exablished from Slovakia
to Feance and from che Danube Valley tothe
North European Plain. These setements are
primarily, although noc exclusively, associ-
fed with fecile wind-blowa sediments
called less, found in basins among the hills
of imetior Burope. They are best known for
theic distinctive pottery, with incised decors
tion of fine ware, and for the mber long~
houses thae were the largest free-seanding
seracrres in the word 7,500 years ago Since
its intial identification over 2 century ag0,
the Linear Pottery Culace als known as the
[Lnsarbandkeramit, ot LBK) hs been calle
“the most classically neolithic inthe ancient
world” (Childe 29572106)?
The question of how these communities
came to be established has resisted explana-
tion within eradicional archaeological feame-
works. Early hypotheses that the farmers
needed to disperse due to soil depletion o
widespread population growth have nor been
sustained over time (Bogucki 198). Thehigh
and persistent fertility ofthe loess did nor
require frequent setlement relocation. Al-
though there is no doubt that popalation
growth occurse it alone does not appear to
‘account forthe rapid dispersal of farming set
tlements taroughout a region of over 750,000
Jem, Nor were these commurizes the result
‘of a mass conversion of indigenous foragecs
vo sedentary agricultural life, despite a recent
resurgence ofthis hypothesis, The material
culture ofthe Linese Pottery Caltre is sim
ply too anifoem over too wide an area 10 re
flee the sorts of variation that might be ex
pected if discomected groups of foragers
were deciding individually to teansform their
‘uaditional way fife
TF, however, ths phenomenon is examined
as. complex adaptive system (CAS), it may
be posible to understand i better There are
many aspects ofthe Linear Porery Culcure
that suggese thatthe CAS analytical frame-
work would be productive. Some key cle
iments of such a2 approach to this problem
include the followings
+ households a agents whose developmen:
tal cycle provided 2 “metabolism” that
gave the Nedlthc daspors its emergent
qualities;
‘+s accumulated experience led to reduced
costs ia mistakes, labor, and starc-up ef
fort, the early Neolithic farming syscem in
‘central Europe would have been subjectto
increasing returns;
* iniial noveley was winnowed as increas
ing returns locked in results of nitial dee
+ Sharing of information amoag individuals
and houscholds magnified the effects of
Tocal decisions andl chance events
“This chapter provides a brie sketch of
how a CAS approach tothe establishment of
farming communities in cental Europe
might be developed. As with all CAS ap:
proaches, itis not “explanation” in the sense
%sPeven B
Figure 7.x Riven interoe cena Europe
tha this term has been understood in archae
ology since the 196ce. Instead, it is an at
tempt t idenily the CAS signature inthe ar-
chaeological cecord to suggest pathway for
fuse research. The developmen of 2 rue
CAS model for the spread of the calest
farmers of ental Europe will eqnire farther
definition of the celevan variables and the
construction of mathematical staemeats
tha reflect the eelationships among them. It
isa promising research field that awaits the
collaboration of scholars familiar wth CAS
models and archaeologists who know the
pattems of archaeological remains
RIVERINE INTERIOR CENTRAL EUROPE
CCenteal Europe south of the North and Balti
Seas and north and east ofthe Alps is era-
versed by various river systems (Figure 71),
*
‘The southern part ofthis zone is dominated
by the upper Danube and its rbutares. The
‘porter paris distinguished by cvers low
ing. aorth—the Vistala, Oder, Elbe, Weses,
Rhine, and Meuse—along with tributaries
suchas the Main, Neckay, Sale, and Nidzica.
Lecusalso include che Aisne and che Yonne in
the west. Since drainage isthe principal
sganizing landscape element ofthis region, it
can be called “riverine interior central Es:
ope” co distinguish ifrom the mountainous
zones cits south and the coastal regions of
‘northern and western Europe.
‘Riverine interior central Europe embraces
lover 750,000 kmt, although onlfa relatively
small pact ofthat area i dice implicated
in early farming setlement. The valleys of
these rivers and their triburarié were foci of
carly farming seclement after sbout 5700
‘Tap Neouirmie Serruament oF Ecaors
ssc, Valley slopes defined the discibution of
foil eypes, and drainage patteens defined
foutes of communiation and migration. Pre=
ferred babies were smaller sream valleys
swith narrow floodplains separated by broad
Plateaus. Sizes were located where flood:
Plains met the slopes of watersheds. The hill
{nd mountain zones of interior central Fi
rope did noe play a major cole inthe estab
fshmen of agrarian communities in this area
‘tor to about 4200 8.
“Early farming selement in eiverne inte
ioe central Euzope is commonly associated
‘with patches of loes,a fine-grained, wind:
blown sediment deposited during the Plis-
tocene. Although very fertile lows is ao el
atively dey, except along the valley bottoms
‘where the water table is higher. The associa-
Son of early farming serlement with foes
may be les che result ofthe deliberate choice
ofthis soil rppeand more the fact that specific
landscape zones inthe loessfiled basins had
the righ combination of moiscare,fetliy,
and exposure for growing crops that a few
millenia earlier had only grow in pars of
the Near Fast. In some areas, such asthe low:
lands of the North Exropeaa Plain and the
gravel terraces of the Aisne River in France,
farly farming setlement is not associated
swith primacy loess depesits, suggesting chat
other factors were algo taken into account
‘when settlement locations were chosen.
INTERREGIONAL HOMOGENEITY,
REGIONAL HETEROGENEITY
“The Linear Pottery Culture represents the
caliet serded agricutusal communities of
riverine interior central Europe. Except for
several localized anomalies discussed below,
there is no widespread antecedent tration
of wniform porery production, timber con
struction, and grain agrculsce: AMS dating
‘over the last wo decades has led to chrono:
logical refinement of the Linear Postery
sequence but also some upheaval, “Earliest
Linear Porery." once believed to be an
‘ephemeral and rapid inital phase, now has @
suprising persistence and aso a substantial
Corpus of setlemen dst. Ie was initially dis
tributed from Hungary and Austria to ran-
sonia in ezntal Germany and Bohemia be
tween ca, s7oc and §$00°8.¢, then on tthe
Rhine, north to Niedersachsen, and nozth-
cast 0 Silesia, The *Earlie” phase saw the
txtension of Linear Poctery settlement ro the
Rhineland, Akace, and the Norh European
Plain. The “Liter” phase saw further exen
sion ta the east and west, as well asthe infil
ing of areas where setiement had previously
been found. Toe final stages of Later Linear
Poteery saw increased regional differentia-
‘on in porery decoration before a transition
to subsequent pottery styles lke Stroke-
(Omamented Potery, Rossen, and Cerny.
‘When examined on a continental sale,
the Linear Poery Culture presens suiking
homogensityia material culture, especially in
its Earlier phate. Linear Potery incised fine
svare for example is immediaeely ecogniza
ble whether he sherd comes rom Belgium oc
Slovakia, Dimensions and proportions of
longhouses are strikingly similar chroughout
central Europe after some inisal variation in
the Earliest phase (Figure 7.2). Another strike
ing feature isthe fact thatthe orientations of
the houses ar alzo similar on a beoad re-
gional scale, although they shift from
Aorhwesesoutheast in central and eastera
Eucope to weit-east in westem Europe, The
tripartite modular construction rectnique
fist observed in Limburg andthe Rhineland
is widespreaé in the western zone (Figure
7.3) The paturn of settlement on floodplain
‘margins in smal seam valleys prevails fom
Poland to France. Linear Pottery settlements
are clustered an several spatial scales to form
“srtement cll” separated from other such