AP Statistics DU OL Ove igsuper smart and CAN do it! Ch 7 AP Problems Pa: Date: 2008 AP* STATISTICS FREE-RESPONSE QUESTIONS 3. A llocal arcade is hosting a tournament in which contestants play an arcade game with possible scores ranging from 0 to 20. The arcade has set up multiple game tables so that all contestants can play the game at the same time; thus contestant scores are independent. Each contestant's score will be recorded as he or she finishes, and the contestant with the highest score is the winner. fier practicing the game many times, Josephine, one of the contestants, has established the probability distribution of her scores, shown in the table below. Josephine’s Distribution Score i | 7 [is [9 Probability [| 0.10 | 030 | 0.40 | 020 Crystal, another contestant, has also practiced many times. The probability distribution for her scores is shown in. the table below. Crystal's Distribution Score 7 | |» Probability | 045 | 040 | 0.15 (@) Calculate the expected score for each player. (b) Suppose that Josephine scores 16 and Crystal scores 17. The difference (Josephine minus Crystal) of their scores is -1. List all combinations of possible scores for Josephine and Crystal that will produce a difference (Josephine minus Crystal) of -1, and calculate the probability for each combination. (c) Find the probability that the difference (Josephine minus Crystal) in their scores is ~1. (4) The table below lists all the possible differences in the scores between Josephine and Crystal and some associated probabilities. Distribution (Josephine minus Crystal) Difference - 0 1 2 Probability | 0.015 0.325 | 0.260 | 0.090 Complete the table and calculate the probability that Crystal's score will be higher than Josephine’s score.2008 prov3 >) As = WL +1903) +1864) +402 = 19.4 65704 Ae = 17 (45) +1804) + (9GI5) = BF C7 ON (o.eh(b.15) = 0.08 ¢) . Pl3-¢ =) = nous 4 vz 10.06 =) 2,225] Vv D pubs |-2j-t\ oj. fe qin 0.05] a 40.225 | 0.325 |e. 29 fe. oF0 \ cay Muy aU T= Sv PLZ) = [-0.9/5 * 0.085 P(pur!8) “a eae vonuatedt rooted low | ee a upper 1697 tee A Ist mM Is rc O oF vixeid) + ©, poTs& PLR? 1d) = 0.00051 M 2 P(x eid) + P78) = 0.90804 { Mrs excite) = vowmaledf : Never 1S i 57 = 0, S092 upper Ve tse? of OF ©) Vauoeriont alist : PlK= a) - (f stad) (\- 5072) = O\I342003 AP® STATISTICS FREE-RESPONSE QUESTIONS (Form B) (ol 2 3. Contestants on a game show spin a whee! like the one shown in the figure above. Each of the four outcomes ‘on this wheel is equally likely and outcomes are independent from one spin to the next, = The contestant spins the wheel. Ifthe resultis a skunk, no money is won and the contestants tum is finished. = If the result is a number, the corresponding amount in dollars is won. The contestant can then stop with those winnings of can choose to spin again, and his or her tum continues. Ifthe contestant spins again and the result is a skunk, all of the money eamed on that turn is lost and the ‘tum ends. The contestant may continue adding to his or her winnings until he or she chooses to stop or until a spin results in askunk. (a) Whats the probability that the result will be a number on all ofthe first three spins of the wheel? (b) Suppose a contestant has earned $800 on his or her first three spins and chooses 16 spin the wheel again. ‘What is the expected value of his or her total winnings for the four spins? ef A contestant who lost at this game alleges that the wheel is not fair. In order to check on the fairness of an wheel, the data in the table below were collected for 100 spins of this whee}. w ee uo Result | Skunk | $100 | $200 | $500 ‘ a Frequency | 33 an 20 | 26 Based on these dat, can you conclude that the four outcomes on this wheel are not equally likely? Give appropriate statistical evidence to support your answer. ® Plumper on aul 3 spin: (2)(3)(%) - 0.424 rN sleunley = $0 E (ASIF -aooa) + 100["#) » S004) + 200(%) E(t =O Mdse are \ove 4ypoctad wivinings mM ue ae Lat Sew Eliot win) = 980010 + * 600!2005 AP* STATISTICS FREE-RESPONSE QUESTIONS . Let the random variable X represent the number of telephone lines in use by the technical support center of a software manufacturer at noon each day. The probability distribution of X is shown in the table below. x [oliy;2,3 [ays P(x) [0.35 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.05 (a) Calculate the expected value (the mean) of X. (b) Using past records, the staff at the technical support center randomly selected 20 days and found that an average of 1.25 telephone lines were in use at noon on those days. The staff proposes to select another random sample of 1,000 days and compute the average number of telephone lines that were in use at noon ‘on those days. How do you expect the average from this new sample to compare to that of the first sample? Justify your response, (©) The median of a random variable is defined as any value x such that P(X < x) > 0.5 and P(X 2 x) 2 05. For the probability distribution shown in the table above, determine the median of X. (@) In a sentence or two, comment on the relationship between the mean and the median relative to the shape of =~ this distribution, ®D EW» O89) 4 2420s) 4 BD aa 9 Sf = 1.6 WE weld gyped We WELD Suey bo Vrave &@ mean Cloye- WoW. Bott suneys world have an typec tid nian of Lu ud wrlk a sample af (ole ve 20, you ww wove os vanabiliy, ©) ol | Camud. Pius ge et dian wu dee oF ) is slewed Wh fet wig dashwuh or 8% he due wan Wl be Aare ben tie wuglitie2011 AP® STATISTICS FREE-RESPONSE QUESTIONS (Form B) An airline claims that there is a 0.10 probability that a coach-class ticket holder who flies frequently will be upgraded to first class on any flight. This outcome is independent from flight to flight. Sam is a frequent flier who always purchases coach-class tickets. (@) What is the probability that Sam’s first upgrade will occur after the third flight? (b) What is the probability that Sam will be upgraded exactly 2 times in his next 20 flights? (© Sam will take 104 flights next year. Would you be surprised if Sam receives more than 20 upgrades to first cless during the year? Justify your answer. 9 Geomuc dist prot P(x 23) = I~ yomuted F (y72) yd = \-6,7H = 0,929 0) bona Ss nr 7d LkZ , pr@h P= = (ALY (AY 2 295 D P(x720) = oimemed | zy y-20, PF DI ator EE \- (Vineracdt “e104, pe 01 , w= 20) \- 0.9586 PR (KP20) = 0.00137 Because this poe b so smack + -\5 ie) wat Sam wih ucee nore Han 20 upyracler 4 w Ain oe hiieer,