Edward Rincón 201310200

Marlon Barón 201220384

Solución Primer punto Parcial Primer Periodo

Parametros Gumbell
n= 10
Yn= 0.4952
Sn= 0.9497

5 10 15 30 60 180
13.9 27.4 33.4 46 55 106
16.9 31.1 40.5 62 76 85
10.1 19.7 31.2 44 47 51
16.1 28.2 33.2 46.6 52 67
11.9 23 28.7 44.9 48 48
12.8 21 27.8 42.1 50 58
9.6 19.2 22.7 37.6 45 47
9.4 15.3 21.1 33.7 44 61
11.8 23.5 32.7 42 59 63
10.1 21.6 28.6 38.1 51 60

Promedio 12.26 23 29.99 43.7 52.7 64.6

Desviacion 2.67049725 4.74739695 5.59532543 7.63136801 9.35770627 18.2159881
a 0.35562665 0.20004647 0.16973097 0.12444689 0.10148855 0.05213552
Xf 10.8675284 20.5245752 27.0724417 39.7207924 47.8206316 55.1016771

Xi En Precipitacion
Yi Tr 5 10 15 30 60 180
0.36651292 2 11.8981399 22.3567141 29.2318173 42.6659277 51.4320039 62.1316813
1.49993999 5 15.0852663 28.022533 35.9096032 51.7736449 62.6000334 83.871698
2.25036733 10 17.1954212 31.7737981 40.3308786 57.8037462 69.9942406 98.2654808
2.97019525 20 19.2195325 35.3721016 44.571872 63.5879642 77.0869417 112.072343
3.19853426 25 19.8616076 36.5135315 45.9171717 65.4227952 79.3368411 116.452064
3.90193866 50 21.8395369 40.0297364 50.061403 71.075041 86.2677158 129.943909
4.60014923 100 23.8028616 43.5199783 54.175034 76.6855515 93.1474141 143.336134

Xi En Intensidad
 Tr 5 10 15 30 60 180
2 142.777679 134.140284 116.927269 85.3318554 51.4320039 20.7105604
5 181.023195 168.135198 143.638413 103.54729 62.6000334 27.9572327
10 206.345054 190.642788 161.323514 115.607492 69.9942406 32.7551603
20 230.63439 212.23261 178.287488 127.175928 77.0869417 37.3574476
25 238.339291 219.081189 183.668687 130.84559 79.3368411 38.8173545
50 262.074443 240.178419 200.245612 142.150082 86.2677158 43.3146365
100 285.634339 261.11987 216.700136 153.371103 93.1474141 47.7787113

(wat-
TR t I Watch I Wait wai)^2
2 5 142.777679 161.426209 347.767658
5 5 181.023195 186.141981 26.2019735
10 5 206.345054 207.322958 0.95629522
20 5 230.63439 230.914104 0.07824006
25 5 238.339291 239.065926 0.52799922
50 5 262.074443 266.269084 17.5950169
100 5 285.634339 296.567673 119.53779
2 10 134.140284 138.991838 23.5375758
5 10 168.135198 160.272711 61.8186917
10 10 190.642788 178.51004 147.203577
20 10 212.23261 198.822583 179.828815
25 10 219.081189 205.841497 175.289424
50 10 240.178419 229.264069 119.123025
100 10 261.11987 255.35188 33.2697056
2 15 116.927269 121.832565 24.0619285
5 15 143.638413 140.486203 9.9364301
10 15 161.323514 156.472037 23.5368287
20 15 178.287488 174.27689 16.0848977
25 15 183.668687 180.429283 10.4937393
50 15 200.245612 200.960215 0.51065684
100 15 216.700136 223.827348 50.7971551
2 30 85.3318554 88.3693717 9.22650547
5 30 103.54729 101.8995 2.71521206
10 30 115.607492 113.494578 4.46440579
20 30 127.175928 126.409054 0.58809694
25 30 130.84559 130.871597 0.00067632
50 30 142.150082 145.763392 13.0560059
100 30 153.371103 162.349714 80.6154599
2 60 51.4320039 56.2749031 23.4536726
5 60 62.6000334 64.8910857 5.24892104
 10 60 69.9942406 72.2750007 5.20186652
20 60 77.0869417 80.4991266 11.6430053
25 60 79.3368411 83.340939 16.0328002
50 60 86.2677158 92.8242509 42.9881523
100 60 93.1474141 103.386663 104.842214
2 180 20.7105604 21.9826031 1.61809257
5 180 27.9572327 25.348333 6.80635763
10 180 32.7551603 28.2327035 20.4526152
20 180 37.3574476 31.4452847 34.9536703
25 180 38.8173545 32.5553787 39.2123405
50 180 43.3146365 36.2598344 49.770233
100 180 47.7787113 40.3858176 54.6548763
Sum Cuadrados 1915.7026

Parametros para el Modelo = (7251.26 ∗ .

)/( + 29.484) .

C a b n
7251.26555 0.15547641 29.4839267 1.1051147

Intensidades
Tr 5 10 15 30 60 180
2 161.426209 138.991838 121.832565 88.3693717 56.2749031 21.9826031
5 186.141981 160.272711 140.486203 101.8995 64.8910857 25.348333
10 207.322958 178.51004 156.472037 113.494578 72.2750007 28.2327035
20 230.914104 198.822583 174.27689 126.409054 80.4991266 31.4452847
25 239.065926 205.841497 180.429283 130.871597 83.340939 32.5553787
50 266.269084 229.264069 200.960215 145.763392 92.8242509 36.2598344
100 296.567673 255.35188 223.827348 162.349714 103.386663 40.3858176
 IDF
350.00

300.00

250.00

200.00

150.00

100.00

50.00

0.00
15 35 55 75 95 115

2 años 5 años 10 años 20 años 25 años 50 años 100 años