GUMBEL

Caudal (Xi-Xm)^2 (Xi-Xm)^3

1990 131.2 0.394104938 -0.24741032
1991 147.6 248.7629938 3923.54522
1992 141.3 89.72299383 849.876136
1993 170.1 1464.762994 56059.7348
1994 191.3 3536.945216 210349.992
1995 103.8 785.5563272 -22017.3982
1996 129.3 6.389660494 -16.1516418
1997 98.7 1097.44966 -36356.0685
1998 105.6 687.8963272 -18041.992
1999 120.3 132.8896605 -1531.92248
2000 58 5450.540772 -402401.313
2001 176.3 1977.778549 87956.2072
2002 195 3990.72966 252103.261
2003 138.5 44.51854938 297.037654
2004 112.6 369.7074383 -7108.65247
2005 128.3 12.44521605 -43.9039566
2006 98.1 1137.562994 -38367.4719
2007 126.9 24.28299383 -119.661197
SUMATOTAL 21058.33611 85534.8713

Promedio 131.8277778 N Datos 18

Desviacion 35.19553457 a 5660.39589
Asimetria 0.129832706

Parametros de distribucion GUMBEL

n 18 Sn 1.0493
Yn 0.5202
a 0.029813441 Xf 114.379272

TR Yi Xi
2 0.3665129 126.6728184
5 1.4999400 164.6901361
10 2.2503673 189.8609084
20 2.9701952 214.0053175
25 3.1985343 221.6642460
50 3.9019387 245.2577786
100 4.6001492 268.6771002
 BONDAD DE AJUSTE

CHI^2

Max 195 Rango 137

Min 58 # interv 4.22037176
L 27.4 # interv 5

Ii Is N F(ls) F(li) P(Li≥Ls) Ei Chi ^2

57.99 85.39 1 0.09317528 0.00464588 0.0885294 1.59352912 0.22106707
85.39 112.79 5 0.3504553 0.09317528 0.25728002 4.63104037 0.02939538
112.79 140.19 6 0.62924061 0.3504553 0.27878531 5.01813565 0.1921147
140.19 167.59 2 0.81492263 0.62924061 0.18568201 3.34227625 0.53906541
167.59 195.01 4 0.91359611 0.81492263 0.09867349 1.77612273 2.78450921

Ni 18 Chi ^2 Calcul 3.76615178

Chi ^2 Teoric 5.99
V Grados Freedom 2 Significancia 5% Calculado menor que Teorico;
modelo representativo
K intervalos 5
M parametros 2

KOLMOGOROV - SMIRNOFF
F(Xm) en
Weibull
modelo
F(Xo)
anterior Abs(FXm-Fxo)
1990 1 195 0.05263158 0.91357149 0.86093991
1991 2 191.3 0.10526316 0.90399116 0.798728
1992 3 176.3 0.15789474 0.85397247 0.69607773
1993 4 170.1 0.21052632 0.82703696 0.61651065
1994 5 147.6 0.26315789 0.68975481 0.42659691
1995 6 141.3 0.31578947 0.63880091 0.32301144
1996 7 138.5 0.36842105 0.61435653 0.24593547
1997 8 131.2 0.42105263 0.54572976 0.12467713
1998 9 129.3 0.47368421 0.52680336 0.05311914
1999 10 128.3 0.52631579 0.51668395 0.00963184
2000 11 126.9 0.57894737 0.50234492 0.07660245
2001 12 120.3 0.63157895 0.43249509 0.19908385
2002 13 112.6 0.68421053 0.3483741 0.33583643
2003 14 105.6 0.73684211 0.27275288 0.46408923
2004 15 103.8 0.78947368 0.25390028 0.53557341
2005 16 98.7 0.84210526 0.20272107 0.63938419
2006 17 98.1 0.89473684 0.19696502 0.69777182
2007 18 58 0.94736842 0.00465333 0.94271509
8.04628471
Significancia 5% D= 0.94271509
C= 0.309 D mayor que C, modelo repre
mayor que C, modelo representativo
 GUMBELL

M 20 30 40 60 90 120
1 33 43 54 66.4 70.2 70.2
2 32 37 50 54 63 67.7
3 30 37 40 51 56.3 56.3
4 25 30.5 40 50 53 54.9
5 22 30 39 47 51.8 53.3
6 20.5 30 36 41.5 50.5 51.8
7 20 27 34.5 40.5 44.4 45.9
8 20 26.5 34 39.7 40 45.5
9 18 23.5 29.5 34.8 38.7 40
10 15.5 20 22 34 35.4 35.6
N datos 10 Sn 0.9497 Yn 0.4952

Media 23.6 30.45 37.9 45.89 50.33 52.12

Desviacion 6.11827863 6.90189185 9.24602016 9.8976372 11.0571294 11.0485594838
a 0.1552234 0.13759995 0.10271446 0.09595219 0.08589029 0.085956907
Xf 20.4097593 26.8511616 33.0788679 40.7290966 44.5645051 46.3589737218

Yi TR 20 30 40 60 90
0.36651292 2 22.7709557 29.5147738 36.6471377 44.5488417 48.831727185
1.49993999 5 30.0728643 37.7518919 47.6818745 56.3612561 62.0279467954
2.25036733 10 34.9073631 43.2055808 54.9878304 64.1821022 70.7649924185
2.97019525 20 39.5447305 48.4368901 61.9958787 71.6840455 79.1457763439
3.19853426 25 41.0157652 50.0963312 64.218925 74.063762 81.8042727247
3.90193866 50 45.5473269 55.2082834 71.0670784 81.3945417 89.993841483
4.60014923 100 50.0454281 60.2824899 77.864666 88.6711922 98.1229397511

25 123.047296 100.192662 96.3283875 74.063762 54.5361818164

TR 20 30 40 60 90
2 68.312867 59.0295476 54.9707065 44.5488417 32.55448479
5 90.2185928 75.5037838 71.5228117 56.3612561 41.3519645303
 10 104.722089 86.4111616 82.4817456 64.1821022 47.1766616123
20 118.634191 96.8737802 92.993818 71.6840455 52.7638508959
50 136.641981 110.416567 106.600618 81.3945417 59.995894322
100 150.136284 120.56498 116.796999 88.6711922 65.4152931674

b= 75
I TR t Log(I) Log(Tr) Log(t+b)
68.312867 2 20 1.83450251 0.30103 1.97772360529
90.2185928 5 20 1.95529605 0.69897 1.97772360529
104.722089 10 20 2.0200383 1 1.97772360529
118.634191 20 20 2.07420987 1.30103 1.97772360529
136.641981 50 20 2.13558415 1.69897 1.97772360529
150.136284 100 20 2.17648566 2 1.97772360529
59.0295476 2 30 1.77106946 0.30103 2.02118929907
75.5037838 5 30 1.87796872 0.69897 2.02118929907
86.4111616 10 30 1.93656984 1 2.02118929907
96.8737802 20 30 1.98620625 1.30103 2.02118929907
110.416567 50 30 2.04303424 1.69897 2.02118929907
120.56498 100 30 2.08122118 2 2.02118929907
54.9707065 2 40 1.74013132 0.30103 2.06069784035
71.5228117 5 40 1.85444458 0.69897 2.06069784035
82.4817456 10 40 1.91635784 1 2.06069784035
92.993818 20 40 1.96845408 1.30103 2.06069784035
106.600618 50 40 2.02775972 1.69897 2.06069784035
116.796999 100 40 2.06743168 2 2.06069784035
44.5488417 2 60 1.64883642 0.30103 2.1303337685
56.3612561 5 60 1.75098066 0.69897 2.1303337685
64.1821022 10 60 1.80741394 1 2.1303337685
71.6840455 20 60 1.85542251 1.30103 2.1303337685
81.3945417 50 60 1.91059528 1.69897 2.1303337685
88.6711922 100 60 1.94778255 2 2.1303337685
32.5544848 2 90 1.51261083 0.30103 2.21748394421
41.3519645 5 90 1.61649615 0.69897 2.21748394421
47.1766616 10 90 1.67372721 1 2.21748394421
52.7638509 20 90 1.72233648 1.30103 2.21748394421
59.9958943 50 90 1.77812153 1.69897 2.21748394421
65.4152932 100 90 1.81567929 2 2.21748394421
25.3114442 2 120 1.40331693 0.30103 2.29003461136
31.9044401 5 120 1.50385113 0.69897 2.29003461136
36.269577 10 120 1.55954249 1 2.29003461136
40.4567212 20 120 1.60699068 1.30103 2.29003461136
45.8765498 50 120 1.66159075 1.69897 2.29003461136
49.9379487 100 120 1.6984307 2 2.29003461136
20.632679 2 150 1.31455562 0.30103 2.35218251811
25.8408108 5 150 1.41230614 0.69897 2.35218251811
29.2890473 10 150 1.46670524 1 2.35218251811
32.5966785 20 150 1.51317335 1.30103 2.35218251811
36.8780678 50 150 1.56676816 1.69897 2.35218251811
40.0863666 100 150 1.60299669 2 2.35218251811
17.7244692 2 180 1.24857324 0.30103 2.40654018043
21.9421234 5 180 1.34127865 0.69897 2.40654018043
24.7345775 10 180 1.3933045 1 2.40654018043
27.4131665 20 180 1.4379592 1.30103 2.40654018043
30.8803253 50 180 1.48968187 1.69897 2.40654018043
33.4784728 100 180 1.52476564 2 2.40654018043
83.2525593 56 104.737114604
 150 180 P(X>x) TR
70.2 71.9
68.9 69.5
56.3 57
55.2 55.8
54.7 55.5
51.8 55.5
50.8 51.8
46.7 46.8
40 46.2
36 36.1

53.06 54.61 PDF

10.909751 10.6019338 120
0.08705057 0.089578
47.3713523 49.0818568
100

80

120 150 180

50.6228884 51.5816974 53.1734075 60
63.8088802 64.602027 65.8263702
72.5391541 73.2226182 74.2037325 40
80.9134424 81.4916962 82.2394996
83.5698783 84.114758 84.788552 20
91.7530996 92.1951695 92.6409758
99.8758973 100.215916 100.435418
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Row 29 Row 30 Row 31 Row 32 Row 33

41.7849391 33.6459032 28.2628507

120 150 180

25.3114442 20.632679 17.7244692
31.9044401 25.8408108 21.9421234
 36.269577 29.2890473 24.7345775
40.4567212 32.5966785 27.4131665
45.8765498 36.8780678 30.8803253
49.9379487 40.0863666 33.4784728

estimado

-1.46606666 0.17518779 4.72903406 #N/A #N/A

0.01962456 0.00507054 0.04332653 #N/A #N/A
0.99340143 0.02023996 #N/A #N/A #N/A
3387.32757 45 #N/A #N/A #N/A
2.7752791 0.01843453 #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A

a= 1.46606666
n= 0.17518779
b= 75
C= 53583.8685
PDF

100 120 140 160 180 200

Row 32 Row 33 Row 34 Row 35

 1 0.5 10 50000
a n b C

I TR t
68.312867 2 20 18257.4186 330843567
90.2185928 5 20 45643.5465 2075105680
104.722089 10 20 91287.0929 8314224750
118.634191 20 20 182574.186 3.329E+10
136.641981 50 20 456435.465 2.0821E+11
150.136284 100 20 912870.929 8.3306E+11
59.0295476 2 30 18257.4186 331181364
75.5037838 5 30 45643.5465 2076446513
86.4111616 10 30 91287.0929 8317564353
96.8737802 20 30 182574.186 3.3298E+10
110.416567 50 30 456435.465 2.0823E+11
120.56498 100 30 912870.929 8.3311E+11
54.9707065 2 40 18257.4186 331329109
71.5228117 5 40 45643.5465 2076809339
82.4817456 10 40 91287.0929 8318281099
92.993818 20 40 182574.186 3.3299E+10
106.600618 50 40 456435.465 2.0824E+11
116.796999 100 40 912870.929 8.3312E+11
44.5488417 2 60 18257.4186 331708624
56.3612561 5 60 45643.5465 2078191455
64.1821022 10 60 91287.0929 8321619458
71.6840455 20 60 182574.186 3.3307E+10
81.3945417 50 60 456435.465 2.0826E+11
88.6711922 100 60 912870.929 8.3317E+11
32.5544848 2 90 18257.4186 332145671
41.3519645 5 90 45643.5465 2079560143
47.1766616 10 90 91287.0929 8324722318
52.7638509 20 90 182574.186 3.3314E+10
59.9958943 50 90 456435.465 2.0828E+11
65.4152932 100 90 912870.929 8.3321E+11
25.3114442 2 120 18257.4186 332409731
31.9044401 5 120 45643.5465 2080421888
36.269577 10 120 91287.0929 8326712760
40.4567212 20 120 182574.186 3.3319E+10
45.8765498 50 120 456435.465 2.0829E+11
49.9379487 100 120 912870.929 8.3324E+11
20.632679 2 150 18257.4186 332580360
25.8408108 5 150 45643.5465 2080975069
29.2890473 10 150 91287.0929 8327986767
32.5966785 20 150 182574.186 3.3321E+10
36.8780678 50 150 456435.465 2.083E+11
40.0863666 100 150 912870.929 8.3326E+11
17.7244692 2 180 18257.4186 332686441
21.9421234 5 180 45643.5465 2081330782
24.7345775 10 180 91287.0929 8328818050
27.4131665 20 180 182574.186 3.3323E+10
30.8803253 50 180 456435.465 2.0831E+11
33.4784728 100 180 912870.929 8.3327E+11
13656549.1