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Let us consider the benefits to the farmer per bird per year (chicken lays eggs for about a year and lenses are not
reusable)
The sources of benefits are:
The benefits are most sensitive to the assumption that lenses work to reduce mortality. For example, if they
fall off, mortality may go back not to 9%, but to 25%! (since chickens are not debeaked). The benefit of
reduced mortality then may be negative.
2. Feed savings
Assume that the feed depth is reduced by ½ inch. Some of you might have assumed that the feed depth is reduced
by 1 inch. But note that the data in the case about per 1 inch reduction has nothing to do with debeaking, so
whatever height reduction you used, you must justify (the case argues for “at least 3/8 inch”). 156/2 [for ½ inch per
day ] x 1/20,000 [per chicken] x $ 158/2000 [ per lb] x 365 days = 11.25 cents Note the sensitivity to the reduction
of depth and average depth. Note also that the whole calculation is hypothetical since the data is not on the
chickens with lenses vs. debeaked. But the risk is probably limited and there is no reason to believe that chickens will
bill more or eat more. So, probably more upside potential then its downside.
5. Other benefits/risks:
Some other benefits you might have thought about:
Humane treatment. But would it be worthwhile to educate consumers? Probably not = $0 benefit.
Things that can go wrong – since this is a new product: increased mortality if lenses are not placed in correctly or
have side effects (i.e., eye infections).