Simple Moving Average Abs.

Error %MAPE

Period Actual Sales(At) Forecasted Sales (Ft)

1 130
2 155
3 145
1 160 143.33 16.67 16.66667 10.41667
2 151 153.33 -2.33 2.333333 1.545254
3 143 152.00 -9.00 9 6.293706
4 152 151.33 0.67 0.666667 0.438596
8 148.67
MAD Running sum of forcasted error

10.41667 16.67
19
28
28.6666666666667
 Weighted Moving average

Period Actual Sales(At) Forecasted Sales (Ft) Weights

1 130 0.2
2 155 0.3
3 145 0.5
4 160 145
5 151 154.5
6 143 152.5
7 152 148.8
8 149.1
 Exponential Smoothing Method α= 0.2

Period Actual Sales(At) Forecasted Sales (Ft)

1 130
Exponential Smoothing Method
2 155 130 180
3 145 135 160 155 160
152
151
145 141.6 143.48
143 143.3
4 160 137 140 135 137
130 130
5 151 141.6 120
6 143 143.48 100
7 152 143.38 80
8 145.11 60
40
20
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Actual Sales(At) Forecasted Sales (Ft)

Smoothing Method

0
151 152
141.6 143.48
143 143.384 145.1072
7

5 6 7 8

) Forecasted Sales (Ft)

 Simple Regression method Slope
Intercept
Trendline
Period Actual Sales(At) Forecasted Sales (Ft)
1 130 142.86
2 155 144.57 Chart Title
3 145 146.29 180
4 160 148.00 160
f(x) = 1.71462857142857 x + 141.14
5 151 149.71 140
6 143 151.43 120
7 152 153.14 100

8 154.86 80
60
9 156.57
40
10 158.29
20
11 160.00
0
12 161.71 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Actual Sales(At)
Linear (Forecasted Sales (Ft))
 2
141.14
y = 1.7146x + 141.14

Chart Title

57142857 x + 141.14

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Actual Sales(At) Forecasted Sales (Ft)

Linear (Forecasted Sales (Ft))