Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Levels:
Tooling • Ideally, the purchaser should own the tooling and pay for it only once.
• Consider shipping tooling from a domestic source if transferable
Packing • This is a hidden cost (may be expensive for long distances and multiple
handlings)
• Consult a packaging supplier or internal engineer for methods to minimize
cost on international shipments
Customs Duty • Duty to be paid and whether any special rules / relaxation available while
importing
Insurance Premium • Don’t pay for extra coverage that your company may already carry for
international transactions.
Additional Fees & • Ask supplier, customs broker, and transportation personnel if other costs
Commissions may be incurred, and who is responsible for these costs.
• If your shipment is held at the port of entry due to a lack of documentation
and customs officials place it in storage, a storage fee will be billed to the
customer. (Who will pay for this?)
Communication Cost • There will be higher phone, travelling, etc costs involved
Although the most important reason for global sourcing is to lower costs, there is also significant
advantage in developing a broader supply base, increasing the number of possible suppliers from which
the buying firm can select. Increased competition will typically enable lower costs and provide
competitive pressure to suppliers that usually results in increased overall value. Overseas sources in some
industries are more advanced technology.
Companies that engage or intend to engage in international procurement need to develop a global
sourcing strategy and incorporate it into their strategic plan. The strategy should include a set of criteria
for making decisions to use international sources, the methods to be used in sourcing, contract formation
requirements and a plan for continued monitoring of performance – essentially, most of the important
elements in any sourcing strategy.
Some key objectives, other than reduced cost, are access to new skills and technology,
access to additional capacity, increased competition and the opportunity to revamp
existing process. Also, longer lead time and additional transportation cost are to be
considered.
a) Identify key global suppliers, their markets and where their major customers are
located. Understand if and how they compete with one another.
b) Match your company’s requirements to the capabilities of those suppliers to
determine if there is a potential fit in terms of technology and capacity.
c) Analyze supplier’s financial positions, both long and short terms. For gathering
date it may sometimes be required to engage a third party with expertise in that
market segment.
f) Ensure detailed specifications exists for the products you are considering
transferring.
i) Identify risk and uncertainty areas and find the ways to mitigate the risk.
• Low Cost Country Sourcing : Companies have been able to realize significant savings,
around up to 40%, in countries that are identified as low cost. Typically these countries
are in emerging regions where there may be some offsetting risk as supply chains are
developed. Some of the low cost producer countries are :
o Brazil
o Bulgaria
o China
o India
o Philippines
o Romania
o Thailand
o Ukraine
o Vietnam
B2Brazil (www.b2brazil.com/B2Brazil/principal)
B2B Manufacturers (www.manufacturers.com.tw)
China.cn (http://en.china.cn)
DIY Trade (www.diytrade.com)
EC21(www.ec21.com)
ECVV (www.ecvv.com)
Global Sources (www.globalsources.com)
Hong Kong Trade Development Center (www.hktdc.com)
Ketera (www.ketera.com)
Trade India (www.tradeindia.com)
Trade Key (www.tradekey.com)
• Market analysis : Market analysis is considerably more complex when potential sources
are spread over several nations. Financial data are often very difficult to gather, so one
may be forced to rely on consultants or external sourcing experts to help identify suitable
suppliers and local business trends. Key questions to answer: Does the supplier have the
expertise needed, the financial capability to perform, and the ability to ramp up
production if needed?
• Skills : Level of training vary widely from county to country. It is required to understand
how the potential suppliers' employees are trained and qualified and at what competency
level they operate compared to your current supplier.
• Key personnel : It is important to find out the turnover rate of key personnel. Are they
experienced or new to the industry or industry segment?
• Contracting and legal systems : Need to consider how you will deal with this
variation and enforce the terms of your contracts.
• Logistics : To check out available shipping methods and costs, along with the cost of
export and import tariffs.
• Currency : We are to choose the best currency for pricing in order to minimize currency
fluctuation risk. There can be three possible cases as following :
• Payment terms : The selling firm usually requests Letters of Credit. An open billing
account settled by wire transfer is becoming increasingly common and can provide the
same terms as those provided domestically.
• Communication : Beyond the language barrier, you need to assess the frequency of
personal contact required and the time differences.
• Risks : For obvious reasons, risk can increase significantly with offshore sources. Apart
from operational risks, we may want to place extra emphasis on political and economic
Stability if we intend to engage in long-term operations.
• References : Check local and international references regarding past performance and
problems encountered and any official government blacklist.
• Intellectual property : Many cultures do not place the same emphasis on protecting
intellectual property as we do. For example, many in China view intellectual property as a
form of exploitation by Western countries; as a result, they believe they have a right to
that property.
RISK MANAGEMENT:
RISK DEFINITION:
A situation involving exposure to danger; the possibility that something unpleasant or unwelcome will
happen; expose (someone or something valued) to danger, harm, or loss’ (Oxford English Dictionary)
- OR -
‘Effect of uncertainty on objectives. Note: effect is a deviation from the expected; uncertainty is the state
of deficiency of information relate to, understanding or knowledge of an event, its consequence or
likelihood; objectives can apply at different levels and aspects’ (BS/ISO 31000)
- OR -
‘Combination of the probability of an event and its consequence’ (ISO/IEC Guide 73)
What is Risk?
Four elements to be considered:
the possible future event and its source(s)
the possible consequence(s) of the event
the probability of the event occurring, and its severity
The length of time vulnerable to the event and consequence
Risk is where the probability of an event occurring and its consequences can be calculated from historical
data
What is Uncertainty?
Uncertainty is ‘inadequate or incomplete knowledge about the subject at issue’
• From a risk analysis perspective the level of uncertainty is ‘bounded’ by a probability
• For analysis purposes, a probability is considered a measure of uncertainty
Uncertainty is where there is a lack of knowledge – about the probability of incidence due to the lack of
reliable data (known unknown), or about the threat or opportunity itself (unknown unknown)
Risk Analysis:
In this phase severity, probability & manageability of threats are ascertained
Richer picture of the risks and uncertainties can be established to support future decision making
Techniques involved (both qualitative & quantitative):
Probability / Impact Matrix – generally 3x3, 4x4 or 5x5 matrix using numeric or
descriptive scale such as 0-1, 0%-90%, 1-5, very low-very high probability & impact
Quantitative analysis – mathematical model developed based on number of inputs &
assumptions. Output needs to be interpreted with quality of inputs & parameter settings
in mind. Eg.: Sensitivity analysis, Monte Carlo analysis & Probability Trees
Risk Response Phase:
In this phase a number of managerial interventions are developed to reduce impact or probability
of event identified and analysed.
Approach involved:
Proactive approach – aims to reduce possibility of event occurring.
Might include : changes in design, scope, processes & procedures to avoid possibility of a
future event occurring;
deciding not to proceed with a project to remove the possibility of the event happening;
contractually transferring responsibility of the risk to another party; or sharing gain &
pain with another party specified in contractual clauses
Risk Register:
Risk Probability / Impact / Manageability Matrix:
Background:
Company XYZ, an overseas manufacturer, is bidding for this tender and in the process of discussion with
ABC on commercial terms & conditions. While most of deviations shot by XYZ are being accepted or
mutually agreed by ABC, there are following areas which are now being relook by XYZ and hence to go in
for Risk Analysis by XYZ’s management.
Risks to be Evaluated:
A. The tender requires that the law of the contract be Indian and the jurisdiction over any dispute
be controlled by courts local to the purchaser. In the event of a dispute, it is unlikely therefore
that a local court would be deemed to be impartial.
B. Delivery: Customer (i.e. ABC) needs to have the first machine within 10 months from the date of
order and balance machines @2-3 months each. As per our present manufacturing schedule of,
the first machine may be rolled out some time during October’17. Considering the most optimistic
ordering by customer by October’16, XYZ is still two months long in committing 10 months
delivery. Moreover, offer may be liable to be considered as non responsive if the above
mentioned definite delivery is not offered. This involves the offer to pass through a likely
occurrence of not meeting the delivery criteria with an extremely serious potential
consequences as the offer may be likely to be rejected.
C. The liquidated damage mentioned in the tender is 0.5% per week with a maximum LD of 10%.
Also customer will have the option to cancel the order or a portion thereof if required.
D. The tender requires that the machine will be guaranteed for minimum availability of 85% for 12
months from the date of commissioning. Considering the client in India and having less
professional approach on up-keeping the machine, this involves a risk area.
E. In Indian mines pit conditions and operator efficiencies are generally well below accepted
industry standards, the effect of which is a reduction in component life.
RISK ANALYSIS:
A – The tender requires that the law of the contract be Indian and the jurisdiction over any dispute be controlled by courts
local to the purchaser. In the event of a dispute, it is unlikely therefore that a local court would be deemed to be impartial.
POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES
NOTABLE SIGNIFICANT HIGHLY SIGNIFICANT SERIOUS EXTREMELY SERIOUS CATASTROPHIC
LIKELIHOOD (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
ALMOST CERTAIN
LIKELY
UNLIKELY 14
VERY UNLIKELY
EXTREMELY
UNLIKELY
Risk Mitigation / Management Action Plan:
Whilst Indian law for the contract is acceptable to us (i.e. XYZ), in our submission we require that disputes arising from the
contract be settled under the rules of arbitration of the International Chamber of Commerce. Venue of the arbitration will be
Singapore and proceedings will be in English.
Hence after Mitigation risk score comes to be :
MANAGEABILITY
VERY EASY EASY MEDIUM DIFFICULT VERY DIFFICULT NON MANAGEABLE
LIKELIHOOD (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
ALMOST CERTAIN
LIKELY
UNLIKELY 5
VERY UNLIKELY
EXTREMELY
UNLIKELY
RISK ANALYSIS:
B – Customer (i.e. ABC) needs to have the first machine within 10 months from the date of order and balance machines @2-
3 months each. As per our present manufacturing schedule of, the first machine may be rolled out some time during
October’17. Considering the most optimistic ordering by customer by October’16, XYZ is still two months long in committing
10 months delivery. Moreover, offer may be liable to be considered as non responsive if the above mentioned definite
delivery is not offered. This involves the offer to pass through a likely occurrence of not meeting the delivery criteria with
an extremely serious potential consequences as the offer may be likely to be rejected.
POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES
NOTABLE SIGNIFICANT HIGHLY SIGNIFICANT SERIOUS EXTREMELY SERIOUS CATASTROPHIC
LIKELIHOOD (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
ALMOST CERTAIN
LIKELY 60
UNLIKELY
VERY UNLIKELY
EXTREMELY
UNLIKELY
Risk Mitigation / Management Action Plan:
In our submission we have judiciously considered the manufacturing schedule and offered a delivery of 12 months for the
first machine and the balance machines @2.5 months.
Hence after Mitigation risk score comes to be :
MANAGEBILITY
VERY EASY EASY MEDIUM DIFFICULT VERY DIFFICULT NON MANAGEABLE
LIKELIHOOD (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
ALMOST CERTAIN
LIKELY 12
UNLIKELY
VERY UNLIKELY
EXTREMELY
UNLIKELY
RISK ANALYSIS:
C – The liquidated damage mentioned in the tender is 0.5% per week with a maximum LD of 10%. Also customer will have
the option to cancel the order or a portion thereof if required.
POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES
NOTABLE SIGNIFICANT HIGHLY SIGNIFICANT SERIOUS EXTREMELY SERIOUS CATASTROPHIC
LIKELIHOOD (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
ALMOST CERTAIN
LIKELY 12
UNLIKELY
VERY UNLIKELY
EXTREMELY
UNLIKELY
Risk Mitigation / Management Action Plan:
We have countered and limited our liability to 10% through our comments against this clause. In no event will the total
aggregate of penalties and liabilities under this contract amount to more than 10% of the FOB machine value. Also we have
included our Limitation of Liability Clause to keep our overall limitation within the total contract value.
Hence after Mitigation risk score comes to be :
MANAGEBILITY
VERY EASY EASY MEDIUM DIFFICULT VERY DIFFICULT NON MANAGEABLE
LIKELIHOOD (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
ALMOST CERTAIN
LIKELY 12
UNLIKELY
VERY UNLIKELY
EXTREMELY
UNLIKELY
RISK ANALYSIS:
D – The NIT requires that the machine will be guaranteed for minimum availability of 85% for 12 months from the date of
commissioning. Considering the new manufacturing base in India, this involves a risk area.
POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES
NOTABLE SIGNIFICANT HIGHLY SIGNIFICANT SERIOUS EXTREMELY SERIOUS CATASTROPHIC
LIKELIHOOD (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
ALMOST CERTAIN
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
VERY UNLIKELY 8
EXTREMELY
UNLIKELY
Risk Mitigation / Management Action Plan:
We are passing through continuous monitoring as far as the quality measures are concerned. This will bring down the
occurrence to be very unlikely. Hence it is considered to be in same position as in Mitigation matrix.
RISK ANALYSIS:
E – In Indian mines pit conditions and operator efficiencies are generally well below accepted industry standards, the effect
of which is a reduction in component life.
POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES
NOTABLE SIGNIFICANT HIGHLY SIGNIFICANT SERIOUS EXTREMELY SERIOUS CATASTROPHIC
LIKELIHOOD (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
ALMOST CERTAIN
LIKELY 12
UNLIKELY
VERY UNLIKELY
EXTREMELY
UNLIKELY
Risk Mitigation / Management Action Plan:
The NIT language only provided limited protection against poor operating practices and machine misuse and abuse. In our
submission we have re-written the whole section relating to machine and pit operating practices to provide us with adequate
protection.
Hence in Manageability Matrix risk position remains the same.