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05/02/2020 How the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow stretch of water where ships carry $1.

arry $1.2 billion of oil every day, is at the heart of spiraling tensions with Iran | …

BRIEFING
(HTTPS://WWW.BUSINESSINSIDER.COM.AU

How the Strait of


Hormuz, a narrow
stretch of water
where ships carry
$1.2 billion of oil
every day, is at the
heart of spiraling
tensions with Iran
ALEXANDRA MA
JUL 9, 2019, 9:36 PM

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TO=&BODY=I

OF- OF- OF- OF- THOUGHT

HORMUZ- HORMUZ- HORMUZ- HORMUZ- THAT YOU'D

EXPLAINER- EXPLAINER- EXPLAINER- EXPLAINER- BE

OIL-US-IRAN- OIL-US- OIL-US- OIL-US- INTERESTED

TENSIONS- IRAN- IRAN- IRAN- IN THIS

2019- TENSIONS- TENSIONS- TENSIONS- ARTICLE

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2019- 2019-7) 2019- FROM
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A satellite image 7&TITLE=HOW+THE+STRAIT+O
of marine tra c passing through theBUSINESS
Strait of
Hormuz as on January 9, 2020.
INSIDER

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/strait-of-hormuz-explainer-oil-us-iran-tensions-2019-7?r=US&IR=T 1/21
05/02/2020 How the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow stretch of water where ships carry $1.2 billion of oil every day, is at the heart of spiraling tensions with Iran | …

Recent tensions between Iran AUSTRALIA:

(https://www.businessinsider.com/catego
HTTPS://WWW.B

and the US are threatening the safety of


OF-
the world’s ships and movement oil in
HORMUZ-
the Strait of Hormuz.
The narrow strait is the most important
EXPLAINER-

chokepoint for the world’s oil supply.


OIL-US-

Some 21 million barrels – or $US1.2


IRAN-

billion
TENSIONS-
(https://markets.businessinsider.com/co
2019-
price?type=wti) worth of oil – pass
through the strait every day. 7&SUBJECT=HOW

One way Iran could exact its revenge on


THE STRAIT

the US and its allies is by shutting or


OF HORMUZ,

harassing tankers in the strait, which


A NARROW
would disrupt oil supply and send
STRETCH OF
prices shooting up.
Visit Business Insider’s homepage for
WATER

more stories WHERE

(https://www.businessinsider.com/?
SHIPS

hprecirc-bullet).
CARRY $1.2

BILLION OF

Tensions between the West and Iran


OIL EVERY
bubbled to a historic height in recent
DAY, IS AT
days after the assassination of top
Iranian military commander Qassem
THE HEART

Soleimani OF

(https://www.businessinsider.com/category
SPIRALING

soleimani) and Tehran bombed two Iraqi


TENSIONS
bases that housed US troops
WITH IRAN)
(https://www.businessinsider.com.au/iran-
missile-strike-iraq-video-2020-1).

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/strait-of-hormuz-explainer-oil-us-iran-tensions-2019-7?r=US&IR=T 2/21
05/02/2020 How the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow stretch of water where ships carry $1.2 billion of oil every day, is at the heart of spiraling tensions with Iran | …

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THESE ARE LOADED WHISKEY CREAM BEIGNETS

They have sparked fears of wider US-Iran


attacks in the greater region, which
could take place in and around the Strait
of Hormuz, a narrow body of water
linking the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of
Oman, which feeds into Arabian Sea and
the rest of the world.

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/strait-of-hormuz-explainer-oil-us-iran-tensions-2019-7?r=US&IR=T 3/21
05/02/2020 How the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow stretch of water where ships carry $1.2 billion of oil every day, is at the heart of spiraling tensions with Iran | …

(https://static.businessinsider.com/image/5d
Google Maps/Business Insider
Map showing the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow mouth of the
Persian Gulf where 21 million barrels of oil pass through every
day.

While Iran’s leaders claim to have


“concluded” their revenge for
Soleimani’s death – and President
Donald Trump appears to believe them
(https://www.businessinsider.com.au/trum
says-iran-standing-down-after-missile-
attack-in-iraq-2020-1) – many regional
experts and diplomatic sources say Iran
could unleash other modes of attack,
which include unleashing allied militias
to disrupt the Middle East
(https://www.businessinsider.com.au/iran-
missile-strike-revenge-not-finished-
2020-1).

One strategy could include Iran closing


the Strait of Hormuz, which would stop
oil tanker traffic, disrupt global oil
supply, and send prices shooting up.

Here’s what you need to know about this


valuable strait.

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/strait-of-hormuz-explainer-oil-us-iran-tensions-2019-7?r=US&IR=T 4/21
05/02/2020 How the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow stretch of water where ships carry $1.2 billion of oil every day, is at the heart of spiraling tensions with Iran | …

Why is the Strait of


Hormuz important?
Though the strait is tiny – at its
narrowest point it is just 33 km (21 miles)
across – it’s a geopolitically and
financially crucial chokepoint.

It’s the world’s busiest shipping lane,


chiefly because there are limited
alternatives to bypass the strait. Most of
the oil that passes through the strait
come from Saudi Arabia, the US Energy
Information Administration (EIA)
reported
(https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.p
id=39932).

Some 21 million barrels of crude and


refined oil pass through the strait every
day, the EIA said, citing 2018 statistics.

That’s about one-third of the world’s sea-


traded oil, or $US1.2 billion worth of oil a
day, at current oil prices
(https://markets.businessinsider.com/comm
price?type=wti).

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05/02/2020 How the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow stretch of water where ships carry $1.2 billion of oil every day, is at the heart of spiraling tensions with Iran | …

(https://static.businessinsid
Hamad I Mohammed/Reuters
Oil tankers pass through the Strait of Hormuz on
December 21, 2018.

How important is the


strait to the US and its
allies?
The US and many of its allies have
billion-dollar reasons to protect the
Strait of Hormuz.

The majority of Saudi Arabia’s crude


exports pass through the Strait of
Hormuz, meaning much of the oil-
dependent economy’s wealth is situated

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/strait-of-hormuz-explainer-oil-us-iran-tensions-2019-7?r=US&IR=T 6/21
05/02/2020 How the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow stretch of water where ships carry $1.2 billion of oil every day, is at the heart of spiraling tensions with Iran | …

there. Saudi state-backed oil tanker


Bahri temporarily suspended its
shipments through the strait after Iran’s
missile strikes in Iran, the Financial
Times reported
(https://www.ft.com/content/161dbe52-
3211-11ea-a329-0bcf87a328f2).

The UK Royal Navy has also sent vessels


to escort British ships to protect them
from potential attacks amid the
heightened tensions, the Press
Association reported
(https://www.theguardian.com/uk-
news/2020/jan/04/royal-navy-vessels-
sent-to-protect-shipping-in-strait-of-
hormuz).

It has good reason to worry: last July,


Iran’s Revolutionary Guards seized two
British oil tankers
(https://www.businessinsider.com.au/britis
flagged-vessel-headed-for-iran-stena-
impero-2019-7) sailing in the strait’s
international waters and, according to
the UK, attempted to harass another
British tanker
(https://www.businessinsider.com.au/iran-
gunboats-try-seize-oil-tanker-persian-
gulf-uk-frigate-2019-7).

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/strait-of-hormuz-explainer-oil-us-iran-tensions-2019-7?r=US&IR=T 7/21
05/02/2020 How the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow stretch of water where ships carry $1.2 billion of oil every day, is at the heart of spiraling tensions with Iran | …

(https://static.businessinsider.com/image/5b5
Michael Gruber/Getty Images; Olivier Douliery-Pool/Getty Images;
Samantha Lee/Business Insider
A composite image of Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and US
President Donald Trump.

Last June Iran shot down a US drone


flying near the strait
(https://www.businessinsider.com.au/iran-
drone-shooting-warning-different-
airspace-accounts-2019-6), and a month
later a US warship – USS Boxer – also
shot down
(https://www.businessinsider.com.au/penta
confirms-the-uss-boxer-shot-down-an-
iranian-drone-2019-7) an Iranian drone
(https://www.businessinsider.com.au/iran-
says-us-shot-down-own-drone-mistake-
2019-7) in the same area.

Shortly after Iran’s drone attack,


President Donald Trump questioned the
US’ presence in the region, and called on
China, Japan, and other countries to
protect their own ships
(https://www.businessinsider.com.au/trum

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/strait-of-hormuz-explainer-oil-us-iran-tensions-2019-7?r=US&IR=T 8/21
05/02/2020 How the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow stretch of water where ships carry $1.2 billion of oil every day, is at the heart of spiraling tensions with Iran | …

calls-on-china-others-protect-own-
ships-iran-2019-6) passing through the
Strait of Hormuz.

Trump noted that much of China and


Japan’s oil flow through the strait, and
added: “So why are we protecting the
shipping lanes for other countries (many
years) for zero compensation.”

While a large proportion – 76% – of oil


flowing through the chokepoint does
end up in Asian countries, the US still
imports more than 30 million barrels of
oil a month from countries in the Middle
East, Business Insider has reported
(https://www.businessinsider.com.au/trum
calls-on-china-others-protect-own-
ships-iran-2019-6), citing the EIA.

That’s about $US1.7 billion worth of oil,


and 10% of the US’s total oil imports per
month.

(https://static.businessinsider.com/image/5e1

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/strait-of-hormuz-explainer-oil-us-iran-tensions-2019-7?r=US&IR=T 9/21
05/02/2020 How the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow stretch of water where ships carry $1.2 billion of oil every day, is at the heart of spiraling tensions with Iran | …

Ebrahim Noroozi/AP
Iranian mourners hold posters of Maj. Gen. Qassem Soleimani in
Tehran on January 6, 2020. He was revered in Iran.

How do US-Iran tensions


a ect it?
Oil prices swung wildly
(https://markets.businessinsider.com/comm
price-fell-after-spike-iran-missile-
attacks-reasons-why-2020-1-1028803319)
as news broke of Iran’s missile strikes on
US targets and the subsequent relief that
neither lives nor energy infrastructure
were harmed.

Iranian leaders, who have also vowed


retaliation for the death of Soleimani,
have threatened to close down the strait
multiple times
(https://www.businessinsider.com.au/us-
navy-faces-a-huge-liability-in-
countering-irans-use-of-sea-mines-2018-
8) in the past.

If Iran followed through with these


threats, it would likely cause huge
disruption to the global oil trade. As the
strait is so narrow, any sort of
interference in tanker traffic could
decrease the world’s oil supply, and send
prices shooting up.

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/strait-of-hormuz-explainer-oil-us-iran-tensions-2019-7?r=US&IR=T 10/21
05/02/2020 How the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow stretch of water where ships carry $1.2 billion of oil every day, is at the heart of spiraling tensions with Iran | …

Global oil prices have proven vulnerable


to tensions between Iran and the West
before. After the Trump administration
said in April 2019 it would stop
providing sanctions waivers to countries
who purchase Iranian oil, prices rose to
their highest level since November the
year before, Axios reported
(https://www.axios.com/iran-oil-
sanctions-waivers-price-mike-pompeo-
db296725-8f92-4d3a-9bfc-
3b708d636a81.html).

And because the US would be affected by


global oil prices, regardless of the origin
of the oil, Washington would still have
an interest in protecting the Strait of
Hormuz.

Kenneth Vincent, an economist at the


Department of Energy, told a 2017
conference
(http://press.georgetown.edu/newsfeeditem
strategy-rethinking-us-military-
commitment-defend-persian-gulf-oil),
cited by The Atlantic
(https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archi
does-us-protect-strait-hormuz/592654/):
“The origin of whatever molecules are
consumed in the United States does not
matter.”

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05/02/2020 How the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow stretch of water where ships carry $1.2 billion of oil every day, is at the heart of spiraling tensions with Iran | …

“What matters is that if there’s a


shooting war somewhere in the Middle
East, those molecules will cost more and
that will harm the American economy,”
he said.

(https://static.businessinsider.com/image/5d
AP Photo/ISNA
An oil tanker on fire in the Gulf of Oman on June 13, 2019. Iran
has denied responsibility for the attack.

How likely is Iran to shut


down the strait?
Iran is more likely to disrupt traffic in
the Strait of Hormuz than to engage in
an all-out conventional war with the US,
which is much stronger militarily.

But doing so comes with high costs to


Iran.

To close down the entire strait, Iran


would have to place at least 1,000 mines
with submarines and surface craft along
the chokepoint, security researcher
Caitlin Talmadge posited in a 2009 MIT

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/strait-of-hormuz-explainer-oil-us-iran-tensions-2019-7?r=US&IR=T 12/21
05/02/2020 How the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow stretch of water where ships carry $1.2 billion of oil every day, is at the heart of spiraling tensions with Iran | …

study
(https://dspace.mit.edu/bitstream/handle/1
2009-
Costs%20and%20Difficulties%20of%20Blo
sequence=1&isAllowed=y). Such an
effort could take weeks, the study added.

Disrupting oil traffic on the strait would


also result in oil importers around the
world looking beyond the Middle East
for their sources, and further reduce
reliance on the region.

Iran’s oil industry is already suffering


after the US imposed sanctions designed
to stop countries from importing Iranian
oil earlier this year.

As Michael Knights, a Middle East expert


at the Washington Institute think tank,
told The Atlantic last May
(https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archi
could-hit-back-boltons-us-carrier-
move/588826/): “They’d be cutting their
own throat if they close the strait.”

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