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Strategy as Simple Rules

by Kathleen M. Eisenhardt and Donald N. Sull

Reprint r0101g
When the business landscape was simple, companies
could afford to have complex strategies. But now that
business is so complex, they need to simplify. Smart
companies have done just that with a new approach:
a few straightforward, hard-and-fast rules that
define direction without confining it.

as Simple Rules
ILLUSTRATION BY MIN JAE HONG

S ince its founding in 1994, Yahoo! has emerged as


one of the blue chips of the new economy. As the
Internet’s top portal, Yahoo! generates the astounding
by Kathleen M. Eisenhardt numbers we’ve come to expect from stars of the digital
and Donald N. Sull era – more than 100 million visits per day, annual sales
growth approaching 200%, and a market capitalization
that has exceeded the value of the Walt Disney Company.
Yet Yahoo! also provides something we don’t generally
expect from Internet companies: profits.

Copyright © 2001 Harvard Business School Publishing Corporation. All rights reserved. 107
S t rat e g y a s S i m p l e Ru l e s

Everyone recognizes the unprecedented success of 50 to do.” In traditional strategy, advantage comes from ex-
Yahoo!, but it’s not easily explained using traditional ploiting resources or stable market positions. In strategy
thinking about competitive strategy. Yahoo!’s rise can’t as simple rules, by contrast, advantage comes from suc-
be attributed to an attractive industry cessfully seizing fleeting opportunities.
structure, for example. In fact, the It’s not surprising that a young com-
Internet portal space is a strategist’s The new economy’s most pany like Yahoo! should rely on strat-
worst nightmare: it’s characterized by egy as simple rules. Entrepreneurs have
intense rivalries, instant imitators, and profound strategic implication always used that kind of opportunity-
customers who refuse to pay a cent. grabbing approach because it can help
Worse yet, there are few barriers to is that companies must them win against established competi-
entry. Nor is it possible to attribute tors. What is surprising is that strategy
Yahoo!’s success to unique or valuable capture unanticipated, as simple rules makes sense for all
resources – its founders had little more kinds of companies – large and small,
than a computer and a great idea fleeting opportunities old and young – in fast-moving markets
when they started the company. As for like those in the new economy. That’s
strategy, many analysts would say it’s in order to succeed. because, while information economics
not clear that Yahoo! even has one. and network effects are important, the
The company began as a catalog of new economy’s most profound strate-
Web sites, became a content aggrega- gic implication is that companies must
tor, and eventually grew into a com- capture unanticipated, fleeting oppor-
munity of users. Lately it has become tunities in order to succeed.
a broad network of media, commerce, Of course, theory is one thing, but
and communication services. If Yahoo! putting it into practice is another. In
has a strategy, it would be very hard to fact, our recommendations reverse
pin down using traditional, textbook some prescriptions of traditional strat-
notions. egy. Rather than picking a position or
While the Yahoo! story is dramatic, leveraging a competence, managers
it’s far from unique. Many other lead- should select a few key strategic pro-
ers of the new economy, including eBay and America On- cesses. Rather than responding to a complicated world
line, also rose to prominence by pursuing constantly with elaborate strategies, they should craft a handful of
evolving strategies in market spaces that were considered simple rules. Rather than avoiding uncertainty, they
unattractive according to traditional measures. And it’s should jump in.
not exclusively a new-economy phenomenon. Companies
in even the oldest sectors of the economy have excelled
without the advantages of superior resources or strategic
Zeroing in on Key Processes
positions. Consider Enron and AES in energy, Ispat Inter- Companies that rely on strategy as simple rules are often
national in steel, Cemex in cement, and Vodafone and accused of lacking strategies altogether. Critics have de-
Global Crossing in telecommunications. rided AOL as “the cockroach of the Internet”for scurrying
The performance of all these companies – despite un- from one opportunity to the next. Some analysts accuse
attractive industry structures, few apparent resource ad- Enron of doing the same thing. From the outside, compa-
vantages, and constantly evolving strategies – raises criti- nies like these certainly appear to be following an “if it
cal questions. How did they succeed? More generally,
what are the sources of competitive advantage in high- Kathleen M. Eisenhardt is a professor of strategy and or-
velocity markets? What does strategy mean in the new ganization at Stanford University in California. Donald N.
economy? Sull is an assistant professor at Harvard Business School in
The secret of companies like Yahoo! is strategy as sim- Boston.
ple rules. Managers of such companies know that the This article is the third in a series on corporate strategy in
greatest opportunities for competitive advantage lie in the new economy that Eisenhardt has published in HBR
market confusion, so they jump into chaotic markets, in the past 20 months. The central theme of the series is that in
probe for opportunities, build on successful forays, and dynamic markets, strategy centers on processes, not posi-
shift flexibly among opportunities as circumstances dic- tions. The first two articles in the series were “Patching:
tate. But they recognize the need for a few key strategic Restitching Business Portfolios in Dynamic Markets”
processes and a few simple rules to guide them through (May–June 1999, with Shona L. Brown) and “Coevolving: At
the chaos. As one Internet executive explained: “I have Last, a Way to Make Synergies Work” (January–February
a thousand opportunities a day; strategy is deciding which 2000, with D. Charles Galunic).

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works, anything goes” approach. But that couldn’t be fur- instance, has developed a focus on customer care. The
ther from the truth. Each company follows a disciplined simple rules provide the guidelines within which man-
strategy – otherwise, it would be paralyzed by chaos. And, agers can pursue opportunities. Strategy, then, consists of
as with all effective strategies, the strategy is unique to the the unique set of strategically significant processes and the
company. But a simple-rules strategy and its underlying handful of simple rules that guide them.
logic of pursuing opportunities are harder to see than tra- Autodesk, the global leader in software for design pro-
ditional approaches. (The exhibit “Three Approaches to fessionals, illustrates strategy as simple rules. In the mid-
Strategy” compares the strategies of position, resources, 1990s, Autodesk’s markets were mature, and the company
and simple rules.) dominated all of them. As a result, growth slowed to
Managers using this strategy pick a small number of single-digit rates. CEO Carol Bartz was sure that her most-
strategically significant processes and craft a few simple promising opportunities lay in making use of those Auto-
rules to guide them. The key strategic processes should desk technologies – in areas such as wireless communica-
place the company where the flow of opportunities is tions, the Internet, imaging, and global positioning – that
swiftest and deepest. The processes might include product hadn’t yet been exploited. But she wasn’t sure which new
innovation, partnering, spinout creation, or new-market technologies and related products would be big winners.
entry. For some companies, the choices are obvious – Sun So she refocused the strategy on the product innovation
Microsystems’ focus on developing new products is process and introduced a simple, radical rule: the new-
a good example. For other companies, the selection of product development schedule would be shortened from
key processes might require some creativity – Akamai, for a leisurely 18 to 24 months to, in some cases, a hyper-

Three Approaches
to Strategy
Managers competing in business can choose among three distinct ways to fight. They can build a fortress and defend it; they
can nurture and leverage unique resources; or they can flexibly pursue fleeting opportunities within simple rules. Each approach
requires different skill sets and works best under different circumstances.

Position Resources Simple rules

Strategic logic Establish position Leverage resources Pursue opportunities

Strategic steps Identify an attractive market Establish a vision Jump into the confusion
Locate a defensible position Build resources Keep moving
Fortify and defend Leverage across markets Seize opportunities
Finish strong

Strategic question Where should we be? What should we be? How should we proceed?

Source of advantage Unique, valuable position Unique, valuable, Key processes and unique
with tightly integrated inimitable resources simple rules
activity system

Works best in Slowly changing, Moderately changing, Rapidly changing,


well-structured markets well-structured markets ambiguous markets

Duration of advantage Sustained Sustained Unpredictable

Risk It will be too difficult to alter Company will be too Managers will be too
position as conditions change slow to build new resources tentative in executing on
as conditions change promising opportunities

Performance goal Profitability Long-term dominance Growth

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kinetic three months. That changed the pace, scale, and opportunities. It may sound counterintuitive, but the
strategic logic with which Autodesk tackled technology complicated improvisational movements that companies
opportunities. like AOL and Enron make as they pursue fleeting oppor-
While a strategy of accelerating product innovation tunities arise from simple rules.
helped identify opportunities more quickly, Bartz lacked Yahoo!’s managers initially focused their strategy on
the cash to commercialize all of Autodesk’s promising the branding and product innovation processes and lived
technologies. So she added a significant new strategy: by four product innovation rules: know the priority rank
spinouts. The first spinout, Buzzsaw.com, debuted in 1999. of each product in development, ensure that every engi-
It allowed engineers to purchase construction materials neer can work on every project, maintain the Yahoo! look
using B2B exchange technology. Buzzsaw.com attracted in the user interface, and launch products quietly. As long
significant venture capital and benefited from Autodesk’s as they followed the rules, developers could change prod-
powerful brand and its customer relationships. Autodesk ucts in any way they chose, come to work at any hour,
has since created a second spinout, RedSpark, and has de- wear anything, and bring along their dogs and significant
veloped simple rules for the new key process of spinning others. One developer decided at midnight to build a new
off companies. sports page covering the European soccer champion-
A company’s particular combination of opportunities ships. Within 48 hours, it became Yahoo!’s most popular
and constraints often dictates the pro- page, with more than 100,000 hits per
cesses it chooses. Cisco, Autodesk, Lego, day. Since he knew which lines he had
Thick manuals of rules can
and Yahoo! began with strategies in to stay within, he was free to run with
which product innovation was domi- a great idea when it occurred to him.
be paralyzing.They can keep
nant, but their emphases diverged. A day later, he was back on his primary
Cisco’s new opportunities lay in the project. On a bigger scale, the simple
managers from seeing
many new networking technologies rules, in particular the requirement
that were emerging, but the company that every engineer be able to work
opportunities and moving
lacked the time and engineering tal- on every project, allowed Yahoo! to
ent to develop them all. In contrast to
quickly enough to capture them. change 50% of the code for the enor-
technology-rich and stock-price-poor mously successful My Yahoo! service
Autodesk, which focused on spinouts, four weeks before launch to adjust to
Cisco – with high market capitaliza- the changing market.1
tion – found that acquisitions was the Over the course of studying dozens
way to go. Despite its stratospheric of companies in turbulent and unpre-
market cap, Yahoo! went in yet an- dictable markets, we’ve discovered that
other direction. The company wanted the simple rules fall into five broad cat-
to exploit content and commerce op- egories. (See the exhibit “Simple Rules,
portunities but needed a lot of part- Summarized.”)
ners. Many were too big to acquire, How-to Rules. Yahoo!’s how-to
so it created partnerships. Lego’s best rules kept managers just organized
opportunities were in extending its enough to seize opportunities. Enron
power brand and philosophy into new markets. But since provides another how-to example. Its commodities-
the company faced less competition and operated at a trading business focuses strategy on the risk management
slower pace than Autodesk, Cisco, or Yahoo!, managers process with two rules: each trade must be offset by an-
could grow organically into new product markets such as other trade that allows the company to hedge its risk, and
children’s robotics, clothing, theme parks, and software. every trader must complete a daily profit-and-loss state-
ment. Computer giant Dell focuses on the process of rapid
Simple Rules for Unpredictable reorganization (or patching) around focused customer
segments. A key how-to rule for this process is that a busi-
Markets ness must be split in two when its revenue hits $1 billion.
Most managers quickly grasp the concept of focusing on Boundary Rules. Sometimes simple rules delineate
key strategic processes that will position their companies boundary conditions that help managers sort through
where the flow of opportunities is most promising. But many opportunities quickly. The rules might center on
because they equate processes with detailed routines, customers, geography, or technologies. For example,
they often miss the notion of simple rules. Yet simple when Cisco first moved to an acquisitions-led strategy, its
rules are essential. They poise the company on what’s boundary rule was that it could acquire companies with
termed in complexity theory “the edge of chaos,” provid- at most 75 employees, 75% of whom were engineers. At
ing just enough structure to allow it to capture the best a major pharmaceutical company, strategy centers on the

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Simple Rules,
Summarized
In turbulent markets, managers should flexibly seize opportunities – but flexibility must be disciplined. Smart companies focus on
key processes and simple rules. Different types of rules help executives manage different aspects of seizing opportunities.

Type Purpose Example

How-to rules They spell out key features of how Akamai’s rules for the customer service process: staff must
a process is executed – “What makes consist of technical gurus, every question must be answered
our process unique?” on the first call or e-mail, and R&D staff must rotate through
customer service.

Boundary rules They focus managers on which Cisco’s early acquisitions rule: companies to be acquired
opportunities can be pursued and must have no more than 75 employees, 75% of whom are
which are outside the pale. engineers.

Priority rules They help managers rank the Intel’s rule for allocating manufacturing capacity:
accepted opportunities. allocation is based on a product’s gross margin.

Timing rules They synchronize managers with Nortel’s rules for product development: project teams must
the pace of emerging opportunities know when a product has to be delivered to the leading
and other parts of the company. customer to win, and product development time must be
less than 18 months.

Exit rules They help managers decide when to Oticon’s rule for pulling the plug on projects in development:
pull out of yesterday’s opportunities. if a key team member – manager or not – chooses to leave the
project for another within the company, the project is killed.

drug discovery process and several boundary rules: re- consistent financial results. The English Patient, for exam-
searchers can work on any of ten molecules (no more ple, cost $27 million to make, grossed more than $200 mil-
than four at once) specified by a senior research commit- lion, and grabbed nine Oscars.
tee, and a research project must pass a few continuation Lego provides another illustration of boundary rules.
hurdles related to progress in clinical trials. Within those At Lego, the product market-entry process is a strategic
boundaries, researchers are free to pursue whatever looks focus because of the many opportunities to extend the
promising. The result has been a drug pipeline that’s the Lego brand and philosophy. But while there is plenty of
envy of the industry. flexibility, not every market makes the cut. Lego has a
Miramax – well known for artistically innovative checklist of rules. Does the proposed product have the
movies such as The Crying Game, Life is Beautiful, and Pulp Lego look? Will children learn while having fun? Will par-
Fiction – has boundary rules that guide the all-important ents approve? Does the product maintain high quality
movie-picking process: first, every movie must revolve standards? Does it stimulate creativity? If an opportunity
around a central human condition, such as love (The Cry- falls short on one hurdle, the business team can proceed,
ing Game) or envy (The Talented Mr. Ripley). Second, but ultimately the hurdle must be cleared. Lego children’s
a movie’s main character must be appealing but deeply wear, for example, met all the criteria except one: it didn’t
flawed – the hero of Shakespeare in Love is gifted and stimulate creativity. As a result, the members of the chil-
charming but steals ideas from friends and betrays his dren’s wear team worked until they figured out the an-
wife. Third, movies must have a very clear story line with swer – a line of mix-and-match clothing items that en-
a beginning, middle, and end (although in Pulp Fiction the couraged children to create their own fashion statements.
end comes first). Finally, there is a firm cap on production Priority Rules. Simple rules can set priorities for re-
costs. Within the rules, there is flexibility to move quickly source allocation among competing opportunities. Intel
when a writer or director shows up with a great script. realized a long time ago that it needed to allocate manu-
The result is an enormously creative and even surprising facturing capacity among its products very carefully,
flow of movies and enough discipline to produce superior, given the enormous costs of fabrication facilities. At

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a time of extreme price volatility in the worked, globalization was the process
mid-1980s, when Asian chip manufac- that put the company squarely in the
turers were disrupting world markets path of superior opportunities. Man-
with severe price cuts and accelerated agers drove new-country expansion
technological improvement, Intel fol- at the rate of one new country every
lowed a simple rule: allocate manufac- two months, thus maintaining con-
turing capacity based on a product’s stant movement into new opportuni-
gross margin. Without this rule, the ties. Many top Silicon Valley compa-
company might have continued to allo- nies set timing rules for the length
cate too much capacity to its traditional of the product innovation process.
core memory business rather than seiz- While it’s appealing to think that When developers approach a dead-
ing the opportunity to dominate the line, they drop features to meet the
nascent and highly profitable micro- simple rules arise from clever schedule. Such rhythms maintain
processor niche.2 movement and ensure that the mar-
Timing Rules. Many companies thinking, they rarely do. More ket and various groups within the or-
have timing rules that set the rhythm of ganization – from manufacturing to
key strategic processes. In fact, pacing is often, they grow out of experi- marketing to engineering – are on the
one of the important elements that set same beat.
simple-rules strategies apart from tradi- ence, especially mistakes. Exit Rules. Exit rules help man-
tional strategies. Timing rules can help agers pull out from yesterday’s op-
synchronize a company with emerging portunities. At the Danish hearing-
opportunities and coordinate the company’s various aid company Oticon, executives pull the plug on a
parts to capture them. Nortel Networks now relies on product in development if a key team member leaves for
two timing rules for its strategically important product another project. Similarly, at a major high-tech multina-
innovation process: project teams must always know tional where creating new businesses is a key strategic
when a product has to be delivered to the leading cus- process, senior executives stop new initiatives that don’t
tomer to win, and product development time must be meet certain sales and profit goals within two years. (For
less than 18 months. The first rule keeps Nortel in sync a look at the flip side of simple rules, see the sidebar
with cutting-edge customers, who represent the best op- “What Simple Rules Are Not.”)
portunities. The second forces Nortel to move quickly
into new opportunities while synchronizing the various
parts of the corporation to do so. Together, the rules
The Number of Rules Matters
helped the company shift focus from perfecting its cur- Obviously, it’s crucial to write the right rules. But it’s also
rent products to exploiting market openings – to “go from important to have the optimal number of rules. Thick
perfection to hitting market windows,” as CEO John Roth manuals of rules can be paralyzing. They can keep man-
puts it. At an Internet-based service company where we agers from seeing opportunities and moving quickly

What Simple Rules within the company, from purchasing to


product innovation. They may create
the plight of a newly hired associate who
turns to that rule for guidance!
Are Not a productive culture, but they provide
little concrete guidance for employees
A simple screen can help managers
test whether their rules are too vague.

I t is impossible to dictate exactly what


a company’s simple rules should be.
It is possible, however, to say what they
trying to evaluate a partner or decide
whether to enter a new market. The
most effective simple rules, in contrast,
Ask: could any reasonable person argue
the exact opposite of the rule? In the case
of the bank in Russia, it is hard to imag-
should not be. are tailored to a single process. ine anyone suggesting that the company
target overvalued companies with no po-
Broad. Managers often confuse a Vague. Some rules cover a single pro- tential for long-term capital appreciation.
company’s guiding principles with sim- cess but are too vague to provide real If your rules flunk this test, they are not
ple rules. The celebrated “HP way,” for ex- guidance. One Western bank operating in effective.
ample, consists of principles like “we Russia, for example, provided the follow-
focus on a high level of achievement and ing guideline for screening investment Mindless. Companies whose simple
contribution” and “we encourage flexibil- proposals: all investments must be cur- rules have remained implicit may find
ity and innovation.” The principles are rently undervalued and have potential for upon examining them that these rules
designed to apply to every activity long-term capital appreciation. Imagine destroy rather than create value. In one

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enough to capture them. We worked with a computer fuse, it makes sense to have fewer rules in order to
maker, for example, whose minutely structured process increase flexibility. When Cisco started to acquire aggres-
for product innovation was highly efficient but left the sively, the “75 people, 75% engineers” rule worked ex-
company no flexibility to respond to market changes. On tremely well – it ensured a match with Cisco’s entrepre-
the other hand, too few rules can also paralyze. Managers neurial culture and left the company with lots of space to
chase too many opportunities or become confused about maneuver. As the company developed more clarity and
which to pursue and which to ignore. We worked with focus in its home market, Cisco recognized the need for
a biotech company that lagged behind the competition in a few more rules: a target must share Cisco’s vision of
forming successful partnerships, a key strategic process where the industry is headed, it must have potential for
in that industry. Because the company lacked guidelines, short-term wins with current products, it must have po-
development managers brought in deal after deal, and tential for long-term wins with the follow-on product gen-
key scientists were pulled from clinical trials over and over eration, it must have geographic proximity to Cisco, and
again to perform due diligence. Senior management its culture must be compatible with Cisco’s. If a potential
ended up rejecting most of the proposals. Executives may acquisition meets all five criteria, it gets a green light. If
have had implicit rules, but nobody knew what they were. it meets four, it gets a yellow light – further consideration
One business development manager lamented: “It would is required. A candidate that meets fewer than four gets
be so liberating if only I had a few guidelines about what a red light. CEO John Chambers believes that observing
I’m supposed to be looking for.” these simple rules has helped Cisco resist the temptation
While creating the right number of rules – it’s usually to make inappropriate acquisitions. More recently, Cisco
somewhere between two and seven – is central, compa- has relaxed its rules (especially on proximity) to accom-
nies arrive at the optimal number from different direc- modate new opportunities as the company moves further
tions. On the one hand, young companies usually have afield into new technologies and toward new customers.
too few rules, which prevents them from executing inno-
vative ideas effectively. They need more structure, and
they often have to build their simple rules from the
How Rules Are Created
ground up. On the other hand, older companies usually We’re often asked where simple rules come from. While
have too many rules, which keep them from competing it’s appealing to think that they arise from clever think-
effectively in turbulent markets. They need to throw out ing, they rarely do. More often, they grow out of experi-
massively complex procedures and start over with a few ence, especially mistakes. Take Yahoo! and its partnership-
easy-to-follow directives. creation rules. An exclusive joint venture with a major
The optimal number of rules for a particular company credit card company proved calamitous. The deal locked
can also shift over time, depending on the nature of the Yahoo! into a relationship with a particular firm, thereby
business opportunities. In a period of predictability and limiting e-commerce opportunities. After an expensive
focused opportunities, a company should have more rules exit, Yahoo! developed two simple rules for partnership
in order to increase efficiency. When the landscape be- creation: deals can’t be exclusive, and the basic service is
comes less predictable and the opportunities more dif- always free.

company, managers listed their recent based bank grew to be the seventh- erations, and it got clobbered by efficient
partnership relationships and then tried largest bank in the United States by ac- competitors.
to figure out what rules could have pro- quiring more than 100 regional banks. How do you figure out if your rules are
duced the list. To their chagrin, they Banc One’s acquisitions followed a set of stale? Slowing growth is a good indicator.
found that one rule seemed to be: always simple rules that were based on experi- Stock price is even better. Investors ob-
form partnerships with small, weak com- ence: Banc One must never pay so much sess about the future, while your own fi-
panies that we can control. Another was: that earnings are diluted, it must only nancials report the past. So if your share
always form partnerships with compa- buy successful banks with established price is dropping relative to your com-
nies that are not as successful as they management teams, it must never ac- petitors’ share prices, or if your percent-
once were. Again, use a simple test – quire a bank with assets greater than age of the industry’s market value is de-
reverse-engineer your processes to de- one-third of Banc One’s, and it must allow clining, or if growth is slipping, your rules
termine your implicit simple rules. Throw acquired banks to run as autonomous af- may need a refresh.
out the ones that are embarrassing. filiates. The rules worked well until others
in the banking industry consolidated op-
Stale. In high-velocity markets, rules erations to lower their costs substantially.
can linger beyond their sell-by dates. Con- Then Banc One’s loose confederation of
sider Banc One. The Columbus, Ohio- banks was burdened with redundant op-

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At young companies, where there is no history to learn the power of buyers and sellers but does not restrict who
from, senior executives use experience gained at other can participate, so the eBay site is open to everyone,
companies. CEO George Conrades of Akamai, for exam- from individual collectors to corporations (indeed, sev-
ple, drew on his decades of marketing experience to focus eral major retailers now use eBay as a quiet channel for
his company on customer service – a surprising choice of their merchandise). The second rule gives all partici-
strategy for a high-tech venture. He then declared some pants equal access to as much information as possible.
simple rules: the company must staff the customer service This rule guided eBay managers into a series of moves
group with technical gurus, every question must be an- such as creating feedback ratings on sellers, on-line gal-
swered on the first call or e-mail, and R&D people must leries for expensive items, and authentication services
rotate through customer care. These how-to rules shaped from Lloyd’s of London.
customer service at Akamai but left plenty of room for The business meaning of community was crystallized
employees to innovate with individual customers. into a few simple rules, too: product ads aren’t allowed
Most often, a rough outline of simple rules already ex- (they compete with the community), prices for basic ser-
ists in some implicit form. It takes an observant manager vices must not be raised (increases hurt small members),
to make them explicit and then extend them as business and eBay must uphold high safety standards (a commu-
opportunities evolve. (It’s even possible to trace a young nity needs to feel safe). The rules further clarified which
company’s evolution by examining how its simple rules opportunities made sense. For instance, it was okay to
have been applied over time.) EBay, for example, started launch the PowerSellers program, which offers extra ser-
out with two strong values: egalitarianism and commu- vices for community members who sell frequently. It was
nity – or, as one user put it, “capitalism for the rest of us.” also okay to allow advertising by financial services com-
Over time, founder and chairman Pierre Omidyar and panies and to expand into Europe, because neither move
CEO Meg Whitman made those values explicit in simple broke the rules or threatened the community. On the
rules that helped managers predict which opportunities other hand, it was not okay to have advertising deals with
would work for eBay. Egalitarianism evolved into two companies such as CDnow whose merchandise competes
simple how-to rules for running auctions: the number of with the community. Only later did the economic value of
buyers and sellers must be balanced, and transactions the rules become apparent: the strength of the eBay com-
must be as transparent as possible. The first rule equalizes munity posed a formidable entry barrier to competitors,

Enron: Simple Rules and Opportunity Logic


S imple rules establish a strategic
frame – not a step-by-step recipe – to
help managers seize fleeting opportuni-
money was, Enron managers embraced
uncertainty because that’s where the
juicy opportunities lay. Enron’s managers
The company needed to provide some
structure for all this movement among
opportunities. Enter key processes and
ties. Few companies have followed the expanded from their traditional pipeline simple rules. In Enron’s commodities-
logic of opportunity or the discipline of business into wholesale energy distribu- trading businesses, for example, strategy
simple rules as consistently as Enron. Fif- tion, trading, and global energy. At a time centers on the risk management process
teen years ago, the company’s main line when other energy executives were and two simple rules: all trades must
of business was interstate gas trans- doggedly defending their regulatory pro- be balanced with an offsetting trade to
mission – hardly a market space teeming tection, Enron CEO Ken Lay aggressively minimize unhedged risk, and each
with opportunities. Today, Enron makes lobbied to accelerate deregulation in trader must report a daily profit-and-
markets in commodities ranging from order to create new opportunities for loss statement. As long as they follow
pulp and paper to pollution-emission al- Enron to exploit. these how-to rules, Enron’s traders are
lowances. It also controls an expansive Once they had plunged into the brave free to pursue new opportunities. The
fiber-optic network, and runs an on-line new world of deregulated energy, Enron strategy has led the company to pioneer
exchange – EnronOnline – whose daily managers faced a challenge common to markets for commodities that had never
trading volume ranks it among the new-economy companies but rare among been traded before, including fiber-optic
largest e-commerce sites. utilities – how to navigate among the bandwidth, pollution-emission credits,
Enron began its remarkable transfor- overabundance of opportunities. To shift and weather derivatives – contracts that
mation by embracing uncertainty. While among opportunities, Enron mostly re- allow companies to hedge their weather-
conventional wisdom dictates that man- lied on small moves, which are faster and related risk.
agers avoid uncertainty, the logic of op- safer than large ones. Often, the moves When it comes to strategic processes
portunity dictates that they seek it out. were made from the bottom – many of and simple rules, one size doesn’t fit all.
Like the outlaw Willie Sutton, who Enron’s new trading businesses began as When Enron pioneered outsourced en-
robbed banks because that’s where the one-person operations. ergy-management services in 1996, every

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while egalitarianism created a high level of trust and same strategic process, same entrepreneurial emphasis
transparency among traders that effectively differenti- on seizing fleeting opportunities, same superior wealth
ated eBay from its competitors. creation – but with totally different simple rules.
It’s entirely possible for two companies to focus on the
same key process yet develop radically different simple
rules to govern it. Consider Ispat International and Cisco.
Knowing When to Change
In the last decade, Ispat has gone from running a single It’s important for companies with simple-rules strategies
steel mill in Indonesia to being the fourth-largest steel to follow the rules religiously – think Ten Command-
company in the world by using a new-economy strategy ments, not optional suggestions – to avoid the tempta-
in an old-economy business. Founder Lakshmi Mittal’s tion to change them too frequently. A consistent strat-
strategy centers on the acquisition process. But Ispat’s egy helps managers rapidly sort through all kinds of
rules for acquisitions look a whole lot different from opportunities and gain short-term advantage by exploit-
Cisco’s for the same process. ing the attractive ones. More subtly, it can lead to pat-
Ispat’s rules include buying established, state-owned terns that build long-term advantage, such as Lego’s pow-
companies that have problems. Cisco’s rules limit its ac- erful brand position and Cisco’s interrelated networking
quisitions to young, well-run, VC-backed companies. technologies.
Ispat’s rules don’t include geographic restrictions, so man- Although it’s unwise to churn the rules, strategies do go
agers search the globe – Mexico, Kazakhstan, Ireland – for stale. Shifting the rules can sometimes rejuvenate strat-
ailing companies. At least initially, Cisco’s rules required egy, but if the problems are deep, switching strategic pro-
exactly the opposite focus – the company stayed close to cesses may be necessary. The ability to switch to new stra-
home with lots of acquisitions in Silicon Valley. Ispat fo- tegic processes has been a success secret of the best
cuses narrowly on two process technologies – DRI and new-economy companies. For example, Inktomi, a leader
electric arc furnaces – to drive companywide consistency. in Internet infrastructure software, augmented its origi-
At Cisco, the whole point is to acquire new technologies. nal strategic focus on the product innovation process with
Ispat’s rules center on finding companies in which costs a focus on the market entry process and a few boundary
can be cut from current operations. Cisco’s rules gauge rules: the company must never produce a hardware prod-
revenue gains from future products. The bottom line: uct, never interface directly with end users, and always

organization with a high energy bill was what should work. Fiber-optic cable, for ties in buying and selling broadband ca-
a potential customer. To select from the example, had little to do with Enron’s core pacity and running a fiber-optic network.
overwhelming number of opportunities, energy business, but managers quickly The Enron story also illustrates the im-
Enron managers focused on the cus- recognized its potential and backed a portance of “finishing strong” when man-
tomer-screening process and articulated winner. agers discover a huge opportunity. In
a few boundary rules to identify attrac- In uncertain markets, not every oppor- chaotic markets, the initial move, no mat-
tive customers: a target customer must tunity pans out. Savvy managers respond ter how masterful, rarely yields unam-
have outsourced before, energy must not not by making fewer moves but by cut- biguous success. Rather, initial moves un-
be the core of its business, and contacts ting their losses quickly: after Enron’s ac- earth subsequent opportunities that may
with Enron must already exist some- quisition of Portland General failed to prove huge, as e-commerce and broad-
where within the company. In addition, work out according to plan, the company band cable have for Enron. The key risks
Enron’s salespeople must deal directly quickly put the utility back on the block. in pursuing uncertain opportunities are
with the CEO or CFO, because only the Managers at Enron also try to build on that moves may become too tentative –
top executives can assess the potential for mistakes by salvaging what did work and too prone to quick retreat – and that man-
companywide savings and then commit. recombining it with other resources to agers might grow overly cautious in pur-
In four years, Enron Energy Services has create new opportunities. This recombi- suing the big opportunities that promise
grown from nothing to $15 billion in sales. nation works particularly well for large outsized payoffs. Enron has succeeded, in
When pursuing novel opportunities companies like Enron that have an abun- large part, because its managers finish
such as trading weather derivatives and dance of “genetic material” – technolo- strong. In broadband, the company rein-
providing outsourced energy manage- gies, products, and expertise – for creative forced early successes through moves
ment, it’s impossible for Enron managers combinations. So while the Portland Gen- such as delivering movies on demand in
to predict which initiatives will take off. eral acquisition as a whole failed to pan partnership with Blockbuster. Similarly,
Managers must be prepared, therefore, to out, Enron managers salvaged the util- after Enron’s initial foray into Internet
reinforce successful moves that gain trac- ity’s fledgling broadband cable business trading took off, top executives rapidly re-
tion, even if those successes run counter and combined it with Enron’s expertise in deployed resources from throughout the
to managers’ preconceived notions of trading to create a host of new opportuni- company to scale EnronOnline.

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develop software for applications with many users and competitive advantage like the ones Intel and Microsoft
transactions (this exploits Inktomi’s basic technology). achieved for over a decade. More often, the competitive
Company managers did not restrict the business or rev- advantage is short term.
enue models. The result was successful new businesses in, The more significant point, though, is that no one can
for example, search engines, caching, and e-commerce en- predict how long an advantage will last. An executive
gines. In fact, the company’s second business, caching, is must manage, therefore, as if it could all end tomorrow.
now its key growth driver. But CEO Dave Peterschmidt The new economy and other chaotic markets are too un-
and his team have recently turned their attention to the certain to do otherwise. From newcomers like Yahoo!
sales process because corporations – a much bigger cus- founder Jerry Yang, who claims, “We live on the edge,” to
tomer set than was available in their original portal mar- Dell’s Michael Dell, who famously said, “The only con-
ket – are buying Inktomi software to manage intranets, stant is change,” there’s almost universal recognition that
thus opening a massive stream of new opportunities. Ink- the most salient feature of competitive advantage in these
tomi is turning to this new opportunity flow and crafting markets is not sustainability but unpredictability.
fresh simple rules. Inktomi is thus accelerating growth by In stable markets, managers can rely on complicated
adding new processes before old ones falter. If managers strategies built on detailed predictions of the future. But
wait until the opportunity flow dries up before shifting in complicated, fast-moving markets where significant
processes, it’s already too late. (For more details on the use growth and wealth creation can occur, unpredictability
of simple rules over time, see the sidebar “Enron: Simple reigns. It makes sense to follow the lead of entrepreneurs
Rules and Opportunity Logic.”) and underdogs – seize opportunities in the here and now
with a handful of rules and a few key processes. In other
words, when business becomes complicated, strategy
What Is Strategy? should be simple.
Like all effective strategies, strategy as simple rules is
about being different. But that difference does not arise 1. Data on the Yahoo! product launch is drawn from Marco Iansiti and Alan
MacCormack,“Living on Internet Time,” HBS case no. 6-97-052, 1999.
from tightly linked activity systems or leveraged core com-
2. Data on Intel’s exit from microprocessors is drawn from Robert A. Burgel-
petencies, as in traditional strategies. It arises from focus- man, Dennis L. Carter, and Raymond S. Bamford,“Intel Corporation: The Evo-
ing on key strategic processes and developing simple rules lution of an Adaptive Organization,” Stanford Graduate School of Business
case no. SM-65, 1999.
that shape those processes. When a pattern emerges from
the processes – a pattern that creates network effects or Reprint r0101g
economies of scale or scope – the result can be a long-term To place an order, call 1-800-988-0886.

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