Professional Documents
Culture Documents
in turbulent times:
2 6 F EBRUARY 2020
2
危机
Wēi Jī
162,000,000
results CHINESE LANGUAGE SEARCHES FOR “CORONAVIRUS”
Much
10 10
8 8
6 6
is different
4 4
2 2
0 0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
this time
Source: World Bank
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
* output measured on a value-added basis in current U.S. dollars
Source: United Nations Statistics Division
8
Web Supremacy:
China internet users top combined
population of Japan, Russia, Mexico and U.S.
Number of internet users in China
800m
Much
600m
400m
Crosses 100 million users
is different
200m
0
1998 ‘02 ‘06 ‘10 ‘14 2018
this time
Data: China Internet Network Information Center; graphic by Bloomberg Businessweek.
500 466.7
413.25
400 361.42
301.89
300
242.02
193.95
200 160.51
108
100 74
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Source: Statista
9
5 Lessons
Despite the
differences, 1 2 3 4 5
5 timeless &
‘BLACK SWAN’ THERE BUT IT WILL BE THE KEY IS BE
timely lessons EVENTS CAN WILL BE A DIFFERENT MANAGING ALL PREPARED
from the past BREAK A BRAND AN AFTER PLACE TIME HORIZONS
– OR MAKE IT
are relevant ‘Black Swan’ events We don’t yet Marked by lasting Marketers who manage Fortune favours the
today: like SARS, the 2008
GFC or COVID-19 are
know when, but
when it happens,
shifts, both attitudinal
and behavioural,
to turn crisis into
opportunity are those
prepared, agile and
decisive – true in
moments-of-truth for it will happen fast, creating new needs, who consider and good times, even
brands (and marketers) - releasing pent-up new priorities – and address impacts more so in testing
of their purpose, values, demand. new competitive across the short, ones.
commitments; but equally opportunities. mid and long term.
of their agility, creativity
and spirit.
10
Economic
Contraction
CHINA TRANSPORT AT A STANDSTILL
The extensive efforts largest provinces (TRANSPORT CONGESTION INDEX, 100 CITY AVERAGE)
to contain the new suggests that activity
coronavirus have in the construction,
caused economic wholesale and retail,
growth in China to and industrial sectors
slow abruptly and are has been running at half
having repercussions the usual level. Even if
around the world. a recovery starts soon,
New data on electricity the economy will have
usage in one of China’s contracted this quarter. Source: USB, February 2020
11
Ongoing economic
impact
COVID-19
INFLUENCING → Change (possibly)
inevitable
PURCHASING
→→→
The longer it goes on,
Choosing differently,
shopping differently.
→
In times of crisis even more than in MATTER How do we get on the front foot in a
‘normal’ times, a key challenge is to LONG TERM
changed landscape?
reconcile the distinct dynamics (New Normal) → transform & be fit-for-purpose
and requirements of different time
horizons - winning in the now, while
preparing for the medium-term, and
→
transforming for longer-term growth MATTER
in changing times. How do we make up for lost ground?
MEDIUM TERM
→ leverage shifts & drive momentum
Ogilvy’s OS helps marketers manage (Recovery phase) and competitive edge
their brand as a holistic and agile
system – where every action, every
experience, builds the brand and
→
business in interconnected ways. MATTER How should we respond in
RIGHT NOW unfolding situation?
In times of crisis, the OS helps
marketers prioritise actions to take (Acute → be agile & optimise
in the heat of the outbreak, while outbreak phase)
looking ahead to ensure their brands
are primed to take advantage of the
recovery and ‘new normal’ beyond.
14
Brand actions
to matter right now: ACTIVATE PURPOSE & OPTIMISE FUNNEL MIX
DURING THE SUSTAIN ENGAGE ALL ACTIVATE SPEND SMARTER
ACUTE PHASE SHORT-TERM
SALES
AUDIENCES AND
STAKEHOLDERS
YOUR
PURPOSE
/ MORE FOR LESS
OF OUTBREAK → Re-allocate spend → Beyond customers → Do more, say less. → Make every $ count:
behind most topically- /consumers comms, leverage data analytics for
relevant segments and carry out stakeholder → Activate brand full funnel optimization & fix
purpose to support
SKUs. mapping to consider the weak links.
hygiene and virus
needs and concerns of
→ Optimise channel all stakeholders, internal
containment efforts, and → Optimise drive-to-
mix for shifts in media keep life (and livelihoods) web, drive-to-commerce;
+ external, individual +
consumption. going - add ‘brand- make online visibility +
institutional.
aligned’ value to people, transaction easier.
→ Rise above → Leverage social the community, and
self-serving and
channels for open & broader nation. → Review channel mix to
transactional - tailor secure reach vs shifts in
real-time response and
messaging and offers in
communication. → Not every brand media consumption. Put
real-time, to respond to needs to turn bets on surging channels.
shifting topical needs → Identify opportunities ‘caregiver’: support
→ Identify opportunities
and emotions. to create ‘shared value’ across all needs and
and expand database.
programs, mobilising and emotional need-states,
→ Sustain broad reach connecting all parties for in line with brand benefit
to facilitate new users
common benefit. and persona.
exposure and trial.
15
Brand actions
to matter right now: 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
ON SURGING
Online chat with friends/relatives
Online education
they’re doing now.
CHANNELS AND Cooking/baking at home People’s attitudes and
behaviours are changing
Responding, adding
value and being agile
NEW ACTIVITIES Offline learning/reading
Online entertainment
during COVID-19. As a
brand this is a moment
in the NOW, especially
in lower-familiarity
to recognise, connect, areas where people
Working out at home
engage and support will most value support
Parenting these new changes. and be open to new
brands and will support
Supervising kids’ study
Adjusting channel mix, relevancy in the LATER.
Working from home content and potential
partnerships will help
Live video/livestream
secure efficient reach
Leisure at home as well as relevance.
Nurture skin
Source: https://us.kantar.com/business/
Pet time brands/2020/survey-measures-coronavirus-
outbreak’s-impact-on-china’s-consumption/
16
Brand actions
to matter right now:
CREATE
MEANINGFUL
ACTION &
SUPPORT FOR
PUBLIC HEALTH
AND SAFETY
Unilever utilised Baidu map upgraded it’s Recognising that
livestream to connect real-time “epidemic area” customers were
with scientists and in more than 200 cities, concerned about safety.
medical professionals helping protect public Lazada provided access
to educate consumers health and safety. to infectious disease
on key points of daily The app pops up a specialists. Using its
protection. geo- tagged “surrounding in-app live-streaming
In doing so the epidemic reminder”, technology, over 21,000
company shifted focus showing real-time viewers were connected
to a ‘public service’ information such as to raise questions
messaging strategy the number of affected pertaining to the virus
on the most relevant places across the from the safety of their
brands in its portfolio. whole city. homes.
17
Brand actions
to matter right now:
SUPPORT
PARTNERS AND
ASSOCIATES
TO MANAGE
THROUGH
CONSTRAINTS Real-estate group
Wanda implemented a
Alibaba announced 20
measures to help businesses
→ Providing flexible job
opportunities to ensure
waiver of one month’s and merchants in China, income.
rent and property which included:
fees for Wanda Plaza → More tools for
nationwide, sharing
→ Reducing operational cost enterprises to accelerate
on Alibaba platforms. their digitisation.
the burden of reduced
footfall with its tenants. → Providing financial support → Remote working
by waiving or lowering management for
interest rates. enterprises.
→ Subsidising delivery
personnel and ensuring
higher logistics efficiency.
18
Brand actions
to matter right now:
SUPPORT
PARTNERS AND
ASSOCIATES
TO MANAGE
THROUGH
CONSTRAINTS
Bytedance offered Deliveroo announced Alibaba’s grocery-store
all enterprises and a 15-20% discount in network Hema Fresh hired
organisations in China commission fees to offline restaurant staff to
access to its Feishu restaurants to support create a “shared employee”
remote collaboration them as the number model. 2,700 employees
platform free of charge. of dine-in customers from 40 companies
fall, and a delayed affected obtained a job
commission payment. in Hema Fresh.
19
Brand actions
to matter right now:
BUILD MEANINGFUL
UTILITY & CONTENT
TO HELP PEOPLE TIDE
OVER CRISIS TIME
Supporting the full breadth of human needs,
both functional and emotional –
for distraction, for fitness, for boredom
relief, stress relief, for learning, connection
and everything else.
Source: Hillier, Tony: Successful Competitive Strategies Source: Binet, Les and Field, Peter: Marketing In The Era Of Accountability,
For Recession And Recovery) 2007 Base: 880 successful marketing campaigns, 1979 — 2006
24
Brand actions to
matter medium term:
CATEGORIES ARE BEING AFFECTED
– AND WILL REBOUND, DIFFERENTLY
During outbreak After outbreak
CANCEL OR REDUCE INCREASE INCREASE CANCEL OR REDUCE
Source: https://us.kantar.com/business/brands/2020/survey-measures-coronavirus-outbreak’s-impact-on-china’s-consumption/
25
Brand actions to
matter medium term:
CATEGORY FIRST-TIMERS ARE AN OPPORTUNITY
TO CONVERT INTO REGULAR USERS
PERCENTAGE OF
FIRST-TIMERS
This outbreak has also 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Brands can look for
nudged/forced many Online medical opportunities for
consumers to try something consultancy disproportionate share gains
they’ve never used before, Online
by activating their loyal
creating an opportunity for education users endorsements, and
many new sectors. competitively-designed
Work from home
software/app promotions – eg bulk buying
84% tried at least one new incentives that secure
Paying for digital
service for the first time, the entertainment service franchise through the event
highest being online medical and beyond.
Livestream app
consultancy (34%) and online
education (33%), followed by Social e-commerce/
working from home software/ community group purchase
app (29%) and paying for Buying home
digital entertainment service fitness equipment
(26%). Online banking
Source: https://us.kantar.com/business/brands/2020/survey-
measures-coronavirus-outbreak’s-impact-on-china’s-consumption/
26
Brand actions to
matter medium term:
NEW BUSINESS AND
SERVICE MODELS BORN
OUT OF NECESSITY
DURING THE CRISIS
MAY PROVIDE NEW
OPPORTUNITIES FOR Faced with the prospect of Chinese real estate company Sunac
DISRUPTION AND empty cinemas, Huanxi Media
radically changed its film
(Rongchuang) went live on an online
platform which provides real-time online
ONGOING COMPETITIVE distribution by inviting digital
pioneer Bytedance (owner of
services for consumers to virtually view,
select, consult, purchase and recommend
EDGE ACROSS TikTok) to buy the copyright
of Chinese film ‘Lost in Russia’.
houses they were unable to physically visit.
Once the platform and new behaviour
CATEGORIES The film premiered over New
Year for free on the Bytedance
established, will this fast become the new
normal in property sales?
video platform.
27
Brand actions
to matter long term: TRANSFORM TO LEAD IN A CHANGED LANDSCAPE
DURING THE BRAND SUSTAINABLE CE & CX CRISIS & DIGITAL
NEW NORMAL TRANSFORMATION TRANSFORMATION TRANSFORMATION REPUTATION
TRANSFORMATION
TRANSFORMATION
PHASE → Re-evaluate → Turn crisis-time → Re-evaluate → Implement crisis → Revisit and prioritise
brand positioning, ‘CSR’ into ongoing Customer Experience preparedness plans, digital transformation
proposition and purposeful brand for greater incl. risk-assessment goals, strategy and
portfolio priorities engagement - personalised value audit, crisis response roadmap
for accelerated across full value and responsiveness. plan and training,
growth in new chain, and across all reputation repair → Accelerate shift to
landscape / stakeholders. → Accelerate plans. mobile- and e-com-
segments. employee experience first business models.
→ Innovate to create transformation for → Update
→ Identify shared value and drive greater personalised stakeholder → Identify
opportunities for impact across locally- engagement, and influencer opportunities to
first-mover edge and category- productivity and ecosystem – accelerate digital
serving future relevant SDGs. flexibility. focus on top 100 innovation, leveraging
needs by creating stakeholders. emerging technologies
or modifying a → Leverage data and for competitive
product / service / Martech to enable → Revisit Public (and data) edge.
experience. personalisation-at- Affairs strategy and
scale. activation plans.
28
Summary
While there is uncertainty about how and when the virus will be contained,
one certainty is, the crisis will pass, and there will be an After.
When that After emerges, IPA analysis shows it is now time to take a get on the front foot to turn
the landscape will have businesses that continue more proactive stance. In shifts into long-term growth
shifted, new growth making their brand matter actions; in communications; opportunities.
opportunities will come during times of crisis are and in transformation, in
into view. rewarded with a greater both brand, product and By staying agile and
opportunity to grow trial services offerings, comms competitively-minded, these
Much has been written and shares through the and commerce channels, brands can turn bold and
about how ‘black swan’ downturn. They are also and CX. creative moves through the
events are a test of every proven to rebound faster crisis into disproportionate
brand’s purpose, values and when good times return, Marketers who manage to share gains.
commitments, however capturing more than their turn crisis into opportunity
they are also a moment- fair share of the stimulus- are those who consider and By building on them decisively
of-truth for their agility, induced bounce. address impacts across once better times return, they
creativity and resolve. all time horizons. They can turn them into sustained
As we progress through will secure the now, and growth and competitive edge.
the outbreak and beyond make up for lost ground as
the initial reactive phase, the recovery kicks in, and
29
Actions for Now
and the Future:
TOP TEN
1 6
Don’t wait for recovery;
CHECKLIST adapt to changes and
focus investment on what is
Maximise the value
and power of existing
customers.
profitable now.
2 7
Review product / SKU
Use the slowdown
portfolio due to changed
to innovate.
consumer behaviour.
3 8
Have a long-term brand/
Disruption provides
portfolio plan centered
opportunity; revisit brand
on changed consumer
value and differentiation.
behaviour.
4 9
physical brand experience. go to market plan: consider
eCommerce acceleration product mix, geography,
plan: product mix, new sales channels and
channels, data systems. customer segment focus.
5 10
Identify new growth Be ready for the After.
opportunities: new occasions, Agility is a must.
new services.
30
Making brands matter
in turbulent times:
Beyond COVID-19
Natalie Lyall
Head of Marketing, Asia
natalie.lyall@ogilvy.com
Benoit Wiesser
Chief Strategy Officer, Asia
benoit.wiesser@ogilvy.com
Scott Kronick
Chief Executive, Public Relations
& Influence, Asia
scott.kronick@ogilvy.com
31
Appendix
Sources/links: MARKET SHARE CHANGE IN FIRST TWO YEARS OF RECOVERY FROM INCREASED MARKETING SPEND IN RECESSION
Source: Hillier, Tony: Successful Competitive Strategies for Recession and Recovery
NATIONAL GDP
Source: World Bank