Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Question: 1
Topic: Individual Portfolio Management
Minutes: 35
Elisa Lima is a 34-year-old widow residing in a country that uses U.S. dollars (USD) as its
currency. She has two children: age 10 and age 6. Lima works as the director of marketing at
Relex Corporation. Exhibit 1 presents details of the financial environment in Lima’s home
country.
Exhibit 1
Selected Data from Lima’s Home Country
• Flat income tax rate of 25%.
• Wages, realized capital gains, and interest are taxed as income.
Taxes • Dividends are not taxed.
• Realized losses may be offset against income and may be
carried forward to offset income in future years.
Health insurance • Government provides at no direct cost to citizens.
• Contributions are pretax and annual maximum is USD 40,000.
• Income and gains grow tax-deferred and portfolio reallocations
Tax-deferred accounts
are not subject to tax.
(TDAs)
• Income taxes are paid on full amount of withdrawals.
• No penalties on withdrawals for housing or education.
Lima’s current pretax annual compensation is USD 140,000 and her current annual living
expenses are USD 96,000. Her future salary increases are expected to match any increases in
living expenses on a pretax basis. Lima is in good health, owns her home, and has no debt.
Lima is a disciplined investor, but a recent equity market decline caused her great anxiety. She
is worried about her ability to fund her children’s education and her retirement. Lima meets
with her financial advisor, Mark DuBord, to review her financial plan.
• Lima invests USD 12,000 (pretax) in a TDA at the end of every year and intends
to continue doing so until she retires. The current value of the TDA is
USD 250,000.
• Lima makes annual contributions to charity of USD 6,000. These contributions
are included in her annual living expenses.
• She will prepay her children’s future education costs at the end of this year.
• Lima participates in Relex’s executive retirement program. At the mandatory
retirement age of 60, she will receive a pretax payment of USD 1,000,000.
Question: #1
Topic: Individual Portfolio Management
Minutes: 35
DuBord determines that the prepaid education costs for both children will require a total of
USD 50,000, including all taxes. He recommends that Lima purchase a life annuity to fund her
retirement. DuBord calculates she will need USD 3,000,000 (pretax) to purchase the annuity at
age 60. Lima agrees with DuBord’s recommendation.
Question: 1
Topic: Individual Portfolio Management
Minutes: 35
i. liquidity
ii. time horizon
(4 minutes)
One year later, after prepaying her children’s education costs and after making her annual TDA
contribution, Lima has USD 225,000 invested in her TDA. Lima’s other financial information
remains the same.
(12 minutes)
DuBord also advises Abella Rual, Lima’s sister, a 37-year-old single woman with no children.
Rual works as a bankruptcy lawyer and is president of her own firm. Rual’s annual income is
USD 450,000 and her annual living expenses are USD 180,000. She is in good health, owns
her home, and has no debt.
Rual’s investment portfolio is currently valued at USD 1,500,000. Rual is confident that long-
term equity market returns will more than offset losses in market downturns. She continues to
invest regularly. Rual plans to retire at age 52, sell her business, and donate the proceeds to
charity. Her investment portfolio will fund her retirement expenses.
(8 minutes)
D. Determine whether Lima or Rual has a greater willingness to take risk. Justify your
response with one reason.
(3 minutes)
During a recent review with Rual, DuBord notes that tax law changes, effective next year, will
lower the tax on capital gains to 15% but eliminate the ability to offset income with realized
losses. To minimize Rual’s tax liability, DuBord is considering the optimal location (tax-
2010 Level III Guideline Answers
Morning Session - Page 3 of 67
LEVEL III
Question: 1
Topic: Individual Portfolio Management
Minutes: 35
deferred or taxable) for her assets prior to the tax law changes. DuBord and Rual agree to
maintain Rual’s current asset allocation. Rual’s investment portfolio and asset location are
shown in Exhibit 2.
Exhibit 2
Rual’s Investment Portfolio
Tax-deferred Account Taxable Account
Asset Class Current Value Current Value Cost Basis
(USD) (USD) (USD)
Bonds 250,000 500,000 550,000
Equities 500,000 250,000 150,000
Total 750,000 750,000 700,000
DuBord recommends the transactions necessary to achieve the most tax efficient asset allocation
of bonds and equities in each account.
E. i. Determine the “sell” amount of bonds and the “sell” amount of equities to
achieve the most tax-efficient allocation in each account (tax-deferred and
taxable).
ii. Determine the “buy” amount of bonds and the “buy” amount of equities to
achieve the most tax-efficient allocation in each account (tax-deferred and
taxable).
iii. Justify, with two reasons, why this is the most tax-efficient allocation.
(8 minutes)
Question: 1
Topic: Individual Portfolio Management
Minutes: 35
Bonds
Equities
ii. Determine the “buy” amount of bonds and the “buy” amount of
equities to achieve the most tax-efficient allocation in each account
Asset class (tax-deferred and taxable).
Tax-deferred Account Taxable Account
Bonds
Equities
iii. Justify, with two reasons, why this is the most tax-efficient allocation.
1.
2.
Question: 1
Topic: Individual Portfolio Management
Minutes: 35
Reading References:
14. “Managing Individual Investor Portfolios,” Managing Investment Portfolios: A Dynamic
Process, 3rd edition, James W. Bronson, Matthew H. Scanlan, and Jan R. Squires (CFA
Institute, 2007).
15. “Taxes and Private Wealth Management in a Global Context” Steve M. Horan and
Thomas R. Robinson CFA (CFA Institute, 2009).
Purpose:
To test the candidate’s: (1) understanding of the investment policy statement for an individual
investor, (2) ability to assess pertinent factors for an investor’s ability to assume risk, (3) ability
to calculate an investor’s required return, (4) understanding of an investor’s other constraint
factors (5) ability to assess the benefit of Tax Loss harvesting, and (6) ability to distinguish key
differences between human and financial capital.
Question: 1
Topic: Individual Portfolio Management
Minutes: 35
m) determine the strategic asset allocation that is most appropriate for an individual
investor’s specific investment objectives and constraints;
n) compare and contrast traditional deterministic versus Monte Carlo approaches to
retirement planning and explain the advantages of a Monte Carlo approach.
LOS 2010 –III-3-15-e, h “Taxes and Private Wealth Management in a Global Context”
The candidate should be able to:
a) compare and contrast basic global taxation regimes as they relate to the taxation of
dividend income, interest income, realized capital gains, and unrealized capital
gains;
b) determine the impact of different types of taxes and tax regimes on future wealth
accumulation;
c) calculate accrual equivalent tax rates and after-tax rates;
d) explain how investment return and investment horizon affect the tax impact
associated with an investment;
e) discuss the tax profiles of different types of investment accounts and explain
their impact on after-tax returns and future accumulations;
f) explain how taxes affect investment risk;
g) discuss the relationship between after-tax returns and different types of investor
trading behavior;
h) explain the benefits of tax loss harvesting and highest-in/first-out (HIFO) tax
lot accounting;
i) demonstrate how taxes and asset location relate to mean-variance optimization;
Question: 1
Topic: Individual Portfolio Management
Minutes: 35
Guideline Answer:
PART A
PART B
Lima’s expenses are USD 96,000. Given the tax rate of 25%, Lima will need 96,000 / (1 - 0.25)
or USD 128,000 of pre-tax income to generate the after-tax income for meeting these expenses.
Therefore Lima’s current pretax annual compensation of USD 140,000 will support a tax-
deferred contribution of 140,000 – 128,000 or USD 12,000. Lima’s income is expected to grow
with her expenses over the remainder of her working life; therefore, the USD 12,000 contribution
to the TDA can be continued annually.
Question: 1
Topic: Individual Portfolio Management
Minutes: 35
PART C
PART D
Question: 1
Topic: Individual Portfolio Management
Minutes: 35
PART E
The appropriate division of funds that would maximize Rual’s advantage from the new tax law
change is accomplished by holding all of the bonds in the TDA, and all of the equities in the
taxable account.
The resulting investment portfolio of both taxable and tax-deferred accounts is as follows:
Question: 1
Topic: Individual Portfolio Management
Minutes: 35
ii. Determine the “buy” amount of bonds and the “buy” amount of
equities to achieve the most tax-efficient allocation in each account
Asset class (tax-deferred and taxable).
Tax-deferred Account Taxable Account
iii. Justify, with two reasons, why this is the most tax-efficient allocation.
Selling the bonds in the taxable account results in realizing taxable losses equal to USD 50,000 at
the current tax rate of 25%, which can then be used to offset income. After the tax law change, the
loss cannot be used to offset or reduce taxable income.
Under the new tax laws, interest income will continue to be taxed at 25%, realized capital gains
will be taxed at 15% and dividends will not be taxed. These trades place the higher taxed income-
oriented assets in the tax-deferred account and the lower taxed capital gain and dividend paying
assets in the taxable account. In addition, choosing to defer sales of equities that appreciated in
value is justified because gains will be taxed at a lower rate in the future.
Question: 2
Topic: PM – Institutional/Behavioral - Insurance
Minutes: 25
Island Life Assurance is a specialty life insurance company that markets its products globally.
Its sole business is selling fixed-rate and variable annuity contracts. Island Life maintains
accounting records in U.S. dollars (USD) and segments its fixed-rate and variable contract assets
into separate investment portfolios to better match assets and liabilities.
Both fixed-rate and variable contracts have surrender clauses. The clauses allow the owner to
terminate the contract for the original investment plus accrued earnings at the two-year
anniversary of the contract. After the two-year period, the contracts cannot be surrendered for
the remainder of the original term.
Island Life’s fixed-rate annuities are sold with an initial 10-year term. Earning rates are
guaranteed and are based on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield at the time the contract is sold.
Island Life invests its fixed-rate portfolio in government bonds issued by G7 countries and
investment grade corporate bonds. Island Life currently has a small surplus in its fixed rate
business. The weighted average duration of the assets is lower than the weighted average
duration of the liabilities. Island Life’s economist forecasts that global interest rates will rise
over the next two years.
Island Life’s variable annuity products are sold with an initial 20-year term. These contracts pay
a return at maturity based on one of several global stock market index returns over that period.
Island Life pays its corporate tax liabilities at year end. Local tax regulations require:
Question: 2
Topic: PM – Institutional/Behavioral - Insurance
Minutes: 25
i. surplus
ii. reinvestment risk
iii. expected surrender rate
(9 minutes)
B. Identify two of Island Life’s investment policy constraints that are affected by the
surrender clause. Explain how each constraint is affected.
(6 minutes)
Kyle Stewart manages Island Life’s fixed-rate portfolio. Stewart previously managed a fixed
income portfolio during a period of rising interest rates. The portfolio experienced large losses
that took years to recover.
Global interest rates have ranged from 0.4 to 0.8 times the historical average over the past two
years. Based on this information, Stewart forecasts interest rates to rise into a narrow band
between 1.15 and 1.20 times the historical average. As a result, Stewart reallocates the fixed-rate
portfolio assets to a very short duration relative to the duration of Island Life’s fixed-rate
liabilities. The government bond portion of Stewart’s portfolio reflects his longstanding
preference to equally weight all G7 countries.
In the months since he first moved to a short duration strategy, market interest rates have
consistently decreased. Stewart continues to maintain his interest rate forecast and portfolio
strategy. He states:
Question: 2
Topic: PM – Institutional/Behavioral - Insurance
Minutes: 25
i. gambler’s fallacy
ii. naïve diversification
iii. regret
(6 minutes)
(4 minutes)
Question: 2
Topic: PM – Institutional/Behavioral - Insurance
Minutes: 25
Increase
i. surplus No change
Decrease
Increase
ii. reinvestment
No change
risk
Decrease
Increase
iii. expected
No change
surrender rate
Decrease
Question: 2
Topic: PM – Institutional/Behavioral - Insurance
Minutes: 25
Reading References:
“Managing Institutional Investor Portfolios,” Ch. 3, Managing Investment Portfolios: A Dynamic
Process, 3rd edition, R. Charles Tschampion, Laurence B. Siegel, Dean J. Takahashi, and
John L. Maginn (CFA Institute, 2007).
“Heuristic-Driven Bias: The First Theme,” Ch. 2, Beyond Greed and Fear: Understanding
Behavioral Finance and the Psychology of Investing, Hersh Shefrin (Oxford University
Press, 2002).
“Frame Dependence: The Second Theme,” Ch. 3, Beyond Greed and Fear: Understanding
Behavioral Finance and the Psychology of Investing, Hersh Shefrin (Oxford University
Press, 2002).
“Inefficient Markets: The Third Theme,” Ch. 4, Beyond Greed and Fear: Understanding
Behavioral Finance and the Psychology of Investing, Hersh Shefrin (Oxford University
Press, 2002).
“Portfolios, Pyramids, Emotions, and Biases,” Ch.10, Beyond Greed and Fear: Understanding
Behavioral Finance and the Psychology of Investing, Hersh Shefrin (Oxford University
Press, 2002).
Purpose:
To test knowledge and use of investment policies for insurance companies and general
behavioral finance issues as they relate to institutional investors.
LOS: 2010-III-20-j,l,m
“Managing Institutional Investor Portfolios”
The candidate should be able to
a) contrast a defined-benefit plan to a defined-contribution plan, from the perspective of the
employee and employer and discuss the advantages and disadvantages of each;
b) discuss investment objectives and constraints for defined-benefit plans;
c) evaluate pension fund risk tolerance when risk is considered from the perspective of the
(1) plan surplus, (2) sponsor financial status and profitability, (3) sponsor and pension fund
common risk exposures, (4) plan features, and (5) workforce characteristics;
d) formulate an investment policy statement for a defined-benefit plan;
e) evaluate the risk management considerations in investing pension plan assets;
f) formulate an investment policy statement for a defined-contribution plan;
g) discuss hybrid pension plans (e.g., cash balance plans) and employee stock ownership
plans;
h) distinguish among various types of foundations, with respect to their description,
purpose, source of funds, and annual spending requirements;
i) compare and contrast the investment objectives and constraints of foundations,
endowments, insurance companies, and banks;
j) formulate an investment policy statement for a foundation, an endowment, an
insurance company, and a bank;
2010 Level III Guideline Answers
Morning Session - Page 16 of 67
LEVEL III
Question: 2
Topic: PM – Institutional/Behavioral - Insurance
Minutes: 25
k) contrast investment companies, commodity pools, and hedge funds to other types of
institutional investors;
l) discuss the factors that determine investment policy for pension funds, foundations,
endowments, life and nonlife insurance companies, and banks;
m) compare and contrast the asset/liability management needs of pension funds,
foundations, endowments, insurance companies, and banks;
n) compare and contrast the investment objectives and constraints of institutional investors
given relevant data, such as descriptions of their financial circumstances and attitudes toward
risk.
2010-III-7-a
“Heuristic-Driven Bias: The First Theme”
The candidate should be able to
a) evaluate the impact of heuristic-driven biases on investment decision making,
including representativeness, overconfidence, anchoring-and-adjustment, and
aversion to ambiguity.
2010-III-8-b
“Frame Dependence: The Second Theme”
The candidate should be able to
a) explain how loss aversion can result in investors’ willingness to hold on to
deteriorating investment positions;
b) evaluate the impact that the emotional frames of self-control, regret
minimization, and money illusion have on investor behavior.
2010-III-9-a,b
“Inefficient Markets: The Third Theme”
The candidate should be able to
a) evaluate the impact that representativeness, conservatism (anchoring-and-
adjustment), and frame dependence may have on security pricing and discuss
the implications for market efficiency;
b) discuss the implications of investor overconfidence when trading.
2010-III-10-c
“Portfolios, Pyramids, Emotions, and Biases”
The candidate should be able to
a) discuss the influence of hope and fear on investors’ desire for security and
investment potential;
b) explain how portfolios can be structured as layered pyramids and how such
structures address needs associated with security, potential, and aspiration;
c) evaluate the impact of excessive optimism and overconfidence on investors’
decisions regarding portfolio construction.
2010 Level III Guideline Answers
Morning Session - Page 17 of 67
LEVEL III
Question: 2
Topic: PM – Institutional/Behavioral - Insurance
Minutes: 25
Guideline Answer:
PART A
Decrease
All else equal, contracts not yet past the surrender date
offer an inferior expected return versus that of
Increase competing investments with higher interest rates.
Annuity owners can be expected to surrender their
iii. expected current contracts to reinvest in competing investments
surrender rate offering higher yields.
No change
Decrease
2010 Level III Guideline Answers
Morning Session - Page 18 of 67
LEVEL III
Question: 2
Topic: PM – Institutional/Behavioral - Insurance
Minutes: 25
PART B
The surrender clause creates the potential for significant changes in time horizon and liquidity
constraints. Potential surrenders at the two-year anniversary would shorten the investment time
horizon and require sufficient liquidity to meet these surrenders.
PART C
Naïve Diversification Stewart’s preference to equally weight government bonds from all G-
7 countries reflects naïve diversification.
PART D
Stewart’s forecasting and decision making reflect the behavioral bias of overconfidence in the
following ways:
Question: 3
Topic: Institutional (Pension)
Minutes: 24
Ed Schlipp is a pension fund consultant. Clients include Apax Bakers, CarbX Corp, and
DataComp. He works with all clients to link assets and liabilities for their respective pension
plans.
Apax is a major supplier of bread to retailers and restaurants. Apax generates all of its revenues
in the U.S. and has been profitable in recent years. The outlook for future profitability of the
company is positive.
Apax operates a defined benefit pension plan with 1 billion U.S. dollars (USD) in assets. Strong
investment performance created a pension surplus of USD 95 million. The Apax pension plan
has a growing ratio of inactive to active members and is now closed to new participants. Plan
benefits are not inflation indexed.
A. Identify three factors that affect Apax pension plan’s ability to take risk. Determine
whether each factor increases or decreases the plan’s ability to take risk. Justify each
response with one reason.
(12 minutes)
DataComp is a growing and profitable U.S.-based software company that markets its products
globally. Its defined benefit pension plan was recently established and has a surplus. The plan
has no inactive participants and is open to future participants. Plan benefits are not inflation
indexed.
Schlipp has gathered data on the current asset allocation for each of the three pension plans,
which are shown in Exhibit 1.
Question: 3
Topic: Institutional (Pension)
Minutes: 24
Exhibit 1
Current Pension Plan Asset Allocations
Apax CarbX
Asset Class DataComp
Bakers Corp
Nominal bonds 90% 90% 60%
Real rate bonds 10% 0% 20%
Equity 0% 10% 20%
Schlipp’s recommendation for all three clients is to create an asset portfolio that better mimics
liabilities. He examines various potential trades (shown in Exhibit 2) to achieve this
recommendation.
Exhibit 2
Potential Trades
Trade Sell Buy
A 10% nominal bonds 10% real rate bonds
B. Determine, from the potential trades in Exhibit 2, which trade would be most appropriate
to achieve Schlipp’s recommendation for each company:
(12 minutes)
Question: 3
Topic: Institutional (Pension)
Minutes: 24
increases
1.
decreases
increases
2.
decreases
increases
3.
decreases
Question: 3
Topic: Institutional (Pension)
Minutes: 24
Trade B
i. Apax Bakers
Trade C
Trade D
Trade A
Trade B
ii. CarbX Corp
Trade E
Trade F
Trade B
Trade C
iii. DataComp
Trade E
Trade F
2010 Level III Guideline Answers
Morning Session - Page 23 of 67
LEVEL III
Question: 3
Topic: Institutional (Pension)
Minutes: 24
Reading References:
2010 Level III, Volume 2, Study Session 5, Reading 20, pp 366-382
“Managing Institutional Investor Portfolios,” Managing Investment Portfolios: A Dynamic
Process, 3rd edition, R. Charles Tschampion, CFA, Laurence B. Siegel, Dean J. Takahashi, and
John L. Maginn, CFA (CFA Institute, 2007)
Purpose: To test knowledge and understanding of various aspects of risk as it relates to defined
benefit pension plans.
LOS: 2010-III-20
20. “Managing Institutional Investor Portfolios”
The candidate should be able to:
a) contrast a defined-benefit plan to a defined-contribution plan, from the perspective
of the employee and employer and discuss the advantages and disadvantages of
each;
b) discuss investment objectives and constraints for defined-benefit plans;
c) evaluate pension fund risk tolerance when risk is considered from the
perspective of the (1) plan surplus, (2) sponsor financial status and
profitability, (3) sponsor and pension fund common risk exposures, (4) plan
features, and (5) workforce characteristics;
d) formulate an investment policy statement for a defined-benefit plan;
e) evaluate the risk management considerations in investing pension plan assets;
f) formulate an investment policy statement for a defined-contribution plan;
g) discuss hybrid pension plans (e.g., cash balance plans) and employee stock
ownership plans;
h) distinguish among various types of foundations, with respect to their description,
purpose, source of funds, and annual spending requirements;
i) compare and contrast the investment objectives and constraints of foundations,
endowments, insurance companies, and banks;
j) formulate an investment policy statement for a foundation, an endowment, an
insurance company, and a bank;
k) contrast investment companies, commodity pools, and hedge funds to other types of
institutional investors;
l) discuss the factors that determine investment policy for pension funds, foundations,
endowments, life and nonlife insurance companies, and banks;
Question: 3
Topic: Institutional (Pension)
Minutes: 24
LOS: 2010-III-21
21. “Linking Pension Liabilities to Assets”
The candidate should be able to:
a) contrast the assumptions concerning pension liability risk in asset-only and liability-
relative approaches to asset allocation;
b) discuss the fundamental and economic exposures of pension liabilities and identify
asset types that mimic these liability exposures;
c) compare pension portfolios built from a traditional asset-only perspective to portfolios
designed relative to liabilities and discuss why corporations may choose not to implement
fully the liability mimicking portfolio.
Question: 3
Topic: Institutional (Pension)
Minutes: 24
Guideline Answer:
PART A
Question: 3
Topic: Institutional (Pension)
Minutes: 24
PART B
Trade F
Trade F
Question: 4
Topic: Economics
Minutes: 14
Francisco Martin and Emma Liu are analysts at the same firm. Martin uses the cyclical indicator
approach to formulate his equity market outlook, whereas Liu uses microvaluation analysis to
develop her equity market outlook. Martin and Liu have conflicting views on the current outlook
for the U.S. equity market.
Martin prepares Exhibit 1, a table of recent values of selected U.S. cyclical indicators. He makes
the following observation: “Several leading indicators suggest further deterioration in economic
conditions. Based on the cyclical indicator approach, these developments are clearly unfavorable
for the U.S. equity market.”
Exhibit 1
Selected U.S. Cyclical Indicators
Value as of Value as of
Indicator 31 December 31 March
2009 2010
Average duration of unemployment (weeks) 18.1 18.2
Average prime rate 5.0% 5.0%
Average weekly hours of manufacturing workers 40.3 39.2
Index of consumer expectations 59.8 49.2
Labor cost per unit of output, manufacturing 124.1 125.3
Index of new private housing starts authorized by local building permits 2429 2120
Manufacturing and trade sales (in U.S. dollar billions) 989 920
Ratio of consumer installment credit outstanding to personal income 0.175 0.186
Consumer price index (inflation rate) for services 217.7 216.8
Interest rate spread, 10-year Treasury bonds less federal funds rate 2.22% 2.45%
A. Identify two leading cyclical indicators in Exhibit 1 that support Martin’s observation
regarding the U.S. equity market. Explain how the change in value of each of these
indicators supports Martin’s observation.
(6 minutes)
(4 minutes)
Question: 4
Topic: Economics
Minutes: 14
Liu responds to Martin’s observation: “The economy appears to be weakening, but I believe this
has already been priced into the market. The S&P 500 Index is currently at 760. Inflation is low
and corporate earnings of the S&P 500 Index constituents are $51.80. The dividend yield (on a
trailing annual basis) is 3.5% and I expect the dividend growth rate to be constant at 5%. With
the risk-free rate at 2%, if I assume a 6% equity risk premium, both the dividend discount model
and the earnings multiplier approach indicate that the equity market is undervalued at these
levels.”
C. Calculate the intrinsic value of the S&P 500 Index using the constant growth dividend
discount model of market valuation and the information provided by Liu. Show your
calculations.
(4 minutes)
Question: 4
Topic: Economics
Minutes: 14
Reading References:
2010 Level III, Volume 3, Study Sessions 6 – 7
23. “Capital Market Expectations,” Ch. 4, Managing Investment Portfolios: A Dynamic
Process, 3rd edition, John P. Calverley, Alan M. Meder, Brian D. Singer, and Renato
Staub (CFA Institute, 2007).
24. “Macroanalysis and Microvaluation of the Stock Market,” Ch. 12, Investment Analysis
and Portfolio Management, 8th edition, Frank K. Reilly and Keith C. Brown (South
Western, 2006).
LOS: 2010-III-6-23-e,f
23. “Capital Market Expectations”
The candidate should be able to
a) discuss the role of, and a framework for, capital market expectations in the portfolio
management process;
b) discuss, in relation to capital markets expectations, the limitations of economic data,
data measurement errors and biases, the limitations of historical estimates, ex post
risk as a biased measure of ex ante risk, biases in analysts’ methods, the failure to
account for conditioning information, the misinterpretation of correlations,
psychological traps, and model uncertainty;
c) demonstrate the application of formal tools for setting capital market expectations,
including statistical tools, discounted cash flow models, the risk premium approach,
and financial equilibrium models;
d) explain the use of survey and panel methods and judgment in setting capital market
expectations;
e) discuss the inventory and business cycles, the impact of consumer and business
spending, and monetary and fiscal policy on the business cycle;
f) discuss the impact that the phases of the business cycle have on short-
term/long-term capital market returns;
g) explain the relationship of inflation to the business cycle and the implications of
inflation for cash, bonds, equity, and real estate returns;
h) demonstrate the use of the Taylor rule to predict central bank behavior;
i) evaluate (1) the shape of the yield curve as an economic predictor and (2) the
relationship between the yield curve and fiscal and monetary policy;
j) identify and interpret the components of economic growth trends and demonstrate
the application of economic growth trend analysis to the formulation of capital
market expectations;
k) discuss the risks faced by investors in emerging-market securities and the country
risk analysis techniques used to evaluate emerging market economies;
l) identify and interpret macroeconomic and interest and exchange rate links between
economies;
m) compare and contrast the major approaches to economic forecasting;
2010 Level III Guideline Answers
Morning Session - Page 30 of 67
LEVEL III
Question: 4
Topic: Economics
Minutes: 14
o) evaluate how economic and competitive factors affect investment markets, sectors,
and specific securities;
p) identify and interpret the major approaches to forecasting exchange rates;
q) recommend and justify changes in the component weights of a global investment
portfolio based on trends and expected changes in macroeconomic factors.
LOS: 2010-III-7-24-a,c
24. “Macroanalysis and Microvaluation of the Stock Market”
The candidate should be able to
a) contrast leading, lagging, and coincident economic indicators and explain the
relationship between these cyclical indicator categories and stock market
valuation;
b) demonstrate how changes in money supply, inflation, and interest rates influence
stock and bond prices;
c) demonstrate the use of the dividend discount model, the free cash flow to
equity model, and the earnings multiplier approach in estimating the value of
the aggregate stock market;
d) compare and contrast alternative approaches with the estimation of earnings per
share;
e) formulate and explain the “direction of change” and the “specific estimate”
approaches to estimating an earnings multiplier for a stock market series;
f) evaluate the intrinsic value and estimated rate of return of the stock market by
estimating future earnings per share and determining an appropriate earnings
multiplier.
Question: 4
Topic: Economics
Minutes: 14
Guideline Answer:
PART A
There are three leading cyclical indicators in Exhibit 1 that support Martin’s observation:
The only other leading indicator is Interest rate spread. The widening of the spread over the last
three months does not support Martin’s observation about the direction of the economy, since it
indicates that the yield curve has steepened. A flattening yield curve would be indicative of a
weakening economy.
A leading economic indicator (LEI) is an economic time series that varies with the business
cycle, but at a fairly consistent time interval before a turn in the business cycle. LEIs usually
reach peaks or troughs before corresponding peaks or troughs in aggregate economic activity.
Analysts are interested in LEIs because they may provide information about upcoming changes
in economic activity, inflation, interest rates, and security prices.
The leading indicators referenced by Martin focus on business activity and consumer sentiment
and activity. Each indicator shows a decrease during the quarter, suggesting that the economy is
weakening. The weakening economy should have a negative effect on equity market returns as
expectations are priced into the market.
PART B
Limitations of the Cyclical Indicator Approach are as follows:
• False Signals – This occurs when a series that is moving in one direction suddenly
reverses and nullifies a prior signal, or hesitates, which is difficult to interpret.
• Currency of the Data and Revisions – Some data series are reported with a lag.
Also, revisions in data can change the magnitude of the signal, and even change
the direction implied by the original data.
• Economic Sectors Not Reported – Examples include the service sector, import-
exports, and many international series.
• Changes in Relationships among Economic Variables – unstable relationships
might invalidate assumptions about the effects of changes in a variable.
2010 Level III Guideline Answers
Morning Session - Page 32 of 67
LEVEL III
Question: 4
Topic: Economics
Minutes: 14
PART C
P = D1 / (k-g)
Where:
P = intrinsic value
D0 = current dividend rate
D1 = dividend rate in period 1
g = constant growth rate of dividends
k = the required rate of return for stock market (risk free rate + equity risk premium)
Calculate D1 = D0 * (1+g):
D1 = (760*.035)*(1+.05)
=27.93
Calculate k-g:
k-g = (.02+.06)-(.05)
=.03
DDM:
D1 / (k-g) = 27.93 / .03 = 931
Question: 5
Topic: Asset Allocation
Minutes: 15
Bill Tubduhl is a consultant to the board of directors of the U.S.-based Thompson Foundation.
The board asks Tubduhl to recommend an asset allocation for Thompson. Tubduhl reviews key
objectives of the Thompson investment policy statement shown in Exhibit 1.
Exhibit 1
Thompson Foundation
Key Objectives of Investment Policy Statement
Return objective:
• Required annual rate of return on investment portfolio is 9.6%.
Risk objectives:
• Diversify the portfolio consistent with prudent investment practices.
• Minimize portfolio risk while achieving return objective.
• Leverage is not allowed.
For the strategic asset allocation analysis, Tubduhl has generated the corner portfolios shown in
Exhibit 2.
Exhibit 2
Corner Portfolios
(Risk-free Rate = 3.0%)
Asset Class Portfolio Weights (%)
Annual
Annual Inter-
Corner Expected Long-
Expected Sharpe Non- mediate- Non-
Portfolio Standard U.S. term Real
Return Ratio U.S. term U.S.
Number Deviation Equities U.S. Estate
(%) Equities U.S. Bonds
(%) Bonds
Bonds
1 10.9 16.3 0.48 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 10.5 14.7 0.51 82.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.6
3 10.2 13.7 0.53 74.1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.9
4 9.4 10.1 0.63 33.7 12.0 36.7 0.0 0.0 17.6
5 8.8 8.6 0.67 31.4 12.0 26.7 13.0 0.0 16.9
6 8.2 7.3 0.71 25.0 11.8 0.0 45.3 3.4 14.5
7 6.9 5.3 0.74 0.0 13.7 0.0 53.0 27.1 6.2
8 6.4 4.9 0.69 0.0 11.2 0.0 53.0 31.5 4.3
Question: 5
Topic: Asset Allocation
Minutes: 15
A. Select the two adjacent corner portfolios to be used in finding the most appropriate
strategic asset allocation for Thompson’s investment portfolio.
(3 minutes)
B. Determine the most appropriate allocation between the two adjacent corner portfolios
selected in Part A.
(3 minutes)
C. Determine the percentage that would be invested in real estate based on the most
appropriate strategic asset allocation.
(3 minutes)
Tubduhl also advises Jack Slifer, a U.S. investor, who is considering the addition of high yield
bonds to his portfolio. Based on Tubduhl’s research, U.S. high yield bonds have an expected
return of 6.5%, an expected standard deviation of 10.5%, and a predicted correlation with Slifer’s
portfolio of 0.6. Slifer’s portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 0.46. The risk-free rate is 3.0%.
D. Determine, based on the Sharpe ratio criterion, if Tubduhl should include U.S. high yield
bonds in Slifer’s portfolio. Justify your response with one reason. Show your
calculations.
(3 minutes)
At his next meeting with Slifer, Tubduhl proposes adding Chinese equities to the portfolio. The
expected return on Chinese equities is 14.0% with an expected standard deviation of 23.5% (both
in local currency). The expected standard deviation of the U.S. dollar/Chinese yuan exchange
rate is 6.0% and the predicted correlation between Chinese equity returns in local currency and
exchange rate movements is 0.2.
E. Calculate the risk of Slifer’s investment in Chinese equities measured in U.S. dollar
terms. Show your calculations.
(3 minutes)
Question: 5
Topic: Asset Allocation
Minutes: 15
Reading References:
“Asset Allocation,” Ch. 5, Managing Investment Portfolios: A Dynamic Process, 3rd edition,
William F. Sharpe, Peng Chen, Jerald E. Pinto, and Dennis W. McLeavey (CFA Institute, 2007)
“The Case for International Diversification,” Ch. 9, Global Investments, 6th edition, Bruno Solnik
and Dennis McLeavey (Addison Wesley, 2008)
Purpose:
To test the candidate’s ability to determine an appropriate asset allocation for an investor.
LOS: 2010-III-8-26- g, h, I, j, m, n, o
Question: 5
Topic: Asset Allocation
Minutes: 15
o) contrast the characteristic issues relating to asset allocation for individual investors
versus institutional investors and critique a proposed asset allocation in light of those
issues;
p) formulate and justify tactical asset allocation (TAA) adjustments to strategic asset-
class weights, given a TAA strategy and expectational data
Question: 5
Topic: Asset Allocation
Minutes: 15
LOS: 2010-III-8-27-b, c, f
Question: 5
Topic: Asset Allocation
Minutes: 15
Guideline Answer:
PART A
Corner portfolios 3 and 4 are the corner portfolios to be used in determining the most appropriate
strategic asset allocation for the Thompson Foundation.
The portfolio that satisfies Thompson’s return and risk objectives must lie on the portion of the
efficient frontier located between corner portfolio 3 and corner portfolio 4.
PART B
Using the corner portfolio theorem and the expected returns for corner portfolio 3 and corner
portfolio 4, solve the following equation for w:
Therefore, most appropriate strategic asset allocation is 25% in corner portfolio 3 and 75% in
corner portfolio 4.
PART C
The percent age invested in real estate given the most appropriate allocation equals the weighted
average of the real estate allocations in corner portfolios 3 and 4:
PART D
In order to achieve a superior portfolio of risky assets by adding high-yield U.S. bonds, the
Sharpe ratio for the high yield bonds must exceed the product of Slifer’s existing portfolio and
the correlation of the high-yield bonds with the current portfolio. Therefore, U.S. high yield
bonds should be added because the asset class Sharpe ratio = (.065 - .03)/.105 = 0.33 is higher
than the Sharpe ratio of the existing portfolio multiplied by the correlation between the new asset
class and the existing portfolio (.46 ×.60) = .28.
Question: 5
Topic: Asset Allocation
Minutes: 15
PART E
The risk of an investment in Chinese equities measured in U.S. Dollar terms is measured by the
standard deviation of returns, 25.4%.
The variance of the returns on foreign asset in U.S. Dollar terms = variance of foreign asset in
local currency + Variance of the exchange rate + (2 × correlation between Foreign asset return
and exchange rate movement × standard deviation of foreign asset in local currency × standard
deviation of the exchange rate)
Therefore, the variance = (23.5%)2 + (6%)2 + (2 × 0.2 × 23.5% × 6%) = 644.7%2 and the
Standard deviation = 25.4%.
Question: 6
Topic: Fixed Income
Minutes: 18
George Frost is a portfolio manager at ALIAB Bank, which has just issued a guaranteed
investment contract (GIC). He needs to immunize this GIC, which guarantees a single payment
of 80,000,000 U.S. dollars (USD) in 4 years and provides a bond equivalent yield of
approximately 3.50%. Frost calculates the present value of the GIC to be USD 69,640,000. This
is the amount he intends to invest today to immunize the GIC. He is not permitted to use
leverage.
Frost is building a suitable portfolio and already holds the U.S. government bonds shown in
Exhibit 1.
Exhibit 1
Existing Portfolio Bonds
Market Total Total
Bond Price Market Value Dollar
(USD) (USD) Duration
Bond A 102.32 24,556,800 477,139
Bond B 94.90 29,815,000 2,104,939
Frost must choose a U.S. government bond to complete the immunized portfolio. He has
gathered the data shown in Exhibit 2.
Exhibit 2
Bonds Available to Complete Immunized Portfolio
Market
Yield to Modified
Bond Price
Maturity Duration
(USD)
Bond X 99.97 3.52% 1.333
Bond Y 99.36 3.80% 2.154
Bond Z 99.35 3.85% 1.890
A. Determine which bond (X, Y, or Z) is the most suitable for Frost to complete the
immunized portfolio. Justify your response with one reason. Show your calculations.
(8 minutes)
A client of Frost, Farm Technology (FT), has entered into a transaction requiring a payment of
USD 250,000,000 in two years. FT has USD 235,000,000 available to meet this liability.
Question: 6
Topic: Fixed Income
Minutes: 18
(6 minutes)
Frost discusses other opportunities to use immunization with Victor Smith, a financial manager
at FT. Smith makes the following statements:
Statement 1: “FT should use corporate bonds for immunization in the future as this will
achieve a lower cost of immunization.”
(4 minutes)
Question: 6
Topic: Fixed Income
Minutes: 18
Reading References:
28. “Fixed-Income Portfolio Management-Part I,” Ch. 6, sections 1–4 (pp. 1–40) Managing
Investment Portfolios: A Dynamic Process, 3rd edition, H. Gifford Fong and Larry D.
Guin (CFA Institute, 2007).
Purpose:
To test understanding of single liability immunization and contingent immunization. To test
application considerations for construction of immunized and cash flow matched portfolios.
LOS: 2010-III-9-28-f-m
Question: 6
Topic: Fixed Income
Minutes: 18
m) demonstrate the use of cash flow matching to fund a fixed set of future
liabilities and contrast the advantages and disadvantages of cash flow
matching to those of immunization strategies.
Question: 6
Topic: Fixed Income
Minutes: 18
Guideline Answer
PART A
There are two approaches that Frost can use to determine the bond that is most suitable to
complete the immunized portfolio, the Dollar Duration Approach and the Modified Duration
Approach.
Under this approach, there are two conditions for an immunized bond portfolio:
1. The dollar duration of the asset portfolio equals the dollar duration of the
liability.
2. The PV of the assets equals the PV of the liabilities.
The dollar duration of the single-pay liability, the GIC, equals USD 2,785,600 and has a present
value of USD 69,640,000.
Since the present value of the existing bonds in the portfolio is USD 54,371,800, the dollar value
of the most suitable bond must equal USD 15,268,200.
The dollar duration of the existing bonds in the portfolio equals 2,582,078 (477,139 +
2,104,939). The dollar duration of the most suitable bond must be closest to the difference
between the dollar duration of the GIC and the existing bond portfolio, USD 203,522 (USD
2,785,600 - USD 2,582,078).
The dollar durations of the bonds available to complete the immunized portfolio are:
Therefore, Frost should complete his immunization process by buying USD 15,268,200 of
Bond X.
Question: 6
Topic: Fixed Income
Minutes: 18
Under this approach, there are two conditions for an immunized bond portfolio:
1. The modified duration of the asset portfolio equals the modified duration of
the liability.
2. The PV of the assets equals the PV of the liabilities.
The single-payment liability (GIC) has a modified duration equal to 4.0 and a present value of
USD 69,640,000. Since the present value of the existing bonds in the portfolio is USD
54,371,800, the dollar value of the most suitable bond must equal USD 15,268,200 and will
constitute 21.92% of the bond portfolio.
Since the modified duration of the immunized portfolio, 4.0, equals the weighted average of the
modified durations of the bonds in the portfolio, the most suitable bond must have a modified
duration of 1.333. This is given by:
Therefore Frost should complete his immunization process by buying USD 15,268,200 of
Bond X.
Question: 6
Topic: Fixed Income
Minutes: 18
PART B
Therefore the initial dollar safety margin or cushion, is USD 235,000,000 – USD
231,778,316 = USD 3,221,684.
ii. The primary objective of classical immunization is risk control. The main advantage to
FT using contingent immunization is that it provides the flexibility to increase returns.
PART C
Statement 1: Smith is incorrect to state that using corporate bonds will lower the cost of
immunization. Corporate bonds have default risk. Immunization assumes no defaults; using
corporate bonds could raise the cost of immunization. Corporate bonds are also less liquid and
subject to credit spread risk which can increase the cost of rebalancing, which would also
increase the cost of immunization.
Statement 2: Smith is incorrect to state that the liabilities should be discounted using zero-
coupon Treasury rates. Liabilities should be discounted by the internal rate of return on the
immunized portfolio.
Question: 7
Topic: Risk
Minutes: 20
Chantal Jacob is a portfolio manager in the U.K. The U.K. has bid to be the host country for a
major international sports tournament. The host country will be announced in three weeks.
Jacob believes that the share price of Severn Hospitality plc, a hotel operating company, will be
significantly influenced by the outcome of the bid to host the tournament. If the U.K. is selected,
she believes that Severn’s share price would rise significantly. If the U.K. is not selected, she
believes that Severn’s share price would fall significantly. Jacob wants to profit from her beliefs
by implementing a straddle. She gathers the information shown in Exhibit 1.
Exhibit 1
Severn Hospitality plc Share and Options Data
(GBP = British pound)
Current share price of Severn Hospitality plc GBP 8.80
Annual risk-free rate 1.50%
Price of one month call option, exercise price GBP 9.00 GBP 0.38
Price of one month put option, exercise price GBP 9.00 GBP 0.57
i. the profit per share on the straddle if the U.K. wins the bid and Severn’s share
price doubles.
ii. the two share prices of Severn at which breakeven for the straddle occurs.
(4 minutes)
B. Explain why each of the following option strategies is less appropriate than a straddle,
given Jacob’s beliefs:
i. bull spread
ii. short butterfly spread
iii. zero cost collar
(6 minutes)
Question: 7
Topic: Risk
Minutes: 20
Jacob manages the equity portion of the Bold Beverages Pension Fund, which is converting its
pension plan from defined benefit to defined contribution, effective three months from now.
Plan participants have three months to elect various investments for the new plan. The trustees
inform Jacob that they wish to keep the value of the pension fund stable during these three
months.
Accordingly, Jacob wants to eliminate systematic risk in the equity portion of the fund by using
futures on the FTSE 100 Index, which is the benchmark for the fund’s equity portfolio. She
collects the information shown in Exhibit 2.
Exhibit 2
Bold Beverages Pension Fund and Market Data
Value of Bold Beverages Pension Fund equity portfolio GBP 235,400,000
Level of FTSE 100 Index 4,650
Level of three-month FTSE 100 futures contract 4,667
Futures multiplier GBP 10
Beta of Bold Beverages Pension Fund equity portfolio 1.04
Beta of FTSE 100 futures contract 0.98
(5 minutes)
Three months after Jacob implements the hedge, the FTSE 100 Index is up 3.75%. The equity
portion of the Bold Beverages Pension Fund is up 3.50% and the level of the expiring three-
month FTSE 100 futures contract that Jacob sold is 4,824. The trustees ask Jacob to assess the
effectiveness of the hedge that has been in place.
D. Determine the effective beta of the Bold Beverages Pension Fund equity portfolio,
including the futures, assuming that Jacob sold 5,200 futures contracts. Show your
calculations.
(5 minutes)
Question: 7
Topic: Risk
Minutes: 20
Reading References:
41. “Risk Management Applications of Forward and Futures Strategies,” Ch. 6 (pp. 356–391)
Analysis of Derivatives for the CFA® Program, Don M. Chance (AIMR, 2003).
42. “Risk Management Applications of Option Strategies,” Ch. 7 (pp. 430–484), Analysis of
Derivatives for the CFA® Program, Don M. Chance (AIMR, 2003) [change sec. 2.2.1
and 2.2.2 from optional to required]
43. “Risk Management Applications of Swap Strategies,” Ch. 8, Analysis of Derivatives for
the CFA® Program, Don M. Chance (AIMR, 2003).
Purpose:
To test knowledge and use of equity option strategies. To test knowledge and use of futures to
alter risk exposure in an equity portfolio.
LOS: 2010-III-15-41-a-c,e-42a,b,e,f
41. “Risk Management Applications of Forward and Futures Strategies”
The candidate should be able to
a) demonstrate the use of equity futures contracts to achieve a target beta for a
stock portfolio and calculate and interpret the number of futures contracts
required;
b) construct a synthetic stock index fund using cash and stock index futures (equitizing
cash);
c) create synthetic cash by selling stock index futures against a long stock
position;
d) demonstrate the use of equity and bond futures to adjust the allocation of a portfolio
between equity and debt;
e) demonstrate the use of futures to adjust the allocation of a portfolio across equity
sectors and to gain exposure to an asset class in advance of actually committing
funds to the asset class;
f) discuss the three types of exposure to exchange rate risk and demonstrate the use of
forward contracts to reduce the risk associated with a future transaction (receipt or
payment) in a foreign currency;
g) explain the limitations to hedging the exchange rate risk of a foreign market
portfolio and discuss two feasible strategies for managing such risk.
Question: 7
Topic: Risk
Minutes: 20
the graph for the major option strategies (bull spread, bear spread, butterfly
spread, collar, straddle, box spread);
c) determine the effective annual rate for a given interest rate outcome when a
borrower (lender) manages the risk of an anticipated loan using an interest rate call
(put) option;
d) determine the payoffs for a series of interest rate outcomes when a floating rate loan
is combined with (1) an interest rate cap, (2) an interest rate floor, or (3) an interest
rate collar;
e) explain why and how a dealer delta hedges an option position, why delta changes,
and how the dealer adjusts to maintain the delta hedge;
f) interpret the gamma of a delta-hedged portfolio and explain how gamma changes as
in-the-money and out-of-the-money options move toward expiration.
Question: 7
Topic: Risk
Minutes: 20
Guideline Answer:
PART A
i. The share price of Severn Hospitality plc becomes GBP 8.80 × 2 = GBP 17.60, in which
case the profit per share on the straddle is:
Call option’s profit of GBP 17.60 – GBP 9.00 = GBP 8.60, less the cost of both options
(GBP 0.38 + GBP 0.57) = GBP 7.65.
ii. The breakeven prices of Severn shares are GBP 9.95 and GBP 8.05. The upside
breakeven point occurs when the profit from the call option is just sufficient to cover the
costs of both options, namely (stock price – call strike price) = (price of call option +
price of put option). Solving for the stock price yields stock price of GBP 9.95. The
downside breakeven point occurs when the profit from the put option is just sufficient to
cover the cost of both options, (put strike price – stock price) = (price of call option +
price of put option). Solving for the stock price yields = GBP 8.05.
PART B
i. A bull spread would lose money if the U.K. loses the bid and the share price falls sharply,
and would make only limited profits (compared to a straddle) if the U.K. wins the bid and
the share price appreciates sharply.
ii. A short butterfly spread would make only limited gains when the share price either
increases or decreases beyond the breakeven points.
iii. A zero cost collar would lose a limited amount of money if the U.K. loses the bid, and
would make only a limited profit (compared to a straddle) if the U.K. wins the bid.
Question: 7
Topic: Risk
Minutes: 20
PART C
i. Jacob wishes to eliminate all systematic risk in the Bold Beverages Pension Fund’s
equity portfolio, so the target beta must be zero. βT = 0
= - 5,352.74
As fractions of futures cannot be traded, Jacob should sell 5,353 FTSE 100 futures
contracts.
PART D
The new value of the equity portfolio is GBP 235,400,000 × 1.035 = GBP 243,639,000 or a gain
of GBP 8,239,000.
The profit on the futures is (4,824 – 4,667) x GBP 10 × (-5,200) = - GBP 8,164,000 or a profit of
-3.468%.
So, the overall profit is GBP 8,239,000 – GBP 8,164,000 = GBP 75,000 and the ending value of
the overall portfolio is GBP 235,475,000.
Since the market was up 3.75%, the effective beta was 0.0003/0.0375 = 0.0085.
Question: 8
Topic: Portfolio Management: Monitor/Rebalance/Execution
Minutes: 17
Rav Malik, an investment advisor, meets with a new client in the U.K., Ian Brown, to discuss his
investment portfolio. Brown has managed his own assets in the past and rebalances his portfolio
to target weights at the beginning of each month.
Malik suggests that Brown consider percentage-of-portfolio rebalancing with daily monitoring
and rebalancing to target weights. He offers to demonstrate how the two approaches would
differ after rebalancing on 1 April, given the allocations shown in Exhibit 1, with tolerance bands
or corridor widths set at ± 10% of the target allocation.
Exhibit 1
Brown Asset Allocation
Strategic
Asset Closing
Asset Class Allocation: 31 March
Target Allocation
Weights
Large-cap U.K. equity 30% 27%
International equity 30% 28%
U.K. fixed income 40% 45%
(4 minutes)
• Brown’s tolerance for risk has declined as volatility in the international equity
markets has increased.
• Brown is concerned about taxes and transaction costs associated with frequent
rebalancing. Transaction costs for international equity investments are higher
than for Brown’s other asset classes.
Question: 8
Topic: Portfolio Management: Monitor/Rebalance/Execution
Minutes: 17
Malik then tells Brown, “The optimal corridor width for U.K. fixed income should be narrower
than the optimal corridor width for international equity.”
B. Determine two factors that support Malik’s conclusion regarding the optimal corridor
width for U.K. fixed income relative to international equity.
(4 minutes)
Malik notes that Brown’s domestic equity allocation consists of only large-cap equity. He
discusses the possibility of adding small-cap equity to the portfolio and Brown agrees.
Malik reviews Brown’s portfolio holdings and enters two trades, shown in Exhibit 2, into the
firm’s order management system.
Exhibit 2
Trading Orders and Market Data on 1 April
(GBP = British pound)
Bid-Ask
Size Average Daily Last Price
Symbol Trade Spread
(shares) Volume (GBP)
(%)
ABCD Buy 5,000 13,000 4.15 0.79
EFGH Buy 40,000 475,000 9.14 0.06
Sean Granger, a trader at Malik’s firm, reviews the planned trades for 1 April and notes the
following:
Granger considers executing the orders using a crossing system, implementation shortfall
algorithm, or volume-weighted average price (VWAP) algorithm.
Question: 8
Topic: Portfolio Management: Monitor/Rebalance/Execution
Minutes: 17
(6 minutes)
That afternoon, Malik reads a research report recommending purchase of small-cap RB Holdings
Corporation (RBHC) and decides to take a position. The following sequence of events occurs:
Granger informs Malik that his trading was successful because he paid less than the day’s
(2 April) VWAP of GBP 10.27. Malik notes that VWAP does not consider the costs of missed
trade opportunities.
D. Calculate the missed trade opportunity cost, in basis points, for the RBHC trade. Show
your calculations.
(3 minutes)
Question: 8
Topic: Portfolio Management: Monitor/Rebalance/Execution
Minutes: 17
Part C
Crossing system
i. Buy
5,000 shares Implementation shortfall
ABCD
VWAP
Crossing system
ii. Buy
40,000 shares Implementation shortfall
EFGH
VWAP
Question: 8
Topic: Portfolio Management: Monitor/Rebalance/Execution
Minutes: 17
Reading References:
Reading 44: Execution of Portfolio Decisions
Managing Investment Portfolios: A Dynamic Process, Third
Edition, John L. Maginn, CFA, Donald L. Tuttle, CFA,
Jerald E. Pinto, CFA, and Dennis W. McLeavey, CFA, editors (CFA Institute, 2007)
Purpose:
To test candidates’ knowledge and understanding of monitoring and rebalancing portfolios as
well as the execution of portfolio decisions.
Question: 8
Topic: Portfolio Management: Monitor/Rebalance/Execution
Minutes: 17
m. discuss and justify the factors that typically determine the selection of a specific
algorithmic trading strategy, including order size, average daily trading volume, bid–ask
spread, and the urgency of the order;
n. explain the meaning and criteria of best execution;
o. evaluate a firm’s investment and trading procedures, including processes, disclosures, and
record keeping, with respect to best execution;
p. discuss the role of ethics in trading.
Guideline Answer:
PART A
Although the 28% weighting in international equities is within the tolerance band under the
percentage of portfolio rebalancing approach, the 45% weighting in U.K. fixed income is outside
the tolerance band. Thus, all asset classes would be rebalanced to target weights.
PART B
Brown’s optimal corridor width for U.K. fixed income should be narrower than the optimal
corridor width for international equities because of the following factors:
1) Higher transaction costs for international investments: High transaction costs set a high
hurdle for rebalancing benefits to overcome. Since transaction costs for international equity are
higher than transaction costs for U.K. fixed income, the optimal corridor width for U.K. fixed
income will be narrower than the optimal corridor width for international equities.
2) Higher correlation with the rest of the portfolio: International equities have a higher
correlation with the rest of the portfolio than U.K. fixed income with the rest of the portfolio.
When asset classes move together, further divergence from targets is less likely, allowing a wider
optimal corridor width for international equities compared with U.K. fixed income.
Increased volatility in the international equity markets would support a narrower, not wider,
optimal corridor width for international equities.
PART C
VWAP
The EFGH order is small relative to average daily
volume, but given the high urgency, it would be
Crossing system
most appropriate to use an implementation shortfall
algorithm with a high urgency setting to
ii. Buy aggressively execute the purchase. Such a trading
40,000 shares strategy breaks up the order and seeks to minimize
Implementation shortfall
EFGH the weighted average of market impact costs and
missed trade opportunity costs.
VWAP
PART D
Missed trade opportunity cost reflects the difference between the trade cancellation price and the
original benchmark price based on the amount of the order that was not filled,
or: % unfilled × (difference between new closing price and benchmark price/ benchmark price) =
Question: 9
Topic: Performance Evaluation
Minutes: 12
P&M Capital has been selected to manage a U.S. equity portfolio for a Japanese institutional
investor, Tamui Life Company. P&M intends to use an active strategy to manage Tamui’s
portfolio of approximately 300 equities. Tomoko Sato, an analyst in Tamui’s international
investment division, is determining a benchmark to evaluate the portfolio’s performance. Sato
seeks the highest quality benchmark so that investment risk may be effectively managed. Sato
concludes that a custom benchmark would be too costly for Tamui. Both parties agree that a
broad market index would be most appropriate for this mandate. Sato is asked to evaluate the
quality of three possible benchmarks:
• S&P 500
• Russell 1000
• Russell 3000
Sato produces Exhibit 1 to compare Tamui’s portfolio to the three possible benchmarks.
Exhibit 1
Comparison of Tamui’s Portfolio to Possible Benchmarks
Tamui S&P Russell Russell
Statistic
Portfolio 500 1000 3000
Average price-to-book ratio 1.95 2.06 2.13 2.09
Beta relative to the benchmark --- 1.03 0.85 0.92
Median market capitalization (U.S. dollar billions) 5.60 7.98 3.28 0.59
Volatility (annual) 12.0% 18.7% 10.3% 10.4%
Tracking error relative to the benchmark --- 1.87% 4.72% 2.07%
Dividend yield 1.86% 2.45% 2.08% 1.76%
A. Recommend, from among the three possible benchmarks presented in Exhibit 1, the
highest quality benchmark for Tamui’s portfolio. Justify your recommendation with two
reasons, using information provided in Exhibit 1.
(5 minutes)
Sato is directed by management to prepare a micro-attribution report for Tamui’s portfolio using
a fundamental factor model. She uses portfolio analysis software to produce Exhibit 2.
Question: 9
Topic: Performance Evaluation
Minutes: 12
Exhibit 2
Fundamental Factor Model Micro-attribution Report for Tamui’s Portfolio
for the Quarter Ended 31 March
Portfolio Normal Active Active
Returns and Attribution Return
Exposure Exposure Exposure Impact
Market return –8.42%
Normal portfolio return –7.81%
Cash timing 3.20 0.00 3.20 0.16%
Beta timing 1.17 1.00 0.17 –0.17%
Total market timing –0.01%
Growth 1.23 0.87 0.36 –0.30%
Size –0.20 0.34 –0.54 0.20%
Leverage –0.36 –0.72 0.36 0.09%
Yield –0.10 0.00 –0.10 0.35%
Total fundamental risk factors 0.34%
Total economic sectors –0.15%
Specific (unexplained) –0.58%
Actual portfolio return –8.21%
B. i. Determine which overweight exposure added the most active value to Tamui’s
portfolio.
ii. Determine which underweight exposure added the most active value to Tamui’s
portfolio.
(4 minutes)
C. Calculate the value added to Tamui’s portfolio through active management for the
quarter ended 31 March.
(3 minutes)
Question: 9
Topic: Performance Evaluation
Minutes: 12
Reading References:
2010 Level III, Volume 6, Study Session 17
46. “Evaluating Portfolio Performance,” Ch. 12, Managing Investment Portfolios: A
Dynamic Process, 3rd edition, Jeffrey V. Bailey, Thomas M. Richards, and David E. Tierney
(CFA Institute, 2007).
Purpose:
To test the candidate’s knowledge of performance evaluation and attribution
LOS: 2010-III-17-46-e,f,i,m
Question: 9
Topic: Performance Evaluation
Minutes: 12
Question: 9
Topic: Performance Evaluation
Minutes: 12
Guideline Answer
PART A
S&P 500 is the highest quality benchmark for Tamui’s portfolio. This recommendation is based
on the following factors:
• The beta of Tamui’s portfolio relative to the S&P 500 Index is 1.03. Over time, there
should be minimal systematic biases or risks in the benchmark relative to the portfolio.
One measure of this criterion is the historical beta of the portfolio relative to the
benchmark; on average, it should be close to 1.0.
• The tracking error of Tamui’s portfolio relative to the S&P 500 Index is the lowest
(1.87%) of the three alternative benchmarks, indicating that the S&P 500 Index is largely
capturing the portfolio’s investment style. Tracking error measures the standard
deviation of (Pt – Bt), where Pt is the portfolio return in time period t and Bt is the
benchmark return in time period t. This is a different concept than the standard deviation
or volatility of the individual indices, which are not factors in determining the highest
quality benchmark. A high quality benchmark should reduce the “noise” in the
performance evaluation process. Therefore, the tracking error of the portfolio relative to
a high quality benchmark should be lower than the tracking error relative to alternative
benchmarks.
PART B
i.
The overweight exposure to Cash Timing contributed the most active value, +0.16%. The micro
attribution analysis in Exhibit 2 attributes the value added by the manager to four primary
sources: market timing, fundamental risk factors, economic sectors, and a stock-specific or
unexplained return component. The Active Exposure column in Exhibit 2 indicates that there are
four overweight exposures, two of which contributed active value, Leverage and Cash Timing.
Leverage contributed 0.09% of active value, while Cash Timing contributed 0.16%. The other
two overweight exposures, Beta Timing and Growth, contributed negative value to the portfolio.
Question: 9
Topic: Performance Evaluation
Minutes: 12
ii.
The underweight exposure to Yield contributed most to active value, + 0.35%. The micro
attribution analysis in Exhibit 2 attributes the value added by the manager to four primary
sources: market timing, fundamental risk factors, economic sectors, and a stock-specific or
unexplained return component. The Active Exposure column indicates that there are two
underweight exposures, both fundamental risk factors: Size and Yield. Size contributed 0.20%
of active value, while Yield contributed 0.35%.
PART C
The value added to Tamui’s portfolio through active management was -0.40%. The portfolio
return was -8.21% compared to the normal portfolio of -7.81%. P&M reduced value through
active management because the total return attributable to active decisions made by the manager
(market timing, fundamental risk factors, economic sectors, and stock specific risk or
unexplained) sums to -0.40%.