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ECONOMY: EV CHARGING: September 22 , 2019 I ` 100


QUICK FIXES NEW OPPORTUNITY www.businesstoday.in
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PAIN OF DEBT
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A SURVIVAL GUIDE
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FROM THE EDITOR

http://www.businesstoday.in

Editor-in-Chief: Aroon Purie


Group Editorial Director: Raj Chengappa

The Tyranny of Debt Editor: Prosenjit Datta


Group Creative Editor: Nilanjan Das
Group Photo Editor: Bandeep Singh
Executive Editor: Anand Adhikari

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Deputy Editor: Naveen Kumar (Money Today)
NDIA HAS a debt problem – at every level. The government’s official debt
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SPECIAL PROJECTS AND EVENTS


to GDP ratio has been rising. If you add the debt it has taken but kept off Senior Editor: Anup Jayaram
the balance sheet, the picture gets much worse. A big chunk of the debt
CORRESPONDENTS
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now goes into servicing interest payments of the old debt. In a nutshell, the Senior Editors: P.B. Jayakumar, Nevin John,
Goutam Das, Ajita Shashidhar, Joe C. Mathew,
government is in a debt trap. What is worse, its borrowings are crowding E. Kumar Sharma, Anilesh Mahajan
Senior Associate Editors: Dipak Mondal,
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out private sector borrowings, pushing up their cost of funds. The finance Manu Kaushik, Sumant Banerji
minister tried to fix this through a proposal that envisaged borrowing in foreign Associate Editor: Nidhi Singal
Assistant Editors: Sonal Khetarpal, Rukmini Rao,
currency denominated bonds. The government has had a rethink after many
.t.

Renu Yadav (Money Today)

eminent economists pointed out the dangers, which included exposing itself to RESEARCH
Principal Research Analysts: Niti Kiran, Shivani Sharma
foreign currency risk. After some weak attempts at defending the proposal, the
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COPY DESK
finance ministry has quietly put the whole thing on the backburner. Senior Editor: Mahesh Jagota
If the Union government has been profligate in its borrowing, the state Senior Associate Editor: Kaveri Nandan
Associate Editor: Sanghamitra Mandal
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governments are also not much better. Except for a few, most states borrow Chief Copy Editor: Gadadhar Padhy
Copy Editor: Aprajita Sharma
to meet the promises made by the party in power. The combined fiscal
PHOTOGRAPHY
deficit of the Centre and states is well over 6 per cent. Beyond that are the
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Photo Editor: Reuben Singh


government-owned arms – most of which are heavily leveraged. So you have Deputy Chief Photographers: Shekhar Ghosh, Rachit Goswami
Senior Photo Researcher: Sudhansh Sharma
state electricity boards, Central and state public sector enterprises and others
ART
which are overleveraged. Assistant Creative Editor: Safia Zahid
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Deputy Art Director: Amit Sharma


Corporate India is in an equally bad shape. Except for a few honourable Associate Art Director: Ajay Thakuri
exceptions, company balance sheets show the strains of overleverage and Assistant Art Director: Raj Verma
Designer: Rajesh Singh Adhikari
rising interest costs. Small and medium companies are the worst-hit – and
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PRODUCTION
many of them are folding under the burden of this leverage. What’s more, Chief of Production: Harish Aggarwal
Senior Production Coordinators: Narendra Singh, Rajesh Verma
no one knows exactly how bad the level of actual debt is even with highly
LIBRARY
respected groups. What shows up in the listed company’s balance sheet is
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Assistant Librarian: Satbir Singh


only a small part of the debt tale. Quite often, there is promoter-level debt
Publishing Director: Manoj Sharma
taken through multiple subsidiaries that escape scrutiny. It is only when a Associate Publisher (Impact): Anil Fernandes
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promoter or company fails to honour its debt or defaults that the real picture IMPACT TEAM
Senior General Manager: Jitendra Lad (West)
starts coming out. Whole sectors are in deep trouble because of excessive debt General Managers: Upendra Singh (Bangalore)
– power, roads, telecom and real estate, among others. Even the strongest Kaushiky Gangulie (East)
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balance sheets show rising debt. Even a company like Reliance Industries has Marketing: Vivek Malhotra, Group Chief Marketing Officer;
Preetha Athrey, Head – Marketing
been piling up debt as it aims for complete domination of the telecom space,
Newsstand Sales: D.V.S. Rama Rao, Chief General Manager;
though it is now trying to monetise assets to reduce its net debt. Some of the Deepak Bhatt, General Manager (National Sales); Vipin Bagga,
biggest names in the steel sector that thought they were picking up great Deputy General Manager (Operations); Rajeev Gandhi,
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Regional Sales Manager (North)


assets cheaply in the bankruptcy courts are now finding that the decision was
probably a tad rash, given the slowdown in steel. Vol. 28, No. 19, for the fortnight September 9-22, 2019.
Released on September 9, 2019.
Statistics also show that the Indian households are saving less and Editorial Office: India Today Mediaplex, FC 8, Sector 16/A, Film City, Noida-201301; Tel: 0120-
sp

borrowing more to fuel their spending spree. During an economic boom, this is 4807100; Fax: 0120-4807150 Advertising Office (Gurgaon): A1-A2, Enkay Centre, Ground Floor,
V.N. Commercial Complex, Udyog Vihar, Phase 5, Gurgaon-122001; Tel: 0124-4948400; Fax:
not a problem. It becomes one when the economic growth starts sputtering. 0124-4030919; Mumbai: 1201, 12th Floor, Tower 2 A, One Indiabulls Centre (Jupiter Mills), S.B. Marg,
Lower Parel (West), Mumbai-400013; Tel: 022-66063355; Fax: 022-66063226; Chennai: 5th Floor,
Debt is not a bad thing when used judiciously to build assets and grow a Main Building No. 443, Guna Complex, Anna Salai, Teynampet, Chennai-600018; Tel: 044-
28478525; Fax: 044-24361942; Bangalore: 202-204 Richmond Towers, 2nd Floor, 12, Richmond
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business. But if the cost of funds become higher than the value it is creating, it Road, Bangalore-560025; Tel: 080-22212448, 080-30374106; Fax: 080-22218335; Kolkata: 52, J.L.
Road, 4th floor, Kolkata-700071; Tel: 033-22825398, 033-22827726, 033-22821922; Fax: 033-
becomes a problem. Our cover story looks at the alarming debt trends in detail. 22827254; Hyderabad: 6-3-885/7/B, Raj Bhawan Road, Somajiguda, Hyderabad-500082; Tel:
040-23401657, 040-23400479; Ahmedabad: 2nd Floor, 2C, Surya Rath Building, Behind White
Meanwhile, the government has been trying its best to revive the House, Panchwati, Off: C.G. Road, Ahmedabad-380006; Tel: 079-6560393, 079-6560929; Fax:
079-6565293; Kochi: Karakkatt Road, Kochi-682016; Tel: 0484-2377057, 0484-2377058; Fax: 0484-
sentiments of businessmen and kick-start the sagging economic growth. After 370962 Subscriptions: For assistance contact Customer Care, India Today Group, C-9, Sector
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10, Noida (U.P.) - 201301; Tel: 0120-2479900 from Delhi & Faridabad; 0120-2479900 (Monday-Friday,
a Budget that was praised in public and panned in private, the mandarins in 10 am-6 pm) from Rest of India; Toll free no: 1800 1800 100 (from BSNL/ MTNL lines); Fax: 0120-
4078080; E-mail: wecarebg@intoday.com
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North Block have put together a package to revive sentiment. Will it do the Sales: General Manager Sales, Living Media India Ltd, C-9, Sector 10, Noida (U.P.) - 201301;
Tel: 0120-4019500; Fax: 0120-4019664 © 1998 Living Media India Ltd. All rights reserved through-
trick? We examine it in detail in the story Fixing the Slowdown (page 50). out the world. Reproduction in any manner is prohibited.
Printed & published by Manoj Sharma on behalf of Living Media India Limited. Printed at
Thomson Press India Limited, 18-35, Milestone, Delhi-Mathura Road, Faridabad-121007,
(Haryana). Published at K-9, Connaught Circus, New Delhi-110 001. Editor: Prosenjit Datta
 Business Today does not take responsibility for returning unsolicited publication
material.
All disputes are subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of competent courts
and forums in Delhi/New Delhi only.

For reprint rights and syndication enquiries, contact


prosenjit.datta@intoday.com syndications@intoday.com or call +91-120-4078000

@ProsaicView www.syndicationstoday.in
SEPTEMBER
22, 2019
VOLUME COVER BY
28 Nilanjan Das

NUMBER
19
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COVER STORY
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ILLUSTRATION BY NILANJAN DAS

PAIN OF DEBT
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28
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A SURVIVAL GUIDE
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THE 10 HEADING FOR TRUCE


BUZZ > Now IndiGo is 14
adopting a new policy
HAPPY ENDING for related-party
Big win as Jalan panel transactions, and
says revaluation reserves increasing the board
cannot be touched strength from six to 10

6 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


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THE BUSINESS-
HUB > 68
THE PET BET
TODAY.IN >
Well-being of pets is
serious business.
And the action is
just hotting up
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STAY CONNECTED WITH US ON


www.facebook.com/BusinessToday@BT_India
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Are Structural Weaknesses, Fundamental Shifts


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Slowing Indian Economy?


Disruption by way of new technology and digitisation
is making life difficult for well established businesses
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businesstoday.in/economy-disruption
SECTOR Decoding Mukesh Ambani’s First-Day-First-Show
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REPORT: Business Model


AGRITECH All eyes are on Jio’s First-Day-First-Show, which also
may turn out to be a win-win for film-makers
businesstoday.in/jio-firstdayfirstshow
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88 What Triggered “logout” Movement in Zomato vs


Restaurants Fight
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LONG WAY TO GO The battle isn’t over yet. While most aggregators have
India must increase farm agreed to limit discounting, Zomato is still reluctant
income and become businesstoday.in/logoutmovement-restaurants
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globally competitive.
Technology can help
PERSPECTIVES
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No White Elephants Please! Where Not to Invest RBI


Surplus of `1.76 lakh Crore
Dumping money in sick state-run enterprises, recapi-
talising public sector banks, incentivising exports
THE
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would not be prudent use of what used to be the


BREAKOUT RBI’s rainy-day reserves

ZONE >
businesstoday.in/psb-rbi.surplus
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India Versus Africa – A Tale of Two Airtels


The subscriber numbers are falling and customers
are unwilling to pay more for high-speed LTE
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services, thanks to the disruptor Reliance Jio,
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which has brought down the 28-day tariffs to `49


BEWARE OF THE businesstoday.in/airtel-s.africa
VOICE TRAP
Voice interactions are Why Your Home, Car Loans Are Not Getting Cheaper
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most convenient, but Despite RBI Rate Cuts


they could also lead When interest rates go up, banks are quite quick to
to privacy breach and hike the rates. However, when interest rates go down,
fake information the transmission is always delayed
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businesstoday.in/rbirate-home.carloans
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COLUMN
What RBI Surplus Bonanza Tells About Government
An Feature Finances
From time to time you will see pages titled ‘An Impact feature’, The government cannot stop or slow down spending.
‘Focus’ or ‘Advertorial’ in Business Today. This is no different The economy is losing steam with exports and private
from an advertisement and the magazine’s editorial staff is not sector investment slowing down, says Business
involved in its creation in any way. Today Editor Prosenjit Datta
businesstoday.in/privatesector.investment-rbi

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GST: UNENDING OYO MAKES MULTI-BRAND RETAIL:
P.12 P.12 P.16
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ORDEAL US ENTRY TAPPING GREY AREAS


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RBI SURPLUS CAPITAL

HAPPY ENDING
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BIG WIN AS JALAN PANEL SAYS REVALUATION


RESERVES CANNOT BE TOUCHED.
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By ANAND ADHIKARI
ILLUSTRATION BY RAJ VERMA
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THE FIGHT between lower level of realised that is coming to the the surpluses during the
the government and the equity or contingency government is from the year is just `5,414 crore.
Reserve Bank of India fund between 6.5 and 5.5 surpluses of `1.23 lakh The total additional fund
(RBI) over the latter’s per cent of the balance crore generated during that is coming to the
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surplus capital has had sheet as against the 2018/19. These surpluses government over and
a happy ending, though current 6.8 per cent. What are the result of monetary above budgeted dividend
after some casualties, is surprising is that the policy operations like of `90,000 crore is
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as Governor Urjit Patel RBI, which was fighting open market operations `58,051 crore. Some
and his deputy Viral a few months back for (releasing liquidity in suggest the government
Acharya exited because its independence and exchange for government will ask for an interim
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of differences over also reserves, agreed to a bonds) and selling of dividend in the current
many issues with the lower band of 5.5 per cent, foreign exchange to year, which will add
government, including which released `52,637 reduce volatility in rupee– further funds to its kitty.
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transfer of capital. But the crore surplus capital for dollar trades. Of `1.23 But clearly, there is no
Bimal Jalan Committee the government. Many lakh crore, `28,000 surplus capital that the
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has made it clear that suggest the RBI could crore was earlier paid government can eye.
the `7 lakh crore-plus have easily gone for a as interim dividend Also, the capital transfer
revaluation reserves of the higher band of 6.5 per for 2018/19. The amount is not what the
RBI cannot be touched. cent or mid–point of government budgeted government was earlier
This is a big win for the 6 per cent. a dividend of `90,000 demanding.
RBI. The committee also The second part crore for 2019/20.
recommended a slightly of the surplus money Therefore, the net from @anandadhikari

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THE BUZZ
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OYO

US Entry with Hooters


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IN ITS FIRST purchase in the US, Softbank-backed


Oyo Hotels and Homes has bought the Hooters
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Casino Hotel in Las Vegas. Oyo, along with Highgate,


ILLUSTRATION BY AJAY THAKURI

a US-based real estate investment and hospitality


management company, reportedly shelled out nearly
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$135 million to buy this property on the Las Vegas strip.


Hooters will be re-branded as Oyo Hotel and Casino.
A few months ago, Oyo had announced it would invest
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$300 million in the US. Catering across several budget


price points, Oyo now claims to be the third-largest
hotel chain in the world. However, this six-year-old
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company is yet to be profitable. Valued at around


$10 billion, founder Ritesh Agarwal recently bought
back shares worth around $2 billion to significantly
increase his stake in the company. An unprecedented
transaction in the Indian start-up space, this had raised
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eyebrows questioning the move.-Rukmini Rao


GST
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UNENDING VIDEOCON
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ORDEAL Fight for Oil


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THE HIT AND TRIAL approach of the government


towards implementation of the goods and WHO OWNS THE OIL exploration as-
services tax (GST) is taking its toll. Whether it is sets of Videocon? Are those part of the
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GST collections, compliance or systems, there is insolvency resolution process? These


uncertainty over everything. questions came up in the bankruptcy
The date for filing annual returns and GST audit for court a year after the consumer appli-
2017/18 has again been extended – this time from 31 ance manufacturer defaulted on loans.
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It was when lenders of Videocon Oil


August to 30 November — due to ‘technical’ glitches.
Ventures (VOV) invited bids from potential buyers for sell-
This exposes the inability of the GST Network to cope ing its exploration assets in Brazil and Indonesia that the
with the ever-fluid indirect tax regime. resolution professional of the parent company, Videocon
While the government would like us to believe
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Industries (VIL), requested the National Company Law


that technical glitches are one of the main reasons Tribunal to include Videocon Energy Brazil Ltd. and Vid-
for extension of the deadlines, the bigger issue, it eocon Indonesia Nunukan Inc. in the ongoing insolvency
seems is, taxpayers finding it difficult to reconcile process. But VOV has favoured sale of assets, particularly
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returns with financial statements. As part of GST the Indonesian asset in which an Indonesian government
annual return and GST audit, taxpayers have to firm owns majority stake and BPCL a minority stake. SBI
reconcile those returns with financial statements. But had appointed Deloitte to find buyers for the assets in Bra-
zil and Indonesia. The fact is that the oil assets will attract
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reconciliation is taking a lot of times as taxpayers


buyers for Videocon during the insolvency bid. Without
fear questions from the tax department if they report
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these assets, VIL has just some aging factories, lands and
differences. And while dates for filing annual GST workers and the banks may not be able recover any of their
returns are extended again, other major compliance debt. The beleaguered Videocon group has admitted to
deadlines are also around the corner. Going by the outstanding of over `90,000 crore, making it perhaps the
trend, more extensions and delays look imminent. biggest corporate bankruptcy case in the country’s banking
-Dipak Mondal history.-Nevin John

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THE BUZZ
RUPEE VALUE

TIME TO
GET REAL
IN THE LAST week of August,
the Indian Rupee depreciated to
`72 to a dollar, the lowest in nine
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months. Conventional wisdom


BANK MERGERS says this should make export-
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ers happy as it improves their


competitiveness. Some of them,

Core Problems
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who do not depend on imported


raw materials, are indeed happy

Remain but others find the increase in


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input costs an added burden.


What worries everyone is
that the currency of their main
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THE GOVERNMENT has merged national presence and global reach;


competitor, China, is also depre-
10 public sector banks (PSBs) into and operational efficiency that will
ciating at a much faster pace,
four entities; decided to strengthen lead to lower cost of lending. But
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against the US dollar. In addi-


the national presence of two; size alone won’t guarantee results.
tion, to effectively manage its
and form four regional focussed India’s largest bank, SBI, doesn’t
currency, China is also providing
banks. Together with the merger figure in the top quartile in terms of
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several support measures to


of SBI with associate banks and performance. Merging Punjab Na-
cushion exporters from the im-
the three-way merger of Bank of tional Bank with two weak banks,
pact of higher tariffs slapped on
Baroda–Vijaya Bank–Dena Bank, United Bank of India and Oriental
them by the US as the result of
there will be a dozen large, national Bank of Commerce, will eventually
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an ongoing trade war between


and regional banks to help achieve weaken the stronger entity.
the two countries.
the government’s aim to be a $5 The PSB model of banking with
The result: Indian exporters
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trillion economy. The merger move government ownership, control and


are on tenterhooks as they are
is recognition of the fact that bigger lending support to government’s
uncertain about how long the
banks have greater ability to absorb agenda (priority sector, financial
trend of rupee slide will last.
shock, reap economies of scale and inclusion, Mudra etc) has been a big
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The rupee moving towards its


raise resources without depending stumbling block for bringing change
real effective exchange rate is
on the exchequer, says SBI Chief Ra- in their functioning. The merger
perhaps the way forward.
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jnish Kumar. The three broad gains doesn’t address the core structural
- Joe C. Mathew
from the consolidation will be an and fundamental issues plaguing
increased capacity to lend; stronger PSBs.– Anand Adhikari
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INDIGO
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Heading for Truce


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FINALLY, there’s truce between closed an open issue as per Gang- over the board. Gangwal also did not
IndiGo promoters Rakesh Gangwal wal’s satisfaction. His agreement attend IndiGo's AGM on August 27.
and Rahul Bhatia. The fight that with the board decision is in stark His nominee on the board Anupam
began early last year was settled contrast to his previous stance on Khanna also skipped it, a move that
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with IndiGo adopting a new policy the board expansion where he had has raised doubts among share-
for related party transactions (RPTs), suggested that the board strength holders on the terms at which the
and increasing the board strength be increased to seven so that at any promoters smoked the peace pipe.
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from six to 10. In the fourth week of point in time, Bhatia’s IGE Group – Manu Kaushik
August, Gangwal announced that would not have significant control
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he’s going to support the proposed


changes to the Articles of Associa-
tion (AoA) – to increase the board
size to 10 – since the board has
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THE BUZZ

PPAs

Review and
Restructure
AMID THE controversies
related to the state govern-
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ments cancelling power


purchase agreements,
or PPAs, especially of the
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renewable energy play-


ers, a group led by Special
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Secretary Sanjiv Nandan


Sahai with representatives
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from the Central Electricity


Authority, Central Electric-
ity Regulatory Commission
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and Power System Opera-


tion Corporation Limited,
has been formed. The
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PHOTOGRAPH BY SHEKHAR GHOSH


group has been asked to
review the entire system,
and suggest restructur-
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ing of the agreement. The


state governments are
finding it difficult to cope
MULTI-BRAND RETAIL with dipping prices in re-
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newable energy and lock-

CAPITALISING ON
ing PPA for two decades.
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Andhra Pradesh has


cancelled recently signed

GREY AREAS
PPAs of various renewable
energy projects. Before
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this, some states such as


Uttar Pradesh, Karnataka
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and Gujarat refused to


THE Government of adhere to the agreements.
India has been against The investors, too, find
allowing FDI in multi- it difficult to convince
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brand retail for a long banks to raise debt for


time since it believes it this period, but they insist
would hurt the interests on longer tenure PPAs to
of local retailers. How- spread the fixed cost and
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ever, it has allowed for a get competitive tariff. It will


number of grey areas in be difficult for the group to
the policy which global by joining hands with in India, the fact remains find a win-win deal.
retailers have capitalised Samara Capital. Amazon that many foreign retailers -Anilesh S. Mahajan
upon. In the past couple also picked up a 5 per found an easy way to enter
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of years, Amazon has cent stake in Shoppers India by partnering with


made three investments Stop through its invest- Indian retail companies.
ment arm. The likes of Zara and

`17.9
in Indian retail compa-
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nies through indirect The ambiguity in the Marks and Spencer have
routes. It has recently retail policy existed in entered India through
invested in Future Retail FDI in single-brand retail such partnerships. The
by buying a 49 per cent too. Though the recent 1.3 billion consumption
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stake in Future Coupons, FDI announcement has opportunity in India is an


a promoter entity of eased the 30 per cent local attraction for all global re- TRILLION
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Future Retail, and has a sourcing clause for single- tailers and Indian retailers Size of entity formed
call option to acquire the brand foreign retailers, need capital to survive. It after merger of
entire stake of Future Re- and the local sourcing is high time policy makers PNB, Oriental Bank
tail over a period of time. compulsion did dis- come up with friendlier
suade many single-brand investment policies.
of Commerce and
Earlier, it invested in
retailers from investing -Ajita Shashidhar United Bank of India
Aditya Birla Retail’s More

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THE BUZZ

NUMBER CRUNCHING
WHAT: Future of Analytics Summit
WHEN: October 16, Mumbai
WHAT TO LOOK FOR: The second
edition of the summit will focus on
strategies around data analytics in
order to enhance business growth. The
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participants will learn effective use of


data and analytical tools
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EMPOWERING IDEAS COMMERCE


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WHAT: World Infrastructure WHAT: APAC Commercial Summit


Congress & Awards
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WHEN: October 17, Mumbai


WHEN: October 15-16, Mumbai
WHAT TO LOOK FOR: More than 200
WHAT TO LOOK FOR: The two-day professionals from the life sciences
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event will have exhibitors and key industry will gather to exchange ideas
decision makers share industry updates and discuss latest technology trends.
and opportunities in order to empower
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Professionals in sales/commercial
participants to augment profitability of operations, brand management and
their businesses. marketing should attend the event.
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7 18 19
16 1 20
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15 21
14
22
13

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23
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24 25 26 27
10 11

CALENDAR
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28
7

29
6

30
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5 31
DRIVING GROWTH
4 3 2 1 GLOBAL NETWORK
WHAT: India Summit WHAT: Global Conference on
Business Management and
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WHEN: October 17, Mumbai Economics


WHAT TO LOOK FOR: Over 1,000 WHEN: October 26, Canada
delegates will participate in the summit
that will evaluate states on parameters WHAT TO LOOK FOR:Participants
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such as investment opportunities, ease will have an opportunity to network


of doing business, entrepreneurship with academics, researchers, industry
and education. The idea is to spur specialists, policymakers and business
managers in areas of international
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growth by enhancing competition


among states. business and economics.

LUXURIOUS REALTY
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WHAT: World Property &


Investment Show
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WHEN: October 19-20, Mumbai


WHAT TO LOOK FOR: The event will
be a platform to showcase international
residential, commercial, luxury and
sustainable properties. Participants will
include real estate industry specialists,
corporates, fund managers, wealth
managers, brokers and HNI investors.

18 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


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THE BUZZ

GLOBAL BUSINESS

US-CHINA TRADE FLIP-FLOP CONTINUES ARGENTINA, BRAZIL IN TROUBLE

There is no lack of surprise in the ongoing US-China trade war. Brazil has narrowly avoided recession in the second quarter
After slapping a fresh round of 10 per cent tariff on $300 billion of while Argentina is struggling to avoid its ninth sovereign debt
Chinese imports, U.S. President Donald Trump declared he would default, as per economic data released on August 29. Brazil
w

delay imposing the tax on selected consumer goods until mid- recorded a second-quarter growth of 1 per cent, slightly bet-
December but the new tariff would hit the rest from September. ter than expected, but overseas investors yanked $5 billion
w

Trump then added that trade talks could continue following signs from its stock exchange this year. The country’s treatment of
that Beijing would not immediately retaliate against the latest the Amazon rainforest is also adding to its woes. A recession-
tariff increase. China is reportedly preparing for a no-deal sce- racked Argentina is now trying to delay repayments on $100
w

nario. However, the S&P 500 Index rose after a spokesman for billion of debt. Its currency, the peso, fell more than 20 per cent
China’s commerce ministry said that escalating the conflict would over the past two weeks and the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange
not benefit either side. Earlier, China’s central bank seemed to plunged 30 per cent. Its central bank tried to shore up the
.t.

have responded to fresh tariffs by lowering its currency’s official peso with close to $1.5 billion, but it did not work either. The
exchange rate ($1= ¥7.04). As a result, Chinese goods now appear country’s latest financial crisis was triggered when President
cheaper to overseas customers. China is also shipping US-bound Mauricio Macri suffered a surprise primary election defeat that
m

exports to other Asian countries to circumvent tariffs. makes his re-election as president in October quite unlikely.
e/
Ta
m
ilP
D
F_
En
ew
sp

BREXIT TURNS MURKY, BP TO SELL ALASKA PHILIP MORRIS, ALTRIA


YET AGAIN BUSINESS FOR $5.6 BN PLAN TO REUNITE
ap

UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson has Oil behemoth British Petroleum is selling its Tobacco giants Philip Morris International
come under fire after advising Queen Alaska business to American private oil firm and Altria Group are reportedly in talks to
Elizabeth II to order prorogation and Hilcorp Energy for $5.6 billion, thus clos- reunite 11 years after they split. The poten-
suspend the parliament only a few ing its 60-year activity in that location. Post tial merger could create a $210 billion
e

weeks before the Brexit deadline on the deal, Houston-based Hilcorp will have tobacco giant. The companies split in 2008
October 31. The Queen has approved access to Prudhoe Bay, one of the most pro- mainly because Altria wanted to highlight
rs

the plan. It a frequent occurrence ductive oil fields in the US. The sale is part of its non-tobacco businesses – large stakes
before a Queen’s Speech (scheduled BP’s pay-off plan as it bought BHP Billiton’s in Kraft Foods and brewer SABMiller. Now
for October 14), but Johnson’s critics US shale business last year and decided to that these businesses have been sold off,
insist that the PM is trying to curtail sell off $10 billion of assets to help pay for the former partners want to follow suit. The
the debate so that his Brexit plan can it. The latest move also indicates a larger combined entity could also grow in e-cig-
be forced through. If the UK exits the change as the company seems to be focus- arette and cannabis products segments
European Union without a deal, it can sing more on shale oil and natural gas to cut as Altria owns a 35 per cent stake in vape
make the economy 9 per cent smaller in down on environmental impact and reduce company Juul and 45 per cent in Canadian
15 years, as per government estimates. its carbon footprint. cannabis firm company Cronos.

20 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


ers
ap
sp
ew
En
F_
D
ilP
m
Ta
e/
m
.t.
w
w
w
S

SE
D

ER
THE BUZZ

NIV
N

LU
A A

CIA
R H

SO
B IT IAL
W OC
w

S ICE
w

VO ues
w

i ve i s s
o n s ensit
a s tan d
y t o win
.t.

n g a r
Taki
b u t n ecess
is risky er loyalty.
m

custom
By Sonal Khetarpal
e/

Illustration by Raj Verma


Ta

matters is brands do not digress from


their value system. R.S. Sodhi, Manag-
ing Director of Gujarat Co-operative
m

Milk Marketing Federation (that owns


the Amul brand), says, “One can voice
society. The 2018 Edelman Earned out anything but expressing ethos on
ilP

Brand study showed that 64 per cent which business is built is important be-
consumers around the world buy or cause consumers are smart to pick up

F
boycott a product based on values of false claims.”
D

OOD AGGREGATOR and the company. Recently, Amul, which has a long-
delivery company Zomato Companies do follow a set of stan- standing reputation of trust and trans-
F_

recently won hearts for its dard principles, but in an age of social parency, slyly indicated in an ad that
stand against an unusual de- media, voicing their views has become Britannia’s Good Day cookies have
mand. The Gurgaon-based equally important. “Brands might have more vegetable oil than butter unlike
En

firm refused to appease a customer their own value system but making Amul’s butter-filled cookies. Britan-
demanding that a Hindu delivery boy consumers aware of it should be an in- nia retorted by raising health concerns
bring in his order. Taking a courageous tegral part of their consumer strategy,” of excessive consumption of butter.
stand — unlike most brands, which suggests K.V. Sridhar, Founder and The two brands may hold contradic-
ew

prefer to stay mum on sensitive issues Chief Creative Officer of cross-disci- tory views but their version of values
— Zomato tweeted it does not dis- plinary brand consultancy HyperCol- allowed consumers to choose what
criminate on the basis of race or reli- lective. “Without emotions and feel- works for them and gives them a bet-
sp

gion. “Food doesn’t have a religion. It is ings, a brand is as good as a commodity ter brand recall.
a religion,” it said. From celebrities and such as atta, dal and chawal,” he adds. However, speaking up can backfire
politicians to common people, all ap- Social media analytics firm Sprout sometimes, as some consumers may
ap

preciated the move. Former Election Social surveyed 1,000 consumers in boycott the brand or post negative
Commissioner S.Y. Quraishi and for- the US to study what they want from comments. Sodhi of Amul suggests
mer Jammu and Kashmir Chief Min- brands. The survey found out that 52 that “even if people troll or voice nega-
ister Omar Abdullah tweeted in favour per cent respondents who agreed with tive opinions, brands should revert
e

of Zomato. Many others ordered food the brand’s position had greater brand gracefully, clarify their position and
rs

from its app to show support. loyalty, 44 per cent expressed likeli- leave space open for dialogue”. This
Business heads prefer to stay hood of purchasing more and 28 per helps consumers interact directly with
neutral on controversial issues. But, cent said that they would love to praise the brand, thus driving sales via word-
the times are changing. Consumers the brand publicly. of-mouth marketing.
now look up to their favourite brands Values are subjective. There is
to stand up for what is wrong in the nothing right or wrong about it. What @sonalkhetarpal7

22 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


TWITTER ADVISORS
FEEL #IGNORED
Twitter’s 40-member Trust and Safety
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Council, comprising outside experts such as


Unwelcome academicians and Internet advocates, wrote a
w

Delay stinker to the microblogging site and said that


in spite of their repeated e-mail and messages,
w

France is optimistic that the platform tends to ignore them. The Council
the US-based social media
.t.

giants, including Facebook was formed in 2016 to help fight abuse and
and Snapchat, will be part fake news. In a letter, the members said there
m

of its charter “for an open, had been “no advance heads-up of Twitter’s
free and safe Internet” by
signing a pledge to fight policy or product changes to the council,
e/

online hate speech. The leaving many of us to have no prior warning


EU nation had invited or let alone knowledge when answering press
Ta

these companies, as well and media inquiries. This is embarrassing.”


as Google, to its 45th G7
summit, recently con- The letter ends by requesting a call with CEO
cluded in Biarritz, but the Jack Dorsey to discuss the council’s future.
m

signing did not happen.


As per media reports, U.S.
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President Donald Trump


influenced the social media
platforms not to sign the
pledge publicly, but Wash-
D

ington denied those allega-


tions. A French minister
F_

also said that the signing


had only been delayed.
En

DOUBLE-EDGED
ew

SWORD

35%
TIKTOK SENT A NOTICE TO
sp

SHARECHAT, INDIA’S VERY


FIRST REGIONAL SOCIAL MEDIA
PLATFORM, ASKING IT TO TAKE
DOWN THE FORMER’S EXCLUSIVE
ap

CONTENT. THE HOMEGROWN


FIRM DULY COMPLIED BUT ALSO
WROTE TO THE GOVERNMENT
THAT CONTENT EXCLUSIVITY IS ESTIMATED RISE OF THE ASIA-PACIFIC’S SHARE OF SOCIAL
e

THE DOMAIN OF BROADCAST- ADVERTISING SPENDING IN 2023, FROM 30 PER CENT IN 2018,
ERS AND STREAMING SERVICES ACCORDING TO FORRESTER’S SOCIAL MEDIA ADVERTISING
rs

SUCH AS OTT PLATFORMS, WHILE FORECAST, 2019-2023. AS USER GROWTH IS SLOWING DOWN IN
TIKTOK IDENTIFIES ITSELF AS AN MOST OF THE KEY MARKETS, SOCIAL MEDIA COMPANIES ARE
INTERMEDIARY. THIS HAS PUT THE TRYING TO INCREASE THEIR PER-USER REVENUE IN GROWTH
SHORT VIDEO-SHARING APP’S MARKETS SUCH AS CHINA AND INDIA. ASIA-PACIFIC MAY
FUTURE IN JEOPARDY AS THE WITNESS THE FASTEST GROWTH DURING THIS PERIOD AND BE
GOVERNMENT IS NOW ALL SET TO ON A PAR WITH THE US AND EUROPE’S SHARE OF SOCIAL
CONFRONT TIKTOK. ADVERTISING SPENDING.

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 23


THE BUZZ

START-UP

THINKERBELL LABS

BREAKING
THE BARRIER
w
w

OF BLINDNESS
w
.t.

THE BENGALURU-BASED
COMPANY HELPS SET UP
(From left) Thinkerbell
SMART CLASSES FOR THE Co-founders
m

VISUALLY IMPAIRED. Aman Srivastava,


By Sonal Khetarpal Dilip Ramesh and
Photograph by Lantern Camera Sanskriti Dawle
e/
Ta

1) Founders KEY Sullivan, who taught the legendary Helen Keller.


Sanskriti Dawle, Aman
Srivastava, Dilip Ramesh
NUMBERS 3) How Annie Works
m

and Saif Shaikh – all of them FOUNDED IN Four years and seven iterations later, Annie features a
June 2016
engineering graduates Braille display and keyboard as well as a digital Braille
from BITS Pilani, Goa. slate and offers audio-guided interactive lessons to
ilP

ensure self-learning via gamified quizzes and exams.


2) The Concept Teachers can use the companion app called Helios
Not many college projects turn FUNDING: to monitor progress and schedule lessons so that all
D

into full-fledged businesses, Raised students can learn simultaneously. Besides English,
but the four managed to `1.3 crore in the audio-tactile content is currently available in
F_

develop a self-learning device seed funding from five Indian languages. The company has set up its
Indian Angel Network
for the visually impaired as and Anand Mahindra; manufacturing unit in Pune and can produce 500 units
part of their research project. recently got `2.1 crore every quarter.
En

Initially, they used a credit- from IAN, LetsVenture


and angels from
card-sized computer called Birmingham, UK 4) Revenue and Growth
Raspberry Pi and audio guides In the domestic market, Thinkerbell sells Annie as a
to make Braille learning easy. smart class solution that consists of Annie toolkits,
ew

But what they thought was supporting infrastructure (server and software with
a rudimentary prototype got localised content) and materials for a teacher’s training
TEAM
an overwhelming response MEMBERS: programme. The average cost of setting up each
10 classroom is `10 lakh, and the biggest customers are
sp

when tested in a Hyderabad


blind school. The peers had government-run special schools and philanthropic
addressed a big gap in this organisations. Last year, the start-up installed 20
ap

space as Braille is a tactile Braille-teaching devices in a government school


language and a teacher must in Ranchi in collaboration with the government
hold a student’s hand to teach PRODUCTS of Jharkhand. Other key customers included the
her the alphabet. But this kind SOLD: government of Telangana and L.V. Prasad Eye Hospital
e

105, including six units


of one-on-one interaction for Annie Braille in Hyderabad.
rs

means the rest of the class is smart classes In February this year, Thinkerbell landed its first
idle most of the time; it delays international customer, the Wales Sensory Service. It
the learning process. The peers, has also tied up with the Royal National Institute of
therefore, decided to leverage the Blind to curate content and enter the UK market.
technology further and build GROSS In developed markets, Annie is sold as a single device,
a scalable learning solution. REVENUE: priced at £700. The company is planning to enter the
They also decided to name
their device Annie, after Anne
`17.2
lakh in FY2017/18
US market in 2020 and aims to sell 4,000 products
over the next two years.
ers
ap
sp
ew
En
F_
D
ilP
m
Ta
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COVER STORY > DEBT
w
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.t.
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GRAPHITI
Ta
m
DEBT, SET, GO ilP
The economic wheels in India are already
turning very slowly. But the overall debt
D
burden, which spiked in 2018/19, could halt
even that progress.
F_
GRAPHIC BY NILANJAN DAS
TEXT BY SHIVANI SHARMA
En
` ` ` $
ew
84.7
LAKH CRORE
9
LAKH CRORE
1.76
LAKH CRORE
543
BILLION
Central government Aggregate interest expenses Amount that the Reserve Bank India’s external debt – about 20 per
sp
gross debt as of March of BSE 500 companies in of India will transfer to the cent of GDP at the end of March
2019. This is 11% more 2018/19 as compared to government for 2019/20 2019 – is $13.7 billion more than the
than in March 2018 `7.07 lakh crore in 2014/15 level at the end of March 2018
ap
rs e
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WEIGHED DOWN ALARM BELLS
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India Inc’s loans are rising The household sector's
w
even though earnings are loans from non-banks almost
muted. The 16 per cent rise in doubled in 2017/18
2018/19 has been the highest
in four years
.t.
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53

46

42

40
39
4.30 / 2.43

33

28

26

25

22
3.02 / 0.56
3.09 / 0.22

e/
2.82 / 0.94

2.73 / 0.17
2.75 / 1.16
2.51 / 1.23

2.69 / 0.09
1.94 / 0.09

1.80 / 0.09
1.55 / 0.09

FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19


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(` lakh crore)
Total revenue
m
Total debt (` lakh crore)
FY11
FY17

FY12
FY15

FY13
FY14
FY18

FY16

FY10

FY08
FY09

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Bank advances
ON THE EDGE Loans & advances from other
D
financial institutions
Long-term loans and
advances rose 12.5 per cent
in 2018/19, the highest in DANGER POINT
F_
four years
The 19.4 per cent increase in
Long-term loans and PSU debt in 2018/19 can be
advances of BSE 500 viewed as a sign of trouble
En
companies from banks and
other financial institutions PSU debt (` lakh crore)

4.74
ew
21.85

4.44
18.30

4.34
16.89

15.72

14.31

4.21

4.05
sp
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19

(` lakh crore) Sources: Ministry of Commerce,


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Ministry of Finance, BSE, NSE,
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 Ace Equity, RBI
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COVER STORY / LEAD

PAIN OF
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DEBT
.t.
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Government, corporates and


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even households are deep in debt.


In a slowing economy this
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could only escalate.


By PROSENJIT DATTA
m

ILLUSTRATION BY NILANJAN DAS


ilP
D

A
F_
En

few months ago, when the Comptroller and Auditor General of India (CAG)
rapped the Union Finance Ministry for its off-balance sheet borrowings, the
news did not come as a surprise to anyone following the government’s finances.
As several economists have calculated, if one were to add up all the extra bud-
ew

getary liabilities of the Indian government, the fiscal deficit would actually be
double what was being claimed in the Budget speeches.
Off-balance sheet borrowing is not something new – governments resort to
sp

it all the time. However, the scale of borrowings was worrying. It reflected the
government’s deteriorating finances in a slowing economy.
Even if just the official debt numbers were to be counted, the debt-to-GDP
ap

ratio has been creeping up. A bigger concern was that almost a quarter of the
Budget spends were going into servicing the rising debt. More importantly,
fresh debt being taken by the government was largely being spent on paying the
interest of its debt taken earlier. In essence, not a nice place to be in.
e

For a long time, when the debt problems in India were talked about by
rs

economists and business analysts, it was largely in reference to corporate debt.


But as is slowly becoming apparent, India has a debt problem at every level – in
Union and state government finances, in the balance sheet of corporate India,
and even in household debt. The indebtedness has been creeping up slowly, and
under the radar. But unless this appetite for debt is curbed now, it could hit the
already slowing economic growth very badly.
Unfortunately, the country is caught in a vicious cycle. The government has
had to keep spending (and, therefore, borrowing more) to ensure that the GDP

28 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


WHAT
CAN BE
DONE
Tighter
control on
government
w

finances;
reducing
fiscal deficit
w

Increasing
w

tax revenues;
focus on
compliance;
.t.

widening tax
payer base
m

Making PSU
sector more
accountable;
e/

bringing in
efficiencies;
reducing
government
Ta

fund support

More thrust
on public
m

private
partnership
ilP

Transfer-
ring higher
resources
to states for
D

better results
F_
En

`
growth does not stall. But that is also one of show a worrying trend of household savings
the reasons for the corporate sector’s inabil-
ity to access cheap debt. Government bor-
coming down while household debt is going
up. High household savings were the cheap-
131
lakh crore
rowings are crowding out the private sector, est source of funds for banks; it allowed them Government
ew

causing firms to raise money at higher costs. to lend freely and support corporate invest- general debt
(states and
Corporate India has not been able to re- ment in new projects. But this source is be- Centre) in
duce its debt problem, despite the clean-up ginning to falter. 2018/19
sp

initiated by the then Reserve Bank of In- At the same time, cheap consumer finance
dia (RBI) governor Raghuram Rajan. They had been fueling the consumption spree of In-
mainly got into trouble because of excessive dian households. Given how reliant the Indian
` 32
ap

borrowings for projects that turned dud for economy is on consumption growth, this was
a variety of reasons – deteriorating economy, not a bad thing while growth remained high. lakh crore
policy changes, dishonest promoters and But now, as growth slows, and in turn hits Overall
debt of 800
global factors. Despite the concerted efforts jobs and income growth, the rising indebted-
e

companies
by the RBI and the government (Insolvency ness could cause problems. Consumption has in 2018/19
rs

and Bankruptcy Code), the problem has wors- already started slowing as cheap consumer fi-
ened. A cursory look at the balance sheets of nance dries up, and people get more cautious.
top companies shows that in the majority of
the cases, debt is rising faster than revenues
In the following stories, we look in de-
tail at the problems of debt being faced by ` 22
lakh crore
and profits. And now, hidden debt taken by the government, the corporate sector and
promoters – or promoter level debt – is roiling households. Outstanding
debt of
the financial sector. households
If that isn’t bad enough, recent statistics @ProsaicView as of 2018/19

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 29


ers
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sp
ew
En
F_
D
ilP
m
Ta
e/
m
.t.
w
w
w
w
w
w
.t.
m
e/
Ta

or three decades up to the 2008 global fi-


m

nancial crisis, China’s gross domestic product


(GDP) grew close to double digits. Government
debt to GDP remained low at 20-25 per cent.
ilP

As growth rate slipped to 6-7 per cent after that,


government debt started getting out of hand.
The debt-to-GDP ratio of the world’s second-
D

largest economy has almost doubled to 55 per


cent in the last decade. This has been a result
F_

of China’s massive investment push to create


more capacity as the export engine slowed after
the global meltdown. Many say even the 55 per
En

cent figure is an understatement. In fact, inter-


national rating agencies often look at Chinese
debt numbers with a pinch of salt due to heavy
off-balance sheet borrowings.
ew

Is India, too, showing signs of running into


something similar? The economy is slowing.
GDP growth fell to a six-year low of 5 per cent
sp

in the first quarter of 2019/20. International


rating agency Moody’s has cut the 2019 calen-
dar year GDP growth forecast from 6.8 per cent
ap

to 6.2 per cent. The parallels are unmistakable.


Like China, Indian policy makers have stepped
up public spending in the last few years, though
to balance the lack of private sector invest-
e

ments (again due to heavy debt). Government


rs

general debt touched 69 per cent of GDP in


2018/19, up from 60.7 per cent six years ago.
Given the likely global recession and weakness
1/4TH ` 7.1 lakh crore in the domestic market as consumption – the
one growth engine running well for years – also
of budgetary Budgeted
borrowings go government slows due to banking and NBFC liquidity cri-
into interest borrowings in sis, the government’s target of reducing this to
payments 2019/20 60 per cent in the next five years is challenging
COVER STORY / GOVERNMENT DEBT RISING LEVELS
A slowing economy will compound
the problem of high debt
challenging (see Rising Levels). The situation is so bad that
the Centre spends close to one-fourth of its yearly Budget 131
General Debt
on interest payments. About 90 per cent yearly borrowings ` lakh crore
114.5
go into paying interest on past debts, leaving little for the % of GDP 102.9
more productive capital investments. A sustained higher 94.4
borrowing means higher inflation, more interest burden 83
w

will mean lesser resources for public expenditure, higher 75.3


borrowing costs for companies and fall in value of the rupee
69
w

against the US dollar – all in all, a perfect storm. 68.5


India’s combined fiscal deficit, at 6.9 per cent of GDP, 67.1
w

is one of the highest among the G-20 countries. Only Ar- 66.6 67 67
gentina, at 7 per cent, is ahead. In fact, Viral Acharya, the
former RBI deputy governor, had quoted a former central
.t.

banker of Argentina to make a strong statement about the


likely consequence of interfering with the autonomy of 2013/14 2015/16 2018/19
m

central banks. This was when the government first talked


General debt (states and Centre combined)
about dipping into the RBI’s surplus capital, a move that Off-balance sheet borrowings excluded
e/

bore fruit last week when the central bank accepted the rec- Source: Economic Survey and rating agencies
ommendations of the Bimal Jalan Committee for transfer
of an additional `52,637 crore surplus to the government.
Ta

Though this will shore up the government’s balance sheet,


it is likely to be seen by international rating agencies in a
STRUGGLE IN FISCAL
negative light, a sign of financial distress.
CONSOLIDATION
For 2019/20, central government
m

India also seems to be taking a leaf out of the Chinese


borrowings will see a big jump
government’s off-balance sheet borrowings, which are at-
tracting the attention of rating agencies. “Off-balance sheet
ilP

Govt Borrowings Fiscal


borrowings are over 1.5 per cent of GDP,” says Arun Singh, ` lakh crore deficit as
% of GDP
Chief Economist at Dun & Bradstreet. A weak fiscal posi- 2013/14 5.03 4.5
tion is a big reason India’s sovereign ratings have not been
D

2014/15 5.9
upgraded for years now. 4.1
2015/16 5.9
In the 1990s, too, the government had a large fiscal
F_

2016/17 5.8 3.9


deficit. India’s debt-to-GDP ratio touched 77.4 per cent in
1991/92. The problem got compounded because of rise in 2017/18 5.9
oil prices, currency depreciation and trade as well as cur- 2018/19 5.7 3.5 3.45
En

rent account deficit. This led to a huge balance of payments


2019/20 7.1 3.35 3.3
crisis. Similarly, in 2001/02, the economy was in the slow
growth mode, and the Kargil war took place. The global Source: CARE Ratings, Union Budget,
economy was also in bad shape after the 9/11 attacks. The Economic Survey
ew

debt to GDP ratio rose to a high of 84.2 per cent. Is India


hurtling towards a similar crisis?
sp

SLOWING ECONOMY
Immediate Danger growth engine that has been working in the absence
The Economic Survey this year warned that a slow- of private sector investments. Plus, it is not easy to cut
ap

ing economy would impact revenue collections. “GDP funds already committed for key schemes such as the
slowdown could impact the debt servicing numbers,” PM Kisan, Ayushman Bharat or Fasal Bima Yojana.
it warned. Weak growth numbers are a partial cause of “If things come to cutting the capital expenditure or
government debt build-up, Credit Suisse said in a recent breaching the fiscal deficit in case of a revenue shortfall,
e

study. The CAG data shows that net tax collections in the I would suggest not cutting the capital expenditure. We
rs

first quarter (April-June) of the current financial year rose don’t have to worry about inflation as it is very low,” says
just 6.3 per cent from the year-ago period. This is way be- Arun Singh of Dun & Bradstreet.
low the yearly target of 11 per cent. In fact, the govern- “India is staring at a silent fiscal crisis and the gov-
ment barely achieved its net tax collection target of `14.84 ernment should release a white paper on its medium-
lakh crore in 2018/19. term targets in the backdrop of a shortfall in tax reve-
One way of managing fiscal deficit is reducing ex- nues,” Rathin Roy, a member of the Economic Advisory
penditure. This will worsen the slowdown and lead to Council to the Prime Minister, said recently.
a downward spiral as government spending is the only Some relief has come from the RBI, which is giving

32 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


INDIA TOPS
THE DEBT LIST
AMONG EMERGING off-balance sheet borrowings by rolling over subsidy pay-
MARKETS ments to next year and encouraging public sector entities
to borrow from the market. Take, for instance, the gross
Debt to GDP ratio
revenue shortfall of `1.5 lakh crore in 2018/19. The bud-
Figures for Q3 2018;
Source: Institute of International Finance
geted figure was `24.5 lakh crore whereas the actual col-
lection was around `23 lakh crore. Then, how did the gov-
w

ernment manage to meet its fiscal deficit target of 3.4 per


cent? There was actually a cut in expenditure. It did not pay
India Malaysia
a `60-70,000 crore food subsidy to the Food Corporation
w

68.4 51.9
of India (FCI). The FCI, in turn, borrowed funds to bridge
w

the subsidy gap. “Rolling over of subsidy creates a debt bur-


den for the FCI in the longer run,” says a market expert.
The CAG has pointed out that government dues to the FCI
.t.

are rising because of such rollovers. In government books,


China which are prepared on a cash basis, the actual paid amount
m

48.5
is shown, while in FCI books, it is shown as accrued from
government. The government pays it as soon as the next
e/

year starts. As a result, the FCI has to take loans on its


books for making payments. Similarly, the NHAI debt has
ballooned from `40,000 crore six years ago to `1.78 lakh
Ta

crore. These off-balance sheet borrowings of `1-1.5 lakh


crore are not reflected in the general debt of 69 per cent of
GDP. Viral Acharya had said at a Monetary Policy Com-
m

mittee meeting that the practice has inflationary implica-


Hong Kong tions in the longer run. “The estimates of overall public
sector borrowing, which appropriately accounts for extra
ilP

44.3
Philippines
budgetary resources and other off-balance sheet borrow-
South Korea 39.8 ings of central and state governments, have now reached
39.2 8-9 per cent of GDP. This is at a level similar to that in 2013
D

at the time of the ‘taper tantrum’ crisis,” he said. The rupee


had depreciated sharply against the US dollar during taper
F_

Indonesia tantrum due to foreign fund outflows after the Fed said it
29.7 would end monetary easing.
Experts say off-balance sheet borrowing is an expen-
En
ew
sp

another `53,000 crore to the government, apart from the


surplus of `1.23 lakh crore generated during 2018/19, for
ap

2019/20. Many experts are not convinced that this will


help as the government had earlier wasted the oil bonan-
za — it had failed to lower oil prices or reduce fiscal defi-
cit when international crude oil prices had fallen sharply
e

in the early years of the first Narendra Modi government.


“THE GOVERNMENT’S RELIANCE
rs

In addition, the RBI surplus is a one-time bonanza and


ON THE NATIONAL SMALL SAVINGS
cannot be a sustainable source of revenue. Even the stra-
tegic sale of PSUs is going to be a challenge due to fall in
FUND HAS BEEN INCREASING
stock markets. YEAR AFTER YEAR”
MADAN SABNAVIS
OFF- BALANCE SHEET BORROWINGS
Chief Economist, CARE Ratings
Camouflaging of Debt Numbers
The government has been resorting more and more to

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 33


NT D EBT
OV E R STO RY / GOVERNME
C

G S T O R EMAI N H IG H
B OR R O W I N
ns below
for GST collectio
ouble; chorus expectatio n s
Economy in tr
stimulus to rise hemes
t Large social sc , A yushman
omy to impac like PM K is an
Slowing econ ctions – taxes, EGA to
revenue colle t and others Bharat, MGNR
disinvestmen continue

rating agenci
es es at state
Fiscal slippag liance on
w

International off-balance sheet r re


are factoring st of funds to go level, highe ings
borrowings; co market borrow
w

c.
up for India In
w
.t.

sive way of raising resources. International rating agen- been increasing year after year,” says Madan Sabnavis,
cies are already factoring in off-balance sheet borrowings Chief Economist, CARE Ratings. Borrowings from the
m

while assessing India’s general debt. Higher debt increas- NSSF were financing around 2 per cent of fiscal deficit six
es the cost of funds for corporates raising money abroad. years ago. This jumped close to 20 per cent in 2019/20.
e/

“This kind of reliance on the NSSF puts tremendous pres-


PRESSURE POINTS sure on banks. They cannot lower fixed deposits rates fur-
Central Banks’ Surplus Capital and Sovereign Bond ther (even though repo rates are coming down) as rates on
Ta

Government borrowings are expected to be `7.1 lakh crore government savings schemes, which they compete with,
in 2019/20 from `5.7 lakh crore in the previous year. Pres- are much higher,” says a banker.
sure points are building up. A desperate government got Rising government borrowings leave little for the pri-
m

into a running battle with the RBI for dipping its hands vate sector. For this, the government had come out with
into the central bank's surplus capital. Finally, a committee an idea of taking a part of its debt in foreign currency. The
headed by Bimal Jalan pegged excess reserves at `52,637 plan has been apparently on the backburner after econo-
ilP

crore. The government was expecting some `2-3 lakh crore mists raised an alarm over the risks involved.
but is getting less as the Jalan Committee ruled out parting
with revaluation reserves. India Ratings says the surplus STATE FINANCES
D

transfer is likely to be used to meet the revenue shortfall. Added Risk


With GDP growth slowing, the shortfall is likely to be high. The expenditure of states now surpasses the central budget
F_

There are other worrying signs too. “The government’s expenditure. In 2018/19, the states’ budget expenditure was
reliance on the National Small Savings Fund (NSSF) has `33.59 lakh crore compared to the Centre's round `27 lakh
crore. The states’ fiscal situation deteriorated in 2015/16
En

and 2016/17 as they took over the debt of Discoms under


the Uday Scheme. Their borrowings are also on the rise.
In 2018/19, gross borrowings are budgeted at `5,50,000
crore, 2.9 per cent of GDP. “State governments are coming
ew

to raise money in the same market where the Centre is bor-


rowing. States’ borrowings have grown gradually over the
years. This equation can change if GST collections improve
sp

in future,” says Arun Singh of Dun & Bradstreet. In fact,


borrowing costs of states are steadily rising and are more
than the Centre’s borrowing costs.
ap

The recent loan waivers by states are going to put


more pressure on state finances. The share of states in
the combined deficit of Centre and states has been ris-
ing since 2015/16. There is also a trend of states raising
e

borrowings from the international market. The Kerala


“I WOULD SUGGEST NOT CUTTING
rs

Infrastructure Board recently became the first state gov-


THE CAPITAL EXPENDITURE. WE ernment institution in India to raise money abroad. Many
DON’T HAVE TO WORRY ABOUT economists complain that states’ data comes in a haphaz-
INFLATION AS IT IS VERY LOW” ard manner. “The data is not standardised. It comes with
ARUN SINGH
a lag. There is data with and without the Uday scheme,”
Chief Economist, Dun & Bradstreet says Sabnavis.

@anandadhikari

34 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


ers
ap
sp
ew
En
F_
D
ilP
m
Ta
e/
m
.t.
w
w
w
TIGHTENING
w

NOOSE
w

Overall debt of 800


w

companies increased
30% in five years
.t.

(FY 19). But net profit


increased just 10%.
Some sectors have
m

been hit badly


e/

TELECOM
`7.7 lakh crore
Ta

R E A L E S TAT E
`4.8 lakh crore
m

P OW E R *
`2.24 lakh crore
ilP

STEEL
`2.82 lakh crore
D
F_

Source: COAI, CRISIL,


industry reports
* 75 companies
En
ew
sp
ap
ers
COVER STORY / CORPORATE DEBT

TILL DEBT
w
w

DO US PART
w
.t.
m

Corporate India’s interest outgo


is growing faster than its operating
e/

income. As sectoral issues combine


with a slowdown to pull down
Ta

earnings, servicing debt could


become more challenging.
m

BY RASHMI PRATAP
ilP

ILLUSTRATION BY RAJ VERMA


D

I
F_

n his book 'How the Mighty Fall', American business


En

consultant and author Jim Collins outlines five stages of


decline that even the best of companies could witness –
beginning with hubris born of success and ending with
the entity becoming irrelevant or dead. But when many
ew

mighty companies begin to feel headwinds at the same


time, witness credit downgrades, struggle with dwindling profits and rising debt,
there is more to the story than just the five internal stages of a giant’s decline.
sp

The last two years can well be called the years of the fall of the mighty in In-
dia Inc. There is hardly any business expansion or new project, debt overhang is
looming large, there have been defaults by those who seemed infallible until this
ap

time last year and many are facing bankruptcy proceedings.


Debt papers of companies of billionaires Sunil Bharti Mittal, Ajay Piramal and
Mangal Prabhat Lodha besides biggies like Tata Motors, ICICI Bank, Vodafone-
Idea and many others have been downgraded by credit rating agencies in the last
e

eight months on the back of weakening financial performance and rising debt levels.
rs

The mightiest in their sectors, IL&FS and Dewan Housing Finance, are now
a pale shadow of their peak avatars; Subhash Chandra’s Essel Group has been so
far unsuccessful in lowering its debt levels and Jet Airways, once India’s largest
commercial passenger airline, is history. And that’s just in the key sectors like tele-
com, auto, aviation and real estate. “Rating downgrades for large companies are
a precursor to what could happen to smaller companies. Smaller players will find

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 37


COVER STORY / CORPORATE DEBT
REAL ESTATE
Drying up of liquidity
for project completion
High levels of
developer debt
T
Stagnant sales as well
as property prices
w

Unsold inventory at
40 months
w

INFRASTRUCTURE
w

Lack of financing by banks


Thermal power projects
.t.

stranded due to lack of


fuel supply or long-term
purchase contracts from
m

AUTO
government
Switch to BS VI
from April 1, 2020 Inconsistent policy
e/

and regulation
Customers TELECOM
waiting for EVs Industry debt of over
Ta

Inadequate `7.7 lakh crore in FY18


financing for Revenues in FY19 are
dealerships and one-fourth of FY13 levels
customers due to
m

liquidity crunch Levies on the sector among


the highest in the world
ilP
D

credit availability getting tightened and they will be under McKinsey also believes that financial stress is build-
F_

intense scrutiny by lenders. This will only make the go- ing in India, along with the rest of Asia, with increased
ing tougher at a time when liquidity is not easy to come indebtedness, stress in repaying loans, lender vulnerabili-
by,” says Dhananjay Sinha, Head of Strategy Research and ties and shadow banking practices being areas of concern.
En

Chief Economist, IDFC Securities. The value of debt in India, issued by companies with an
Not surprisingly, while the operating income of cor- interest coverage ratio of less than 1.5, has increased from
porate India increased only 7.6 per cent year-on-year in $18 billion in 2007 to $27 billion, creating an alarming
2018/19, its interest expenses went up by 12 per cent. This situation, it says.
ew

indicates that the ability of companies to service debt is


not growing as fast as its leverage levels. COST OF MONEY
In the common sample of companies Magnifying the trend is the fact that banks are not able
sp

from BSE 500, BSE Mid-cap Index to pass on the benefits of the RBI’s rate cuts to borrowers.
and BSE Small Cap Index (excluding
banks, NBFCs, MNCs and FMCG
250
basis points
While the central bank has cut the repo rate by 2.6 per cent
since 2014, India’s largest bank, SBI, has reduced its float-
ap

companies), debt went up 10 per cent ing rate by only 1.1 per cent. This is also because house-
while net profit grew only 3.8 per cent. Spike in cost hold savings have been declining, non-performing assets
The overall debt of these 800 of capital for (NPAs) are rising and there is severe liquidity crunch. Bor-
companies in
companies increased from `24.5 lakh rowing costs and deposit rates are not linked to the repo
e

one year
crore in 2013/14 to `32.03 lakh crore rate today and so any bank’s ability to transfer the repo
rs

in 2018/19, a rise of 30 per cent in five rate cut to borrowers is limited,” says Amit Goenka, Man-
years. During the same time, net profit aging Director and Chief Executive Officer, Nisus Finance
of these companies increased a meagre 10 per cent from Services. Further, banks are required to keep liquidity re-
`2.44 lakh crore to `2.69 lakh crore. serves and provision for NPAs, which are still erupting as
“It is not that this rising debt is going into capacity ex- cost of capital is much higher than the repo rate.
pansion. Debt has been inherited and it is now increasing Moreover, in the current scenario of demand for li-
to meet working capital requirements due to slow profit quidity outstripping supply, there is no incentive for
growth in the last few years,” Sinha says. banks to lend at repo rates. “Borrowers in auto, infra-

38 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
YoY Change

24.6
(%) year, they are lagging both interest payments (rise of 12 per
cent) and tax payments (rise of 20 per cent).
In real estate, sales grew only 1.28 times between
2009 and 2018 to `2.06 lakh crore. But the sector’s over-

17
all debt increased 3.33 times during the period to over `4
14.6

lakh crore. Developers continued to buy land at exorbitant

11.8
rates, expecting continued boom. “Land prices have in-
10.7

10.2
w

11
creased 10 times in the last 14 years. Developers took debt

9.7
8.7

to buy land, but since sales have remained abysmal, they


w
7

5.7
are finding it difficult to meet their debt obligations,” says

5.3
5.2

4.5

3.8
Pankaj Kapoor, Founder and Managing Director at real
w

estate consultancy Liases Foras.


1.7

0.9

The story is worse for the telecom industry, where ad-


justed gross revenues stood at `1.45 lakh crore in 2018/19
.t.

(`1.88 lakh crore in 2015/16). The sector is sitting over a


debt of `8 lakh crore. The monthly average revenue per
-4.2
-5.5
m

user (ARPU) from wireless services was just `71.39 in


the March 2019 quarter, less than a fifth of what it was
e/

in 2005: `374.
RISING STRESS It all began with the high spectrum charges that oper-
Debt and interest payments
ators paid during 3G auctions in 2010 – around `70,000
Ta

grew much more than net


profit in 2019 crore. Then there was network layout and expansion.
Subsequent spectrum auctions, implementation of newer
Source: Common sample of companies technologies and cut-throat competition following the en-
m

from BSE 500, BSE Mid-Cap and BSE


-22.4

Small Cap Index excluding banks, try of Reliance Jio in 2016 compounded the problem.
NBFCs, MNCs, IT and FMCG companies Moody’s cut Bharti Airtel’s rating to ‘junk’ in February
while both CARE Ratings and CRISIL have downgraded
ilP

Net Sales Net Profit Interest Total Debt


Vodafone-Idea.
D

structure and realty (sectors) are willing to pay higher


F_

cost of capital to secure credit. And given that NBFCs


and housing finance companies are also willing to pay a
higher cost, banks don’t feel the need to push lower-cost
En

capital,” says Goenka.


On an average, the cost of capital has gone up 250
basis points (bps) for companies in one year and 400 bps
for realty commercial loans.
ew

Thomas John Muthoot, CMD, Muthoot Pappachan


PHOTOGRAPH BY RACHIT GOSWAMI

Group, says his company’s cost of funding has gone up by


100 bps in the last one year, pushing up interest charg-
sp

es and pulling down growth. “For the last nine months,


things have been tough. Banks have not been lending. So,
our growth has been impacted. Last year, we were grow-
ap

ing at 2 per cent every month and were expecting 25 per


cent growth, but in November, we were forced to conserve
cash. Overall, we grew only 16 per cent in 2018/19,” he
says. The company has been “bearing the brunt for al-
e

most 12 months” and it was time banks resumed lending "RATING DOWNGRADES FOR LARGE
rs

after the announcement of the fiscal stimulus package by COMPANIES ARE A PRECURSOR
the government, Muthoot adds. TO WHAT COULD HAPPEN TO
SMALLER COMPANIES"
FALL SEASON
DHANANJAY SINHA
The rising corporate debt and interest outgo have been Head of Strategy Research and Chief
coupled with slow growth in profits due to declining sales Economist, IDFC Securities
across sectors. Net profits fell 4.2 per cent in 2017/18 and
while they bounced back with 3.8 per cent growth the next

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 39


COVER STORY / CORPORATE DEBT

In the steel industry, a global slump is pushing more


and more companies towards the Insolvency and Bank-
ruptcy Code (IBC). Lower demand from China and glob-
al protectionist measures have led to fall in steel prices.
w

Moreover, the sector’s working capital cycle is stretched


due to delayed payments and banks’ liquidity crunch.
w

As of now, the steel sector’s outstanding credit stands at


`2.82 lakh crore.
w

“In the current and next fiscal, we expect the steel sec-
tor’s profitability to be under pressure in the wake of price
or realisation downtrend and rising iron ore costs. Profits
.t.

will be squeezed more for non-integrated players, which

PHOTOGRAPH BY VIVAN MEHRA


constitute three-fourth of the steel capacity,” says Hetal
m

Gandhi, Director, Crisil Research, adding that the profit-


ability downtrend “will have some bearing on the sector’s
e/

debt prospects.”
In line with the slump everywhere, the overall auto sales
too contracted 19 per cent year-on-year in July 2019, the
Ta

worst since April 2001. Sales of commercial vehicles, an


important indicator of economic activity, were down 25.71
per cent to 56,866 units, while for passenger vehicles, the
m

decline was 31 per cent to 2,00,790 units. “This is the worst "THIS IS THE WORST YEAR WE
year we have had in the last many decades. We have reached (AUTO SECTOR) HAVE HAD IN
the bottom,” says R.C. Bhargava, Chairman of Maruti Su- THE LAST MANY DECADES.
ilP

zuki, India’s largest automobile manufacturer. WE HAVE REACHED


For the auto sector, the factors that led to the slow- THE BOTTOM"
down are structural (push for electric vehicles, implemen-
D

tation of Bharat Stage VI or BS-VI emission norms from R.C. BHARGAVA


2020) and transient (rising cost of ownership), besides the Chairman, Maruti Suzuki
F_

overall gloom due to increased job losses and reduced in-


comes.
“Unfortunately, all the causes have come together in
En

one year,” says Bhargava, who is hopeful that the govern-


ment’s stimulus package will bring the sector back on Kumar, the ongoing financial crisis in India is “unprec-
track in the next couple of quarters. edented in the last 70 years”. He said the entire econom-
In infrastructure, the power sec- ic situation had changed after implementation of initia-
ew

tor is among the worst off. Power tives like demonetisation, GST and IBC, a view echoed by
Secretary S.C. Garg puts the over- many others.
all stressed portfolio at around `4
19
sp

lakh crore. CRISIS OF CONFIDENCE


per cent
While power is a capital inten- Niranjan Hiranandani, Co-founder and Managing Di-
sive sector, many entities are not Fall in year-on- rector, Hiranandani Group, and President of the Na-
year overall
ap

able to realise payments fully and tional Real Estate Development Council (Naredco), says
on time due to various concession auto sales the Indian economy is facing challenging times with re-
(July 2019)
agreements with consumers, ex- duced consumption and liquidity crisis, underscoring
plains Goenka of Nisus “The effi- an urgent need for solutions. “The set of ‘tsunamis’ that
e

ciency of these assets is very low and impacted real estate began with demonetisation, which
rs

they are not able to generate sufficient returns on capital. sucked out liquidity from the system. And while intro-
Slow conversion of assets to cash leads to higher debts.” duction of RERA, or the Real Estate (Regulation and
Fall in per unit prices of alternative sources like hydro Development) Act, impacted real estate at various lev-
and solar power in the last few quarters has made them els, what hurt the most was the norm to keep 70 per cent
attractive, further affecting the profitability of fuel-based of a project’s funds in an escrow account,” he says. This
power plants where “input prices have gone up without cor- resulted in project funds getting blocked. Over 1,74,000
responding rise in output prices,” adds Goenka. homes in 220 projects are stalled in the top seven cities
In the words of NITI Aayog Vice-Chairman Rajiv across India as developers don’t have funds to complete

40 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


or even cancellation of mine leases, they have become cau-
tious regarding lending to the sector. “Given the current
liquidity scenario, they don’t want to lend to infrastruc-
ture. And unfortunately, the NBFC problem has gone into
w

a tailspin and is getting more and more entangled. The


entire liquidity in the system has been squeezed – first by
w

banks and then by the NBFC crisis,” he says.


w

FUTURE TENSE
If the issues are not addressed and companies are not able
to raise profits even though their debt is increasing, there
.t.

could be a rise in NPAs, warns IDFC Securities’ Sinha.

PHOTOGRAPH BY SHEKHAR GHOSH


“The debt servicing capabilities of companies will dimin-
m

ish and their ability to invest in fixed assets will continue


to languish. So any ability to kick-start investment will be
e/

impaired, resulting in a vicious cycle,” he says.


A McKinsey report points out: “The large share of
stressed utilities in India and Indonesia is particularly
Ta

troublesome because their ability to turn around per-


formance and repay the debt requires working across
multiple stakeholders – regulators, consumers, local and
m

"THE GOVERNMENT MUST SUPPORT national governments, and the companies themselves –
THE CREATION OF A BOND MARKET FOR making recovery much more complicated for this sector.”
ADDITIONAL FUNDING AND INTRODUCE Kanoria of Srei Infra Finance says there is an urgent
ilP

CORPORATE BONDS, SOVEREIGN BONDS need to channelise liquidity in the right manner. “That can
AND ECBs" happen only when confidence comes back. People have
money, but prefer to sit over deposits in the current eco-
D

NIRANJAN HIRANANDANI nomic environment,” he says.


Co-founder and MD, Hiranandani Group With a shallow corporate bond market in India,
F_

NBFCs and housing finance companies continue to give


long-term loans against short-term funding. Due to their
dependence on wholesale funding, any failure to make
En

payments when debt instruments come up for redemp-


them. It will take over 40 months to liquidate the cur- tion can trigger a crisis. “The government must support
rent unsold inventory across the country. the creation of a bond market for additional funding and
“While banks went slow on lending to real estate, introduce corporate bonds, sovereign bonds and ECBs (ex-
ew

NBFCs were impacted by the IL&FS crisis last year. Now, ternal commercial borrowing),” says Hiranandani.
DHFL has impacted the finance market sentiment. This While Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has
has resulted in the funding funnel getting choked,” says announced the government’s intent to deepen the bond
sp

Hiranandani. market, no concrete measures have been undertaken


In early August, Moody’s Investors Service down- so far. On its part, on August 23, the government an-
graded the corporate family rating of Macrotech Devel- nounced measures to ease liquidity constraints, with a
ap

opers (earlier Lodha Developers, the largest player in the focus on the worst-hit sectors. Sitharaman announced
residential real estate by sales) to B3 from B2, with a nega- additional liquidity support of `30,000 crore for housing
tive outlook. In July, rating agency ICRA downgraded the finance companies, `70,000 crore for PSB recapitalisa-
long-term rating of `350-crore non-convertible deben- tion, and loan restructuring for MSMEs, besides a host
e

tures of Piramal Realty, driven by the deterioration in the of other measures.


rs

operating environment owing to tight liquidity that may However, the success of these measures will depend
diminish the ability of holding companies to raise funds. on speed of implementation. Almost two months after the
The rating downgrade story is common across sec- Budget, most of the proposals announced remain only on
tors in India Inc, and infrastructure has not remained paper. If corrective measures are implemented speedily, it
unscathed by this adverse liquidity scenario. Hemant may help defuse the debt bomb that threatens India Inc.
Kanoria, Chairman of Kolkata-based Srei Infrastructure Otherwise, the mighty in India Inc may continue to fall.
Finance, says that in the last five years, since banks have
lost money due to NPA provisioning, regulatory changes @RashmiPratap3

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 41


w

COVER STORY / HOUSEHOLD DEBT


w

BALLOONING
w
.t.

DANGER
m
e/

In a weakening
economy, rising
Ta

indebtedness could
cause problems.
m

BY ANAND ADHIKARI
ilP
D
F_
En

T
ew

he global financial meltdown of 2008 was brought on by a choppy


sp

U.S. mortgage market. Part of the crisis was triggered by high household
debt besides lending to borrowers with not-so-good credit history. The
world’s largest economy saw its household debt steadily rise to nearly 100
ap

per cent of GDP at the time of the crisis from 65 per cent a decade ago.
That was a massive jump in a matter of 10 years as the money had rolled
into mortgages, car loans, credit cards, personal loans and more. Even-
tually, the easy money induced the crisis and other markets suffered as
e

well. India’s household debt to GDP currently stands at 11.67 per cent,
rs

which is quite low compared to developed countries like the US. But debt
levels are also rising here – household debt was in the range of 8-9 per
cent of the GDP six years ago (see graphic Ballooning Danger).
71.6%
One-year increase
Shanti Ekambaram, President, Consumer Banking, at Kotak Ma-
hindra Bank, has a point to make. As India is a low per-capita-income
in bank advances to
households (2017/18) country compared to developed nations, Indian households are more
prone to shock due to lower income levels. As per the data available, an-
nual per-capita income stands at `1.42 lakh against the debt of `16,945
w
w
w
.t.
m
e/
Ta
m
ilP
D
F_
En
ew

per person. “The debt levels are not alarming, but you disruptions, slowdown and the possibility of a global
sp

have to analyse the loan segments. It could be alarming recession. “There are weaknesses in the economy and
at lower-income segments but not necessarily at per- income levels are not rising fast enough,” says Madan
capita income levels,” she says. Sabnavis, an economist at Mumbai-based CARE Rat-
ap

Already there is a new institutional infrastructure ings. Given this scenario, the rising household debt has
in place, including small finance banks (SFBs), full- implications for the economy as it will impact house-
scale banks like Bandhan Bank, microfinance insti- holds, banks and financial systems and also reduce net
tutions or MFIs, fintech companies and peer-to-peer financial savings.
e

(P2P) platforms, lending money to the underbanked


rs

and the underserved segments. Large-scale digitisa- RISE OF THE EMI CULTURE
tion also provides easy access to credit, much like what The debt level can move up rapidly if Indian youths
happened in the US. But all these may not augur well start spending like their Western counterparts. The
in the long run. Experts think India’s household debt demographics are favourable as more youngsters are
could become a big burden if job losses happen (un- joining the workforce every day. And unlike the previ-
employment has risen to a 45-year high) and people’s ous generations of careful savers, they are not credit-
income fails to increase. Even now, the economy is wit- averse. “Savings, investment and spending patterns
nessing a cyclical and structural shift due to business change whenever a new generation comes in,” says
LOADED WITH RISK
Household debt has jumped in the past few
COVER STORY / HOUSEHOLD DEBT years, and slowdown and unemployment
could amplify the problem

Outstanding Household 22.20*


Deepak Chellani, Head of Third Party Products at Mum- Debt (in ` lakh crore)
bai-based stock-broking firm Prabhudas Lilladher. Tra- 18.63
ditionally, mortgages or housing loans dominated this % of GDP
space. This trend still continues, but new segments are 15.51
also gaining traction. Personal loans, consumer-durable 13.35
w

financing and credit card transactions are on the rise (see 11.43 10.9 11.67
graphic Red Flags). 10.16 9.7 10.1
w

“Most of these new segments are about short-term


9.05 9.17
debts,” says Hrushikesh Mehta, Country Manager at
w

ClearScore, a UK-based free credit-checking service pro-


vider. According to him, growing access to credit and a
new EMI culture for purchasing consumer durables and
.t.

credit card payments are fuelling the debt culture in In-


2013/14 2015/16 2018/19
dia. Personal loans are now extending to areas like for-
m

eign travel, wedding and also for repaying old loans. *Estimated. Data is based on banks’ outstanding
retail loans; Source: RBI and Economic Survey
“The problem gets compounded in recessionary times
e/

when job losses are more frequent and purchasing power


gets curtailed drastically,” says Abhinav Angirish, Found-
er of Investonline.in, an investment portal. From the debt
RED FLAGS
Ta

perspective, defaults will first surface in the personal loan


Mortgages dominate household debt, and
and credit card space, followed by secured car and auto
share of unsecured loans is on the rise
loans. Home loans are the last to be impacted.
m

Credit cards Others


3.97% 7.37%
MORE TRIGGERS
The loss of growth in corporate banking segment due
ilP

Vehicle
to over-leveraging and asset quality deterioration has loans
been compensated by retail growth in terms of mort- 9.10% Housing
gages, personal loans and credit cards. “While banks are loans
D

52.24%
consolidating their positions in Tier-I and Tier-II cities, Personal
non-banking financial institutions such as MFIs are go- loans
F_

27.32%
ing deep into Tier-III and Tier-IV cities,” says Ashish
Singhal, Managing Director at Mumbai-based Experian Others includes advances against deposits, shares and
Credit Information Company. Consequently, some pri- bonds, education loans and loans for consumer durables
Source: RBI Sectoral Report, March 2019
En

vate banks have seen their share of unsecured loans rise


to 10-15 per cent of total book value. Then there are non-
banking financial companies (NBFCs) where unsecured
loans account for more than 50 per cent of the loan book.
ew

The P2P model is also based on the unsecured loan. “The sumption rate is also increasing, especially led by consum-
share of unsecured loan is moving up steadily. These er durables and two-wheelers,” he adds.
loans are mostly for consumption purposes,” says Arun The rising household debt not only impacts net finan-
sp

Singh, Chief Economist at Dun and Bradstreet. cial savings but also affects consumption in the long run as
The government is also encouraging banks, especially disposable income eventually gets depleted. In fact, there
public-sector banks, to provide collateral-free loans. The is a cascading effect when a household starts cutting back
ap

Mudra loans (provided under the Pradhan Mantri MU- on discretionary spending. A recent example is the auto-
DRA Yojana, or PMMY, to non-farming and non-corpo- mobile sector where the falling growth would have seri-
rate micro and small enterprises) of less than `50,000 are ous implications for steel, tyre, auto ancillary and a host
mostly given to the self-employed. However, these loans of other industry segments. “In such cases, the real cost of
e

are witnessing high delinquencies, and loans against prop- stimulating the economy rises significantly,” says Angirish
rs

erty are also facing stress. Incidentally, the entire Mudra of Investonline.in. A recent study by the Bank of Interna-
loan exposure is around `8 lakh crore. tional Settlements (BIS) also pointed out that debt boosts
consumption and GDP growth in the short run, but the
FALLING SAVINGS RATE long-term negative effects of debt eventually outweigh its
India’s household savings rate is consistently falling over short-term positive effects. And the household debt ulti-
the years, every year. This is not surprising, though, as mately proves to be a drag on growth.
“India is shifting from a savings economy to a borrow-
ing economy”, says Singhal of Experian. “Household con- @anandadhikari

44 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


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POLICY
50
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FIXING THE SLOWDOWN


.t.
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The finance minister has announced a


e/

mini-stimulus package to arrest the economic slowdown. But


Ta

the economy needs much more than piecemeal solutions


m

56
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CORPORATE
D

BATTLE FOR
MUMBAI AIRPORT
F_

GVK is trying to retain its hold


on its crown jewel, the Mumbai
International Airport, even as
En

the Adani Group eyes a stake


in it. The battle has just begun
ew

76
sp

62
INTERVIEW
AUTOMOBILES
ap

“India could
Plugging establish itself
e

into the as a leader


rs

Future for the region


The onset of electric in energy
vehicles in India has opened
up a billion-dollar industry
storage”
in EV charging that is ANDRÉS GLUSKI
attracting companies from
diverse sectors
THE HUB POLICY

FIXING THE
w
w
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SLOWDOWN
.t.
m
e/
Ta

The Finance Minister has announced a


mini-stimulus package to arrest the
m

economic slowdown. But the economy


needs much more than piecemeal solutions
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T
By JOE C. MATHEW
PHOTOGRAPH BY K. ASIF
D
F_
En
ew
sp

HE LAST WEEK OF August has Minister Piyush Goyal and En-


witnessed a series of economic vironment Minister Prakash
stimulus announcements by the Javadekar jointly revealed what
ap

Narendra Modi government, they claimed to be the next dose


which seems to have finally ac- – tweaks in FDI rules to attract
cepted that the economy is in more investment into India.
serious trouble. On August 23, On August 30, Sitharaman an-
e

Finance Minister Nirmala Sith- nounced the mega merger of 10


rs

araman announced the first shot public sector banks into four large
of the stimulus package with an entities. Punjab National Bank
upfront disbursement of `70,000 will merge with Oriental Bank of
crore to recapitalise banks, a set of Commerce and United Bank to
administrative measures to speed form India’s second largest bank.
up GST refunds and reduce med- Canara Bank and Syndicate Bank
dling of tax authorities. will merge to form the fourth larg-
Five days later, Commerce est bank. Union Bank of India will

50 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


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Dribs and
Drabs: FM
Nirmala
Sitharaman
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announced
measures on
GST, bank
mergers,
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auto sector,
and more
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70,000 4
e rs

`
CRORE MEGA PUBLIC SECTOR BANKS
Upfront disbursement to Ten PSBs have been merged to
recapitalise banks increase efficiency

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 51


STIMULUS & OBJECTIVE
POLICY > ECONOMY

merge with Andhra Bank and Corporation Bank


to form the fifth largest bank. Finally, Indian
Ease for Tax Payers MSME Help
Bank will be merged with Allahabad Bank. Amendment to the
Pre-filled IT returns; faceless scru-
In between, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) tiny from Vijaya Dashmi (October MSME Act to move
strengthened the government’s ability to front- 8); reduction in GST returns and towards single
simplification of forms; simplified definition; TReDS will
load public expenditure by handing over `1.76 GST refund process; risk-based be allowed to use
w

lakh crore as dividends and transfer of surplus approach in dealing with taxpayers; the GSTN system in
CSR violations will not to be treated the medium term to
reserves. If Sitharaman’s words are to be be- as a criminal offence enhance market for
w

lieved, this is just part of an ongoing endeavour bill discounting for


OBJECTIVE MSMEs; all pend-
to achieve high economic growth. The declin- Addressing negative sentiment ing GST refunds to
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ing growth in India’s GDP explains the rationale MSMEs will be paid
within 30 days. In
behind the government move. India’s economic future, GST refunds
growth has been sliding since four quarters. The
.t.

shall be paid within


Q1 FY20 GDP growth at 5 per cent, the lowest in 60 days from the
date of application
seven years, is yet another signal to that end.
m

The signs of trouble which warranted these OBJECTIVE


Taxation Measures Help MSMEs get
stimulus measures have been visible for some Relief from enhanced sur- back on their feet
e/

time. Automobile sales have been declining charge on long-term/short-


month after month for almost a year. Merchan- term capital gains; withdrawal
of angel tax provisions for
dise exports growth was more of an aberration as start-ups and their investors
Ta

it remained muted or negative for several years.


OBJECTIVE
Almost every industrial sector, including biscuit Encourage investment in
manufacturers who cater to mass market brands, capital markets and mitigate Infra & Housing
Proposal to establish an
m

genuine difficulties of start-


had begun to complain of lower sales, and possible ups and their investors organisation to provide
job cuts. Even Bharatiya Mazdoor Sangh (BMS), credit enhancement for
infrastructure and hous-
the trade union affiliate of the RSS, had openly
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ing projects; further


expressed concerns over job losses. The Northern action on develop-
ment of Credit Default
India Textile Mill Association inserted advertise- Auto Push Swap markets soon, in
ments in mainline dailies a couple of days before BS IV vehicles can be consultation with RBI
D

Sitharaman’s stimulus package, pointing out the purchased till March 31, and SEBI
2020; revision of one-
job losses the industry has been facing. time registration fee; OBJECTIVE
F_

The stimulus package was the first public ac- higher depreciation for Will deepen bond
all vehicles; both EVs and markets
knowledgement by the Narendra Modi govern- ICVs will continue to be
ment of the severity of the economic crisis. Now registered; the govern-
En

ment will lift the ban on


that the illness has been diagnosed, medicines purchase of new vehicles
prescribed, and treatment begun, will it provide for replacing old vehicles
a complete cure? Or is it going to be just a symp- by its departments
tomatic relief? OBJECTIVE
ew

Credit Crisis
Eliminate uncertainties in Upfront release of `70,000
the automobile sector and crore capital to PSBs; additional
Positive Moves boost demand lending and liquidity to the tune
The initial response to the stimulus has been of `5 Lakh crore; banks to effect
sp

positive, particularly from the automobile indus- timely rate cuts and launch
repo rate/external benchmark-
try which was among the worst hit. “We welcome linked loan products; and
the government’s measures to boost the economy ensure return of loan docu-
ments within 15 days of loan
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and the automobile sector in particular. We are closure; more credit support for
optimistic that this move will boost customer Welcoming Foreign purchase of houses, vehicles,
sentiment in the current market scenario and en- Funds consumer goods. Decisions
Easing of FDI norms on recommendations such as
courage customer acquisition of cars in the com-
e

for several sectors. on ease of credit, marketing,


ing festival season,” says S.S. Kim, MD and CEO, These include rules for technology, delayed payments,
etc, within 30 days
rs

Hyundai Motor India. overseas single-brand


stores and FDI through
Others also consider this a positive move. the automatic route in OBJECTIVE
contract manufactur- Will benefit corporates, retail
“The slowdown in the automobile sector was borrowers, MSMEs, small
ing and all areas of
because of three broad reasons – poor senti- coal mining traders, etc. Working capital
ment, availability of finance and transaction loans for industry will become
OBJECTIVE cheaper
cost for buying vehicles. The announcement will Push investments
go a long way in improving sentiment because in India
it shows the government is listening to the in-
dustry. Financing concerns have been Sitharaman announced a slew of mea-
more or less taken care of by the an- WHAT MORE NEEDS TO sures to revive the economy... However,
nouncements,” says Pawan Kumar BE DONE these measures are likely to support
Goenka, MD, Mahindra & Mahindra. growth only in the medium term. The
Time-bound implementation
He adds that though not much was of measures announced in the announcements address cyclical prob-
done for reducing transaction costs, stimulus package lems and not structural problems fac-
w

there were several measures that will ing the economy. What she has done
Coverage of ailing sectors like
incentivise vehicle purchase. real estate and exports in the is reversed a couple of announcements
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Rajiv Kumar, Vice-chairman of next round of stimulus made in the Budget, and those won’t
government think-tank NITI Aayog help much in reviving the economy,”
Refining the GST regime
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considers the stimulus package to be a says Sunil Kumar Sinha, Principal


comprehensive package, while Rathin Economist and Director-Public Fi-
Faster reforms in
Roy, member of the Prime Minister’s nance, India Ratings and Research.
.t.

agriculture
Economic Advisory Council, believes India Ratings has revised India’s
the minister has addressed several key Rationalisation of direct taxes 2019/20 GDP growth downwards to
m

pain points. 6.7 per cent (a six-year low) from its


Industry chambers, too, were sup- earlier forecast of 7.3 per cent. The
e/

portive of the move. “There are some agency expects FY20 to be the third
specific directives in the stimulus consecutive year of subdued growth
package which are good. A 30-day pushed by a slowdown in consumption
Ta

deadline for GST refunds, recapitali- duction in harassment especially by demand, delayed and uneven prog-
sation of banks and plans to facilitate law enforcers; encouraging enterprise ress of the monsoon so far, decline in
long-term credit for infrastructure and investment; supporting banking, manufacturing growth, inability of
m

projects belong to this category. The credit, NBFCs, MSMEs, capital flows the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code
government has also made many poli- and financial markets; and the auto- to resolve cases in a time-bound man-
cy corrections, which should have been motive sector. She said the government ner, and rising global trade tension ad-
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abolished in the first stage itself,” says will continue to calibrate responses in versely impacting exports.
K.E. Raghunathan, former President, sync with stakeholder response. NITI Arvind Virmani, Chairman, Foun-
All India Manufacturers’ Organisa- Aayog’s Kumar believes next in line to dation For Economic Growth & Wel-
D

tion. According to him, the abolition of get special treatment could be real es- fare, and a former Chief Economic
angel tax, surcharge on capital gains, tate, exports and tourism. Advisor to the government of India,
F_

and other measures can do a lot of says solutions to tackle problems are
damage control. Cause and Effect not easy because “reasons are largely
Sitharaman categorised the ini- The stock markets have responded structural, relating either to policies
En

tiatives announced into some broad positively but the measures announced that have outlived their utility, collat-
themes. The first round of stimulus may not be enough to sustain its mo- eral damage from policies that may
focussed on decriminalisation and re- mentum. “Finance Minister Nirmala have served some purpose, or just plain
ew

ALL-ROUND STRESS GDP growth has fallen steeply; other parameters


sp

also hint at economic slowdown


12
ap

WHOLESALE 10.25
GDP GROWTH (%)
10 PRICE
INDEX (%)
8
e

GROSS 7.44
6.45 CURRENT 6.88
FISCAL
rs

4 DEFICIT ACCOUNT G-SEC


5 INTEREST
3.81 (% OF GDP) DEFICIT
2 (% OF GDP) RATES (%)
2.68
0
Jun-13 Jun-19 Jun-13 Jun-19 Jun-13 Jun-13 Jun-13 Jun-19
-2 -1.12
Mar-19
-4 -0.65
Mar-19 Source: Mospi, RBI,
-4.74 Ministry of Commerce
-6

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 53


POLICY > ECONOMY

What will be the impact of support to NBFCs. sectors have a huge multi-
the stimulus package? plier effect and will get India
It’s a very comprehensive The FM said there will be back to the growth track.
package and will boost more measures. What FY20 may be a bit weak,
investor confidence. As could be the priority? but all of these measures
the Prime Minister said The Prime Minister had are preparation for a better
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on August 15, we want to talked about the need to growth rate in the coming
recognise the contribution promote exports, so that years. It is definitely possi-
of the private sector. This is could be one area of focus. ble to look at 8 per cent-
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what the package has man- When the domestic demand plus (GDP) growth.
aged to signal strongly. We is weakening, the best way
know that growth of bank is to take advantage of How do you see RBI’s deci-
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credit has been declining, external demand. For tour- sion to transfer ` 1.76 lakh
especially in exports. A ism, also, maybe there will crore to the government?
lot of this was because of be a package. We get about It’s a big fiscal help. You
.t.

the non-performing assets 10 million foreign tourists; have seen that bond yields
(NPAs). The recapitalisa- China gets 50 million. Given have already declined be-
RAJIV tion of banks, by infusing our history, geography, cause they now know that
`70,000 crore upfront, will
m

KUMAR archaeology, there is huge the government pressure


help them provide growth scope (for growth in tour- will be less.
Vice equity. The package also ism). There could be focus See full interview on
Chairman, provides additional liquidity on real estate too. All these www.businesstoday.in
e/

NITI Aayog
Ta

The RBI bonanza also cannot outward flow of foreign investments.


make a major difference in the spend- That was precisely the reason why gov-
m

ing pattern of the government, though ernment expenditure increased by just


bad policies.” The most fundamental it brings in some certainty that budget- two per cent during April-June 2019.
underlying reasons, he says, are the ed expenditure plans, especially on in- The RBI report says that reviving
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collateral damage from “black money frastructure, will not get scuttled due consumption and private investment
crusade (demonetisation)”, complex to lack of funds. “The surplus transfer has assumed the highest priority:
GST, and from tighter regulatory and is likely to provide some respite to the “This may involve strengthening bank-
D

reporting norms for banks and deposit Centre’s finances. But a major portion ing and non-banking sectors, a big
taking NBFCs. of this amount is likely to be utilised push for spending on infrastructure
F_

Virmani prescribes a focussed ap- in meeting revenue receipt shortfalls and implementation of much needed
proach towards central schemes, and emanating from weakening economic structural reforms in labour laws, tax-
introduction of the new Direct Tax conditions,” India Rating states. ation, and other legal reforms.”
En

Code with rationalisation of corporate RBI, which analysed prospects of The silver lining in the Indian
income tax to 25 per cent in the next the economy in its just released Annu- economy could be that India continues
Budget and 20-22 per cent in the sub- al Report 2018/19, states the key ques- to be the fastest growing major econ-
sequent three Budgets. He also calls for tion is whether we are dealing with a omy globally. This gives it an advan-
ew

further simplification of GST slabs. In- soft patch, a cyclical downswing, or a tage in attracting global investments.
centivising exports is another reform structural slowdown. “A cyclical down- “There is about $18 trillion of debt in
measure that he suggests. swing will warrant counter-cyclical ac- the world earning negative returns. So
sp

The relaxation of FDI norms, tions in terms of monetary and fiscal there is a lot of money out there that
however, may not have a far reaching policies, but a structural slowdown will could be attracted to India for high re-
impact. It targets mining and single- need deep seated reforms. The diagno- turns. The India story abroad remains
ap

brand retail. Even though 100 per cent sis is difficult, ” it said. very strong,” says Kumar.
FDI was allowed in mining, the cur- A time-bound implementation The ability to fight this economic
rent tweaks allow foreign investment plan for measures announced in the slowdown may depend on the coun-
in almost the entire spectrum, includ- stimulus package is critical, but more try’s ability to lock such foreign capital
e

ing commercial sales, unlike the earlier is needed. According to the CMIE, in- in long-term assets and job creation in-
rs

permission for mining for captive con- terest of corporates in fresh capacity vestments in India.
sumption. creation – which has already dropped – Until then, all we can say is that
What will help global single-brand is unlikely to kick-start until there are the last week of August 2019 saw Na-
majors like Apple or IKEA is that com- clear signs of sustainable demand pick- rendra Modi begin a war on economic
pulsory local sourcing norms have been up. Without private capital, the gov- ill health. But it’s too early to predict
watered down by bringing in contract ernment will be constrained to push the result.
manufacturing under the umbrella of expenditure, as it has to be seen to be
activities eligible for sourcing set-off. fiscally disciplined to avoid any major @joecmathew

54 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


ers
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THE HUB CORPORATE

BATTLE
FOR
w

MUMBAI
w
w

AIRPORT
.t.

GVK is trying to
m

retain its hold on


e/

its crown jewel,


the Mumbai
Ta

International
Airport, even as the
Adani Group eyes a
m

stake in it. The battle


has just begun.
ilP

By E. KUMAR SHARMA
D
F_
En

GVK AND ADANI ARE BOTH BIG


names in infrastructure. Both symbolise
entrepreneurship spawned by the post-
1991 economic liberalisation. Yet, both are
ew

distinctly different. One broke the mould


as developer of the Mumbai International
Airport, and turned it into one of the best
sp

in the world but is cash-strapped now and


has been forced to restrain any expansion.
The other is also deep in debt and although
ap

new to the airport business, is driven by an


unmistakable ambition to make it big in the
business. Other than a big-bang entry early
this year into this space by winning bids to
e

operate six airports, the Adani Group also


rs

seems keen to have a say in the running of


the Mumbai International Airport (MIAL)
in which GVK has a 50.5 per cent stake.
The Adani Group has been in the news
for its private offer to South Africa’s Bidvest
Group, which holds a 13.5 per cent stake
and a board seat in MIAL, and is seek-
ing to buy Bidvest’s stake at `77 per share

56 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


MUMBAI
INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT STAKE
BREAK-UP
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GVK
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50.5%
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.t.
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AIRPORTS
AUTHORITY OF
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INDIA
26%
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SOUTH
AFRICA’S
BIDVEST
13.5%
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ACSA
10%
e
rs

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 57


CORPORATE > MUMBAI AIRPORT

for around `1,200 crore. But GVK


is fighting tooth and nail — after all,
the airport business revenue of around
`3,700 crore, largely from this airport,
accounts for nearly 90 per cent revenue
of its listed entity, GVK Power & Infra-
w

structure. The group has moved court


for exercising its right of first refusal In January, the Adani Group
made an offer to buy the 23.5%
w

for the Bidvest stake and is arranging


stake held by the South African
funds to back its offer. companies, Bidvest and ACSA, Gautam Adani,
w

Adani’s move comes on the back at `77 per share totalling around Chairman,
of it emerging as the successful bidder `2,300 crore Adani Group
early this year for upgrading and oper-
.t.

ating six airports – Ahmedabad, Luc- ADANI'S AIRPORT


know, Jaipur, Guwahati, Mangalore ADVANCE...
m

and Thiruvananthapuram. Sources


say the group is keen to become the
e/

largest player in the country. Mumbai


is an important pit stop in this journey.
The Adani Group’s spokesperson It has set up a
Ta

In February, the Adani Group new company


refused to comment on the offer to won rights for six airport called Adani
Bidvest and the group’s plans for the projects — Ahmedabad, Airports Ltd
Mumbai airport. Lucknow, Jaipur, Guwahati, This made it the to manage
m

Thiruvanathapuram and third-largest private its airport


Mangalore airport operator in businesses
The Mumbai Advantage terms of passengers
What is the attraction of the Mumbai
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handled, after the


airport? First is the volumes – 48.5 GMR and GVK groups
million passengers in 2017/18. This
is more than the total passengers at
D

all the six airports that Adani bid for


last year. India’s current total capac-
F_

SA
LE
ity is 317 million. CAPA estimates that
India will require a $36-45 billion
investment in around 55 airports by
En

2030 to create an additional 500-600 GVK filed an


million capacity. It is this growth that injunction in the
Delhi High Court to
Adani is betting on. block Bidvest from
Another major attraction of the selling its stake
ew

Mumbai airport is its 60-year conces- G.V. Krishna


sion period and regulated tariff struc- Reddy, Chairman,
ture. MIAL, which runs the airport, is GVK Group
sp

on the path to profitability and is see-


ing good growth in both non-aero and
...AND THE GVK It said it will
DEFENCE exercise its right of
cargo businesses. It reported a profit of first refusal to buy
`35.4 crore in 2017/18 compared to a Bidvest's stake
ap

loss of `89.7 crore in the previous year.


Gross sales rose from `3,025 crore to GVK may be ready
`3,342 crore during the period, ac- to pay Bidvest the
e

cording to Ace Equity data. same price it has been


offered
rs

But why go after a minority stake?


(`77 per share)
That too when the company has not It is trimming its debt
even started paying dividends? Ex- by getting additional
perts say that even this much owner- investments through,
some say, a private equity
ship will give the Adani Group a board investor to take up stake in
seat and a stake in the Navi Mumbai GVK Airport Holdings
airport, a 100 per cent subsidiary of
MIAL. The group could also gain from

58 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


the experience of operating a leading project only recently. The other stalled
airport, and would be able to hire tal- venture, the Alaknanda hydro power
ent from here for other airports. project, is said to be operating at about
55 per cent capacity. Other than these,
Loose Grip GVK has several gas-based power
Adani Group’s focus on the Mumbai projects, which are constrained by lack
w

airport has also perhaps got to do with of gas availability. Sources told BT that
the financial health of GVK, whose as- from the second quarter of 2020, Reli-
w

sets are stretched. In power alone, its ance Industries and ONGC are likely
debt is around `12,000 crore (out of to supply gas and GVK intends for bid
the total group-level debt of `24,000
w

for these then.


crore). The Mumbai airport is GVK’s WHY MUMBAI
best bet to generate cash. Empty Pockets
.t.

AIRPORT IS
To retain its hold on the airport, ATTRACTIVE Adani Group, too, is stretched. It al-
sources say, GVK is willing to pay Bid- ready has around `1.26 lakh crore con-
m

vest the same price it has been offered Passenger traffic - 48.5 million in solidated debt and will need more as
2017/18
(`77 per share) by Adani but needs it ventures into new areas of business
e/

time. In February, it informed stock 60-year concession period like airports, domestic gas distribu-
exchanges that GVK Airport Holdings tion, power transmission, solar/wind
Ltd, a step-down subsidiary of GVK Trained and experienced power, apart from pursuing coal min-
Ta

Power & Infrastructure, has the right workforce ing in Australia, a space that others,
of first refusal to acquire 162 million including GVK, are seeking to exit as
equity shares of MIAL, constituting Not dividend paying but coal prices dip. While it won rights for
turning around
m

13.5 per cent paid-up capital, from six airports last year, those in the in-
Bidvest at `77 per share and subse- Stake in MIAL gives automatic dustry say it bid at such low levels that
quently raise the shareholding of the stake in Navi Mumbai airport it will take some years for the projects
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GVK Group from 50.5 per cent to 64 to start reporting positive EBITDA.
per cent. GVK has sought time till the FUND CRUNCH In another development, just four
end of September this year. months after joining the group’s newly
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Both GVK and Adani groups are


The company approached the Delhi already under heavy debt formed airport business, its CEO, Sid-
High Court for a full bench hearing harath Kapur, resigned. Kapur had
F_

after a single-judge bench dismissed GVK Group: joined in the second half of April.
its plea to stop Bidvest from selling to GVK Power’s debt is around However, sources say the Adani
`12,000 crore. From the airports
a third party. BT has learnt that the business, about `9,000 crore. Group is confident of things improving
En

court has asked GVK and Bidvest to from roads and others, around in the power sector with the Supreme
`3,000 crore.
settle the matter through arbitration. Total: About `24,000 crore Court directing the Central Electric-
GVK is working hard to look at ity Regulatory Commission to listen
ways to prune debt and raise money. to Adani Power’s plea and allowing it
ew

Adani Group:
One of the options being considered
is asking a private equity investor to
`126,535 fuel cost pass-through for the Mundra
power project that had turned unprof-
crore
take up a substantial stake in the air- itable due to rise in prices of imported
Consolidated for Adani
sp

port holding company. Sources say the Enterprises, Adani Gas, Adani coal. The group expects more cash to
group is in talks with a financial inves- Green Energy, Adani Ports and come in from the power business. Its
tor. Names doing the rounds are ADIA Special Economic Zone, Adani defence business has also started pick-
Power and Adani Transmission.
ap

(Abu Dhabi Investment Authority), As of March 2019. ing up with projects like the one involv-
NIIF (India’s National Investment and Source: Ace Equity ing sale of drones (unmanned aerial
Infrastructure Fund), and leading Ca- vehicles) to Israel. That apart, it is mov-
nadian pension fund PSP. Much will ing ahead with its Australia plans and
e

depend on the details of the deal and has started construction in Australian
rs

the quantum of the investment. lenges due to lack of coal availability – coal mines after receiving clearances
With little to fall back upon in started operating at full capacity from from the Australian government.
terms of revenue from power, the GVK December 2018. The group has set up a To what extent airports give the
Group has also been working to get its team of nearly 25 people to ensure un- Adani Group the next growth push
stalled power projects restarted. The interrupted supply of good quality coal and how GVK tries to stay the course
Goindwal Sahib thermal power project to the project. It had stopped bidding remain to be seen.
– the `5,000 crore project that it took for new projects after Goindwal Sahib
up in April 2016 and which faced chal- and took up the Navi Mumbai airport @EKumarSharma

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 59


ers
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THE HUB CORPORATE

PLUGGING
INTO THE
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FUTURE
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.t.

THE ONSET OF ELECTRIC VEHICLES IN


INDIA HAS OPENED UP A BILLION-DOLLAR
INDUSTRY IN EV CHARGING THAT IS
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ATTRACTING COMPANIES FROM


DIVERSE SECTORS.
e/

By SUMANT BANERJI
Photographs by SHEKHAR GHOSH
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n the last few months, if there is First came the expansion of the Faster Adoption and
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one sector that has benefited from Manufacturing Hybrid and Electric Vehicles (FAME)
rs

the largesse that policymakers can Scheme, the umbrella policy to encourage electrifica-
sometimes bestow on industries, it is tion of mobility in India, in March. The corpus of this
the nascent electric vehicle (EV) in- scheme was increased more than 10-fold to `10,000
dustry in India. For long all that this crore for three years (fiscals 2020-22) from just `895
industry got from the government crore for four years (fiscals 2016-19) in its first edition.
was mere lip service even as the world Then, in her maiden Budget, Finance Minister Nirmala
moved ahead and charted a course. Sitharaman announced a slew of incentives, including
That has changed now. income tax deduction on interest on loan on EVs, lower

62 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


Delhi-based EV Motors plans to invest
`1,400 crore to set up 6,500 PlugNGo
charging stations in 15 cities in India
over the next five years
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5%
import duty on many components, and cation has opened up a new business area
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investment-linked income tax exemption of EV charging infrastructure, which is at-


rs

for setting up manufacturing facilities for tracting numerous companies from very
solar electric charging infrastructure and GST applicable on diverse backgrounds. The potential size of
lithium storage batteries. Another booster all EVs. Earlier, this emerging business vertical is signifi-
this was
dose came in the form of GST reduction on 12 per cent cant. According to a McKinsey report, even
EVs from 12 to 5 per cent on July 27. at a moderate rate of adoption wherein by
While these incentives are expected to 2030 about 11 million battery EVs would
expedite automakers into launching more account for a third of overall vehicle sales
EVs in the country, this thrust on electrifi- in the country, India would need about five

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 63


CORPORATE > ELECTRIC VEHICLES

million charging stations, entailing an investment to


the tune of $6 billion (about `42,000 crore) in setting
up that infrastructure.
With uncertainty on the policy front ebbing,
the list of companies that want a piece of the action
is growing. From oil majors like Indian Oil, Bharat
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Petroleum and Hindustan Petroleum to power gen-


eration and distribution companies like NTPC and
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Tata Power, ride hailing firms like Ola and Uber, the
obvious ones in battery and power solutions busi-
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nesses like ABB, Exicom, Fortum or Delta, to a clutch


of start-ups like EV Motors, Sun Mobility or Lithion
Power and even a company like Indus Tower, which is
.t.

India’s largest mobile tower installation firm, the EV


dream has captured everybody’s imagination.
m

“Globally, there are two or three different set of


companies that are investing. The oil companies like
e/

Shell or BP are investing big time, trying to hedge their


risks in the future by investing in charging because
once electrification in transport takes off, it is their cus-
Ta

tomer that will shift from oil to electricity,” says Rajeev


Singh, Partner and Automotive Sector Leader, Deloitte
India. “Then there are power generation or distribution
m

equipment manufacturing companies – the ABBs, Sie-


mens and Schneider Electrics of the world – that are
keen. Plus, there are a host of start-ups as they see a
ilP

lot of opportunities. Some start-ups have already gone


through their first few cycles of investment to establish
credibility in the market. Some OEMs (original equip-
D

ment manufacturers, in this case carmakers) have also


now invested into them. We are likely to see something
F_

similar in India as well.”

Different Ways to One End We have not reached the


En

With a small number of moving parts and high mecha-


nisation, an EV may be easier to develop and produce
inflection point yet, but it will
compared to the vehicles of today that run on internal probably come in three-four
combustion engine (ICE), but the process of recharg- years. When it does, it will
ew

ing them promises to be more complicated. At least for be in huge numbers


some time, it will not be as easy as a five-minute stop Sanjay Aggarwal, MD, Fortum India
at a gas station.
sp

From slow AC (alternating current) chargers at


homes and offices that will require overnight charg-
ing, to relatively fast DC (direct current) chargers that
ap

take up to an hour or more to superchargers that may


take just a few minutes, there are many ways to re- hours, we won’t set up a fast charger. There we will set
charge the humble lithium ion battery that powers the up a 22 KW or a 7 KW charger, which is also more cost
EVs of today. The range of options also opens up many effective. The ratio would be something like two slow
e

business possibilities. chargers for every fast charger.”


rs

“We will plan the network in a manner that it has There are many combinations at present, “right
a combination of all types of chargers,” says Sanjay from the standards for the charging stations to the rev-
Aggarwal, Managing Director, Fortum India, which enue models. It is going to take a bit of time before it
is setting up India’s first 50 Kilowatt fast charger. “In settles in India,” agrees Singh of Deloitte. “It will be a
India, we will have 70-75 per cent public charging; the mix and not one-size-fits-all.”
rest will be home charging. In public charging, there “Technology like our Terra HP charger serves as a
will be both AC and DC charging. In a shopping mall, future-proof solution that will support development
for example, where you are going to spend two-three of next generation of EVs,” says C.P. Vyas, President,

64 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


Electrification Business, ABB In-
dia. “Capable of delivering 350 KW The Big company earns `300 (post-elec-
tricity costs). Its cost of equip-
power, it can add 200 km range to
an EV in a time frame not much
longer than refueling a traditional
Movers ment is `20 lakh. If 15 vehicles
are charged per day on one char-
ger, it comes to `1.35 lakh a
gas engine vehicle (eight minutes).” month, or about `18 lakh per year.
IT services firm Vakrangee
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Another option is swapping bat- plans to set up charging “In a year or two, we will reach
teries. Chetan Maini, who gave In- stations across all its centres break even, depending on the
in India. It currently has over
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dia its first electric car Reva almost number of vehicles. There will
3,500 centres and wants to
two decades ago, is moving in this expand to 75,000 by be some challenges in profitabil-
FY2022 and 3,00,000 by
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direction. He believes this route ity because the number of vehicles


FY2025
solves three of the biggest handi- will be less and the need would be
caps of an EV – high cost, range to spread the network. But once
.t.

anxiety and long hours needed to EESL, which has set up over the scale comes in, it will become
300 charging points in the
charge batteries. country so far, plans to ramp much easier. `2/km when it is
m

“Even when battery costs are up to around 4,000 in the `6-7/km on petrol would be very
next three years
falling 8 per cent year on year, it attractive,” says Awadhesh Jha,
e/

still constitutes 30-50 per cent of Vice President, Fortum Charge


the cost of the vehicle. It is too high. Tata Power is planning to and Drive India.
install 500 EV charging
Then there is range anxiety, which outlets in five cities over the “There is no need for a single
Ta

is psychological as well as techni- next one year. It currently has solution for everyone - charging
around 85 charging points
cal. The third challenge is long re- can be as ubiquitous as electrici-
fuelling; six-eight hours on regular ty for small vehicles. However, for
m

charging, one hour for fast charg- Chetan Maini’s Sun Mobility heavy users and available battery
has taken the lead in setting
ing. For consumers who are used up battery swapping stations. technology, battery swapping
to five minutes for anything, more It plans to increase manifold innovations should be encour-
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the number of such stations


than that is an eternity,” Maini says. from around 100 today. aged because they eliminate wait
“So if you remove the battery from Delhi-based Lithion Power time, optimise land resources,
an EV, it immediately becomes cost is also investing in this and require smaller batteries,”
D

segment
competitive with a conventional adds Anand Shah, Co-founder,
(ICE) vehicle. No compromise Ola Electric.
F_

on performance. If you can then Fortum India will install 10 Battery swapping has its draw-
fast charging direct current
swap the batteries in a couple of EV stations with MG Motor backs though and most believe its
minutes, you have successfully ad- in five cities in India in the utility will be restricted to fleet
next few months
En

dressed both range anxiety as well consumers. “An individual cus-


as long refuelling time. The cost of tomer may not be receptive to
energy of a battery is cheaper than Companies like Exicom, swapping batteries as he sees the
ABB, Delta, Panasonic,
petrol or diesel.” Indian Oil Corp., BPCL, battery in his new car as an asset
ew

The concept is already find- HPCL, NTPC and Indus which he would like to maintain
Towers are also looking to
ing traction among fleet owners. aggressively expand himself,” says Jha.
Maini’s Sun Mobility recently tied in this sector
sp

up with ride hailing company Uber Making It Work


for battery swapping in the latter’s Slowly but surely, charging sta-
upcoming electric three-wheeler tions are coming up in some key
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range. The largest organised player areas of metro cities in India.


in this business, SmartE, which runs almost 1,000 Government-owned Energy Efficiency Services Ltd
electric rickshaws in Delhi-NCR, also swears by it. (EESL) has a head start. EESL, a joint venture of four
“We have seen the efficiency of the fleet go up by al- power PSUs that famously heralded the LED bulb
e

most 40 per cent as unlike in the past when e-rickshaws revolution in the country, saw a business opportunity
rs

were off the road when they were being charged, now in buying electric cars in bulk to replace all petrol and
the battery is swapped in a matter of minutes,” says diesel vehicles used by the government. It soon realised
Goldie Shrivastava, Co-founder and CEO, SmartE. that the plan would come unstuck unless charging in-
Here’s an example of Hyundai Kona charged frastructure is laid out. It has now changed tack to fo-
through a fast charger. It has a 40 KW battery, 300 cus only on setting up charging points. So far, it has set
km range, and cost of charging is `600 per full cycle up 300 charging stations, mostly in Delhi-NCR, and
(comparable to topping up a petrol or a diesel tank). in the next three years, plans to take that number to at
The cost to the consumer will be `2 per km, but the least 4,000 across the country.

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 65


CORPORATE > ELECTRIC VEHICLES

“We have big plans in this area. In three years, this


segment should have a revenue of `3,000 crore and ac-
count for 20 per cent of our overall turnover,” says Sau-
rabh Kumar, Managing Director, EESL.
Others have equally bullish plans. Tata Power,
which currently has about 85 charging stations in five
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big cities, plans to open at least 500 more in the next


one year alone. Delhi-based EV Motors has earmarked High
an investment of `1,400 crore to set up 6,500 of its Charge
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PlugNGo charging stations in 15 cities in India over


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the next five years. Mumbai-based IT services firm Direct charging, fast
Vakrangee also wants to convert each of its centres into charging (DCFC) may
an EV station. Similarly, Indus Towers is looking at start slow, but is likely to
.t.

catch up in India
transforming its 1,60,000-odd mobile towers into EV
charging points. AC
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The three government-owned oil marketing com- 74


panies are also looking into the possibility of convert- 58
2020
e/

ing their network of petrol pumps into charging sta- DCFC


tions for EVs. There are over 60,000 petrol pumps in 26 2030
India at present. India’s largest oil marketing company, 42
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Indian Oil, is one of the early entrants in this business


and has already installed 24 charging stations across Energy demand by
charging technology (%
eight cities. of Kwh; home scenario)
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“Primarily in major cities and dedicated highways,


our focus is NCR, Jaipur, Chandigarh, Delhi-Chandi-
garh Highway, Agra, Delhi-Agra Highway, Bengaluru,
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India will require capital


Greater Mumbai and Kochi,” says a company spokes- investment of about $6
billion through 2030, largely
person. “Subsequently, we plan to target Kolkata, Chen- driven by higher reliance on
nai, Ahmedabad, Pune and Surat. For select highways slower chargers
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connecting metros, EV charging stations are proposed India EU


along the Mumbai-Pune Expressway, Ahmedabad- 6 17
F_

Vadodara Expressway, Yamuna Expressway (Delhi to US


Agra), and Delhi-Jaipur, Bengaluru-Mysore, Bengalu- 11
ru-Chennai and Surat-Mumbai expressways.”
En

Even the government is betting big with the Min-


istry of Road Transport and Highways floating an China
expression of interest for setting up 1,000 charging 19
Estimated
stations with 6,000 chargers across all big cities. The
ew

Capital
subsidy on offer is up to 70 per cent of the cost of public Needed
($ billion)
charging stations being set up under this exercise. This
is just one of the many tenders the government intends
sp

to issue in future.
Estimated number of
On a broader scale, the government wants to set up chargers (million)
charging stations every three km in all the cities with
1 2020
ap

a million-plus population (46 cities) and every 50 km India


5 2030
on highways. The demand from this alone would be
US 2
around 30,000 slow and 15,000 fast charging points 13
over the next five years.
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EU 1
15
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Cautious Approach China 1


“The size and quantum of tenders for EV chargers will 14
only increase in future. This is the industry to invest
in,” says a senior Ministry of Heavy Industries official.
Yet, most companies are hedging their plans and
are not willing to commit fully for now. And with good Data may not add up to 100
because of rounding off
reason. Sale of EVs in India remains abysmally low: Source: McKinsey & Company
just 0.06 per cent of the overall vehicles sales. Apart

66 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


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time ourselves so that we do not put in too much capital


We have seen fleet efficiency
ahead of time.”
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go up by almost 40 per cent… Globally, EVs have been helped by subsidies and in-
now the battery is swapped in centives by governments and while fiscal constraints
F_

a matter of minutes and the do not provide much headroom for the government in
vehicle is back on the road India, the FAME-2 scheme did earmark `1,000 crore
specifically for charging infrastructure in the country.
En

Goldie Shrivastava, Co-founder and CEO, SmartE “Unless you lay down the infrastructure, the cycle
doesn’t start. It is a chicken and egg situation. We are
trying to break the jinx by participating in creating the
infrastructure and in parallel watching the evolution
ew

of EVs,” Subramanyam adds. “The first few years will


from this, while there are a number of products avail- be formative where there will only be investment. We
able in two- and three-wheelers, only a handful exist in will need to fix the network, and help car penetration
sp

cars and commercial vehicles. and eventually charge the subscribers. Once it crosses a
“We have not reached the inflection point yet, but it threshold, there will be revenue to be made.”
will probably come in three-four years,” says Aggarwal While the first round of investments is being made,
ap

of Fortum. “When it does, it will be in huge numbers. it is scale that everybody is looking at in the longer
We have taken the decision that we will jump in now term. “For a couple of years, you may not make money
and tune ourselves and based on the market we will de- because you do not have the volume, but in this busi-
cide whether to accelerate or not.” ness the upside is very lucrative,” says Aggarwal of For-
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While a lot hinges on how quickly EVs spread, there tum. “We have taken a conscious decision that smart
rs

is enough money to be made by recharging batteries. unmanned chargers are the future. There is no need to
“Today, if we have to make our plans based on vis- have a person there. Business is profitable and it will
ible profits tomorrow, I do not think we will go very become even more so as the scale increases.”
far. This business is going to take time to mature,” says Wider availability of EVs and related infrastructure
Ramesh Subramanyam, CFO, Tata Power. “We are not in India is just a matter of time. Companies don’t want
going in with so much money that we lose sight of the to miss out on the opportunity this offers.
returns but this requires incubation. Players like us
will have to invest in this sector for the long haul, and @sumantbanerji

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 67


THE HUB CORPORATE

The
Pet Bet
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Well-being of pets is serious business.


And the action is just hotting up.
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By K.T.P. RADHIKA
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D
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elhi-based media professional Arushi Sharma is a proud parent of


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three-year-old black labrador Alex. Weekends mean trips to cafes,


pool parties, parlours and parks where he plays with friends. Alex
goes to spas and fun games every now and then. On weekdays, Alex
D

stays with Sharma’s parents in Meerut. “He thoroughly enjoys all


the pampering. Meerut is an emerging town and does not have good
F_

facilities for a dog like him. So I bring him to Delhi on weekends


and we hang out at Puppychino or Heads Up For Tails (HUFT) out-
lets,” says 28-year-old Sharma. “Alex is my world and I want him to
En

have the best of food, shelter, safety and entertainment – not to men-
tion love.”
Sharma is among the many new generation of pet owners – or
pet parents – who treat their pets as their children, and spare no ex-
ew

pense in their care. “Pet care is an evolved category now, mirroring


the baby care category,” says Mohit Arora, Director-Marketing, Mars
Pet Nutrition India, which owns pet food brands like Pedigree and
sp

6,00,000
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`4,000 Pets being adopted


every year
PER MONTH
What Indian pet
e

owners spend on pets


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$270
MILLION
Size of Indian
pet food market

68 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


Part $125 $202 $800
of Family
BILLION BILLION MILLION-PLUS
Global pet care Projected Size of Indian
market in 2018 size by 2025 pet care market

Sources: Euromonitor, Tech Sci Research,


India International Pet Trade Fair
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80%
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Share of dog food


in the pet care
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value market (2017)


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80%
Pets are dogs
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En
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19
MILLION
sp

Estimated number
of pets in India
ap
e rs

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 69


CORPORATE > PET CARE

Royal Canin. “Pet parents are concerned


about maintaining the hygiene and health
of their pets. So, right from vaccinations to
grooming and food and nutrition to enter-
tainment, everything is very important for
pet parents,” he says.
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India is witnessing a pet care boom.


Urban centres are abuzz with pet dedi-

PHOTOGRAPH BY REUBEN SINGH


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cated retail outlets, for grooming, holiday


boarding. There are even luxury pet ho-
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tels. For instance, Gurgaon-based Crit-


terati, started in late 2017, is a dedicated
luxury pet hotel that boasts of royal suites
.t.

and family suites for overnight stays, and


also offers day boarding, spa services, pet
m

boutique and many other dedicated ser-


vices. Bengaluru-based Petcart-nest is a
e/

pet resort that opened last year. Spread


over two acres, it features 70 small bam-
boo ‘huts’ for pets. Pet care chains such
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as HUFT and Tail Lovers Company and


dedicated pet cafes such as the Delhi-
based Puppychino, Cat Cafe in Mumbai
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or Twisty Tails in Chennai are doing brisk


business.
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Fast-growing Market
Rapid urbanisation, coupled with rising
disposable incomes and shift to nuclear
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families, are driving more people to get


pets. Also catching up is the trend of hu-
F_

manisation of pets. “For example, years


ago, a dog used to be treated as a guard- “With more than 5,000 customers
ian and stood outside the house. That is a month, we are registering 100%
En

changing, especially in cities: the dog is


now a companion animal and a member of
growth year-on-year. Value-based
the household. Many younger couples are innovation is the key and we will
increasingly adopting a pet (read dogs and invest in that.”
ew

cats),” says Amol Sharma, Founder of Pet- Rashi Narang,


Sutra, a Gurgaon-based start-up that sells Founder, Heads Up For Tails
pet products online. “The trend is encour-
sp

aging higher spending on pet care and giv-


ing rise to opportunities to commercialise
pet products and services,” he says. al. A very large chunk of this, 73 per cent, or over $91
ap

Quality chain of pet stores was unheard of a few billion, will come from just pet food. Compared to the
years back, says Binoy Sahee, Fair Director, India In- global size, the Indian market size is just about $800
ternational Pet Trade Fair (IIPTF), an annual B2B pet million-plus, according to the IIPTF. The global pet care
exhibition-cum-trade show organised by Creature Com- industry is growing at about 5 per cent a year, and is pro-
e

panion, a pet care magazine. The August 2019 event jected to reach $202 billion by the end of 2025, accord-
rs

was its 11th edition in India, and featured 100-plus ex- ing to Euromonitor.
hibitors, compared to 32 in the first expo. “Pet owners
are now more aware of their pets’ welfare and needs. Bon Appetit
They are looking for nutrition, and not just any food. Pet In India, too, the pet food category is in a yummy phase
grooming is taken seriously,” he says. of growth. “In developed markets such as Europe and
The Indian market may be growing but is just a frac- the US, pets – especially cats and dogs – meet more than
tion of the global pet care market, which touched $125 85 per cent of the calorific value of food consumption
billion in 2018, according to Euromonitor Internation- through packaged food. In India, it is just 5.5 per cent,”

70 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


says Sharma. But pet ownership is steadily increasing: food are around `1,700 crore and growing at a healthy
industry estimates show there are around 19 million rate of 15 per cent CAGR for the last three years. How-
pets in India (around 80 per cent of these are dogs, fol- ever, our Indian business is less than 1 per cent of our
lowed by cats and then smaller animals like fish and global sales,” says Arora. The company faces competi-
birds), and on an average, 6,00,000 pets are adopted tion from brands such as Drools, owned by the Indian
every year. This has attracted many multinational pet Broiler Group, and multinationals like Farmina, Orijen,
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industry players to India. etc. Last year, Nestle also forayed into the pet food seg-
Mars International, which sells dog food brands ment in India by setting up a wholly-owned subsidiary,
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Pedigree and Royal Canin in India, entered the market Purina Petcare India.
here in 2000, and has more than 50 per cent market “Pet owners no longer depend solely on home-cooked
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share in the pet food category. “Retail revenues from pet food for their pets. This means increased headroom for
pet food manufacturers to grow in India,”
says Gaurav Kwatra, Director, Purina Pet-
.t.

care India. “Our dog food brands – Super


“Pet owners no longer depend solely Coat and Pro Plan – have been well-re-
m

on home-cooked food for their pets. ceived in the Indian market. We recently
introduced cat food, too in this market,”
This means increased headroom
e/

he says.
for pet food manufacturers to As a vast majority of pets in India are
grow in India.” dogs, it is understandable that the pet
Ta

Gaurav Kwatra, nutrition market is predominantly a dog


Director, Purina Petcare India food market – more than 80 per cent.
However, the cat food segment is grow-
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ing fast, in fact, surpassing the growth


rate of dog food. “There has been a huge
increase in cat ownership in the last three
ilP

years. Cat food accounts for around 25 per


cent of pet food revenue for Drools,” says
Fahim Sultan, Director, IB Group, adding
D

that its annual turnover is `200 crore.


Apart from multinational brands,
F_

there are many Indian companies and


start-ups that provide customised diets for
puppies and senior dogs; diets for weight-
En

loss; and even delivery services for wet pet


food. “We started in 2011 with a custom-
ised diet plan for dogs and now we cater
to NCR, Mumbai and Pune markets,” says
ew

Rashee Kuchroo, Founder of Gurgaon-


based Doggie Dabbas, which delivers wet
food for dogs. The company expanded
sp

to dry food a couple of years back and is


now clocking a growth rate of 40-50 per
cent year on year, says Kuchroo. “Last year
(2018/19), we recorded about `2.5 crore in
ap

revenue,” she adds.


Bengaluru-based Khanal Foods, with
the brand Dogsee Chew, claims to use only
e

natural ingredient dog food available. The


rs
PHOTOGRAPH BY REUBEN SINGH

company has expanded into overseas mar-


kets such as Belgium, the Netherlands,
Luxembourg and South Korea. Started
in 2015, the company has recorded more
than 100 per cent growth since then.

At Your Service
Apart from food, pet grooming, train-

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 71


CORPORATE > PET CARE

“The trend (of pets being


companions) is encouraging
higher spending on pet
w

care and giving rise to


opportunities to commercialise
w

pet products and services.”


Amol Sharma
w

Founder, PetSutra
.t.
m
e/

ing and other services are also increasing their


footprint in India. While e-commerce compa-
nies such as Amazon, Grofers and Flipkart sell
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pet care products, dedicated portals such as


PetSutra, Petworld and PupKart are also doing
brisk business. Services such as grooming, day
m

boarding and vacation homes have enough tak-


ers and have the potential to grow further. “Mo-
bile grooming vans, for instance, are prevalent
ilP

in cities. They come home and offer services like


cleaning and hair and nail trimming at rates that
are better than at pet parlours and spas,” says a
PHOTOGRAPH BY AKRITI SONDHI

Chennai-based pet owner.


Pet boarding, sitting and walking are some
F_

other segments that are growing. Delhi-based


Bhavna Gakhar, who offers day boarding ser-
vices, says, “I was working with a leading insur-
En

ance provider for the past five years. Last April, I


decided to quit the job and started dog boarding
services. I now earn as much as I was earning be-
fore, and I have better job satisfaction.” Gakhar
ew

is confident and is planning an expansion in a


few years; she also wants to start a dog farm house. Al- ucts, the company started offering services such as spas
lied services such as pet sitting and walking are getting and birthday parties too. They also have educational
sp

formalised and taking the shape of companies such as videos on pet care and training. “We currently have 26
Bengaluru-based Anvisinc that offers dog walking, pet stores across six cities in India. With more than 5,000
sitting, dog boarding and pet relocation services. customers a month, we are registering 100 per cent
ap

“On an average, Indian pet parents spend around growth year-on-year,” says Narang. HUFT plans to in-
`4,000 per month on pets. About 75-80 per cent of this crease the number of stores to 30 by the end of this year,
goes towards food and treats. The rest is spread across apart from increasing online sales.
grooming and other services,” says Mohit Lalvani, Pet cafes are another part of the growing business.
e

Founder of Captain Zack, which has shampoos and “Started in January 2018, our cafe sees a footfall of
rs

conditioners for dogs. about 5,000 a month. We reported a revenue of `3 crore


Pet care is a largely unorganised space but there is in the first year,” says Rekha Dandey, Founder and CEO
enough competition to warrant marketing initiatives of Twisty Tails, a Chennai-based pet cafe.
and investments. “A lot of money goes into scaling up Multi-speciality vet clinics that provide state-of-
the business as competition increases,” says Rashi Na- the-art treatment have mushroomed in Indian metros.
rang, Founder of HUFT, which she started in 2008 in “There is a high level of awareness about new medical
Delhi, and decided to start scaling up in 2015. Apart treatments among pet owners and high demand for
from pet food, accessories, apparel and grooming prod- them,” says Jamshyd K. Cooper, a Mumbai-based vet-

72 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


erinarian. “In Mumbai, one can find a pet clinic every ment and business expansion. Chennai-based Nimble
one to two kilometres.” Wireless, which has developed solutions based on Inter-
net of Things to remotely monitor temperature of pets,
Finding Investors received $1 million from Prime Venture Partners and
As the market is expanding, pet care companies and other investors.
start-ups have caught the attention of investors. A couple The highest disclosed amount has been raised by
w

of years ago, pet care portal DogSpot.in made headlines HUFT – $3 million from various high net worth indi-
when Ratan Tata invested an undisclosed amount in it. vidual investors. “Pet care has now become an attractive
w

But even before that, it had received seed funding from sector for investors as the industry is at a nascent stage
other investors which included Aloke Bajpai (Founder, and there is a lot of scope for expansion. HUFT is using
w

ixigo.com), Vikas Saxena (CEO, Nimbuzz), and others. the funds to further improve technology and end-user
While Dogsee Chew received `2 crore in angel funding, experience,” says Narang of HUFT.
Bengaluru-based pet care start-up TailsLife raised an
.t.

undisclosed amount in a bridge round from its existing Space For More
investor. Last year, PetSutra received `95 lakh from an- There may be many pet related services coming up, but
m

gel investors while Captain Zack received $1.5 million scaling up business can be a tough task. “Pet nutrition
in pre-series A funding, to be used for product develop- and health are relatively new concepts. Without prop-
e/

er awareness, it is difficult to sell high-


quality pet food,” says Kwatra of Purina.
Then there are mindsets to deal with. As
Ta

humanisation increases, people tend to

Market leaders
treat their pets as ‘humans’ and feed them
whatever they are eating, which might be
m

in pet food
harmful, explains Mumbai-based vet-
erinarian, Cooper. Also, with vegetarian-
ism common in India, many people want
ilP

vegetarian food for their pets too, a de-


mand that companies are trying to cater
Pedigree, to. “Providing vegetarian diet to dogs is
D

Royal Canin a big challenge as it is difficult to get all


Both are brands of Mars the proteins required in the right mix. For
F_

International. The total cats, it is a strict ‘no’ as certain amino ac-


revenue is
ids won’t be there in it (vegetarian diet),”
`1,700 says Cooper.
En

CRORE Be it food, grooming or training, the


from retail sales. Mars pet care market, despite being fragment-
entered the Indian market in
2002 but its Indian business ed, is growing, and growing enough to at-
is less than 1 per cent of its tract further investments from players big
ew

global business.
and small. “Our global business is keeping
a keen eye on how to grow the business in
India. In the next three years, we will have
sp

big investments to bring in more brands


to India, expand distribution, make prod-
Purina ucts more accessible and develop the eco-
ap

The Nestle brand system to drive pet adoption,” says Nitin


entered India only Kulkarni, Director of Corporate Affairs,
last year
Mars Pet Nutrition India. Smaller busi-
nesses also feel there is room to expand.
e

“As the market expands, we also have to


rs

expand our business. Value-based innova-


tion is the key and we will invest in that,”
Drools
says Narang of HUFT. Evidently, pets
An Indian Broiler
Group brand launched and their parents are ‘paw’ering
in India in 2010; the business.
annual turnover of

`200 The writer is a Chennai-based


CRORE freelance journalist

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 73


ers
ap
sp
ew
En
F_
D
ilP
m
Ta
e/
m
.t.
w
w
w
ers
ap
sp
ew
En
F_
D
ilP
m
Ta
e/
m
.t.
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THE HUB INTERVIEW
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.t.
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e/
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m
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F_
En
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76 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


“INDIA COULD
ESTABLISH ITSELF
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AS A LEADER FOR
w

THE REGION IN
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ENERGY STORAGE”
.t.
m

US energy storage major AES Corporation recently installed


India’s first grid scale energy storage unit with Tata Power.
e/

Andrés Gluski, President and CEO of this Fortune 500


company, talks to Business Today’s Anilesh S. Mahajan
Ta

about the global energy storage market and how India –


with its ambitious solar energy and electric vehicle plans –
can gain from the latest trends. Edited excerpts:
m
ilP

PHOTOGRAPHS BY SHEKHAR GHOSH


D
F_
En

elp us understand the trajectory of the energy stor-


age space. In India, we are looking for solutions
ew

which can be scaled up quickly, and in the entire


conversation there is a price point, too.
sp

A. The time for the energy storage technology has come.


The price is a critical part of this equation across the world.
In the last five years, it has come down by about 70 per
ap

cent and, with this, we are already seeing the market tak-
ing off. Globally, five years ago, a total of 200 MW energy
storage (grid connected) was installed. Last year, the figure
reached 4 GW. This is a factor of 20. Some markets are
e

much more advanced and some are laggards, but there is


rs

no dispute that this technology is fundamental to the grid


of the future.
Markets progress at their own speed and a lot of that has
to do with regulations and price of energy. In the US – per-
haps the most advanced market globally – there is a tremen-
dous influx of renewable energy, especially solar. To stabi-
lise the grids, one option is fossil fuel-based thermal power
plants. The other is energy storage systems which soak up

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 77


INTERVIEW > ANDRÉS GLUSKI

energy and allow you to inject it when you need it the most. market. It is much less market-driven than India. For ex-
It is the key for India as well. It allows for flexibility while de- ample, users there have to change their routes to suit an
signing the grid and laying transmission lines. For example, electric bus.
if there is growth in demand at the other end of the trans-
mission line, conventional planning requires an increase Are the Chinese companies on a shopping spree to
w

in capacity of the entire line even if the demand increase is capture sources of materials for storage?
for 15 minutes or two hours a day. Installation of the energy
w

storage system at the end of the line can meet the demand. Not really, because the biggest resources of lithium are in
In India, which has a target of 175 GW renewable energy South America – Bolivia, Argentina and Chile. Most of the
w

capacity by 2022, storage will play a critical role. production is happening with either western firms, big
mining companies or local firms. And they are the most
What are your calculations of movement in price successful companies. The Democratic Repbulic of Congo
.t.

points over the next five years? What’s your


vision for the future of storage?
m

I’d say that in next five years, it may not be a 70 per cent
e/

cut, but long-term costs will certainly continue to come


down. There are several factors at work. One is technol- THE WORLD WILL
ogy, as we have better designs, but it really comes down
NOT BE TIED UP TO
Ta

to economies of scale, which has been the big driver for


renewables. In solar panels, there have been technological ONE GIGA FACTORY.
improvements, but it’s mostly been scale. The same thing
WE CAN GO OUT AND
m

happened in wind turbines. It is a matter of getting scale.


That will improve once you are selling not 4 GW but 10 SOURCE BATTERIES
GW around the world. That depends on electric vehicles, as
FROM MULTIPLE
ilP

in any forecast I have seen, the breakdown is usually 90 per


cent vehicles, 10 per cent grid. At the most it may be 80:20. PLAYERS AND GO
The input has been lithium. The world has a lot of lithi-
TO THE LATEST AND
D

um and people are opening up mines. It will also get cheap-


er as you become bigger. There were some bottlenecks with BEST TECHNOLOGIES
F_

cobalt, mostly from Africa and some difficult geographies.


But they are coming up with new chemistries, using more
AT THE TIME
nickel and magnesium, and no cobalt. Tomorrow they may
En

come up with a much cheaper battery with different chem-


istry. We are fine with that. We just put those batteries into
the kit. We are not betting on one specific chemistry equa-
tion or one specific battery, but we really think it will be
ew

lithium-ion for a foreseeable future. We realised these bat-


teries are for the most part the same as the ones you put in had more cobalt but is reducing the amount used. There
electric vehicles. So, the bigger that [electric vehicle] mar- are other sources such as Australia as well. This is not a
sp

ket becomes, the more economies of scale there will be for case of the Chinese having a lock on this. This is much more
grid-scale energy storage. in what are called precious metals and things like that. It’s
interesting as those aren’t so rare, it’s just very dirty to pro-
ap

Are you also moving to the mobility side of the duce them. So, quite frankly, that’s why China has a lock on
business? Are there some lessons from the them, as other countries don’t want to produce them. This
Chinese that we can take? sort of rare metals, as they are called, go into electronics.
e

We are doing some incubation project, because if you have So what are the unique points for companies to
rs

a lot of electric vehicles out there, you have two things. cut prices?
One, you have to charge them effectively like mobile stor-
age units. So, you have to incorporate what happens in We are aggregating. Take India. We get demand from several
the electric vehicle market. It will also affect the price of large customers. No one large customer is likely to have those
batteries. We see that as natural progression. We are not economies of scale. Plus, we bring the experience. What is
doing anything yet, but it’s natural progression of the very interesting that one of the first successful grid-scale ener-
business we are in. As far as lessons from Chinese experi- gy storage system was in Chile, not in the US, associated with
ences are concerned, it depends. China is a very different a coal plant. Because we are in different countries, we have a

78 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


may have some dysfunctional gas-
based projects, then we have coal,
and now we are adding renewable
to the energy basket. Do you en-
visage drastic change in the en-
w

ergy basket once these storage


facilities come up?
w

India is a big market. Not all states


w

generate at the same speed. But I am


certain that it will make a very big dif-
ference in the Indian grid over time. It
.t.

will be good for the local environment,


for the global environment, and also
m

for consumers. I also think it will allow


India to become a leader in a very in-
e/

teresting technology. What we will see


in India is what you are going to see
in the rest of, for example, Southeast
Ta

Asia. India could establish itself as a


leader for the region in energy storage.
m

India has a very different market


from the US or western countries.
There is less policy clarity. Then
ilP

there are hurdles from regulators.


How do you see yourself in the
lot of experience and we can try different things. India market, especially as you have selected the
D

Tatas, probably one of the most reliable partners.


How do you rate the Elon Musk gigawatt factory? Will What were the things going on in your mind?
F_

his venture be able to disrupt the pricing of storage?


Tata Power is one of the most prestigious groups in India,
It is a good addition. They are gearing up to fulfil vehicle and if you look at our partners around the world, they are
En

orders primarily. They are using some of the same batteries of the same league. The success of the partnership is im-
for their energy storage. I’d say it is welcome, because the portant for us. With Tata Power, there is an opportunity to
more batteries you produce, the cheaper they will become. expand to their entire portfolio.
The product is the same. The chemistry can vary a bit, Along with this, energy storage is bit like a hammer, as
ew

or the designs vary. You can optimise for one or the other. you can have various avenues to remunerate, such as mak-
I’d say that in the energy storage space, he does not have the ing solar power more reliable and avoiding fines in case of
desire or the chemistry to be disruptive from what we have. inaccurate predictions. The grid can be made more resil-
sp

He is certainly a competitor in some markets but has much ient. You may want to use the electricity stored instead of
less reach than we do. We generate energy from all possible a peaking plant or replan transmission investments. We
sources excluding nuclear. We have a wealth of experience understand that the regulations are going to be different in
ap

that no car manufacturer can match. We have a fundamen- different countries. The applications will also be different
tal view that we need an open architecture. Battery tech- and we value partners creating this knowledge for us.
nology is changing rapidly. The cost has come down, the I think India will be one of the biggest markets, and that
efficiency has increased. So, the battery of today is going too with a very ambitious renewable programme. In various
e

to be very different from the battery we will get five years markets, renewable energy is cheaper than the variable cost
rs

down the line. It is going to be more efficient and cheaper. of fossil fuel. The future is renewable. The storage is mak-
So, the world will not be tied up to one giga factory. We can ing it available round the clock. India can’t have 100 GW
go out and source batteries from multiple players and go to energy storage capacities overnight. So, it requires conven-
the latest and best technologies at the time. For India, the tional energy as well. But the future is much more renewable
potential for grid [storage] application is so big that it may and much more energy storage. It will be cheaper and more
be bigger than the potential from electric vehicle at first. green power. Think of the air quality in your cities.

In India, the energy mix is changing rapidly. We @anileshmahajan

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 79


COLUMN

Align CSR with


National Goals
w

INNOVATIVE AND INCLUSIVE SOCIAL


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INVESTMENTS BY INDIA INC. WITH BROADER


POLICY FRAMEWORKS CAN AUGMENT THE BY
GOVERNMENT'S DEVELOPMENTAL INITIATIVES. GEN. BIKRAM SINGH

c
w
.t.

ORPORATE social responsibility (CSR) in India has evolved already witnessed the fury of nature in
since 1965 when Prime Minister Lal Bahadur Shastri, at an event some parts of our country.
m

inauguration in New Delhi, urged the corporate fraternity to Even as companies pursue their
fulfil its obligations towards customers, workers, shareholders ongoing CSR projects, it may be
e/

and the community at large. In 2009, the voluntary guidelines on prudent to take note of both stated and
corporate governance and CSR were disseminated by the Ministry of Cor- implied goals and ideas of PM Modi.
porate Affairs in the wake of a scam in a major enterprise. These guidelines Statements made from the ramparts
Ta

were later included in the Companies Bill, 2011, that got promulgated as the of the Red Fort are well processed and
Companies Act, 2013, based on several modifications. This Act made CSR provide a broad strategic framework
mandatory. Perhaps the reason for imposing a statutory obligation was the for various stakeholders to evolve
m

need to strengthen trust between the business community and the society suitable strategies and implemen-
that had taken a beating owing to various scams. The eroding trust had tation plans. Although concerned
spurred some segments of the society to discredit and disparage even the ministries will pursue his goals and
ilP

ethical corporate achievers and wealth creators. unique nation-building ideas, some
As per the Act, every company with net worth of `500 crore or more, programmes need to be included in
or turnover of `1,000 crore or more, or net profit of `5 crore or more CSR policies and must be started im-
D

during any financial year is required to spend on CSR at least 2 per cent mediately. These include freeing India
of its average net profits made in the preceding three years. The spend- from single-use plastic, ensuring water
F_

ing is to be undertaken in conformity with conservation and making it available


a policy formulated by a committee of the IDEALLY, ALL MAJOR to all households, implementing small
board comprising three or more directors, CSR ACTIVITIES family norms, eliminating the use of
En

including at least one independent director. SHOULD BE chemical fertilisers and making India
An ideal policy is steered by a company’s IMPLEMENTED an open-defecation-free country. Ac-
CSR vision statement and includes selected IN CONCERT cording to open-source data, several
areas of social responsibility, budget and its WITH STATE companies are already committed to
ew

GOVERNMENTS
apportioning, governance structure, roles some of these goals. However, there
TO MAXIMISE
and responsibilities along with a monitoring VALUE AND AVOID is a need to have every company on
and reporting architecture. As mandated, it DUPLICATION board. Although the total CSR amount
sp

should be regularly brought before the board. OF EFFORTS available with the business community
The amended Schedule VII of the Compa- is a drop in the ocean compared to
nies Act, 2013, lists the activities which could national developmental budget, its
ap

be included by companies in their CSR policies. judicious spending would have a


These activities have been determined, keeping meaningful impact on people, supple-
in mind people’s aspirations and the need to preserve our planet. When it ment the government’s efforts and help
comes to people, the emphasis is mainly on poverty eradication, potable preserve our planet to some extent.
e

water, sanitation, preventive healthcare, and gender equality and empower- Besides provisioning for requisite
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ment through education and employment-centric vocational skills. As for facilities and infrastructure, action
the planet, the Schedule highlights the need for environmental sustainabil- plans for additional activities would
ity, which has acquired great significance nowadays. Even Prime Minister necessitate a comprehensive public
Narendra Modi, while highlighting his goals for ‘New India’ during his information campaign aimed at
Independence Day address, emphasised, inter-alia, the perils of climate raising awareness levels and manag-
change and the dire need for water conservation. It is about time that we, ing perceptions. People follow new
as a nation, realise that continued global warming will create catastrophic initiatives only when they understand
conditions, causing widespread loss of human lives and property. We have the shortcomings of prevalent systems

80 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


and practices and begin to realise and avoid duplication of efforts. Programmes focussing on neighbour-
the benefits of change. Corporate hood communities help develop mutually beneficial relationships and
houses should consider constitut- strengthen trust. As a matter of principle, the responsibility of running
ing small teams possessing excellent all projects should ultimately be passed on to the community. For
interpersonal and conceptual skills for instance, the Indian Army undertakes
not just influencing people’s behaviour its civic action projects in insurgency-
but also for developing the prowess PEOPLE FOLLOW afflicted areas with a philosophy of
w

to implement additional activities in NEW INITIATIVES helping people to help themselves. In


concert with various stakeholders. ONLY WHEN THEY such cases, the consistent endeavour is
UNDERSTAND THE
w

Wherever it is necessary, specialists’ to empower people with the necessary


SHORTCOMINGS OF
services from medicine, agriculture, skills and expertise so that they can run
PREVALENT SYSTEMS
w

rainwater harvesting, waste man- AND PRACTICES AND the projects on their own. The success of
agement and other fields should be BEGIN TO REALISE various programmes should be gauged
obtained. For capacity maximisation, THE BENEFITS OF by their impact on people and the
.t.

collaboration with like-minded part- CHANGE environment and not just by the output.
ners should be considered, albeit with People’s ownership of the projects is an
m

due diligence. Current provisions of essential benchmark of success.


the law also allow a company’s board The CSR teams of India Inc., given
e/

to decide on undertaking CSR activi- their people-friendly endeavours, are


ties which have been approved by the much respected and listened to by the communities they serve. So, these
CSR committee through a registered teams are ideally placed to change the perception and behaviour of the
Ta

trust, society or a company established people concerned, which is a prerequisite for effectively implementing
by the enterprise or through its hold- any new social programme. Undoubtedly, the contributions of the cor-
ing/subsidiary/associate company. porate world towards nation-building have been phenomenal. Its leader-
m

Ideally, all major CSR activities ship, CSR teams and countless unseen hands which work tirelessly for
should be implemented in concert the success of various initiatives, rightfully deserve special kudos.
with state governments to maximise The writer is former Chief of the Indian Army and
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value for the identified communities now sits on a company’s board


D
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e rs
THE WRONG WAYS T
O
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STRENGTHEN CULT
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URE
w
.t.

The three
m i s st e p s
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that thwa
rt many e
fforts.
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Illustratio
n by R a j V
erma
Ta
m
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F_
En
ew
sp
ap
ers
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OMPARED with results-oriented, transparent, or trusting.


.t.

some other activities Gartner studied how companies using


of business leaders, these various buzzwords compared with
m

such as hiring the one another on progress towards revenue


right talent and set- goals and found no significant differences “GOOD LEADERS RECOGNISE
e/

ting strategy, changing corporate culture – meaning that none of the labels cre-
can be especially challenging. Culture is ates an advantage. One reason: Often the THAT ALTHOUGH ASPIRATIONAL
amorphous; there are no direct levers chosen buzzword is at odds with how the
TALK ABOUT CULTURE MAY
Ta

for shifting it in one direction or another. company actually operates. That causes

ORIGINATE IN THE C-SUITE,


Indications are that CEOs are putting what Bryan Kurey, Gartner’s Managing
a higher priority on this aspect of lead- Vice President for HR research, calls a
m

ership than in the past. According to a


study by the research and advisory firm
say/do gap: Employees see leaders’ cul-
tural aspirations as hypocritical.
THE ACTUAL CULTURE MANI-
Gartner, CEOs mentioned culture 7 per Instead of using a single adjective to
FESTS IN CUBICLES AND ON
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cent more often during earnings confer- describe the culture you aspire to, illus-
ence calls in 2016 than in 2010. In sur- trate it by acknowledging an important SHOP FLOORS FAR FROM TOP
veys, both CEOs and CHROs say that tension. “The tension is about the inter-
D

“managing and improving the culture” is section of the ideal and present realities LEADERS’ PURVIEW”
the top priority for talent management. and how those play out day to day,” Kurey
F_

But the data suggests that there’s lots of says. Talk about wanting to create a “cul-
room for improvement: Each year com- ture of innovation” might sound fanciful
panies spend $2,200 per employee, on and out of touch if the business currently monly look at turnover rates as an indi-
En

average, on efforts to improve the culture devotes 80 per cent of its resources and cation of culture and morale. But those
(much of the money goes to consultants, personnel to existing product lines. The numbers can provide false comfort. “The
surveys, and workshops) – but only 30 CEO should instead speak to the tension: feedback gets sanitised at the leadership
per cent of CHROs report a good return “We support a culture of innovation while level, even if you’re not trying to do that,”
ew

on that investment. continuing to seek growth and profits Kurey says. “Data gets aggregated and
When trying to spearhead culture from legacy businesses.” averaged and becomes a little generic.”
change, many leaders use the wrong Other tensions evident in most busi- Gartner suggests that companies in-
sp

tools. Having surveyed more than 7,500 nesses include the need to achieve both clude open-response questions in their
employees and nearly 200 HR leaders short- and long-term goals and an em- surveys and ensure that leaders see some
at global companies and conducted in- phasis on results and accountability while of the raw feedback. Smart leaders also
ap

depth interviews with 100 HR leaders, also caring about employees’ well-being go beyond periodic surveys, providing
Gartner has written a report identifying and work/life balance. Explicitly recog- an atmosphere of safety that allows em-
the most- (and the least-) effective ways nising such tensions avoids the disillu- ployees to speak up at any time without
leaders try to transform culture. To in- sionment that can result when employees fear of reprisal.
e

crease their odds of success, the report see leaders espouse one set of behaviours Such unfiltered feedback is especially
rs

advises, they should avoid three mistakes. but live by another. useful given that many employees feel
Don’t use simple adjectives to de- Don’t measure culture with data disconnected from leaders’ cultural aspi-
scribe culture. Because culture feels alone. Because culture feels intangible, rations. Gartner’s research shows that on
“squishy” and hard to describe, leaders many companies depend on employee average, 69 per cent of employees don’t
tend to resort to a generic, overused set of surveys when trying to quantify what believe in the cultural goals set by their
adjectives: Cultures are said to be high- frontline people think about it. Often leaders, 87 per cent don’t understand
performing, collaborative, innovative, the surveys overrely on measures of em- them, and 90 per cent don’t behave in
customer-focussed, entrepreneurial, ployee engagement. Firms also com- ways that align with them. By closing

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 83


MANAGEMENT

these gaps, Gartner says, companies are


“I T’ S NO T A W IN -L OS E SI TU AT IO N”
9 per cent more likely to meet or exceed family-owned
IN 2012, the Guatemalan
Oscar Rivera as its
their annual revenue goals. And having conglomerate CMI hired
er. Since then he has
a qualitative sense of how employees first-ever chief culture offic oc ess to adapt how the firm’
s 37,000
ral transforma tion pr e
are feeling can help them do so. “CEOs led a cultu
River a sp oke with HB R about the challenges of th
must not only encourage the unvarnished employees work. cc ess. Edited excerpts follow
.
d ho w he me asur es su
effort an
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truth, but also create an environment


that demands it,” the researchers write.
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Don’t forget to alter policies to sup- What about CMI’s culture We do surveys that yield data, but
port cultural change. It’s all well and needed fixing? comments really matter, too. Twice
We are a highly diversified a year all employees attend a
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good to talk about a company’s collab-


orative culture. But if that company uses conglomerate, with six businesses workshop at which they talk about
that were very siloed. The how they are living our values. The
a forced-curve performance manage-
.t.

company had been taking steps focus isn’t on teaching behaviours;


ment system – in which a certain per- to create more synergies, such we want people’s opinions, and the
centage of employees must receive low as implementing a companywide workshops are the main source of
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marks – it has created an environment IT system, transforming the HR feedback on the transformation.
in which workers must compete against function, and consolidating Sometimes comments correlate
purchasing efforts. Those projects with the survey data; sometimes
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one another for high marks, undercut-


ting collaboration. Similarly, companies had trouble getting traction, and they don’t. The most important
our family owners concluded thing is listening to what people
might declare themselves to be customer-
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it was a cultural issue that CMI have to say.


centric but clamp down on the expense needed to resolve.
account spending necessary to let sales What’s an example of how
reps travel to meet customers face-to- What did you do first? you changed processes to
m

face. “This is the area where leaders are We needed to hear what support the culture shift?
least consistent – putting the operating employees thought and help In collaboration with our head
them find a way forward. Over of HR, José Miguel Larios, we
model behind the culture,” Kurey says.
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18 months, we held more than proposed changing how we


To drive change, leaders must align 30 workshops that included the measure and recognise the
what they say, how they behave, and company’s top 300 leaders. The performance of our top 300
how their companies operate in terms of dialogues recognised the tension executives. In the past it was
D

processes, budgets, and policies. Many between the benefits of behaving focussed on short-term and
companies overlook the third item. “The more like a single company and the individual business results. The
F_

‘operate’ component has the biggest im- facts that each business is unique, new system introduced two
the people running it have special significant elements linked to
pact on workforce-culture alignment,
expertise, and they need to run it how the entire company was
[but] leaders are least focussed on the with some autonomy. So there was performing over the long term
En

most important aspect of role modelling,” some resistance to change. and how the overall cultural
the researchers write. transformation effort was
Good leaders recognise that al- How did you overcome that? progressing. That reinforced the
though aspirational talk about culture Through dialogues in the idea that people weren’t doing this
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may originate in the C-suite, the actual workshops, people recognised because it was politically correct.
how siloed we were and There were benefits to individuals.
culture manifests in cubicles and on shop
concluded that what had gotten
floors far from top leaders’ purview. That us here would not take us into What’s the return on the time and
sp

disconnect makes it essential that CEOs the future. The leaders realised money you’ve invested in this?
do more than talk a good game. “As the we would be more successful if In 2012, when we asked employees
leader, you need to set up the structures, we became more focussed on to describe our culture, the
managing synergies and value majority said it was coercive. By
ap

processes, and incentives in your organ-


chains. And we urged everyone 2017, more people described it as
isation and put your money where your
not to think of this as a win-lose “democratic” and “visionary.” We
mouth is,” Kurey says. “That’s the part of situation, where the company is invested about $50 million in the
leadership people often miss – enabling
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going to be one way or another. overall transformation project.


your organisation to actually adopt the For example, you don’t need to We’d hoped to earn that back in
rs

new culture you seek to have.” focus on either short- or long- 10 years; we managed to do it in
term goals; you try to balance seven. We’re no longer organised
them. There are many examples around our six businesses; today
About the Research “Three Culture
Conversations Every CEO Must Have with of how ideas that are in tension we think of the business as two
the Head of HR,” by Gartner (working paper). can coexist. large platforms. We’re starting
This article was first published in the July- to have conversations to make
August 2019 issue of Harvard Business the two platforms unique but
How do you ensure honest
Review (www.hbr.org). Copyright@2019
Harvard Business School Publishing feedback on how employees collaborative. The work on culture
Corporation. All rights reserved. feel about the culture? is never-ending.
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70
per cent
India's rural
population that depends
on farming for suste-
nance, mostly small
and marginal farmers

88 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


AGRITECH SPECIAL > LEAD ESSAY

LONG
w
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WAY
India must increase
.t.

farm income and


become globally
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competitive.
Technology can help.
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By JOE C. MATHEW
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TO GO
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D
ANCING CROW FARM, near Seattle, US, finds a special men-
tion in gatesnotes.com, the personal blog of Bill Gates, the found-
er of information technology (IT) behemoth Microsoft. The farm
is a pilot site for FarmBeats, a key research project of Microsoft
ew

which strives to make data-driven precision agriculture afford-


able for even the poorest farmers. What Gates considers “re-
markable” about Dancing Crow is that the team of researchers
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at FarmBeat, led by IIT-Kharagpur alumnus Ranveer Chandra,


utilises unused TV spectrum or airwaves to transmit data from
sensors installed at various locations of the farm and digitally
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analyses those to offer crop advisory. Unlike most farm data


systems, which require expensive transmitters to connect, this
one is low-cost and helps collect and analyse weather conditions,
temperature, pH, moisture level of soil, and other parameters,
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using low-cost sensors, drones, and vision and machine learning


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algorithms. The result: up to 30 per cent less water needed for ir-
rigation, 44 per cent less lime to control soil pH, updates on ideal
time for planting seeds, and a more productive harvest.
“One of the big challenges in Agtech (agriculture technology)
adoption is cost, and we are developing techniques to make it
more affordable. We are doing a few trials in India, and our re-
search is focussed on bringing down the cost of Agtech solutions
to make them relevant in places like India,” says Chandra, Chief

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 89


HEAVY DEPENDENCE SUFFICIENT STOCK
Agriculture forms a significant In foodgrains, India produces more
part of states’ economy than can be consumed domestically
Share of agriculture and Fourth Advance Estimates of Production
allied activities in Gross of Foodgrains for 2018/19 (mn tonnes)
State Value Added
(2016/17; at
current prices) Total foodgrains Kharif Rabi

30% AND
ABOVE
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300
Andhra Pradesh,
Arunachal
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Pradesh,
Madhya Pradesh
250
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20-29%
Bihar, Odisha, Punjab,
.t.

Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh


200
15-19%
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Chhattisgarh, Gujarat, Haryana,


Jharkhand, Meghalaya, Telangana
150
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LESS THAN 15%


Chandigarh, Delhi, Himachal Pradesh,
Ta

Karnataka, Kerala, Maharashtra, Puducherry,


100
Sikkim, Tamil Nadu, Uttarakhand 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Source: State of Indian Agriculture 2017 As on August 19, 2019


m
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Scientist, Microsoft Azure Global, in al farmers, there is an urgent need to


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an e-mail response to Business Today. reduce production costs and increase


“There are several things that the In- farm incomes. The only solution is tech
F_

dian government could do to acceler- interventions that bring in efficiencies


ate the adoption of digital agriculture at all levels of the agriculture ecosys-
with Indian farmers, including allow- tem – from sowing to harvesting, from
En

ing data transmission from farms on marketing to value addition. The ef-
unused TV channels, and some new al- forts of global giants like Microsoft,
gorithms that we have developed using IBM (which has a full-fledged research
satellite data,” he adds. team in India that looks into digital
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Chandra is right. Indian agricul- farming and precision agriculture) and


ture needs technology adoption more others can only help.
than any other country. Despite being World over, governments and or-
sp

a major producer of agricultural crops “SATELLITE DATA IS ganisations at all levels – private and
– largest producer of milk, jute and ALSO BEING USED public, global as well as local – are
pulses, and second-largest producer of FOR DROUGHT working to build innovative solutions
ASSESSMENT,
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rice, wheat, sugarcane, cotton, fruits to solve the problems of agriculture us-
and vegetables – India is increasingly TO ASSESS THE ing technology. A lot of the activity is
finding it difficult to make farming a POTENTIAL AREA based in India, and some farmers, al-
sustainable and profitable economic
FOR GROWING beit in small numbers, have begun to
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PULSES AND
activity for every stakeholder. The soil HORTICULTURAL adopt agritech practices.
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quality in large tracts of land is de- CROPS”


clining, water stress is worsening, and Government Initiatives
Narendra Singh Tomar
climate change, with associated flash The government has set a goal of dou-
Union Minister
floods and droughts, has turned farm- of Agriculture and bling farmer income by 2022. The
ing in to a high-risk sector. Farmers’ Welfare 14-volume report of the Committee
With 70 per cent of India’s rural of Doubling Farmers’ Income, headed
population depending on farming for by Ashok Dalwai, has an entire vol-
sustenance, mostly small and margin- ume devoted on the need for science

90 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


FOODGRAIN Higher production AGRITECH SPECIAL > LEAD ESSAY
means more price
BREAK-UP uncertainty

TOTAL: 2018/19 data; Source:


Ministry of Agriculture have a regulatory process for new technologies so that farmers have ac-
284.95 & Farmers' Welfare cess to latest technological advancements. It also suggests that a mix of
MILLION
TONNES technologies be used to achieve higher productivity.
While most of these are still in the realm of recommendations,
one definite technology intervention, in addition to the much-talked
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about e-NAM (National Agriculture Market – which is yet to be fully


RICE
operational), is the government’s decision to carry out pilot studies to
116.42 MT
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(record) optimise crop cutting experiments (CCEs) in various states under


the farm insurance scheme Prime Minister Fasal Bima Yojana
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GRAM (PMFBY). “The studies used various technologies, including


10.13 MT satellite data, artificial intelligence, modelling tools, etc.,
to reduce the number of CCEs required for insurance unit
.t.

WHEAT level for yield estimation,” Narendra Singh Tomar, Union


TUR 102.19 MT
PULSES 3.59 MT (record) Minister of Agriculture and Farmers’ Welfare, said in the
m

23.4 MT Lok Sabha.


The government is using satellite imagery to assess
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crop area, crop condition and crop yield under various pro-
COARSE
CEREALS grammes. “Satellite data is also being used for drought as-
42.95 MT MAIZE sessment, to assess the potential area for growing pulses and
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27.23 MT
horticultural crops,” Tomar added.

Private Participation
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About two years ago, Microsoft and The International Crops Research
Institute for the Semi-arid Tropics (Icrisat) developed an AI-based sow-
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and technology interventions in ag-


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riculture. Use of Big Data, Internet


of Things, Artificial Intelligence and
F_

Blockchain in developing value chains


and use of robot and sensors figure
significantly, along with the need for
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better research in crop sciences and ge-


netically modified technologies, in the
to-do list.
The Indian Council of Agricul-
ew
PHOTOGRAPH BY SHEKHAR GHOSH

tural Research’s (ICAR’s) 2025 Vi-


sion Document, too, emphasises on
use of technology, including robotics
sp

and automation; energy-efficient and


environment-friendly devices for farm
operations; precision farming using
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IT, Geographic Information Systems,


GPS and remote sensing; climate
smart resource management tech-
nologies; and smart sensors and new
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delivery systems to help combat vi-


“WITH INCREASED FOCUS ON AGRICULTURE
FROM VARIOUS SIDES, THE TIME IS RIGHT
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ruses and pathogens. According to the FOR AGRI-FOCUSSED PRIVATE EQUITY


document, high-performance comput- FUNDS IN INDIA TO LOOK AT EARLY-STAGE
ing could be used to analyse very large COMPANIES AND GROWTH-ORIENTED FIRMS”
data sets, particularly those related to
Rajesh Srivastava
agricultural genomics, proteomics, Executive Chairman, Rabo Equity Advisors
geo-informatics and climate change.
The Vision Document goes a step
further. It also articulates the need to

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 91


AGRITECH SPECIAL > LEAD ESSAY

ing app to send sowing advisories to participating AGRICULTURE has investments in several agritech
farmers in Andhra Pradesh. The aim was to de- CHALLENGES start-ups, says is it still early days for
termine the optimal days for sowing. The farmers agri start-ups to make their mark.
did not have to instal any sensors in their fields or Inadequate resources – The initial success stories could come
human, physical
incur any capital expenditure. All they needed was and financial from food-tech firms, especially food
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a feature phone capable of receiving text messages. delivery businesses that got funding
According to Microsoft, the app, combined as an extension of e-commerce invest-
Poor linkages and
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with a personalised village advisory dashboard, convergence in ments, he says.


resulted in the average yield per hectare increas- research, extension “The farm-to-fork space has also
and farmer-market and
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ing by 30 per cent. public-private initiatives attracted a large pool of capital. Hope-
IBM Research India is also pursuing a digi- fully some of them will do well and cre-
tal farming initiative. One of the objectives of ate a success story,” Shah says. “Real
.t.

Lack of focus on value


digital farming or precision agriculture is to raise agritech, however, started in 2011/12
farm productivity by increasing the visibility of after people began to understand that
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Poor infrastructure in
agronomic conditions such as soil moisture, crop mobility, connectivity, this was something interesting. We
health and weather, and leveraging digitisation, information and have a good number of start-ups look-
communication
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mobile, IoT and cognitive technologies. The team technology


ing into how to improve the agronomy
is working on developing a suite of solutions (pest and income of farmers. Many of them
risk prediction, plant disease/pest detection, crop are beginning to do well. Whether it is
Ta

identification, yield prediction, precision irriga- market linkages, or better yields, we


tion advisory services, etc) leveraging the compa- have young entrepreneurs looking at
ny’s big data platform, IBM states on its website. this sector,” he adds.
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Home-grown majors are not far behind. While With increased focus on agri-
food and FMCG major ITC is known for its pio- culture from various sides, the time
neering e-chaupal initiative, others have their own is right for agri-focussed private eq-
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versions of technology adoption to narrate. uity funds in India to look at early


Mahindra & Mahindra, the world’s largest stage companies and growth oriented
tractor manufacturer by volumes, is working on firms, says Rajesh Srivastava, Execu-
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digital and data driven technology to back pro- tive Chairman, Rabo Equity Advisors.
ductivity, crop-care and yield in a more definitive “There are a lot of start-ups and early
F_

way. “With agriculture increasingly becoming TECH stage firms now. In fact, we get many
technology-intensive, we are investing in future- SOLUTIONS more proposals from these people
ready technologies. This is to provide complete High-yielding seed
(than from established firms looking
En

solutions to the global-farming community,” says technologies for growth). We are trying to reca-
Rajesh Jejurikar, President – Farm Equipment librate our investment strategy (to ac-
Sector, Mahindra & Mahindra. Resource-conserving, commodate such firms). Cloud kitch-
Over the past two years, the company has en- climate resilient tech ens, food deliveries, agritech... all are
ew

tered into five strategic partnerships and has made part of the new story,” he says.
investments in some of them, including start-ups, Mechanisation The scope in agriculture, of course,
to develop data and digital driven capabilities. This technologies is much larger. Moreover, given the
sp

includes a 10 per cent stake in Canadian firm Res- fragmented nature of Indian farms,
son, for capabilities in machine learning, big data Post-harvest the size of population it caters to and
analytics and computer vision to help growers make technologies the diversity of its ecosystems, Indian
ap

better-informed decisions about crop management agriculture will need diverse technolo-
so that productivity can be increased. The company NextGen tech such as gies. Every attempt to make agricul-
biotech, nanotech, GIS
also has a 11.25 per cent stake in Switzerland-based and sensor technology, ture profitable and sustainable – be it
Gamaya to provide crop-specific tech solutions. IT, Internet, drones, at the stage of cultivation, harvesting,
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blockchain
“Our strategic associations will enable us to develop marketing or consumption – would be
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and deploy next-generation farming capabilities a case to benefit from technological in-
such as precision agriculture and digital farming tervention. And that is what is begin-
technologies. With these partnerships, we expect ning to happen. Success, however, will
to set new benchmarks in farming and its related depend not only on technology, but
services,” says Jejurikar. also its affordability – a fact that Bill
Agritech investments have other sources, too: venture capitalists and Gates acknowledges.
private equity players that see growth opportunities in this segment.
Jinesh Shah, Co-founder of Omnivore Capital, a venture fund that @joecmathew

92 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


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.t.
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> PRODUCTION

FOR A
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BETTER
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HARVEST
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A number of attempts are


under way to improve farm
yield through technology
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intervention.
By JOE C. MATHEW
ilP

PHOTOGRAPH BY SHEKHAR GHOSH


D

W
F_
En
ew

HEN THE ASHOK DALWAI Committee on Doubling of Farmers’ In-


come sat down to finalise its report on the role of extension services in
sp

increasing farm incomes 18 months ago, it faced a technical problem.


It found that the definition of “agricultural extension” was outdated
– it was “too production-centric”, prepared during the days India was
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struggling for self-sufficiency in foodgrains, particularly cereals. It de-


cided to redefine “agricultural extension” as “an empowering system
of sharing information, knowledge, technology, skills, risk and farm
management practices, across agricultural subsectors and along all
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aspects of the agricultural supply chain, so as to enable the farmers to


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realise higher net income from their enterprise on a sustainable basis”.


The definition, the committee said, brings into focus the all-important
PAIN Microirrigation:
Current irrigation
issue of farmers’ empowerment through information, knowledge and POINTS system caters to
less than 50% of
skilling. The committee, predictably, recommended a bigger role for arable farm land
private sector players. The focus is on using information, knowledge
and skilling to empower farmers, something that a clutch of start-ups
from various parts of the country – Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh,
Maharashtra and Karnataka – are already working on.

94 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


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Productivity: Farm Agrifinance: Marginal Farm


Commercial crop Mechanisation: Farm credit accounts Holdings:
yields in India Penetration level for 13% of total bank Less than one-
are 2/3rd of of farm machinery credit; agriculture hectare farms
global average and implements is generates 60% account for 85%
only 15% employment farm land

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 95


AGRITECH SPECIAL > PRODUCTION

“WE GET FARM-LEVEL be accurate,” says Shailendra Tiwari,


DATA IN TERMS OF Co-founder, Fasal. “We get all farm-
TEMPERATURE, PRESSURE, level data in terms of temperature,
MOISTURE, ABOVE pressure, and moisture, above the soil,
THE SOIL, BELOW THE
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below the soil, by using a sensor at the


SOIL... USING A SENSOR
farm level. It addresses critical issues
INSTALLED AT THE FARM”
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in agriculture. We produce irrigation


Shailendra Tiwari recommendation for specific farm and
Co-founder, Fasal
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crop needs. It optimises irrigation,” he


explains. Tiwari calls his product an
actionable intelligence platform that
.t.

is farm-specific, crop-specific, in a
language that farmers understand,
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Crop Health on a medium that is available with


“If there is one area where the Indian farmer can mostly be in control, the farmer (SMS or app). “We produce
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it is sowing (and subsequent stages of cultivation). If the farmer does farm-level, crop-specific, irrigation
the right thing, he can produce the best out of his land, unlike the fi- recommendation, pest recommenda-
nal price of the produce, which is not in his hands,” says Tauseef Khan, tion, disease recommendation. We
Ta

Co-founder and CEO of Indore-based agritech start-up Gramophone. also try to provide operational recom-
His focus is “crop advisory and supply of quality inputs”. Khan, a quali- mendations on a daily basis.” Depend-
fied agriculture engineer, says the relevant farm-specific information ing on the size of the plot, this service
m

around Gramophone’s service is helping farmers increase productiv- is offered on a monthly subscription
ity by 15-30 per cent and reduce costs. “We help farmers improve pro- basis after the farmer pays for the sen-
ductivity by working with them and supplying inputs. We have built a sor. “Fasal is at present tracking 3,000
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knowledge repository around agronomy and automated that. So, farm- hectares spread over 60-70 farms.
ers get a personalised advisory at their plot level. Doorstep delivery of
agri inputs (seeds, pesticides, fertilisers, agri hardware) is also part of Catering to Credit
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the package,” he says. Gramophone also helps farmers identify the prob- Over a year ago, BT featured farMart,
lems, suggests the most suitable solution or product and supplies it from a Lucknow-based start-up. Today,
F_

genuine sources. “We can work anywhere in the country on any crop. For farMart is an agri-fintech platform
every crop, we have parameters such as the soil it grows on, the region which also offers agri-machinery hir-
where it grows, the weather condition needed at different stages, etc. We ing as a service. “The shift in focus
En

have defined pest and disease problems also. This is the backend work was a result of the realisation that
that adds value,” he says. farmers are heavily dependent on
Gramophone has a toll-free number, and also works on a smart credit and need more leeway in re-
phone app. “You give a missed call, we call back, ask for details, and payment,” says Alekh Sanghera, Co-
ew

slice down all the problems into solutions. This is the dosage, this is the founder and CEO of farMart. “We
mix, this is the product… over 2.5 lakh people, mostly from Madhya offer something like a virtual credit
Pradesh, have got in touch with us in the last 12-18 months,” he says. card using which the farmers can buy
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Gramophone handles about 40 crops such as soyabean, cotton, chilli, different inputs based on their credit
vegetables and wheat. limit from offline retail channel part-
Fasal, a Bengaluru-based start-up, ners. We partner with financial insti-
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also provides crop advisory services, but tutions on one end, and on the other

2.5
mostly to horticulture farmers. But unlike side, we underwrite customers. So, we
Gramophone, it does not make money by do the match-making, and our service
selling inputs. Fasal’s advisory is mostly providers, the retailers, become the
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around the microclimate within the farm. pickup points for our services,” says
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“We found that advisory services, especial- Sanghera. In the last two seasons,
ly related to weather, were mostly generic
lakh farMart has been instrumental in dis-
Number of farmers
in nature. The microclimate inside a farm who have used bursing about 4,000 loans of about
could be different from the one mentioned Gramophone's `3.5 crore value to farmers in four dis-
services in the past
in the general climate advisories that you tricts around Lucknow. “We provide
12-18 months
get. The result is that a generic advisory a end-to-end services in terms of cus-
farmer gets today, like a rainfall prediction tomer on-boarding, including KYC,
covering a 35 km x 35 km block, may not loan disbursement, tracking and risk

96 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


mitigation, through our platform. the farmer within 30 minutes instead
That is the technology we have built. of the three months that a lender takes
Repayment is not monthly but at the today,” says Ahluwalia. In the first
end of the crop season. We are in the three months of the current financial
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process of bundling a microinsurance year, 1,520 loan applications worth


product into this,” he says. `4.4 crore were sanctioned through
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Mumbai-based Jai Kisan is an- the Jai Kisan platform.


other rural fintech platform. Arjun There are dozens of other firms in
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Ahluwalia, Co-founder and CEO, Jai this space but given the low scale at
Kisan, says his aim is to help India’s which these companies operate, there
rural population build credit history is enough space for hundreds of such
.t.

and show suppliers of capital (lenders) “WE HELP entrepreneurs to provide tech-based
that they are an asset class and not liv- FARMERS IMPROVE solutions to each of Indian farmer’s
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ing on doles. “The entire world today is


PRODUCTIVITY pre-harvesting problems. With 85 per
BY WORKING
running after the next billion users of WITH THEM AND cent of Indian farms having a size of
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India and they don’t live in urban In- SUPPLYING INPUTS” one hectare and less, such services can
dia but in rural India. So, our effort is only be provided by an enterprising
Tauseef Khan
to build a good credit-quality product. breed of private entrepreneurs. India
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Co-founder & CEO,


We are doing farm equipment loans Gramophone seems to be luring more of them with
and all types of loans that are backed tech-driven ideas.
by pre-purchase agreements. The
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technology play comes in on-boarding @joecmathew


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> WAREHOUSING
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MAXIMISING
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INCOME
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Technology is being used to


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minimise agricultural losses


and generate revenues.
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By JOE C. MATHEW
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O
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E-PLATFORMS
FOR PROFITS
Government electronic
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interfaces like e-Trade,


e-PQIS, GrapeNet,
FFICIALS ADMINISTERING the Narendra Modi AnarNet and e-Biz prove to be a boon for not only increas-
government’s flagship crop insurance programme – to allow electronic ing farmers’ income but also curtail-
delivery of services
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the Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana (PMFBY) – in agritrade ing wasteful expenses. Instead of the
were mystified for some time by a pattern in payout traditional way of assessing crop loss
of insurance claims. Around 50 out of India’s 600- through manual crop cutting experi-
e-NAM platform with
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odd districts accounted for half the total claims gen- ments (CCE) that are prone to error,
National Agriculture
erated across the country almost every other year. Market to aid better the government has decided to migrate
They were desperate to address the issue because price discovery to a technology-based assessment
high payouts to select districts led to a year-on- model where synthetic yield analysis
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year increase in the government’s (Centre as well as IoT-based warehouse will be carried out using a combina-
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states) insurance premium outgo. With the Union receipt system in tion of weather analysis, limited CCE
government’s budgetary provision for crop insur- APMC yards and and satellite data.
private wholesale
ance touching `28,000 crore, it was not a financial market yards “Substantial work has happened.
commitment that they could ignore. Within the next three (crop) seasons,
Are farmers in these 45-50 districts growing we will totally migrate to technology-
Devices to grade
the wrong crop? Should they diversify? Should these agri-produce on the based assessment of paddy and wheat;
crops be excluded from the insurance cover? basis of quality and all crops by 2021. It will be a tec-
Luckily for officials, agriculture technology may tonic shift in the way we handle crop

98 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


w
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F_
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insurance. The time taken to get yield


results and calculate payouts will be ` 28,000
sp

reduced,” says Ashish Kumar Bhuta-


ni, CEO, PMFBY. That is not all. The crore
Union government’s budgetary
government is also planning to link provision for crop insurance
ap

insurance policies to land records that


are being digitised by various states.
By the end of October 2020, the agri-
culture ministry hopes to have a data-
e

base of land records of all farmers in account a year) will eliminate possibilities of multiple and bogus claims,
rs

the country. reducing wastage of government funds. In one stroke, technology will help
Once that happens, de-duplication transform what used to be more like an assured payout scheme in some
through integration of digital land cases into a crop insurance scheme, where payouts happen only when there
records with the Aadhaar number of are genuine claims of crop losses.
each individual and beneficiary of the Private entities are also using technology to minimise losses and gen-
PM Kisan Scheme (another govern- erate optimal revenues in agriculture. Bengaluru-based agritech firm Cro-
ment welfare scheme where every eligi- pIn operates a business-to-business (B2B) model with a range of agribusi-
ble farmer gets `6,000 in her/his bank ness stakeholders, including farming companies, agri-inputs companies,

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 99


AGRITECH SPECIAL > WAREHOUSING

government and development agencies, banking financial services and of fruits, vegetables and other perish-
insurance firms, and cooperatives and NGOs that operate through the able items. We want to get people to say
agriculture value chain. These stakeholders, in turn, use CropIn’s technol- that if it is certified by us, it is good. We
ogy platform to efficiently manage farming activities of a huge network of want to increase our width in terms of
farmers they are engaged with. more commodities and depth in terms
w

“In this model, farmers do not pay for technology but businesses of more parameters.”
that we work with pay for the technology. Our pricing model is either Sohan Lal Commodity Manage-
w

per user licence or by land acreage,” says Krishna Kumar, Founder and ment (SLCM), the company which
CEO, CropIn. What CropIn does is provide crop advisories to farmers, manages a network of over 4,000
w

while offering real-time monitoring of the field and health of crops to warehouses across India, is using a
their clients – the enterprises. “We have 106 clients, some with multi- technology platform for monitor-
country operations,” says Kumar. The company’s services are sought by ing commodity stocks that are ly-
.t.

contract farming companies that want to keep an eye on health of crops ing in its warehouses. Parameters
they need to buy. “Seed companies that get their seeds produced from like moisture and temperature,
m

and photographs, are captured and


transmitted in real time. Recently,
e/

it introduced a mobile phone-based


attendance registration system for
its warehouse managers. “We are
Ta

experimenting with a technology to


“IN THIS MODEL, map the fidelity of the people on the
FARMERS DO NOT PAY
ground, someone like a warehouse
FOR TECHNOLOGY BUT
m

BUSINESSES THAT WE manager. On any moment a mes-


WORK WITH PAY FOR sage alert can go on his device say-
ing within such and such time please
ilP

THE TECHNOLOGY”
mark your attendance. At that time,
Krishna Kumar the device will open only if the geo-
Founder and CEO, CropIn
metric positioning of the mobile is
D

within the specific parameters of the


warehouse, which means he is within
F_

the premises. And once the applica-


tion opens, it gives you 10 seconds to
rotate the phone for a selfie. It gets
En

farms through multiplication process would want us to give the right captured real time at the centre where
advice to the farmer to get the right quality of seed. At the same time, his attendance is registered. The
they would want us to geo-tag the farm. Once we have the location of the same thing happens at least thrice a
farm, the boundary of the farm, we run our machine-learning algorithm day,” says Sandeep Sabharwal, Group
ew

to tell them which farm is doing well, which is not, how much to expect CEO, SLCM. He says moves are afoot
from each farm, etc. So there is very precise monitoring of every farm on to use technology to audit existing
the platform,” Kumar explains. stock, even stock which is in transit.
sp

Gurugram-based Intello Labs is also focussing on a B2B model, CropIn’s Kumar says that the gov-
where it helps retailers and traders in quality assessment of farm pro- ernment can do a lot more to help
duce. “We are trying to digitise the whole system of quality checking and advance technology interventions in
ap

making it verifiable and scalable using smartphones. No longer will a agriculture. “Government can open
person in the headquarters of a big retail chain have to go by the word up lot of databases. The Indian Me-
of the person who actually purchases the farm produce in bulk from a teorological Department can provide
remote location. And it will not be purchased on the basis of perception weather data, which we are buying
e

of good, bad or ugly, but on its quality, which can be verified,” says Deven- today. The Indian Space Research
rs

dra Chandani, Co-founder of Intello Labs. Organisation has satellite data. Why
“We are not changing sampling techniques. The biggest component is can’t they open it? It can help private
visual parameters. For specific commodities, there are different param- players, especially start-ups, assist the
eters, and for some we have created sensor-based solutions. In cardamom, government in augmenting its activi-
we have a small attachment, a sensor that can be attached to the mobile ties to support farmers,” he says.
phone to capture the quality parameters,” says Chandani. Intello, which Is the government listening?
started with tomato, is currently handling 25 fruits and vegetables, carda-
mom and wheat. “We are looking at how to be the de facto quality norm @joecmathew

100 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


AGRITECH SPECIAL > COLUMN

TECH-ENABLED
FUTURE
Access to new technology
w

and customised solutions can


redefine Indian agriculture.
w

BY D. NARAIN
w
.t.
m
e/

T
HE AGRICULTURE SECTOR is one of the largest em-
ployers in India with more than 265 million engaged
in farming. Close to 70 per cent of rural India works in
Ta

farms and depends on agriculture for livelihood. How-


ever, farm incomes have seen a steady decline in recent
years with low productivity being the main contributing
m

factor. Low productivity leads to fall in farm incomes,


hampers long-term food security and affects India’s potential to become a
global producer and exporter of food, feed and fibre.
ilP

The need to scale up agriculture has become more acute with rising
global population. By 2050, the world will have 10 billion people, with
India accounting for 1.73 billion. Small farmers with limited or no access
D

to new technologies cultivate 80 per cent of India’s agricultural produce.


They have to grapple with decreasing per capita farmland, depleting water
F_

reserves and climate change. Meanwhile, consumers want safe, nutritious


and sustainably cultivated food. tion services can go a long way in enabling
India, with its 15 agro-climatic zones and varying cultivation practices, easy adoption.
En

can benefit from advances in agritech such as digital farming. Farmers can Technology can act as a crucial en-
benefit from faster, more accurate methods of monitoring plants and take abler for sustainable agriculture by reduc-
better-informed decisions. With solutions like precision farming, they can ing greenhouse gas emissions, promoting
ensure that each section of the farm gets the exact crop protection it needs, water and soil conservation and enabling
ew

at the right time. This technology saves farmers’ resources and ensures judicious use of crop protection solutions.
healthy plant growth, leading to economic and environmental benefits. It can also address income inequality faced
During the Green Revolution in the 1960s, India experienced how by rural farming communities. With this in
sp

technology can redefine agriculture. In the current scenario, besides dis- mind, global and local players are already
covering new technologies, we need to look at improving awareness of and developing customised agronomic solutions
access to technologies. One technology that has immense untapped po- and digital tools tailored to meet the spe-
ap

tential to enhance India’s crop productivity is hybridisation. Hybrid seeds cific local needs of Indian farmers.
offer various benefits such as stronger biotic stress tolerance and protec- The gap between technology’s prom-
tion against devastating pests and diseases, in-built abiotic stress toler- ise and reality can shrink with the Indian
ance, and increased resilience towards adverse growing conditions such government’s support through targeted
e

as temporary drought, moderate salinity and flash floods. By growing hy- incentives. Enabling policies and industry
rs

brid rice, Indian farmers have achieved additional yield advantage of one thought leadership will pave the way for
tonne/hectare and additional income of `6,000-10,000 per acre. more local innovation. This can transform
The use of drones also holds huge potential. Drones can be used for crop Indian agriculture as a strong third leg to
analysis and decision making regarding fertilisation and control of weeds, India’s growth story in addition to manu-
diseases, pests, etc. They can be used to apply crop protection chemicals. facturing and IT.
The cost of using manual power sprayers is high. It is also time and labour
intensive. Drones can evenly spray crop protection chemicals and reduce The author is CEO and
cost and time. Government subsidies to farmers to secure drone applica- Managing Director, Bayer CropScience

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 101


AGRITECH SPECIAL > BY THE NUMBERS

FINDING
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SOLUTIONS
w
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Agriculture is the primary source of livelihood for


.t.

about 60 per cent of India’s population. Gross Value


Added by agriculture, forestry and fishing is estimated
m

at `18.53 lakh crore. Given its importance, the focus


of the government as well as the private sector is on
e/

increasing funding, spreading insurance coverage


and using tech solutions.
Ta

Graphic by TANMOY CHAKRABORTY; Research by SHIVANI SHARMA


m
ilP

` 1.4
D
F_

lakh crore
Budgeted allocation for
Ministry of Agriculture
for 2019/20. This is 80
En

per cent higher than


the revised estimates of
2018/19
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FARMER INCOME
sp

The growth in average wages of rural labourers


(male) engaged in agriculture slowed in 2018/19

284
ap
323

Average Annual
311

28
298

wage growth
281
269
242

million tonnes (`/day) (%)


e
189

Fourth advance estimate 19 19


161

rs

of foodgrain production 16
135

(2018/19). This is 10 million


113

18
tonnes higher than the third
97

11
87

advance estimate
12 56 4 4
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19

FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19

Source: Ministry of Agriculture, CMIE


$ 248 1.9 million 20.3
million Number of farmers trained million
Funding received by In- under the Agricultural
Number of successful calls
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dia’s agri-tech start-ups Technology Management


Agency, which also reviews that the Kisan call centre
in 2019 (till June) com-
and approves research and received in 2018/19. mKisan
pared with a much lower
w

extension plans at district sent out about 4,27,400-plus


$73 million in 2018
level, in 2018/19 crop advisories
w

270
.t.

260

248
EXPORT
237
m

223
212
FOCUS Exports
Agri-related products
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(` '000 cr)
and services have a
FY14

FY15

FY16

FY17

FY18

FY19
significant
role in exports
Ta
m
ilP

ON THE 15
RISE
D

Funds released in 11
five years for crop
F_

insurance
Expenditure
3 (` '000 cr)
1.5 2.6 2.6 Key
En

Challenges
for Indian
FY13

FY14

FY15

FY16

FY17

FY18

Agritech
Firms
ew

AN ATTRACTIVE Funding
sp

PROPOSITION 39%
FDI (` cr) in agriculture rose sharply in 2018/19
ap

Policy
FY14
FY15
560 / 113
352 / 1,378
29%
e

Digital Infra
FY16 566 / 144
rs

FY17 516 / 6
Agri services
Fertilisers 20%
FY18 710 / 173 Farmers’ Mindset
FY19 625 / 608
12%
Source: Nasscom
Agritech CEO
Survey 2019
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MAKE THEM LEADERSPEAK:


P.106 P.116
STRONG TO BEN VERHAERT
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GUARD DATA
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.t.
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TECH SCARE
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BEWARE OF THE VOICE TRAP


Voice interactions are most convenient, but they could also
lead to privacy breach and fake information.
Illustration By Raj Verma
F
it is an uncomfortable thought. As per a HR TECH
Bloomberg report, Facebook also admit-
ted to listening in on private audio con-
FIRING PEOPLE?
LET VR HELP
versations on Messenger, which were
later transcribed. Apple said its contrac-
tors had studied a few interactions with
w

voice assistant Siri for quality purposes.


But they did not know the Apple IDs
w

related to the Siri recordings.


If you are feeling spooked, here is
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ORGET MOUSE AND TOUCH; voice yet another danger. As we use virtual
is taking over. The sheer convenience assistants to call local businesses via
of going hands-free and command- voice commands and do not ensure
.t.

ing voice assistants to access informa- whether these phone numbers and
tion or get tasks done may come back businesses are legitimate, we are likely FIRING SOMEONE is always
m

stressful for all parties con-


to bite us sooner than we imagine. to fall victim to scamsters mimicking cerned. The inhuman way of
By now, just about every technology the original brands. Two such instances doing it is to lock down the
e/

major has been caught listening to have already grabbed public attention. person’s computer and shut off
all access to the office or hand
users through one route or the other. A woman called what she thought to
over the dreaded pink slip with
In the process of operating, improv- be a Zomato number but encountered few explanations. But in doing
Ta

ing and personalising voice assistants, scamsters instead and lost her bank so, a company may lose its
Amazon, Apple, Google and Microsoft balance. And a person in Chennai just reputation and the person thus
terminated may suffer untold
have to rely on their users and the way missed a similar fate. Do not blame it harm. However, a US-based
m

they communicate. So, they listen to on voice-commanded diallers, though; company called Talespin is try-
recordings, without which it will be these might have occurred as the peo- ing to change all that. The com-
tough to make these assistants more ple concerned used phone numbers pany trains people in soft skills
ilP

and emotional intelligence,


natural and useful. without adequate cross-checking. and has now come up with a
Although tech firms have been do- virtual reality (VR) tool to teach
ing it for a long time, they do not make interpersonal skills so that one
D

full disclosure of the same. Besides, AS WE USE VIRTUAL ASSISTANTS can behave more humanely in
such situations.
most users are not diligent enough to
TO CALL LOCAL BUSINESSES VIA Talespin has created a vir-
F_

peruse privacy policies as the language tual entity called Barry, a man
is often too complicated. Also, people VOICE COMMANDS, WE ARE LIKELY whom you can see if you don
a VR headset. The company
have somewhat accepted that their
TO FALL VICTIM TO SCAMSTERS describes this method as a
En

names and e-mail IDs are sold to third software-based approach to


parties for targeted advertising. Never- MIMICKING THE ORIGINAL BRANDS training soft skills. “The prem-
ise behind the software is giv-
theless, they are surprised, shocked and
ing employees a safe space to
outraged when reports of unauthorised
ew

practise challenging interper-


listening hit the headlines. sonal situations while using AI
Recently, Amazon gave its users an Miscreants are always ahead of us- (artificial intelligence) to create
emotionally realistic charac-
option to delete their commands by ers, and they seem to have prepared ters to stimulate and challenge
sp

another voice command. But no one is for the time when voice commands them,” its website says. “When
sure whether the voice data completely become the preferred way to connect a trainee enters a virtual human
disappears or not. The company also with local businesses. Consequently, training experience, VR pro-
vides the environment and
ap

offered an option to disable human re- the Internet has been flooded with medium for the most effec-
views of voice recordings. Not long ago, fake companies to dupe customers. In tive delivery of the training
a report published by the online maga- a world ruled by algorithms, scamsters scenario, while AI gives users
a counterpart to interact with
zine Motherboard shared actual record- pay for high search engine rankings
e

and carry out the other half of


ings handled by Microsoft contractors and use the right keywords and tags the simulated conversation.”
rs

working on the virtual assistant Cor- to appear among top results almost One can interact with
tana and Skype translation. Apart from instantly. With your eyes glued to the Barry and practise firing him,
and changing the conversa-
personal information, those recordings screen for a long time, you may lose fo- tion again and again until it
included phone sex conversations and cus and that little bit of due diligence feels right. Barry responds,
voice searches for pornography. Even to make sure if a phone number looks not just with words but with
full body language and facial
though the contractors did not know right or not is taken out of the equa-
expressions, showing distress,
to whom they were listening and were tion. Thus, many more fake calls be- arguing, shouting and so on,
under strict confidentiality agreements, come a real possibility. to raise the challenge.

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 105


PERSONAL TECH

MAKE THEM
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STRONG
w
w
.t.

A MUST-FOLLOW GUIDE
FOR CREATING PASSWORDS
m

WHICH CAN KEEP DATA


BREACHES AT BAY.
e/

By NIDHI SINGAL
Illustration by AJAY THAKURI
Ta
m
ilP
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F_
En
ew
sp

W
ap

E LIVE IN A DIGITAL age where just about every retailer, ARE THEY SECURE?
bank, credit agency, website and social media platform If you think your password is difficult
is under attack. Like it or not, hackers can easily crack to crack, let us take a short quiz and
e

our passwords, access our smart devices, steal our data find out. Do you have the same pass-
rs

and hijack our identities. Of course, companies try to word for your e-mail login, social media
protect us from malicious attacks by adding two-factor accounts, shopping sites and net bank-
authentication (2FA) and best-in-class encryptions. ing? Or do they have the same compo-
Besides, several predict that physical passwords will nents – your first name, last name,
soon be obsolete and biometrics will kick in. But phone number, date of birth, anniver-
until then, we should try and shield ourselves from sary date, pet’s name or your child’s
cybercriminals by using passcodes which cannot be data? If that is the case, you are not
cracked easily. alone and may soon become a victim

106 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


THE BREAKOUT ZONE

of data breach as your personal infor- usernames and passwords that Google manager to create a secure and ran-
mation can be hacked easily. Worse knows to be unsafe due to third-par- dom passcode. For instance, LastPass
still, most people suffer from a kind ty data breaches. One can also try the allows you to generate a strong pass-
of password fatigue and tend to stick Kaspersky Secure Password Check to word, say, #5fMQt6c!S!l, which can
to the same code for all their accounts find out how fast her next password be further customised by changing
w

for the sake of convenience. Again, can be cracked. The site warns you not the number of characters or selecting
many of us like to keep them simple to type your real passwords, but it is a options such as easy to read or easy to
w

(and hacker-friendly such as iloveyou fun exercise. say. Or try 1Password that gives you the
or 12345) because difficult passwords option to choose from random pass-
w

are not easy to remember. Finally, CREATE A STRONG PASSWORD words, memorable passwords or pins.
some people are just lazy – they do not The rule of thumb is to stay away from Although these passcodes are diffi-
even change default passwords despite the obvious. For instance, never use cult to remember and key in every time
.t.

regular prompts. If your passwords fall easy, sequential numbers or letters or you wish to log in to a site or a service,
under these categories, you could be a combo of both such as 12345, 11111, there is an easy solution. Password
m

facing huge security risks. According 123123, qwerty, abc123 and so on. generators and password managers
to Norton (a division of the US-based Similarly, avoid using common words will securely store your passwords in
e/

cybersecurity goliath Symantec), hack- and phrases such as ‘donothack’, encrypted vaults (can be accessed with
ers are hungry for passwords as they ‘antivirus’ or ‘password’. As discussed a master password that only you know)
have a substantial monetary value. before, do not use any personal data and autofill usernames and passwords
Ta

Thanks to data breaches and pass- (name, birthday and the like) while cre- for online accounts. Otherwise, you can
word leaks, millions of records could ating your password. This information rely on the autofill feature of Google
be stolen by cybercriminals and sold at is often featured on social media plat- and Apple which also store your pass-
m

a premium, depending on the sensitive forms and hackers can access it. words securely and autofill the data
nature of the data. You can create a strong password by on their respective platforms. Many
Before you rush to create unique using a combination of alphabets (both companies, especially banks and cred-
ilP

and complicated passwords to pre- upper and lower case), numbers and it agencies, also send time-restricted
vent these malicious attacks, find special characters or symbols, but do one-time passwords or OTPs to your
out whether your current passwords not put the letters or numbers sequen- registered phone and e-mail to make
D

would pass muster. You can do this by tially. Besides, passwords should be authentication more secure.
installing Google’s Password Checkup long – anywhere between 12 and 16
F_

extension (available from Chrome Web characters should serve the purpose. MORE SAFEGUARDS
Store), designed to keep your digital life All this may sound slightly technical, Now that we know the basics of strong
secure. A bright red warning box pops but in reality, it is a simple exercise. passwords, here are five golden rules to
En

up whenever you log in to a site or a ser- If you still find it challenging, opt for ensure password safety.
vice by using one of the four billion-plus a password generator or password • Never share your e-mail id and
password with anyone, including
the people you trust.
ew

• Change passwords regularly –


anywhere between 60-90 days is
Sign In With Apple recommended.
sp

• Never reuse an old password.


As every website/app makes it mandatory to sign in
using your e-mail ID, you often end up putting your • Start using secure Password
primary e-mail and password to log in. Another pop- Managers to keep your passwords
ap

ular option is to sign in using your Gmail or Facebook well protected.


account, which grants the site/app access to all • Password recovery may not be as
e-mail contacts and important information. That is secure as you think. In case you have
why Apple has figured out a solution. The Cupertino forgotten your password, a code or
e

company is coming up with a feature called Sign In


link is usually sent to your phone
With Apple that eliminates the need to fill in forms
rs

or create passwords. If a user prefers it, Apple will or e-mail so that you can reset your
create a unique e-mail address to be shared with the app, thus keeping the password. This can leave you vul-
real e-mail ID private. In simple terms, instead of sending your actual e-mail nerable if an attacker has gained
address, Apple will sit in-between and send a random but unique ID to the access to your phone, e-mail, voice-
app and relay all the messages back to you. This will keep your e-mail and mail or other information related to
password safe and eliminate the hassle of remembering multiple passwords
the authentication process.
for not-so-important apps and websites. If you ever wish to log in again, Apple
will be at your service.
@nidhisingal

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 107


8 MP ULTRA
WIDE-ANGLE
LENS

2 MP
PORTRAIT
LENS

48 MP
PRIMARY
SENSOR
w

2 MP
w

MACRO
16 MP LENS
FRONT
w

CAMERA
.t.
m

6.3-INCH
NOTCH PRICE
DISPLAY `13,999
e/

WITH onwards
1,080X2,340
RESOLUTION
Ta
m

not look natural in others. Overall, the


camera is a decent performer, and given
the price, we should not be complain-
ilP

ing. My review unit, with 8 GB RAM


and 128 GB onboard storage, is priced
REALME 5 PRO at `16,999, but the base price is quite
D

pocket-friendly.

LOW-COST CAMERA FEST


The 6.3-inch notch display
F_

appeared super bright and I had to


keep it on auto-bright mode. It was
comfortable to hold in spite of its size,
En

By NIDHI SINGAL but reaching the top of the screen dur-


ing the one-hand operation was rather
challenging. The phone has a capaci-

A
tive fingerprint scanner at the rear and
ew

QUAD-CAMERA set-up in a a large group of people. Similarly, the a face unlock option (not so secure).
smartphone is not a new con- ultra-macro mode under ‘more options’ And it took me only a couple of days to
cept, but it is a lucrative deal could be reached from the bottom left. get used to its ColorOS 6 user interface.
sp

when a sub-`15,000 device As for image quality, the primary sensor The search bar at the top of the app
sports it, including a 48 MP captured quite clear and bright images tray is another cool feature. However,
Sony IMX586, an 8 MP ultra- in a well-lit environment. But in low- the Realme 5 Pro is not free of bloat-
ap

wide sensor, a 2 MP macro light condition and indoors, there was ware and you will find several apps
lens and a 2 MP depth sensor besides a some noise when I zoomed in. Colours such as Opera News, Paytm, Facebook,
waterdrop-notch 16 MP front camera. appeared a little too bright on the dis- ORoaming (a preinstalled roaming
But the camera app UI on Realme 5 play but looked good when images were app) and more. I was able to uninstal
e

Pro does not complement the hard- uploaded on social media platforms. most of them but a few could only be
rs

ware. For instance, just the video, photo The ultra wide-angle lens did a decent disabled. Powered by a Qualcomm
and portrait modes are out there at job while the portrait mode was rather Snapdragon 712 SoC, the Realme 5 Pro
the centre, but most other modes and impressive as it successfully focussed has been a decent performer, capable
options are hidden, and you can only on the subject and blurred the back- of handling multiple apps at the same
access them after a few clicks. I had to ground. But the macro mode failed to time. The 4,035 mAh battery easily last-
scroll to the very top under the photo capture details. Realme’s Cromaboost ed me a day on a single charge.
mode to activate the ultra-wide lens mode was a hit-and-miss affair – some
(119˚) for capturing landscapes and images looked good, but the colours did @nidhisingal

108 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


THE BREAKOUT ZONE

AMAZON ECHO SHOW 5 compatible lights and briefing me about the day’s schedule. I could
toggle between routines from the smart display but had to use the
Alexa app to set up this activity.

A Near-perfect Alexa on Echo Show 5 responds to voice commands for con-


trolling compatible devices. Otherwise, you may go to the Smart

Companion Home icon on the interactive dashboard (it displays all paired
devices) and manage them without speaking. However, this one
w

does not come with Zigbee support (available in Echo Spot and
By NIDHI SINGAL
Echo Show 10.1 inch) and you need to buy the hub separately for
Zigbee-compatible devices. (For the uninitiated, Zigbee is a two-
w

way communication system used to control smart appliances).


SMART SPEAKERS with built-in voice assis- This version of the Echo Show also displayed lyrics of some of
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tants could be a great way to fetch infor- the English tracks it played from my Amazon Music library, which
mation and control compatible household was a nice experience. But for Bollywood songs and other tracks,
.t.

appliances. Add to that a neat rectangular it simply displayed the album cover along with artiste details. The
screen and affordable pricing, and you get biggest downside, however, is non-availability of the Google eco-
Echo Show 5, a near-perfect household com- system. Although Google and Amazon seem to be sorting out their
m

panion. The 5.5-inch display (with 960x480 differences with the YouTube app landing on the Fire TV Stick, it
resolution) propped at a slight angle, has is still not available here and Netflix is absent as well. To stream
the right form factor to be placed on a night- YouTube content, I had to choose either Firefox or Silk browser, but
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stand, television unit, study desk or a kitchen they did not support voice search. Nevertheless, it was able to fetch
counter without being obtrusive. The mute videos and movies from Prime Videos and a few other compatible
mic button and the camera shutter take care apps within a few seconds.
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of privacy issues while the display adjusts


the brightness automatically. The two micro- @nidhisingal
phones on this entry-level device can pick
up your voice from another room.
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Setting it up is easy; all you need is MANUAL KEYS FOR


MUTING MICROPHONES
Amazon account login data and wireless AND SHUTTERING THE
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connectivity. Swiping down from the top CAMERA


reveals the brightness control toggle along
with settings and ‘do not disturb’. Swiping
towards the left from the right edge opens
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the dashboard, giving access to communi-


cations, smart home controls, music, video,
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routines and alarms. Plus, you get access


to information – time, weather report, lat-
est news, WikiHow and more. It updated my
Amazon order and I was able to add items to
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my Amazon shopping cart by commanding


the smart display. Hands-free video calling is
supported between Alexa-powered devices.
Another ideal usage scenario that I test-
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ed was waking up with a morning alarm, and


the Echo Show did it right by switching on
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PRICE
5.5-INCH `8,999
DISPLAY
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THE BREAKOUT ZONE

EXECUTIVE HEALTH
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IT’S ALL IN
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THE BLOOD
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AN AGE-OLD
DIAGNOSTIC METHOD
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CONTINUES TO BE A
GUIDING LIGHT.
By E. Kumar Sharma
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MOST OF US DO NOT LIKE the painful a week or more. The blood test deter- labs and happen to be expensive. For ex-
needle poke and the tense wait after- mines the cause – be it mosquito-borne ample, blood tests to study certain gland
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wards before our blood tests tell us what diseases such as malaria, dengue or chi- functions or detect some rare tumours
has gone wrong. The system was first kungunya, or deadly bacterial infec- could cost `9,000-10,000.
introduced in the 20th century, but it tions like leptospirosis. Also, haema- Improving diagnostics: As per lat-
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evolved fast, much like medical science. tocrit and platelet counts are checked est reports, a blood test has been devised
Now blood tests are considered the to rule out dengue that peaks during by scientists at the Washington Univer-
most useful and least expensive diag- sity in St Louis, US, that measures the
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nostic method that has revolutionised A BLOOD TEST HAS amyloid-beta protein in the blood to
the science of healing. BEEN REPORTEDLY provide early and accurate detection of
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The vast range of medical condi- DEVISED BY SCIENTISTS Alzheimer’s disease. The Science Daily
tions which can be analysed and iden- AT THE WASHINGTON has also published an article that says
tified from blood samples is mind- UNIVERSITY FOR researchers hope to develop a test that
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boggling. For instance, a routine CBC EARLY AND ACCURATE could help detect early changes in blood
(complete blood count) test, costing DETECTION OF flow to the heart. These underline how
around `250 at the best facilities, ALZHEIMER’S DISEASE blood tests have evolved. They also help
measures different types of blood cells, in studying bacterial pathogenesis (the
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haemoglobin concentration and hae- way they infect a host) and molecular
matocrit (the ratio of red blood cells’ pathology (diagnoses through molecular
volume to total blood volume). It also analyses of body components).
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tracks vitamin B12, crucial for nerve the monsoon, spreads fast and often In fact, we have seen improved
regeneration, and vitamin D, critical for reaches epidemic proportions. diagnostics at every level. About five
bone strengthening. Doctors will ask Blood tests can be beneficial when years ago, TB culture test used to take
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you to get a CBC done to review overall it comes to specific diagnoses. For in- six-eight weeks. Today, one can get the
health, identify anomalies or monitor stance, early samples from an expect- diagnosis done in a day. The prescrip-
ongoing treatment. But this test could ant mother could accurately determine tion also arrives in a couple of days after
help in detecting blood cancer and the risks of giving birth to a baby with the drug sensitivity test is carried out
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other critical medical conditions if too Down syndrome. Then there is chorion- using a molecular method called the
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many or too few blood cells of a kind are ic villus sampling (CVS), a prenatal test Hain test. Such speed is admirable.
found. It also indicates whether one has used to detect if a baby will inherit any Nevertheless, be careful when you
thalassaemia, a genetic blood disorder genetic disorder or a would-be mother choose a pathology lab next time to get
quite common in India. will be at the risk of toxaemia, a kind of your blood test done. This space has
A fever panel test is advised when blood poisoning. A blood test is often very few entry barriers and lax regula-
a person is suffering from high-grade done in this case as part of the diagnosis. tions. Unless you ensure quality and ac-
fever (101ºC-plus) for a couple of days However, these new forms of blood tests curacy, the blood will not tell the whole
or low but persistent temperature for are quite complex, require specialised health story.

September 22 I 2019 I BUSINESS TODAY I 111


THE BREAKOUT ZONE
Sumptuous Sunday
brunches from the
Hong Kong Club will
please all foodies
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LUXURY
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FINE LIVING
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BECKONS
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GET READY FOR A COLOURFUL


SOJOURN AS THE EAST AND
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THE WEST COME TOGETHER


WITH OFFERINGS TO WOW
CONNOISSEURS.
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By PRACHI BHUCHAR
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Dim Sum
THE Heaven
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JAPANESE THE HONG KONG CLUB at Aerocity,


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Delhi, has always been viewed as a hip-

SWAG
ster place for young corporates wooing
clients and entrepreneurs looking to
up their swag quotient. Now, the bar-
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cum-dining destination (known for its


J A PA N E S E FA S H I O N Cantonese cuisine) has gone up a notch
brand Uniqlo may not be by bringing The Brunch to its patrons
what you imagine cou-
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on Sundays. Here is a look at the fare:


ture to be, given its price
A 16-course dim sum spread; a bril-
point. But thanks to superb
cuts, superior fabric and high-
liant band belting out jazz, rock and
pop with equal ease, and a bar well-
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on-comfort clothes, it is a favou-


rite across ranks. The iconic brand, stocked with cocktails and Taittinger
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which appeals to young CEOs, outdoorsy bubbly to lure you. Go from dim sums
people (athletes are also among them) and hoodie-clad entrepre- to salads, soups, baos, small plates and
neurs alike, is now making its debut in India. The first store will open mains throughout the afternoon and
in Delhi in October, and another outlet in Bengaluru will follow soon. take a dip in the pool while you wait
These outlets will offer everything that the brand's Tokyo and New between courses if you will. Better still,
York stores have. The brand may also tie up with local designers it is a child-friendly space. So, take the
for select capsules, something that Uniqlo does well globally. For
little ones along and spend some qual-
example, it has joined hands with the Finnish design house Marime-
kko, and similar collaborations may happen in India.
ity with the family in the food heaven.
A rare pair of Nike Moon
Shoes (only 12 pairs were
made) fetched an all-time-
high price of $437,500 at
a sneaker auction hosted
by Sotheby’s
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Collector’s Choice
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DÉCOR WITH A
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ENTREPRENEUR- $437,500 at an auction man designed the Moon


collector Miles Nadal
has a soft spot for the
hosted by Sotheby’s. It
smashed the previous
Shoes and only 12 pairs
were manufactured. The DIFFERENCE
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finest of shoes and his record for sneaker auc- auction had 100 pairs up
collection is legendary. tion – that of $190,373 for sale – many of them Global fashion houses are
So, it did not surprise for a pair of Converse are quite rare – and Nadal striding into the interiors,
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many when he bid for sneakers worn by Mi- purchased all 99 in a pri-
and the likes of Ritu Kumar
and bought a pair of chael Jordan in the 1984 vate sale before bagging
are not lagging either. She
1972 Nike Waffle Racing Olympics finals. Nike the Moon Shoes in the
has ruled the bridal circuit
Flat Moon Shoes for Co-founder Bill Bower- public sale.
and Label by Ritu Kumar
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also works brilliantly as a


prêt collection. The brand
has now forayed into the
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home space, offering


bed linens, dinnerware,

CLASSIC
THERE is a new car out there that is scorching the wallpapers and gift items
tarmac and making people sit up. The first-ever BMW (candles, lamps and
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X7 has come to India, offering the ultimate in elegance more). All are sporting the

AND
design imprint of Kumar
and performance. The Bavarian carmaker’s flagship SAV
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but in a more evolved way.


(sports activity vehicle) looks modern but also sports
Each collection pays hom-
the classic lines of a luxury sedan. Size rarely matters in

POWERFUL
age to an indigenous art
SAVs, but this one is bigger than most, with impressive form, and the outcome is
features and components. From high-gloss chrome
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a picturesque weave
elements on the exterior to state-of-the-art craftsman- of vibrant colours, tradi-
ship inside, the sheer magnitude of things will wow you tional motifs and
if you are looking for power and comfort. modern designs.
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THE BREAKOUT ZONE

EX-LIBRIS

A MAVERICK
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IN POLITICS
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HE GREW UP POOR IN BIHAR.


BUT YASHWANT SINHA BECAME
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INDIA’S FINANCE MINISTER TWICE


AND HAD A RINGSIDE VIEW OF
EVENTS IN TWO GOVERNMENTS. HE
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PRESENTS AN INSIDER’S TALE.

By Palakunnathu G. Mathai
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Relentless: An
Autobiography
By Yashwant Sinha
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Publisher: Bloomsbury India

Pages: 542
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Price: `799
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THE TIME: JUNE 1998. The place: A I can become a chief minister someday, Sinha also confirms what had
room in Parliament. Finance min- but you can never become an IAS been widely rumoured in New Delhi
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ister Yashwant Sinha had presented officer. ” Bihar chief secretary B.D. when he was finance minister – he was
the Budget – and raised petrol and Pande would later tell him: “Yashwant, not particularly close to then prime
urea prices. Members of Parliament in the civil services, you must have the minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee. In fact,
erupted in protest. Sinha stormed into skin of a rhinoceros.” Sinha writes in Tarun Das, Director General of the
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his room where I had been waiting to his autobiography, “I have never been Confederation of Indian Industry
interview him, asked his secretary to able to develop a thick skin, much less (CII), an influential business lobby
get a senior functionary on the phone one like a rhinoceros.” organisation, advised Sinha to see
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and exploded into the phone as I was Sinha, of course, is no stranger to Vajpayee more often. Sinha and the
being shooed out. the public. A poor boy who studied in prime minister grew closer later after
Sinha is a courteous politician. But Hindi-medium schools, he worked Sinha became external affairs minister.
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he does not have a thick skin. hard, taught political science at Patna In the book, he casts light on
In 1967, the Bihar cadre IAS university, got into the IAS, married an several matters.
officer was the deputy commissioner ICS officer’s daughter, thus marrying • V.P. Singh offered him the
of Santhal Parganas district. Irrigation into high society (as he puts it). He governorship of Punjab. Sinha
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minister Chandrashekhar Singh writes here of life in the boondocks of consulted Chandra Shekhar and
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had shouted at him in public. Sinha Bihar, in the bureaucratic worlds of turned it down.
protested. Chief minister Mahamaya Patna and New Delhi, and his switch • The Congress party, which
Prasad Sinha shouted at him and told to politics and eventual rise to power. was supporting the Chandra
him to look for another job. Sinha’s His two political mentors were former Shekhar government from outside,
classic reply: “Sir, I am a gentleman prime minister Chandra Shekhar, wanted former finance secretary
and expect to be treated as one. I am in whose short-lived government he S. Venkitaramanan to replace R.N.
not used to being shouted at. And as far served as finance minister, and BJP Malhotra as Reserve Bank of India’s
as looking for another job is concerned, doyen L.K. Advani. governor. So, Sinha had to ask

114 I BUSINESS TODAY I September 22 I 2019


THE MODEL THINKER:
What you need to know to
make data work for you
BY SCOTT E. PAGE
Malhotra to resign. Venkitaramanan would grapple
with a foreign exchange crisis. He told me in Chennai Publisher: BASIC BOOKS
that he had proposed handing over the Indian embassy
Pages: 448
properties in Tokyo and Beijing to real estate developers
to net $1 billion. Price: `1,625 (HB);
`580 (PB)
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• P.V. Narasimha Rao invited him to defect to the


Congress party, which had 232 MPs. Sinha was then a
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member of Chandra Shekhar’s Samajwadi Janata Party

BEYOND BIG DATA


that had five MPs. Perhaps, Rao hoped that other SJP
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MPs would follow Sinha into the Congress. But Sinha


did not bite. Instead, he joined the BJP.
• Did Manmohan Singh have a memory
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lapse when he appeared before the all-party joint A NEW WAY OF UNDERSTANDING AND
parliamentary committee (JPC) formed after the ANALYSING RECENT DATA FUSILLADE.
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Harshad Mehta scam broke? By Dipak Mondal


Sinha was a member of the JPC. He felt that
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Manohar J. Pherwani, who had been appointed the IF YOU PICK UP a book on how to make data work for
chairman of the Unit Trust of India (UTI) by the you, it is assumed that you like numbers and statistical
Rajiv Gandhi government and was sacked by the V.P. terms. The Model Thinker by Scott E. Page is all about
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Singh government, had indulged in malpractices. The models – formal structures presented through math-
Narasimha Rao government had reappointed Pherwani ematics and diagrams to help us understand why things
to UTI. Asked about this, Manmohan Singh said he had happen the way they happen. In simple terms, models are
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not appointed Pherwani; his predecessor (Sinha) had. tools which encapsulate daily-life problems and situa-
Sinha demanded that the committee should call for the tions in mathematical terms, try to explain why they are
file. Singh had signed it. happening, predict possible outcomes and help design
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Incidentally, Pherwani denied any wrongdoing in potential solutions. The book discusses a wide array of
an interview to me days before he died. models, how they are formed, their utility and limitations.
• Sinha and foreign secretary Kanwal Sibal shot Which means nothing is random in life. All our decisions
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down a proposal to return Jinnah House in Mumbai and actions happen because certain variables function in
to Dina Wadia, industrialist Nusli Wadia’s mother. a certain way and models teach us to put these variables
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Vajpayee had cleared the proposal, made by Jaswant in a mathematical form. These equations can be simple
Singh, Sinha’s predecessor, but Sinha persuaded the or complex based on the number of variables involved.
prime minister to reverse his decision. Predictably, that Page does a great job of analysing 30-plus models, along
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put paid to Sinha’s friendship with Nusli Wadia. with real-life examples. He also focusses on many-model
Although he had swadeshi sympathies, Sinha was thinking as single models often fail to provide a complete
never a member of the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh picture in this age of Big Data where the fire-hose of data
(RSS). The two were out of sync. He says in the book, flow leaves little scope for complex and nuanced analyses.
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“Most of these people were prisoners of an ideology that For instance, a single model may point out that the poor
had long become irrelevant... Unfortunately, it carries state of national health in the US might have been trig-
great conviction with the gullible, as does the complete gered by the opioid crisis, but the current scenario is not
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nonsense that is dished out by the bhakts on social the outcome of a single cause.
media these days.” The real-life examples given here are intriguing. The
Sinha rebelled and quit the BJP. Today he stands book explains why the US government decided to bail out
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marginalised. Ministers do not reply to his letters. the American International Group (AIG) instead of the
This is a good, interesting book, rich in detail – Lehman Brothers in 2008 – the choice made was based
sometimes too much detail. Why, for instance, write on a model. The author gives another example of how the
about so many countries that he dealt with as foreign French authorities used probabilistic models to locate the
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minister? Still, it is a well-edited book. I could spot fuselage of the AF 477 that crashed in 2009. There are
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only one major error – “Nusli Wadia’s sister Dina many more incidents which show how business-related is-
Wadia, sister of Muhammad Ali Jinnah” (page 419). sues could be accurately predicted by using specific models.
Dina Wadia was Jinnah’s daughter, not sister, and But such things do not make the book a page-turner.
Nusli Wadia’s mother. All too often, readers drown in too many assumptions,
logical conclusions and alphabetic symbols while trying
The reviewer worked at India Today, was executive to understand the basic premise of a model and what it
editor of a business magazine, resident editor at two can achieve. The best approach: Read this book as an
financial dailies and a deputy editor at The Telegraph academic exercise but certainly not for fun.
LEADERSPEAK
BEN VERHAERT, President (South Asia), Anheuser-Busch InBev
He has been with the world’s biggest brewer for over 15 years and headed business operations
in Europe. In India, he has led the company’s growth across several brands,
including Beck’s Ice and Budweiser.

Q. The biggest challenge in your career


A. When I took on my current role, it was a big
challenge. It came right after the global merger
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between SABMiller and AB InBev and I had the


opportunity to spearhead change in India, an
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extremely diverse market. It was a big step for me to


discover a new culture, acquaint myself with varied
policies related to our business and understand
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different market dynamics at play. There were plenty


of challenges, but at AB InBev, we look at them as
.t.

opportunities. It also enables us to push boundaries


and thrive under pressure, helping us learn and grow
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and become better leaders.

Q. Your best teacher in business


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A. Humility is the best teacher in business. It invites


you to listen, to ask for advice, to be open to feedback,
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to accept and admit failures. It not only allows you


to change course when it does not work but also
promotes an open and candid work environment.
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Q. One key lesson for young people


A. You can only hit a target you can see. So, it is
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important to set your goals high, both in personal


and professional life. You must write them down if
you want to achieve these goals. When you have put it
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down in writing, it will serve as a compass – guiding


you in any choice you need to make, act as an aid and
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push you to achieve all the great things on that list.

Q. Two essential qualities of a leader


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A. You should not only inspire your colleagues


but also walk the talk. You may have the greatest
groundbreaking idea to transform your business,
PHOTOGRAPH BY SUDHIR DAMERLA

but if you do not lead by example, you will not


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be able to drive change effectively. Successful


leadership also focusses on ‘we’ rather than ‘I’. These
leaders rely on a team of great people. They focus
on recruiting the best people, develop and support
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them to help them achieve their best potential, and


create a highly motivating environment to retain
them. After all, they will always be judged by the
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quality of their teams.

“HUMILITY IS THE BEST TEACHER IN BUSINESS. IT INVITES


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YOU TO LISTEN, TO ASK FOR ADVICE, TO BE OPEN TO FEEDBACK, TO ACCEPT


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AND ADMIT FAILURES.”

116 Vol. 28, No. 19, for the fortnight September 9-22, 2019. Released on September 9, 2019. Total number of pages 118 (including cover)
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