A B C D E F G H I J K L M

1 Assumptions on Distribution
2 Min Max Mlv
3 Expected sales Growth Rate -0.1 0.3 0.1
4
5 Setting up the simulation
6 Random Shock u i 0.6294 <-- =RAND()
7 Calculate Th 0.5000 <-- =(D3-B3)/(C3-B3)
8 Case if 0 < u i < Th 0.1244 <-- =B3+SQRT(B6*(C3-B3)*(D3-B3))
9 Case if Th <= u i <= 1 0.1278 <-- =C3-SQRT((1-B6)*(C3-B3)*(C3-D3))
10 Simulated random variable rv i 0.1278 <-- =IF(AND(0<B6,B6<B7),B8,B9)
11
12 Running the simulation + Analysis
13 Simulated RV
14 0.1278 <-- =B10
15 1 0.101629472 <-- {=TABLE(,H1)}
16 2 0.05602381
17 3 0.10867238 Bin Frequency
18 4 0.167789222 -0.1 0 120
Histogram
19 5 0.223958974 -0.08 10
20 6 0.138713427 -0.06 12 100
21 7 0.150297001 -0.04 29 80

Frequency
22 8 0.043349973 -0.02 37
60
23 9 0.085844463 0 52
24 10 0.13660824 0.02 60 40
25 11 0.184028469 0.04 67
20
26 12 0.221085406 0.06 72
27 13 -0.077154969 0.08 60 0

-0.08
-0.06
-0.04
-0.02
0

0.1

0.2

0.3
More
-0.1

0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08

0.12
0.14
0.16
0.18

0.22
0.24
0.26
0.28
28 14 -0.021659048 0.1 93
29 15 0.014721332 0.12 96
Bin
30 16 0.280194299 0.14 83
31 17 0.122762969 0.16 82
32 18 0.056560887 0.18 64