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Spatial variations in birth and death rates and in age and sex
structures
Birth rate- the number of births per 1000 people per year
Death rate- the number of deaths per 1000 people per year
Natural Change- the difference between the birth rates of a
country and the death rates
Birth rates can vary over space from country to country. Areas in
some parts of Africa, for example, still have extremely high birth
rates due to a lack of education and access to contraception.
However, in some parts of Europe, the birth rate has rapidly
declined due to women deciding not to begin a family in favour of
a career.
Death rates can also vary over space. This is due to the fact that
countries in the majority of LEDC’s have poor access to good
quality medical care and therefore the spread of disease is high.
However, in MEDC’s the health care system is often more
effective and this result in lower death rates.
Many countries in Europe have now reached the stage where the
population is rapidly ageing. As people are now choosing to take
the career path as opposed to starting families, birth rates have
fallen. Good health care has led to death rates decreasing.
Therefore, the population pyramid of these types of countries is
very top heavy and this has put immense pressure on the
governments of these countries to devise plans which mean that
they can cater for growing numbers of OAP’s. The same cannot be
said for a majority of the countries in LEDC’s. Due to high birth
rates and high death rates, the population pyramids are often
very bottom heavy. As a result the pressure on the education
system is immense, as there is not provision to educate all of the
children. This leads to a poverty cycle.
The DMT shows how birth and death rates change as country
goes through different stages of development.
Stage 1: At stage 1 the birth and death rates are both high. So
the population remains low and stable. Places in the Amazon,
Brazil and rural communities of Bangladesh would be at this stage.
High death rates would be attributed to poor water supply, poor
health care, a reliance upon subsistence farming, disease and
pests and an unreliable economy. High birth rates would be
attributed to a lack of knowledge of family planning, the need to
have large families to help with work, and the women’s traditional
role as a mother in these societies.
Stage 2: At this stage the death rate falls but the birth rate
remains high. Natural increase is greater so the population begins
to grow rapidly. An example of a country at this stage would be
Sri Lanka or Peru. The death rates often fall due to medical
breakthroughs and new hospital services opening. Improvements
may have also been made to accommodation or food and water
supply. Birth rates remain high for religious or cultural purposes
and people are still not educated to using contraception.
Stage 3: Birth rates now fall and death rates continue to fall.
Natural increase remains high and population growth is rapid. An
example of a country at this stage would be Chile or China. The
birth rates fall as there is better access to family planning and
people have begun to appreciate the fact that families are
expensive and that women are able to work. Death rates continue
to fall as medical care, water supply and accommodation are
improved.
Stage 4: Birth rates and death rates level out. The population now
stabilises as the natural increase is low. An example of a country
at this stage is Australia. Birth rates are low as the society is
advanced and therefore, women choose for careers and smaller
families to ensure that they have a better quality of life. Death
rates remain low.
However, as with all theoretical models, the DTM does have its
limitations and the model has failed to predict several
occurrences. Firstly, the model failed to predict the falling birth
rates in many MEDC countries. Secondly, the model assumes that
all countries will pass through the same four stages, however,
countries in Africa, for example, will never become industrialised.
And finally, countries such as Australia, USA and Canada, never
went through the first stages as their populations grew due to
emigration.