Professional Documents
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Financing and
investment trends
The European wind industry in 2017
Financing and
investment trends
The European wind industry in 2017
Published April 2018
windeurope.org
This report summarises financing activity in the European
wind sector from 1 January 2017 to 31 March 2018. It includes
investment figures for the construction of new wind farms,
refinancing transactions for wind farms under construction or
operation, project acquisition activity, company acquisitions
and capital market funding. Rounding of figures is at the
discretion of the author.
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CONTENTS
GLOSSARY.................................................................................................................... 6
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY............................................................................................. 10
ADVISORS
Financial, legal
& technical
debt
repayment equity
payment for
contractors
CONSTRUCTION OFFTAKER
Van Oord Vattenfall
ADVISORS
Financial, legal
& technical
In 2017 the wind energy industry invested €51.2bn in Eu- investments in 2017. The technology is seen as a major
rope. This included investments in new assets, refinancing driver for moving beyond fossil fuels and convention-
transactions, mergers and acquisition at project and cor- al power assets. Cost competitiveness and reduced risk
porate level, public market transactions, and private equi- perceptions have brought in domestic and international
ty raised. Wind energy represented the largest investment market players looking to diversify their portfolios and/or
opportunity in the power sector, accounting for half of all align with their sustainability targets.
FIGURE 1
European wind energy investments in 2017 per asset class (€bn)
€ 7.6bn € 51.2bn
€ 5.3bn
€ 9.1bn
€ 6.9bn
€ 22.3bn
Source: WindEurope
2017 annual figures • In the UK, the Hornsea 2 offshore wind farm reached
FID. With a capacity of 1.4 GW, this is the largest
• Europe raised a total of €51.2bn for the construction offshore wind farm to date to be constructed.
of new wind farms, refinancing operations, project
and company acquisitions as well as public market
fundraising. Investment trends
• Investments in new wind farms amounted to 22.3bn, • The low interest rate environment has given rise to
a decrease of 19% from 2016. a dynamic refinancing market.
• Project acquisitions doubled in value in 2017 to €9bn, • Offshore wind has experienced an uptake in
from €4.3bn in 2016. corporate finance transactions over the past two
years. However, offshore wind project finance has
• Company acquisitions also doubled in value as a declined for new FIDs.
result of industry consolidation, from €2.5bn in 2016
to €5.3bn in 2017. • Refinancing activities and the sale of project minority
stakes are now incorporated much earlier in the
• Banks extended €15.5bn in non-recourse debt for the financial arrangements of projects.
construction of new wind farms and the refinancing
of existing ones.
2018 Outlook
• Green bonds raised €17.5bn in 2017, representing
the highest level of issuance in the last five years. • Investment volumes are expected to increase in
2018. This is due to the roll-out of auctions across
• Wind energy was the largest investment opportunity Europe and the fact that many projects already
in the power sector in Europe. awarded support will reach FID.
• Investment flows in 2017 were less geographically • During the first quarter of 2018 Europe invested
concentrated than in 2016, with 20 countries €3bn in new wind energy projects. 30 new onshore
announcing FIDs compared to 16 countries in 2016. wind projects, for a combined capacity of 1.9 GW,
reached FID.
• Northern and Western Europe held the bulk of new
investments. Germany and the UK accounted for half • Wind energy projects currently awaiting FID are
of the new FIDs announced in 2017. estimated at over €23bn.
• Investments in Southern and Eastern Europe (SEE) • Strong equity and debt liquidity is expected to
remained low. With a total of €3.5bn, the SEE continue for both onshore and offshore wind projects.
region represented only 16% of the total new assets
financed in Europe. • In the near term, the downward trend in interest rates
is expected to slow down, with the quantitative easing
• The largest onshore wind farm to reach FID in 2017 coming to an end and existing commercial banks
was Markbygden in Sweden, with a capacity of 650 establishing their competitive position in the market.
MW. The project brought in major financiers as
investors and large electricity consumers as power • In the longer term, the merchant risk exposure in
off-takers. wind power projects will likely change both the
landscape and investor profiles of wind energy
financing.
FIGURE 2
Total wind energy investments in Europe 2010 – 2017 (€bn)
60
50
40
€bn
30
20
10
Source: WindEurope
Wind energy saw €51bn in financing activity in 2017. This key for power producers who need to recycle capital to
represents a 9% increase compared to 2016. The biggest finance new assets.
category within wind energy investments is new asset
financing. In 2017, new asset financing for wind pow- The overall increase in wind energy investments was also
er projects stood at €22.3bn, a 19% decrease on 2016. a result of higher deal flow in public capital markets. Com-
Technological cost reductions and lower offshore wind panies are making more use of the low interest rate envi-
investments were the two main reasons for the drop in ronment and liquidity in the financial markets by raising
investments in monetary terms. debt and equity via capital markets. In 2017 companies in
the wind energy sector raised €7.6bn in 2017 from public
Project and company acquisitions were the main drivers capital markets.
for the overall growth in wind energy investments. Project
and corporate acquisitions provided a combined €14.4bn
in investment activity. This compares to only €6.8bn in
2016.
FIGURE 3
Annual change in the main categories of wind energy investments (%)
150%
100%
110% 111%
50%
37%
0%
-19% -1%
FIGURE 4
New asset finance in wind energy 2010 ‒ 2017 (GW and €bn)
20 30
26.2 27.5
18
25
16 22.3
21.1
14
20
12 16.4
14.5
GW
2.5
€bn
10 15
12.7 11.7 2.1
8 2.2 3.0 5.0 9.0
7.9 10
6 1.6 6.7
6.6 1.5 1.3
4 5.0 5.3
4.8 4.5 5
2
0 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2017 was a record year for new capacity financed. 11.5 As a general industry-wide trend, sector maturity and
GW of new capacity, 12% more than in 2016, reached Fi- competitive auctions for new renewable energy capacity
nal Investment Decision (FID) in Europe across 200 pro- have resulted in cost reductions across the wind indus-
jects in 20 countries. Onshore wind projects were the try’s value chain. The financial sector has also made its
main drivers for this growth with 9 GW of new capacity fair contribution to this trend by offering cheaper financ-
financed. New offshore wind FIDs dropped to 2.5 GW of ing for the development and construction of wind power
new capacity financed in 2017, half of the 2016 level. projects.
FIGURE 5
New asset finance in wind energy per technology, 2010 ‒ 2017 (€bn)
3% 8% 6%
0%
-19%
-29%
22%
0%
-26% -19%
-59%
Wind energy investments in 2017 were less geographi- remains higher in the SEE countries compared to Noth-
cally concentrated than in 2016. The top three investor ern1 and Western Europe. For onshore wind this varies
countries owned 64% of FID announcements in 2017, from 9% in Italy and 8.5% in Spain to 6.5% in Germany and
compared to 73% in 2016. However, European wind ener- 7.25% in the Nordics.
gy markets are maturing at different paces.
There have been positive developments in Southern and
Northern and Western Europe held the bulk of new in- Eastern Europe (SEE). Following the auctions in recent
vestments. Germany was the biggest investor in 2017. years Spain is starting to attract some investments. The
Germany generated a total financing activity of €6.7bn for Greek market is also reviving, in particular with the help
the construction of new onshore and offshore wind farms. of foreign capital and multilateral financial institutions like
This accounts for 30% of the total wind energy investments the European Investment Bank (EIB) and the European
made in 2017. The UK came second to Germany with €5bn, Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD).
or 22% of the total wind energy investments in 2017.
In many EU markets there are currently no wind invest-
Two landmark projects in Northern and Western Europe ments taking place, despite the significant potential these
reached FID in 2017. The largest offshore wind farm to countries have for further expansion of wind power. The
date, Hornsea 2 – an Ørsted wind farm – adds 1.4 GW lack of a stable regulatory environment has affected both
of new capacity to projects awaiting construction in the the level of investment and financial commitments of half
UK. Earlier in the year came Markbygden onshore wind of EU Member States. Closely tied to regulatory stability is
farm in Sweden, with a capacity of 650 MW. The project the cost of capital, which prices in uncertain future politi-
brought in major financiers like Green Investment Group cal events as risk premiums. Higher risks will lead to high-
as investors and heavy electricity consumers like Norsk er costs of capital and negative impacts on the economic
Hydro as power off-takers. viability of wind projects in these countries.
Nevertheless, investments in Southern and Eastern Eu- 2017 saw European non-EU countries investing more
rope (SEE) remained low in 2017. Investor confidence has in wind energy. While the value of new FIDs in EU
been slow in recovering mainly due to macroeconomic countries dropped by 25%, FIDs in non-EU Europe in-
and political factors. With a total of €3.5bn, the SEE region creased by 60% to €2.9bn. Russia alone announced
represents only 16% of the total new assets financed in €1.2bn in new investments. The remaining €1.7bn
Europe. The discount rate, a proxy for the cost of capital came from Norway, Ukraine and the Western Balkans.
FIGURE 6
New asset finance in wind energy per country, 2017 (€bn and GW)
8 3.0
Capacity financed in GW
New asset finance in €bn
7
2.5
6
2.0
5
4 1.5
3
1.0
2
0.5
1
0 -
G ly
Se y
ia
s
s
en
Ire e
O d
nd
ey
Sw K
n
ce
he ria
y
Fr a
er
nd
a
ec
an
ai
an
U
Ita
si
rb
w
an
rk
ed
la
th
us
Sp
re
rla
us
m
nl
or
Tu
R
Fi
er
A
N
G
et
N
FIGURE 7
Investments in new power capacity in Europe, 2010 ‒ 2017 (€bn)
30
25
20
15
10
-
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Source: WindEurope
In 2017 wind energy represented half of the renewable increasing in the last five years at a compound annual
energy investments in new power capacity. Onshore wind growth rate (CAGR) of 6%. All other technologies have
alone made up one third of the market. Overall, invest- seen falling investments for the same period.
ments in new wind power capacity have been steadily
FIGURE 8
Non-recourse financing 2010 ‒ 2017 (€bn)
16 15.5
13.7
14
12.3
11.7
12
10
8.5
€bn
8
6.5 6.5
6 5.4
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Source: WindEurope
There has been a healthy flow of debt finance over the In 2017 over €15.5bn in non-recourse debt were raised:
last five years. Emerging new business and ownership €8.5bn for the construction of new projects and €6.9bn
models have diversified the pool of investors in wind en- for the refinancing activities of wind farms under construc-
ergy and unlocked the potential for long-term sources of tion or operation. This represents a 26% increase on 2016.
finance from banks, institutional lenders and Export Cred-
it Agencies (ECAs). This has led to a significant amount of
affordable debt, in particular in the form of non-recourse
financing.
FIGURE 9
Non-recourse construction debt per technology 2010 ‒ 2017
9 8.5
8 7.5
6.8
7 6.5
6
€bn
5
4.3 4.1
4 3.2
3.0
3
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
In the last two years two different patterns have emerged in non-recourse debt were raised for the construction
for onshore and offshore wind financing. While onshore of new offshore wind farms. Following an uptake in cor-
wind has used non-recourse structures primarily for the porate finance from offshore wind developers in recent
financing of new assets, offshore wind has used non-re- years, new capacity financed on a non-recourse basis fell
course structures for the refinancing of wind farms under to 19% in 2017, down from 33% in 2016 and 44% in 2015.
construction or operation.
FIGURE 10
Share of non-recourse debt in new capacity financed 2010 ‒ 2017
100% 88%
83%
76% 77%
80% 70% 69% 69%
62%
60%
36%
40%
50%
22% 18% 45% 19%
38%
20% 33%
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
In 2017 the wind sector witnessed a dynamic market for where you internalise project management allows power
refinancing transactions, in particular for offshore wind. producers to raise cheaper debt at corporate level dur-
Of the €6.9bn in non-recourse debt raised for refinancing ing construction phase, and therefore lower the cost of
activities, €4.6bn was for offshore wind projects and €2.3 finance. But the refinancing or the sale of minority stakes
for onshore wind. are now incorporated much earlier in the financial ar-
rangements of a project. Owing to years of sector expe-
The current financing conditions of low interest rates have rience, partnerships have already been developed. Power
contributed to this trend. Developers are now restructur- producers know at a very early stage when and to whom
ing old debts for more favourable terms, be it for price or part of the project is going to be disposed. The growing
loan duration. However, some part of this growing refi- confidence and demand for wind energy assets has made
nancing trend is consists in changes to how wind projects, it easier for power producers and developers to exit their
particularly offshore projects, are financed. projects and sell them on to different investors who then
use project finance to purchase their ownership share.
Competitive pressures driven by the surge in auctions
have altered the financial arrangements in wind energy
investments. Opting for a corporate finance structure
FIGURE 11
Non-recourse refinancing debt per technology 2010 ‒ 2017
12 8
6.8 6.9
7
10
6
8 5.2
5
4.7
€bn
€bn
6 4.2 4
3.5
2.5
3
4 2.2
2
2
1
0 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The debt markets have supported construction activ- Larger projects are now able to fundraise under more fa-
ity on attractive terms. Transactions this year have con- vourable market conditions. Debt/Equity structures can
tinued to reflect the general trend of easing loan terms vary considerably between countries. However, they re-
when it comes to pricing, maturity and tranche. The low main within the range of 70/30 to 80/20.
interest rate environment has provided wind energy pro-
jects with competitive funding and lower financing costs.
FIGURE 12
Interest rates: basis points per MW financed 2010 – 2017 (size of the bubble represents project capacity)
400
350
300
250
Basis points over Libor
200
150
100
50
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
FIGURE 13
Debt / Equity structures for wind projects in different countries
100
80
60
40
20
he taly
Cy ia
Cr ia
H ece
en
Fr d
Po s
Fi us
Sw ain
Bu um
ng y
nd
Po nd
e
m l
Ire y
ia
Be ria
m
G y
Ro ga
nd
e
r
G nc
an
an
t
ar
an
do
ga
pr
rk
ed
oa
la
la
t
Sp
u
i
re
I
us
rla
lg
m
nl
lg
te Tu
rt
un
er
A
Ki
et
d
N
ni
U
The attractive sector yields have diversified the profile European wind sector international banks continue to
of lenders. Over 82 lenders were active in 2017, includ- strengthen their presence in the market.
ing multilateral financial institutions, export credit agen-
cies and commercial banks. As confidence grows in the
FIGURE 14
Market share of banks active in wind energy financing in 2017
Santander
6.0%
NordLB
5.7%
HSH Nordbank
5.6%
ING Group
5.2%
82
Others
50.1% Societe Generale
4.7%
BANKS ACTIVE Mitsubishi UFJ
IN WIND ENERGY Financial Group
FINANCING IN 2017 4.6%
Sumitomo Mitsui
Financial Group
4.5%
Banco Sabadell
3.6%
Credit Agricole Group
3.6%
Goldman Sachs BNP Paribas
3.0% 3.5%
Source: WindEurope
FIGURE 15
Green bond issuances 2013 – 2017 (€bn)2
17.5
7.1
5.4
4.2
13.9
1.9
5.4
4.2 3.5 3.6 3.6
1.5
0.4
Source: WindEurope
FIGURE 16
Green bond issuances in 2017 by technology Transmission lines
€1.9bn
At least 40% of all the green bond issuances in 2017 came 11%
from companies directly operating in the wind industry,
either through project or corporate bonds (for those com-
panies operating uniquely in the wind energy sector).
Corporate RES portfolio refers to renewable energy port-
folios which include wind energy but are not exclusively
wind-based. Corporate RES Wind energy
portfolio €7.0bn
€8.5bn 40%
49%
Source: WindEurope
FIGURE 17
2017 project acquisitions by country (GW)
3.5
2.0
3.0
2.5
GW
2.0
1.9
1.5
1.4
1.0 0.8
ly
ay
s
en
d
m
nd
al
K
ce
an
er
ec
an
U
Ita
ug
iu
w
an
ed
la
th
re
m
lg
nl
or
rt
Ire
Fr
Sw
O
Be
er
Fi
Po
N
G
Project acquisition activity in 2017 stood at 9.4 GW of and primarily limited to power producers. However, in the
capacity traded: 2.9 GW of which was in offshore wind, last five years there has been a steady increase in demand
with the remaining 6.5 GW in onshore wind. The UK is for assets under construction. As confidence grows in the
the biggest secondary market, followed by Sweden and wind energy sector, institutional investors and the finan-
Germany. The combined activity in these three countries cial services industry are more willing to invest in these
accounted for 70% of all the wind power capacity traded projects during the construction phase, long before they
at the development, construction and operational phases. become operational.
FIGURE 18
Project acquisition activity by project phase (GW)
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Source: WindEurope
In 2017 both onshore and offshore wind brought in a the financial services industry purchased a total of 4.5
more diverse mix of corporate, financial and institution- GW, or 70%, of onshore wind assets available for sale. This
al investors. Notably for onshore wind asset acquisitions, compares to 36% in 2016.
FIGURE 19
Project acquisition activity by type of investor in 2016 – 2017 (GW, %)
100% 100%
80% 80%
60% 60%
40% 40%
20% 20%
0% 0%
2016 2017 2016 2017
Source: WindEurope
The financial services industry has made an increasing Japanese trading houses or major industrial retailers look-
contribution to offshore wind. Infrastructure funds, pen- ing for infrastructure investments as an asset class are
sion funds, asset managers and diversified financial ser- more present in offshore wind projects. Corporates look-
vices owned 35% of the capacity traded throughout 2017. ing for clean energy to power their facilities will more likely
This compares to only 27% in 2016. invest in onshore wind farms. For the latter, cost compet-
itiveness, location and the proximity of the wind farm to
Corporate players such as IKEA, Lego, Colruyt and their facilities are the main drivers for these investments.
Marubeni are well established in the wind energy sector,
with shares increasing on a yearly basis. Both sustaina-
bility and economic factors are the main drivers for this
trend. The different scales and technology risk profiles of
onshore and offshore wind have attracted different types
of corporates.
FIGURE 20
Renewable energy corporate sourcing through power purchase agreements (MW)3
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Sweden UK Norway Netherlands Ireland Belgium* Finland*
Source: WindEurope
3. There have been two cross-border PPAs, between the Netherlands-Belgium and Finland-Belgium.
There are different models of corporate engagement. The These markets share a good track record in renewable en-
most important can be broadly summarised according to ergy development, coupled electricity markets, sufficient
two categories: investing directly in projects and owning demand for green electricity from corporates and, most
the underlying asset, or acting as an off-taker through importantly, a lack of explicit regulatory barriers to sign
power purchase agreements (PPAs). corporate renewable PPAs.
From a corporate’s perspective, acting as an off-taker is One important element for corporate PPAs is the under-
a feasible model to meet sustainability targets, diversify lying renewable energy support scheme in the country
energy sources and control energy costs over long periods of the PPA. In Feed-in Tariff jurisdictions, for instance it
of time, at times for up to 20 years. Owning the asset may can be challenging to find the value proposition for such
come with certain cost-of-capital implications for corpo- contracts. Therefore, market-driven countries will likely
rates. This is due to the large pay-back period for wind see the volume of corporate renewable PPAs increase in
energy projects, but also due to increasing competition the near future. Elements of merchant financing that are
for ownership in wind energy assets. Corporates not op- starting to emerge in the wind sector will require some
erating in the wind sector might find it hard to win renew- form of additional revenue stabilisation through support
able contracts at better prices when compared to power schemes, corporate renewable PPAs and other hedging
producers or other businesses with more experience. instruments.
Corporate renewable PPAs also come with certain ben- In spite of the recent European and global growth of
efits for generators. Price visibility over a long period of renewable energy corporate sourcing, the potential
time and a guaranteed off-take are important to lower the of this business model is largely untapped. In terms of
cost of debt financing. Lenders would typically need pro- both speed and volume, the amount of investments in
tection for a downside in project revenues to ensure debt this business model is currently insufficient to bring the
repayment obligations are met. As such, lenders tend to volume of renewable energy needed to meet the 2030
prefer lower revenues over a long period of time rather targets. To date, corporate renewable PPAs still face reg-
than higher but uncertain revenues. ulatory barriers in certain EU Member States. The new
Renewable Energy Directive opens the door to addressing
Corporate renewable PPAs to date are still limited to a regulatory barriers and challenges related to the tracea-
handful of countries. The Nordic region, followed by the UK bility of green electricity procurement.
and the Netherlands are the biggest market for such deals.
Both 2016 and 2017 have been transitional years for the New announced offshore wind transactions are estimated
wind sector. While there was a dip in investments in 2017, at a combined capacity of 3.9 GW, as tendered projects
the large volume of investments in 2016 reflected the awarded support are expected to go through FID. This in-
regulatory uncertainty that would come as a result of the cludes a number of projects in the UK, Denmark and the
transition to auctions and Feed-in Premiums. However, in- Netherlands, as well as floating offshore wind projects
vestment volumes are expected to stabilise in 2018 with in Portugal and France. Financing needs could top €9bn
the roll-out of auctions across Europe and projects award- based on disclosed transaction costs.
ed support expecting to reach FID.
Between 2018 and 2020, more than 17 GW of addition-
Over 14 GW of capacity was awarded support in 2017 and al onshore and offshore capacity is set in the auctioning
the first quarter of 2018: 5.3 GW in Germany, 4.1 GW in plans of four countries: Germany, France, the Netherlands
Spain, 3.2 GW in the UK, 1.4 GW in the Netherlands, 500 and Turkey. Most of this capacity is expected to be auc-
MW in France.3 The majority of the auctioned capacity tioned in 2018.
was in onshore wind. Some of these projects have already
reached FID. Others awaiting construction are estimated
at over €14bn.
FIGURE 21
Investment outlook to 2020 (€bn)
30
25 18.2
13.1 13.0
13.8
9.0
20 7.5
8.8
€bn
15
8.4 14.8
7.2 14.2
13.1 13.0
10 6.1
5.0 11.3
10.4
9.3
5 7.1 6.7
6.1 6.1
-
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: WindEurope
Financial markets will continue to support wind ener- In the longer term, wind asset owners will have to address
gy projects with similar loan pricing, maturity and other the merchant element in wind power projects. Wind-
commercial terms. However, the downward trend in inter- Europe expects that by 2030 more than 25% of the wind
est rates is expected to slow down, as existing commercial installed capacity will be fully exposed to market risk.4
banks establish their competitive position in the market While banks are used to dealing with portions of mer-
and the quantitative easing program of the European Cen- chant financing, equity institutional investors may find it
tral Bank comes to an end in 2018. A reboot of the loan challenging to adapt to the new reality. This underscores
syndication market for offshore wind financing is yet to the importance of financing solutions that factor in the
come in 2018, following an increased uptake in corporate nature of merchant risk and stabilise the revenue flows in
finance transactions by power producers in recent years. these projects.
4. WindEurope (2017), The value of hedging: New approaches to managing wind energy resource risk.
FIGURE 22
New asset financing 2010 – 2018 ytd (€bn)
18
16
14
12
€bn
10
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Source: WindEurope
During the first quarter of 2018 Europe invested €3bn Ukraine and Turkey are having a more prominent role in
in new wind energy projects. 30 new onshore wind pro- wind energy financing, with 0.6 GW of new announced
jects, for a combined capacity of 1.9 GW, reached Final FIDs and over €1bn in investments.
Investment Decision (FID). Non-EU countries like Russia,