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!"##$%#&!"'(%")&*($+&,-&.+"(/0'&&12&
As
more
capacity
comes
on
line
product
prices
will
likely
languish,
so
cost
improvement
will
be
necessary
!"#$%&'()*+,-.)/&0)$+1%2&,#/&./,(%#2%&(#'.*$3&
Unconventional Gas Supply Natural
Gas
Prices
& <;
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$9.00
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$8.00
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)*+,-.
$0.00
! Source:
Hart
Energy/Rystad
Energy
NASQ
%#!!! 2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
"#$%&'(!)*%+!,-'%./!0!1/2+*3!,-'%./!45"6&
& $#!!!
©
Partners
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Interna/onal
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2
%+3%LOOLWRQ3HWUROHXP¶V VKDOHJDVSURSHUWLHV
These
costs
range
widely
but
break-‐even
is
a
challenge
DUH
among the lowest cost in the US
Comparative ranking of break-even wellhead cost for US unconventional gas plays, 2012
Gas-focused unconventional plays only
Eagle Ford: Emphasis is on the wet gas areas that offer best economics
Current
Pricing
Anadarko Woodford
Marcellus Southw est
Antrim
Low er Vicksburg
Barnett Southw est
Mesaverde Wasatch
Barnett Woodford
Pow der River CBM
Arkoma Woodford
New Albany
Utica - Appalachia
Barnett
Conasauga
Lance Jonah
Huron
Chattanooga
Columbia Sub-basalt
Austin Chalk
Marcellus Northeast
Granite Wash
Fruitland
Baxter
Haynesville - Tier Tw o
Travis Peak
Horseshoe Canyon
Gothic
Bossier Shale
Mesaverde Piceance
Duvernay Shale
Fayetteville
Cody
Montney
Wilcox Lobo
Cherokee
Utica - Quebec
Pierre
Eagle Ford - Wet
Mesaverde Coals
Mancos
Cotton Valley
Niobrara Codell
Pennsylvanian Coals
Haynesville - Tier One
Deep Bossier
Mannville
Raton Vermejo
Honaker Trail
Palo Duro
James Lime
Selma Chalk
Almond Wamsutter
Horn River
Olmos
J. Michael Yeager, Chief Executive, BHP Billiton Petroleum, 14 May 2012 Slide 13
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3
©
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in
Performance
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4
Breakdown
of
development
costs
into
comple@on
costs
and
drilling
costs
(#6-‐A)
Source: Session #6 - A - Robert Fulks - A New Approach to Managing Completion Operations in the Eagle Ford Shale - Weatherford
©
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in
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Performance
Global
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5
Costs
are
driven
by
supply
and
demand
Millions
Labor
Technical
$3
Services
Consumables
$2
Materials
Royal/es
$1
Regulatory
Environmental
$0
G&A
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
©
Partners
in
Performance
Interna/onal
Pty
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Partners
in
Performance
Global
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rights
reserved.
6
Major
opportuni@es:
• Capital
stewardship
• Development
• PermiYng/approvals
• Land
agreements
• Developing
local
suppliers
-‐
earthworks,
plas/c
pipe
extrusion
• Nego/a/ons
and
purchasing
from
suppliers
• Factory
drilling/pre-‐comple/on
• Comple/ons
• Produc/on
efficiency
• Greater
output
• Lower
cost
©
Partners
in
Performance
Interna/onal
Pty
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Performance
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rights
reserved.
7
Produc@vity
requires
us
to
move
from
job
shop
to
produc@on
line
Typical
project:
• 10
000
over
project
life
– For
each
well:
— 3-‐15
days
to
drill
— ~1km
of
gathering
pipeline
and
access
tracks
• Environmental approvals alone running at more than 100 pages per well
©
Partners
in
Performance
Interna/onal
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Performance
Global
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(PIP).
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rights
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8
Manufacturing
excellence
–
are
you
set
up?
©
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in
Performance
Interna/onal
Pty
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in
Performance
Global
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(PIP).
All
rights
reserved.
9
Many
have
focused
on
drilling
speed
and
made
good
progress
OGJ Unconventional Gas Article #5
FINAL
29
$1,000 25
$830
28
Spud
to
Rig
Release
-‐-‐
Days
$800 20
Days
21
$M
$600 15
$400 12 10
24
per
10,000
Feet
$200 5
$0 0
2005 2006 Most Recent 4 20
Wells
Concentrated NaCl
12
Solution
Desalted
Solution
A
8
A K K A K A K A K A K
Na+ Na+ Na+ Na+ Na+ Na+
Figurein
1.Performance
©
Partners
Overton Field: Improved Drilling
Interna/onal
Pty
Ltd
Results with iGreater
or
Partners
Experience
n
Performance
in aSPlay
Global
olu/ons
(PIP).
All
rights
reserved.
10
Major
savings
have
been
gained
by
sharing
and
swapping
capital
• Infrastructure
sharing:
• Water
treatment
and
disposal
• Ramp
gas
plants
• Power
plants
• Telecommunica/ons
infrastructure
• Pipelines
• Construc/on
water
and
gravel
• Equipment
• Op/mize
capital
across
projects
:
• gas
field
swaps,
gas
swaps,
• gathering
networks
©
Partners
in
Performance
Interna/onal
Pty
Ltd
or
Partners
in
Performance
Global
Solu/ons
(PIP).
All
rights
reserved.
11
While
fraught
with
ques@ons
–
the
poten@al
to
learn
from
benchmarking
are
high
Gas
Pipeline
Benchmark
Client
Metric / Description (units)
A Comparison
Lower
Upper
(*)
Pipeline Owners Team
64
194
-‐
(Headcount) 64 194
Pipeline Owners Team Headcount
0.24
0.30
-‐
to Construction Team Headcount 0.24 0.30
Pipeline Owners Team Headcount
0.06
0.16
-‐
to Pipeline Cost ($m) 0.06 0.16
Pipeline Cost ($m) to Pipeline
2.04
2.53
-‐
Length (km) 2.04 2.53
Pipeline Owners Team Headcount
0.12
0.37
-‐
to Pipeline Length (km) 0.12 0.37
Pipeline Cost ($m) to Pipeline
0.73
1.57
-‐
Capacity (tj/d) 1 0.73 1.57
Pipeline Owners Team Headcount
0.04
0.19
-‐
to Pipeline Capacity (tj/d) 0.04 0.19
© Partners in Performance International Pty Ltd or Partners in Performance Global Solutions (PIP). All rights reserved.
• Improvements in Unconventional Oil and Gas
• Examples
• Partners in Performance
© Partners in Performance International Pty Ltd or Partners in Performance Global Solutions (PIP). All rights reserved.
Case
study:
e.g.
–
accelera@ng
approvals
schedule
1000
Number
of
wells
approved
500
0
May
Aug
Nov
Feb
May
Aug
Nov
©
Partners
in
Performance
Interna/onal
Pty
Ltd
or
Partners
in
Performance
Global
Solu/ons
(PIP).
All
rights
reserved.
14
Example:
shale
opera@ons
–
towards
the
con@nuous
factory
©
Partners
in
Performance
Interna/onal
Pty
Ltd
or
Partners
in
Performance
Global
Solu/ons
(PIP).
All
rights
reserved.
15
Case
study:
e.g.
improving
net
cash
flow
12
8
0
1
31
61
91
121
151
181
211
241
271
301
331
361
-‐4
-‐8
©
Partners
in
Performance
Interna/onal
Pty
Ltd
or
Partners
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Performance
Global
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(PIP).
All
rights
reserved.
16
Case
study:
Ac@vely
manage
produc@vity
measures
right
down
to
the
contractors
on
site
Trenching/ laying/ backfill (m/day)
Test (m/day)
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Equipment Well Head (pads/day) !"#$%&'"()*+ 5@ ,-.-$"+#/*&'"()*+ 77@ !"#$%&'"()*+ ?:: ,-.-$"+#/*&'"()*+ @&?::
0/*(")*&012#*/*3 56 '4+"$&012#*/*3 789 0/*(")*&012#*/*3 567 '4+"$&012#*/*3 8&9::
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©
Partners
in
Performance
Interna/onal
Pty
Ltd
or
Partners
in
Performance
Global
Solu/ons
(PIP).
All
rights
reserved.
17
Case
study:
e.g.
closing
the
gap
between
poten@al
and
actual
gas
produc@on
Coal seam gas field
68%
84%
realized
realized
poten/al
poten/al
140.00
120.00
100.00
80.00
%
of
realised
poten/al
60.00
40.00
20.00
0.00
15/05/2011
15/06/2011
15/07/2011
15/08/2011
15/09/2011
15/10/2011
Actual Poten/al
©
Partners
in
Performance
Interna/onal
Pty
Ltd
or
Partners
in
Performance
Global
Solu/ons
(PIP).
All
rights
reserved.
18
• Improvements in Unconventional Oil and Gas
• Examples
• Partners in Performance
© Partners in Performance International Pty Ltd or Partners in Performance Global Solutions (PIP). All rights reserved.
PIP
are
global
resources
consultants
In
resources
in
the
past
4
years:
$39
billion
of
capital
project
design
NPV
op@misa@on
$6
billion
of
EBIT
improvements
Coal Steel
Nickel
Australia
Canada
deliver)
results
n Extensive
coaching
to
leave
behind
a
high
performing
organisa/on
©
Partners
in
Performance
Interna/onal
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or
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in
Performance
Global
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(PIP).
All
rights
reserved.
21
We
understand
the
par@culari@es
of
the
business
of
resources
and
will
hit
the
ground
running
in
your
opera@on
©
Partners
in
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Interna/onal
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or
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in
Performance
Global
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(PIP).
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rights
reserved.
22
Contact us:
• Ed Frey
• Partners in Performance
• ed.frey@pipint.com
• Mobile: +1 206-915-4133
• Web: www.pipint.com
© Partners in Performance International Pty Ltd or Partners in Performance Global Solutions (PIP). All rights reserved.