Distressed PSUs’
stake sales needed
o far the government has divested stakes in public
sector undertakings (PSUs) like Cochin Shipyard,
Housing and Urban Development Corporation
(Hudco) and insurance firms like General Insurance
Corporation (GIC) and New India Assurance, etc.
It intends to divest further in many companies, in-
cluding Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd
(HPCL). In addition, the government might mobilise
close to Rs 10,000 crore from Bharat 22 ETF, which
contains several PSUs.
The most common thing about these divestments
is that a majority of them are largely decent profit-
making PSUs. i
However, in one area where the government could
make significant impact for the PSUs concerned or for *
the fiscal balance of the government itself is the mid-
sized PSUs, which are stressed (loss-making or peren-
nially sick) or which are making meagre profits (also
pay very poor dividend), but trade at exorbitant valu-
ations on the markets.
Fortunately, the current bull market, which is
mother of all previous
bull markets in terms of
These PSU aggregate market cap
stocks are build up, has rewarded
~ extre even such stressed and
Jatil mely sick PSUs.
volatule on both : The market cap of
downsides and upsides some of these companies
j has moved up 100% to
- _— A nearly 500% from the 52-
ortunal ly, suc! week low despite many
huge run-up in their of them not being able to
stock prices helped make substantial profits.
neither the com anes Coincidently, many of
ip them have low floating
concerned nor the stocks. :
mmm A metal PSU trades
gove 3 ent. Only a even at 90 PE while com-
smart investors en¢ parable peers in the pri-
up with substantial - _vate sector trade at less
i italisi than 20 PEs.
ginscntaingan Oy cine
P PSU, despite huge losses
stock prices of these in the last three years,
PSUs trades at 14 times its an-
pbeaemor icp) Pipe ae nual sales. PSUs en-
gaged in trading busi-
ness trade at over 35 to 80
times their earnings.
One of these trading PSUs saw its market cap going
up as high as Rs 150,000 crore about 10 year's ago, only
to fall 95% after four years.
A technology PSU, whose operating profit is less
than the grants-in-aid it receives from the govern-
ment, has seen its stock go up almost five-fold in the
last 52-weeks.
Another PSU engaged in service business trades at
EV to Ebittda (Enterprise Value to Earnings Before
Interest, Tax, Depreciation & Amortization) of over
115, arare phenomenon in this market.
This company saw its market cap falling by 85% in
2014 from its peak in 2013 and again risen more than
five-fold now from its 2014 low.
These PSU stocks are extremely volatile on both
downsides and upsides in the markets. Unfortunately,
such huge run-up in their stock prices helped neither
the companies concerned nor the government.
Only the “smart investors” end up with substantial
gains capitalising on the volatility in the stock prices
of these PSUs.
A dynamic approach of the government (a domi-
nant stakeholder of these companies) in terms of
periodic divestment of stakes or rights issues at at-
tractive discounts at the peak of the valuations by the
companies would go a long way in strengthening the
fiscal balance of the government or balance sheets of
those concerned PSUs.
It would also help in avoiding extreme volatility in
these stock prices and thereby, minimise the wealth
destruction for the gullible retail investors.
The writer is founder and managing director,
DBawinamine Daconrch and Adnisarv