TIPPING POINT }
Does index rejig
matter much?
that Lupin and Cipla
would be removed from
the Sensex. Often retail in-
vestors panic or get confused
about the stocks that are ex-
cluded from the benchmark
indices. Do they have to base
their investment decisions
solely on the inclusion or ex-
clusion of individual stocks
from the indices?
Broad equity indices act
as a barometer of market di-
rection and indicate the»
magnitude of changes in the
overall market values based
on a sample of stocks. How-
ever, neither all stocks in the
indices guarantee wealth
creation nor all stocks re-
moved lead to wealth de-
struction. By nature of the
index, successful stocks are
regularly added and tempo-
rarily failed ones, in relative
terms, are excluded.
For instance, when the
»-global.deflationary pres-
sures were peaking , in No-
vember 2015 both Vedanta
and Hindalco were removed
from the Sensex. However,
these two stocks saw their
market caps rising over
300% and 260% respectively
from the date of exclusion to
as of date. In the same peri-
od, the market cap of Sensex
moved up 30%.
More recent example is
of GAIL. This stock was
excluded from the Sensex on
May 19, 2017 —- since then its
market cap has moved up
16%, while the market cap of
all BSE-listed ‘stocks rose
only 10%.
Risa it was announced
Interestingly, at the peak
of the bull run in real estate,
DLF was included in the
Sensex in November 2007, and
in June 2012 it was excluded.
During this period of its in-
clusion to exclusion, DLF lost
80% of its market cap.
It is true that many con-
stituents of broad indices do
create a lot of wealth in the
long term. However, it is
equally true that mega
wealth creation happen out-
side broad indices also. This
is realistic for the Indian
markets as our country has
got the highest number of
listed stocks in the world. In
India, for instance, only after
they emerged as quite large
There are over
4,000 actively
traded stocks
outside Sensex/Nifty.
In fact, the total market
cap outside Sensex
stands at around Rs 88
lakh crore, about 60%
of the market cap of all
BSE-listed stocks
cap stocks, Infosys and
Wipro were included in the
broad indices.
The broad indices are
also useful for the passive
investors to invest in any
markets through ETF
routes and for hedging the
individual portfolios
against market volatility,
For retail investors, who
believe in individual stock
picking, it is the individual
merit of the stocks on funda-
mental basis rather than in-
clusion or exclusion would
matter for wealth creation.
The writer is founder and
managing director, Equi-
nomics Research & Advisory
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