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Day 110

Day 25
NYS Police
Reform & Reinvention
Collaborative

Reform local public safety function


APRIL
1
287 Days
NYS Police Reform & Reinvention Collaborative
Answer the Questions to Actually Reform Police
• What functions do you want?
• What is staffing?
• Defund? What is budget?
• What is your use-of-force policy?

• What is your transparent disciplinary process?
• What is your citizen complaint process?
• What data is driving your deployment processes?
• How do you address bias within the police force?
• How do you link police with essential services (e.g. mental health,
substance abuse)
LEADERSHIP
REOPENING
SMART = FACTS
Percent of Tests with Positive Results
PEAK
50.4%
Wednesday:
68,541 tests
618 positive tests
APRIL 23
23.4%
0.90% positive

MAY 21
3.7%
Wednesday
.90%

March 12 June 17
Percent of Tests with Positive Results
PEAK
50.4%
Wednesday:
68,541 tests
618 positive tests
Lowest percent positive
APRIL 23
23.4%
0.90% positive
since we started.
MAY 21
3.7%
Wednesday
.90%

March 12 June 17
5 Day Results By Region
REGION SATURDAY SUNDAY MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY
New York City 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0%
Capital Region 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.4%
Central New York 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 3.0%
Finger Lakes 0.9% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.0%
Long Island 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.7%
Hudson Valley 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6%
Mohawk Valley 1.4% 0.7% 1.4% 0.6% 1.3%
North Country 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Southern Tier 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Western New York 1.1% 1.4% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1%
5 Day Results NYC
SATURDAY SUNDAY MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY

Bronx 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9%


Brooklyn 1.6% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2%
Manhattan 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.8%
Queens 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.1%
Staten
Island 2.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
Total 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0%
Total Hospitalizations
18,279
18,654 18,825
18,569
18,707
18,697
18,335
17,735
1,358 Hospitalizations
Lowest since March 19
18,079
17,316
17,493
16,967
16,837 16,103
16,479 16,213 16,044
15,905
15,599
15,021
14,810
14,258
13,383 13,524 12,819
12,839 12,646
12,226 12,159
11,598
10,993
10,929 9,786
10,350 9,600
9,647 9,179
9,517 8,665
8,196
8,503 7,776
7,262
7,226 6,946
7,328 7,063 6,706
6,394 5,897
6,481 6,220 5,840 5,570
5,818 5,187
5,327 4,844 4,348
4,642 4,265 4,010
4,393 4,208 3,781
4,079 3,619 3,331
3,343 3,436 3,121 2,849 2,427
2,978 2,728 2,371 2,190
2,629 2,603 1,734
2,344 2,042 1,538
2,043 1,898 1,657 1,479
1,042 1,406 1,608
1,358
326 617
496

March 16 June 17
Number of Lives Lost
June 12: 32
June 13: 23
June 14: 25
June 15: 25
June 16: 17
June 17: 29
(22 in Hospitals, 7 in Nursing Homes)
Phased Reopening

?
? NYC ?
?
Phased Reopening

Our global experts are reviewing data


to determine whether New York City is
ready to move to Phase II on Monday.
Phased Reopening

We will have a final decision tomorrow


but Phase II businesses in NYC should
plan on reopening on Monday.
Phase II Reopening of Businesses
All office-based jobs: Real estate services:
• Professional Services • Building and Property
• Administrative Support Management
• Information Technology • Leasing, Rental, and
Sales Services
Retail & outdoor dining:
• In-store Shopping • Barbershops and Hair Salons
(limited services)
• Outdoor Dining
• Motor Vehicle Leasing,
• Rental, Repair, and Cleaning
Rental, and Sales
Office-Based Jobs Guidance
• 50% occupancy in office buildings in Phase 2
• Mandatory employee daily screenings
(e.g. heath questionnaire, temperature checks)
• Masks, plexi-glass or other barriers required if
6 feet cannot be maintained
• Signage and distance markers required in closed quarters
(restrooms and breakrooms)
• No congregations in small areas and limited in-person meetings
• No meetings without social distancing
• No communal sharing of food or beverages
Retail In-Store Shopping Guidance
• 50% maximum occupancy of all retail stores in the region
• Employees must wear face coverings when interacting with
customers and coworkers
• Customers must wear face coverings, if medically able
• Stores must control foot traffic with designated
signage and markers
• Continue use of curbside/in-store pickup where possible,
as well as remote shopping (online and phone)
• Close shared amenities, including self-serve
sampling stations and bars
• Store owner can prohibit customers without masks
• Malls are closed except stores with external entrances curbside
available for all retail.
Outdoor Dining Guidance

• Outdoor tables must be spaced six feet apart


• All staff must wear face coverings
• Customers must also wear face coverings
when not seated.
Barbershops & Hair Salons Guidance
• 50% maximum occupancy required in all salons
• Allow hair services ONLY (massages, hair removal, facial, and nail
services remain prohibited)
• Employees must wear face coverings and face shields while
performing hair services at all times
• Customers must wear face coverings at all times
• By-appointment only services
• Employees strongly encouraged to get tested before opening
• Customers urged to inquire about employee testing status
• Employees interacting with customers must be tested at least
once every two weeks
• Shops must keep a log of customers to trace if positive
Issue for
Phase II
+
Phase III
Issue for Phase II & Phase III

Compliance by people
AND
Enforcement by local government.
Compliance and Enforcement
Demands increase with phases
Today we are strengthening
State enforcement to protect New Yorkers.

Violations of reopening rules and guidelines


can result in immediate loss of liquor license
and a shut down order for businesses.
I am also signing an Executive Order to
give bars responsibility
immediately outside of their locations
to expand the enforcement areas of the
State Liquor Authority (SLA).
Local governments
must do their part.
College Guidance

NYS is issuing guidance to colleges and universities to


allow some residential and face to face programming
for the Fall Semester.

Campuses must develop a plan, which attests to


meeting the guidance, and file plans with the State.
College Guidance: Examples of Key Considerations
Reopening plans Monitoring plans
• Capacity to maintain social distancing • Determine testing frequency
• PPE supply • Define early warning metrics
• Screening of arriving students & staff • Work with state and local health
• Protecting vulnerable populations departments on contact tracing
• Hygiene, cleaning and disinfecting
Containment plans Shutdown plans
• Identify how to isolate positive cases • Identify operations that will be
and quarantine contacts reduced or shutdown in case of
• Determine plan to disinfect exposed significant outbreak
areas • Determine plan for students to safely
• Develop plan to communicate depart campus
protocols • Develop plan to communicate
shutdown process
This is a pivotal moment in
this country.
Wake up
America
Smell the coffee...
Realize the FACTS
Tale of two cities.
Tale of two countries.
The federal mistake is undeniable.
theory
vs.
Science/fact-based theory
Results are clear:
• The virus is spreading in unmanaged
reopenings

• More people are getting sick.
Other States Are Seeing Spikes
Hospitalizations INCREASING as Testing Expands
SOURCE: COVID Tracking Project, 7-rolling avg.
Arizona Number of daily positive tests

1400 Current COVID+ hospitalizations


1300
1200
1100
1000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100

03/04 03/15 03/30 04/15 04/30 05/15 05/30 06/15


Hospitalizations INCREASING as Testing Expands
SOURCE: COVID Tracking Project, 7-rolling avg.
Texas Number of daily positive tests

2200 Current COVID+ hospitalizations


2000

1800

1600

1400

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

03/04 03/15 03/30 04/15 04/30 05/15 05/30 06/15


Hospitalizations INCREASING as Testing Expands
SOURCE: COVID Tracking Project, 7-rolling avg.
Florida Number of daily positive tests
Current COVID+ hospitalizations
# of
Hospitalizations
1800 *Florida does not 200
1700 190
report concurrent 180
1600
1500
hospital population; 170
1400 data is from new daily 160
150
1300 hospital admissions 140
1200 130
1100 120
1000 110
900 100
800 90
700 80
600 70
60
500
50
400
40
300 30
200 20
100 10
0
03/04 03/15 03/30 04/15 04/30 05/15 05/30 06/15
Hospitalizations INCREASING as Testing Expands
SOURCE: COVID Tracking Project, 7-rolling avg.
North Carolina Number of daily positive tests

1300 Current COVID+ hospitalizations


1200
1100
1000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100

03/04 03/15 03/30 04/15 04/30 05/15 05/30 06/15


Hospitalizations INCREASING as Testing Expands
SOURCE: COVID Tracking Project, 7-rolling avg.
South Carolina Number of daily positive tests

700 Current COVID+ hospitalizations


650
600
550
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50

03/04 03/15 03/30 04/15 04/30 05/15 05/30 06/15


Hospitalizations INCREASING as Testing Expands
SOURCE: COVID Tracking Project, 7-rolling avg. Number of daily positive tests
Utah Current COVID+ hospitalizations
350 20
19
18
300 17
16
15
250 14
13
12
200
11
10
9
150
8
7
100 6
5
4
50 3
2
1
0
03/04 03/15 03/30 04/15 04/30 05/15 05/30 06/15
# Hospitalizations
Hospitalizations INCREASING as Testing Expands
SOURCE: COVID Tracking Project, 7-rolling avg.
Montana Number of daily positive tests

24 Current COVID+ hospitalizations


22

20

18

16

14

12

10

03/04 03/15 03/30 04/15 04/30 05/15 05/30 06/15


Hospitalizations INCREASING as Testing Expands
SOURCE: COVID Tracking Project, 7-rolling avg.
Alaska Number of daily positive tests

45 Current COVID+ hospitalizations

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

03/04 03/15 03/30 04/15 04/30 05/15 05/30 06/15


Hospitalizations DECREASING as Testing Expands
SOURCE: COVID Tracking Project, 7-rolling avg.
New York Number of daily positive tests

19000 Current COVID+ hospitalizations


18000
17000
16000
15000
14000
13000
12000
11000
10000
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000

03/04 03/15 03/30 04/15 04/30 05/15 05/30 06/15


The course of this pandemic
was always, and is, dependent
on OUR actions.
Fact
1.5-2.2 million deaths
without mitigation measures

Projection models are


White House really deaths
100,000-240,000
Coronavirus Task Force

extrapolation models.
as of March 31
with mitigation measures
Projection Models for US
1.5-2.2 million deaths
without mitigation measures

White House 100,000-240,000 deaths


Coronavirus Task Force
as of March 31
with mitigation measures
IHME Projected Total COVID Deaths by Oct.

Last week This week

This week, IHME increased its estimates


for the fall by 31,239 18% from 169,890
to 201,129 deaths by October.
New York Projections - Hospitalizations
Columbia University
as of Mar 29th
~136,000 NYC Only
140,000
130,000
120,000
110,000
100,000 Gates-funded IHME
90,000 (as of Apr 1)
~73,000 Statewide McKinsey severe scenario
80,000
~110,000 Statewide
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000 McKinsey moderate scenario
30,000 Actual ~55,000 Statewide
18,825 peak
20,000
10,000

03/01 03/08 03/15 03/22 03/29 04/05 04/12 04/19 04/26 05/03 05/10 05/17
Projections vs. Reality
PROJECTED PEAK COVID DIFFERENCE FROM
MODEL
HOSPITALIZATIONS REALITY

Columbia University ~136,000 ~117,000


McKinsey
~110,000 ~91,000
(Severe scenario)
IHME ~73,000 ~54,000
McKinsey
~55,000 ~36,000
(Moderate scenario)
Reality 18,825
The tale of two different visions:
Science
Political
+ vs. ideology
Facts
Results
Results Are In
New York Curve Rest of USA Curve
30,000

30,000
Daily Positive Cases

March 3 June 17 Daily Positive Cases


March 3 June 17
Source: COVID Tracking Project
NEW YORK TOUGH
SMART
UNITED
DISCIPLINED
LOVING

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