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Injury
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A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
Article history: Background and context: Helicopter Emergency Medical Services (HEMS) are highly resource-intensive
Accepted 19 July 2012 facilities that are well established as part of trauma systems in many high-income countries. We
evaluated the cost-effectiveness of a physician-staffed HEMS intervention in combination with treatment
Keywords: at a major trauma centre versus ground ambulance or indirect transport (via a referral hospital) in New
Helicopter Emergency Medical Services South Wales (NSW), Australia.
Primary scene response Methods: Cost and effectiveness estimates were derived from a cohort of trauma patients arriving at St
Cost-effectiveness
George Hospital in NSW, Australia during an 11-year period. Adjusted estimates of in-hospital mortality
Health economics
Trauma care
were derived using logistic regression and adjusted hospital costs were estimated through a general
Trauma system linear model incorporating a gamma distribution and log link. These estimates along with other
assumptions were incorporated into a Markov model with an annual cycle length to estimate a cost per
life saved and a cost per life-year saved at one year and over a patient’s lifetime respectively in three
patient groups (all patients; patients with serious injury [Injury Severity Score > 12]; patients with
traumatic brain injury [TBI]).
Results: Results showed HEMS to be more costly but more effective at reducing in-hospital mortality
leading to a cost per life saved of $1,566,379, $533,781 and $519,787 in all patients, patients with serious
injury and patients with TBI respectively. When modelled over a patient’s lifetime, the improved
mortality associated with HEMS led to a cost per life year saved of $96,524, $50,035 and $49,159 in the
three patient groups respectively. Sensitivity analyses revealed a higher probability of HEMS being cost-
effective in patients with serious injury and TBI.
Conclusion: Our investigation confirms a HEMS intervention is associated with improved mortality in
trauma patients, especially in patients with serious injury and TBI. The improved benefit of HEMS in
patients with serious injury and TBI leads to improved estimated cost-effectiveness.
ß 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Background and context response types, primary responses (direct to the scene of an
incident) and secondary inter-facility transfers (of trauma and
Helicopter Emergency Medical Services (HEMS) are an estab- other critically ill patients). In primary scene responses, HEMS have
lished component of many health systems, particularly in high- several potential advantages for trauma patients over usual care
income countries. Their use may be broadly grouped into two provided by ground transport networks. These include access to
areas where road infrastructure is limited, faster transport to
hospital in rural areas1 and faster access to definitive care through
* Corresponding author at: P.O. Box M201, Missenden Rd, Camperdown, NSW
the provision of advanced interventions (such as endotracheal
2050, Australia. Tel.: +61 2 9657 0300. intubation or fluid resuscitation) by a physician or trained
E-mail address: ctaylor@georgeinstitute.org.au (C. Taylor). paramedic at the scene. It is hypothesised that the advantages
0020–1383/$ – see front matter ß 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.injury.2012.07.184
1844 C. Taylor et al. / Injury, Int. J. Care Injured 43 (2012) 1843–1849
Survive
HEMS + Survive
treatment at injuries
Die
major
trauma
centre Die
Paents meeng Survive
SGH trauma
Survive
criteria
Non-HEMS + injuries Die
treatment at
major
trauma
centre Die
ambulance or helicopter and patients who were transported from intensive care, allied health and rehabilitation) incurred by each
outside the St George Hospital catchment area (including patient in a state-wide uniform database (Trendstar Decision
5 regional hospitals which is reflective of where primary scene Support System1). Patient costing, including overheads
responses transferred to St George Hospital emanate from). (e.g. staffing, floor space) was conducted in accordance with
For this evaluation, a HEMS patient included patients receiving 2008–2009 NSW Program and Product Data Collection Stan-
a physician intervention pre-hospital and then being directly dards.21 For patients who were discharged from emergency
transported (from the scene by road or HEMS) to St George department (and therefore patient level costs were unavailable)
Hospital. HEMS patients were retrospectively identified by the we applied the average cost of an emergency department
transport mode on arrival at hospital as well as ambulance case presentation ($396 [2009 AUD]).22 Costs for hospital separations
sheet numbers. A non-HEMS patient included patients arriving at that crossed financial years were excluded from the analysis due to
hospital via a paramedic-staffed ground ambulance or via a referral inappropriate allocation of DRG cost weights.
hospital (including regional hospitals and urban non-designated To calculate a unit cost of the index hospital treatment for
trauma centres). HEMS and non-HEMS patients we estimated a predicted cost using
a generalised linear model, incorporating a gamma distribution
Estimating effectiveness and log link.23 Total cost was adjusted for differences in patient
case mix between transport groups using the same covariates
As part of a sequential analysis we estimated the adjusted identified in the analysis of effectiveness. Residuals were examined
probability of survival until hospital discharge for HEMS and non- to assess model fit and identify potential outliers, with sensitivity
HEMS patients. Given the imbalance in patient illness severity analyses performed excluding any identified outliers to assess
between the HEMS and non-HEMS patient groups, we calculated their impact on the predicted costs.
adjusted estimates of in-hospital mortality using logistic regres- To incorporate pre-hospital transport costs, we utilised the
sion. Based on clinical judgement and previous research,2 the average cost estimate per case for emergency road missions ($546
following covariates were used in the final model: age (4 levels), per case [2006 AUD]) and helicopter missions published by the
sex, year of arrival to hospital (11 levels), mechanism of injury (5 Independent pricing and Regulatory Tribunal of NSW ($5786 per
categories), use of endotracheal intubation pre-hospital, scene case [2006 AUD]).24 For the HEMS transport group we calculated
Trauma Score, TBI, serious injury (ISS > 12 in Model #1; ISS used as an adjusted cost according to the proportion of patients arriving via
continuous variable in Models #2 and #3), rural status, admission ground and HEMS. In the non-HEMS transport group, we adjusted
to ICU, emergency operation performed. TBI was defined as an the transport cost according to the proportion of inter-hospital
anatomical injury to the head (AIS codes beginning with 1 coded to transfers and the transport mode utilised during inter-hospital
the ISS head region) with an AIS score 3. Patients were transfer.
considered ‘rural’ if the postcode of injury was greater than 1 h To estimate cost of treatment at a referral hospital, we applied
estimated travel time via road. Emergency operation was defined the standard cost of an emergency department presentation ($396
as patients being transferred directly from the emergency [2009 AUD]).22 To account for transport to the referral hospital we
department to the operating room. added the average cost of ground transport as estimated above.
All co-variates were entered into the model along with the This is based on the assumption that patients arriving via a referral
patient group variable (HEMS and non-HEMS). Model discrimina- hospital (within 24 h post injury) would have been transferred to
tion was tested through the receiver operating characteristic [ROC] the referral hospital via ground transport and would have spent the
area and calibration through the Hosmer–Lemeshow (H–L) majority of their time in the referral hospital Emergency
statistic. Department before being transferred to St George Hospital.
To model survival over a lifetime we incorporated the estimated Post discharge, we assumed an average rate of annual patient
probability of in-hospital mortality for HEMS and non-HEMS healthcare expenditure over a lifetime for survivors in Model #1,
patients into a Markov model with an annual probability of death. based on the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare Report
In Model #1 we used the probability of death published by the (estimated government contribution: $3617 per annum [2009
Australian Bureau of Statistics18 (based on the average age of the AUD]).25 For patients with serious injury or TBI (Models #2 and #3)
cohort) that assumes that patients have a normal life expectancy we assumed an annual health expenditure that was five-fold
beyond the index hospitalisation. In Models #2 and #3 we adjusted higher per year over a lifetime based on the government
the probability of death for the higher risk of death following contribution to the financial cost of traumatic brain injury in
traumatic brain injury19 (SMR: 1.51; 95% CI: 1.25–1.78). Australia (estimated government contribution: $18,008 per
annum [2009 AUD]).26
Estimating costs
Sensitivity analyses
Treatment costs were estimated in four phases of
care: treatment in a referral hospital, transport to a trauma We undertook multiple one and two-way sensitivity analyses
centre, treatment during the index hospitalisation and treatment to assess the effect of varying key assumptions across plausible
following discharge. ranges. Age at injury was varied across the inter-quartile range of
Treatment costs during the index hospitalisation were calcu- the patient cohort. Index hospitalisation costs were varied across
lated on a per patient basis and averaged whereas estimates were the 95% CI of the point estimate and unadjusted costs was also
sourced for the other phases of care. To adjust for differential tested. We also tested the effect of higher ongoing treatment costs
timing all cost information was adjusted to 2010 equivalent values for serious injury and traumatic brain injury survivors based on the
using the health specific consumer price index published by the government contribution to spinal cord injury costs in Australia
Australian Bureau of Statistics.20 (estimated government contribution: $51,499 per annum [2009
To estimate index hospitalisation costs, medical record AUD]).26 In terms of the survival probabilities incorporated into the
numbers and dates of admission from the trauma data were models, we varied values across the 95% CI of the point estimates.
provided to the St George Hospital Casemix Unit, with a report We also tested the effect on survival estimates of excluding
query template to ensure the same data recovery. These units patients estimated to be dead on arrival, excluding inter-hospital
record the actual costs (including emergency department, theatre, transfers and omitting variables from the model that may have
1846 C. Taylor et al. / Injury, Int. J. Care Injured 43 (2012) 1843–1849
Table 1
Study sample characteristics.
Initial cohort
N 13,992
Excluded [N; %] 3812 (27.2%)
Table 3
Incremental cost per life saved at one year and cost per life year saved.
% 1-year survival HEMS % 1-year survival non-HEMS Net lives saved per 100 transports Cost per life saved
Mean life expectancy HEMS Mean life expectancy non-HEMS Mean life year gain per patient Cost per life year saved
Sensitivity analysis results showed a higher likelihood of HEMS being cost effective in patients
with serious injury and traumatic brain injury.
One and two-way sensitivity analyses revealed the incremental
cost effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for cost per life year saved were Discussion
sensitive to a number of input assumptions in Model #1 and less
sensitive in Models #2 and #3. For patients in Model #1 ICERs In NSW, physician-staffed Helicopter Emergency Medical
ranged from $48,169 to $242,463 with a high discount rate (10%), Services (HEMS) are an expensive resource with undefined health
unadjusted costs and a two-way analysis of the upper estimates of economic benefits. Our results show a HEMS intervention
95% CI for in-hospital mortality (for both groups) producing higher combined with treatment at a major trauma centre is associated
ICERs. In Models #2 and #3 ICER estimates ranged from $32,645 to with improved mortality leading to an estimated cost per life saved
$82,516 and $33,105 to $81,640 respectively. These models were between $519,787 and $1,566,379 and an estimated cost per life
sensitive to the same inputs as Model #1 as well as higher ongoing year saved between $49,159 and $96,524. The estimated cost-
treatment costs. In all models the ICER estimates were not effectiveness of HEMS improved in patients with more serious
sensitive to excluding patients who were estimated to be ‘dead on injuries and in patients with traumatic brain injury.
arrival’. Excluding inter-hospital transfers from the analysis led to This evaluation was a novel assessment of the value provided by
a much higher ICER in Model #1 (OR for death in non-HEMS versus HEMS in NSW in primary scene responses. The hospital selected for
HEMS: 2.3 [95% CI: 1.0–5.2]; $242,463 per life year saved) and this investigation is classified in the highest tier of trauma hospital
similar ICERs in Models #2 (OR: 3.6 [95% CI: 1.4–9.2]; $50,657 per in NSW and has a large urban and rural catchment area which is
life year saved) and #3 (OR: 4.3 [95% CI: 1.2–15.2]; $45,360 per life broadly representative of many high-income trauma systems. Our
year saved). effectiveness estimates were sourced from registry data which are
Fig. 2 shows the results of the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, prospectively collected and comprehensively capture patients
displaying the likelihood of the ICER for cost per life year saved meeting hospital trauma criteria. We also utilised individual
being below increasing willingness to pay thresholds. Results patient cost data from hospital accounting systems which captured
0.9
0.8
Probability of being cost-effecve
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.1
0
$4,000.00
$8,000.00
$12,000.00
$16,000.00
$20,000.00
$24,000.00
$28,000.00
$32,000.00
$36,000.00
$40,000.00
$44,000.00
$48,000.00
$52,000.00
$56,000.00
$60,000.00
$64,000.00
$68,000.00
$72,000.00
$76,000.00
$80,000.00
$84,000.00
$88,000.00
$92,000.00
$96,000.00
$100,000.00
$-
Fig. 2. Cost effectiveness acceptability curves for cost per life-year saved in all patients, patients with serious injury and patients with traumatic brain injury.
1848 C. Taylor et al. / Injury, Int. J. Care Injured 43 (2012) 1843–1849
the true cost of the index hospitalisation. To evaluate the dispatch criteria, to ensure HEMS are well targeted. A previous
cost-effectiveness of a HEMS intervention we used an a priori review highlighted a paucity of evidence supporting current
statistical analysis plan which included a comparison of relevant dispatch criteria31 and given the potential improvements in cost-
health care strategies29 and robust outcomes. effectiveness, our results support the need for further attention in
However, due to the differences in emergency medicine this area.
organisation and funding arrangements between regions, our To judge the acceptability of our cost-effectiveness estimates,
results are likely to have limited generalisability outside Australia. our results can be viewed in the context of the value of human life
Our estimates of the index hospitalisation cost and mortality in and society’s willingness to pay to avoid fatalities. A previous
both groups relied on the robustness of our modelling approach. report38 reviewed the value of a statistical life (VSL) from 17
Covariates were selected based on clinical judgement and previous Australian and 227 international studies. A meta-analysis was
research.2 Removing covariates which were potentially associated undertaken of the higher quality studies yielding an average VSL of
with a HEMS intervention (such as ICU admission) did improve the $6.0 million (2010 AUD $6.7m). The report also found the average
accuracy of estimates in our sub-group models but the overall value of a statistical life year (VALY) in Australia to be $124,095
effect was not substantially different. In order to capture (2010 AUD $138,767). More recently, a stated choice experiment
uncertainty we utilised the full 95% confidence intervals of the was used to estimate the value of risk reduction (VRR) in car
cost and effect estimates in our probabilistic sensitivity analysis. occupants in NSW,39 finding participants were willing to pay
Beyond in-hospital survival, our estimates of life years saved between $6.3 and $6.4 million (2010 AUD $6.9–7.0m) to avoid
depended on the age related probability of death for the general fatalities. Evidence from overseas has also confirmed individuals
population in both groups. This assumes conservatively that there are willing to pay for a HEMS.40,41 Put into the context of such
is no ongoing effect of HEMS transport beyond the index findings, our ratios appear within the range of acceptable values.
hospitalisation.
Despite data being collected prospectively, our analysis is
retrospective in nature and therefore the possibility of unobserved Conclusion
confounding cannot be excluded. A recent article highlighted the
utility of propensity score matching in examining the benefit of There have been many evaluations of the benefit of HEMS in
HEMS,30 which resulted in lower estimated absolute risk reduction trauma, both in NSW and internationally. However, few evalua-
attributable to HEMS compared to traditional logistic regression. tions have estimated the cost-effectiveness of HEMS relative to
As our study utilised logistic regression, the benefit attributable to ground or indirect transport (via a referral hospital). Our
HEMS may have been overestimated although our estimates of evaluation shows that a HEMS intervention is associated with
HEMS benefit were similar to previous literature.2,31 In defining reduced in-hospital mortality. When modelled over a lifetime, this
comparators we used a tasking agency perspective, where usual association leads to reasonable cost-effectiveness estimates, in the
care (termed non-HEMS) included ether direct transport via context of a single funder health care system, particularly in
ground to St George Hospital or ground transport to a regional patients with serious injuries and traumatic brain injury. These
hospital followed by inter-hospital transfer to St George Hospital. data highlight the importance of further research into appropriate
In this scenario, we hypothesised that the true benefit of HEMS was patient selection for a HEMS intervention.
its ability to bypass regional hospitals in rural areas. By using these
definitions we may have introduced a selection bias (where a
Conflict of interest statement
comparable non-HEMS patient may have died before reaching St
George Hospital), however inter-hospital transfer numbers were
Co-authors Curtis, Tzannes, Dickson and Myburgh and all paid
small and removing inter-hospital transfers did not substantially
employees of the NSW Department of Health, which funds
affect the cost-effectiveness estimates in Models #2 and #3.
Helicopter Emergency Medical Services. The primary author (C.
Despite the above limitations of our analysis, this investigation
Taylor) has a paid part-time position with Novartis Pharmaceu-
is one of few methodologically rigorous economic evaluations of
ticals.
HEMS9 and the results add to a paucity of economic literature in
the field of out-of-hospital emergency care.32 A previous evalua- Appendix A. Supplementary data
tion of HEMS from the perspective of the service provider in the US
found a HEMS intervention in trauma patients led to cost per life Supplementary data associated with this article can be found, in
year saved of $2454 USD33 (2010 AUD $4444). Our study adopted
the online version, at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.injury.2012.07.184.
a broader perspective, including the ongoing medical cost of
survivors (as is appropriate in the Australian context34), and found
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