Problem 1

Samsung company has reported the sales of cellphones

collected on a quarterly basis as shown in the Table. Develop
the trend equation to forecast the sales for the future
periods. Determine also the trend equation and conclude.

Period Year Quarter Units, million Forecast sales

1 2010 Quarter 1 2.4 17.41
2 2010 Quarter 2 3.6 20.23
3 2010 Quarter 3 7.3 23.06
4 2010 Quarter 4 9.6 25.89
5 2011 Quarter 1 11.5 28.71
6 2011 Quarter 2 18.4 31.54
7 2011 Quarter 3 28.1 34.36
8 2011 Quarter 4 36.2 37.19
9 2012 Quarter 1 44.0 40.02
10 2012 Quarter 2 50.3 42.84
11 2012 Quarter 3 56.3 45.67
12 2012 Quarter 4 63.7 48.49
13 2013 Quarter 1 69.7 51.32
14 2013 Quarter 2 77.3 54.15
15 2013 Quarter 3 85.0 56.97
16 2013 Quarter 4 84.4 59.80
17 2014 Quarter 1 88.5 62.63
18 2014 Quarter 2 74.9 65.45
19 2014 Quarter 3 79.6 68.28
20 2014 Quarter 4 75.1 71.10
21 2015 Quarter 1 82.4 73.93
22 2015 Quarter 2 73.0 76.76
23 2015 Quarter 3 83.8 79.58
24 2015 Quarter 4 81.7 82.41
25 2016 Quarter 1 79.0 85.24
26 2016 Quarter 2 77.0 88.06
27 2016 Quarter 3 72.5 90.89
28 2016 Quarter 4 77.5 93.71
29 2017 Quarter 1 79.0 96.54
30 2017 Quarter 2 79.8 99.37
31 102.19
y = a +b x
period is taken as X
range remains same, known x and known y remains same hence make them freeze Fn f4
by holding cntr key select only period and units to get graph

Chart Title
100.0
f(x) = 2.82620689655172 x + 14.5804597701149
90.0 R² = 0.729266616711618 88.5
85.084.4 82.4 83.881.7
80.0 79.6 79.077.0 77.579.079.8
77.3 74.9 75.1 73.0
70.0 72.5
69.7
63.7
60.0
56.3
50.0 50.3
44.0
40.0
36.2
30.0 28.1
20.0 18.4
10.0 11.5
7.3 9.6
0.0 2.4 3.6
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
077.0 77.579.079.8
72.5

30 35
 PROBLEM 2

Baltic Islands has recorded the arrival of foreign tourists as shown in

the Table. Obtain the trend equation to determine the forecast for the
next time period. Obtain the trend equation. What do you conclude?

Foreign tourist Forecast foreign

Period Year C
arrival, millions tourist, millions
14.0
1 2005 3.9 3.6
2 2006 4.5 4.1
12.0
3 2007 5.1 4.6
4 2008 5.3 5.1 10.0
5 2009 5.2 5.6 f(x) = 0.500879120879121 x + 3.07912087912
R² = 0.931198897013672
6 2010 5.8 6.1 8.0
7 2011 6.3 6.6
8 2012 6.6 7.1 6.0 5.8
5.1 5.3 5.2
9 2013 7.0 7.6 4.5
10 2014 7.7 8.1 4.0 3.9
11 2015 8.0 8.6
2.0
12 2016 8.8 9.1
13 2017 10.0 9.6
0.0
14 2018 11.5 10.1 0 2 4 6
15 2019 10.6

1.14208329123396
wn in
or the
ude?

Chart Title

11.5

10.0
79120879121 x + 3.07912087912088
8897013672 8.8
7.7 8.0
7.0
6.3 6.6
5.8
5.1 5.3 5.2

4 6 8 10 12 14 16
 PROBLEM 3

THe cementconsumption in the country forthe last ten

years is givenin the Table. Forecast the consumption
using the trend projection method.
The cement consumption is found to be correlated to
the GDP. Using the GDP data in the Table forecast the
cosnsumption. What do you conclude?

Cement consumption in GDP in USD forecast GDP

No. Year
million metric tons billion dollars in USD

1 2009 193 1341.89 1416.09

2 2010 206 1675.62 1553.33
3 2011 166 1823.05 1690.58
4 2012 221 1827.64 1827.83
5 2013 239 1856.72 1965.07
6 2014 245 2039.13 2102.32
7 2015 256 2103.59 2239.56
8 2016 269 2290.43 2376.81
9 2017 270 2652.55 2514.05
10 2018 272 2726.32 2651.30
11 2019 2788.55
 GDP in USD billion dollars
3000

2726.32
2652.55
2500 f(x) = 1369.62151304008 exp( 0.068193605270136 x )
R² = 0.936429035252305 2290.43
2103.59
2000 2039.13
1823.05 1827.64 1856.72
1675.62
1500
1341.89

1000

500

0
0 2 4 6 8 10
 2726.32
2652.55
3605270136 x )
2290.43

8 10 12
 PROBLEM 4

Heartland Pharma Company is trying todevelop a newdrug for

heart disceases. They have collected data about the age and
the cholesterol level in the body. What do you conclude?
Estimate the cholesterol level if the age is 80 years.

Cholesterol level in
Age Forecast values Chart T
mg per deciliter
34 254 226 450
35 264 227 400
36 267 228 350
37 223 228 300
38 196 229
250
39 339 229 f(x) = 0.637420718816067 x + 204.59
200 R² = 0.021819462561157
40 215 230
41 172 231 150

42 250 231 100

43 289 232 50
44 211 233 0
30 35 40 45 50 55
45 201 233
46 223 234
47 186 235
48 175 235
49 184 236
50 288 236
51 237 237 450

52 214 238
53 284 238
400
54 170 239
55 227 240
56 180 240 350 339
57 234 241
58 201 242
59 216 242 300 289

60 188 243 f(x)267

264 = 0.073171959445357 x² − 7.411494
254R² = 0.057185481826744250
61 284 243
250
62 259 244 223 22
63 260 245 215 211
196 201
200
172

150
 f(x)267
264 = 0.073171959445357 x² − 7.411494
254R² = 0.057185481826744250
250
223 22
215 211
196 201
64 368 245 200
65 398 246 172
66 203 247
67 208 247 150

68 273 248
69 224 249
100
70 230 249
71 294 250
72 180 250 50
73 164 251
74 318 252
75 248 252 0
30 40
76 306 253
80 256
 Chart Title

x) = 0.637420718816067 x + 204.593023255814
= 0.021819462561157

40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80

Cholesterol level in mg per deciliter

398

368

339
318
306
289 294
288 284 284
273
70.073171959445357 x² − 7.41149482017324 x + 414.669718823435
057185481826744 259260
250 248
237 234
227 230
223 223 224
215 211 214 216
201 201 203208
196
186 184 188
175 180 180
172 170
164
70.073171959445357 x² − 7.41149482017324 x + 414.669718823435
057185481826744 259260
250 248
237 234
227 230
223 223 224
215 211 214 216
201 201 203208
196
186 184 188
175 180 180
172 170
164

40 50 60 70 80
8
306

248
248

80 90