Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2
The
importance
of
earnings
Earnings
• Also
known
as
profit,
boAom
line,
net
income.
• Measures
en&ty
performance
/extent
to
which
an
en&ty
has
engaged
in
ac&vi&es
that
add
value
• widely
reported,
frequently
forecast.
• Strongly
linked
to
share
value.
7
Methods
of
earnings
management
• Accrual
accoun7ng
• Rather
than
repor&ng
erra&c
changes
in
revenue
and
earnings,
managers
prefer
to
generate
consistent
revenues
and
earnings
growth
• Accrual
accoun&ng
techniques
allows
en&&es
to
delay
or
accelerate
recogni&on
of
income
and
expense
and
generally
have
no
direct
cash
flow
consequences
• enables
en&ty
to
temporarily
adjust
profit
figures.
• Eg:
under
provisioning
of
bad
debt
expenses,
delaying
asset
impairments,
amending
deprecia&on
es&mates
8
Methods
of
earnings
management
• Income
smoothing
• Copeland
(1968)
‘Smoothing
moderates
year-‐to-‐year
fluctua&ons
in
income
by
shieing
earnings
from
peak
years
to
less
successful
periods.’
• Premised
on
the
belief
that
shareholders
prefer
to
invest
in
an
en&ty
that
exhibits
consistent
growth
paAerns
rather
than
one
that
has
uncertain
and
changing
earnings
paAerns.
• Managers
will
have
incen&ves
to
to
smooth
earnings
over
&me
• Relate
to
wide
range
of
accrual
accoun&ng
prac&ses
such
as
warranty
provisions,
early
recogni&on
of
sales
revenues
9
Methods
of
earnings
management
• Classifica7on
shi<ing
• Misclassifica&on
of
items
within
the
income
statement
without
altering
net
income
• McVay
(2006)
–
first
to
find
empirical
evidence
that
firms
in
the
US
manipulate
core
earnings
by
shieing
core
expenses
from
cost
of
goods
sold
to
income
decreasing
special
items
• Based
on
strand
of
literature
that
the
ability
of
an
income
statement
line
to
predict
future
earnings
depends
on
its
posi&on
in
the
income
statement
• Line
items
closer
to
sales
revenue
are
more
likely
to
predict
future
earnings
• Managers
have
incen&ves
to
disclose
core
earnings
without
excluding
non
opera&ng
revenues
10
Methods
of
earnings
management
• Real
ac7vi7es
management:
• Managing
earnings
by
managing
opera&onal
decisions,
not
just
accoun&ng
policies
or
accruals.
• Examples
include:
• accelera&ng
sales
• altering
shipment
schedules
and
delaying
research
and
development
and
maintenance
expenditures.
• Can
reduce
en&ty
value
because
ac&ons
taken
in
the
current
period
to
increase
earnings
can
have
nega&ve
effects
on
cash
flows
in
later
periods.
11
Methods
of
earnings
management
• Big
bath
write-‐offs:
• Big
bath
accoun&ng
occurs
when
large
losses
are
reported
against
income
as
a
result
of
significant
restructure
of
opera&ons/
change
in
management.
• Management
realises
that
larger
than
normal
write-‐offs
can
be
jus&fied,
they
may
aAempt
to
bring
forward
or
even
overstate
expenses
in
the
same
period.
• Leads
to
future
reduc&ons
in
expenses
and
beAer
performance
by
presen&ng
a
reduced
base
upon
which
future
valua&ons
and
comparisons
performance
can
be
assessed.
12
Why
do
entities
manage
earnings?
• Main
mo7va7ons
to
manage
earnings
For
the
benefit
of
the
en&ty:
• To
meet
analysts’
and
shareholder
expecta&ons
and
predic&ons.
• To
maximise
share
price
and
company
valua&on
• To
accurately
convey
private
informa&on
eg:
different
deprecia&on
rate
for
computer
technology
may
be
because
en&ty
is
signalling
that
an&cipated
technological
advances
may
make
equipment
obsolete
faster
than
industry
norms
• To
avoid
viola&ng
restric&ve
debt
covenants
To
meet
short-‐term
goals
which
lead
to
maximising
managerial
remunera&on
and
bonuses.
• McKee
(2005)
points
out
that
these
mo&va&ons
may
not
be
in
conflict
as
managers
can
be
mo&vated
by
both
mo&va&ons
at
the
same
&me
• If
the
en&ty
performs
well
financially,
this
will
lead
to
managers
maximising
their
own
remunera&on
Why
do
entities
manage
earnings?
• En7ty
valua7on
• Research
by
Dechow
(1994)
indicates
that
share
prices
are
more
aligned
with
net
income
than
with
opera&ng
cash
flows
• Net
income/earnings
is
commonly
used
to
determine
en&ty
value
• An
en&ty’s
value
is
effec&vely
the
present
value
of
future
income
discounted
at
a
risk
adjusted
discount
rate
• Companies
with
more
vola7le
paFerns
of
earnings
are
likely
to
have
a
higher
risk
measure,
therefore
likely
to
have
lower
en&ty
value
• Managers
are
more
likely
to
engage
in
income
smoothing
to
reduce
vola&lity
and
therefore
risk
of
investment.
• However,
many
managers
may
also
take
a
short-‐term
perspec&ve
and
focus
on
delivering
earnings
and
mee&ng
targets.
• Long-‐term
value
maximising
decisions
may
not
be
considered.
Why
do
entities
manage
earnings?
• Managerial
compensa7on
and
earnings
management
• Management
makes
the
key
decisions
about
strategy,
investments,
budgets,
opera&ons,
business
strategy
and
acquisi&ons.
• Although
managers
are
appointed
to
operate
the
business
for
the
benefit
of
shareholders,
agency
theory
argues
their
objec&ves
do
not
necessarily
always
align.
• The
remunera&on
package
for
senior
managers
relates
payment
to
various
performance
measures.
• Some
common
performance
measures
that
directly
relate
to
earnings
include:
• accoun&ng
returns
• sales
revenue
• net
interest
income
15
Why
do
entities
manage
earnings?
• Managerial
compensa7on
and
earnings
management,cont
• Prior
research
suggest
that
managers
will
manage
earnings
in
such
a
way
that
they
maximise
their
bonus.
• If
earnings
are
so
low
that
they
are
unlikely
to
meet
their
targets,
they
are
likely
to
engage
in
big
bath
write-‐offs.
• En&&es
that
adopt
a
long-‐term
bonus
plan
in
addi&on
to
a
short-‐
term
plan
are
able
mi&gate
earnings
management
16
Why
do
entities
manage
earnings?
• Changes
in
CEO
and
earnings
management:
• Earnings
management
is
par&cularly
evident
around
the
&me
a
CEO
changes.
• Outgoing
CEOs
are
likely
to
manage
earnings
up
in
final
year
to
increase
opportuni&es
or
reduce
appearance
of
poor
performance.
• Incoming
CEOs
are
more
likely
to
take
an
earnings
bath
in
the
first
year
and
then
the
following
year
show
large
earnings
increases.
17
Why
do
entities
manage
earnings?
• To
avoid
viola7ng
restric7ve
debt
covenants/
corporate
distress
• Default
on
a
debt
agreement
can
be
associated
with
corporate
distress.
• En&&es
that
are
financially
distressed
and
facing
debt
covenant
viola&ons
are
likely
to
use
earnings
management
to
avoid
the
costly
breach
of
debt
covenants.
18
Consequences
of
earnings
management
• The
consequences
of
earnings
management
decisions
will
depend
upon
the
nature
and
extent
of
earnings
management
that
has
taken
place.
• In
ini&al
public
offerings
(IPOs)
–aggressive
earnings
management
oeen
leads
to
subsequent
poor
share
performance
when
earnings
decline.
• Earnings
management
leads
to
market
temporarily
overvaluing
the
en&ty
• Share
market
reacts
nega&vely
to
disclosure
that
there
has
been
fraudulent
manipula&on
of
earnings
19
Corporate
governance
and
earnings
management
• The
composi7on
of
the
board,
including
the
number
of
members,
their
exper&se
and
independence
are
important
in
determining
how
likely
it
is
that
managers
are
able
to
manipulate
or
manage
earnings.
• Research
has
found
that
there
is
likely
to
be
greater
levels
of
earnings
management
when
the
propor7on
of
independent
directors
on
the
board
is
low.
20
Summary
• The
importance
of
earnings
in
assessing
the
success
of
an
organisa&on.
• What
earnings
management
is.
• A
number
of
common
methods
of
earnings
management.
• Accoun&ng
policy
choice,
accrual
accoun&ng,
income
smoothing,
real
ac&vi&es
management
and
big
bath
write-‐offs.
• The
reasons
why
en&&es
manage
earnings.
• The
consequences
of
earnings
management.
• The
role
corporate
governance
plays
in
controlling
earnings
management.
21
Discussion
1. Discuss
methods
that
en&&es
use
to
manage
earnings.
Why
might
en&&es
engage
in
earnings
management.
Refer
to
Mohanram
(2003)
Group
5
2. Discuss
the
use
of
classifica&on
shieing
as
an
earnings
management
tool.
Refer
to
Malikov
et
al
(2018)
Group
6
3. Discuss
whether
CEO
compensa&on
is
related
to
earnings
management.
Refer
to
Tahir
et
al
(2019)
Group
7
4. Discuss
the
role
of
corporate
governance
in
preven&ng
earnings
management.
Refer
to
Xie
et
al
(2003)
Group
8
22