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The Census of India Defines A Slum As
The Census of India Defines A Slum As
If the experience elsewhere is a guide then poverty, slums and urban squat will be a diminishing
phenomenon, if the rapid economic progress keeps its pace. Today we would have smaller of the
slums, had economic policies of the present were in place 50 years back. Only now, all signs point to
a rapidly rising GDP together with rising per capita GDP. With rise in income level, tendency to head
to the slums has lessened. Die-hard slum dwellers who wish to pay no taxes and spend nothing on
housing will most certainly continue to stay there. Others will prefer to move out. This is a normal
phenomenon. It happened in US and elsewhere. It will happen in India too. An economic equilibrium
has not been reached in the society yet, where enough money in people’s pocket will persuade them
to vacate the slums. This won’t we reached for another 20 to 25 years. By about middle of this
period with increased availability of housing and higher incomes, the growth in slum dwelling will be
arrested. Decline will begin only when much higher incomes are reached (as stated above), provided
India does not make the mistake of regularizing the slums/bustees with land tenure on tenable land
and other amenities. That is a sure fire method to keep the slums going. People will always wait for
free grant of land ownership even if these grants never materialize. Even the possibility of this ever
happening in a distant future will keep the slum dwellers in the slums.
Conclusion
Poverty, slums and urban squat are not going to go away in next 20 to 25 years. Reversal of this
phenomenon will begin after sufficient economic progress had been made. Eight percent GDP
growths is a good sign. With quadrupled GDP in 25 years, there is a good chance that the new and
upcoming generation may stay away from slum dwelling. It may take another 25 years before the
slums are vacated.