M_Estático

AÑO DEMANDA Nombre Descripción

7001 A_MHW Alfa metodo de Hold winter´s
5535 B_MHW Betha metodo de Hold winter´s

2010
2301 G_MHW Gamma metodo de Hold winter´s
2218 L_MHW Longitud de estacionalidad del metodo de H
6473
3993
2011

3151
1821
5805
3983
2012

2318
1526
2013

M_Chasse

AÑO DEMANDA
378
295
2010

233
356
455
346
2011

266
445
588
393
2012

298
500
2013

M_HWinters

AÑO DEMANDA
13468
21801
2010

38468
2010
56801
16801
30135

2011
38468
63468
20135
2012 21801
53468
68468
2013
e Hold winter´s
de Hold winter´s
o de Hold winter´s
tacionalidad del metodo de Hold Winter´s
 α β ƴ L

AÑO TRIMESTRE PERIODO DEMANDA PROM_BASE ST PERIODICO

-1
1 1 378 473.67 1.25
2 2 295 344.67 0.91

2010
3 3 233 265.67 0.70
4 4 356 433.67 1.14
1 5 455 1.25
2 6 346 0.91
2011

3 7 266 0.70
4 8 445 1.14
1 9 588 1.25
2 10 393 0.91
2012

3 11 298 0.70
4 12 500 1.14
1 13 1.25
2 14 0.91
2013

3 15 0.70
4 16 1.14
379.42
Tt Chart Title
13.8436906
700
LSt Ft Ft'
289.432678 600
302.8 303.276368 378.612536
500
324.7 317.120059 288.075678
332.8 330.96375 231.740047 400
311.5 344.80744 394.108921
300
364.5 358.651131 447.742813
380.9 372.494821 338.378779 200
379.9 386.338512 270.513327
100
389.3 400.182203 457.401314
471.0 414.025893 516.87309 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
432.6 427.869584 388.68188
425.6 441.713274 309.286606
437.5 455.556965 520.693707
469.400656 586.003366
483.244346 438.984981
497.088037 348.059886
510.931728 583.986099
12 14 16 18
L L/2 Pendiente Intersección
4 2 -224.066964 5154.86607

AÑO TRIMESTRE PERIODO DEMANDA Dt Ft

1 1 7001 4930.79911
2 2 5535 4706.73214
2010 3 3 2301 4855.25 4482.66518
4 4 2218 4595.25 4258.59821
1 5 6473 2922.75 4034.53125
2 6 3993 3199.125 3810.46429
2011

3 7 3151 4437 3586.39732

4 8 1821 4023.5 3362.33036
1 9 5805 2640.375 3138.26339
2 10 3983 2914.19643
2012

3 11 2318 2690.12946
4 12 1526 2466.0625
1 13
2 14
2013

3 15
4 16

St
St 8000
1.41985099 1.62466655
7000
1.17597514 1.19687883
0.5133107 0.75119228 6000
0.52082866 0.56040584
5000
1.60439952 1.62466655
1.0479038 1.19687883 4000
0.87859758 0.75119228
0.54158866 0.56040584 3000
1.84974914 1.62466655
2000
1.36675756 1.19687883
0.86166857 0.75119228 1000
0.61880021 0.56040584
0
1.62466655 0 2 4 6 8 10 1
1.19687883
0.75119228
0.56040584

St1 1.62466655
St2 1.19687883
St3 0.75119228
St4 0.56040584
6 8 10 12 14
 α β ƴ L
0.2 0.5 0.35 4

AÑO TRIMESTRE PERIODO DEMANDA Lt Tt St

-4 1
-3 1
-2 1
-1 20159.76 2581.60 1
1 1 13468 20886.69 1654.27 0.8757
2 2 21801 22392.96 1580.27 0.9907
2010

3 3 38468 26872.19 3029.75 1.1510

4 4 56801 36894.48 6526.02 1.1080
1 5 16801 38127.99 3879.76 0.7982
2 6 30135 38842.37 2297.07 1.0197
2011

3 7 38468 39855.00 1654.85 1.0580

4 8 63468 49110.41 5455.13 0.9712
1 9 20135 47601.60 1973.16 0.8109
2 10 21801 43780.80 -923.82 0.8620
2012

3 11 53468 45296.73 296.05 1.0444

4 12 68468 53362.02 4180.67 0.9761
1 13
2 14
2013

3 15
4 16
 Ft E1 Chart Title
80000

70000

22741.359 9273.35897 60000

22540.9527 739.952681
23973.2324 14494.7676 50000
29901.9329 26899.0671
40000
38022.6621 21221.6621
41619.0791 11484.0791
30000
47352.7828 8884.78282
45994.5053 17473.4947 20000
43554.9039 23419.9039
50551.8717 28750.8717 10000
45344.5949 8123.40507
44277.9697 24190.0303 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
46658.9481
53206.4116
68829.7198
68412.2993
16246.2813
14 16 18