fecha consumo(KWh) produccion (Kg) tonCO2/mes produccion (ton)

Jan-02 19780 5150 7.912 5.15

Feb-02 21844 8600 8.7376 8.6
Mar-02 25628 9300 10.2512 9.3
Apr-02 22876 8250 9.1504 8.25
May-02 29584 12214.85 11.8336 12.21485
Jun-02 29584 11500 11.8336 11.5
Jul-02 13416 3064.4 5.3664 3.0644
Aug-02 17028 2584.45 6.8112 2.58445
Sep-02 22879 6453.35 9.1516 6.45335
Oct-02 28899 9027.6 11.5596 9.0276
Nov-02 29756 9768.45 11.9024 9.76845
Dec-02 24596 9239.7 9.8384 9.2397
Jan-03 11352 2072.75 4.5408 2.07275
Feb-03 18748 7003.7 7.4992 7.0037
Mar-03 17200 6003.5 6.88 6.0035
Apr-03 18060 6820.35 7.224 6.82035
May-03 19436 6852.35 7.7744 6.85235
Jun-03 19264 8639.1 7.7056 8.6391
Jul-03 18060 5914 7.224 5.914
Aug-03 20468 7118.2 8.1872 7.1182
Sep-03 21470 8677.25 8.588 8.67725
Oct-03 24768 10984.11 9.9072 10.98411

consumo (MW) Kg produccion

19.78 7912
21.844 8737.6
25.628 10251.2
22.876 9150.4
29.584 11833.6
29.584 11833.6
13.416 5366.4
17.028 6811.2
22.879 9151.6
28.899 11559.6
29.756 11902.4
24.596 9838.4
11.352 4540.8
18.748 7499.2
17.2 6880
18.06 7224
19.436 7774.4
19.264 7705.6
 18.06 7224
20.468 8187.2
21.47 8588
24.768 9907.2
KgCO2/ton produc consumo(Kwh)/1 suma ultimos 12 datos intensidad
14000energetica huella ecologica
1536.31067961165 1978 consumo produccion 18.52927400468
1016 2184.4 20.46276346604
12000
1102.27956989247 2562.8 24.0074941452
1109.13939393939 2287.6 21.42950819672
968.787991665882 2958.4 10000
27.71334894614
1029.00869565217 2958.4 27.71334894614

produccion Kg o consumo*10
1751.2074141757 1341.6 12.567681498829
2635.45435198978 1702.8 8000 15.95128805621
1418.11617222063 2287.9 21.432318501171
1280.47321547255 2889.9 27.071662763466
6000
1218.45328583347 2975.6 27.87447306792
1064.79647607606 2459.6 28587 95152.8 3.0043256740737 23.04074941452
2190.71282113135 1135.2 27744.2 92075.55 3.01319948672585
4000 10.63419203747
1070.74831874581 1874.8 27434.6 90479.25 3.03214272885772 17.562529274
1145.99816773549 1720 26591.8 87182.75 3.05012172706183 16.112412177986
1059.18317974884 1806 26110.2 85753.1 2000
3.04481120799131 16.91803278689
1134.5596766073 1943.6 25095.4 80390.6 3.12168338089279 18.20702576112
891.94476276464 1926.4 24063.4 77529.7 3.10376539571287 18.04590163934
0
1221.50828542442 1806 24527.8 80379.3 3.051507042236
Jan-02 Mar-0216.91803278689
May-02 Jul-02 Sep-02 Nov-02
1150.17841589166 2046.8 24871.8 84913.05 2.92909040483177 19.1737704918
989.714483275231 2147 24730.9 87136.95 2.83816452148027 20.11241217799
901.957464009374 2476.8 24317.8 89093.46 2.72947082760059 23.2018735363

tendencia de consum
100000

90000

80000

70000
Kg/año o ton/año*10

60000

50000

40000

30000

20000

10000

0
Dec-02 Jan-03 Feb-03 Mar-03 Apr-03 May-0
 30

25

20

15
consumo
produccion
10

0
Jan-02 Mar-02 May-02 Jul-02

-02 Jul-02 Sep-02 Nov-02 Jan-03 Mar-03 May-03 Jul-03 Sep-03

tendencia de consumo y produccion anual

consumo
produccion

eb-03 Mar-03 Apr-03 May-03 Jun-03 Jul-03 Aug-03 Sep-03 Oct-03

 huella ecologica

Mar-02 May-02 Jul-02 Sep-02 Nov-02 Jan-03 Mar-03 May-03 Jul-03 Sep-03
 produccion
N° fecha consumo(KWh) (Kg)
1 Jan-02 19780 5150 Resumen
2 Feb-02 21844 8600
3 Mar-02 25628 9300 Estadísticas de la regresió
4 Apr-02 22876 8250 Coeficiente de co
5 May-02 29584 12214.85 Coeficiente de d
6 Jun-02 29584 11500 R^2 ajustado
7 Jul-02 13416 3064.4 Error típico
8 Aug-02 17028 2584.45 Observaciones
9 Sep-02 22879 6453.35
10 Oct-02 28899 9027.6 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
11 Nov-02 29756 9768.45
12 Dec-02 24596 9239.7 Regresión
13 Jan-03 11352 2072.75 Residuos
14 Feb-03 18748 7003.7 Total
15 Mar-03 17200 6003.5
16 Apr-03 18060 6820.35
17 May-03 19436 6852.35 Intercepción
18 Jun-03 19264 8639.1 Variable X 1
19 Jul-03 18060 5914
20 Aug-03 20468 7118.2
21 Sep-03 21470 8677.25
22 Oct-03 24768 10984.11

Fecha Producción (Kg) Consumo (KWh) emodelo Real-teorico consumo meta

Jan-02 5150 19780 17660.15 2119.85 16285.49
Feb-02 8600 21844 23383.7 -1539.7 21241.76
Mar-02 9300 25628 24545 1083 22247.38
Apr-02 8250 22876 22803.05 72.95 20738.95
May-02 12214.85 29584 29380.73615 203.26385 26434.85351
Jun-02 11500 29584 28194.8 1389.2 25407.9
Jul-02 3064.4 13416 14200.1396 -784.1396 13289.31704
Aug-02 2584.45 17028 13403.90255 3624.09745 12599.82087
Sep-02 6453.35 22879 19822.40765 3056.59235 18157.88261
Oct-02 9027.6 28899 24093.0884 4805.9116 21856.05016
Nov-02 9768.45 29756 25322.15855 4433.84145 22920.35527
Dec-02 9239.7 24596 24444.9623 151.0377 22160.75302
Jan-03 2072.75 11352 12554.99225 -1202.99225 11864.71265
Feb-03 7003.7 18748 20735.4383 -1987.4383 18948.51542
Mar-03 6003.5 17200 19076.1065 -1876.1065 17511.6281
Apr-03 6820.35 18060 20431.26065 -2371.26065 18685.11481
May-03 6852.35 19436 20484.34865 -1048.34865 18731.08601
 Jun-03 8639.1 19264 23448.5669 -4184.5669 21297.93106
Jul-03 5914 18060 18927.626 -867.626 17383.0524
Aug-03 7118.2 20468 20925.3938 -457.3938 19113.00612
Sep-03 8677.25 21470 23511.85775 -2041.85775 21352.73735
Oct-03 10984.11 24768 27338.93849 -2570.93849 24666.772426
promedio 21577.09091
porcentaje de ah
Estadísticas de la regresión
0.882507276211844
0.778819092566847
0.76776004719519
2457.38056069496
22

ISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F
1 425269059.416553 425269059.4166 70.423718 5.52465591238E-08
20 120774384.401629 6038719.220081
21 546043443.818182

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%

9116.2981619906 1574.58040752157 5.789668230624 1.15237E-05 5831.78098711962 12400.8153
1.65904488036208 0.19769635393429 8.391884055249 5.52466E-08 1.24665751239742 2.07143225

30000
28000
26000
24000
22000
potencial de ahorro modelo base 100 meta base 100 base 100 suma acumulativa 20000
1374.66 89% 82% 100% 2119.85 18000
2141.93999999999 107% 97% 100% 580.150000000002 16000
2297.62 96% 87% 100% 1663.15 14000
2064.1 100% 91% 100% 1736.1 12000
2945.88264 99% 89% 100% 1939.36385 10000
2786.9 95% 86% 100% 3328.56385 0 20

910.822559999997 106% 99% 100% 2544.42425

804.081679999999 79% 74% 100% 6168.52170000001
1664.52504 87% 79% 100% 9225.11405
2237.03824 83% 76% 100% 14031.02565
2401.80328 85% 77% 100% 18464.8671
2284.20928 99% 90% 100% 18615.9048
690.279599999998 111% 105% 100% 17412.91255
1786.92288 111% 101% 100% 15425.47425
1564.4784 111% 102% 100% 13549.36775
1746.14584 113% 103% 100% 11178.1071
1753.26264 105% 96% 100% 10129.75845
 2150.63584 122% 111% 100% 5945.19155
1544.5736 105% 96% 100% 5077.56555
1812.38768 102% 93% 100% 4620.17175000001
2159.1204 110% 99% 100% 2578.31400000001
2672.166064 110% 100% 100% 7.37551000000531
1899.70707563636
8.80%

20000
18000
16000
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
7 8 6 7
25 28 31 34
37 37 37 37 3
Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0% unidades
5831.78099 12400.8153 comsumo
1.24665751 2.07143225 kW/kg

30000
28000 f(x) = 1.65904488036208 x + 9116.29816199061
R² = 0.778819092566848
26000
24000 f(x) = 1.43660791945226 x + 8886.97660008954
22000 R² = 0.943339655073056

20000
18000
16000
14000
12000
10000
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000

Linea base Linear (Linea base)

Linea meta Linear (Linea meta)

Consumo vs Produccion
Indicador base 100
1.3

1.2

1.1

0.9
 1.3

1.2

1.1

0.9

0.8

0.7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

Modelo base Modelo meta Base 100

CUSUM
20000
18000
16000
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
7 8 6 7 7 8 8 9 0 0 1 1 2 3 1 2 2 3 3 4 5 5
25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 74 77 80 83 86 89
37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37
Fecha Producción (Kg) Consumo (KWh) emodelo emod+4des emod-4*des emod+2*des
Jan-02 5150 19780 17660.15 61596.59 -26276.29 39628.37
Feb-02 8600 21844 23383.7 67320.14 -20552.74 45351.92
Mar-02 9300 25628 24545 68481.44 -19391.44 46513.22
Apr-02 8250 22876 22803.05 66739.49 -21133.39 44771.27
May-02 12214.85 29584 29380.7362 73317.1762 -14555.7039 51348.9562
Jun-02 11500 29584 28194.8 72131.24 -15741.64 50163.02
Jul-02 3064.4 13416 14200.1396 58136.5796 -29736.3004 36168.3596
Aug-02 2584.45 17028 13403.9026 57340.3426 -30532.5375 35372.1226
Sep-02 6453.35 22879 19822.4077 63758.8477 -24114.0324 41790.6277
Oct-02 9027.6 28899 24093.0884 68029.5284 -19843.3516 46061.3084
Nov-02 9768.45 29756 25322.1586 69258.5986 -18614.2815 47290.3786
Dec-02 9239.7 24596 24444.9623 68381.4023 -19491.4777 46413.1823
Jan-03 2072.75 11352 12554.9923 56491.4323 -31381.4478 34523.2123
Feb-03 7003.7 18748 20735.4383 64671.8783 -23201.0017 42703.6583
Mar-03 6003.5 17200 19076.1065 63012.5465 -24860.3335 41044.3265
Apr-03 6820.35 18060 20431.2607 64367.7007 -23505.1794 42399.4807
May-03 6852.35 19436 20484.3487 64420.7887 -23452.0914 42452.5687
Jun-03 8639.1 19264 23448.5669 67385.0069 -20487.8731 45416.7869
Jul-03 5914 18060 18927.626 62864.066 -25008.814 40895.846
Aug-03 7118.2 20468 20925.3938 64861.8338 -23011.0462 42893.6138
Sep-03 8677.25 21470 23511.8578 67448.2978 -20424.5823 45480.0778
Oct-03 10984.11 24768 27338.9385 71275.3785 -16597.5015 49307.1585
emod-2*des emod+,5des emod-,5des
-4308.07 23152.205 12168.095
1415.48 28875.755 17891.645 Chart Title
2576.78 30037.055 19052.945 35000
834.83 28295.105 17310.995 30000
7412.51615 34872.7912 23888.6812
25000
6226.58 33686.855 22702.745
-7768.0804 19692.1946 8708.0846 20000

-8564.31745 18895.9576 7911.84755 15000

-2145.81235 25314.4627 14330.3527 10000
2124.8684 29585.1434 18601.0334
5000
3353.93855 30814.2136 19830.1036
0
2476.7423 29937.0173 18952.9073 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000
-9413.22775 18047.0473 7062.93725
Column D Linear (Column
-1232.7817 26227.4933 15243.3833 Column J Column K
-2892.1135 24568.1615 13584.0515
-1536.95935 25923.3157 14939.2057
-1483.87135 25976.4037 14992.2937
1480.3469 28940.6219 17956.5119
-3040.594 24419.681 13435.571
-1042.8262 26417.4488 15433.3388
1543.63775 29003.9128 18019.8028
5370.71849 32830.9935 21846.8835
 Chart Title

0 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000

Column D Linear (Column D)

Column J Column K
 produccion linea base suma
periodo consumo (E) Ea-Et
(P) Et acumulativa

Jan-02 19780 5150 17660.3793 2119.6207 2.12E+03

Feb-02 21844 8600 23384.0841 -1540.08413 5.80E+02
Mar-02 25628 9300 24545.4155 1082.58445 1.66E+03
Apr-02 22876 8250 22803.4184 72.581575 1.73E+03
May-02 29584 12214.85 29381.2825 202.717481 1.94E+03
Jun-02 29584 11500 28195.3143 1388.68571 3.33E+03
Jul-02 13416 3064.4 14200.2753 -784.275293 2.54E+03
Aug-02 17028 2584.45 13404.0167 3623.9833 6.17E+03
Sep-02 22879 6453.35 19822.6954 3056.30456 9.22E+03
Oct-02 28899 9027.6 24093.4917 4805.50828 1.40E+04
Nov-02 29756 9768.45 25322.5951 4433.40488 1.85E+04
Dec-02 24596 9239.7 24445.3751 150.624857 1.86E+04
Jan-03 11352 2072.75 12555.0834 -1203.08344 1.74E+04 14452.1927
Feb-03 18748 7003.7 20735.7508 -1987.75079 1.54E+04 22341.2196
Mar-03 17200 6003.5 19076.3741 -1876.3741 1.35E+04 20740.9997
Apr-03 18060 6820.35 20431.5649 -2371.56491 1.12E+04 22047.878
May-03 19436 6852.35 20484.6543 -1048.65435 1.01E+04 22099.0748
Jun-03 19264 8639.1 23448.9528 -4184.95279 5.94E+03 24957.6961
Jul-03 18060 5914 18927.8896 -867.889584 5.07E+03 20597.8086
Aug-03 20468 7118.2 20925.7114 -457.711429 4.61E+03 22524.4082
Sep-03 21470 8677.25 23512.2454 -2042.24535 2.57E+03 25018.7323
Oct-03 24768 10984.11 27339.4296 -2571.42962 5.53E-10 28709.4776

linea de tendencia
0

-5000

-10000

-15000

-20000

-25000

-30000

-35000

-40000
Dec-02 Jan-03 Mar-03 May-03 Jun-03 Aug-03 Oct-03 Nov-03
-30000

-35000

-40000
Dec-02 Jan-03 Mar-03 May-03 Jun-03 Aug-03 Oct-03 Nov-03
 indicador de tendencia del desempeño acumulativo
2.00E+04
1.80E+04
1.60E+04
1.40E+04
1.20E+04
1.00E+04
8.00E+03
6.00E+03
4.00E+03
2.00E+03
0.00E+00
Nov-01 Feb-02 May-02 Sep-02 Dec-02 Mar-03 Jun-03 Oct-03 Jan-04

-3100.19273 -3100.19273
-3593.21963 -6693.41236 consumo primeros 12 meses
-3540.99965 -10234.412 35000
-3987.87797 -14222.29
30000
-2663.07477 -16885.3647 f(x) = 1.59994584715479 x + 11135.8893995708
R² = 0.848407998967124
-5693.69609 -22579.0608 25000
-2537.8086 -25116.8694
20000
-2056.40818 -27173.2776
-3548.73228 -30722.0099 15000
-3941.47759 -34663.4875
10000

5000

0
2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000
encia

n-03 Aug-03 Oct-03 Nov-03

n-03 Aug-03 Oct-03 Nov-03
cumulativo

3 Oct-03 Jan-04

12000 14000
 consumo
Kwh/mes/1 produccion
000 ton/mes IC Ict
enero 19.78 5.15 3.840776699 3.7622301
febrero 21.844 8.6 2.54 2.89478372
marzo 25.628 9.3 2.755698925 2.79731935
abril 22.876 8.25 2.772848485 2.94971818
mayo 29.584 12.21485 2.421969979 2.51157718
junio 29.584 11.5 2.572521739 2.56824783
julio 13.416 3.0644 4.378018535 5.23389034
agosto 17.028 2.58445 6.58863588 5.90874714
septiembre 22.879 6.45335 3.545290431 3.32551538
octubre 28.899 9.0276 3.201183039 2.83345045
noviembre 29.756 9.76845 3.046133215 2.73989662
diciembre 24.596 9.2397 2.66199119 2.80513394
13 2.45651538 35

consumo Kwh/mes*1000
14 2.39532857 30
f(x) = 1.59994
15 2.3423 25 R² = 0.848407
16 2.2959 20
17 2.25495882 15
10
produccion consumo
Kg/mes Kwh/mes 18 2.21856667 5
5150 19780 0
2 4
8600 21844
9300 25628
8250 22876
12214.85 29584
11500 29584 ton/mes ic modelado
3064.4 13416 prom 7.9294 3.36087585
2584.45 17028 desvest 3.044978532 1.09495806 gráfico de comp
6453.35 22879 max 12.21485 5.90874714 indice de consumo Kwh/ton 7
9027.6 28899 min 2.58445 2.51157718 6
9768.45 29756 5
9239.7 24596
4
3
2
1
0
0 2
 Grafico E vs P
35
consumo Kwh/mes*1000

30
f(x) = 1.59994584715479 x + 11.1358893995708
25 R² = 0.848407998967124
20
15
10
5
0
2 4 6 8 10 12 14
produccion Ton/mes

gráfico de comportamiento del indice de consumo en los ultimos años

7
indice de consumo Kwh/ton

6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
produccion ton/mes
 Kwh/mes presupuesta
presupuestado real (real- do
meses ton/mes kWh/mes/10ton/mes kWh/mes/10 presupuesto KWh/mes
enero 5 19.25 5.15 19.78 0.53 19.8275
febrero 9 34.65 8.6 21.844 -12.806 33.11
marzo 9 34.65 9.3 25.628 -9.022 35.805
abril 8 30.8 8.25 22.876 -7.924 31.7625
mayo 12 46.2 12.21485 29.584 -16.616 47.0271725
junio 12 46.2 11.5 29.584 -16.616 44.275
julio 4 15.4 3.0644 13.416 -1.984 11.79794
agosto 4 15.4 2.58445 17.028 1.628 9.9501325
septiembre 7 26.95 6.45335 22.879 -4.071 24.8453975
octubre 9 34.65 9.0276 28.899 -5.751 34.75626
noviembre 9 34.65 9.76845 29.756 -4.894 37.6085325
diciembre 9 34.65 9.2397 24.596 -10.054 35.572845
total -87.58 total

ahorro
kg kw kg kw promedio
consumo
5150 19780 5000 19250 mensual
promedio
8600 21844 9000 34650 mensual
% ahorro
9300 25628 9000 34650 mensual
8250 22876 8000 30800
12214.85 29584 12000 46200
11500 29584 12000 46200
3064.4 13416 4000 15400
2584.45 17028 4000 15400
6453.35 22879 7000 26950
9027.6 28899 9000 34650
9768.45 29756 9000 34650
9239.7 24596 9000 34650
 consumo
según el
modelo
-0.0475
-11.266 modelo presupuesto de energia
-10.177 50
-8.8865 45
f(x) = 3.85 x − 8.20464079523654E-15
Kwh/mes presupuetado 40 R² = 1
-17.4431725
35
-14.691 30
1.61806 25
7.0778675 20
-1.9663975 15
10
-5.85726
5
-7.8525325 0
-10.976845 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

-80.46828 ton/mes presupuestdas

-6.70569
23.8225 modelo real de energia
-28.148557 35
30
f(x) = 1.59994584715479 x + 11.1358893995708
25 R² = 0.848407998967124
Kwh/mes real

20
15
10
5
0
2 4 6 8 10 12 14
ton/mes real