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Keuangan
Pertemuan VII
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT: CHAPTER 11
PRINCIPLES & APPLICATIONS
• Thirteenth Edition Investment Decision Criteria
To identify the sources and types of profitable
investment opportunities.
Evaluate investment opportunities using net present
value and describe why net present value is the best
measure to use.
Use the profitability index, internal rate of return,
and payback criteria to evaluate investment
opportunities.
current business practice with respect to the use of
capital-budgeting criteria.
2 Copyright © 2018, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved
INVESTMENT DECISION
CRITERIA
4
TYPES OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT PROJECTS
1. Revenue enhancing Investments (such as introducing a new product line),
2. Cost-reducing investments (such as replacing old equipment with a more
efficient equipment), and
3. Mandatory investments that are a result of government mandates (such as
investments to meet safety and environmental regulations)
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TYPES OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT PROJECTS
• The net present value (NPV) is the difference between the present value of cash
inflows and the cash outflows. NPV estimates the amount of wealth that the
project creates.
• Decision Criteria: Investment projects should be accepted if the NPV of the
project is positive and should be rejected if the NPV is negative.
1 1 1
Rate (k ) Rate (k ) Rate (k )
7
THE PROBLEM
Saber Electronics provides specialty manufacturing services to defense contractors
located in the Seattle, Washington area. The initial outlay is $3 million and,
management estimates that the firm might generate cash flows for years one
through five equal to $500,000; $750,000; $1,500,000; $2,000,000; and
$2,000,000. Saber uses a 20% discount rate for projects of this type. Is this a
good investment opportunity?
Cash flows
(in $ millions)
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DECIDE ON A SOLUTION STRATEGY
• We need to analyze if this is a good investment opportunity. We can do that by
computing the Net Present Value (NPV), which requires computing the present
value of all cash flows.
• We can compute the NPV by using a mathematical formula, a financial calculator
or a spreadsheet.
1 1 1
Rate (k ) Rate (k ) Rate (k )
Cost of making the investment = Initial Present value of the investment’s cash inflows = Present
cash flow (this is typically a cash value of the project’s future cash inflows
outflow, taking on a negative value)
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SOLVE
• NPV = −$3m + $.5m/(1.2) + $.75m/(1.2)2 + $1.5m/(1.2)3 + $2m/(1.2)4 +
$2m/(1.2)4
• NPV = −$3,000,000 + $416,666.67 + $520,833.30 + $868,055.60 +
$964,506 + $803,755.10
• NPV = $573,817
Using an Excel Spreadsheet
NPV = NPV (discount rate, CF1-5 ) - CF0 • The project requires an initial investment of
= NPV(.20, 500000, 750000, 1500000, $3,000,000 and generates futures cash flows
that have a present value of $3,573,817.
2000000,2000000) − 3000000
Consequently, the project cash flows are
= $573,817 $573,817 more than the required investment.
• Since the NPV is positive, the project is an
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acceptable project.
INDEPENDENT VERSUS MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE INVESTMENT PROJECTS
• An independent investment project is one that stands alone and can be
undertaken without influencing the acceptance or rejection of any other project.
1. Calculate NPV;
2. Accept the project if NPV is positive and reject if it is negative.
• Accepting a mutually exclusive project prevents another project from being
accepted.
1. Substitutes – When a firm is analyzing two or more alternative investments, and each performs
the same function.
2. Firm Constraints – Firm faces constraints such as limited managerial time or limited financial
capital that limit its ability to invest in every positive NPV project.
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INVESTMENT DECISION
CRITERIA
13
THE PROBLEM
• What is the EAC for machine A that costs $50,000, requires payment of $6,000
per year for maintenance and operation expense, and lasts for 6 years? You
may assume that the discount rate is 9% and there will be no salvage value
associated with the machine. In addition, you intend to replace this machine at the
end of its life with an identical machine with identical costs.
k = 9%
Cash flows
(in $, thousands)
EAC = ?
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SOLVE NPV
Cash Flow Cash Flow Cash Flow
Net Present Cash Flow for Year 1 (CF1 ) for Year 2 (CF2 ) for Year n (CFn )
Value (NPV ) for Year 0 (CF0 ) Discount 1 Discount
2
Discount
n
1 1 1
Rate (k ) Rate (k ) Rate (k )
Cost of making the investment = Initial Present value of the investment’s cash inflows = Present
cash flow (this is typically a cash outflow, value of the project’s future cash inflows
taking on a negative value)
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SOLVE EAC
EAC A = NPV ÷ Annuity Factor
= −$76,915 ÷ 4.4859
= −$17,145.95 (Proyek 6 tahun)
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INVESTMENT DECISION
CRITERIA
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PROBLEM
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SOLVE THE PROBLEM
k = 10%
(in $, thousands)
The PI for a project is equal to the present value of the project’s
PI = ? expected cash flows for years 1-6 divided by the initial outlay.
PI = PV of expected cash flows ÷ −Initial outlay
We can proceed in two steps:
1. Compute PV of expected cash flows by discounting the cash
flows from Year 1 to Year 6 at 10%.
PVt = CFt ÷ (1.09)t
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2. Compute PI
COMPUTING PV OF CASH INFLOWS
Decision Criteria: Accept the project if the IRR is greater than the required rate of
return or discount rate used to calculate the net present value of the project, and
23 reject it otherwise.
THE PROBLEM
Knowledge Associates is a small consulting firm in Portland, Oregon, and
they are considering the purchase of a new copying center for the office
that can copy, fax, and scan documents. The new machine costs $10,010 to
purchase and is expected to provide cash flow savings over the next four
years of $1,000; $3,000; $6,000; and $7,000.
The employee in charge of performing financial analysis of the proposed
investment has decided to use the IRR as her primary criterion for making
a recommendation to the managing partner of the firm. If the discount
rate the firm uses to value the cash flows from office equipment purchases
is 15%, is this a good investment for the firm?
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SOLVE THE PROBLEM
IRR = ?
• Here we have to calculate the project’s IRR. IRR is equal to the discount rate that makes the
present value of the future cash flows (in years 1-4) equal to the initial cash outflow of
$10,010.
• We can compute the IRR using trial & error, financial calculator or an excel spreadsheet.
Using a Mathematical Formula
– This will require finding the rate at which NPV is equal to zero.
– We compute the NPV at different rates to determine the range of IRR.
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SOLVE THE PROBLEM • The new copying center requires
an initial investment of $10,010
Using an Excel Spread sheet and provides future cash flows
that offer a return of 19%. Since
the firm has decided 15% as the
minimum acceptable return, this is
a good investment for the firm.
• When the first cash flow is
negative and the subsequent cash
flows are positive, there is one
unique IRR. However, there can
be multiple values for the IRR
when at least one of the later cash
flow is negative. Checkpoint 10.5
demonstrates a project that has
26 two IRRs.
THE PROBLEM
Suppose that the firm is considering the above investment is able to pay
an additional $65,000 in year 0, which pays for cleanup expenses at the
end of the project’s life in year 3. In its previous analysis, the firm
estimated these costs to be $100,000, so the year 3 cash outflow is
reduced to $210,000. What is your estimate of the firm’s NPV and IRR for
the project based on the renegotiated cash flows?
IRR, NPV = ?
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SOLVE THE PROBLEM
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USING THE IRR WITH MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE INVESTMENTS
Figure 11.1 shows that if we use NPV, project AA+ is better while if we
use IRR, project BBR is better. How to select under such circumstances?
– Use NPV as it will give the correct ranking for the projects.
• Both alternatives have positive NPVs and IRRs that
exceed Apex’s 15% required rate of return.
• However, the projects are ranked differently using NPV
or IRR: AA+ has the higher NPV, while BBR has a higher
IRR.
• The ranking difference is due to the effect of discounting
and the difference in the patterns of the cash flows for
the two projects.
• AA+’s cash flows increase over time, while BBR’s
decrease.
• Higher discount rates have a disproportionate effect on
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present values, as we see in Panel B.
INVESTMENT DECISION
CRITERIA
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THE PROBLEM
Analyze the MIRR for the preceding problem where the required rate of return used to
discount the cash flows is 8%. What is the MIRR?
• If we use IRR, we will get multiple IRRs
as there are two sign changes in cash
flow stream.
• We can use MIRR by doing the
following:
First Second – First, discount the year 2
Sign Sign negative cash flows back to year
change change 0 using the 8% discount rate.
– Second, calculate the MIRR of
the resulting cash flows for years
0 and 1.
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SOLVE THE PROBLEM
First, discount the year 2 negative cash flows back to year 0 using the 8% discount rate
We were able to
−$265,947 compute IRR by
−$500,947 eliminating the second
sign change and thus
The modified cash flow stream is as follows: modifying the cash
flows. MIRR is not the
same as IRR as
modified cash flows are
• Calculating the IRR for the above modified cash flows produces discounted based on the
MIRR equal to 7.9% discount rate used to
calculate NPV (which is
not the same as IRR).
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INVESTMENT DECISION
CRITERIA
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TABLE 11.1 LIMITATIONS OF THE PAYBACK PERIOD CRITERION
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INVESTMENT DECISION
CRITERIA
The Survey
A GLANCE AT ACTUAL CAPITAL BUDGETING PRACTICES
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TABLE 11.3 BASIC CAPITAL—BUDGETING TECHNIQUES
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TABLE 11.3 BASIC CAPITAL—BUDGETING TECHNIQUES
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TABLE 11.3 BASIC CAPITAL—BUDGETING TECHNIQUES
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TABLE 11.3 BASIC CAPITAL—BUDGETING TECHNIQUES
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