Professional Documents
Culture Documents
PORTFOLIO
MANAGEMENT
CA MAYANK KOTHARI
28 76 56 35 106
Hours Videos Practical Questions Theory Questions Lectures Pages Notes
C A F i n a l S F M | अ ध्या य ७
पोटर्फोिलयो
प्रबंधन
सी.ए. मयंक कोठारी
28 75 56 35 106
घंटे के वीिडयो व्यावहािरक प्रश्न िसद्धांितक प्रश्न व्याख्यान पृष्ठों की पुस्तक
About The Faculty
CA Mayank Kothari
CA, BBA
Co-Founder of Conferenza.in
Achievements
1. Qualified the Chartered Accountancy exam in May 2012 held by ICAI.
2. Secured All India 47th Rank in CA Final and was topper in Nagpur division of
ICAI.
3. Also, he received Gold Medal for securing highest, 88 Marks in Indirect Tax
paper in Nagpur division.
4. He was felicitated with the Best Student Award from the hands of Vice
Chancellor of Nagpur University.
5. He has worked with Deloitte, Haskins and Sells, Pune
6. He has successfully implemented the Lightboard Technology in education
being the First in India.
7. Developed Conferenza MCQs App which has 50000+ Free MCQs for CA
Students
1 What is Investing? 1
4 Explain with example how to calculate return of investment in single security or single asset 3
5 Explain with example how to calculate risk of investment in single security or single asset 5
6 Explain the components of Total Risk. Or Write a short note on Systematic and Unsystematic Risk 7
8 What is Beta? 8
10 Explain the Concept of Coefficient of Correlation (r), Covariance (Cov), and R Squared 12
19 How to calculate proportion or weights of two securities in order to constitute a minimum variance 22
portfolio
22 Write a short note on Modern Portfolio Theory or Write a short note on Markowitz model of Risk 24
Return Optimization
31 Write a short note on Portfolio Evaluation Measures or How to measure the performance of a 39
portfolio or security? or Write a short note on Sharpe Ratio, Treynor Ratio, Jensen’s Alpha
33 Write a short note on Portfolio Rebalancing Theories or Write a short note on Buy and Hold Policy or 42
Write a short note on Constant Mix Policy or Constant Ratio Plan
35 Policy (CPPI) 47
42 What methods are involved to calculate the return of fixed income portfolio? 60
52 What are the advantages of bringing venture capital into the company? 69
Chapter 6
Portfolio Management
Investment Basics
When you were a child, you probably kept your money in a piggy bank or some
equivalent container in your bedroom. You dropped coins or stuffed bills in the
top and then shook them out of the bottom whenever you needed a little cash. If
you put every rupee of your allowance into your bank and did not spend it, over
time you might have saved a couple of thousand rupees, but the only money inside
was money that you put in yourself.
Putting your money into a savings account at your local bank is not much different
than keeping it in a piggy bank at home. While a bank will pay you interest on the
money in your account, interest rates on savings accounts are low and the amount
of money you have will increase at a very slow rate.
Page 1
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Page 2
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
One of the most important things you can do to ensure your financial fitness
is to just start investing – now! Don’t wait because time is not in your favour.
Many people think you need a lot to start investing, but you can invest as a
little as `500/- per month.
It’s important to understand the difference between savings and investing.
Saving money won’t make you rich, but it will be there when you need it.
Savings are when you put your money in savings accounts, certificate of
deposits, money market accounts, etc. Investing involves more risk, but if you
make good investment decisions, your investments will yield higher returns
over time than savings. Investing is when you put your money in stocks,
mutual funds, bonds, etc.
Page 3
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Similarly the actual selling price of the share may be less than the price expected
by the investor (`17.50) at the time of investment. It may sometimes be even
more. Hence there is a possibility that the future return may be more or less than
50%.
Since the future is uncertain the investor has to consider the probability of several
other possible returns. Investor now has to assign the probability to the various
possible returns as follows:
Possible Returns (%) Probability of occurrence
20 0.20
30 0.20
50 0.40
60 0.10
70 0.10
With the help of the past data investor can make such type of distribution of
returns. Now with the help of this data we can calculate Expected Return
1. Expected Return: The expected return of the investment is the probability
weighted average of all the possible returns.
𝐧
̅ = ∑ 𝐑 𝐢 𝐏𝐢
𝐑
𝐢=𝟏
Where,
The possible returns are denoted by 𝐑 𝐢 and
The related probabilities by 𝐏𝐢
Expected return 𝐑̅
Return Probability Expected Return
[𝐑 𝐢 ] [𝐩𝐢 ] [𝐑 𝐢 𝐩𝐢 ]
20 0.20 4
30 0.20 6
50 0.40 20
60 0.10 6
70 0.10 7
Total ∑ R i 𝑃i 43%
Page 4
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 5
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Page 6
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 7
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Page 8
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
according to how much they deviate from the market. A stock that swings
more than the market over time has a beta above 1.0. If a stock moves less
than the market, the stock's beta is less than 1.0. High-beta stocks are
supposed to be riskier but provide a potential for higher returns; low-beta
stocks pose less risk but also lower returns.
Thus if a stock has a beta of 1.2 and the market is expected to move up by
10 per cent, the stock should move by 12 per cent (obtained as 1.2
multiplied by 10). Similarly if the market loses ten per cent, the fund should
lose 12 per cent (obtained as 1.2 multiplied by minus 10)
Extreme and interesting cases of beta
Beta has no upper or lower bound, and betas as large as 3 or 4 will occur with
highly volatile stocks.
Beta can be zero. Some zero-beta assets are risk-free, such as treasury bonds
and cash. However, simply because a beta is zero does not mean that it is risk-
free. A beta can be zero simply because the correlation between that item's
returns and the market's returns is zero. An example would be betting on horse
racing. The correlation with the market will be zero, but it is certainly not a risk-
free endeavor.
Beta is used as a hedge ratio and you will understand more about it in the
chapter Derivatives.
Value of Beta Interpretation Example
β<0 Asset generally moves in the Gold, which often moves opposite
opposite direction as compared to the movements of the stock
to the index market
β=0 Movement of the asset is Fixed-yield asset, whose growth is
uncorrelated with the movement unrelated to the movement of the
of the benchmark stock market
0<β<1 Movement of the asset is Stable, "staple" stock such as a
generally in the same direction company that makes soap. Moves
as, but less than the movement ofin the same direction as the market
the benchmark at large, but less susceptible to day-
to-day fluctuation.
β=1 Movement of the asset is A representative stock or a stock
generally in the same direction that is a strong contributor to the
as, and about the same amount as index itself.
the movement of the benchmark
β>1 Movement of the asset is Volatile stock, such as a tech stock,
generally in the same direction or stocks which are very strongly
as, but more than the movement influenced by day-to-day market
of the benchmark news.
Page 9
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Where,
βx = Beta of the stock x
X = Return(%)from the stock,
Y = Return(%) from the market
̅ = Expected or Mean value of returns from stock
X
̅ = Expected or Mean value of returns from market
Y
n = number of observation
2. Correlation Analysis
Corrxy σx σy Corrxy σx Covxy
βx = or or
σ2y σy σy 2
Where,
βx = beta of the stock x
Corrxy = correlation between returns of the stock and returns of the market
σx = standard deviation of returns of the stock i
σy = standard deviation of returns of the market index
σ2y = variance of the market index
Covxy = Covariance of stock x and y
Page 10
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Concept Problem
Return of the security X and Market M is given below. You are required to
calculate the expected return, and beta for the security using Regression Analysis.
Return %
Security (X) Market (Y)
20 5
30 30
50 20
60 15
70 -20
20 25
Solution: Using Regression Analysis
Security
(X) Market (Y) XY Y²
20 21 420 441
30 25 750 625
50 30 1500 900
60 45 2700 2025
70 60 4200 3600
9570 7591
20 + 30 + 50 + 60 + 70
̅
X= = 46
5
21 + 25 + 30 + 45 + 60
̅ =
M = 36.20
5
∑ XY − nX̅̅Y
Beta β =
̅²
∑ Y² − nY
9570 − 5 x 46 x 36.20
=
7591 − 5 x 36.202
9570 − 8326
=
7591 − 6552
1244
=
1039
= 1.20
Page 11
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Beta of +1.20 indicates that the security will move in direction with the market to
the extent of 1.20 times or 120%. Means if the market goes up by 10% , security
returns will move up by 12%. Same is when the market goes down.
Using Correlation Analysis
Returns %
Security(X) Market(M) (X − ̅ X)2 (M − M̅ )2
20 21 676 231.04
30 25 256 125.44
50 30 16 38.44
60 45 196 77.44
70 60 576 566.44
46 36.2 1720 1038.80
̅
X = 46 M̅ = 36.20 1720 1038.80
1720
SD of X, 𝜎𝑥 = √Variance = √ = 18.55
5
1038.80
SD of M, 𝜎𝑚 = √Variance = √ = 14.41
5
Page 12
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 13
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
On the safe side of the spectrum, the risk-free rate of return is represented
by the return on U.S. Government Securities, as their chance of default is
essentially zero. Thus, if the risk-free rate is 6% at any given time, for
Page 14
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
instance, this means that investors can earn 6% per year on their assets,
essentially without risking anything.
While a 6% return might sound good, it pales compared to returns of many
popular investment vehicles. If index funds average about 12% per year
over the long run, why would someone prefer to invest in U.S. Government
Securities? One explanation is that index funds, while safe compared to
most investment vehicles, are still associated with some level of risk. An
index fund which represents the entire market carries risk, and thus, the
return for any given index fund may be -5% for one year, 25% for the
following year, etc. The risk to the investor, particularly on a shorter
timescale, is higher, as is volatility. Comparing index funds to government
securities, we call the addition return the risk premium, which in our
example is 6% (12%-6%).
Page 15
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Page 16
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Fundamental analysis
Current Market Price = 100 [This is the price at which share is actually
selling in the market] Theoretical Market Price = 90 [This is the price
at which share should sell in the market]. Thus, 100>90, Sell the share
b. If, Current Market Price < Intrinsic value of the company. That means
share is undervalued, Investor should buy securities.
Current Market Price= 100 [This is the price at which share is actually
selling in the market]. Theoretical Market Price = 120 [This is the price
at which share should sell in the market]. Thus, 100<120, Buy the share
Page 17
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Technical analysis
Page 18
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Now keeping in mind the above portfolios, select the one which suits
the need of investor.
The optimal portfolio is one which gives the highest return at lowest
risk.
If there is more than one portfolio having same highest return, select
the one which has the lowest risk.
If there is more than one portfolio having same lowest risk, select the
one which has the highest return.
Changes may occur which may lead to the introduction of more feasible
securities providing high return at low risk or changes may be investor
specific like additional funds to invest.
This may require the investor to revise his portfolio by selling some
securities or adding other securities or a combination of both.
Page 19
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
𝐑 𝐩 = ∑ ̅̅̅
𝐑 𝐢 𝐖𝐢
𝐢=𝟏
𝐑 𝐩 = 𝐖𝟏 𝐑 𝟏 + 𝐖𝟐 𝐑 𝟐 + ⋯ 𝐖𝐧 𝐑 𝐧
Where,
𝐑 𝐩 = Expected return of the portfolio
𝐖𝐢 = Proportion of funds invested in security i
̅̅̅
𝐑 𝐢 = Expected return of security i
n = Number of securities in the portfolio
Let’s take a simple example. You invested `60,000 in asset 1 that produced 20%
returns and `40,000 in asset 2 that produced 12% returns. The weights of the two
assets are 60% and 40% respectively.
The portfolio returns will be:
𝐑 𝐩 = 0.60*20% + 0.40*12% = 16.8%
Page 20
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
σ2p = ∑ ∑ wi wm σi σm rim
i=1 i=1
Where,
σ2p = portfolio variance,
wi = proportion of funds invested in first security,
wm = proportion of funds invested in second security,
Covim = covariance between the pair of securities a and b
n = Total number of securities in the portfolio
We know that covarince can be calculated with the following formula
Covim = σi σm rim
Hence, Risk of the portfolio having more than two securities can be modified as:
n n
σ2p = ∑ ∑ wi wm Covim
i=1 i=1
A convinient way to obtain the results is to set up the data required for calculation
in the form of a variance-covariance matrix.
Page 21
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
βp = ∑ Wi βi
Where,
βp = Portfolio Beta
βi = Beta of the each asset in the portfolio
Wi = weight of each asset in the portfolio
It is the portfolio of stocks with the lowest volatilities (betas) and, therefore,
lowest sensitivities to risk. It makes maximum use of diversification to achieve
the resultant risk level that is lower than the individual risk level of each of the
stock it contains.
1. Given the required data, equation of line can be used to some extent in order
to find out the weights of securities in the portfolio under consideration.
2. On the other hand, the general formula for portfolio weight that gives
minimum variance portfolio is given by
σ2B − CovA,B
WA = 2
σA + σ2B − 2CovA,B
WB = 1 − WA
Where,
WA = Weight of security A in minimum varinace portfolio
WB = Weight of security B in minimum varinace portfolio
Page 22
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 23
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Q22. Write a short note on Modern Portfolio Theory or Write a short note
on Markowitz model of Risk Return Optimization.
Answer:
Harry M Markowitz is credited for the introduction of new concepts of risk
measurement and their application to the selection of portfolios. He started with
the idea of risk aversion of average investors and their desire to maximise the
expected return with least risk.
- This theory is for the analysis of risk and return and their inter-
relationships.
- Harry Markowitz is regarded as the father of Modern Portfolio Theory.
- Markowitz explains an efficient portfolio as expected to yield the highest
return for a given level of risk or lowest risk for a given level of return.
Page 24
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 25
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Note: The above text is taken from ICAI Material as it is. You can strike off point (v) as Point (vi) explains
the same thing. It has been purposely kept in the notes to explain the same in class
Markowitz has defined the diversification as the process of combining assets that
are less than perfectly positively correlated in order to reduce portfolio risk without
sacrificing any portfolio returns. If an investors’ portfolio is not efficient he may:
(i) Increase the expected value of return without increasing the risk.
(ii) Decrease the risk without decreasing the expected value of return, or
(iii) Obtain some combination of increase of expected return and decrease
risk.
Page 26
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
An Efficient Portfolio has the highest return among all portfolios with
identical risk and the lowest risk among all portfolios with identical return.
The individual investor will want to hold that portfolio of securities which
places him on the highest indifference curve, choosing from the set of
available portfolios.
The dark line at the top of the set is the line of efficient combinations, or
the efficient frontier. The optimal portfolio for an investor lies at the point
where the indifference curve for the concerned investor touches the
efficient frontier.
This point reflects the risk level acceptable to the investor in order to
achieve a desired return and provide maximum return for the bearable level
of risk. The concept of efficient frontier and the location of the optimal
portfolio are explained with help of Fig-2.
Page 27
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
The shaded area represents all attainable or feasible portfolios, that is all the
combinations of risk and expected return which may be achieved with the
available securities. The efficient frontier contains all possible efficient portfolios
and any point on the frontier dominates any point to the right of it or below it.
Consider the portfolios represented by points B and E. B and E promise the same
expected return E (R1) but the risk associated with B is σ (R1) whereas the
Page 28
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
No matter how much we diversify our investments, it's impossible to get rid of all
the risk. As investors, we deserve a rate of return that compensates us for taking
on risk. The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) helps us to calculate investment
risk and what return on investment we should expect. Here we look at the formula
behind the model, the evidence for and against the accuracy of CAPM, and what
CAPM means to the average investor.
Birth of a Model
The capital asset pricing model was the work of financial economist (and, later,
Nobel laureate in economics) William Sharpe, set out in his 1970 book "Portfolio
Theory and Capital Markets." His model starts with the idea that individual
investment contains two types of risk:
1. Systematic Risk - These are market risks that cannot be diversified away.
Interest rates, recessions and wars are examples of systematic risks.
2. Unsystematic Risk - Also known as "specific risk," this risk is specific to
individual stocks and can be diversified away as the investor increases the
number of stocks in his or her portfolio. In more technical terms, it
represents the component of a stock's return that is not correlated with
general market moves.
Modern portfolio theory shows that specific risk can be removed through
diversification. The trouble is that diversification still doesn't solve the problem
Page 29
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
of systematic risk; even a portfolio of all the shares in the stock market can't
eliminate that risk. Therefore, when calculating a deserved return, systematic risk
is what plagues investors most.
The Formula
Sharpe found that the return on an individual stock, or a portfolio of stocks,
should equal its cost of capital. The standard formula remains the CAPM, which
describes the relationship between risk and expected return.
Here is the formula:
Return of security under CAPM
𝐑 𝐢 = 𝐑 𝐟 + 𝛃𝒊 (𝐑 𝐦 − 𝐑 𝐟 )
Where,
R i = Return on Security
R f = Risk free rate of return
R m = Market return
β𝑖 = beta of the security
For example, let's say that the current risk free-rate is 5%, and the Sensex (market)
is expected to return to12% (Rm) next year. You are interested in determining the
return that Tata Consultancy Services will have next year. You have determined
that its beta value is 1.9. The overall stock market has a beta of 1.0, so TCS’s beta
of 1.9 tells us that it carries more risk than the overall market; this extra risk means
that we should expect a higher potential return than the 12% of the Sensex. We
can calculate this as the following:
𝐑 𝐈 = 𝟓% + 𝟏. 𝟗(𝟏𝟐% − 𝟓%) = 𝟏𝟑. 𝟑
What CAPM tells us is that TCS has a required rate of return of 13.3%. So, if you
invest in TCS, you should be getting at least 13.3% return on your investment. If
you don't think that TCS will produce those kinds of returns for you, then you
should consider investing in a different company.
CAPM's starting point is the risk-free rate - typically a 10-year government bond
yield. To this is added a premium that equity investors demand to compensate
them for the extra risk they accept. This equity market premium consists of the
expected return from the market as a whole less the risk-free rate of return. The
equity risk premium is multiplied by "beta."
What CAPM Means for You?
Page 30
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
This model presents a very simple theory that delivers a simple result. The
theory says that the only reason an investor should earn more, on average, by
investing in one stock rather than another is that one stock is riskier.
This is important for investors - especially fund managers - because they may
be unwilling to or prevented from holding cash if they feel that the market is
likely to fall. If so, they can hold low-beta stocks instead. Investors can tailor
a portfolio to their specific risk-return requirements, aiming to hold securities
with betas in excess of 1 while the market is rising, and securities with betas
of less than 1 when the market is falling.
Risk free rate of return
In CAPM there is only one risk free rate of return. It is considered that both direct
payments like dividend and capital appreciation are included in(𝑅𝑓 ).
When two risk free rates are given.
It is better to go moderate and consider the average of the two rates. Aggressive
people will consider the higher rate and conservative people will consider the
lower rate.
Two important aspects of CAPM
a. Stock market has nothing to do with the diversified risk or the investor
having a diversified portfolio.
b. Investor gets the return only for the systematic risk, as unsystematic risk can
be eliminated through diversification.
Conclusion
The capital asset pricing model is by no means a perfect theory. But the spirit of
CAPM is correct. It provides a usable measure of risk that helps investors
determine what return they deserve for putting their money at risk.
Page 31
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Page 32
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Limitations of CAPM
1. Unreliable Beta: Shares of many companies may not have reliable beta.
2. Hard to get the market information: Information on risk free rate of return,
return on market portfolio may not be possible to obtain as there exist
multiple rates in the market.
3. No transaction cost
In context of SML [Security Market Line, discussed later in the topic 3 Market
Lines]
Page 33
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Page 34
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 35
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Identifying and quantifying each of these factors is no trivial matter, and is one
of the reasons the Capital Asset Pricing Model remains the dominant theory to
describe the relationship between a stock's risk and return.
Keeping in mind the number and sensitivities of a stock to each of these factors
is likely to change over time, Ross and others identified the following macro-
economic factors they felt played a significant role in explaining the return on
a stock:
1. Inflation
2. GNP or Gross National Product
3. Investor Confidence
4. Shifts in the Yield Curve
With that as guidance, the rest of the work is left to the stock analyst.
Page 36
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
The single-index model (SIM) is a simple asset pricing model to measure both
the risk and the return of a stock, commonly used in the finance industry.
The single index model equation is:
𝐑 𝐢 = 𝛂𝐢 + 𝛃𝐢 𝐑 𝐦 +∈𝐢
Where,
R i = expected return on security i
αi = alphacoefficient or intercept of the straight line
βi = beta coefficient or slope of the line
R m = the rate of return on market index
∈i = unsystematic risk of the security
This equation shows that the stock return is influenced by the market (beta),
has a firm specific expected value (alpha) and firm-specific unexpected
component (residual). Each stock's performance is in relation to the
performance of a market index. Security analysts often use the SIM for such
functions as computing stock betas, evaluating stock selection skills, and
conducting event studies.
To simplify analysis, the single-index model assumes that there is only 1
macroeconomic factor that causes the systematic risk affecting all stock returns
and this factor can be represented by the rate of return on a market index, such
as the S&P 500.
According to this model, the return of any stock can be decomposed into the
expected excess return of the individual stock due to firm-specific factors,
commonly denoted by its alpha coefficient (α), the return due to
macroeconomic events that affect the market, and the unexpected
microeconomic events that affect only the firm.
The term 𝛃𝐢 𝐑 𝐦 represents the movement of the market modified by the stock's
beta, while ∈𝐢 represents the unsystematic risk of the security due to firm-
specific factors. Macroeconomic events, such as changes in interest rates or the
Page 37
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
cost of labor, causes the systematic risk that affects the returns of all stocks,
and the firm-specific events are the unexpected microeconomic events that
affect the returns of specific firms, such as the death of key people or the
lowering of the firm's credit rating, that would affect the firm, but would have
a negligible effect on the economy. In a portfolio, the unsystematic risk due to
firm-specific factors can be reduced to zero by diversification.
The index model is based on the following:
Most stocks have a positive covariance because they all respond similarly
to macroeconomic factors.
However, some firms are more sensitive to these factors than others, and
this firm-specific variance is typically denoted by its beta (β), which
measures its variance compared to the market for one or more economic
factors.
Covariance’s among securities result from differing responses to
macroeconomic factors. Hence, the covariance of each stock can be found
by multiplying their betas and the market variance:
The covariance of returns between securities i and j
𝐂𝐨𝐯𝐢𝐣 = 𝛃𝐢 𝛃𝐣 𝛔𝟐𝐦
This equation greatly reduces the computations required to determine
covariance because otherwise the covariance of the securities within a portfolio
must be calculated using historical returns, and the covariance of each possible
pair of securities in the portfolio must be calculated independently. With this
equation, only the betas of the individual securities and the market variance
need to be estimated to calculate covariance. Hence, the index model greatly
reduces the number of calculations that would otherwise have to be made to
model a large portfolio of thousands of securities.
The Total Risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
𝛔𝟐 = β2i σ2m +∈2i
Where,
σ2 = total variance
βi 2 σ2m = systematic variance
σ2∈i = unsystematc variance
Page 38
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
A portfolio variance
𝟐
𝛔𝐩 = [(∑ 𝐖𝐢 𝛃𝐢 ) 𝛔𝟐𝐦 ] + [∑(𝐖𝐢 𝛜𝐢 )𝟐 ]
𝟐
𝛂𝐩 = ∑ 𝐰𝐢 𝛂𝐢
𝐢=𝟏
A portfolios beta value is the weighted average of its beta values of its
component securities and the weight being the proportion of investment in a
security.
𝐍
𝛃𝐩 = ∑ 𝐰𝐢 𝛃𝐢
𝐢=𝟏
1. Sharpe Ratio
Is the measurement of average return over and above the risk free rate of
return (risk premium) per unit of portfolio risk.
Uses standard deviation as the measure of risk.
𝐑𝐢 − 𝐑𝐟
𝐒𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐩𝐞 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨 =
𝛔𝐢
R i = Expected return on stock i
R f = Risk free rate of return
σi = Standard deviation for the rates of returns for stock i
Page 39
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
2. Treynor Ratio
Is the measurement of average return over and above the risk free rate of
return (risk premium) per unit of risk of market portfolio.
Uses beta as the measure of risk.
𝐑𝐢 − 𝐑𝐟
𝐓𝐫𝐞𝐲𝐧𝐨𝐫 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨 =
𝛃𝐢
βi = beta of stock i
3. Jensen’s Alpha
Used to determine the abnormal return of a security or portfolio of
securities over the theoretical expected return.
After all, riskier assets will have higher expected returns than less risky
assets. If an asset's return is even higher than the risk adjusted return, that
asset is said to have "positive alpha" or "abnormal returns". Investors are
constantly seeking investments that have higher alpha.
𝐉𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐞𝐧’𝐬 𝐀𝐥𝐩𝐡𝐚 = 𝐄𝐱𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐞𝐝/𝐀𝐜𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐑𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧 − 𝐑𝐞𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐫𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧[𝐂𝐀𝐏𝐌 𝐫𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧]
𝐉𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐞𝐧’𝐬 𝐀𝐥𝐩𝐡𝐚 = 𝐑𝐢 − (𝐑𝐟 + 𝛃(𝐑𝐦 − 𝐑𝐟)
Page 40
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Steps for finding out the stocks to be included in the optimal portfolio
1. Find out the “excess return to beta” ratio for each stock under consideration
using Treynor ratio.
2. Rank them from the highest to the lowest.
3. Proceed to calculate 𝐶𝑖 for all the stocks/portfolios according to the ranked
order using the following formula:
(R i − R f )βi
σ2m ∑N
i=1
σ2ei
Ci =
2 N β2i
1 + σm ∑i=1 2
σei
Where,
σ2m = Variance of the market index
σ2ei
= Variance of the stock ′ s movement that is not associated with the
movement of market index i. e stock ′ s unsystematic risk.
(a) Compute the cut-off point which gives the highest value of 𝐶𝑖 . and is taken
is C* The stock whose excess return to risk ratio is above the cut-off ratio
are selected and all whose ratios are below are rejected. The main reason
for this selection is that since securities are ranked from highest excess
return to beta to lowest, and if particular security belongs to optimal
portfolio all higher ranked securities also belong to optimal portfolio.
(b) Once we came to know which securities are to be included in the optimum
portfolio, we shall calculate the percent to be invested in each security by
using the following formula:
Zi
Xi =
∑N
j=1 Zi
Where,
βi R i − R o
Zi = 2 ( − C∗ )
σei βi
Page 41
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
The first portion (Xi ) determines the weight of each stock and total comes
to 1 to ensure that all funds are invested and second portion (𝑍𝑖 ) determines
the relative investment in each security.
Q33. Write a short note on Portfolio Rebalancing Theories
or Write a short note on Buy and Hold Policy
or Write a short note on Constant Mix Policy or Constant Ratio Plan
or Write a short note on Constant Proportion Portfolio Insurance
Policy (CPPI)
Answer:
Portfolio Rebalancing Theories
The investments in a portfolio will perform according to the market. As time goes
on, a portfolio's current asset allocation will drift away from an investor's original
target asset allocation (i.e., their preferred level of risk exposure).
If left unadjusted, the portfolio will either become too risky, or too conservative.
If it becomes too risky, that will tend to increase long-term returns, which is
desirable. But when the excessive risks show up in the short term, the investor
might have a tendency to do the worst possible thing at the worst possible time
(i.e., sell at the bottom), thus dramatically diminishing their ending wealth.
If the portfolio is allowed to drift to a too conservative status, then excessive short-
term risk is less likely, which is desirable. However, long-term returns would also
tend to be lower than desired, which is less desirable. So it is best to maintain a
portfolio's risk profile reasonably close to an investor's level of risk tolerance.
There are three strategies for portfolio rebalancing
1) Buy-and-Hold,
2) Constant Mix Policy
3) Constant-Proportion Portfolio Insurance Policy (CPPI)
1) Buy and Hold Policy (Do nothing policy)
Buy and hold is a long-term investment strategy based on the view that in the
long run financial markets give a good rate of return despite periods of
volatility or decline. This viewpoint also holds that short-term market timing,
i.e. the concept that one can enter the market on the lows and sell on the highs,
does not work; attempting timing gives negative results, at least for small or
unsophisticated investors, so it is better for them to simply buy and hold.
Page 42
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 43
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
In other words this plan specifies that value of aggressive portfolio to the value
of conservative portfolio will be held constant at a pre-determined ratio.
However, it is important to note that this action is taken only if there is change
in the prices of share at a predetermined percentage.
For example if an investor decided his portfolio shall consist of 60% in equity
shares and balance 40% in bonds on upward or downward of 10% in share
prices he will strike a balance.
In such situation if the price of share goes down by 10% or more, he
will sell the bonds and invest money in equities so that the proportion
among the portfolio i.e. 60:40 remains the same.
Accordingly if the prices of share goes up by 10% or more he will sell
equity shares and invest in bonds so that the ratio remains the same i.e.
60:40.
This strategy is suitable for the investor whose tolerance varies proportionally
with the level of wealth and such investor holds equity at all levels
Continuing above example let us how investor shall rebalance his portfolio
under different scenarios as follows:
Share Change Value of Value of Total Action Total
Price Shares Bonds Shares
100 Starting Level 60000 40000 100000 600
80 20% Before 48000 40000 88000
Rebalancing
After 52800 35200 88000 Buy 60 Shares at 660
Rebalancing 80=`4800 and
sell bonds worth
`4800
85 6.25% Before 56100 35200 91300 No action will
Rebalancing be taken as the
After 56100 35200 91300 change is not 660
Rebalancing 10% or more
55 35% Before 36300 35200 71500
Rebalancing
After 42900 28600 71500 Buy 120 Shares 780
Rebalancing at 55= `6600
and sell bonds
worth `6600
88 60% Before 68640 28600 97240
Rebalancing
After 58344 38896 97240 Sell 117 Shares 663
Rebalancing at 88=`10296
and Buy bonds
worth `10296
Page 44
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
The pay-off under this strategy can be understood better with the help of an
example. Suppose wealth of Mr. A is `10,00,000, a floor value of `7,50,000
and a multiplier of 2. Since the initial cushion (difference between Portfolio
Value and Floor) is `2,50,000, the initial investment in the share shall be
`5,00,000 (double of the initial cushion). Accordingly, initial portfolio mix
shall be consisted of `5,00,000 in shares and balance `5,00,000 in Bonds.
Situation 1: Suppose stock market rises from 100 to 150. The value of shares
of Mr. A’s holding shall rise from `5,00,000 to `7,50,000 and value of
portfolio shall jump to `12,50,000 and value of cushion to `7,50,000. Since
the CPPI Policy requires the component of shares should go up to `10,00,000.
This will necessitate the selling of bonds amounting `2,50,000 and reinvesting
proceeds in shares.
Page 45
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Situation 2: If stock market falls from 100 to 80, the value of shares of
portfolio falls from `5,00,000 to `4,00,000 resulting in reduction of value of
portfolio to `9,00,000 and cushion to `1,50,000. Since as per CPPI the share
component should be `3,00,000 (`1,50,000 x 2), hence shares of `1,00,000
should be sold and invest in Bonds. Thus from above it is clear that as per
CPPI sell the shares as their prices fall and buy them as their prices rise
Page 46
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
In purchasing stocks, you buy a piece of ownership in the company. The buying
and selling of stocks can occur with a stock broker or directly from the company.
Brokers are most commonly used. They serve as an intermediary between the
investor and the seller and often charge a fee for their services.
In finance short selling (also known as shorting or going short) is the practice of
selling securities or other financial instruments that are not currently owned, and
subsequently repurchasing them ("covering").
The short seller borrows shares and immediately sells them. The short seller then
expects the price to decrease, when the seller can profit by purchasing the shares
to return to the lender.
When using a broker, you will need to set up an account. The account that's set
up is either a cash account or a margin account. A cash account requires that you
pay for your stock when you make the purchase, but with a margin account the
broker lends you a portion of the funds at the time of purchase and the security
acts as collateral.
Page 47
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
When an investor goes long on an investment, it means that he or she has bought
a stock believing its price will rise in the future. Conversely, when an investor
goes short, he or she is anticipating a decrease in share price.
Short selling is the selling of a stock that the seller doesn't own. More specifically,
a short sale is the sale of a security that isn't owned by the seller, but that is
promised to be delivered. That may sound confusing, but it's actually a simple
concept.
Still with us? Here's the skinny: when you short sell a stock, your broker will lend
it to you. The stock will come from the brokerage's own inventory, from another
one of the firm's customers, or from another brokerage firm. The shares are sold
and the proceeds are credited to your account. Sooner or later, you must "close"
the short by buying back the same number of shares (called covering) and
returning them to your broker. If the price drops, you can buy back the stock at
the lower price and make a profit on the difference. If the price of the stock rises,
you have to buy it back at the higher price, and you lose money.
Because you don't own the stock you're short selling (you borrowed and then sold
it), you must pay the lender of the stock any dividends or rights declared during
the course of the loan. If the stock splits during the course of your short, you'll
owe twice the number of shares at half the price.
Page 48
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Equation of line tells us that for any value of X what will be the value of Y.
The formula for equation of line is
Y = mX +b
Where,
m= slope, b=the intercept also m and b designate constants
Say, the equation of line is Y=2x + 1
With that equation you can now choose any value for x and find the matching
value for y
For example, when x is 1:
y = 2×1 + 1 = 3
Or we could choose another value for x, such as 7:
y = 2×7 + 1 = 15
And so when x=7 you will have y=15
Page 49
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
The higher the Beta value of a security, higher would be the risk premium
relative to the market. This upward sloping line is called the Security Market
Line. It measures the relationship between systematic risk and return. SML
Equation can be given as:
𝐑 𝐢 = 𝐑 𝐟 + 𝛃𝒊 (𝐑 𝐦 − 𝐑 𝐟 )
Where,
R i = Return on Security
R f = Risk free rate of return
R m = Market return
β𝑖 = beta of the security
Page 50
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Characteristic line is a straight line on a graph that shows the relationship over
time between returns on a stock and returns on the market. The SCL is plotted
on a graph where the Y-axis is the return on a security and the X-axis is the
return of the market in general.
𝐑 𝐢 = 𝛂𝐢 + 𝛃𝐢 𝐑 𝐦
Where,
R i = expected return on security i
αi = alpha
βi (R m ) = component of return due to market movement
Page 51
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Additional Reading
1. Alpha is one of five technical risk ratios; the others are beta, standard deviation, R-
squared, and the Sharpe ratio. These are all statistical measurements used in modern
portfolio theory (MPT).
2. All of these indicators are intended to help investors determine the risk-reward profile
of a portfolio. Simply stated, alpha is often considered to represent the value that a
portfolio manager adds to or subtracts from a fund's return.
3. A positive alpha of 1.0 means the fund has outperformed its benchmark index by 1%.
Correspondingly, a similar negative alpha would indicate an underperformance of 1%.
4. If a CAPM analysis estimates that a portfolio should earn 10% based on the risk of the
portfolio but the portfolio actually earns 15%, the portfolio's alpha would be 5%. This
5% is the excess return over what was predicted in the CAPM model.
Page 52
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Portfolio Management Strategies refer to the approaches that are applied for the
efficient portfolio management in order to generate the highest possible returns at
lowest possible risks. There are two basic approaches for portfolio management
including Active Portfolio Management Strategy and Passive Portfolio
Management Strategy.
A. Active Portfolio Management Strategy
The Active portfolio management relies on the fact that particular style of
analysis or management can generate returns that can beat the market. It
involves higher than average costs and it stresses on taking advantage of
market inefficiencies. It is implemented by the advices of analysts and
managers who analyze and evaluate market for the presence of
inefficiencies.
The active management approach of the portfolio management involves the
following styles of the stock selection.
Top-down Approach: In this approach, managers observe the market as a
whole and decide about the industries and sectors that are expected to
perform well in the ongoing economic cycle. After the decision is made on
the sectors, the specific stocks are selected on the basis of companies that
are expected to perform well in that particular sector.
Bottom-up: In this approach, the market conditions and expected trends
are ignored and the evaluations of the companies are based on the strength
of their product pipeline, financial statements, or any other criteria. It
stresses the fact that strong companies perform well irrespective of the
prevailing market or economic conditions.
B. Passive Portfolio Management Strategy
Passive asset management relies on the fact that markets are efficient and
it is not possible to beat the market returns regularly over time and best
returns are obtained from the low cost investments kept for the long term.
The passive management approach of the portfolio management involves
the following styles of the stock selection.
Page 53
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Efficient market theory: This theory relies on the fact that the information
that affects the markets is immediately available and processed by all
investors. Thus, such information is always considered in evaluation of the
market prices. The portfolio managers who follows this theory, firmly
believes that market averages cannot be beaten consistently.
Indexing: According to this theory, the index funds are used for taking the
advantages of efficient market theory and for creating a portfolio that
impersonate a specific index. The index funds can offer benefits over the
actively managed funds because they have lower than average expense
ratios and transaction costs.
Apart from Active and Passive Portfolio Management Strategies, there are
three more kinds of portfolios including Patient Portfolio, Aggressive
Portfolio and Conservative Portfolio.
Page 54
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Types of funds
1. Open-ended hedge funds continue to issue shares to new investors and
allow periodic withdrawals at the net asset value ("NAV") for each share.
2. Closed-ended hedge funds issue a limited number of tradable shares at
inception.
Page 55
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Page 56
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 57
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Page 58
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 59
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Q42. What methods are involved to calculate the return of fixed income
portfolio?
Answer:
First and foremost step in evaluation of performance of a portfolio is calculation
of return. Although there can be many types of measuring returns there can be
many types of measuring returns as per requirements but some of are commonly
used measures are :
1. Arithmetic Average Rate of Return
It is computed as the sum of all the numbers in the series divided by the
count of all numbers in the series. The arithmetic mean is sometimes
referred to as the average or simply as the mean
Suppose you wanted to know what the arithmetic mean of a stock's closing
price was over the past week. If the stock closed at $14.50, $14.80, $15.20,
$15.50 and then $14, its arithmetic mean closing price would be equal to
the sum of the five numbers, $74, divided by 5, or $14.80.
Note: Formulas or Practical Questions on the return on Fixed Income Portfolio is not a part of the syllabus.
However it is recommended to go through topics once along with examples
Page 60
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 61
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
4. Annualized Return
An annualized total return is the geometric average amount of money earned
by an investment each year over a given time period. It is calculated as a
geometric average to show what an investor would earn over a period of time
if the annual return was compounded
For example, assume a mutual fund was held by an investor for 575 days and
earned a cumulative return of 23.74%. The annualized return would be:
Annualized Return = (1 + 23.74%) ^ (365 / 575) - 1 = 114.5% - 1 = 14.5%
Page 62
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 63
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
expected a fall in interest then he/she should sell bonds with longer
period.
Based on short term yield movement following three strategies can be
adopted:
Bullet Strategies
Barbell Strategies
Ladder Strategies
Further estimation of interest ratio is a daunting task, and quite difficult
to ascertain. There are several models available to forecast the expected
interest rates which are based on:
1. Inflation
2. Past Trends
3. Multi Factor Analysis
It should be noted that these models can be used as estimates only, as
it is difficult to calculate the accurate changes.
There is one another techniques of estimating expected change in
interest rate called ‘Horizon Analysis’. This technique requires that
analyst should select a particular holding period and then predict yield
curve at the end of that period as with a given period of maturity, a bond
yield curve of a selected period can be estimated and its end price can
also be calculated
1. Bond Swaps: This strategy involves regularly monitoring bond process to
identify mispricing and try to exploit this situation. Some of the popular
swap techniques are as follows:
2. Pure Yield Pickup Swap - This strategy involves switch from a lower
yield bond to a higher yield bonds of almost identical quantity and
maturity. This strategy is suitable for portfolio manager who is willing to
assume interest rate risk as in switching from short term bond to long term
bonds to earn higher rate of interest, he may suffer a capital loss.
3. Substitution Swap - This swapping involves swapping with similar type
of bonds in terms of coupon rate, maturity period, credit rating, liquidity
and call provision but with different prices. This type of differences exits
due to temporary imbalance in the market. The risk a portfolio manager
Page 64
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 65
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Page 66
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 67
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Page 68
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Q52. What are the advantages of bringing venture capital into the
company?
Answer:
✓ It injects long- term equity finance which provides a solid capital base for
future growth.
✓ The venture capitalist is a business partner, sharing both the risks and
rewards. Venture capitalists are rewarded with business success and
capital gain.
✓ The venture capitalist is able to provide practical advice and assistance to
the company based on past experience with other companies which were
in similar situations.
✓ The venture capitalist also has a network of contacts in many areas that
can add value to the company.
✓ The venture capitalist may be capable of providing additional rounds of
funding should it be required to finance growth.
Page 69
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Page 70
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Here the company would give a detailed business plan which consists of
business model, financial plan and exit plan. All these aspects are covered
in a document which is called Investment Memorandum (IM). A tentative
valuation is also carried out in the IM.
2. Screening: Once the deal is sourced the same would be sent for screening
by the VC. The screening is generally carried out by a committee consisting
of senior level people of the VC. Once the screening happens, it would
select the company for further processing.
3. Due Diligence: The screening decision would take place based on the
information provided by the company. Once the decision is taken to
proceed further, the VC would now carry out due diligence. This is mainly
the process by which the VC would try to verify the veracity of the
documents taken. This is generally handled by external bodies, mainly
renowned consultants. The fees of due diligence are generally paid by the
VC.
However, in many case this can be shared between the investor (VC) and
Investee (the company) depending on the veracity of the document
agreement.
4. Deal Structuring: Once the case passes through the due diligence it would
now go through the deal structuring. The deal is structured in such a way
that both parties win. In many cases, the convertible structure is brought in
to ensure that the promoter retains the right to buy back the share. Besides,
in many structures to facilitate the exit, the VC may put a condition that
promoter has also to sell part of its stake along with the VC. Such a clause
is called tag- along clause.
Page 71
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
6. Exit plan: At the time of investing, the VC would ask the promoter or
company to spell out in detail the exit plan. Mainly, exit happens in two
ways: one way is ‘sell to third paty(ies)’ . This sale can be in the form of
IPO or Private Placement to other VCs. The second way to exit is that
promoter would give a buy back commitment at a pre- agreed rate
(generally between IRR of 18% to 25%). In case the exit is not happening
in the form of IPO or third party sell, the promoter would buy back. In many
deals, the promoter buyback is the first refusal method adopted i.e. the
promoter would get the first right of buyback.
Page 72
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 73
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Practical Questions
1. Investor has assigned the probability of occurrence of the possible alternative
returns. Find out the expected return.
Possible returns Probability
20% 0.20
30% 0.20
50% 0.40
60% 0.10
70% 0.10
2. Calculate the variance and standard deviation considering the data given below
Possible returns Probability
20% 0.20
30% 0.20
50% 0.40
60% 0.10
70% 0.10
3. A stock costing `150 pays no dividends. The possible prices that the stock
might sell for at the end of the year with the respective probabilities are:
Price Probability
130 0.2
150 0.1
160 0.1
165 0.3
175 0.1
180 0.2
Total 1
Required:
(i) Calculate the expected return.
(ii) Calculate the Standard deviation of returns.
Page 74
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
5. Stock of Reliance has beta of 1.2. Find out the movement in stock if
a. Market moves up by 12%
b. Market decline by 10%
6. The distribution of return of security ‘F’ and the market portfolio ‘P’ is given
below:
Probability Return %
F P
0.3 30 -10
0.4 20 20
0.3 0 30
You are required to calculate the expected return of security ‘F’ and the
market portfolio ‘P’, the covariance between the market portfolio and
security and beta for the security.
---------------------------------[May 2006, 8 Marks] --------------------------------
Page 75
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
7. The historical rates of return of two securities over the past ten years are
given. Calculate the beta of the security 1 and assume security 2 returns are
market returns
Years: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Security 1: 12 8 7 14 16 15 18 20 16 22
(Return per cent)
Security 2: 20 22 24 18 15 20 24 25 22 20
(Return per cent)
--------------------------------[May 2007, 10 Marks] --------------------------------
8. The expected returns and standard deviation for two investments are as follows:
A B
a. Expected return 12% 20%
b. Standard Deviation 9% 10%
Advise the investor
9. Ashok Rai has a portfolio of five securities whose expected return and amount
invested are as follows
I II III IV V
Amount (in Lakhs) 1.5 2.5 3.0 1.0 2.0
Expected Return 12% 9% 15% 18% 14%
Find out the % expected return of the portfolio.
10. Let us consider a portfolio of two equity shares A and B with expected returns
of 16% and 22% respectively. If 40% of total funds is invested in the share of
A and rest in B then what will be the expected portfolio return?
Page 76
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 77
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
In September, 2005, 10% dividend was paid out by M Ltd. and in October,
2005, 30% dividend paid out by N Ltd. On 31.3.2006 market quotations
showed a value of `220 and `290 per share for M Ltd. and N Ltd.
respectively.
On 1.4.2006, investment advisors indicate (a) that the dividends from M Ltd.
and N Ltd. for the year ending 31.3.2007 are likely to be 20% and 35%,
respectively and (b) that the probabilities of market quotations on 31.3.2007
are as below:
Page 78
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 79
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
18. Mr. X is holding a portfolio with expected return of 20% and standard
deviation of 24%. He now inherits a portfolio which has the expected return
and standard deviation of 14% and 18% respectively. The market values of
two portfolios are in the ratio of 2:3. Find out the expected return and standard
deviation of the combined portfolio of Mr.X, given the correlation coefficient
of 0.6.
19. A Portfolio Manager (PM) has the following four stocks in his portfolio:
Security No. Of Shares Market Price per share (`) 𝜷
Page 80
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
2006 10 12
2007 16 18
Page 81
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
22. An investor has decided to invest to invest `1,00,000 in the shares of two
companies, namely, ABC and XYZ. The projections of returns from the shares
of the two companies along with their probabilities are as follows:
Probability ABC(%) XYZ(%)
0.20 12 16
0.25 14 10
0.25 -7 28
0.30 28 -2
You are required to
1. Comment on return and risk of investment in individual shares.
2. Compare the risk and return of these two shares with a Portfolio of these
shares in equal proportions.
3. Find out the proportion of each of the above shares to formulate a
minimum risk portfolio.
23. A two-asset portfolio contains a long position in commodity (T) with volatility
of 10.0% and a long position in stock (S) with volatility of 30.0%. The assets
are uncorrelated: r(T,S) = zero (0). What weight (0 to 100%) of the portfolio
should be allocated to the commodity if the goal is a minimum variance
portfolio (in percentage terms, as no dollars are introduced)?
Page 82
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
27. A security has a standard deviation of 2.8%. The correlation coefficient of the
security with the market is 0.8 and standard deviation of the market return is
2.3%, the return from government securities is 12% and from the market
portfolio is 18%. What is the required return on the security.
Page 83
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
29. Pearl ltd. expects that considering the current market prices, the equity
shareholders should get a return of at least 15.50% while the current return on
the market is 12%. RBI has closed the latest auction for `2500 crores for 182
day bills for the lowest bid of 4.3% although there were bidders at a higher rate
of 4.6% also for lots of less than `10 crores. What is Pearl ltd’s beta?
30. A Company pays a dividend of `2.00 per share with a growth rate of 7%. The
risk free rate is 9% and the market rate of return is 13%. The Company has a
beta factor of 1.50. However, due to a decision of the Finance Manager, beta
is likely to increase to 1.75. Find out the present as well as the likely value of
the share after the decision.
31. XYZ Ltd. paid a dividend of `2 for the current year. The dividend is expected
to grow at 40% for the next 5 years and at 15% per annum thereafter. The
return on 182 days T-bills is 11% per annum and the market return is expected
to be around 18% with a variance of 24%. The co-variance of XYZ's return
with that of the market is 30%. You are required to calculate the required rate
of return and intrinsic value of the stock.
Page 84
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
33. A Ltd. has an expected return of 22% and Standard deviation of 40%. B
Ltd. has an expected return of 24% and Standard deviation of 38%. A Ltd.
has a beta of 0.86 and B Ltd. a beta of 1.24. The correlation coefficient
between the return of A Ltd. and B Ltd. is 0.72. The Standard deviation of
the market return is 20%. Suggest:
i. Is investing in B Ltd. better than investing in A Ltd.?
ii. If you invest 30% in B Ltd. and 70% in A ltd., what is your expected
rate of return and portfolio Standard deviation?
iii. What is the market portfolios expected rate of return and how much is
the risk-free rate?
iv. What is the beta of Portfolio if A Ltd.’s weight is 70% and B Ltd.’s
weight is 30%?
------------------------------[May 2002, 10 Marks] ---------------------------------
Page 85
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
34. The total market value of the equity share of O.R.E. Company is `60,00,000
and the total value of the debt is `40,00,000. The treasurer estimate that the
beta of the stock is currently 1.5 and that the expected risk premium on the
market is 10 per cent. The treasury bill rate is 8 per cent.
Required:
(1) What is the beta of the Company’s existing portfolio of assets?
(2) Estimate the Company’s Cost of capital and the discount rate for an
expansion of the company’s present business.
35. XYZ Ltd. has substantial cash flow and until the surplus funds are utilised to
meet the future capital expenditure, likely to happen after several
months, are invested in a portfolio of short-term equity investments, details for
which are given below:
Investment No. of Beta Market price per Expected dividend
shares share yield
I 60000 1.16 4.29 19.50%
II 80000 2.28 2.92 24.00%
III 100000 0.90 2.17 17.50%
IV 125000 1.50 3.14 26.00%
The current market return is 19% and the risk free rate is 11%.
Required to:
(i) Calculate the risk of XYZ’s short-term investment portfolio relative to
that of the market;
(ii) Whether XYZ should change the composition of its portfolio.
----------------------------------[May 2007, 8 Marks] --------------------------------
Page 86
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
37. Mr. FedUp wants to invest an amount of `520 lakhs and had approached his
portfolio manager. The portfolio manager had advised Mr. FedUp to invest in
the following manner:
Security Moderate Better Good Very Best
Good
Amount in `Lakhs 60 80 100 120 160
Beta 0.5 1.00 0.80 1.20 1.50
You are required to advise Mr.FedUp in regard to the following using Capital
Asset Pricing Methodology:
(i) Expected return on the portfolio, if the Government securities are at 8%
and the NIFTY is yielding 10%
(ii) Advisability of replacing Security “Better” with NIFTY.
------------------------------[Nov 2012, 8 Marks] ------------------------------------
Page 87
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
38. An investor is holding 1,000 shares of Fatlass Company. Presently the rate
of dividend be ing paid by the company is `2 per share and the share is being
sold at `25 per share in the market. However, several factors are likely to
change during the course of the year as indicated below:
Existing Revised
Risk free rate 12% 10%
Market risk premium 6% 4%
Beta value 1.4 1.25
Expected growth rate 5% 9%
In view of the above factors whether the investor should buy, hold or sell
the shares? And why?
------------------------------ [May 2003, 8 Marks] ----------------------------------
39. An investor is holding 5,000 shares of X Ltd. Current year dividend rate is `3/
share. Market price of the share is `40 each. The investor is concerned about
several factors which are likely to change during the next financial year as
indicated below:
Page 88
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
40. Calculate the market sensitivity index and the expected return on the investment
from the following data:
Standard deviation of an asset 2.5%
Market standard deviation 2.0%
Risk free rate of return 13.0%
Expected return on market portfolio 15.0%
Correlation coefficient of portfolio with market 0.8
What will be the expected return on the portfolio if portfolio beta is 0.5 and
the risk free return is 10%.
41. You are presented with the following information concerning the returns on
the shares of C Ltd. and on the market portfolio, according to the various
conditions of the economy.
Condition of Prob. of Returns on Returns on
economy condition C Ltd. Market
1 0.2 15% 10%
2 0.4 14% 16%
3 0.4 26% 24%
The current risk free interest rate is 9%
Required:
(a) Calculate the coefficient of correlation between the returns on C ltd. and
the market portfolio.
(b) Calculate the total risk (i.e. standard deviation) of C Ltd. and discuss why
this is not the most appropriate measure of risk to be used in making
investment decisions.
(c) Calculate the beta factor for C Ltd. and briefly discuss its significance.
Is C Ltd. efficiently priced according to the CAPM and the information
given above?
Page 89
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
43. An investor holds two stocks A and B. An analyst prepared ex-ante probability
distribution for the possible economic scenarios and the conditional returns for
two stocks and the market index as shown below:
Economic scenario Probability Conditional
Returns%
A B Market
Growth 0.40 25 20 18
Stagnation 0.30 10 15 13
Recession 0.30 -5 -8 -3
The risk free rate during the next year is expected to be around 11%.
Determine whether the investor should liquidate his holdings in stocks A and
B or on the contrary make fresh investments in them. CAPM assumptions are
holding true.
-------------------------------[June 2009, 10 Marks] --------------------------------
Page 90
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
44. Mr. Tamarind intends to invest in equity shares of a company the value of
which depends upon various parameters as mentioned below:
Factor Beta Expected Actual
value in % value in %
GNP 1.20 7.70 7.70
Inflation 1.75 5.50 7.00
Interest Rate 1.30 7.75 9.00
Stock Market Index 1.70 10.00 12.00
Industrial Production 1.00 7.00 7.50
If the risk free rate of interest be 9.25%, how much is the return of the share
under Arbitrage Pricing Theory?
----------------------------[May 2011, 5 Marks] --------------------------------------
III. If Mr.X borrows `1,00,000 at the risk free rate and invests the amount he
borrows along with the original amount of `1,00,000 in security A and
B in the same proportion as described in part (i), what is the sensitivity
of the portfolio to the two factors?
Page 91
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Mr.Nirmal Kumar also estimated the weights of the above categories of stocks
in the market index. Further, more the sensitivity of returns on these categories
of stocks to the three important factor are estimated to be:
Page 92
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
47. Mr. X has a portfolio which has 𝜶 of 2.9% and 𝜷 of 0.9. Expected return of
the market portfolio is 18%. Find out the expected return of the portfolio.
49. A study by a Mutual fund has revealed the following data in respect of three
securities:
Page 93
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
51. Five portfolios experienced the following results during a 7 year period
Portfolio Average Standard Correlation
Annual Deviation with the market
Return (Rp) (Sp) returns (r)
A 19.0 2.5 0.840
B 15.0 2.0 0.540
C 15.0 0.8 0.975
D 17.5 2.0 0.750
E 17.1 1.8 0.600
Market risk (Sm) - 1.2 -
Market Rate of 14.0 - -
Return (Rm)
Risk Free Rate (Rf) 9.0 - -
Rank the portfolios using (a) Sharp’s Method, (b) Treynor’s Method and (c)
Jensen’s Alpha
Page 94
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
52. Following are the security returns and market returns for last 10 months
Security Return Market Return (Y)
(X)
1 4.6 3.2
2 -0.5 0.3
3 3.3 3.8
4 3.9 3.5
5 -2.3 -1.6
6 4.5 4.1
7 4.6 4.0
8 4.3 4.4
9 4.1 6.0
10 -3.6 -2.7
Estimate the values of α & β for the security
53. An Investor has two portfolios known to be on minimum variance set for a
population of three securities A, B and C having below mentioned weights:
WA WB WC
Portfolio X 0.30 0.40 0.30
(ii) Suppose the investor invests `4,000 out of `8,000 in security A. How he
will allocate the balance between security B and C to ensure that his
portfolio is on minimum variance set?
----------------------------[Jun 2009, 6 Marks] --------------------------------------
Page 95
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
54. The rates of return on the security of Company X and market portfolio for
10 periods are given below:
Year Return on Security Return on Market Portfolio
1 20 22
2 22 20
3 25 18
4 21 16
5 18 20
6 -5 8
7 17 -6
8 19 5
9 -7 6
10 20 11
Page 96
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
56. Assuming that shares of ABC Ltd. and XYZ Ltd. are correctly priced
according to Capital Asset Pricing Model. The expected return from and Beta
of these shares are as follows:
Share Beta Expected Return
ABC 1.2 19.8%
XYZ 0.9 17.1%
You are required to derive Securities Market Line.
57. The expected return of the market portfolio is 14% and the risk free rate is
10%. The standard deviation of the market portfolio is 28% whereas the
standard deviation of the portfolio of an investor is 37%. Find out the expected
return of the investor as per CML
58. Expected returns on two stocks for particular market returns are given in the
following table:
Market return Aggressive Defensive
7% 4% 9%
25% 40% 18%
You are required to calculate:
(a) The Betas of the two stocks.
(b) Expected return of each stock, if the market return is equally likely
to be 7% or 25%.
(c) The Security Market Line (SML), if the risk free rate is 7.5% and
market return is equally likely to be 7% or 25%.
(d) The Alphas of the two stocks.
-------------------------------[May 2007, 8 Marks]-----------------------------------
Page 97
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
59. Ramesh wants to invest in stock market. He has got the following
information about individual securities:
Security Expected Beta σ2 ci
Return
A 15 1.5 40
B 12 2.0 20
C 10 2.5 30
D 09 1.0 10
E 08 1.2 20
F 14 1.5 30
Market index variance is 10 percent and the risk free rate of return is 7%.
What should be the optimum portfolio assuming no short sales?
60. Indira has a fund of `3 lacs which she wants to invest in share market with
rebalancing target after every 10 days to start with for a period of one month
from now. The present NIFTY is 5326. The minimum NIFTY within a month
can at most be 4793.4. She wants to know as to how she should rebalance her
portfolio under the following situations, according to the theory of Constant
Proportion Portfolio Insurance Policy, using “2” as the multiplier:
(1) Immediately to start with.
(2) 10 days later being the 1st day of rebalancing if NIFTY falls to 5122.96.
(3) 10 days further from the above date if the NIFTY touches 5539.04.
For the sake of simplicity, assume that the value of her equity component will
change in tandem with that of the NIFTY and the risk free securities in which
she is going to invest will have no Beta.
--------------------------------[May 2012, 8 Marks] ----------------------------------
Page 98
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
61. Ms. Sunidhi is working with an MNC at Mumbai. She is well versant with the
portfolio management techniques and wants to test one of the techniques on
an equity fund she has constructed and compare the gains and losses from the
technique with those from a passive buy and hold strategy. The fund consists
of equities only and the ending NAVs of the fund he constructed for the last
10 months are given below:
Month Ending NAV Month Ending NAV
Dec 2008 40.00 May 2009 37.00
Jan 2009 25.00 Jun 2009 42.00
Feb 2009 36.00 Jul 2009 43.00
Mar 2009 32.00 Aug 2009 50.00
Apr 2009 38.00 Sep 2009 52.00
Assume Sunidhi had invested a notional amount of `2 lakhs equally in the
equity fund and a conservative portfolio (of bonds) in the beginning of
December 2008 and the total portfolio was being rebalanced each time the
NAV of the fund increased or decreased by 15%.
You are required to determine the value of the portfolio for each level of NAV
following the Constant Ratio Plan.
62. Suppose that economy A is growing rapidly and you are managing a global
equity fund and so far you have invested only in developed-country stocks
only. Now you have decided to add stocks of economy A to your portfolio.
The table below shows the expected rates of return, standard deviations, and
correlation coefficients (all estimates are for aggregate stock market of
developed countries and stock market of Economy A).
Developed Country Stocks of
Stocks Economy A
Expected rate of return 10 15
Risk 16 30
Correlation Coefficient 0.30
Page 99
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
Assuming the risk-free interest rate to be 3%, you are required to determine:
a) What percentage of your portfolio should you allocate to stocks of
Economy A if you want to increase the expected rate of return on your
portfolio by 0.5%?
b) What will be the standard deviation of your portfolio assuming that
stocks of Economy A are included in the portfolio as calculated above?
c) Also show how well the Fund will be compensated for the risk
undertaken due to inclusion of stocks of Economy A in the portfolio?
Page 100
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
Page 101
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
66. ABC Ltd. manufactures Car Air Conditioners (ACs), Window ACs and Split
ACs constituting 60%, 25% and 15% of total market value. The stand-alone
Standard Deviation (SD) and Coefficient of Correlation with market return of
Car AC and Window AC is as follows:
Standard Coefficient of
Deviation Correlation
Car AC 0.30 0.6
Window AC 0.35 0.7
No data for stand-alone SD and Coefficient of Correlation of Split AC is
available. However, a company who derives its half value from Split AC and
half from Window AC has a SD of 0.50 and Coefficient of correlation with
market return is 0.85. Market Index has a return of 10% and SD of 0.20.
Further, the risk free rate of return is 4%.
You are required to determine:
a. Beta of ABC Ltd.
b. Cost of Equity of ABC Ltd.
c. Assuming that ABC Ltd. wants to raise debt of an amount equal to
half of its Market Value then determine equity beta, if yield of debt is
5%.
67. Given below is information of market rates of Returns and Data from two
Companies A and B:
Page 102
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
68. Amal Ltd. has been maintaining a growth rate of 12% in dividends. The
company has paid dividend @ `3 per share. The rate of return on market
portfolio is 15% and the risk-free rate of return in the market has been observed
as10%. The beta co-efficient of the company’s share is 1.2.
You are required to calculate the expected rate of return on the company’s
shares as per CAPM model and the equilibirium price per share by dividend
growth model.
70. Assuming that two securities X and Y are correctly priced on SML and
expected return from these securities are 9.40% (Rx) and 13.40% (Ry)
respectively. The Beta of these securities are 0.80 and 1.30 respectively. Mr.
A, an investment manager states that the return on market index is 9%.
You are required to determine,
(a) Whether the claim of Mr. A is right. If not then what is correct return on
market index.
(b) Risk Free Rate of Return
--------------------------------[RTP May 2012] ----------------------------------
Page 103
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
71. The following details are given for X and Y companies’ stocks and the Bombay
Sensex for a period of one year. Calculate the systematic and unsystematic risk
for the companies’ stocks. What would be the portfolio risk if equal amount of
money is allocated among these stocks?
X Stock Y Stock Sensex
Page 104
Chapter 6 Portfolio Management
73. Ms. Preeti, a school teacher after retirement has built up a portfolio of
Rs.120000 which is as follows
Stock No. of Market Price Beta
Shares per Share
ABC Ltd 1000 50 0.9
DEF Ltd 500 20 1.0
GHI Ltd 800 25 1.5
JKL Ltd 200 200 1.2
Her portfolio consultant Sri Vijay had advised her to bring down the beta to
0.8.
You are required to compute
(i) Present Portfolio Beta
(ii) How much risk free investment should be bought in, to reduce the
beta to 0.8
--------------------------------[May 2019, 8 Marks] ----------------------------------
74. Assume that the following one-factor model describes the expected return for
portfolios: E(Rp) = 0.10 + 0.12βp,1
Also assume that all investors agree on the expected returns and factor
sensitivity of the three highly diversified Portfolios A, B, and C given in the
following table:
Page 105
CA Final SFM CA Mayank Kothari
75. Consider the following asset class returns for calendar year 2016:
What is the value added (or active return) for the managed portfolio?
Page 106