Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Contents
1. How Investors can become billionares by
simply investing
2. The Stock Market
cycle
3. Principles of investing of Rakesh
Jhunjhunwala, Peter Lynch, Warren
Buffett
4. Identification of Best Quality Stocks
5. Identification Of Average Quality stocks
6. Identification of cyclical stocks
7. Identification of stocks that may fail
8. Why zero debt of low debt company is the
best investment
9. Safest portfolio for low risk
10. High risk – high return Portfolio
11. Debt free companies in India
12. Investing in penny stocks
1
“An important key to investing is to
remember that stocks are not lottery
Tickets.” - Peter Lynch
How Investors can become
billionares by simply investing
Cash the crack –Investors like Rakesh
Jhunjhunwala , Peter Lynch & Warren Buffett
use stock market crash for a lifetime
investment opportunities in big companies
whose stock crashes. Risk comes when you
don’t know what you are doing. But when a
new business whose future is bright is merely
cheap due to stock market crash and old
business whose product has a constant demand
throughout the century is merely cheap
because of bad news phenomenon gives a
good investing opportunity. Investing in bad
times gives multibagger return.
VST TILLERS TRACTORS : In 2003 VST Tillers
tractors was trading at lifetime low of Rs.10.25. Those
who had invested at that time got 16 times of their
investment amount in just 2 years and 62 times in 7
years and more than 200 times in 11 years. Do you
know any traders who have made a fortune like this
growth ? But you can find a lot of big Investors who
have earned money by simply holding their investment.
3
“ The big money is not in buying
and selling….but in the waiting”.-
Charlie Munger
Principles of Investing
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
He is the legendary investor who is known as the
Warren Buffett of India. He started his investment
from merely Rs. 5000. And now his total Assett is
around 8000 crores.
He was born on 5 July 1960. His father was an
income tax officer. His father was interested in stocks
and used to discuss about it with his friends. When
Rakesh was a child he asked his father why the price of
stocks fluctuate. His father told him that the news
makes the price to fluctuate. Rakesh got fascinated by
the stocks and his interest in it increased. He told his
father his wish to get into the stock market. His father
told him to get professionaly qualified atleast and then
do whatever he want in his life. Rakesh completed his
CA in 1985. After his completion of CA he told his
father that he want to make his career by investing in
stocks.
His father told him not to ask for money to him or
his friends ; earn and trade with you money.
The Invetment started: Rakesh started investing in
stocks in 1985 when BSE sensex wad at 150.
First big profit- his first big profit was 0.5 million by
selling 5000 shares of Tata tea at a price of Rs.143
which he had bought at Rs.43 just 3 months prior.
Between 1986-1989 he earned 20-25 lakhs. After 1986
the market went into a big depression for 2-3 years but
he put his money in Tata power stocks. The Tata power
became about 1100-1200. Now he was having 50-55
lakhs.
He bought 4 lakh shares of Sesa Goa in forward
trading, worth Rs. 1 crore and sold about 2-2.5 lakh
shares at Rs 60-65 and another 1 lakh at Rs.150-175.
The price rose to Rs.2200 and he sold remaining
shares. Now his net worth was about 2-2.5 crores.
He bought 6 crores shares of titan industries and
currently holding it which makes his portfolio 34 %
valuations. Titan generated 8272% absolute returns in
past 13 years. This means long term investment always
pays.
In 2006 he bought Lupin around 150 which is now
trading aroung Rs. 2000.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala holds around 40 lac shares of
CRISIL. CRISIL was able to touch life time high level
of 2361 Rs. Absolute return generated by CRISIL for
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala is 5588%.
Rallis India : Absolute return given by Rallis India in
Jhunjhunwala’s portfolio is 655%.
Success secret- 1. If you make an analysis of portfolio
of Rakesh Jhunjhunwala you will find his success
secret in long term. During time of recession his
portfolio was down by 70% and many of the stock
market pundit saying that he invested in speculation
but he knew what he has done. According to warren
Buffett 95% of the investors are short term motivated
and only 5% hold stocks for long term. Rakesh
Jhunjhunwala is one of that 5% investors.
2. His investment in stocks making more than 1% of
his portfolio reveals minimum average holding time
around 3.44 years. Many stocks which made him
wealthy he holded for more than 5-10 years. He has
held his stakes in nine companies, including Lupin Ltd,
Crisil Ltd, Titan Industries, for 10 years or more.
3. He buys the stock at very cheap price when the
company is in initial stages so there is chance for
growth of that company so valuation increases and also
his wealth increases..
4. He prefer small cap stocks which will be tomorrows
mid or Large cap stocks.
5. If you analyse his portfolio you will find that
majority of the companies he selected having very low
debt or some of the companies having Zero debt. This
is because whatever the company earn it directly
increases its valuations. But in companies having large
debt maximum amount goes to paying the interest so
valuations do not increase properly. Continuous
increase in debt is a sign of bankruptcy like Jaypee
Associates, Kingfisher airlines, REI Agro
6 Holding the stocks for long term have to pay low
income tax and when you sell. Selling in short time is
considered as business income and is considered for
higher taxes. So holding long term saves taxes.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala latest Stock
Portfolio 2016
Peter Lynch
If there is one legendary investor who not just beat the
market but destroyed it, it is Peter Lynch.
Now retired, Lynch secured his reputation as one of the
most successful fund managers in history while in
charge of the Fidelity Magellan fund between 1977 and
1990.
Lynch only ever worked for Fidelity, the international
investment management firm based in Boston. He
started as an analyst in 1969, was promoted to director
of research in 1974, and took over the Fidelity
Magellan fund in 1977. At the time, it had $22m in
assets. By 1990, when he decided to take early
retirement in order to spend more time with his family,
its value had swollen to $14bn. No manager in history
has ever run so large a fund, so successfully, for so
long.
Long-term returns
During his tenure at Magellan, Lynch averaged 29%
compound over 13 years. This remains a record for
funds of this size.
Biggest success
The biggest successes Lynch lists in his book Beating
the Street were all small growth companies when he
bought them: Rogers Communications Inc, a 16-
bagger, Telephone Data Systems, an 11-bagger, and
plastic cutlery manufacturer Envirodyne and King
World Productions, both tenbaggers.
He has written worlds bestselling books-
1.One Up On Wall Street
2.Beating the street
3.Learn to earn
Mr. Rakesh Jhunjhunwala follow his method. For
many investors he recommended “One Up On Wall
Street “ by Peter Lynch and “ The Intelligent Investor
“ by Bejamin Graham.
Warren Buffett
Buffett is the chairman, CEO and largest
shareholder of Berkshire Hathaway and is
consistently ranked among the world's
wealthiest people. He was ranked as the
world's wealthiest person in 2008 and as the
third wealthiest in 2015. In 2012 Time named
Buffett one of the world's most influential
people.
Buffett is often referred to as the "Oracle of
Omaha," and is noted for his adherence to
value investing and for his personal frugality
despite his immense wealth. Buffett is a
notable philanthropist, having pledged to give
away 99 percent of his fortune to philanthropic
causes, primarily via the Gates Foundation.
Warren Buffett Quotes on Investing
“It’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a
fair price than a fair company at a wonderful
price.”
“Most people get interested in stocks when
everyone else is. The time to get interested is when
no one else is. You can’t buy what is popular and
do well.”
“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly
happy to hold if the market shut down for 10
years.”
“Investors making purchases in an overheated
market need to recognize that it may often take an
extended period for the value of even an
outstanding company to catch up with the price
they paid.”
“If a business does well, the stock eventually
follows.”
“Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.”
“Time is the friend of the wonderful company, the
enemy of the mediocre.”
Profitability Ratios
OPM 14.79 17.36 18.95 14.07 10.89
GPM 10.35 13.47 15.26 8.95 5.49
NPM 7.25 9.54 10.32 6.93 2.32
RONW 22.32 30.97 37.19 28.83 32.54
Liquidity ratios
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 3.44
Current Ratio 0.63 0.67 0.58 0.77 0.78
Quick Ratio 0.53 0.57 0.45 0.68 0.65
Interest Cover 0.00 3,971.08 0.00 7.33 3.87
Miscellaneous
No of Days of -16.02 -13.10 -23.43 -12.78 -10.41
Working
Capital
CAR 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
There is continuous and rapid increase in earning per
share (EPS) over the years from 2009 onwards. EPS in
2014 is less than 2013 by 1.5% it is not much
difference and 1 year less earning is not to be
considered.
There is raped increase in book value over the years.
Within 5 years the book value increased by 5 times so
it is very rapidly growing company making the
shareholders very rich.
There is continuous rise in operating Profit and net
operating income per share.
Return on newworth (RONW) is above 20
characteristics of growing company.
In balance sheet Reserve surplus is rapidly increased
over the years by a large difference this is because
company is having no debt so their earning is retained
increasing reserve & surplus rapidly.
Zero debt company will not become Bankrupt so best
investment
Investment is continually increasing over the years.
Contingent liabilities is very low around 10% of
Reserve & Surplus. It is also less than 50% of net
profit. So no trouble.
In Profit & Loss statement Net operating income is
continuously rising.
PBDIT increased 4 folds in 5 years.
Financial expense is zero due to zero debt so net profit
is good. PAT is increased 4 times over the period of 5
years.
Company is retaining earning by a large amount as it is
not paying dividends and also there is no debt.
In a few words the company’s valuations increased 4 times in
five years due to rapid expansion and having zero debt. Very
few companies perform like this. This effects the valuation of
shares. Share value increased 7-8 times in 5 years.
Balance Sheet
Rs. CR.
Period & Months 2014/03 2013/03 2012/03 2011/03 2010/03
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Owned Funds
Equity Share Capital 65.44 65.28 65.08 64.53 63.62
Share Application
0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.20
Money
Preferential Share
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Capital
Reserves & Surplus 498.03 370.93 234.47 127.16 52.61
Loan Funds
Secured Loans 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.59
Unsecured Loans 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOTAL 563.49 436.22 299.55 191.69 126.03
USES OF FUNDS
Fixed Assets
Gross Block 773.30 557.78 389.59 290.43 227.55
Accumulated
244.55 175.06 139.05 110.28 87.23
Depreciation
Less: Revaluation
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Reserve
Net Block 528.75 382.72 250.54 180.15 140.32
Capital Work-in-
18.33 8.44 18.25 3.62 2.56
progress
Other Recuring
9.33 7.77 5.92 2.10 9.15
Income
Adjusted PBDIT 264.39 252.16 198.77 122.65 67.08
Finanical
0.00 0.06 0.00 0.34 9.15
Expenses
APPROPRIATIONS
Equity Dividend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Preference
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dividend
Retained
398.25 272.45 137.34 31.70 -40.30
Earnings
Profitability Ratios
OPM 17.05 17.24 16.81 19.24 13.16
GPM 15.02 15.83 15.61 18.11 11.90
NPM 11.03 11.54 11.38 14.29 7.97
RONW 32.74 34.74 38.30 42.79 33.85
Liquidity ratios
Debt/Equity 0.01 0.01 0.06 0.04 0.05
Current Ratio 1.18 1.18 1.12 0.89 1.13
Quick Ratio 0.63 0.60 0.56 0.37 0.58
Interest Cover 74.81 54.76 53.34 56.68 39.57
Balance Sheet
Rs. CR.
Period & Months 2014/03 2013/03 2012/03 2011/03 2010/03
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Owned Funds
Equity Share Capital 95.92 95.92 95.92 95.92 95.92
Share Application
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Money
Preferential Share
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Capital
Reserves & Surplus 3,505.01 2,926.34 2,391.86 1,879.40 1,461.30
Loan Funds
Secured Loans 6.65 9.28 17.01 23.43 25.59
Unsecured Loans 32.86 37.48 151.21 40.70 40.70
TOTAL 3,640.44 3,069.02 2,656.00 2,039.45 1,623.51
USES OF FUNDS
Fixed Assets
Gross Block 2,908.10 2,803.73 1,659.51 1,611.22 1,194.39
Accumulated
895.90 701.84 650.47 554.03 486.93
Depreciation
Less: Revaluation 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Reserve
Net Block 2,012.20 2,101.89 1,009.04 1,057.19 707.46
Capital Work-in-
37.95 52.55 827.30 67.32 380.72
progress
Miscellaneous
Expenses not written 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
off
TOTAL 3,640.44 3,069.02 2,656.00 2,039.45 1,623.51
Number of Equity
shares outstanding 95.92 9.59 9.59 9.59 9.59
(Cr.)
Bonus component in
93.99 93.99 93.99 93.99 93.99
Equity Capital
Notes:
Book Value of
Unquoted 362.12 235.63 222.79 632.33 155.31
Investments
Market Value of
870.91 391.03 210.08 568.57 186.79
Quoted Investments
Contingent liabilities 447.75 464.28 414.71 505.87 223.80
Profit and Loss
Rs. CR.
Period &
2014/03 2013/03 2012/03 2011/03 2010/03
months
INCOME
Net Operating
10,418.78 8,971.70 8,327.08 6,606.02 5,367.72
Income
EXPENSES
Material
5,969.32 5,185.09 4,722.85 3,654.93 2,835.40
Consumption
Manufacturing
114.65 101.65 151.34 127.44 99.33
Expenses
Personel
482.43 404.59 343.51 302.34 262.73
Expenses
Selling Expenses 0.00 0.00 1,425.28 1,128.32 940.34
Adminstrative
2,075.11 2,075.11 2,075.11 2,075.11 2,075.11
Expenses
Capitalised
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Expenses
Other Recuring
173.66 126.15 87.33 69.85 19.10
Income
Adjusted PBDIT 1,950.93 1,673.42 1,487.20 1,231.12 1,082.65
Finanical
26.08 30.56 27.88 16.34 19.10
Expenses
APPROPRIATIONS
Equity Dividend 426.35 366.94 321.45 256.83 258.98
Preference
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dividend
Retained
1,660.69 1,308.77 1,174.70 1,068.21 702.19
Earnings
Profitability Ratios
OPM 28.25 29.96 32.19 34.82 34.09
GPM 25.76 27.36 29.65 31.00 30.66
NPM 21.72 23.38 25.60 26.36 27.52
RONW 24.21 25.05 26.83 25.89 34.76
Liquidity ratios
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio 3.70 4.75 4.91 4.28 4.71
Quick Ratio 3.65 4.69 4.88 4.20 4.67
Interest Cover 0.00 0.00 0.00 4,116.50 3,891.00
Miscellaneous
No of Days of
Working 231.26 255.87 256.89 224.99 220.11
Capital
CAR 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Profitability Ratios
OPM 21.99 19.82 17.94 19.54 21.54
GPM 16.89 14.10 16.22 17.85 19.77
NPM 14.20 10.94 19.32 14.64 15.33
RONW 17.80 14.67 16.77 16.11 19.94
Liquidity ratios
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio 2.03 2.08 3.02 3.61 3.71
Quick Ratio 1.34 1.44 2.37 2.71 2.90
Interest Cover 1,085.14 252.13 89.03 3,337.75 805.99
Miscellaneous
No of Days of
109.35 110.30 261.49 264.44 235.56
Working Capital
CAR 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Balance Sheet
Rs. CR.
Period & Months 2013/12 2012/12 2011/12 2010/12 2009/12
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Owned Funds
Equity Share Capital 23.03 23.03 23.03 23.03 23.03
Share Application
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Money
Preferential Share
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Capital
Reserves & Surplus 1,323.67 1,181.09 1,081.64 978.33 895.14
Loan Funds
Secured Loans 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Unsecured Loans 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOTAL 1,346.70 1,204.12 1,104.67 1,001.36 918.17
USES OF FUNDS
Fixed Assets
Gross Block 933.14 908.88 967.92 375.50 334.57
Accumulated
234.59 209.52 230.95 204.45 189.68
Depreciation
Less: Revaluation
0.00 0.00 11.96 12.79 13.63
Reserve
Net Block 698.55 699.36 725.02 158.26 131.26
Capital Work-in-
136.20 43.47 30.23 13.30 27.14
progress
Other Recuring
57.86 41.17 68.60 52.36 0.07
Income
Adjusted PBDIT 455.76 352.98 310.99 257.32 247.99
Finanical
0.42 1.40 0.42 2.89 0.07
Expenses
APPROPRIATIONS
Equity Dividend 85.52 63.68 64.13 126.67 46.06
Preference
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dividend
Retained
1,074.86 943.31 873.64 781.53 714.08
Earnings
5
“A great business at a fair price is
superior to a fair business at a great
price”- Carlie Munger
Identification of Average quality
Stocks
Crompton Greaves
EPS is erratic due to competition in industry
Book value is increased by only 2 fold in 5 years
Reported net profit is erratic not increased over the years though
there is no increase in debt
RONW is continually decreasing
Contingent liabilities is increased and it is about 50% of reserve &
Surplus and thrice that of net profit.
So erratic share price like cyclical stocks.
Key Financial Ratios
2014/03 2013/03 2012/03 2010/03 2009/03
Per Share
EPS 8.31 6.95 7.87 9.62 10.83
CEPS 9.74 8.07 9.28 10.43 12.07
Book Value 53.55 47.65 42.10 35.70 27.28
Dividend/Share 1.20 1.20 1.40 2.20 2.00
Operating Profit / Share 10.62 9.27 11.23 13.38 20.60
Net Operating Income /
119.50 111.23 101.10 84.11 127.64
Share
Free Reserves / Share 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.98 30.95
Profitability Ratios
OPM 8.89 8.33 11.11 15.90 16.14
GPM 7.69 7.32 9.71 14.94 15.17
NPM 6.79 6.16 7.69 11.32 8.40
RONW 15.52 14.58 18.69 31.37 41.60
Liquidity ratios
Debt/Equity 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04
Current Ratio 1.79 1.56 1.52 1.28 1.28
Quick Ratio 1.54 1.31 1.28 1.12 1.12
Interest Cover 21.17 27.28 28.74 45.72 28.07
Miscellaneous
No of Days of Working
84.97 63.44 54.49 35.80 38.96
Capital
CAR 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Balance Sheet
Rs. CR.
Period & Months 2014/03 2013/03 2012/03 2011/03 2010/03
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Owned Funds
Equity Share Capital 125.35 128.30 128.30 128.30 128.30
Share Application
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Money
Preferential Share
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Capital
Reserves & Surplus 3,230.72 2,928.55 2,572.58 2,161.51 1,622.00
Loan Funds
Secured Loans 29.99 12.93 0.20 8.23 13.82
Unsecured Loans 0.54 0.75 2.06 5.17 12.96
TOTAL 3,386.60 3,070.53 2,703.14 2,303.21 1,777.08
USES OF FUNDS
Fixed Assets
Gross Block 1,521.55 1,395.37 1,310.32 1,604.18 1,171.40
Accumulated
766.65 734.88 714.16 728.88 637.59
Depreciation
Less: Revaluation
0.00 0.00 0.00 14.27 14.42
Reserve
Net Block 754.90 660.49 596.16 861.03 519.39
Capital Work-in-
67.73 114.77 79.32 47.69 33.03
progress
Miscellaneous
Expenses not written 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
off
TOTAL 3,386.60 3,070.53 2,703.14 2,303.21 1,777.08
Number of Equity
shares outstanding 62.67 64.15 64.15 64.15 64.15
(Cr.)
Bonus component in
90.01 92.13 92.13 92.13 92.13
Equity Capital
Notes:
Book Value of
Unquoted 805.27 554.12 551.10 378.53 387.54
Investments
Market Value of
21.16 500.92 502.04 405.13 302.97
Quoted Investments
Contingent liabilities 1,676.17 1,422.59 326.08 278.74 362.56
Other Recuring
175.72 98.68 74.39 36.73 20.00
Income
Adjusted PBDIT 841.56 693.29 795.07 969.64 914.35
Finanical
39.76 25.41 27.66 20.69 20.00
Expenses
APPROPRIATIONS
Equity Dividend 62.53 64.29 75.24 117.84 80.65
Preference
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dividend
Retained
2,816.14 2,428.07 2,141.78 1,833.45 1,334.41
Earnings
6
“Going into debt usually isn’t
caused by a lack of money, it’s
caused by a lack of vision”
-someone
Profitability Ratios
OPM 30.72 29.12 33.99 35.70 37.68
GPM 26.10 24.83 30.60 31.36 33.69
NPM 15.08 12.94 19.23 19.96 21.09
RONW 10.71 10.39 11.75 11.00 19.87
Liquidity ratios
Debt/Equity 0.42 0.46 0.45 0.67 1.34
Current Ratio 0.57 0.86 0.92 1.12 0.97
Quick Ratio 0.31 0.60 0.68 0.76 0.57
Interest Cover 7.47 6.41 6.45 5.00 6.37
Miscellaneous
No of Days of
-75.30 -17.74 -10.22 20.53 -4.56
Working Capital
CAR 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Balance Sheet
Rs. CR.
Period & Months 2014/03 2013/03 2012/03 2011/03 2010/03
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Owned Funds
Equity Share
971.41 971.41 971.41 959.41 887.41
Capital
Share Application
0.00 0.00 0.00 178.20 0.00
Money
Preferential Share
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Capital
Reserves &
60,176.58 54,238.27 51,649.95 45,807.02 36,281.34
Surplus
Loan Funds
Secured Loans 4,400.55 4,311.02 4,190.47 3,509.18 2,259.32
Unsecured Loans 21,726.23 21,600.49 19,503.35 22,639.00 22,979.88
TOTAL 87,274.77 81,121.19 76,315.18 73,092.81 62,407.95
USES OF FUNDS
Fixed Assets
Gross Block 39,019.72 38,056.28 23,081.58 22,497.83 22,306.07
Accumulated
14,753.97 13,181.23 11,715.32 10,692.73 10,143.63
Depreciation
Less: Revaluation
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Reserve
Net Block 24,265.75 24,875.05 11,366.26 11,805.10 12,162.44
Capital Work-in-
18,509.40 8,722.29 16,058.49 5,612.28 3,843.59
progress
Miscellaneous
Expenses not 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
written off
TOTAL 87,274.77 81,121.19 76,315.18 73,092.81 62,407.95
Number of Equity
shares outstanding 97.12 97.12 97.12 95.92 88.72
(Cr.)
Bonus component
252.97 252.97 252.97 252.97 252.97
in Equity Capital
Notes:
Book Value of
Unquoted 53,615.18 49,434.56 49,617.55 45,899.97 44,243.24
Investments
Market Value of
Quoted 8,390.72 4,904.96 4,911.43 4,914.95 4,397.79
Investments
Contingent
17,398.71 18,999.02 18,039.57 14,288.41 13,184.61
liabilities
Finanical
1,820.58 1,876.77 1,925.42 1,735.70 1,848.19
Expenses
APPROPRIATIONS
Equity Dividend 905.02 648.24 983.89 994.35 709.77
Preference
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.88
Dividend
Retained
30,430.41 25,431.04 22,169.55 18,487.28 13,677.33
Earnings
Yearly High Lows
Year High Low
1990 275.00 103.25
1991 256.00 107.00
1992 692.50 202.50
1993 342.50 123.75
1994 338.75 185.00
1995 263.00 196.50
1996 267.75 145.75
1997 230.50 116.50
1998 168.50 68.50
1999 175.50 74.50
2000 183.35 89.00
2001 168.90 66.90
2002 147.60 85.50
2003 445.35 125.65
2004 466.45 231.20
2005 446.50 329.05
2006 679.00 341.35
2007 1,048.80 399.00
2008 952.00 146.35
2009 627.60 148.65
2010 737.00 448.65
2011 713.80 334.05
2012 500.90 332.35
2013 448.10 195.40
2014 578.60 332.20
2015 421.20 372.55
7
“If stock market experts were so
expert, they would be buying stocks,
not selling advice”
-Norman Augustine
Identification od Stocks that may
fail
MTNL
EPS & Book value deteriorating.
Debt is continually increasing and is more than reserve & surplus.
Increased contingent liabilities, it is more than reserve & surplus.
No Value remained in company.
Negligible chance of recovery.
Share value is continually decreasing
Key Financial Ratios
2014/03 2013/03 2012/03 2010/03 2009/03
Per Share
EPS 124.21 -84.46 -65.23 -48.63 2.67
CEPS 142.71 -61.02 -41.49 -20.70 13.76
Book Value 80.01 -44.20 40.27 105.50 149.97
Dividend/Share 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00
Operating Profit / Share -14.65 -46.51 -29.37 -46.66 5.87
Net Operating Income /
53.84 54.42 53.54 58.06 70.75
Share
Free Reserves / Share 0.00 0.00 0.00 129.13 164.94
Profitability Ratios
OPM -27.20 -85.45 -54.85 -80.36 8.29
GPM -61.57 -128.53 -99.21 -128.47 -7.38
NPM 206.61 -143.26 -113.39 -61.40 3.23
RONW -71.02 0.00 -159.45 -31.99 2.57
Liquidity ratios
Debt/Equity 2.80 0.00 3.80 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio 1.89 0.58 0.66 0.65 1.34
Quick Ratio 1.88 0.58 0.65 0.64 1.25
Interest Cover -0.37 -2.24 -1.69 -145.72 101.50
Miscellaneous
No of Days of Working
298.50 -1,205.45 -916.00 -865.52 343.12
Capital
CAR 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Balance Sheet
Rs. CR.
Period & Months 2014/03 2013/03 2012/03 2011/03 2010/03
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Owned Funds
Equity Share
630.00 630.00 630.00 630.00 630.00
Capital
Share Application
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Money
Preferential Share
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Capital
Reserves & Surplus 4,410.71 -3,414.43 1,906.70 6,016.48 8,818.40
Loan Funds
Secured Loans 4,365.00 5,932.35 7,000.00 2,553.97 0.00
Unsecured Loans 9,755.44 5,606.34 2,647.49 4,901.71 0.00
TOTAL 19,161.15 8,754.26 12,184.19 14,102.16 9,448.40
USES OF FUNDS
Fixed Assets
Gross Block 24,808.97 27,700.62 27,784.86 29,377.98 28,275.77
Accumulated
13,588.02 12,801.43 12,024.68 13,054.95 11,720.79
Depreciation
Less: Revaluation
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Reserve
Net Block 11,220.95 14,899.18 15,760.18 16,323.03 16,554.98
Capital Work-in-
382.57 932.24 897.00 1,170.25 1,177.96
progress
Miscellaneous
Expenses not 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
written off
TOTAL 19,161.15 8,754.26 12,184.19 14,102.16 9,448.40
Number of Equity
shares outstanding 63.00 63.00 63.00 63.00 63.00
(Cr.)
Bonus component 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
in Equity Capital
Notes:
Book Value of
Unquoted 201.98 221.98 491.98 394.66 509.54
Investments
Market Value of
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Quoted Investments
Contingent
6,288.82 6,808.10 3,393.68 3,378.52 4,607.59
liabilities
Other Recuring
395.64 285.42 251.16 259.62 11.03
Income
Adjusted PBDIT -527.15 -2,644.54 -1,599.39 -896.29 -1,607.87
Finanical
1,390.15 1,180.26 949.16 494.56 11.03
Expenses
APPROPRIATIONS
Equity Dividend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Preference
Dividend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Retained
-6,453.80 -14,328.06 -9,025.92 -2,801.92 -2,610.97
Earnings
National Fertilizers
Key Financial Ratios
2014/03 2013/03 2012/03 2010/03 2009/03
Per Share
EPS -1.83 -3.48 2.58 3.50 1.99
CEPS 0.80 -1.08 4.44 5.50 4.12
Book Value 30.45 32.28 35.76 34.09 32.25
Dividend/Share 0.00 0.00 0.78 1.05 0.60
Operating Profit /
2.58 0.76 6.20 6.51 5.32
Share
Net Operating
163.42 136.99 148.91 103.78 104.51
Income / Share
Free Reserves /
0.00 0.00 0.00 22.20 19.93
Share
Profitability Ratios
OPM 1.57 0.55 4.16 6.27 5.09
GPM -0.03 -1.19 2.91 4.43 3.21
NPM -1.11 -2.52 1.72 3.33 1.87
RONW -6.00 -7.15 7.22 10.76 8.85
Liquidity ratios
Debt/Equity 6.83 4.57 1.70 0.25 0.18
Current Ratio 4.42 2.75 1.92 2.22 1.49
Quick Ratio 4.18 2.57 1.61 1.81 1.10
Interest Cover 0.84 0.57 5.16 25.89 7.49
Miscellaneous
No of Days of
144.69 81.58 80.19 82.62 36.74
Working Capital
CAR 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Balance Sheet
Rs. CR.
Period & Months 2014/03 2013/03 2012/03 2011/03 2010/03
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Owned Funds
Equity Share Capital 490.58 490.58 490.58 490.58 490.58
Share Application
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Money
Preferential Share
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Capital
Reserves & Surplus 1,003.41 1,093.12 1,263.85 1,181.60 1,091.56
Loan Funds
Secured Loans 9,933.15 6,911.87 2,603.67 493.84 233.16
Unsecured Loans 275.06 328.21 380.96 119.22 170.00
TOTAL 11,702.20 8,823.78 4,739.06 2,285.24 1,985.30
USES OF FUNDS
Fixed Assets
Gross Block 7,158.91 5,700.66 2,943.01 2,928.19 2,924.04
Accumulated
2,476.67 2,200.14 2,393.39 2,330.53 2,258.24
Depreciation
Less: Revaluation
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Reserve
Net Block 4,682.24 3,500.52 549.62 597.66 665.80
Capital Work-in-
13.88 1,358.45 2,653.38 654.15 29.20
progress
Miscellaneous
Expenses not written 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
off
TOTAL 11,702.20 8,823.78 4,739.06 2,285.24 1,985.30
Number of Equity
shares outstanding 49.06 49.06 49.06 49.06 49.06
(Cr.)
Bonus component in
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Equity Capital
Notes:
Book Value of
Unquoted 0.18 0.03 0.18 0.00 121.80
Investments
Market Value of
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Quoted Investments
Contingent liabilities 544.67 736.09 2,270.23 3,477.87 3,739.76
Other Recuring
45.29 36.62 37.37 40.36 14.36
Income
Adjusted PBDIT 171.90 74.19 341.66 305.99 371.75
Finanical
203.89 129.73 66.24 12.58 14.36
Expenses
APPROPRIATIONS
Equity Dividend 0.00 0.00 32.06 34.94 51.51
Preference
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dividend
Retained
653.01 742.72 957.43 889.58 809.93
Earnings
8
“Investing is important but get debt –
free first,That’s what frees up your
income so you can win”
References:
1. Beating the street-Peter Lynch
2. One Up On Wall Street- Peter Lynch
3. The New Buffettology- Mary Buffett & David
Clark
4. The Intelligent Investor
Important
There may be printing mistake or error. All efforts
are done to minimize it.The writer will not be
responsible for any error or mistake. Kindly
double check the data if you find any error and
please report to us.