Probability Cum.

Probability Y
0.20 - 0.20 10
0.55 0.21 0.75 20
0.25 0.76 1.00 28

Total cost Total

# Rand #1 Rand #2 Units sold Total Cost Profit/Loss
per unit Revenue
1 0.00596751 0.7443585 1,202 19.01 24,036 22,841 1,195
2 0.335230304 0.1489254 1,301 19.34 13,006 25,147 (12,141)
3 0.539621139 0.1324597 1,362 19.54 13,619 26,611 (12,992)
4 0.325043049 0.9534634 1,298 19.33 36,330 25,074 11,256
5 0.956512989 0.8254376 1,487 19.96 41,635 29,674 11,960
6 0.629183224 0.1077242 1,389 19.63 13,888 27,260 (13,373)
7 0.385699022 0.4251315 1,316 19.39 26,314 25,506 808
8 0.220549136 0.2545325 1,266 19.22 25,323 24,336 987
9 0.892104304 0.8163494 1,468 19.89 41,094 29,194 11,899
10 0.103914581 0.863792 1,231 19.10 34,473 23,520 10,953
11 0.821318459 0.9769742 1,446 19.82 40,499 28,669 11,830
12 0.683024022 0.749108 1,405 19.68 28,098 27,653 445
13 0.073790808 0.663622 1,222 19.07 24,443 23,311 1,132
14 0.868972557 0.6742093 1,461 19.87 29,214 29,022 191
15 0.401755731 0.2775083 1,321 19.40 26,411 25,621 790
16 0.970600202 0.5224845 1,491 19.97 29,824 29,780 44
17 0.76866749 0.3900973 1,431 19.77 28,612 28,281 331
18 0.721402296 0.2308172 1,416 19.72 28,328 27,934 395
19 0.121748138 0.8684555 1,237 19.12 34,623 23,645 10,978
20 0.686331848 0.784972 1,406 19.69 39,365 27,677 11,688
21 0.328878295 0.5573388 1,299 19.33 25,973 25,102 872
22 0.744073073 0.9574116 1,423 19.74 39,850 28,100 11,750
23 0.280978791 0.514545 1,284 19.28 25,686 24,762 923
24 0.072879911 0.2458198 1,222 19.07 24,437 23,304 1,133
25 0.073544543 0.2653322 1,222 19.07 24,441 23,309 1,132
26 0.934465631 0.4031243 1,480 19.93 29,607 29,510 97
27 0.403238576 0.9008622 1,321 19.40 36,987 25,631 11,356
28 0.273226622 0.5005139 1,282 19.27 25,639 24,708 932
29 0.85222563 0.6921702 1,456 19.85 29,113 28,898 215
30 0.510182009 0.5820407 1,353 19.51 27,061 26,398 663
31 0.876093157 0.7457324 1,463 19.88 29,257 29,075 181
32 0.209315336 0.5588967 1,263 19.21 25,256 24,257 998
33 0.561709772 0.2482069 1,369 19.56 27,370 26,770 600
34 0.369325098 0.4591124 1,311 19.37 26,216 25,389 827
35 0.069603386 0.3238417 1,221 19.07 24,418 23,282 1,136
36 0.224811524 0.124784 1,267 19.22 12,674 24,366 (11,692)
37 0.333797115 0.7523728 1,300 19.33 26,003 25,137 866
38 0.692689258 0.1944099 1,408 19.69 14,078 27,724 (13,645)
39 0.570028082 0.7255398 1,371 19.57 27,420 26,831 589
40 0.885807232 0.5480918 1,466 19.89 29,315 29,147 167
41 0.369325097 0.1075773 1,311 19.37 13,108 25,389 (12,281)
42 0.538018188 0.7725489 1,361 19.54 38,119 26,599 11,520
43 0.36271604 0.9880024 1,309 19.36 36,647 25,342 11,305
44 0.185035073 0.3466088 1,256 19.19 25,110 24,087 1,023
45 0.382851474 0.398201 1,315 19.38 26,297 25,486 811
46 0.477319051 0.0793793 1,343 19.48 13,432 26,162 (12,730)
47 0.423165821 0.0597291 1,327 19.42 13,269 25,774 (12,504)
48 0.185758917 0.5616565 1,256 19.19 25,115 24,092 1,022
49 0.917127852 0.9839676 1,475 19.92 41,304 29,381 11,923
50 0.33191983 0.854483 1,300 19.33 36,388 25,123 11,265
51 0.498594011 0.7421919 1,350 19.50 26,992 26,315 677
52 0.607790036 0.2776954 1,382 19.61 27,647 27,105 542
53 0.382204996 0.8714017 1,315 19.38 36,811 25,481 11,329
54 0.765588973 0.8483395 1,430 19.77 40,031 28,258 11,773
55 0.034477245 0.1118264 1,210 19.03 12,103 23,038 (10,935)
56 0.263115047 0.7035717 1,279 19.26 25,579 24,636 942
57 0.346690978 0.5227232 1,304 19.35 26,080 25,228 852
58 0.929835156 0.279915 1,479 19.93 29,579 29,475 104
59 0.508893822 0.7023236 1,353 19.51 27,053 26,389 664
60 0.140223439 0.3563098 1,242 19.14 24,841 23,773 1,068
61 0.062468119 0.4096572 1,219 19.06 24,375 23,232 1,143
62 0.963405196 0.2282194 1,489 19.96 29,780 29,726 54
63 0.785003978 0.8622796 1,436 19.79 40,194 28,401 11,793
64 0.277787967 0.9437418 1,283 19.28 35,933 24,740 11,194
65 0.398659711 0.5566032 1,320 19.40 26,392 25,598 794
66 0.128062563 0.4064285 1,238 19.13 24,768 23,689 1,080
67 0.231814128 0.2988862 1,270 19.23 25,391 24,416 975
68 0.895516889 0.4492053 1,469 19.90 29,373 29,220 153
69 0.273730429 0.6201872 1,282 19.27 25,642 24,711 931
70 0.018728528 0.5602442 1,206 19.02 24,112 22,929 1,183
71 0.538217866 0.4278245 1,361 19.54 27,229 26,601 629
72 0.53235303 0.2312761 1,360 19.53 27,194 26,558 636
73 0.078696789 0.2445407 1,224 19.08 24,472 23,345 1,127
74 0.379099725 0.4011835 1,314 19.38 26,275 25,459 816
75 0.700721133 0.499999 1,410 19.70 28,204 27,782 422
76 0.872836232 0.2878816 1,462 19.87 29,237 29,051 186
77 0.788872719 0.1628856 1,437 19.79 14,367 28,430 (14,063)
78 0.68467277 0.8052461 1,405 19.68 39,351 27,665 11,686
79 0.21908355 0.4107831 1,266 19.22 25,315 24,326 988
80 0.987398349 0.6420113 1,496 19.99 29,924 29,906 19
81 0.970301815 0.7185484 1,491 19.97 29,822 29,778 44
82 0.148014272 0.3344099 1,244 19.15 24,888 23,828 1,060
83 0.319519904 0.1044937 1,296 19.32 12,959 25,035 (12,077)
84 0.829589002 0.3109156 1,449 19.83 28,978 28,731 247
85 0.409625784 0.4817132 1,323 19.41 26,458 25,677 781
86 0.886090452 0.1374845 1,466 19.89 14,658 29,150 (14,491)
87 0.742243521 0.0477376 1,423 19.74 14,227 28,087 (13,860)
88 0.991681289 0.0064031 1,498 19.99 14,975 29,938 (14,963)
89 0.024106572 0.3093742 1,207 19.02 24,145 22,967 1,178
90 0.742724853 0.3978831 1,423 19.74 28,456 28,090 366
91 0.282471747 0.0776887 1,285 19.28 12,847 24,773 (11,926)
92 0.81721494 0.2292931 1,445 19.82 28,903 28,639 264
93 0.942997638 0.0809491 1,483 19.94 14,829 29,573 (14,744)
94 0.25767931 0.6373308 1,277 19.26 25,546 24,598 948
95 0.771483416 0.5190572 1,431 19.77 28,629 28,302 327
96 0.152297455 0.4689281 1,246 19.15 24,914 23,858 1,056
97 0.326331088 0.5801371 1,298 19.33 25,958 25,084 874
98 0.384905769 0.5603094 1,315 19.38 26,309 25,500 809
99 0.266700856 0.0227009 1,280 19.27 12,800 24,662 (11,861)
100 0.677107261 0.4744418 1,403 19.68 28,063 27,610 453
Probability of loss: 17%
85% confidence interval for profit (1,113.13) 1,754.73
Probability of $6000 profit 18%

n 100
mean 320.80
Standard dev. 7,315.96